• t European Fab Database November 1991 DataQuest Semiconductors Europe > European Fab Database November 1991 Source: Dataquest Dataquest Semiconductors Europe i { Published by Dataquest Incorporated The content of this report represents our interpretation and analysis of information generally available to the public or released by knowledgeable individuals in the subjea industry, but is not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. It does not contain material provided to us in confidence by our clients. Printed in the United States of America. Allrightsreserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in retrieval systems, or transmitted, in any form or by any means—mechanical, electronic, photocopying, duplicating, microfilming, videotaf)e, or otherwise—without the prior permission of the publisher. © 1991 Dataquest Incorporated November 1991 European Fab Database Background The material in this booklet applies to the European portions of Dataquest's Semiconductors Europe service Wafer Fab Database. The Wafer Fab Database is updated on an ongoing basis, employing both primary and secondary research methodologies. Tlie tables included in this booklet highlight both production and pilot line wafer fabs. General Definitions A fab line is a processing line in a d e a n room that is equipped to do all front-end wafer processing. Occasionally there are two separate product-specific fab lines or two different wafer sizes in a clean room. In this situation, a dean room will be documented as two fab lines if the equipment is dedicated to each wafer size or product line. There can be many fab lines at one location. Front-end wafer processing is defined as all steps involved with semiconductor processing, beginning with initial oxide and ending at wafer probe. A production fab is defined as a wafer fab capable of front-end processing more than 1,250 wafers per week (type = F). A pilot fab is defined as a wafer fab capable of front-end processing 1,250 wafers or less per week (type = P). Definitions of Table Columns The Products Produced column contains product information for seven product categories. The information in this column can be very detailed, depending on the information's availability. The nomendature used within the seven product groups of the fab database is as follows, with definitions where warranted: • Analog - UN—^Linear/analog devices - A/D D/A—Analog-to-digital, digital-toanalog converters - AUTOMOTIVE—^Dedicated to automobile applications - CODEC—Coder/decoder - INTERFACE—Interface IC - MESFET (GaAs)—Metal Schottky fieldeffect transistor - MODFET (GaAs) - MDIODE (GaAs)—Microwave diode - MFET (GaAs)—^Microwave field-effect transistor - MODEM—Modulator/demodulator - MMIC—Monolithic microwave IC - OP AMP—Operational amplifier - PWR IC—Power IC - REG—Voltage regulator - SMART PWR—Smart power - SWITCHES—Switching device - TELECOM—^Telecommunications chips Memory - MEM—^Memory RAM—^Random-access memory DRAM—Dynamic RAM SRAM 4 TR.—Static RAM uses a 4-transistor cell design SRAM 6 TR.—Static RAM uses a 6-transistor cell design VRAM—Video RAM ROM—^Read-only memory PROM—^Programmable ROM EPROM—^Ultraviolet erasable PROM EEPROM or E2—^Electrically erasable PROM FERRAM—^Ferroelectric RAM NVMEM—^Nonvolatile memory (ROM, PROM, EPROM, EEPROM, FERRAM) FIFO—^First-in, first-out memory SPMEM—Other specialty memory (dual port, shift-register, color look-up, etc.) Micrologic - ASSP—Application-specific standard product - BIT—^Bit slice (subset of MPU functions) - DSP—^Digital signal processor - MCU—Microcontroller unit European Fab Database - MPR—^Microperipheral - MPRCOM—MPR digital communications (ISDN, LAN, UART, modem) - MPU—Microprocessor unit - USP—^32-bit list instruction set processor for AI applications - RISC—^Reduced-instruction-set computation 32-bit MPU • Standard logic - PTRAN—Photo transistor - SAW—Surface acoustic wave device - s r r IMAGE SENSOR—Static induction transistor image sensor The Process Technology column lists four major types of technologies. This column also lists a few uncommon technologies along with information on levels of metal, type of well, and logic structure, when available. Definitions of the nomenclature used in the Process Technology column are as follows: - LOG—Standard logic • MOS (silicon-based) • ASIC logic - ASIC—^Application-specific IC ARRAYS—Gate arrays CBIC—CeU-based IC CUSTOM—Full-custom IC (single user) PLD—^Programmable logic device • Discrete - DIS—^Discrete - DIODE - FET—^Field-effect transistor - GTO—Gate turn-off thyristor - HEMT (GaAs)—^High-electron-mobility transistor - MOSFET—MOS-based field-effert transistor - PWR TRAN—Power transistor - RECnnER - RF—^Radio frequency - SCR—Schottky rectifier - SENSORS - SST—^Small-signal transistor - THYRISTOR - TEiAN—^Transistor - ZENER DIODE • Optoelectronic - OPTO—Optoelectronic CCD—Charge-coupled device (imaging) COUPLERS—^Photocouplers lED—^Infrared-emitting diode IMAGE SENSOR LASER (GaP)—Semiconduaor laser or laser IC - LED—^Light-emitting diode - PDIODE—^Photo diode - CMOS—Complementary metal-oxide semiconductor - MOS—^n-channel metal-oxide semiconductor (NMOS) and p-channel metal-oxide semiconductor (PMOS) (More than 90 percent of the MOS fabs use n-charmel MOS.) - Ml—Single-level metal - M2—^Double-level metal - M3—Triple-level metal - N-WELL - P-WELL - POLYl—Single-level polysilicon - POLY2—Double-level polysilicon - POLY3—Triple-level polysilicon • BiCMOS (silicon-based) - BICMOS—Bipolar and CMOS combined on a chip - BIMOS—^Bipolar and MOS combined o n a chip - ECL I/O—^ECL input/output - TTL I / O — T i l input/output • Bipolar (silicon-based) - BIP—Bipolar - ECL—^Emitter-coupled logic - TTL—^Transistor-transistor logic - STTL—Schottky TTL • Gallium arsenide and other compound semiconductor materials - GaAs—Gallium arsenide - GaAlAs—Gallium aluminiom arsenide - GaAs on Si—Gallium arsenide on silicon - GaP—Gallium phosphide ©1991 Dataquest Incorporated November—Re|>ioduction Prohibited European Fab DatalKise - HgCdTe—^Mercuric cadmium telluride - InAs—Indium arsenide - InP—^Indium phosphide - InSb—^Indium antimony - LiNb03—^Lithium niobate - SOS—Silicon on sapphire The number in the Minimum Linewidth column represents the minimimi linewidth at the critical mask layers as drawn. This number is stated in microns and is defined in Dataquest's fab survey as being available in production volumes. Tlie Wafer Size column represents the wafer diameter expressed colloquially in inches. However, for wafers greater than 3 inches in diameter, die colloquial expression is inaccurate. When calculating square inches, the following approximations are used; Wafer-Start Capacity is defined in the fab survey as the equipment-limited wafer-start capacity per four-week period. Start capacity is not limited by current staffing or the nimiber of shifts operating; it is limited only by the installed equipment in the fab and the complexity of the process it runs. Start capacity in square inches is calculated using the approximate diameter and the wafer-start capacity. The Clean Room Class column represents the level of cleanliness in the cleanest part of the dean room. This area represents the tme environment to which the wafer is exposed. The Origin of Owner column represents the country where the parent company is headquartered. The Merchant or Captive column categorizes each fab line on the tables as one of these two types. Definitions of the various categories are as follows: • A Merchant fab line is a fab line that produces devices that end up available on the merchant market. • A Captive fab line does not sell any of its devices on the merchant market. All production is consumed by the owner of the fab line. ©1991 Dataquest Incorporated November—Reproduction Prohibited Table 1 European Existing Pilot and Production Fab lines (Including Fabs Going Into Production During 1992) Waf. Size Max. n/Start Capacity (4 wks.) Sq. In. Clean Start Room Capacity (square (4 wks.) feet) 1.50 4 5,000 60,850 5.00 3 16,000 113,120 Coimpany City Country Fab Name Products Produced ABB-HAFO AB JABFALIA sneoEH M/A DIS OPIO LAHPERTHEIM GERMANY N/A PHR DIS LIN GERMAN! QUI RSCH 3D ICs nm-HAVE OPTO :t^:. LIN AD/DA TELECOM CMOS BICMOS 1.00 t 15,000 182,550 t 20,000 547,600 6,000 73,020 1,000 12,170 AEQ AC (DAIMLER BENZ) • . 1 ^ ' ANALOG DEVICES Process Technology Min. Linewidth BIP CMOS SOS ANALOG DEVICES tj^fUl^. N/A. LIN AD/DA TELECOM BIP BICMOS 1.20 ANSALDO TRASPORTI ^aait BfHiprH PHR DIS BIP IM *r(j^ ASCOM FAVAG SniTZERLAND N/A ARRAYS CDSIOM BH! 6,00 10,00 Table 1 (Continued) European Existing Pilot and ergi^Ii^Htiili ; l ^ lines (Including Pabs Going Into Brpc^jj^eti^ 'Pil0ffS 1992) Company City Fab Name Products Produced K/k. CBIC CDSITOH N/A. EPROH EEPROH ARRAYS N/A A&RMS SCOTLAND N/A MPn FPU LOS GERMANY H/A .1^';. Coxintry KCIT MICROELECTRONICS Process Technology Min. Linewidth 1.25 Max. ff/Start Waf. Capacity Size (4 wks.) 6 Sq. In. Clean Start Room Capacity (square (4 Kks,) feet) 14,000 383,320 25,000 5,000 243,350 0 « •g a i I I fttHM. W* NETHERLANDS AUSTRIA HIKROSVSTEME eHBH DIGITAL EQOIPHENI SODTR QCEEHSrERSY NMOS C^fOS BICHOS 'ii-SS:- 4 25,a00 304,250 10,000 CMOS 0.70 « 3,000 82,140 28,000 LIN CUSTOM CtlOS 1.50 4 4,16S 50,700 0 N/A :i^- 1,000 19,020 0 •3 ELHOS GHBB i ES2 EUROPEAN SILICON STRUCTURES ROOSSET CEDEX CBIC ARRAYS CUSTOM MIL 0.80 Table 1 (Continued) European Existing Pilot and Production Fab lines (InclufUng Fabs Going Into Production During 1992) Company City Country Fab Name Products Produced Process Technology Max. Sq. In. Clean Min. W/Start Start Room Line~ Waf. Capacity Capacity {square width Size (4 wks.) (4 vks.) feet) SID 883 PHASE 1 4Hb DRAH ASIC SEC PLESSEX S/C v/x LIN MPO ARRAYS SRAH COST SEC PLESSEX S/C Wi^ »/* rcjiisn O NEWTON AXCLIFFE EHCLUtp i a GACtd 1.00 6 25,000 684,500 1.50 .4; 13,000 158,210 3.00 "-i. 15,000 182,550 CHOS NHOS H3 0.70 .-.ti- 6,000 164,2B0 19,9 29,0 MOS 12,00 f Q 6EC PLESSEX S/C ENGLAND N/A ASIC DSP TELECOM GEC PLESSEX S/C ENGIAND M/A DIODES DIS BIP LIN 5.00 B 12,000 228,240 GEC PLESSEX S/C ENSLABD H/A LIN 3.00 4 14,000 170,380 "0 3 I Table 1 (Continued) European Existing POm unit &sbdxKf$C^ Fa|f lines (Including Fabs Goltig into !IS^»0^ctf!Si0a: il>ai;a:^ 1992) CompAny City BMT Min. Linewidth Haf. Size Max, H/Start Capacity (4 wks.) Sq. In. Clean start Room Capacity (square (4 wks.) feet) 0.00 3 15,000 106,050 15,000 6,400 77,888 28,000 Products Produced Process Technology SWITZERUin) N/A CONSUMER ICs HOS SCOTLAND ARRAYS CMOS HOS CBIC EPROH CDSTOH 3.00 4 w*. PHR CIS HXBRID dtaO 4. 20,000 243,400 Country Fab Nana 1-1 SLEHKOTHES BOEBLINGEN I Wfik 2 q CORBEIL-ESSONNES FRANCE */* ARRAYS LIN BIP COSIOH 2.00 S 40,000 760,800 50,000 ISM CORBEIL-ESSONNES FRANCE 1^ 256K DRAM 64K SRAH CMOS HOS 1.00 S 25,000 475,500 25,000 S IBM CORBBIL-ESSONNES FRANCE l!/*' }Hb DRAM CMOS 0.00 7,000 340,690 .Kt^; DIS 20,000 243,400 I s IBU 0.00 4 Table I (Continued) European Existing Pilot and Production Fab lines (including Fabs Going Into Production During 1992) Company city Country Fab Name SINDEI.FIHGEN GEBHANX H/A Products Produced Process Technology Min. Llnewidth Waf. Size Max. W/Start Capacity (4 vks.) Sq. In. Clean Start Room Capacity (square (4 wks.) feet) 15,000 285,300 20,00 a 20,000 973,400 45,00 t> 25,000 475,500 20,00 15,000 285,300 20,00 30,000 1,460,100 45,00 @ I H/A SINDELFIHQEM IHb Dtma 4Mb DRAM I M/* SIHDELFINGEH H/A SIHDELFIHSEN H/A 4Mb ORAM H/A 16K ORAM, 64K DRAM a I I I 1.50 256K DSAH SRAM DSP HPn SINDELFINSEH a.50 CMOS T) I Vl*. i INST. SCIENCE & TECB. BULGARIA H/A 10,000 121,700 European Fab Database ^ ! -I .1 i. sg I IHl H S 4j .. • •um Tj y ^ : 2 llflil S 03 •J I •a § Z EM §1 ^ S ! SP bi M I K O H li H n n' I. CQ ^ gs I f I ©1991 Dataquest Incorporated November—Reproduction Prohibited Table 1 (Continued) European Existing Pilot and Production Fab lines (Including Fabs Going Into Production During 1992) Company Process Technology Min. Linewidth Max, Sq. In. Clean W/Start Start Room W a f . Capacity Capacity (square Size (4 w k s . ) (4 w k s . ) feet) City Country Fab Name Products Produced FBEIBDHG 6EBHANY N/A DIS C D S T O H B I P 5.00 4 SDTION C O L D F I E U ) ENGLAND H/A. pntt D I 3 GaAs 0.00 0 n^pet: itil^ 25«K SRAH MCD ASIC LIN CMOS BICMOS H2 0.70 5 rRAHCB %%: M/A H/A 0.00 0 H/A 0.00 3.00 16,500 200,805 ® S I LDCAS 0 54,00 10,000 190,200 21,50 4 10,000 121,700 .4 10,000 121,700 4 4,000 48,680 n t Q MATRA 1 I HATRA HHS/CYPRESS O 9 N/A HICORELECT. -HARIN SWITZERLAND N / A casWM' tacROELECT. -MARIN SWITZERLAND N / A ARRAYS LIN CMOS CDSTOH I s. HICRONAS, I N C . H/X LIN CBIC COSTOM H2 2.00 12,9 Table 1 (Continued) European Existing Pilot and Production Fab Lines (Including Fabs Going into Production During 1992) Company City Country HIEI2C ALCATEL ODDENAABDE BELGIDM MOTOROLA EAST KILBRIDE SCOTLAND EAST KILBRIDE SCOTLAND Max. Sq. In. Clean Min. n/Start Start Room Line- Haf. Capacity Capacity (square width Size (4 icks.) (4 wks.) feet) Products Produced Process Technology CUSTOM CBIC ANA MOS CMOS BICHOS 1.00 4 15,000 182,550 21,520 HOS-1 HCD MEM LOQ CMOS tiOS Ml 3.00 4 20,000 243,400 25,600 MOS-4 HCD MEM St^jitO '.^ 45,000 855,900 35,000 t 25,000 684,500 34,000 Fab Nam« 8! II LOG z I MOTOROLA i MOTOROLA, EAST KILBRIDE SCOTLAND HDS-» SRAM 1Mb CMOS TOSHIBA 1 . 0 0 DRAM 68040 MPD TODLODSE riAHCB BIP PHR PHR TRAN BIT 10.00 S 12,000 228,240 8,700 TODLOOSE ntwra'; BP^ TELECOM OP BIP AMP REG AOTO 2.00 A 25,000 304,250 22,000 N/A PIS 0.00 4 14,000 170,380 5,800 Table 1 fContlnued) European Existing Pilot and Production Fab Unes (Including Fabs Going Into Production Dming 1992) Sq. In. Clean Start Room Capacity faquare (4 wks.) feet) Waf. Size 5.00 4 40,000 486,800 10,00 15,000 285,300 15,00 Fab Name NATIONAL S/C SCOTLAND BIP 4 NATIONAL S/C SCOTLAND LOQIC LOS H/A 0.00 5 SCOTLAND UK 6"' LOG CDSTOM ABRAXS BIP 1.50 *: 7,000 191,660 10,00 LIVINGSTON, XEST LOTHIAN SCOTLAND PHASE 1 IHb DRAM 4Mb DRAM CMOS H2 H3 0.70 9 9,000 171,180 19,50 LIVINGSTON, BEST LOTHIAN SCOTLAND PHASE 2 4Hb DRAM 256K SRAM 0.00 G 9,000 246,420 19,50 City ProcasB Technology Max. H/Start Capacity (4 wks.) Country CoBf>any Products Producad Min. Linewidth @ O & S a I P NATIONAL S/C I I I a Mpn NEHHARKET HICROSYS. NOOVA MISTRAL S.P.A. •ttKHum- iVJit .:ic^ Dis iuc» 0.00 4 10,000 121,700 N/A ZENER DIODE DIODES V/A 3.00 3 15,000 106,050 10,7 Table 1 (Continued) European Existing 141^ aiiiil. i!!|!^i3ae^laia Tab Lines (including Fabs Going Ifil^ Rrq«4iw^gliut l^tiring 1992) Company City Fab Name Country nuuics H/A Min. Linewidth Products Produced Process Technology CONSUMER ICS BIPOLAR H2 M3 1.50 Max. W/Start Waf. Capacity Size (4 wks.) Sq. In. Clean Start Room Capacity (square (4 wks.) feet) 5 18,000 342,360 0 K* O fS PBIUPS HAHBOEUF GEKHUK CONSDHER CON B I P KZ 1.20 S^ 18,000 342,360 16,140 DISCRETE DIS BZS (Q 2.00 4. 22,000 267,740 0 tfA 8-BIT HCO CtfOS HOS HI 1 6 - B I T HCO H2 EEPROH ASIC 1.00 $ 12,500 237,750 32,280 10.00 a 45,000 547,650 19,368 •S ^t^iit^ I O 9 I PHILIPS HAZELGROVE, ENGLAND STOCKPORT CHESHIRE BIPOLAR TRAN DIODE BIP RECTIFIER tgmsB: HAZELGROVE, BNCLAND STOCKPORT CHESHIRE POHERHOS DIODE SMART PHR HOS IH 3.00 4 10,000 121,700 11,836 N/A N/A :i|# >iiti.; 3.00 4 26,000 316,420 23,456 NETHERLANDS Table 1 (Continued) European Existing Pilot and Production Fab l i n e s (Including Fabs Going Into Production During 1992) CotnpAny City @ Country Fab Name Products P roduced Process Te chnology Max, Sq. In. Clean Uin. W/Start Start Room Line- Haf. Capacity Capacity (square width Size (4 wks.) (4 wfcs.) feet) 8,400 229,992 20,000 380,400 39,3 0 12,9 NETHERLANDS H/A SBAH CON NEIHEBLANDS N/A pm MOS BICMOS BIP 1.50 PHS DIS DIODES Sfli 6.70 BECTiriER BIP H3 0.00 3 70,000 494,900 ».^ '^- 12,000 228,240 12,5 'Z.i^ 4 12,000 146,040 21,5 0.00 3 10,000 70,700 13,0 CMOS NMOS H2 0.80 O S iWEMEi; It: B' O o I ])/A I Q PHILIPS I1 STADSKANAAL NETHEBLANDS N/A g13 PHILIPS RIC 'ItiS)^' PHILIPS/FASELEC SWITZERLAND N/A I a ORANOLLERS H/A ii/h DIS LIN CMOS IH Table 1 (Continued) European Existing Pilot and f^roducUon Fab lines Oncludlf^ Pabs Going IntbJRcO^hiction During 1992) Company S" g RIFA AB City KUKUt Country Fab Hane Products Produced Process Technology Min. Linewidth Max. H/Start Waf. C a p a c i t y Size (4 v k s . ) Sq. I n . Clean Start Boom Capacity (square (4 v k s . ) feet) N/A 0.00 3 10,000 70,700 0 a/A Pm DIS 0.00 4 25,000 304,250 »2,000 SnEDEH H/A H/A Stlf'W^ 0.00 %. 10,000 121,700 0 20,000 243,400 0 EHSUUID n/A SHKDEH •g i a I ROBERT BOSCH REOIUNGEN GERMANY B^E^^UM; LIN DIS CDSTOM BIP BICHOS 3.00 4 SEAGATE WCROELECT. LIVINGSTON SCOTLAND N/A SiH SI* tS 3.00 <: 5,000 60,850 16,140 GLENROTHES SCOTLAND N/A LIN DIS OPTO BIP CMOS MOS 4.00 4 2,000 24,340 ft ilA. DIS IWW 0.00 * 10,000 121,700 0 !c o §' 9 I I Table 1 (Continued) European Existing Pilot and Production Fab lines (Including Fabs Going Into Production During 1992) Company g SeS-TBOHSON City Country Fab Name OKIlHMre tl/X 35041 BENHES '•xi/ii Products Produced Waf. Size Max. W/Start Capacity (4 wks.) 0.00 4 10,000 121,700 5.00 0 16,000 304,320 4.00 5 16,000 304,320 22,00 0.70 6 28,000 766,640 22,00 AM. 3.00 # 34,000 646,680 .^M^ SiW t 21,000 255,370 Process Technology •.•ttS; Min. Linewidth Sq. In. Clean Start Room Capacity (square (4 wks.) feet) I I LIN ABB&XS WOIC SGS-THOHSON a BIP BICHOS I SG3-THOMS0N AGRftTE (MILAN) ITALY HIA < 64K 256K 1Mb EPROH PLD LIN ARRAYS C I I K/ft SGS-IHOHSOH i WiSx S6S-IB0HS0N S6S-TH0HS0H COSTALEITO w^ N/A LOG LIN COSTOM Table 1 (Continued) EiiTopeaa Existing Pilot silft Production Fab Uncs (Including Fabs Going intl) Froductlon During 1992) Waf. Size Max. n/Start Capacity (4 wks.) 1.50 4 20,000 243,400 14,000 CMOS HOS 2.00 4 22,000 267,740 • NVMEH MPD CMOS HOS l.SO 5: 16,000 304,320 Q vm> 8^ H/A 5.00 3 70,000 494,900 0 esnitw . txn^ »/» 5.00 4 20,000 243,400 0 ImdCH BALANSTRAS ASIC BH? CUSTOM LIN 2.00 S 15,000 285,300 0 HfPlEi^ BALANSIRAS ASIC CUSTOM 1.50 .^ 15,000 285,300 0 Process Technology Min. Linewidth LIN PWR IC CUSTOM BIF CMOS MOODLE 4 MPD LIN MODULE 5 :l$|ili«e»;. TtwtieB-' Country Fab Hame Products Produced FBAHCE H/A 3GS-TH0MS0N S<3S-TR0MS0H Company City SGS-IBOHSOH Sq. In. Clean Start Room Capacity (square (4 wks.) feet) C S •g I I SGS-TROHSON I SGS-TBOHSOH iposiR' I i CMOS HOS Table 1 (Continued) European Existing Pilot and Production Fab Unes (lacludlng Fabs Going Into Production During 1992) Company City Country Fab Hana Products Produced RESEHSBORG GEBHAHX MESA 1 1Mb DRAH 4Hb DRAM RE6ENSBDRQ QERUntn MESA 2 4Mb DRAM I O SIIMENS Process Technology Max. Min. H/Staxt Line- Haf. Capacity width Size (4 wks.) Sq. In. Clean Start Room Capacity (square (4 wks.) feet) 0.80 6 20,800 569,504 CMOS 0.80 e 16,000 438,080 WK 0.00 :« 10,000 121,700 I I itfik REGENSBDRG a I AUSTRIA FAB 1 64K DRAM LOG Z,PO i«' 40,000 486,800 AOSTRIA FAB 2 25 eK DRAM HOS 1.20 S 40,000 760,800 SHITZERLADD N/A VOX HfK' 0.00 <; 10,000 121,700 LOG HPO CMOS HCO ARRAYS 3.00 4 24,000 292,080 c I I TELEFDMKEN 6ERHIUTY H/A 0 3,000 Table 1 (Continued) European Existing Pilot aiut Production Fab lines (Including Fabs Going Into ^wductlon During 1992) Coonpany City Country Fab Nana Products Produced Process Technology Mln. Linewidth Waf. Size 1.00 4 1.00 $:- Max. W/Start Capacity (4 wks.) Sq. In. Clean Start Room Capacity (square (4 wks.) feet) CUST TELEFDNBEN ELECT. eEBHurr H/A h-* CUSTOM LIN DIS MCa BIP HOS CA405 20,000 243,400 s •S it/it TELEFDNKEN ELECT. OPIO HIGH BIP FREQUENCY 5,000 35,350 3,000 9,420 I 2! TELEFDNKEN ELECT. BEILBSONN H ^ N/A 1.00 K/A 0.00 4 10,000 121,700 25,000 PHASE 1 4Hb DRAH CMOS AS3P CBIC 0.80 C: 23,740 650,001 4«,000 PDR FAB FHR DIS WS 0.00 J4 14,379 174,992 9,000 N/A LIN ASSP BIP CMOS BICHOS 0.80 -A- 9,463 179,986 10,000 rttMicK K/A T^MMf EHQLAND a s g: w I jra BEDFORD FREISINQ Table 1 (Continued) European Existing Pilot and Production Fab Lines Clncludlng Fabs Golt^ Into Productloa During 1992) Company City Country Fab Name Products Produced Process Technology Max. Min. n/Start Line- Haf. Capacity vidth Size (4 wks.) Sq. In. Clean Start Room Capacity (square (4 nks.) feet) -*?*-> @ GERMANX N/& FINLAND Kill. I CBIC LIN ASSP CMOS BICMOS O.SO 3 10,515 199,995 5.00 3 aOO 1,414 0,00 t 0.00 0 i fb O VAISALA I I STARNSDORF »fX PHR DIS it/K VEB HALBLEITERHERK FRANKFORT <ODER) QERHANY N/A LIN VEB KOMBIH&T MIRROELEKTRONIK EHFCRT GERMAHX M/A N/A CMOS MOS 0.00 0 NEDHAUS AH RENNHEG GERMANY W^ VSt^i Wf^' 0.00 0 BERLIN-OBERSCBOEME GERMANY nSIDE H/A SENSOR CCD N/A 0.00 0 I a VEB mSRK FDER FEBNSEBELEKTRONIK 17,00 Table 1 (Continued) European Existing Riot aod lEP^Siducidaa Vab lines (Including Fabs Goli^ into K^bd^Kiikm JDuring 1992) Company City Country Fab Name Products Produced « NESTCODE S/C CBIPPENRAH EHeUMD N/A DIS « ZETEX OLDHAM Ii S o. E I NA - Not Available Source: E>auquest (November 1991) n/A- Procesa Technology Hln. Linewidth Waf. Size Max. W/Start Capacity (4 wks.) Sq. In. Clean Start Ro<»n Capacity (square (4 wks.) feet) N/A 0.00 4 10,000 121,700 0 BIP MOS 1.50 5 10,000 190,200 26,000 Table 2 European Future PUot and Production Fab lines (Planned FacUlttes Going Info Production fay Year) Country Fab Name Production Begins; 1992 HITACHI LANDSHDT GERMANY N/A 4Hb DRAM 256K IHb SRAM MITSUBISHI AIiSDORF GERMANY N/A 4Mb DRAM HPU 1Mb DRAM tl AVEZZANO ITHiX PHASE 2 16Hb DRAM Company @ S City Products Proceas Technology N/A &i», (SHEJi^: Fab Type Target Date Prod. Begins r 01/01/92 0.80 e is,coo 779,720 FAT 03/01/92 0.80 E 22,000 602,360 25 F 02/01/92 0.60 8 20,000 973,400 30 0.80 6 45,000 1,232,100 I ^ ^ / Production Begins: 1993 FOJITSU NEWTON AYCLIFFE ENGLAND PHASE 2 4Mb DRAM ASIC CMOS / Hafer Hln. Start Line- Waf. Capacity width Size (4 wks.) Sq. In. Clea Start Roo Capacity (Square (4 wks.) Feet) IMTEL LEIXLIP, KILDARE IRELAND FAB 10 386 486 586 MPD LOG CMOS r 06/01/93 0.80 e 18,000 876,060 30 MIETEC ALCATEL OODENAARDE BELGIUM FAB 2 ASIC CMOS M2 P0LY2 FAT 07/01/93 0.50 6 5,000 136,900 12 ENGLAND PHASE 3 16Hb DRAM 0.60 8 30,000 1,460,100 I g g i Production B e g i n s : 1994 FUJITSU NEnTON AYCLIFFE DaUquest (October 1991) CKOS / / Dataquest Dataquest Research and Sales Offices: Dataquest Incorporated 1290 Ridder Park Drive San Jose, California 95131-2398 Phone: 01 (408) 437-8000 Telex; 171973 Fax: 01 (408) 437-0292 Technology Products Group Phone: (800) 624-3280 Dataquest Incorporated Ledgeway/Dataquest The Corporate Center 550 Cochituate Road Framingham, MA 01701 Phone: 01 (508) 370-5555 Fax: 01 (508) 370-6262 Dataquest Incorporated Invitational Computer Conferences Division 3151 Airway Avenue, C-2 Costa Mesa, California 92626 Phone: 01 (714) 957-0171 Fax: 01 (714) 957-0903 F Dataquest Australia Suite 1, Century Plaza 80 Berry Street North Sydney, NSW 2060 Australia Phone: 6I (2) 959-4544 Fax: 61 (2) 929-0635 Dataquest Germany In der Schnelthohl 17 6242 Kronberg 2 Germany Phone: 49 6173/61685 Fax: 49 6173/67901 Dataquest Hong Kong Rm, 401. Connaught Comm, Bldg. 185 Wanchai Rd. Wanchai, Hong Kong Phone; (852) 8387336 Fax: (852) 5722375 Dataquest Japan Limited Shinkaw^a Sanko Building 1-3-17 Shinkawa, Chuo-ku Tokyo, 104 Japan Phone: 81 (3) 5566-0411 Fax: 81 (3) 5566-0425 Dataquest Korea Daeheung Bldg, 1105 648-23 Yeoksam-dong Kangnam-gu Seoul, Korea 135 Phone: 82 (2) 556-4166 Fax: 82 (2) 552-2661 Dataquest Europe Limited Roussel House, Broadwater Park Denham, Uxbridge, Middx UB9 5HP England Phone: 44 (895) 835050 Fax; 44 (895) 835260/1 Dataquest Singapore 4012 Ang Mo Kio Industrial Park 1 Ave. 10, #03-10 to #03-12 Singapore 2056 Phone: 65 4597181 Telex; 38257 Fax: 65 4563129 Dataquest Europe SA Tour Gallieni 2 36, avenue du General-de-Gaulle 93175 Bagnolet Cedex France Phone: 33 (1) 48 97 31 00 Telex; 233 263 Fax; 33 (1) 48 97 34 00 Dataquest Taiwan Room 801/8th Floor Ever Spring Building 147, Sec. 2, Chien Kuo N. Rd. Taipei, Taiwan R.O.C. 104 Phone: 886 (2) 501-7960 886 (2) 501-5592 Fax: 886 (2) 505-4265 i Dataquest GmbH Kronstadter Strasse 9 8000 Munich 80 Germany Phone: 49 (89) 93 09 09 0 Fax: 49 (89) 930 3277 ( 00116.11 European Semiconductor Industry Service \blume II—European Data DataQuest n n acompanvof MMmB The Oun&'^Bradstrcet Corporation 1290 Ridder Park Drive San Jose, California 95131-2398 (408) 437-8000 Tdex: 171973 Fax: (408) 437-0292 Sales/Service Offices: UNITED KINGDOM Dataquest Europe Limited Roussel House, Broadwater Park Denham, Uxbridge, Middx UB9 5HP England 0895-835050 Telex: 266195 Fax: 0895 835260-1-2 FRANCE Dataquest Europe SA Tour Gallieni 2 36, avenue Gallieni 93175 Bagnolet Cedex France (1)48 97 31 00 Telex: 233 263 Fax: (1)48 97 34 00 EASTERN U.S. Dataquest Boston 1740 Massachusetts Ave. Boxborough, MA 01719-2209 (508) 264-4373 Tfelex: 171973 Fax: (508) 635-0183 GERMANY Dataquest Europe GmbH Rosenkavalierplatz 17 D-8000 Munich 81 West Germany (089)91 10 64 Telex: 5218070 Fax: (089)91 21 89 JAPAN Dataquest Japan, Ltd. Taiyo Ginza Building/2nd Floor 7-14-16 Ginza, Chuo-ku Tokyo 104 Japan (03)546-3191 Telex: 32768 Fax: (03)546-3198 KOREA Dataquest Korea Daeheung Bldg. 505 648-23 Yeoksam-dong Kangnam-gu, Seoul 135 Korea 011-82-2-552-2332 Fax: 011-82-2-552-2661 The content of this report represents our interpretation and analysis of information generally available to the public or released by responsible individuals in the subject companies, but is not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. It does not contain material provided to us in confidence by our clients. This information is not furnished in connection with a sale or offer to sell securities, or in connection with the solicitation of an offer to buy securities. This firm and its parent and/or their officers, stockholders, or members of their families may, from time to time, have a long or short position in the securities mentioned and may sell or buy such securities. Printed in the United States of America. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in retrieval systeins, or transmitted, in any form or by any means—mechanical, electronic, photocopying, duplicating, microfilming, videotape, or otherwise—without the prior written permission of the publisher. © 1990 Dataquest Incorporated Introduction to the Service EUROPEAN SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRY SERVICE Dataquest's European Semiconductor Industry Service (ESIS) is a comprehensive information service covering the European semiconductor industry. It is a product-oriented, executive-level perspective intended to assist with strategic decisions of key executives and product managers of semiconductor manufacturing companies, suppliers to the semiconductor industry, semiconductor users, and other businesses or institutions interested in the semiconductor industry. The service consists of the following: • Data-base reference notebooks containing sections that are continually revised and updated as developments occur or additional information becomes available Research newsletters and bulletins on current industry issues and events An inquiry service providing access to Dataquest's European Components Group Client Inquiry Center and access to the European Components Group Research Staff The IC Europe monthly report, providing timely information on European high-technology industries and 1992 An annual conference in Europe, with industry experts discussing developments of current interest and importance Access to Dataquest's semiconductor on-line information service and The DQ Monday Report, providing pricing and lead-time updates Access to Dataquest's European semiconductor library resources SERVICE STRUCTURE The service analyzes and reports on the products, markets, and major companies in the semiconductor industry in Europe as a whole and in individual countries. The service does the following: • Provides semiconductor consumption forecasts in the following ways: By product technology By product function By application market—includes data processing, communications, industrial, military, consumer, and transportation ESIS Volume II 0003068 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated February Introduction to the Service Analyzes European semiconductor markets for the following regions: Benelux—includes Belgium, Luxembourg, and the Netherlands France Italy - Scandinavia—includes Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden United Kingdom and Ireland West Germany Rest of Europe—includes Austria, Portugal, Spain, and Switzerland Identifies services and suppliers to the European semiconductor industry Analyzes the forces affecting the European semiconductor market, such as: Supply and demand Technological developments - Economic issues Government policies Distribution SERVICE ORGANIZATION Volume I Volume I contains separate sections for each of the European geographical regions covered by the service, and each regional section covers the following topics: • Overview—discussion of the economic environment • Semiconductor Device Markets—analysis of the local markets by technology and function © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated February ESIS Volume n 0003068 Introduction to the Service • Application Markets—analysis of local application markets for semiconductors in data processing, communications, industrial, consumer, military, and transportation sectors • Plant Locations—manufacturing locations by company within the region • Design Center Locations—semiconductor design center locations by company for the region Volume n Volume II, which discusses Europe as a whole, is divided into the following topics: European Overview—covers analysis of trends in capital and research and development expenditures, venture capital, and government and private investment; discusses the European economic environment and channels of distribution Semiconductor Device Markets—analyzes the European market for integrated circuits, discrete devices, and optoelectronics, by technology and function Semiconductor Application Markets—analyzes the European application markets for semiconductors in data processing, communications, industrial, consumer, military, and transportation sectors Major Users—analyzes the major semiconductor users in Europe Services and Suppliers to the Semiconductor Industry—identifies the key services and suppliers to the European semiconductor industry: assembly services, capital equipment suppliers, design services, materials suppliers, testing services, and wafer fabrication services Memory—analyzes the European memory semiconductor markets Microcomponents—analyzes the European microcontroller, microprocessor, and microperipheral markets Volume in Volume III, which contains the company-related data, is divided into the following topics: • European Plant Locations—lists semiconductor manufacturers ESIS Volume II 0003068 the plant locations © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated February for all major Introduction to the Service • European Design Center Locations—lists the design center locations for worldwide semiconductor companies in Europe • European Semiconductor Production—analyzes wafer fabrication in Eurojje • Company Profiles—profiles selected companies active in Europe Also included in Volume III are Dataquest's Market Share Estimates, which consist of the following: • Worldwide market shares of European companies • European market shares of: European companies U.S. companies Japanese companies Rest of World companies Other Components The ASIC binder contains quantitative and qualitative analyses of the European gate array, cell-based IC, programmable logic, and full-custom businesses. IC Europe is a monthly report on European high-technology industry. It covers a monthly update to the status of the industry, industry highlights, research update, semiconductor pricing and analysis, a thought for the month, and a monthly update on events leading up to 1992. The Newsletters 1988-89 binder contains industry newsletters and bulletins devoted to current topics of specific European interest. In addition. Volumes I, II, and III contain yearly exchange rate tables. The quarterly exchange rate newsletter may be found in the newsletter volume. SERVICE FEATURES AND PROCEDURES Service Sections The document preparation date is shown at the bottom of each page. Sections are updated on a regular basis, and filing instructions are sent with the new updates. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated February ESIS Volume II 0003068 Introduction to the Service Newsletters Newsletters are published regularly throughout the year and should be filed in the latest newsletter volume. The newsletters provide executive summaries of key industry events and serve to underscore significant changes in the reference material presented in the data-base notebooks. In addition, newsletters of an analytical nature are published periodically on a variety of topics not regularly covered in the service. Inquiry Privilege There are two forms of inquiry available to the client: access to Dataquest's European Semiconductor Inquiry Center and access to the ESIS semiconductor staff. The registered binder holder has the privilege of direct access to the Inquiry Center, where the staff provides assistance in finding and interpreting material in the data notebooks or other Dataquest-published material. In addition, binderholders have access to the European Semiconductor Industry Service research staff; this privilege allows the client to seek additional commentary on or clarification of the published material, although it is not intended to provide individualized custom research. Using this feature of the service, clients may interact with industry experts on a one-to-one basis to disciiss attitudes and opinions about topics covered in the service. Annual Conference Each year Dataquest's European Semiconductor Industry Service hosts a two-day conference. In this forum, leading experts and decision makers throughout the industry share their views on the future and on critical external issues affecting the growth of the European semiconductor business. The conference allows executive-to-executive communication about important topics through formal presentations, workshops, and informal discussion periods. Dataquest's Library Services Dataquest's library services offer comprehensive secondary research materials covering the full spectrum of high-technology companies, markets, and industries tracked by Dataquest. Semiconductor On-Line Information All our clients receive ESIS On-line and the DO Mondav Report as part of the service. The ESIS On-line service holds the ESIS data base, enabling clients receive immediate updates to the data base. The DQ Monday Report gives updates of prices and lead times for 25 selected semiconductor devices. Prices are reported for the United States, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Korea for IK, lOK, and contract quantities. ESIS Volume II 0003068 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated February Introduction to the Service PRODUCT TECHNOLOGY DEFINITIONS Dataquest divides the total semiconductor market into integrated circuits, discrete devices, and optoelectronic devices. These categories are further segmented as shown on the following pages. Integrated Circuits (ICs) ICs include bipolar devices, MOS devices, and analog devices, broken down as follows: • Bipolar—bipolar memory, bipolar logic Bipolar Memory—ECL RAM, ROM, PROM, flip-flops, latches, register files, shift registers Bipolar Logic—^bipolar ASIC, bipolar standard logic, bipolar other logic Bipolar ASIC—includes gate arrays, PLDs (programmable logic devices), CBICs (cell-based ICs) and full-custom Bipolar standard logic—includes TTL, ECL, and other family logic, as well as TTL-compatible SSI, MSI, LSI; CML, ECL, I2L, ISL, STL with TTL levels; standard, AS, FAST, LS, ALS lines; ECL-compatible SSI, MSI, LSI; RTL and DTL Bipolar other logic—includes ASSPs (application-specific standard products), bipolar bit-slice (e.g., 2900, 29300 families), ALU, control unit, multiplier, floating point, digital filters; also includes bipolar support chips and chip sets for MPUs • MOS—MOS memory, MOS microcomponents, MOS logic MOS Memory—DRAM, SRAM, ROM/other DRAM—Dynamic RAM SRAM—Static RAM ROM/other—includes ROM, PROM, EPROM, EEPROM, flip-flops, latches, register files, shift registers MOS Microcomponents—MOS MOS microperipheral, DSP microprocessor, © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated February MOS microcontroller, ESIS Volume II 0003068 Introduction to the Service Microprocessor (MPU)—includes all microprocessors such as Intel X86 family. Motorola 68XXX family, RISC Microcontroller (MCU)—includes single-chip controllers such as Intel 8051 and Motorola 68HC05 Microperipheral (MPR)—includes MPU support chips used in system support (e.g., timer, interrupt control, DMA, MMU), peripheral controllers (e.g., disk, graphics display, CRT, keyboard), communications controllers (e.g., UART); also includes MOS chip sets for MPU support, LAN coprocessors, accelerator coprocessors (e.g., floating-point unit, graphics coprocessor, image processor) Digital signal processor (DSP)—includes single-chip DSPs, MOS bit-slice, ALC, mulipliers, accumulators, and digital filters MOS Logic—MOS ASIC, MOS standard logic, MOS other logic MOS ASIC—includes gate arrays, PLDs (programmable logic devices), CBICs (cell-based ICs), and full-custom MOS standard logic—includes MOS family logic such as HC, HCT, and FACT lines MOS other logic—includes application-specific standard products (ASSPs) (e.g., motor control ICs); also MOS ALC, MAC, digital filters, and other building blocks Analog (linear)—monolithic, general-purpose, specialty-purpose, analog ASIC, hybrid Monolithic—includes bipxilar and MOS monolithic linear ICs with more than SO percent analog circuits by area on the die General-purpose—includes input/ouput and power applications Specialty-purpose—includes applications telecommunications and consumer Analog ASIC—includes linear arrays, linear CBIC, and linear full-custom Hybrid—includes hybrid packages sold by semiconductor vendors, used mostly in linear applications ESIS Volume II 0003068 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated February Introduction to the Service Discrete Devices Discrete devices include transistor, diode, thyristor, and other discrete devices, as follows: • Transistor—includes small signal and power transistors, and field effect transistors (FET) • Diode—includes small signal and power diodes, Zener diodes, and rectifiers • Thyristors—includes all unidirectional and bidirectional thyristors • Other discrete—includes tunnel and varactor diodes, microwave diodes, and other polycrystalline devices Optoelectronic Devices Optoelectronic devices include light-emitting diodes (LEDs), infrared lamps, LED displays, laser devices, optoelectronic couplers, and sensors (photo diodes, selenium rectifiers, solar cells). They exclude LCD displays and incandescent and fluorescent lamps and displays. APPLICATION MARKET DEFINITIONS Dataquest segments and defines the semiconductor application markets as follows: • Data Processing—This includes all equipment whose main function is flexible information processing. Included in this segment are all personal computers, regardless of price, distribution, or use in the office, education, or home environment. • Communications—Within the communications market, Dataquest classifies telecommunications as a subsegment that consists of customer premises and public telecommunications equipment. The other communications categories include radio, studio, and broadcast equipment. • Industrial—The industrial segment includes all manufacturing-related equipment, including scientific, medical, and dedicated systems. • Consumer—This is equipment that is designed primarily for home or personal use, the primary function of which is not flexible information processing. Audio and video equipment and appliances are typical examples of equipment that is classified in the consumer application market. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated February ESIS Volume 11 0003068 Introduction to the Service • Military—Military electronic equipment is primarily defense-oriented electronic equipment and is classified by major budget area. It does not include all electronic equipment procured by the government because such a breakout would double-count equipment that logically belongs in other market segments. • Transportation—This segment consists mainly of automotive and light truck electronics. This designation leaves room to analyze other markets, such as off-highway equipment, that are potentially large veers of semiconductors. Further definitions of these segments are included in the European Semiconductor Applications Market (ESAM) binder. ABOUT DATAQUEST Dataquest's research covers an entire generation of high-technology industries, with a primary focus on the following six broad areas: Semiconductors Information systems Peripherals Office equipment Industrial automation Telecommunications Within these primary areas, Dataquest tracks and serves more than 25 separate industries. Dataquest provides a comprehensive line of products and services designed to meet the varying research and analysis needs of corporate decision makers. The products include the following: • Industry services similar in nature to the European Semiconductor Industry Service • Executive and Financial Programs—A series of business opportunity and technology advisory programs specifically designed for senior executives involved in high technology • Focus Reports—Highly detailed landmark publications on specific issues of topical interest ESIS Volume II 0003068 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated February Introduction to the Service Newsletters—General overviews and analyses of specific industries or markets Product Specification Guides Who's Who Industry Guides Consultancy DATAQUEST LOCATIONS The European Components Group (ECG) has its headquarters in our London office, and clients in Europe should address their inquiries to that office. ECG also maintains staff in our San Jose office, and inquiries from subscribers in the United States can be addressed there. Dataquest Incorporated 1290 Ridder Park Drive San Jose, California 95131-2398 USA Telephone: (408) 437-8000 Telex: 171973 Fax: (408)437-0292 Dataquest UK Ltd. 103 New Oxford Street 13th Floor, Centrepoint London WCl AIDD United Kingdom Telephone: (01)379 6257 Telex: 266195 Fax: (01)240 3653 Dataquest GmbH Rosenkavalierplatz D-8000 Munich 81 West Germany Telephone: (089) 91 1064 Telex: 5218070 Fax: (089) 91 2189 10 Dataquest Japan, Ltd. Taiyo Ginza Building/2nd Fir 7-14-16 Ginza, Chou-ku Tokyo 104 Japan Telephone: (03)546 3191 Telex: J32768 Fax: (03)546 3198 Dataquest SARL Dataquest Intelligent Electronics Tour Gallieni 36, Avenue Gallieni 93175 Bagnolet Cedex France Telephone: (1) 48 97 31 00 Telex: 233263 Fax: (1)48 97 34 00 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated February ESIS Volume H 0003068 What Is On-Line? On-line is an electronic database containing information from all of Dataquest's worldwide and regional services. Depending on which service a client subscribes to, access may be gained to one or more of the service information bases. Along with the individual service databases there are certain information areas available to all clients, irrespective of which service they subscribe to. Figure 1 illustrates the main menu. Options 1 to 10 are service specific, for example, cUents to ESIS are able to access option 3; options 11 to 19 are available to all clients. Figure 1 Dataquest's Semiconductor On-Line Service Main Menu nSH CLIENTS - Type; GO MfiS for iieusletter nemi WAILABLE TO ALL CLIENTS - COnPAHV BACKGfiOUNDERS UPDATi:!) IZ/^O TYPE: GO COFl MAILABLE TO SISPMT CLIENTS - US SCfllCOMDUCTOR BOOK-TO-BILL REPORT AHn ANALYSIS IflHAURY 1^91 NEUSLETTER TYPE: GO SIS2B8 ' r e s s <i^> foaf MDre • llATAQUEST i A3ETS 2 ESAN 3 ESIS 4 JSAM 5 JSIS 6 SAM 7 SENS 8 SIS 9 SUIS 10 NILAERO * INFORMATION AUAILABLE TO ALL CLIENTS 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 « Inquiry Sfiruirre * LJorlduide Market Share - Update 5/90 * Uorlduide Forecast-History-Shipnents-Updctte ** General N e u s l e t t e r s « Company InforFiatiqn * DQ flonday Report *f Keyword Search « Stock Market « Neu Updates Enter choice or <CR> for nore f Note: Options 11 to 19 are available to all clients Source: Dataquest (Maich 1991) Online also provides: • Information on company balance sheets (Option 15) • Dataquest's latest worldwide market share estimates (Option 12) • Dataquest's latest worldwide semiconductor forecast (Option 13) • A selection of important newsletters (Option 14) • The latest Wall Street stock market prices (Option 18) ESIS 0008308 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited March Reference material—^will not be republished 10/90 What Is On-Line? Option 11 provides cUents with their own electronic mail box. Using this chents are able to send inquiries to Dataquest's Client Inquiry Centers (CIC) in San Jose in the United States and to Denham in England. The DQ Monday report (option 16) provides pricing information on 26 key semiconductor components from 6 world regions on a twice-monthly basis. An analysis of the recent price changes is also published. In addition, a Dataquest analysis of recent news items is published on a weekly basis. These news items are drawn from Dataquest's worldwide research offices in Japan, Taiwan, Korea, Hong Kong Europe and the United States. Option 17 provides a keyword search facility. If a cUent wishes to find out what is on line about certain subjects—for example ASICs or Phihps—^keyword search provides a reference listing of all the information available. Quick references then enable the inquirer to locate the reference directly. HOW TO ACCESS THE ON-LINE SERVICE To access the Dataquest semiconductor on-line service you will require a personal computer, a modem, and a communications software package. Dataquest's on-line database is located in the United States and is supported by CompuServe; it can be accessed directly from major cities around the world. Accessing via a local node rather than phoning directly to the United States will save you telephone charges. Access can also be obtained through your local PTT, for example the Packet SwitchStream (PSS) offered by British Telecom in the United Kingdom. As the method of access will vary from country to country, you will need to contact either James Heal at Dataquest, Denham, England or Denise Zertuche, Dataquest in San Jose, USA. They will provide you with your local node number (or see Appendix A) and can advise on any login procedures. In addition, Dataquest will issue you with a personal identifier number and password to access the on-line database. This will also provide you with your own electronic mailbox. In your own interest, we urge you to keep your password secret. Once your password and identifier number have been issued you will need to take certain steps to access the database. Set your software to 7 databits, 1 startbit, 1 stopbit, even parity, no echo, TTY (ASCII) emulation for best effect. The procedure for logging into the semiconductor on-line service using the above setup is as follows: 1. Dial the appropriate telephone number via modem (see Appendix A) 2. Enter several carriage returns <CR> until a pound sign or # prompt appears in the top left-hand comer of your screen. 3. Type in the letter C and then <CR>. The system will respond with PORT (number) CENTER: 4. Type in CPS and then <CR>. llie system will respond by overstriking this several times, and there may be a short delay until it responds with HOST NAME: 5. Type in CPS and then <CR>. The system will respond witfi ID NUMBER: ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited March Reference material—^wiU not be republished ESIS 0008308 What Is On-Line? 6. Type in your ID number, for example, 44023,500, and then <CR>. The system will respond with PASSWORD: 7. Type in your password and then <CR>. The system will respond with the Dataquest Welcome Menu, which will offer you various database options. For further assistance in moving around the database type HELP or H, and a Ust of commands to aid your movement around the database will appear. You are now logged in. European support of Dataquest's semiconductor on-line service is provided by: • James Heal, Research Analyst, Dataquest Europe Limited Tel: +44 895 835 050 In the United States by: • ESIS 0008308 Denise Zertuche, On-Line Administrator, Dataquest Incorporated, San Jose Tel: (408) 437 8000 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited March Reference material—^will not be republished What Is On-Line? APPENDIX A NODE TELEPHONE NUMBERS USED FOR THE ON-LINE SYSTEM (as at February 1991) Austria Access numbers and baud rates supported by Infonet Services Corp. are in the following city within Austria: City Baud Rate Number Vienna Async access 0-2400 (V.22 bis) 222-7127211 Belgium Access numbers and baud rates supported by Infonet Services Corp. are in the following city within Belgium: City Baud Rate Number Brussels Async access 300 (V.21) Async access 1200/2400 (V.22 bis) Async access 1200/75 (V.23) 02-648-0710 02-647-9847 02-646-3301 Denmark Access numbers and baud rates supported by Computer Sciences Corp. are in the following city within Denmark: City Baud Rate Number Copenhagen Async access 300/1200/2400 (V.21/V.22/V.22 bis) 38-331499 Finland Access numbers and baud rates supported by Infonet Services Corp. are in the following city within Finland: City Baud Rate Number Helsinki Async access 0-2400 (V.22 bis/MNP) 92919 (Note: Domestic (National) network users must dial 92919. Users from outside Finland must dial +358.2919, no area code needed.) 4 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited March ESIS 0008308 What Is On-Line? France Access numbers and baud rates supported by Infonet Services Corp. are in the following city within France: City Baud Rate Number Paris Async access 300-2400 (V.21, V.22, V.22 bis MNP) 1-43 44 12 12 Germany Access numbers and baud rates supported by Infonet Services Corp. are in the following city within Germany: City Baud Rate Frankfurt Async Async Async Async access access access access Number 300 (V.21) 1200/2400 (V.22) 1200/2400 (V.22 MNP) 1200/75 (V.23) 069-6666062 069-6666881 069-6666886 069-6664007 Italy Access numbers and baud rates supported by Infonet Services Corp. are in the following city within Italy: City Baud Rate Number Milan Async access 300/2400 (V.22 bis) Async access 300/2400 (V.22 bis) Async access 300/2400 (V.22 bis) Async access 300/2400 (V.22 bis) Async access 300/2400 (V.22 bis) Async access 300/2400 (V.22 bis) Async access 300/2400 (V.22 bis) Async access 300/2400 (V.22 bis) Async access 300/2400 (V.22 bis) Async access 300/2400 (V.22 bis) Async access 300/2400 (V.22 bis) Async access 300/2400 (V.22 bis) Async access 300/2400 (V.22 bis) 2-545-6351 2-546-8840 2-545-5716 2-546-9145 2-546-8225 2-545-9857 2-546-8649 2-546-2657 2-598-991 2-540-0428 2-540-0425 2-545-0620 2-546-8994 ESIS 0008308 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited March What Is On-Line? Netherlands Access numbers and baud rates supported by Infonet Services Corp. are in the following city within the Netherlands: City Baud Rate Number Amstelveen Async access 300 (V.21) Async access 1200/2400 (V.22 bis) Async access 1200/75 (V.23) 020-417855 020-476171 020-456955 Norway Access numbers and baud rates supported by Infonet Services Corp. are in the following city within Norway: City Baud Rate Number Oslo Async access 300 (V.21) Async access 1200/2400 (V.22 bis) 47-2421217 47-2423590 Portugal Access numbers and baud rates supported by Infonet Services Corp. are in the following city within Portugal: City Baud Rate Number Lisbon Async access 300/2400 (V.21, V.22) 1-609192 Spain Access numbers and baud rates supported by Infonet Services Corp. are in the following city within Spain: City Baud Rate Number Madrid Async access 300/2400 (V.21, V.22 bis) 1-3581951. ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited March ESIS 0008308 What Is On-Line? Sweden Access numbers and baud rates supported by Infonet Services Corp. are in the following city within Sweden: City Baud Rate Number Stockholm Async access 300 (V.21) Async access 1200 (V.22) Async access 1200/2400 (V.22 bis) 08-834095 08-834090 08-7646595 Switzerland Access numbers and baud rates supported by Infonet Services Corp. are in the following city within Switzerland: City Baud Rate Number Bern Async access 300 (V.21) Async access 1200/2400 (V.22 bis) Async access 1200/2400 (V.22 bis) 031-260-931 031-260-787 031-260-691 Geneva Async access 300 (V.21) Async access 1200/2400 (V.22 bis) 22-7985756 22-7986364 United Kingdom Access numbers and baud rates supported by Infonet Services Corp. are in the following city within the United Kingdom: City Baud Rate Number London Async 0-2400 bit/s (level 5 MNP) (V.21, V.22, V.23, V.22 bis) 71-439-7537 ESIS 0008308 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited March Table of Contents Volume I Title Page INTRODUCTION' Introduction to the Service TABLE OF CONTENTS Table of Contents Newsletter Index 1. BENELUX 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.6 Benelux Benelux Benelux Benelux Overview Semiconductor Device Markets Plant Locations Design Center Locations 2. FRANCE 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.6 France French French French Overview Semiconductor Device Markets Plant Locations Design Center Locations 3. ITALY 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.6 Italy Overview Italian Semiconductor Device Markets Italian Plant Locations Italian Design Center Locations 4. SCANDINAVIA 4.1 4.2 4.5 4.6 Scandinavia Overview Scandinavian Semiconductor Device Markets Scandinavian Plant Locations Scandinavian Design Center Locations 'Titles in c ^ t a l letters signify tabs. ESIS Volume II 0006447 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated February Table of Contents Volume I (Continued) 5. UNITED KINGDOM AND IRELAND' 5.1 5.2 5.5 5.6 U.K. U.K. U.K. U.K. and and and and Ireland Overview Irish Semiconductor Device Markets Irish Plant Locations Irish Design Center Locations 6. WEST GERMANY 6.1 6.2 6.5 6.6 West West West West Germany Overview German Semiconductor Device Markets German Plant Locations German Design Center Locations 7. REST OF EUROPE 7.1 7.2 7.5 7.6 Rest Rest Rest Rest of of of of Europe Europe Europe Europe Overview Semiconductor Device Markets Plant Locations Design Center Locations EXCHANGE RATE TABLES Exchange Rate Tables Volume II Title Page INTRODUCTION Introduction to the Service TABLE OF CONTENTS Table of Contents Newsletter Index ^Titles in capital letters signiiy tabs. ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated Febmaiy ESIS Volume n 0006447 Table of Contents Volume II (Continued) 1. EUROPEAN OVERVIEW 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 Capital Investment R&D Investment Venture Capital Government and Private Investment The European Economic Enviromnent Channel of Distribution 2. SEMICONDUCTOR DEVICE MARKETS European Semiconductor Consumption Estimates 1984-1994 by Product and Technology* - Benelux - France - Italy - Scandinavia - U.K. and Ireland - West Germany - Rest of Europe 3. SEMICONDUCTOR END-USER MARKETS 3.0 Semiconductor End-User Markets 4. MAJOR USERS 4 Major Users 4.1 Electronic Equipment Company Revenue 4.2 User Company Profiles 5. SERVICES AND SUPPLIERS 5.0 Services and Suppliers to the Semiconductor Industry -Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. -Balzers -The BOC Group PLC -Compugraphic International -General Signal -LTX Corporation -MEMC Electronic Materials S.p.A. -Merck Group ^Titles in capital letters siguify tabs. In booklet format ESIS Volume n 0006447 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated February t Tbble of Contents Volume II (Continued) 5. SERVICES AND SUPPLIERS' (Continued) -Micro-Image Technology Ltd. -Monsanto Company -Olin Corporation -The Perkin-Elmer Corporation -Plasma Technology Ltd. -Teradyne Inc. -VG Instruments PLC -Wacker-Chemitronic GmbH 6.' 1.' %.' 9. MEMORY European MOS Memory Market— Consumption Forecast 1988-1994, Market Share Rankings 1988' 10. MICROPROCESSOR 10.1 Microcomponent Device Market 10.2 Microcomponent Device Supply ECONOMIC DATA AND OUTLOOK Economic Outlook Update 1988-1990' Economic Data and Outlook 1988-1989' EXCHANGE RATE TABLES Exchange Rate Tables 'Titles in capiul letters signiiy tabs. ^In booUet fomiat ^In timsition ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated Febraary ESIS Volume n 0006447 Table of Contents Volume III Title Page INTRODUCTION' Introduction to the Service TABLE OF CONTENTS Table of Contents Newsletter Index 1. EUROPEAN PLANT LOCATIONS 1. European Plant Locations 2. EUROPEAN DESIGN CENTER LOCATIONS 2. European Design Service Locations 3. EUROPEAN SEMICONDUCTOR PRODUCTION 3. European Semiconductor Production 3.1 Wafer Fabrication 4. COMPANY PROFILES 4. Company Profiles A-B Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Analog Devices, Inc. ASEA Brown Boveri Austria Mikro Sysieme International GmbH C-D E-F Ericsson Components AB European Silicon Structures Eurosil Electronic GmbH Fujitsu Limited 'Titles in copilal letters sigmfy tabs, ESIS Volume n 0006447 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated February Table of Contents Volume III (Continued) 4. COMPANY PROFILES' (Continued) G-H General Instrument Corporation Harris Corporation Hewlett-Packard Company Hitachi ltd. I-J Intel Corporation ITT Corporation K-L LSI Logic Corporation M-N Marconi Electronic Devices Ltd. Matra-Harris Semiconducteurs Mitsubishi Electric Corporation Motorola, Inc. National Semiconductor Corporation NEC Corporation OP N.V. Philips Gloeilampenfabrieken The Plessey Company PLC Q-R S-T Semikron International SGS-Thomson Microelectronics Siemens AG Telefunken Electronic GmbH Texas Instruments, Inc. Toshiba Corporation TRW, Inc. U-V w-x Y-Z Zilog, Inc. 'Tittes in capital letters signify tabs. ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated Febiuaiy ESIS Volume n 0006447 Table of Contents Volume III (Continued) MARKET SHARE DATA' European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates—^Final 1988^ Worldwide Semiconductor Market Shares by Vendor Base European Semiconductor Market Shares by Vendor Base Worldwide Semiconductor Market Share Rankings European Semiconductor Market Share Rankings EXCHANGE RATE TABLES Exchange Rate Tables 'Titles in cs^ntal letteis ognify tabs. In boddet foimat ESIS Volume n 0006447 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated Februaiy Table of Contents ASIC Title Page INTRODUCTION' Introduction to the Binder TABLE OF CONTENTS Table of Contents ASIC OVERVIEW ASIC—Executive Summary ASIC—^Family Tree and Definitions ASIC—^Forecast Summary ASIC—Market ASIC—^Historical Shipment Data GATE ARRAYS Gate Gate Gate Gate Gate Gate Arrays—Executive Summary Arrays—Forecast Arrays—Product Analysis Arrays—Competitive Analysis Arrays—Emerging Technologies and Trends Arrays—Historical Shipment Data PROGRAMMABLE LOGIC DEVICES PLD—^Executive Summary PLD—Forecast PLD—^Product Analysis PLD—Competitive Analysis PLD—^Emerging Technology and Trends PLD—Application and User Issues PLD—^Historical Shipment Data 'llQes in capital letters signify tabs. ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated February ESIS Volume n 0006447 Table of Contents ASIC (Continued) CELL-BASED IGs' CBICs—^Executive Summary CBICs—Forecast CBICs—^Product Analysis CBICs—^Emerging Technologies and Trends CBICs—^Historical Shipment Data FULL-CUSTOM DEVICES FuU-Custom Devices—^Executive Summary Full-Custom Devices—^Forecast Full-Custom Devices—^Historical Shipment Data EUROPEAN DESIGN CENTERS European European European European European Design Service Locations—^Executive Summary Design Service Locations Full-Custom IC Design Service Locations CBIC Design Service Locations Gate Array Design Service Locations EXCHANGE RATE TABLES European Currency Exchange Rates *l\tles in capital letters signify tabs. ESIS Volume n 0006447 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated February Table of Contents Volume rv Newsletters 1988-1989 1989-29 European MOS Gate Array and CBIC Design Starts Analysis 1989-28 European Semiconductor Procurement Survey 1989-27 European Quarterly Industry Forecast Third Quarter Update 1989-26 GaAs PLDs Attack the SUicon TTL PLD Market 1989-25 Exchange Rate Quarterly Newsletter 1989-24 Closing the Gap: Will Japan Become the World's Largest Producer of Fab Equipment? 1989-23 Less Buoyancy Expected in the U.K Economy; More Confidence in the Irish Economy 1989-22 Mixed Analog/Digital ASIC—^An Embryonic Market 1989-21 The PLD Evolution 1989-20 Dataquest European Semiconductor Industry Conference: "The European Renaissance" 1989-19 The ASIC Package Proliferation 1989-18 International Semiconductor Trade Issues—^Dominance, Dependence, and Future Strategies 1989-17 The Shape of Post-1992 Distribution in Europe 1989-16 Exchange Rate Quarterly Newsletter 1989-15 Final 1988 Market Share Estimates—European Semiconductor Market 1989-14 European DRAM Market Update 1989-13 European Quarterly Forecast Update 1989-12 Unexpected Buoyancy of the French Economy 1989-11 European Personal Computer Production and Its Impact on the Semiconductor Market 1989-10 Preliminary European MOS Gate Array and CBIC Market Share Rankings 1989-09 Regional Review 1989—A Year of Consolidation 1989-08 EISA—Will It Be an Alternative to MCA? 1989-07 Understanding the NEC/Intel Decision 1989-06 Europe—A Healthy Marketplace for UNIX 1989-05 ASICs Surpass $7.4 Billion in 1988 1989-04 Exchange Rate Quarteriy Newsletter 1989-03 Hitachi and TI Share the Risk: The 16Mb DRAM Agreement 1989-02 The EEC Rules on "Made in Europe"—Article 5 No. 802/68 Analyzed 1989-01 Preliminary 1988 Market Share Estimates—^European Semiconductor Marketplace 1988-29 Europe Refreshes Its Stagnant White Goods Market 1988-28 The Semiconductor Chip Protection Act Is Finalized 10 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated Febniaiy November October October September September September August September July July July July June June June May April April March March March March March March March March March March January November November ESIS Volume H 0006447 Table of Contents Volume IV (Continued) Newsletters 1988-1989 1988-27 GEC-Siemens' Joint Bid for Plessey 1988-26 European Quarterly Forecast Update 1988-25 Exchange Rate Quarterly Newsletter 1988-24 Straw Poll of 1992: Regional Attitudes 1988-23 DRAM Alliance: The United States Talks, The British Act 1988-22 West Germany: Facing Up to the Economic Challenge 1988-21 Component Distribution in 1992 1988-20 Can California Micro Devices Inject New Life into AMI? 1988-19 Harris Corporation to Acquire GE Solid State 1988-18 ASIC Midyear Update 1988-17 European Quarterly Forecast Update 1988-16 Exchange Rate Quarterly Newsletter 1988-15 Standard Logic Is at Life's Crossroads 1988-14 Dataquest European Semiconductor Industry Conference: "Planning and Positioning for the '90s" 1988-13 1992—What's in a Number? 1988-11 Semiconductor Recovery Gathers Momentum 1988-10 U.K. Semiconductor Distributors' 1987 Revenue 1988-9 "InteUigent" ICs Power Their Way into $1.1 Million Semiconductor Application Market 1988-8 Semicon Europa: A Slow Show for a Year of Slow European Equipment Sales 1988-7 An Introduction to 1992 1988-6 DRAM Dej^ Vu 1988-5 1988 European Regional Semiconductor Outlook 1988-4 Ericsson Gets Leaner while Nokia Continues Acquisitions 1988-3 Exchange Rate Quarterly Newsletter 1988-2 Exchange Rate Quarterly Newsletter 1988-1 1987 Preliminary Market Share Broad-Based Recovery in Semiconductors November October November October October October September September September September August September August July July June May May March March March March February February January January I.C. EUROPE Monthly reports containing: State of the Industry Industry Highlights Research Update Semiconductor Pricing and Analysis Thought for the Month 1992 ESIS Volume U 0006447 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated Febiuaiy 11 Newsletter Index BY SUBJECT Subject Newsletter 1992 Introduction to 1992 1922—What's in a Number? Component Distribution in 1992 I.C. Europe Thought for the Month— Japanese Perception of Europe The Shape of Post-1992 Distribution in Europe The EEC Rules on "Made in Europe"—Article 5 No. 802/68 Analyzed I.C. Europe Thought for the MonthEuropean Semiconductor Supply Note: Also see 1992 Section in I.C. Europe each month. Acquisitions Ericsson Gets Leaner while Nokia Continues Acquisitions Harris Corporation to Acquire GE Sqlid State Can California Micro Devices Inject New Life into AMI? Date 1988-07 1988-13 1988-22 September 1988 1989-17 1989-02 July 1989 1988-04 1988-19 1988-20 AMI Can California Micro Devices Inject New Life into AMI? 1988-20 Analog I.C. Europe Research Update—Analog Market Analysis March 1989 Application Markets I.C. Europe Research Update— Quarterly Electronics Industry Update European Personal Computer Production and Its Impact on the Semiconductor Market EISA—Will It Be an Alternative to MCA? Europe—A Healthy Marketplace for UNIX ESIS Volume H 0006457 ©1990 Dataquest Incotporated February August 1988 1989-11 1989-08 1989-06 Newsletter Index Subject Application Markets (Continued) Asia ASICs Newsletter Europe Refreshes Its Stagnant White Goods Market I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— Workstation Market Opportunities I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— Cordless Telephones I.e. Europe Research Update— European Military Market I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— ISDN: Aging before Birth? I.e. Europe Research Update— European Laptop Market Analysis I.e. Europe Research Update— CT2: A Rising Star in Europe I.e. Europe Research Update—^U.K. V32 Modem Race I.e. Europe Research Update—^The Next Graphics Standard I.e. Europe Research Update—^Dynamic European CAD/CAM Market I.e. Europe Research Update—^Military/ Aerospace Semiconductor Demand I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— EC's Green Paper on Telecommunications I.e. Europe Research Update—^The Tigers Prepare for Graduation ASie Midyear Update European MOS Gate Array and CBIC Design Starts Analysis Mixed Analog/Digital ASIC—An Embryonic Market The ASie Package Proliferation Preliminary European MOS Gate Array and GBIC Market Share Rankings ASICs Surpass $7.4 Billion in 1988 ©19SK) Dataquest Incorporated Febraary Date 1988-29 February 1989 October 1988 November 1988 December 1988/ January 1989 April 1989 June 1989 July 1989 August 1989 September 1989 November 1989 November 1989 March 1988 1988-18 1989-29 1989-22 1989-19 1989-10 1989-05 ESIS Volume D 0006457 Newsletter Index Subject ASICs (Continued) CAD/CAM Cahfomia Micro Devices Capital Spending Cellular Radio Chip Protection Act Communications Companies ESIS Volume H 0006457 Newsletter Date LC. Europe Research Update—Gate Array Design Start Forecast Slashed December 1989 LC. Europe Research Update—^Dynamic European CAD/CAM Market September 1989 Can California Micro Devices Inject New Life into AMI? 1988-20 LC. Europe Research Update— Quarterly Electronics Industry Update August 1988 I.e. Europe Research Update— European Cellular Market September 1988 The Semicoductor Chip Protection Act is Finalized 1988-28 I.e. Europe Research Update—^The Final Frontier in Voiceband Modems LC. Europe Thought for the Month— Satellites LC. Europe Research Update— European Cellular Market I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— Cordless Telephones LC. Europe Thought for the Month— ISDN: Aging before Birth? LC. Europe Research Update— CT2: A Rising Star in Europe I.e. Europe Research Update—^U.K. V32 Modem Race I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— EC's Green Paper on Telecommmunications LC. Europe Thought for the Month— Company Results I.e. Europe Research Update—South Korean Companies LC. Europe Thought for the Month— Cordless Telephones ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated February July 1988 August 1988 September 1988 October 1988 Dec/Jan 1989 June 1989 July 1989 November 1989 January 1988 October 1988 October 1988 Newsletter Index Subject Computers eonferences Newsletter European Personal Computer Production and Its Impact on the Semiconductor Market Europe—^A Healthy Marketplace for UNIX I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— Workstation Market Opportunities I.e. Europe Research Update— European Laptop Market Analysis I.e. Europe Research Update—^The Next Graphics Standard Semicon Europa: A Slow Show for a Year of Slow European Equipment Sales Dataquest's 1988 European Semiconductor Industry eonference: Planning and Positioning for the '90s 1992—What's in a Number? Dataquest's 1989 European Semiconductor Industry eonference: "The European Renaissance" Consumer Europe Refreshes Its Stagnant White Goods Market Consumption Data 1988 European Regional Semiconductor Outlook Semiconductor Recovery Gathers Momentum European Quarterly Forecast Update European Quarterly Industry Forecast— Third Quarter Update European Quarterly Forecast Update Regional Review 1989—^A Year of Consolidation ASICs Surpass $7.4 BiUion in 1988 I.e. Europe Research Update— Worldwide Semiconductor Forecast Low [• ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated February Date 1989-11 1989-06 February 1989 April 1989 August 1989 1988-08 1988-14 1988-13 1988-29 1988-05 1988-11 1988-17 1989-27 1989-13 1989-09 1989-05 October 1989 ESIS Volume U 0006457 Newsletter Index Subject Newsletter Date Consumption Data (Continued) I.e. Europe Research Update—Gate Array Design Start Forecast Slashed December 1989 Deregulation I.C. Europe Thought for the M o n t h Government Policies May 1988 I.e. Europe Research Update—^EC's Green Paper on Telecommunications November 1989 European MOS Gate Array and CBIC Design Starts Analysis 1989-29 Design Starts Distribution EC Economy U.K. Semiconductor Distributors' 1987 Revenue Component Distribution in 1992 The Shape of Post-1992 Distribution in Europe I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— Distribution in Europe November 1988 I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— European Community Not a Technological Backwater June 1989 I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— Business Prospects February 1988 I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— Government Policies Less Buoyancy Expected in the U.K. Economy; More Confidence in the Irish Economy Equipment and Materials Ericsson ESIS Volume U 0006457 1988-10 1988-21 1989-17 May 1988 1989-23 Unexpected Buoyancy of the French Economy 1989-12 Semicon Europa: A Slow Show for a Year of Slow European Equipment Sales 1988-08 I.e. Europe Research Update—General Signal Acquires GCA May 1988 Ericsson Gets Leaner while Nokia Continues Acquisitions 1988-04 ©1990 Dataquest Incc»porated February Newsletter Index Newsletter Subject Date Exchange Rates Exchange Exchange Exchange Exchange Exchange Newsletter Newsletter Newsletter Newsletter Newsletter 1988-16 1988-02 1989-25 1989-16 1989-04 GaAs GaAs PLDs Attack the Silicon TTL PLD Market 1989-26 I.e. Europe Research Update—General Signal Acquires GCA May 1988 GEC GEC-Siemens' Joint Bid for Plessey 1988-27 General Signal I.e. Europe Research Update—General Signal Acquires GGA May 1988 Harris eorporation to Acquire GE Solid State 1988-19 OCA Harris Hitachi Industry Trends Rate Rate Rate Rate Rate Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Hitachi and TI Share the Risk: The 16Mb DRAM Agreement I.e. Europe Research Update—Hitachi/ TI DRAM Deal 1988 European Regional Semiconductor Outlook DRAM D6ja Vu Semiconductor Recovery Gathers Momentum Standard Logic Is at Life's Grossroads ASie Midyear European Quarterly Forecast Update European Quarterly Forecast Update I.e. Europe Research Update—^RlSe Architecture I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— DRAMs I.e. Europe Research Update— Quarterly Electronics Industry Update >ataquest Incorporated Febiuary 1989-03 February 1989 1988-05 1988-06 1988-11 1988-15 1988-18 1988-17 April 1988 July 1988 • August 1988 ESIS Volume n 0006457 1 Newsletter Index Subject Industry Trends (Continued) Intel Investment Japan Market Shares Memory ESIS Volume U 0006457 Newsletter Date European DRAM Market Update 1989-14 European Quarterly Forecast Update Regional Review 1989—A Year of Consolidation I.e. Europe Research Update— Worldwide Semiconductor Forecast Low European Quarterly Industry Forecast— Third Quarter Update 1989-13 1989-09 October 1989 1989-27 Intel Turns Twenty: Is There Life after DOS? Understanding the NEC/Intel Decision 1988-12 1989-07 I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— European Conununity not a Technological Backwater June 1989 I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— Japanese Perception of Europe September 1988 Preliminary 1987 Market Share Estimates Final 1988 Market Share Estimates— European Semiconductor Market Preliminary European MOS Gate Array and CBIC Market Share Rankings Preliminary 1988 Market Share Estimates—^European Semiconductor Marketplace I.e. Europe Research Update— Worldwide Market Share Analysis I.e. Europe Research Update—^Analog Market Analysis DRAM D6jk Vu European DRAM Market Update Hitachi and TI Share the Risk: The 16Mb DRAM Agreement ©1990 Dataquest Incoiporated February 1988-01 1989-15 1989-10 1989-01 Dec/Jan 1989 February 1989 1988-06 1989-14 1989-03 Newsletter Index Subject Newsletter Memory (Continued) I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— Business Prospects I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— DRAMs I.e. Europe Research Update—Hitachi/ TI DRAM Deal I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— Users Erupt Against DRAM Proposals Mergers I.e. Europe Research Update— Managing the Mergers Microcomponents Microelectronic Tube Military February 1988 July 1988 February 1989 September 1989 June 1988 Intel Turns Twenty: Is There Life after DOS? Understanding the NEC/Intel Decision I.e. Europe Research Update—A RISC-less Approach April 1989 I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— Return of the Tube December 1989 I.e. Europe Research Update— European MiUtary Market I.e. Europe Research Update—Military/ Aerospace Semiconductor Demand Modems Date 1988-12 1989-07 November 1988 November 1989 I.e. Europe Research Update—^The Final Frontier in Voiceband Modems July 1988 NEC Understanding the NEC Intel Decision 1988-07 Nokia Ericsson Gets Leaner while Nokia Continues Acquisitions 1988-04 Offshore Manufacturing I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— Japanese Printer Manufacturers June 1988 Plessey GEC-Siemens' Joint Bid for Plessey 1988-27 PLDs GaAs PLDs Attack the Silicon TTL PLD Market The PLD Evolution 1989-26 1989-21 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated February ESIS Volume n 0006457 Newsletter Index Subject Power ICs Printers Newsletter Intelligent ICs Power Their Way into $1.1 Billion Semiconductor Application Market Quality RISC Satellites 1988-09 I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— Japanese Printer Manufacturers Procurement Date June 1988 European Semicoductor Procurement Survey 1989-28 I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— Perception versus Measurement March 1988 I.e. Europe Research Update—RISC Architecture I.e. Europe Research Update—A RISC-less Approach April 1988 April 1989 I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— Satellites August 1988 I.e. Europe Research Update— Managing the Mergers June 1988 Siemens GEC-Siemens' Joint Bid for Plessey 1988-27 South Korea I.e. Europe Research Update—South Korean Companies I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— Cordless Telephones SGS-Thomson October 1989 October 1988 Standard Logic Standard Logic Is at Life's Crossroads 1988-15 Takeovers GEC-Siemens' Joint Bid for Plessey 1988-27 Tariffs I.e. Europe Research Update—^The Tigers Prepare for Graduation The EEC Rules on "Made in Europe"—Article 5 No. 802/68 Analyzed I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— Regional Aid Policy ESIS Volume D 0006457 ©1990 Dataquest Inctvprarated February March 1988 1989-02 April 1989 - 9 Newsletter Index Subject Tariffs (Continued) TI Trade Issues U.K. Markets UNIX Users USSR Venture Capital Vertical Integration Wafer Fabrication 10 Newsletter I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— European Semiconductor Supply Hitachi and TI Share the Risk: The 16Mb DRAM Agreement I.e. Europe Research Update—^Hitachi/ TI DRAM Deal International Semiconductor Trade Issues—^Dominance, Dependence, and Future Issues The EEC Rules on "Made in Europe"—Article 5 No. 802/68 Analyzed Date July 1989 1989-03 February 1989 1989-18 1989-02 U.K. Semiconductor Distributors' 1987 Revenue 1988-10 Europe—A Healthy Marketplace for UNIX 1989-06 I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— Users Erupt against DRAM Proposals September 1989 I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— An Era of Glasnost and Perestroika March 1989 I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— Changing Role of Equity in Europe October 1989 I.e. Europe Thought for the Month— Forward Vertical Integration August 1989 Closing the Gap: Wm Japan Become the World's Largest Producer of Fab Equipment? 1989-24 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated February ESIS Volume n 0006457 1.0 Capital Investment CAPITAL SPENDING BY MERCHANT EUROPEAN COMPANIES Dataquest surveys the major European merchant semiconductor manufacturers on an annual basis to track their capital spending plans. Table 1 gives a summary of the history of worldwide capital spending in US dollars by European-owned companies for 1989 and 1990. Table 2 expresses European companies' capital expenditure as a percentage of their worldwide sales. It includes a capital spending forecast for 1991. Table 3 shows capital spending by European-owned merchant companies in European Currency Units (ECUs). Table 1 Estimated European Companies Woldwide Capital Expenditure (Millions of US Dollars) Company 1989 ($M) 1990 ($M) AGR 1990/1989 ABB-HAFO ABB-IXYS Austria Mikro Systeme Ericsson Components European Silicon Structures Eurosil Fagor Electrdnica GEC Plessey Semiconductors* Matra-MHS MEDL Mietec Philips Semikron International SGS-Thomson Microelectronics Siemens STC Components TAG Semiconductors Telefunken TMS 5 7 10 7 3 4 2 26 12 8 8 292 8 240 193 2 2 39 20 5 7 11 8 6 5 3 34 13 0 22 290 11 278 175 3 3 46 14 0.8% -0.6% 12.1% 20.0% 100.0% 17.0% 50.0% 30.8% 8.3% -100.0% 176.0% -0.8% 35.0% 15.8% -9.3% 32.0% 50.0% 18.5% -30.0% Total 888 934 Percent Change 5.2% * 1989 expenditure is for Plessey SenucoDductore only. AOR = Anuual growth rate Soince: Dataquest (Match 1991) ESIS Volume H 0008321 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited Maich 1.0 Capital Investment Table 2 Estimated European Companies Woldwide Capital Expenditure As a Percentage of Worldwide Semiconductor Revenue Company 1989 1990 1991 ABB-HAFO ABB-IXYS Austria Mikro Systeme Ericsson Components European Silicon Structures Eurosil Fagor Electr6nica GEC Plessey Semiconductors Matra-MHS MEDL Mietec Philips Semikron International SGS-Thomson Microelectronics Siemens STC Components TAG Semiconductors Telefunken TMS 14% 14% 18% 13% 17% 13% 7% 11% 14% 13% 15% 17% 8% 18% 16% 11% 9% 13% 44% 12% 12% 19% 15% 22% 12% 10% 9% 13% NA 24% 15% 10% 19% 14% 11% 12% 14% 31% 14% 14% 16% 15% 15% 14% 11% 9% 13% NA 25% 14% 10% 18% 13% 10% 12% 16% 25% Total Merchant 16% 15% NA = Not ApplkaUe Soiuce: Datacpiest (Maicli 1991) ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited March ESIS Volume n 0008321 1.0 Capital Investment Table 3 Estimated European Companies Woldwide Capital Expenditure (Millions of ECUs) Company 1989 CUM) 1990 (ECU M) ABB-HAFO ABB-IXYS Austria Mikro Systeme Ericsson Components European Silicon Structures Eurosil Fagor Electr6nica GEC Plessey Semiconductors Matra-MHS MEDL Mietec Philips Semikron International SGS-Thomson Microelectronics Siemens STC Components TAG Semiconductors Telefunken TMS 5 6 9 6 3 4 2 24 11 7 7 269 7 221 178 2 2 36 18 4 5 9 7 5 4 2 27 10 0 17 229 9 220 138 2 2 36 11 Total 817 738 Percent Change -10% AQR = Annual growth rate Source: Dataquest (Maidi 1991) ESIS Volume H 0008321 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited March AGR 1990/1989 -13.4% -14.6% -3.7% 3.0% 71.7% 0.5% 28.8% 12.3% -7.0% -100.0% 137.0% -14.8% 15.9% -0.5% -22.1% 13.3% 28.8% 1.7% -39.9% 1.1 R&D Investment R&D EXPENDITURE BY MERCHANT EUROPEAN COMPANIES Dataquest surveys the European merchant semiconductor manufacturers on an annual basis to track their R&D spending plans. Table 1 supplies a summary of the history of worldwide R&D spending in US dollars by European-owned companies for 1989 and 1990. Table 2 expresses European companies' R&D expenditures as a percentage of their worldwide sales. It also includes an R&D spending forecast for 1991. Table 3 shows R&D expenditure by European-owned merchant companies in European Currency Units (ECUs). Table 1 Estimated European Companies Woldwide R&D Expenditure (Millions of US Dollars) Company ABB-HAFO ABB-IXYS Austria Mikro Systeme Ericsson Components European Silicon Structures Eurosil Fagor Electrbnica GEC Plessey Semiconductors* Matra-MHS MEDL Mietec PhiUps Semikron International SGS-Thomson Microelectronics Siemens STC Components TAG Semiconductors Telefunken TMS Total Percent Change 1989 ($M) 1990 ($M) 4 5 7 6 8 3 2 25 9 6 7 395 5 210 315 1 2 28 7 5 7 8 7 9 5 2 36 21 0 13 425 8 240 335 2 2 26 7 1,045 1,158 10.7% * 1989 expendituie is for Pleasey Sennconducton only. AOR = Annual growth rate Source: Dataquest (Mansh 1991) ESIS Volume H 0008322 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Liinited March AGR 1990/1989 26.0% 39.2% 9.6% 12.0% 12.5% 56.0% 20.0% 44.0% 133.3% -100.0% 84.0% 7.6% 51.2% 14.3% 6.3% 92.0% 0.0% -5.7% -3.6% 1.1 R&D Investment Table 2 Estimated European Companies Woldwide R&D Expenditure As a Percentage of Worldwide Semiconductor Revenue Company 1989 1990 1991 ABB-HAFO ABB-IXYS Austria Mikro Systeme Ericsson Components European Silicon Stractures Eurosil Fagor Electrdnica GEC Plessey Semiconductors Matra-MHS MEDL Mietec Philips Semikron International SGS-Thomson Microelectronics Siemens STC Components TAG Semiconductors Telefunken TMS 11% 10% 13% 11% 44% 10% 7% 10% 11% 10% 13% 23% 5% 16% 26% 5% 9% 9% 16% 12% 12% 13% 12% 33% 12% 8% 9% 21% NA 14% 22% 7% 16% 27% 8% 8% 8% 15% 13% 13% 14% 10% 14% 11% 8% 13% 20% NA 14% 13% 7% 18% 26% 8% 9% 10% 13% Total Merchant 19% 19% NA = Not Applicable Souice: Dataquest (December 1990) ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited March ESIS Volume n 0008322 1.1 R&D Investment Table 3 Estimated European Companies Woldwide R&D Expenditure (Millions of ECUs) 1989 (ECU M) 1990 (ECU M) AGR 1990/1989 ABB-HAFO ABB-IXYS Austria Mikro Systeme Ericsson Components European Silicon Structures Eurosil Fagor Electr6nica GEC Plessey Semiconductors Matra-MHS MEDL Mietec Philips Semikron International SGS-Thomson Microelectronics Siemens STC Components TAG Semiconductors Telefunken TMS 4 5 6 6 7 3 2 23 8 6 6 363 5 193 290 1 2 26 6 4 5 6 5 7 4 2 28 17 0 10 336 6 190 265 2 2 21 5 8.2% 19.5% -5.9% -3.8% -3.4% 34.0% 3.0% 57.0% 100.4% -100.0% 58.0% -7.6% 29.8% -1.9% -8.7% 64.9% -14.1% -19.0% -17.2% Total 962 915 Company Percent Change -5% Somce: Dataquest (Deceinber 1990) ESIS Volume H 0008322 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited March 1.2 Government R&D INTRODUCTION In Western Europe there are two main sources of government funding for research and development in semiconductor technology and its applications: a European Community (EC) budget administered by the Commission in Brussels; and funding at national government level. Clearly, the EC budget is directed towards pan-European programmes such as ESPRIT; typically, the projects involve companies from several EC countries and may well include companies from EFTA countries. By comparison, a national govenment's support is directed towards companies in its own country, though these companies may well be participating in EC or even global research programmes. In Europe, the primary semiconductor research programmes are ESPRIT and JESSI. ESPRIT is an EC programme; JESSI is not. JESSI is part of EUREKA, which was developed from a French-German initiative started in 1985 and relies on national government money. It has developed in parallel to EC research, but coordinates with EC programmes. Whereas EC research is mainly concerned with precompetitive and basic research, EUREKA projects are nearer to the market. In the case of JESSI (now the biggest EUREKA programme) there is considerable synergy with many of the ESPRIT projects. This coordination centralizes funds, enabling both EC and national government money to be used on the same projects. In addition to ESPRIT, there are three other EC programmes that directly benefit the European semiconductor industry. These are RACE, DRIVE, and BRITE/EURAM. RACE and DRIVE have subprogrammes that involve applications for semiconductors. RACE is involved in telecommunications, and DRIVE in transportation. BRITE/EURAM is concerned with research into basic raw and advanced materials. Several of its subprogrammes are of interest to the semiconductor industry. The EC programmes so far mentioned form part of the Information and Conmiunications, and Industrial Technologies programmes. Figure 1 illustrates the relative durations and scale of funding of the programmes. From it, the enormity of ESPRIT II is clear; indeed, ESPRIT II is the largest of all the EC research programmes. STRUCTURE OF THE DOCUMENT Each section has a Contents hst of the semiconductor-related projects within each main programme. The sections then go on to describe these projects where there is semiconductor interest. Section Page 1 2 3 4 5 ESPRIT RACE DRIVE BRITE/EURAM EUREKA 5 49 65 69 73 6 Further Information 93 ESIS Volume II ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Material—will not be repnUiabed 1 1.2 Government R&D Figure I Information, Communication and Industry Technology Programmes ESPRtT II - ECU 1,600 Midtort BflFTE - ECl Jan Jan I 1987 I 88 Source: Conmnuioa of the European Commmititei, Dttiqueit (November 1990) SOURCES OF INFORMATION The information used in this section was drawn from the following publications: • EC Research Funding—A Guide for Applicants Published by the Commission of the European Communities DGXII Prepared by Lieselotte Krickau-Richter and Otto Von Schwerin January 1990 • ESPRIT—Synopses of Microelectronics Projects Volume 2 of a series of 8 Published by the Commission of the European Communities September 1990 • BRJTE/EURAM Programme Synopses of current projects 1989-1990 Published by the Commission of the European Communities • Research and Development in Advanced Communications Europe—RACE '90 Published by the Commission of the European Communities March 1990 ©1990 Dataquest Barapt Limited November Reference Material—will not be repoblished Technologies in ESIS Volume n 0008189 1.2 Government R&D R & D in Advanced Road Transport Telematics in Europe—DRIVE '90 Published by the Conmiission of the European Communities. March 1990 EUREKA Secretariat 19 H Avenue des Arts, Bte. 3 B1040 Brussels Belgium KEY TO ABBREVIATIONS EC Member States B D DK E F GR I IRL L NL P UK Belgium Germany Denmark Spain France Greece Italy Ireland Luxembourg Netherlands Portugal United Kingdom EFTA Member States A CH ISL N S SF Austria Switzerland Iceland Norway Sweden Finland Roles (ESPRIT) M C P S A Main Contractor Coordinator Partner Subcontractor Associate Contractor ESIS Volume U O1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 RefcKiice Material—will not be lepnbliabed ESPRIT ESIS Volume II ®1990 Dataquest E u n ^ Limited November 0008189 Refeteace Matenai—will not be lepiibUabed ESPRIT CONTENTS Page Introduction to ESPRIT 9 ESPRIT I Project Information 11 Integrated Circuits Submicron Bipolar Technology—I Submicron Bipolar Technology—I Submicron CMOS Technology (SPECTRE) High-Performance VLSI Packaging for Complex Electronic Systems Integrated Optoelectronics on Indium Phosphide (InP) 11 12 13 14 15 Semiconductor Equipment and Materials Compound Semiconductor Materials and Integrated Circuits—I Compound Semiconductor Materials and Integrated Circuits—II Automatic Design Validation of Integrated Circuits Using E-Beam (ADVICE) Substrates for CMOS VLSI Technology 0.5 Micron X-Ray Lithography: Sources, Masks, Resist and Transferred Image 16 17 18 19 20 CAD High-Level CAD for Interactive Layout and Design CAD for VLSI Systems (CVS) European CAD Integration Project (ECIP) 21 22 23 Miscellaneous Wafer-Scale Integration High-Density Mass Storage Memories for Knowledge and Information Storage 24 25 ESPRIT II Overview 27 ESPRIT II Project Information 29 Integrated Circuits Bipolar Advanced Silicon for Europe (BASE) Advanced PROM Building Blocks (APBB) Analog/Digital CMOS ICs (ADCIS) Combined Analog/Digital Integration (CANDI) A High-Performance CMOS/Bipolar Process for VLSI Circuits (BiCMOS) ESD Projection for Submicron Technologies 29 30 31 32 33 34 ESIS Volume n ©1990 Dataquest Eurq)e Limited November 0008189 Reference Material—will not be rqmUiabed 7 U Government R&D Page A Very Quick 'Hmiaround System for ASIC Design and Manufacturing Supporting Multiple Design Tools and Implementation Technologies (QUICKCHIPS) ASIC 0.5 Micron CMOS (ACCES) Advanced CMOS Analog/Digital and Digital/Analog Converters (AD 2(X)0) Joint Logic Project 35 36" 37 38 Semiconductor Equipment and Materials ASIC Multichamber Rapid Thermal Processing with Microwave Enhancement Mask and Reticle Technology Development for Advanced High-Density and ASIC Devices Process Module Integration for a Multichamber Production System (PROMIMPS) Integrated Design and Production System (IDPS) 41 42 CAD Interactive Silicon Compilation for High-Performance Integrated Systems (SPRITE) Application-Specific Architecture Compilation (ASAC) JESSI CAD-Frame (JCF) 43 44 45 Miscellaneous Development of European Magneto-Optical Drives Optoelectronics with Active Organic Molecules 47 48 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Refaence Material—will not be repnUifhed 39 40 ESIS Volume n 0008189 Introduction to ESPRIT ESPRIT was launched in 1984 and is plaimed to run for a ten-year period. It has three main objectives: • To contribute towards providing the European IT industry with the basic technology it needs to meet the competitive requirements of the 1990s. • To promote European industrial cooperation in IT. • To contribute to the development of internationally accepted standards. Based on these objectives, the first phase of ESPRIT was commenced in 1984—ESPRIT I. This consisted of 49 projects, most of which have now been completed. In 1988 the second phase of ESPRIT commenced—ESPRIT II. There are 55 projects now running. The projects in ESPRIT II can be divided into six categories: Silicon technology III-V and other non-silicon technologies Materials Equipment and manufacturing CAD Peripherals In this section the important semiconductor programmes are listed. First the ESPRIT I projects are given, then an introduction to ESPRIT II is provided, followed by the key ESPRIT II projects. Dataquest has grouped the projects into Integrated Circuits, Semiconductor Equipment and Materials, CAD, and Miscellaneous. ESIS Volume n ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Material—will not be lepnbliibed ESPRIT I Project Information INTEGRATED CIRCUITS Submicron Bipolar Technology—I Project Number: 243 The overall objective of this programme is to develop specific bipolar submicron technology suitable for manufacturing very high-performance integrated circuits, such as high-speed circuits for electronic data processing (EDP) and digital signal processing (DSP). Two main milestones were scheduled: • End of year 3 (March 1988): demonstration of a gate delay capability of 100 ps at a complexity level of 10,000 gates. • End of year 5 (March 1990): demonstration of a gate delay capability of 50 ps at a complexity level greater than 20,000 gates. Three of the partners intend to implement the developed technologies progressively following the achievement of the major milestones in 1988 and 1990. Likely applications are: • Gate arrays and programmable ROM, microcells for DSP ASICs and high-speed A/D and D/A converters • Very high-speed ASICs for high bit rate telecommunications Participants Country Role Plessey Company pic SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SRL Cemota Thomson-CSF Technische Universitat Berlin Telefunken Electronic GmbH UK I F F D D M P P P P P Start Date I March 1985 Duration 60 months Status Finished ESIS Volume H ®1990 Dataquest Europe Liiiiited November 0008189 RefEKoce Material—will not be republiahed 11 1.2 Government R&D Submicron Bipolar Technology—II Project Number: 281 The objective is the development of a bipolar technology for high-speed data and signal processing products. The generation of bipolar te:chiiology in production at the start of the project was characterized by minimum featiu-e size of 2 jim, a delay time of about 350 ps and an integration level for gate arrays of about 2,500 gates. The production of the ECL gate arrays was started in a new pilot line at Siemens in the first quarter of 1987. These circuits are primarily intended to be used in advanced computers and are now available for all other user companies. The results achieved under this project have enabled Siemens to start the development of a new family of gate arrays based on an improvement of the design rules previously used to assess the maturity of the developed technology to produce bipolar gate arrays with 10,000-gate complexity. These new design rules enable a reduction of the speed-power product by approximately 40 percent and an increase in the packing density of approximately 30 percent. This new gate array family provides a programmable speed-power product with 3 power steps where power dissipation amounts to IW per 1,000 gate functions. The complexity of these arrays varies -from 1,500 to 13,000 gate functions. The 13,000 gate array has been available since September 1988. Participants Country Role Siemens AG/Semiconductor Group RTC-Compelec D F C P Start Date 1 January 1985 Duration 60 months Status Finished 12 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Reference Material—will not be ESIS Volume n repnbliabed 0008189 ESPRIT I Submicron CMOS Technology (SPECTRE) Project Number: 554 The objective is to develop the necessary building blocks for a 0.7 |xm CMOS process, primarily dedicated to the production of high-speed (within the Umitations imposed by MOS) digital circuits. In order to allow the programme to proceed with the best chances of success, two main phases have been identified and organized: the first refers to an intermediate step at the 1 jim level; the second to the final 0.7 \\m CMOS family. Two additional tasks were added to the original project at the end of the first year, making eight tasks now identified to meet the final goal of the project. These address the topics of architecture (Tl), optical and electron-beam (e-beam) lithography (T2, T3), MOS structures (T4), isolation (T5), interconnect (T6, T7) and refractory metal gates (T8). It is the responsibiUty of Task 1 to arrange the pilot-line demonstration of the 1 p,m and submicron demonstrators. Tasks 2 to 8 provide the technology inputs for this. At the end of December 1987, the 1 ^im CMOS process results were disseminated throughout eleven companies and research laboratories located in five European countries. Additionally, Matra-MHS successfully transferred the SPECTRE CMOS technology into its fast SRAMs and microprocessor fabrication lines, and selected process steps are being integrated in the fabrication process of a IM EPROM by SGS-Thomson. The above are indications of the uses to be made of the technological results which will be exploited as a result of this project. The objectives are in line with worldwide state-of-the-art expectations for high-density ICs. Participants Country Role CNET British Telecommunications pic Bull SA Matra-MHS SGS Thomson Microelectronics SRL Universite Catholique de Louvain Interuniversitair Micro-Electronika Centrum vzw (IMEC) AERE-Atomic Energy Research Aarhus Universitet Telettra SpA CNR-Istituto Lamel F UK F F I B B UK DK I I C P P P P P P S Start Date 31 December 1984 Duration 60 months ESIS Volume H ®1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0006189 Refereoce Material—wiU not be iqmbUataed s s s Status Finished 13 1.2 Government R&D High-Performance VLSI Packaging for Complex Electronic Systems Project Number: 958 The objective was to exploit the potential advantages of high-density structures on which VLSI chips will be connected with very dense (100 to 125 ^im pitch) tape automated bonding (TAB) interconnects on a high-performance multichip substrate. This project was complementary to project number 830 as part of the "Advanced Packaging" workprogramme. Two TAB technologies have been developed: bumped chip TAB and bumped tape TAB (BTAB). Bumped chip requires additional wafer processing; bumped tape requires an additional photolithography stage for the tape. The main application areas for the TAB technology within the telecommunication and industrial segments are for high-speed switches and processors, display drivers and high-speed transmission systems. TAB offers a packaging technique allowing the assembly of VLSI chips in compact modules, where electrical signals are closely monitored and heat can be efficiently evacuated. Participants Country Role Bull SA British Telecommunications pic GEC Research Ltd Laboratories F UK UK C P P Start Date 31 January 1986 Duration 36 months Status Finished 14 ©1990 Limited November not be repaUiabed ESIS Volume n 0008189 ESPRIT I Integrated Optoelectronics on Indium Phospliate (InP) Project Number: 263 The general objective is significantly to increase the data rate in optical transmission systems, by the use of high-performance devices with a variety of multiplexing techniques, mainly with the use of different wavelengths. The first integrated structure, a distributed feedback (DFB) laser with a tuning section, has been realized. Good control on laser manufacturing has been demonstrated (threshold current density <1.5 kA.cm'^, wavelength dispersion <3 run) and short cavity lasers with bandwidth higher than 8 GHz have been fabricated. Finite element techniques have been integrated into user-friendly packages to model optically integrated devices easily and precisely, juid applied to: • Design of an optical demultiplexer • Evaluation of the guiding properties of the very low-loss structure (0.04 dB/cm), previously demonstrated. This is forging a strong Unk also between the modelling and fabrication partners. Important results have been obtained on operating integrated receiver circuits. The sensitivity of an optoelectronic IC (OEIC) consisting of an InGaAs PIN detector with a JFET achieved a world record in sensitivity of -32.5 dBm at 560 Mbit/s. This is a very important result because the gap between hybrid and monolithic OEIC is beginning to be eroded. This project, in debugging the optoelectronic monoUthic integration which has been found more difficult to achieve than forecast, is playing a pilot role in a wide range of projects, dealing with low-cost optical systems, in the RACE programme. Participants Country Role Centro Studi e Laboratori Telecomunicazioni SpA (CSELT) CNET GEC Research Laboratories STC Technology Ltd Thomson-CSF Standard Elektrik Lorenz AG CGE-Laboratoires de Marcoussis Heinrich Hertz Institut I F UK UK F D F D C P P P P P P P Start Date 15 December 1984 Duration 60 months Status Finished ESIS Volume n ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Material—will not be fqmblisbed 15 1.2 Government R&D SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT AND MATERIALS Compound Semiconductor Materials and Integrated Circuits—I Project Number: 232 The overall objective of this project was to establish technologies for gallium arsenide digital integrated circuits technologies using the GaAs MESFET, high electron mobility transistors (HEMT/TEGFET) and heterojunction bipolar transistors (HBT) as the active circuit elements. These circuits will be configured to enable the speed and power advantages of GaAs over silicon to be suitably demonstrated. This project is now successfully completed. Participants Country Role Plessey Company pic Philips-LEP Siemens AG Thomson-CSF-DCI UK F D F C P P P Start Date 1 November 1984 Duration 12 months Status Finished 16 ©1990 Dataquest E u n ^ Limited Novonber Reference Material—win not be iqmldiahed ESIS Vohime n 0008189 ESPRIT I Compound Semiconductors Materials and Integrated Circuits—II Project Number: 522 The general objective of the project was to develop advanced aspects of process technology for GaAs digital integrated circuits and associated expertise to enable the fabrication of fast, high-performance digital circuits. Demonstrator digital ICs have been developed to evaluate the performance of the various logic circuit technologies. There were some good results at the technological level: • Assessment of refractory metal gate MESFET process • In-depth evaluation of electron resist • Demonstration of transistor effect in gallium indium arsenide indium phosphide (GalnAs-InP) structures • Comparison between numeric model and experience for short-gate MESFET and HEMT. However, the major milestones on demonstrator circuits were missed and the overall objective of the project was not reached. Consequently the project was discontinued, but some e.ffort has been made by the partners to achieve the missing milestones on their own resources. Participants Country Role General Electric Co. pic (GEC) Bell Telephone Mfg. Co. NV STC Technology Ltd Telefunken Electronic GmbH Farran Technology Ltd CNET UK B UK D IRL F C P P P P P Start Date 1 January 1985 Duration 12 months Status Finished ESIS Volume n 0008189 ®1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Refeience Material—wiU not be lepnblislied 17 1.2 Government R&D Automatic Design Validation of Integrated Circuits Using E-Beam Project Number: 271 The objective is to produce a prototype system capable of automatic error diagnosis of VLSI devices. The chosen approach is to be based on utilizing the observability facilities of e-beam equipment. The results up until now satisfy all the realistic goals set at the beginning and following the first phase. These results are at least state-of-the-art as exemplified at the various presentations and demonstrations given by the partners. The e-beam design validation and testing technique is a new and very promising one. Its impact and time horizon for industrial applications depends strongly on the refinement of this or other competing techniques (e.g. scan design) that may emerge. Approaches have been received from two independent vendors of such systems with a view to marketing a product based on the prototype system developed in the project. British Telecom is meanwhile selling waveform averaging equipment based on one of the results of the project. Participants Country Role CSELT British Telecommunications pic University of Dublin (TCD) IMAG/LGI CNET I UK IRL F F C P P P P Start Date 1 December 1984 Duration 60 months Status Running 18 ©1990 Dataquest Bxaopt Limited November Reference Mtteriaf—will not be repnbliabed ESIS Volmne n 0008189 ESPRIT I Substrates for CMOS VLSI Technology Project Number: 509 The objectives of this project consisted of two parts: To set up an intrinsic gettering (IG) process for wafers with medium to high oxygen concentration. The process was to have been independent of the type (p or n) of the substrate and able to produce: A highly defective bulk region. A defect-free denuded zone. A thickness of this zone around 1 to 10 p.m was identified as an optimum compromise for several factors (such as leakage current and insensitivity to latch up a soft error). To characterize epi wafer diameters of 4 and 6 inches. The thickness of the epi layer was to have been in the range 5 to 10 ^.m, both for p and n substrates. This thickness range is suitable for submicron CMOS. Finally, IG and epi processes were eventually to match in order to have intrinsically gettered, low leakage epi wafers for submicron CMOS devices insensitive to soft errors. Participants Country Role SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SRL IMEC vzw Matra-MHS I B F C P P Start Date 1 January 1985 Duration 24 months Status Finished ESIS Volume II ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Material—wiU not be repobUibed 19 1.2 Government R&D 0.5 Micron X-Ray Lithography: Sources, Masks, Resist and IVansferred Image Project Number: 1007 The project aimed at a technology compatible with x-rays from 7 A to about 13 A, so that resolution down to 0.25 ^m may be eventually achieved. The main tasks of this project were masks, resists and the X-ray lithography process. Participants Country Role CNR-IESS CNRS King's College London Thomson-CSF SGS Thomson Microelectronics SRL I F UK F I C P P P P Start Date 1 January 1986 Duration 30 months Status Finished 20 ©1990 T.imitffd November not be repabluhed ESIS Vohune D 0008189 ESPRIT I CAD High-Level CAD for Interactive Layout and Design Project Number: 10 The objective was to define and demonstrate a CAD system for the design and layout of VLSI integrated circuits from the initial specification to the masks. Circuit complexity up to 1 million transistors was to be addressed. Reduced design times were the overall aim. The main topics under investigation included high-level design methodology based on Petri nets, hierarchic floorplanning with a high degree of automation, analog and general cell design, data modelling and database management. Overall, the project has achieved its stated objectives in terms of the design and production of a CAD design. Validation of its performance, however, has not been demonstrated. The feasibility of describing systems using the Petri net notation and the fact that this can be automatically translated into circuits and layout has been demonstrated. This translation can substantially reduce the design time for complex chips. The work on analog circuits carried out has also made a valuable contribution to the stateof-the-art knowledge in this area, the more so as the mixed analog/digital circuit is gaining in importance. Participants Country Role GEC AEG Aktiengesellschaft Bull SA Plessey Company pic UK D F U C P P P Start Date 1 October 1983 Duration 42 months Status Finished ESIS Volume 11 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Liinited November 0008189 Reference Matenal—^will not be rqmUiihed 21 1.2 Government R&D CAD for VLSI Systems (CVS) Project Number: 802 The objective is to implement an integrated CAD system capable of coping with the needs of the 1990s, where improvements in semiconductor technology will allow the production of chips with about 1 million transistors. Such a CAD system must lead to an improvement in design time to a factor of 10, based on novel tools for automatic construction of designs at the level of system which have themselves been constructed automatically from a set of given parameters. The areas of work therefore include architecture synthesis, digital cell building, analog cell design, integration of tools and design of demonstration chips. The first prototypes of tools were to be delivered by the end of 1989. In order to have maximum impact on industry in general, in addition to internal use by the partners, it was agreed that the resulting software will be made available to third parties (e.g. software houses) for the marketing of results. One company (ANACAD) in Germany has already taken steps to bring some of the results to the marketplace. Participants Country Role CSELT AEG Aktiengesellschaft CIT-Alcatel Italtel Telematica SpA SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SRL Matra-MHS GMD CNET British Telecommunications pic I D F I I F D F UK C P P P P P P P P Start Date 1 March 1986 Duration 54 months Status 22 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Refoence Material—will not be lepnblifbed Finished ESIS Volume n 0008189 ESPRIT I European CAD Integration Project (ECIP) Project Number: 88712072 ECIP investigates the area of data exchange and infrastructure standards with the objective of defining and promoting standards within the Em-opean IT industry. The ability to readily interchange data and CAD tools between companies is a key area for bringing into practical reality many of the benefits of collaborative tool development in Europe and for making available the results of ESPRIT to the wider European IT community. The final goal of ECIP is the definition of a multilayered open model for CAD systems with recommendations for rules and/or standards at each level. Following a succesful proposal in 1988, a new ECIP project (2072) with some new partners and broader terms of reference was started. In addition to amplifying the work started in ECIPl, ECIP2 will add the important standardization of high-level description languages, and of providing objective ways of measuring the performance of CAD modules. The work on CAD frameworks, started in ECIPl, will be greatly expanded covering user interfaces, database interfaces and data interchange interfaces. In all cases, tools to implement and check the recommended standards will be provided and these recommendations will be validated in real design environments. The direct involvement of six major European microelectronics companies and the' indirect involvement of many other projects will provide the basis to ensure the successful adoption of the standards on a wide scale. Some impact (adoption of interim recommendations) can be expected during the project, but the main impact will be on later generations of CAD systems five years fi-om 1989. Participants Country Role Bull SA ICL Nixdorf Computer AG Nederlandse Philips Bedrijven BV SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SA Siemens AG Thomson-CSF SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SRL Alcatel Institut National Polytechnique de Grenoble (INPG) Thomson-CSF/Sinti-a-ASM UCI Micro61ectronique SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SA Institut M6diterran6en de Technologic Instituto de Engenharia de Sistemas e Computadoras (INESC) F UK D NL F D F I F F F F F F P C P P (2072 only) P P P P (2072 only) P P (887 only) A A A A A A Start Date of ECIPl 1 January 1986 Duration 36 months Status Finished Start Date of ECIP2 1 January 1989 Duration 60 months Status Running ESIS Volume n 0008189 (S>1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Reference Miteriil—will not be lepnblislied 23 1.2 Government R&D MISCELLANEOUS Wafer-Scale Inte^ation Project Number: 824 The objective is to use the wafer-scale integration (WSI) approach to build systems of up to 25 million transistors on a 4-in. wafer using a hierarchical approach to implement tolerance to end-of-manufacturing defects. Additionally, two WSI architectures—for a memory and a systolic array—have been proposed with solutions to the difficult problem of reconfiguration and testability. The first silicon demonstrating WSI implementation was to be foreseen in early 1989. The developed know-how in technology will allow correction of end-of-manufacturing defects and hence improve the ability to realize full custom, one million transistor chips for the ASIC sector. From the system point of view, the developed systolic array, as it is more compact and can contain more processors than any other available system, is opening up a whole new range of uses, notably for signal processing functions in video applications. Participants Country Role SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SA British Telecommunications pic INPG National Microelectronics Research Centre (NMRC) CEA/LETI Technische Hochschule Darmstadt F UK F IRL F D C P P P P P Start Date 14 May 1986 Duration 58 months Status Finished 24 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Reference Materiaf—wiU not be repnbliahed ESIS Volume n 0008189 ESPRIT I High'Density Mass Storage Memories for Knowledge and Information Storage Project Number: 957 The objective was to develop vertical and magneto-optical recording technologies for mass storage on rotating disks. Compared with classical recording techniques, these technologies are potentially capable of providing much higher storage densities, as well as higher storage reliability and more competitive storage costs. Vertical recording technology was investigated and developed for both floppy and rigid disks. Addressed topics include media and substrates and read/write heads. A new optical pickup was designed for magneto-optical recording. In addition to the development of basic components and technologies, work was carried out for simulation of the mechanical dynamics of the flying heads. The specific technical objectives achieved in the case of vertical recording were a linear density of 40,000 fci and a radial density of 1,500 tpi for rigid disks. The magneto-optical system should provide a linear density of 20,000 bpi and a radial density of 10,000 tpi. In terms of the capacities, these results for 5.25-in. drives correspond to 150 to 200 MB for vertical rigid disks, and 400 to 500 MB for magneto-optical disks. Some of the results pave the way to industrial products in the near future (such as BaFe floppy disks). The other results, especially on magneto-optical discs and heads, give the partners a strong background to be used in the ESPRIT II project (number 2013) on magneto-optical disk drives. Participants Country Role Bull SA BASF AG CEA/LETI Thomson-CSF Simulog SA Glaverbel SA Bogen Electronic GmbH F D F F F B D C P P P P P P Start Date 1 Feburary 1986 Duration 36 months Status Finished ESIS Volume n 0008189 ®1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Refereoce Material—will not be repoblislied 25 1.4 The European Economic Environment THE EUROPEAN ECONOMY EcoiKjmic Growth The world stock markets' crash of October 1987 has had less effect on the economies of Western Europe than anticipated at the beginning of 1988. According to the IMF (International Monetary Fund), the crash will reduce the industrial countries' growth rates in 1988 and 1989 by only a quarter of a percentage point. However, Western Europe's growth performance over the next five years will remain poor compared with other regions. Real GNP in OECD (Organization for Eiffopean Cooperation and Development) Europe grew 2.80 percent in 1987, slightly more than previously forecast, but less than the United States' growth rate of 2.90 percent. Japan's economy expanded by 4.20 percent in 1987, much more than previously forecast. Nineteen eighty-seven was the fifth consecutive year that Europe has lagged behind the United States and Japan in GNP growth. In 1988 and 1989, real GNP in Europe will grow 2.50 percent and 2.00 percent, respectively, whereas the U.S. economy is expected to grow 2.75 percent in 1988 and 2.50 percent in 1989. Japan anticipates 4.25 percent growth in 1988 and 3.75 percent in 1989. Among the four major European countries, the United Kingdom's growth rate outranked those of the others in 1987 with 4.50 percent, followed by Italy with 3.10 percent, France with 1.90 percent, and West Germany with 1.70 percent. The United Kingdom will continue to set the pace, with a 3-50 percent growth rate projected for 1988 but only 2.25 percent forecast for 1989. Italy is expected to grow by about 2.50 percent in 1988 and just more than 2.00 percent in 1989. West Germany and France will experience slower growth of about 2.00 percent in 1988, but less than 2.00 percent growth is expected for these two coimtries in 1989. In Scandinavia, Finland will achieve growth rates above the European average in 1988 and 1989, followed by Sweden with rates just below the European average. Denmark and Norway will experience the lowest growth rates in Europe, with 0 to 1 percent growth projected for 1988 and 1989. The Benelux countries anticipate growth rates below the European average—from 1.50 percent to 2.00 percent for 1988 and 1.75 percent for 1989. Spain and Portugal have the fastest-growing economies in OECD Europe, with growth rates of 5.0 percent in 1987, approximately 4.0 percent expected for 1988, and 3.5 percent projected for 1989. Unemployment The European economies are not generating sufficient economic growth to reduce unemployment. Between 1980 and 1987, no net new jobs were created in Europe as a whole, although the labor force increased by more than 6.0 percent. Unemployment in ESIS Volume II 0001221 © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated September 1.4-1 1.4 The European Economic Environment Europe continues to affect 11.0 percent of the labor force. The United States records only half that rate at 5.5 percent, whereas Japan's unemployment rate of 2.5 percent in 1988 is less than half the rate of the United States. No major changes are anticipated in these rates for 1989. To achieve a significant reduction in the jobless total, growth in employment will have to rise by between 1.5 percent to 2.0 percent a year. The EC Commission estimates that such employment gains could only be achieved with an overall economic growth rate from 3.0 to 3.5 percent per annum, provided this growth were employment intensive. Only in the United Kingdom is unemployment showing a clear downward trend. The United Kingdom's unemployment rate of 10.4 percent in 1987, below the European average for the first time since 1979, is expected to decrease further in 1988 to 9.5 percent of the labor force. West Germany's unemployment rate is predicted to show a slight increase, from 7.9 percent in 1987 to 8.1 percent in 1988. In France, unemployment is forecast to increase from 10.8 percent in 1987 to 11.3 percent in 1988. Italy has the highest unemployment rate among the four major European countries, with its 11.7 percent rate in 1987 expected to rise to 11.8 percent in 1988. Only the Scandinavian countries, with the exception of Denmark, as well as Switzerland and Austria, registered low unemployment rates. Spain and Ireland show the highest unemployment rates in OECD Europe at approximately 20 percent, followed by the Netherlands with more than 12 percent and Belgium with 11 percent. Long-term unemployment has grown more rapidly than the government measures implemented to deal with it. In major European countries, the long-term unemployed (those out of work continuously for more than 12 months) constitute 30 to 50 percent of the total unemployed, whereas the equivalent proportion in the United States is 10 percent or less. Belgium has been hit the hardest by long-term unemployment, with 68.3 percent of the jobless out of work for more than a year, followed by Italy with 63.6 percent and Ireland with 62.2 percent. The Netherlands and Spain are also above the EC average of 52.3 percent, with 56.4 percent and 56.3 percent, respectively. The youth unemployment rate is another main area of concern ("youth" generally refers to the 15 to 24 age group). It continues to be highest in Spain with more than 40 percent in 1987, but expected to be below that rate in 1988 and 1989. Italy's youth imemployment rate is forecast to increase from 37 percent in 1987 to just more than 40 percent in 1989. Youth unemployment in France is also projected to increase from 23 percent in 1987 to 27 percent in 1989. Investment Business confidence seems unshaken by the October 1987 stock market crash. In Europe, however, businessmen are less optimistic about prospects for growth than those in the United States and Japan. Investment growth in Europe is expected to slow somewhat by the end of 1989, because of slower economic growth and high real interest rates. 1.4-2 © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated September ESIS Volume II 0001221 1.4 The European Economic Environment Business investment in Europe is anticipated to rise by an average of less than 5 percent in 1988. The slowdown of the ratio of real business investment to real GNP in Europe may be pjartly to blame for the persistently high unemployment. In the United States, private nonresidential investment is projected to ejqjand 9.50 percent in 1988, and in Japan, 10.25 percent. Eiffopean and U.S. investments are expected to grow less than 3 percent in 1989, whereas in Japan, investment growth of more than 7 percent is forecast. Of the four major European countries, the United Kingdom's private nonresidential investment grew 7.20 percent in 1987, and is expected to increase by 8.00 percent in 1988 and 5.25 percent in 1989. Italy's investment in machinery and equipment, which e3q)anded 11.50 percent in 1987, is anticipated to grow 5.00 percent in 1988 but only 4.00 percent in 1989. France recorded growth of 4.00 percent in 1987, and expects rates of 5.50 percent in 1988 and 4.00 percent in 1989. West Germany's investment performance in 1987 was much less positive than previously forecast, with a growth rate of 3.20 percent. In 1988 and 1989, West Germany's annual investment rate is expected to be approximately 3.00 percent. In Scandinavia, Sweden predicts investment growth of almost 5.00 percent in 1988 but only 2.00 percent in 1989. Finland anticipates investment growth of more than 3.00 percent in 1988, and more than 2.00 percent in 1989. Denmark expects growth of negative 3.25 percent in 1988 and negative 2.25 percent in 1989, whereas Norway forecasts high investment growth of 12.00 percent in 1988 but growth of negative 1.75 percent in 1989. Investment prospects for Spain and Portugal are very positive. Spain's investment growth is expected to expand almost 11.0 percent in 1988, following growth of 13.7 percent in 1987. Portugal recorded the highest investment growth rate in Europe of 19.0 percent in 1987, and anticipates a 10.0 percent growth rate in 1988. In 1989, Portugal's growth rate of 8.0 percent will be the highest in OECD Eiorope, followed by Spain with just more than 7.0 percent investment growth. Inflation Inflation in Europe is projected to remain stable, but is expected to increase in the United States and Japan. The average inflation rate in OECD Europe is expected to be aRsroximately 4.00 percent in 1988 and less than 4.00 percent in 1989, whereas the U.S. rate is forecast to increase from 3.25 percent in 1988 to 4.00 percent in 1989. Japan's inflation rate will rise from 1.75 percent in 1988 to 2.50 percent in 1989. Among the four major European countries. West Germany will continue to record the lowest inflation rate of 1.50 percent per annum in 1988 and 1989. France expects to reduce its 1988 rate of 2.75 to 2.50 percent in 1989, whereas the United Kingdom and Italy forecast inflation rates of 4.75 percent for 1988. These projections for the United Kingdom and Italy may decrease in 1989 to 4.50 and 4.25 percent, respectively. ESIS Volume II 0001221 © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated September 1.4-3 1.4 The European Economic Environment In Scandinavia, inflation rates for 1988 and 1989 are expected to be above the European average. Only Denmark anticipates a rate below 4 percent. Spain's inflation rate in 1988 and 1989 will be in line with the European average, but Portugal's rate, which is expected to decrease from 9.5 percent in 1987 to less than 6.0 percent in 1989, is still well above the European average. Private Consumption Private consumption was an important source of growth in most European countries in 1987, as household saving ratios declined and consumer borrowing rose rapidly in some countries. For 1988, private consumption in the four major European countries will increase most in the United Kingdom at 5.00 percent, followed by West Germany with 3.25 percent. France and Italy forecast private consumption growth of 2.50 percent for 1988. These rates compare with projected consumption growth of 1.75 percent in the United States and 4.00 percent in Japan for 1988. Private consumption rates in the United States and Japan in 1989 are forecast to increase at about the same rates as in 1988, whereas the four major European countries expect lower consumption growth of between 1.50 percent and 3.25 percent. In Scandinavia, Sweden and Finland anticipate that private consumption will rise approximately 3 percent in 1988 and from 2 to 3 percent in 1989. Denmark and Norway forecast negative growth in 1988; this negative growth is expected to continue in Norway in 1989, but Denmark expects low growth of 1 percent in 1989. Spain and Portugal recorded private consumption growth of 5.2 percent and 7.3 percent, respectively, in 1987, and anticipate growth rates of 4.0 to 5.0 percent in 1988 and 3.5 percent in 1989. Foreign Trade Trade goods and 30 percent 60 percent plays a bigger role in European countries than in Japan. Japan's exports of services are equivalent to only 16 percent of its GNP, but the ratio is 25 to in West Germany, France, the United Kingdom and Italy and more than in the Netherlands and Belgium. Europe's economic performance depends heavily on strong foreign markets and expansion in trade. But Europe's overall real trade balance will decline over the coming years for the first time since the early 1980s because of the improvement in the external position of the United States. Export prospects within Europe are limited because no European country by itself is likely to be a source of substantially higher export growth for others. 1.4-4 © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated September ESIS Volume II 0001221 1.4 The European Economic Environment All European countries, except Denmark and Norway, will increase their imports of goods and services more than their esqwrts in 1988 and 1989. This situation also applies to Japan, whereas the United States anticipates higher export than import growth. In Europe, Spain and Portugal expect imports to grow 13.0 percent and 11.5 percent, respectively, in 1988, followed by the United Kingdom with import growth of almost 8.0 percent, Italy with almost 7.0 percent, and West Germany with 6.0 percent. This compares with 14.0 percent growth in Japan for 1988. Portugal projects imports to increase 9 percent in 1989, followed by Spain with 8 percent, then West Germany and Italy with 5 percent p'owth each. Japan's imports are forecast to expand almost 9 percent in 1989. Overall, all European countries, except Denmark and Norway, will experience lower import growth in 1989 than in 1988. Export growth in Europe in 1988 will be strongest in Portugal with 7,5 percent, followai by Spain and Italy with 5.5 percent each, and West Germany and France with just more than 4.0 percent each. This compares with almost 16.0 percent export growth in the United States and 6.0 percent in Japan for 1988. For 1989, Portugal expects the highest growth rate again at more than 6.0 percent; followed by Spain with 5.0 percent growth; Norway with 4.5 percent; and Italy, France, and West Germany with about 4.0 percent each. In the United States, exports are forecast to rise more than 11 percent in 1989, and in Japan, more than 5 percent. The current account balance for OECD Europe is expected to show a decreasing surplus of $37.5 billion in 1987, $24.0 billion in 1988, and only $9.0 billion in 1989. Only West Germany, the Benelux countries, Switzerland, and Ireland will contribute positive current account balances in 1988 and 1989. West Germany's expected surplus for 1989 of $42 billion will be offset by the combined deficits of the United Kingdom, France, and Italy, estimated at $21 billion. In Japan, the surplus is anticipated to decrease from $87 billion in 1987 to $80 billion in 1989, whereas the United States will continue to record a large but decreasing deficit of $150 billion in 1988 and $132 billion in 1989. Competitiveness Europe continues to experience higher wage increases than the United States and Japan. In 1987, EC countries' manufacturing earnings increased 5.2 percent—twice as much as Japan's at 2.6 percent and almost three times the U.S. rate of 1.8 percent. Unit labor costs in the private sector are expected to increase 6.00 percent in 1988 and 5.00 percent in 1989 in European OECD countries, except in the four major countries. Of the four major European countries, the United Kingdom and Italy forecast annual increases of between 4.00 percent and 4.75 percent in 1988 and 1989, whereas West Germany and France expect unit labor costs to rise only 0.50 percent in 1988 and from 0.75 percent to 1.50 percent in 1989. ESIS Volume II 0001221 © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated September 1.4-5 1.4 The European Economic Environment Japan expects similarly low increases in unit labor costs, with 1.00 percent for 1988 and 1.25 percent for 1989, whereas the United States projects rates of 3.25 percent in 1988 and 4.00 percent in 1989. Labor productivity, measured as compound annual growth rates of real GNP/private sector employment, in the 1986 to 1989 time frame is expected to improve by 2.4 percent in the United Kingdom, 2.2 percent in France, 1.7 percent in Italy, and 1.6 percent in West Germany. These rates compare with growth of 3.1 percent in Japan, but only 0.7 percent in the United States. The largest labor productivity growth rates in Europe are forecast by Finland, with 3.4 percent, and Ireland, with 2.7 percent. Although the European average inflation rate is expected to be slightly lower than the U.S. rate in 1989, it will still be just more than one percentage point higher than Japan's inflation rate. The combination of the previously discussed factors and exchange rate effects will put pressure on the European countries to continue their efforts to reduce labor costs further and improve labor market flexibility. • Research and Develc^ment Programs to stimulate basic research into industrial technologies (BRITE), information technology (ESPRIT), telecom (RACE), technology transfer (SPRINT) and high-technology products (EUREKA) have been launched within the EC. Collaboration between European countries is seen as a possibility to share high research and development costs. It is also hoped that alliances across Europe will produce a new and more flexible industrial structure. In the spring of 1988, nearly Ecu 2 billion for high-technology joint research projects were approved by EC research ministers. The second phase of the ESPRIT program scheduled to run until 1993 has been approved. ESPRIT II involves about 500 EC companies and is the largest program in the European Commission's overall Ecu 5.8 billion research budget for the next four years. The industrial technology program BRITE is to be funded an extra Ecu 60 million in addition to the Ecu 65 million for the 1985 to 1989 period. The new funding will be drawn from the program's Ecu 400 million second stage, which is scheduled to run from 1989 to 1991. The West German and Dutch governments, scientific institutes, and about 50 West European companies are involved in a proposed research and development scheme worth DM3 billion to DM4 billion. This scheme. Joint European Semiconductor Silicon (JESSI), would be the biggest project jointly undertaken by governments and industry to promote Europe's competitive position in semiconductor devices. JESSI, scheduled to start at the end of 1988, would run until 1995. Most of the cost would be borne by industry, but substantial funding is expected to be provided by the West German and Dutch governments and the EC. 1.4-6 © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated September ESIS Volume II 0001221 L4 The European Economic Environment Venture Capital The European venture capital industry continues to grow, and it is nearly half as big in the EC as it is in the United States, according to the European Venture Capital Association. The United Kingdom still represents the largest venture capital industry in Europe, followed by the NetherlaiKls and France. Italy's venture capital industry shows the fastest rate of growth, but its industry is still small. The EC decided to provide Ecu 1.9 million in 1987 to fund the Venture Consort scheme, aimed at promoting cross-border business agreements. The European Commission is working on the details of a package of tax reforms, investment incentives, and easier accounting rules to help boost cross-frontier collaboration between small high-technology businesses. The aim is to attract more private-sector venture capital. An EC-funded guarantee would insure private ventiffe capital groups against 50 percent of the investment losses caused by companies qualifying for the scheme. The guarantee would be partly fiinded by an insurance-tjTse premium, partly paid by the Commission. Industrial and Entr^H-eneinial Initiatives The trend toward closer technological collaborations continues, as the EC pushes ahead with measures to <^en up its internal market. Siemens, Bull, and ICL are making a joint bid for an Ecu 85 million collaborative research project funded by the EC. This program is planned under the second phase of the ESPRIT research of information technology. CGE of France acquired a controlling interest in the wide-ranging European telecommunications businesses of ITT. CGCT, the French public exchange manufacturer, was sold to Ericsson and Matra. SGS-Ates merged with the nonmilitary semiconductor operations of Thomson to create a group that can compete internationally. Olivetti took over Triumph-Adler of West Germany. Toshiba went into full-scale assembly of its 1 megabit memory device in BraiMischweig, West Germany, in 1987. Toshiba invested DM60 million and manufactures about 1.8 million devices a year. A fourth design office operates from Braunschweig; the other three offices are in Dusseldorf, Stockholm, and the United Kingdom. About 70 percent of the memory products Toshiba sells in Europe now come from this plant. ES2, the pan-European semiconductor company, is planning to expand by bringing in more large industrial shareholders. It would like links with a leading company from West Germany, where it has no shareholders, and with the United States. In the summer of 1987, ES2 took over Lattice Logic, which is a U.K. company based in Edinburgh and is world leader in silicon compilers. ESIS Volume II 0001221 © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated September 1.4-7 1.4 The European Economic Environment The Roundtable of European Industrialists with 29 members set up 6 industrial "working task forces" in the summer of 1987 to examine issues related to the group's mission to achieve the kind of European market that industry wants. The group believes that it is crucial to agree to EC-wide standards before 1992 and to abolish national standards that inhibit free trade in the EC. It also proposes to remove all barriers to cross-border mergers and acquisitions and to extend EC research programs beyond the precompetitive stage to cover products with market potential. The Roundtable group wants remaining telecommunications monopolies to be abolished. 1.4-8 © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated September ESIS Volume II 0001221 1.5 Channel of Distribution INTRODUCTION The two fundamental reasons that semiconductor vendors sell through franchised distributors are as follows: • To reduce sales costs • To improve service levels to small and medium-size companies 1980 TO 1987 Semiconductor distribution in Europe has grown from $1,073 million in 1980 to $1,919 million in 1987. As such, it represented 30.2 percent of the estimated $6,355 million European semiconductor market in 1987. The present market structure in Europe is highly nationalized, with very few distributors operating in a pan-European mode. Since the early 1980s, distribution has undergone substantial restructuring caused by a combination of factors including profit squeezing by manufacturers, manufacturer mergers, and the threat of North American distribution being brought into the network. As shown in Table 1, the European distribution market has grown from $1,073 million in 1980 to $1,919 million in 1987, a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.75 percent. Distribution as a percentage of the total European semiconductor market has ranged from 29.1 percent in 1980 to 32.7 percent in 1986. Table 1 Estimated European Semiconductor Distribution Market History and Forecast (Millions of U.S. Dollars) Total Semiconductor Distribution (%) Distribution Total Semiconductor Distribution (%) Distribution 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 $3,686 29.1 $1,073 $3,041 29.6 $ 900 $3,167 30.3 $ 960 $3,370 30.9 $1,041 $4,805 32.5 $1,562 $4,720 31.8 $1,501 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 $6,355 30.2 $1,919 $8,491 28.2 $2,394 $9,221 28.3 $2,610 $9,535 29.9 $2,851 $11,127 31.2 $ 3,472 1992 $14,966 32.4 $ 4,849 Source: ESIS Volume II 0003969 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June 1986 $5,532 32.7 $1,809 1993 $17,271 33.1 $ 5,717 Dataquest June 1989 1.5-1 1.5 Channel of Distribution However, an increase in distribution market share, which usually is seen during growth periods, has not occurred in the 1988 high-growth period. The reasons for this are outlined in the following section. 1988 SCENARIO Dataquest estimates that semiconductor distribution will lose substantial market share in 1988. Our current estimate is that the European semiconductor marketplace will grow by 33.6 percent from $6,355 million to $8,491 million. We estimate that distribution will grow at a rate of 8 percentage points behind the market. This is significant because it will be the first high-growth year in which distribution has lost market share. Traditionally, distribution, which primarily deals with commodity product lines such as standard logic, 4000, and 74LS, has been quick to take advantage of market growth. By buying inventory at a competitive price and then selling it during the high-growth period of product famine, distributors historically have driven up their revenue. So what is the difference this time? An analysis that was carried out during 1987's Electronica in Munich using a sample of distribution users and semiconductor distributors highlighted the following reasons why distribution is having difficulty keeping up with the market: • Components marketed by distributors generally are profiled toward lower growth products. • The broad-line supermarket approach to distribution is failing to adequately service the customer base. • European distributors are concerned that American distributors might move into Europe en masse. Regarding the lower growth portfolio, we estimate that the European semiconductor market will grow 33.6 percent in dollars in 1988, as stated previously. However, taking MOS memory and MOS micro out of the growth equation results in a remaining 17 percent growth for other product categories. Unfortunately, distribution has had limited success in selling MOS memory and micro products. MOS memory never has been really a distribution product, and during the 1988 shortages, OEM accounts clearly have been prioritized by the manufacturers. Dataquest estimates that 16 percent of European microcomponents revenue is a result of selling via distribution. Popular architectures such as those of Motorola and Intel command a higher percentage penetration, estimated at 24 percent of combined architectural revenue during 1988. Because the popular architectures are available through only a limited number of outlets, the network as a whole has not enjoyed great success in distributing these components. 1.5-2 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June ESIS Volume II 0003969 1.5 Channel of Distribution Arguably, the low-growth portfolio is offset to some extent by a higher growth rate experienced by the smaller, more dynamic companies served by distribution. However, as our distribution user poll demonstrated, a growing number believe that distribution has lost focus and no longer meets all requirements of the traditional small businesses it was set up to service. In the poll, we received the same complaint several times: Unless a business is of sufficient volume and value (one user mentioned 10,000 pieces or more) distributors cannot be bothered with its problems. On a number of occasions, distribution was charged with being more interested in building up OEM business than in looking after the mass market. Users preferred local specialist distributors that, both technically and commercially, were more in touch with the small user's demands. Overall, the impression was that distribution was failing to adapt quickly enough to the changing user environment, and that the supermarket/multiline supplier was losing touch with the needs of the smaller user. The third point regarding the move of American distributors into Europe is whether or not this will improve the performance of distributors operating in Europe. It is clear that the existing distribution network is concerned about companies such as Arrow and Future obtaining preferential terms from the major North American semiconductor vendors.. These concerns were brought to a head when Future set up operations in the United Kingdom and West Germany. Conceivably, an American distributor, given the right acquisition and a solid local management team, could achieve efficiency and service levels on a pan-European scale that would allow effective competition with the existing network. A good analogy is shown in how Texas Instruments, Motorola, and National Semiconductor gained market share from Philips, Siemens, and Thomson in the 1970s by setting up organizations that spanned Europe with synchronized systems and procedures, but with local management attuned to local needs. Another example is shown in the computing industry, where American companies are organized to tackle the European market as a whole, and leading European companies' revenue overwhelmingly generates from their own national base. CHANNELS OF DISTRIBUTION Agents and Representatives Manufacturers, in using distribution channels such as agents and representatives (reps), augment their own direct sales force. The agents and reps tend to be one- or two-person teams who are based in a European country and dealing with the larger accounts. The agent, who usually represents only one semiconductor franchise, does not hold inventory. He or she is paid a percentage of the billings that the vendor takes to the assigned account. The accounts assigned to agents or reps tend to be smaller than ESIS Volume II 0003969 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June 1.5-3 1.5 Channel of Distribution that serviced by the vendor's own sales force but larger than is typically handled by franchised distributors. The agent concept is most advanced in the United Kingdom, West Germany, and Scandinavia. Franchised Distributors Semiconductor vendors usually engage a number of franchised distributors for each country within Europe. These distributors fall into two distinct categories: "supermarket" and "specialist." The supermarket outlet generally holds a number of large franchises with strong commodity, logic, linear, and discrete lines. The specialist distribution concept has grown quickly during the past few years as customers become more technically advanced, and the need for a distributor to help in the design-in phase of very large scale integration (VLSI) becomes standard. These specialist distributors are technically overrated, and many of them specialize in carrying innovative lines from the smaller semiconductor vendors. Gray Market Dealers Terminal-to-terminal communications have made it possible for a seller in the Far East to contact potential customers almost anywhere in the world and to offer products for short-term delivery at prices well below the established market price in the buyer's home territory. The seller may not even have the stock in its current inventory, or ever take physical possession of it; however, by offering competitive price and short-term delivery terms, the dealer takes advantage of world pricing differentials and, in doing so, undercuts local franchised houses. Regional Distribution With the move toward 1992 and the breaking down of regional boundaries, distributors and major vendors are looking at more cost-effective methods of holding inventory in Europe. INVENTORY MANAGEMENT ISSUES Centralized Warehousing Centralized warehousing is gaining popularity as a method of reducing inventory holdings costs. Many distributors split their inventory into A, B, and C categories (using some form of Pareto's Law) based on sales turnover by device. The central warehouse is stocked with all three types, and branch or local warehouses hold fast-moving A and B category devices. Exceptions to this may occur because of local requirements of certain 1.5-4 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June ESIS Volume II 0003969 1.5 Channel of Distribution industries or specific customers. In a pan-European context, distributors limit stock volume for their entire range of franchises to one major location and invest in smaller satellite warehouses for holding faster-moving devices, instead of keeping money tied up in slow-moving inventory in each European country. Setting Inventory Levels Inventory level is always a point of contention between vendors and distributors. Distributors would like to see their stock rotate four or five times per year at resale price. Suppliers believe that the rotation rate should be three to three and one-half times per year. At any rate, holding inventory costs money. A balance must be struck between the cost of financing inventory and the "service level," which usually is defined as the number of line items that can be shipped from stock and expressed as a percentage of total line items ordered. Recent research indicates that distributors are moving toward a service level of 90 percent and adjusting inventory levels to meet this requirement. Supporting Just-in-Time (JIT) Delivery Requirements JIT deliveries are being requested by an increasing number of customers. Some customers are prepared to place long-term orders (6 to 18 months) for production programs with the expectation that the distributor will guarantee to meet the required call-offs, regardless of the current lead-time situation. The distributor's stock must be adequate and located near the customer to ensure customer support. Earning the customer's trust is vital—the distributor must establish a close personal relationship with each customer. To offer this level of service suggests that a distributor must provide local branch distribution. Computer Issues Some suppliers regard unsold inventory as a contingent liability. They want to know the amount of potential liability and where it is located. Also, inventory movements and resale bookings and billings are important pieces of market intelligence for the supplier. The supplier must have real-time access to this information. The distributor's computer software may have to be changed to meet all reporting and control requirements. Obviously, each branch must use the same software package. If the distributor is working on a computer-to-computer basis with the supplier(s), this will introduce further software and hardware compatibility requirements. ESIS Volume II 0003969 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June 1.5-5 1.5 Channel of Distribution Export Control and Currency Considerations Many devices are considered to be strategic and, as such, are under strict export control regulations. These may be imposed by local authority or NATO. The distributor must be able to comply with the regulations and demonstrate tight administrative control of the movement of such devices. In some cases, it may be necessary to establish a bonded warehouse. A bonded location can also be used for stock imported from outside the European Community while the distributor waits for a final delivery point to be established. This warehouse would form a central stocking location for the pan-European distributor. The valuation of stock held in two or more locations that use different currencies may be handled based on the currency of the country where the main stock is held. However, tax considerations in the branch countries may involve evaluating the inventory in two currencies. Centralized warehousing has both good and bad points for the distributor. One benefit is better control of inventory costs and the possible reduction of these costs. Better service can be offered to the customer because A and B stock is available as needed, which results in faster stock rotation. A benefit for the supplier is better visibility of inventory holdings. However, centralized warehousing requires a highly sophisticated control system, which will lead to an administrative costs increase. For the supplier, advantages include fewer ship-to points, fewer small orders, and a single bill-to point. Selling time and costs also are reduced. The supplier could lose some visibility on stock inventory location, market use, and local market pricing. These points require closer cooperation between the distributor and the supplier to be resolved. Centralized warehousing for multicountry distributors is on its way. The distributor must develop effective internal control techniques, satisfy the demands of his suppliers, and comply with export control regulations. This will require careful planning and execution, but the majority of participants believe that it will be worth it. 1.5-6 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June ESIS Volume II 0003969 ESPRIT II Overview ESPRIT European Strategic Programme for Research and Development in Information Technology Council decision: Official Journal L118, dated 6-5-1988 Aims: Duration: To develop basic technologies for the European IT industry; to promote European industrial cooperation in precompetitive R&D; to develop internationally accepted standards. 5 years, December 1987 to November 1992 EC Contribution: ECU 1,600 million, or $2,105 million Area of Research: A. Research and development projects with a long-term strategic impact: • Microelectronics and peripheral technologies (including the development of application-specific integrated circuits, high-speed integrated circuits, CAD) • Information processing systems (including total systems design, parallel architectures, signal and knowledge processing) • IT application technologies (including industrial applications (CIM), distributed information processing, business and home systems) B. Basic research (actions) • Primarily molecular electronics, artificial intelligence and cognitive science, the application of solid state physics to IT, advanced systems design C. Accompanying measures • Coordination, information processing and exchange, standardization, technology transfer ESIS Volume U ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Matoial—will not be repntdished 27 1.2 Government R&D Calls for Proposals: Deadlines * R & D projects, Area A 12-4-1988 * Basic research, Area B 13-6-1988 * Superconductivity 13-6-1988 * VLSI 6-1-1989 * Parallel processing 17-4-1989 * Microelectronics 4-9-1988 * R & D projects. Area A 10-1-1990 ** To be decided * Published ** Planned Scheme of Support: Shared-cost research contracts Particularities: • Projects (area A): Participation of at least two independent industrial partners not established in the same Member State. • Actions (area B): Participation of at least two research institutions not established in the same Member State. • There are particular calls for proposals in superconductivity, in connection with the SCIENCE progranmie. 28 ©1990 Dataquest Eunqw Limited November Reference Material—win not be npabhabei ESIS Volume U 0008189 ESPRIT II Project Information INTEGRATED CIRCUITS Bipolar Advanced Silicon for Europe (BASE) Project Number: 2016 The goal of the project is to develop and fully integrate technology expertise in the submicron range as well as design and CAD achievements. The development plan proceeds in two phases yielding interim (Yl) and final (Y2) process versions after year 3 and year 5, with the following target specifications. Process Characteristics Process (VI) Process (V2) Emitter width (minimum) Gate delay Power delay product No. interconnection layers Via pitch (minimum) Transmitter frequency (maximum) Transmitter count (maximum) 0.7 |im 50 ps 40 f J 3 3.5 15 GHz 1 X 10' 0.3 Vm' Participants Philips Gloielampenfabrieken NV Plessey Company pic SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SRL Siemens AG/Semiconductor Group Telefunken Electronic GmbH SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SA Technische Hochschule Darmstadt Technische Universitat Berlin IMEC vzw Royal Signals and Radar Establishment (RSRE) Communications and Management Systems Unit (CMSU) University of Dublin (TCD) Country NL UK I D D F D D B UK GR IRL Role C P P P P P A A A A A A Start Date 1 February 1989 Duration 60 months Status Running ESIS Volume n ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Miaerial—will not be lepnbluhed 40 ps 10 fJ 4 2 25 GHz 5 X 10" 29 1.2 Government R&D Advanced PROM Building Blocks (APBB) Project Number: 2039 The objective of this project is the integration of a new generation of reprogrammable, read-only memory devices (PROMs) into advanced CMOS processes for the application-specific market. To do this, the necessary CAD tools required to support nonvolatile memory designs will also be developed. The work is divided into two phases, the first from years 1 to 3 and the second from years 3 to 5, with an overlap in year 3. In phase one, existing and new memory devices will be evaluated and developed. Suitable cells will be incorporated into 1 |j,m and low-voltage (1.5V, 2 \\xci design rule) CMOS processes. In phase two, advanced devices will be integrated into increased-density, low-voltage (1.5V, 1.5 |im) and submicron (0.7 to 0.8 p.m) CMOS processes. Participants Country Role Plessey Company pic SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SRL SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SA Deister Electronic GmbH IMEC vzw NMRC Mikron GmbH Gemplus Card International IRIS INESC Eurosil Electronic GmbH UK I F D B IRL D F I P D C P P A A A A A A A A Start Date 15 December 1988 Duration 36 months Running 30 ©1990 Dataquest Eatapt Limited November Refoence Materiat-^wiU not be lepnblisbed Status ESIS Volume n 0008189 ESPRIT n Analog/Digital CMOS ICs (ADCIS) Project Number: 2193 The integration of analog and digital functions on a single chip is necessary for the development of new systems for information technology for data commimication, industrial and consumer systems. During the proposed project a 1 ^im CMOS process will be adapted and characterized for mixed analog/digital function and an electrical parameter of a submicron CMOS technology will be extracted. The devices from the digital CMOS technology and the necessary analog-adapted process modules will be defined and characterized. At the same time, the development of design tools will be started, with the goal of building a system capable of being used to produce siUcon compilers involving digital and analog cells. The CAD tools will be tested and demonstrated, analog cell library and analog basic converter functional blocks will be developed, and one industrial demonstrator circuit will be designed and processed. The circuit considered for the demonstration of the analog-digital CMOS technology is a component for the ISDN new telecommunications system. Participants Country Role Matra-MHS ANACAD-Computer Systems GmbH Centro Nacional de Microelectrbnica (CNM) NMRC Universidad de Sevilla-AICIA Mietec NV Instituto Superior Tecnico CNET F D E IRL E B P F C P P P P P P P Start Date 1 January 1989 Duration 36 months Status Running ESIS Volume n 0008189 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Refoence Material—will not be lepntdisbed 31 1.2 Government R&D Combined Analog/Digital Integration (CANDI) Project Number: 2268 The project aims at the development of the main technologies and implementation techniques needed for the fabrication of complete analog/digital (A/D) systems on silicon. This includes the development of a 0.8 \x.m bipolar/CMOS merged technology exploiting the specific advantages of both bipolar (high-speed components, high driving capability and high-precision analog circuitry) and CMOS (high integration density and low power consumption) technologies. The associated design techniques and the appropriate CAD tools covering both analog, digital and mixed signal A/D applications, as well as effective low-cost tools for complex A/D circuits testing, are also to be developed. The final objective is the full integration of technology, design and CAD tools implemented in the fabrication of prototype system components for major fields of applications such as consumer electronics and telecommunications. Participants Country Role SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SA Telefunken Electronic GmbH AEG Olympia AG Thomson-CSF-LER (Laboratoire Electronique de Rennes) Universite Paris Sud Universitat Dortmund Plessey Company pic Thomson Consumer Electronics DOSIS GmbH Alcatel Standard Electrica SA F D D F F D UK F D E C P A A A A A A A A Start Date 1 December 1988 Duration 36 months Status Rimning 32 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Reference Material—wiU not be lepnUialied ESIS Volume n 0008189 ESPRIT n A High-Performance CMOS/Bipolar Process for VLSI Circuits (BiCMOS) Project Number: 41212430 The objective of the project is the development of a VLSI technology combining, on a single chip, MOS circuitry of the highest density currently obtainable with bipolar circuitry of similar density, but better suited to specific tasks, such as analog interfacing with the external world. The main effort has been on the technological side, in the development of methods which allow both bipolar and MOS transistors to be made in compatible process steps, and in dimensions comparable to those presently obtained in MOS-only technology. In parallel with the technological work, design methods for this specific type of circuit (mixed analog and digital functions) have been under development along with studies to determine, for various types of application, the most appropriate division of subsystems between the two circuit technologies. The work is presently progressing towards the development of BiCMOS-2 (1.2 ^im feature size in CMOS and 0.9 to 1.2 jxm in the bipolar part). This is now being carried out within ESPRIT II Project 2430, which has, as a main objective, in a three-year time frame, the development of a more advanced process called BiCMOS-3 (0.7 to 0.8 p.m design rules). A number of circuits are planned to be designed and processed. Among them, a video A/D converter (of about 200K device complexity) which would not be possible to realize by CMOS alone, and a 3K gate array with an on-chip 16K SRAM, both in BiCMOS-2, are expected at the end of the first 18-month phase, In the following 18 months several other demonstrators will be designed and processed including a high-performance A/D converter (30K to 50K transistors), a FIR filter, a video A/D converter with added functionality and a fast data path unit (or alternatively a network for packet-switched applications) of lOOK transistors complexity. Participants Country Role Philips Natuurkundig Lab. Siemens AG Entwicklungszentrum fiir Mikroelektronik GmbH* University of DubUn (TCD) INESC* NfL D A IRL P C P A A A Start Date of Project 412 1 April 1985 Duration 43.5 months Status Finished Start Date of Project 2430 15 November 1988 Duration 36 months Status Running •from IS-11-88 ESIS Volume n ®1990 Dataquest Europe Liinited November 0008189 Reference Material—will not be rqmblished 33 1.2 Government R&D ESD Protection for Submicron Technologies Project Number: 5005 The aim of this project is significantly to increase the electrostatic discharge (ESD) hardness of CMOS technologies in the submicron range by improving the understanding of ESD phenomena and developing technology-independent guidelines based on a detailed investigation of relevant parameters and realistic stress models. The results of the project, in the form of guidelines for circuitry protection of submicron technologies against ESD, will be transferred to the consortia of the ESPRIT projects ASIC 0.5 Micron CMOS (ACCES), project number 5048, and SOI 0.5 Micron CMOS (SUBSOITEC), project number 5029. Recommendations will also be provided to ESD test equipment manufacturers. Participants Country Role Siemens AG IMEC vzw Nederlandse Philips Bedrijven BV Technische Universitat Miinchen D B NL D C P P A Start Date 15 December 1989 Duration 36 months 34 ®1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Reference Material—will not be repuUiabed ESIS Volume n 0008189 ESPRIT n A Very Quick Turnaround System for ASIC Design and Manufacturing Supporting Design Tools and Implementation Technologies (QUICKCHIPS) Project Number: 5047 The QUICKCHIPS project aims to develop a low-cost quick prototyping and small-volume production system of ASICs (gate array and sea-of-gates) using a DWL-II machine for laser-based direct write on wafer personalization techniques. Activities will include the development of a DWL-II machine for very quick turnaround line (VQTL) ASIC fabrication, the development of a foundry-independent design system (the Uncommitted Design System), and the study of the commercial exploitation of project results. Participants Country Role INESC CPRM Milano Research Center P P I C P P Start Date To be announced Duration 24 months ESIS Volume n ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Mtterial-^wm not be iqpubUshed 35 1.2 Government R&D ASIC 0 ^ Micron CMOS (ACCES) Project Number: 5048 The ACCES project will provide European systems and IT users with multiple-sourced, submicron CMOS processes offering high packing densities and high speeds. The processes produced will be state-of-the-art CMOS ASIC technologies at 0.7 and 0.5 )xm dimensions. The project aims to develop Europe's capability in advanced ASIC CMOS processes. Submicron CMOS technologies will be developed, demonstrated and qualified at the 0.7 |xm (after two years) and 0.5 fj.m (after four years) levels. The reduction in dimensions will be optimized to achieve very high density as well as very high speed for digital custom chips. Packing density targets are about 5,000 logic gates/mm^ in 0.7 |im CMOS and over 7,000 in 0.5 ^im CMOS. The partners in the consortium aim to propose common design rules to their potential customers, resulting in a unique multisourcing capability. This approach is further enhanced by the specialization of the partners in various production levels (from short cycle time prototyping through to high-volume deliveries) and application areas (industrial, telecommunications, military, and so on). Participants Country Role European Silicon Structures SA (ES2) CNET IMEC vzw Mietec NV Plessey Company pic STC Components Ltd Matra-MHS British Telecommunications pic Standard Elektrik Lorenz AG Telefonica Investigacion y Desarrollo F F B B UK UK F UK D E p p p p p p A A A Start Date 1 February 1990 Duration 48 months 36 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Reference Material—will not be lepnUiihed c ESIS Volume n 0008189 ESPRIT n Advanced CMOS Analog/Digital and Digital/Analog Converters (AD 2000) Project Number: 5056 The AD 2000 project aims to develop advanced analog/digital and digital/analog converter architectures for low-cost CMOS technology capable of addressing the needs of emerging systems in the communications and consumer electronics industry. As projections of the world market for ASICs show, the proportion of mixed analog/digital systems will rise steadily. The realization of high-performance, low-cost converters is crucial for the successful development of commercially viable products. AD 2000's main targets are to stretch state-of-the-art performance limits with respect to speed and resolution, to improve CAD tools for architecture-level synthesis of the converters, and to address functional testing and characterization issues for improved quality control and reduced production costs. The results of the project will be conveyed through a number of IC demonstrators implemented using standard CMOS technology. The results will be transferred to European semiconductor manufactures. Participants Country Role Instituto Superior Tecnico Italtel SIT Universidad de Sevilla-AICIA Universita di Pa via Fujitsu Espana SA p I E I E C P P P A Start Date To be announced Duration 36 months ESIS Volume II ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Material—will not be repnbliabed 37 1.2 Government R&D Joint Logic Project Project Number: 5080 The overall objective of the Joint Logic project is to develop in a coordinated way the basic fabrication concept for a competitive 0.5 \xm CMOS technology suitable for logic appUcations. The specific goaj of this project in its 18-month start-up phase is the development and adaption of future logic CMOS technologies derived from the different memory technology backgrounds of the parmers, or based on applicable ESPRIT work. According to the work-programme, a CMOS processing capability with a high commonahty at the 0.5 ^im level will be developed by all partners in the consortium, and the developed processes will be available for the whole range of IC production, from prototype to very high volume. Whereas one of the technological foundations of the Joint Logic project is in part supplied by ongoing and future memory development within the context of JESSI, a second important contribution will be made by ESPRIT project 5048 (ACCES), the participants of which (ES2, Mietec, STC, MHS) are not directly involved in the JESSI Memory Project. They will develop compatible design rules for niche, high-performance or very quick turnaround applications and will cooperate with several research centers (Plessey, CNET, IMEC) in order to develop basic CMOS process modules leading to 0.5 iim processes. Participants Country Role Philips International BV European Silicon Structures SA (ES2) Plessey Company pic Siemens AG SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SRL Telefunken Electronic GmbH STC pic SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SA Mietec NV Matra-MHS NL F UK D I D UK . F B F C P P P P P P P P P Start Date 1 June 1990 Duration 18 months 38 ©1990 Dataquest E u n ^ Limited November Reference Matenaf—will not be rqmbluhed ESIS Volume H 0008189 ESPRIT n SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT AND MATERIALS ASIC Multichamber Rapid Thermal Processing with Microwave Enhancement Project Number: 2319 The growing pressure on manufacturers to obtain high yields from their wafer fabrication operations is leading a trend towards single wafer processing. Rapid thermal processing (RTP) has come to be viewed as the single wafer alternative to furnace tube processing. The project aims at developing a multichamber RTP machine with improved control of the on-wafer temperature and including novel microwave-enhanced techniques for precleaning before oxidation or deposition processes. Participants Country Role Sitesa Addax CNRS/LAAS SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SA University of Edinburgh STC Technology Ltd CEA/LETI F F F UK UK F C P P P P P Start Date 15 December 1988 Duration 36 months Status Running ESIS Volume n ®1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Material—will not be repgUubed 39 1.2 Government R&D Mask and Reticle Technology Development for Advanced High-Density and ASIC Devices Project Number: 5014 The purpose of the project is to develop essential mask and reticle technology required for advanced high-density and fast turnaround ASIC requirements to a device complexity level equivalent to 16M DRAM. The results will include new materials, processes and equipment, which will make a significant contribution to the ability of the European semiconductor industry to manufacture advanced devices. Participants Country Role Compugraphics International Ltd Balzers AG Polymer Laboratories Ltd Siemens AG/Semiconductor Group Wild Leitz Instruments GmbH Valvo Unternehmensbereich Semisystems AG BMP Plasmatechnologie IMEC vzw UK CH UK D D D CH D B C P P P P P P P P Start Date 1 January 1990 Duration 36 months 40 ©1990 Dataquest Eurqw Limited Novonber Reference Material—will not be repnblidied ESIS Volume H 0008189 ESPRIT n Process Module Integration for a Multichamber Production System (PROMIMPS) Project Number: 5041 The main aim of the PROMIMPS project is to combine and integrate process steps which are required for submicron ASIC and memory device fabrication in CMOS, bipolar or BiCMOS technology. Using an already developed and tested multichamber equipment platform with up to nine separate process chambers, the integration of three multistep processes for the fabrication of multilayer interconnections will be realized within this project. Participants Country Role Plasmos GmbH Alcatel CIT Balzers AG Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Cienu'ficas (CSIC) SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SRL Siemens AG Nederlandse Philips Bedrijven BV Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft IFT CEA/LETI Atomique AST Elektronik GmbH D F CH E C P P P I D NL D F D P P P P P P Start Date 15 April 1990 Duration 36 months ESIS Volume n ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Refoence Material—will not be tepnblisbed 41 1.2 Government R&D Integrated Design and Production System (IDPS) Project Number: 5075 Following the completion of the first or definition phase of IDPS (projects 2270 and 2426), the second phase is now being launched. IDPS will provide the Community with a state-of-the-art ASIC facility, including a common library, several design systems and a choice of five foundry services. Phases two and three of the project will focus on submicron process with 0.7/0.8 um feature sizes which will be available in time for commercial exploitation of the first IDPS results in the second half of 1992. The key objectives of IDPS are: • Standardization, leading to a European industry standard • A "Common Library," recognized as a European multisource library • Implementation of the library in the 0.7/0.8 ^im processes • Several CAD systems capable of reliable, error-free design of high complexity (1 to 2 million transistor) ASICs • To ensure semi-second sourcing of circuits designed with the common library, and full second sourcing, at least between the very quick turn around (VQTA) and each of the quick turn around (QTA) foundries • Short turnaround time to prototypes and "right-first-time" designs and prototypes Participants Country Role Philips International BV Robert Bosch GmbH European Silicon Structures SA (ES2) SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SA SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SRL Siemens AG Plessey UK Ltd ICL Bull SA NL D F F I D UK UK F C P P P P P P P P Start Date To be announced Duration 30 months 42 ©1990 Dataquest Eimqw Limited November Reference Nfateriaf—will not be lepoblished ESIS Volume U 0008189 ESPRIT n CAD Interactive Silicon Compilation for High-Performance Integrated Systems (SPRITE) Project Number: 2260 The goal of this project is the development of a CAD system used in the realization of real-time information processing subsystems such as image and graphics processing, post-ISDN home and business peripherals, HDTV, coprocessors, data compression, and so on. Participants Country Role IMEC vzw Nederlandse Phihps Bedrijven BV Racal Research Ltd Siemens AG INESC RSRE Praxis Systems pic B NL UK D P UK UK C P P P A A A Start Date 1 December 1988 Duration 60 months Status Running ESIS Volume n ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Material—wiU not be iqwUiabed 43 1.2 Government R&D Application-Specific Arcliitecture Compilation (ASAC) Project Number: 2394 The ASAC project will explore techniques for the creation of system-level design tools to ensure optimization of hardware performance and hardware/software partitioning. The goal of the one-year definition phase is to achieve a joint understanding between all partners of system design problems, which will form the basis upon which to define the requirements for CAD tools and systems at the system design level. The results of the ASAC project are to provide a tools bridge between the system design projects, the lower-level CAD tools and semiconductor process development. Participant Country Role ICL Bull SA Olivetti SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SA Siemens AG UK F I F D C P P P P Start Date 1 January 1989 Duration 12 months Status Finished 44 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited Novonber Reference Maitfial—will not be lepobUihed ESIS Volume n 0008189 ESPRIT n JESSI CAD-Frame (JCF) Project Number: 5082 The goal of the project is to provide a standardized framework for CAD tools which will serve as a general, common software infrastructure for efficiently building, maintaining and configuring open integrated CAD environments. The JCF project will provide the JESSI framework to all JESSI CAD projects as a series of consecutive, stepwise-enhanced releases, which will offer a growing set of services and continuous increase of performance and efficiency. The project will also offer support to safeguard the effective use of the JESSI framework. Moreover, the JESSI framework will be available to ESPRIT projects and external users (under conditions to be specified). The project is divided into start-up, main and completion phases. The overall goals of the start-up phase (mid-1990 to mid-1991) are to: Ensure the European advantage in framework technology Start, as quickly as possible, on the development of the JESSI framework Prepare for the main phase of the project More specifically, the goals of the start-up phase are to: Evaluate existing frameworks and framework components Specify framework requirements for future frameworks Define a common JESSI framework architecture Define the first working interfaces Develop a first JESSI framework prototype The specification of framework requirements will occur in close contact with international standardization efforts. Participant Country Role Nixdorf Computer AG Technische Universiteit Delft ICL Swedish Telecom Siemens AG SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SRL Nederlandse Philips Bedrijven BV BeU Telephone Mfg. Co. NV University of Manchester Universitat Paderbom Femuniversitat Gehamthoogschule in Hagen Swedish Institute of Microelectronics D NL UK S D I NL B UK D D S C P P P P P P A A A A A (Qxitinued) ESIS Volume n <D1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Material—will not be repnbUnhwl 45 U Government R&D Participant Country Role Plessey Company pic Universitat Karlsruhe IMEC vzw GMD ClSfET Robert Bosch GmbH UK D B D F D A A A A A A Start Date 1 May 1990 Duration 15 months Status Running 46 ©1990 Dataquest Eun^ Limited November Reference Material—will not be tqmbliiiied ESIS Vofaime n 0008189 ESPRIT n MISCELLANEOUS Development of European Magneto-Optical Drives Project Number: 2013 Market research undertaken by the consortium showed that the erasable optical data storage market will grow in 1991 to 1992 and will be worth ECU 1.5 billion by the mid-1990s, with mainframe backup and CAD/CAM as key applications. These markets should exceed ECU 150 million each in 1991 to 1992 with a large part of them presently in the hands of overseas competitors, and will increase exponentially after this. In the case of CAD/CAM, a data capacity greater than 1 GB is required to cope with the higher resolution pictures of up to 30 MB per page which will be used. Access time of less than 50ms and data transfer rate of at least 20 Mbit/s are also required. The objective of this project is to establish the technologies to develop two erasable optical drives and to give to European companies new opportunities to restore their position in the mass storage area. Participants Country Role SAGEM Hoechst AG Lexikon Olivetti Coventry Polytechnic CEA/LETI National Institute for Higher Education (NIHE) F D I I UK F IRL C P P A P P A Start Date 1 June 1989 Duration 60 months Status Running ESIS Volume II ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Material—will not be rqmUisbed 47 1.2 Government R&D Optoelectronics with Active Organic Molecules Project Number: 2284 Future optical processing and computing systems will require new materials exhibiting faster and more efficient nonlinear optical properties than presently available. The purpose of this project is to exploit the vast potential of organic molecular and polymeric materials for applications such as frequency conversion, paramedic amplification and emission, optical bistability, electro-optic modulation, real-time holography and beam steering, Participants Country Role Thomson-CSF CEA/LETI Facult^s Universitaires Notre-Dame de la Paix (FUNDP) ICI CNET F F B UK F C P P P P Start Date 24 January 1989 Duration 36 months Status Running 48 ®1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Refoence Material—will not be lepubUabed ESIS Volume II 0008189 RACE ESIS Volume n ®1990 Dataquest E u n ^ Limited November 0006189 Reference Material-^will not be repnbUshed 49 RACE CONTENTS Page RACE Overview List of Abbreviations 53 54 RACE Project Information Electro-Luminescent Flat Panel Display for Terminal Applications Subscriber Coherent Multichannel System BLNT—Broadband Local Network Technology ATMOSPHERIC Domestic Customer Premises Network (DCPN) Development of Improved Indium Phophide (InP) Substrate Material for Optoelectronic Device Production ACCESS—Advanced Customer Connections, an Evolutionary Systems Strategy Low-Cost Optoelectronic Components OSCAR—Optical Switching Systems, Components and Applications Research Wavelength and Time-Division Multiplexed (WTDM) Broadband Customer Premises Network ESIS Volume n ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference MMerial—will not be rqmblialied . 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 51 RACE Overview RACE Research and Development in Advanced Communications Technologies for Europe Council decision: Official Journal L16, dated 21-1-1988 Aims: To contribute towards the introduction of integrated broadband communication (IBC) taking into account the evolving Integrated Services Digital Network (ISDN) and natural introduction strategies; new and improved information services; to prepare for international standards; to develop joint functional specifications for operators. Duration: 5 years, June 1987 to May 1992 EC Contribution: ECU 550 million/$723.7 miUion Areas of Research: IBC development and implementation strategies • IBC strategies • IBC realization (systems analysis and functional specifications) • BC use • Common operational environment IBC technologies • • • • IBC system function techniques IBC progranuneming infrastructure IBC usability engineering Technologies enabling network evolution J*renonnative functional integration • Verification tools enabling operational IBC components and subsystems to be developed • Development of pilot schemes for IBC applications ESIS Volume E 0008189 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Refetence Material—will not be republiibed 53 1.2 Government R&D Calls for Proposals: Deadlines * Definition phase Call for a reserve list 1-10-1987 * Complementary phase 3-10-1988 ** To be decided 1990 * Published ** Planned Scheme of Support: Shared-cost research contracts Within the European Community, 11 telecommunications administrations, 89 universities and research establishments and over 230 companies (90 of them small companies) are now involved in the RACE consortia. Organizations from-II of the 12 European Community countries are represented. Organizations from several countries in EFTA are also involved. In addition, 32 organizations from Austria, Finland, Norway, Sweden and Switzerland participate in 39 consortia. LIST OF RACE ABBREVATIONS ATM asynchronous transfer mode, or automated teller machine BCPN broadband customer premises network BLNT broadband local network technology CAC customer access connection CATV cable television CMC coherent multichannel CPN customer premises network DCPN domestic customer premises network IBC integrated broadband communications IBCN integrated broadband communications network WTDM wavelength and time-division multiplexed 54 ©1990 Dataquest Eurc^ Limited November Refereoce Material—will not be lepubUabed ESIS Volume n 0008189 RACE Project Information Electro-Luminescent Flat Panel Display for Terminal Applications Project Number: R1004 The overall objective is to ensxire the availability of high-performance, fully European, flat panel terminals for future telecommunications applications. Participants Country Lohja Corporation Electronic Industries* SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SRL University of Ghent Matra Communication SF I B F Start Date 1 January 1988 Duration 4 years Estimated Costs ECU 1.63 mimon/$2.14 miUion * Prime contractor ESIS Volume II ®1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Matenal—will not be repnUislied 55 IJ. Government R&D Subscriber Coherent Multichannel System Project Number: RIOIO The main objective of this project is to demonstrate the technical and techno-economic feasibility of coherent multichannel (CMC) in the customer access connection (CAC) and the customer premises network (CPN). The results of the project are intended to show that the use of coherent transmission allows for a very transparent andflexibleevolution from a first generation of optical local networks to future generations, at the same time accepting almost any service scenario. Apart from providing evidence for the technical feasibility, the project also participates in discussions on the introduction and evolution of optical networks, based on the available expertise in system-related issues. The transparency and flexibility mentioned above is the basis of these ongoing discussions. Participants Country Nederlandse Philips Bedrijven BV* Heinrich Hertz Institut Plessey UK Ltd Siemens AG IMEC vzw Laboratoires d'Electronique Philips (LEP) ^fL D UK D B F Start Date 1 January 1988 Duration 4 years Estimated Costs ECU 15.23 milUon/$20.02 million * Prime contractor 56 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Reference Material—will not be rqmtiliihed ESIS Volume II 0008189 RACE BLNT—Broadband Local Network Technology Project Number: R1012 The objective of the project is to develop a low-cost local loop and switch technology which is capable of supporting a range of narrow-band and broadband services in a flexible and efficient manner. Participants Country Plessey Research Roke Manor Limited* Societa Italiana Telecomunicazioni SpA Siemens AG UK I D Start Date 1 January 1988 Duration 3 years Estimated Costs ECU 15.28 million/$20.11 mUlion * Prime conttactor ESIS Volume n ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 RefcKDce Material—will not be icpnblished 57 1.2 Government R&D ATMOSPHERIC Project Number: R1014 ATMOSPHERIC is concerned with the architecture, techniques and technologies which are required to implement switching and multiplexing functions within an IBCN, Its focus is the. transition phase leading to the ATM-based network. The main objective of the ATMOSPHERIC project is to identify network configurations and solutions which will accommodate the uncertiiin service growth and mix arising during the introductory phase, interwork with existing public networks and support access from existing terminals and subscriber premises networks. They will allow reuse of resources to permit economic introduction and evolution strategies. In particular, these strategies will permit the early introduction of a limited amount of revenue funding broadband services in markets whose needs can be economically met prior to the implementation of major technical advances. Verification and evaluation of the recommended solutions will be supported by the construction of a Demonstrator model in order to assess: • • • Technology performance requirements of switching and multiplexing elements of the IBCN The flexibility and compatibility of the network architectural concepts and design options to meet the needs of the configuration required to support evolving market demand The ability of ATMOSPHERIC solutions to address economically the key aspect of upgrading the local distribution network to provice IBC capability Participants Country Matra-Ericsson Telecommunications (MET)* Telefonaktiebolaget L M Ericsson (Ericsson Telecommunication) Televerket (Swedish Telecommunications Adminisa°ation) General Electric Company pic Matra-Space Aktieselskabet Nordiske, Kabel «fe Traadfabriker EMI Electromagnetics Institute National Technical University of Athens STC pic Telef6nica de Espafla SA SOS-Thomson Microelectronics SRL F S S UK F DK DK OR UK E I Start Date 1 January 1988 Duration 3 years Estimated Costs ECU 6.56 million/$8.63 million * Prime camractor 58 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Reference Material—will not be rqmbliitied ESIS Volume II 0008189 •~?^ RACE Domestic Customer Premises Network (DCPN) Project Number: R1015 The domestic CPN is a strategic area for the whole IBCN, because a rapid penetration of broadband services in the domestic environment will be the main motivation for a new pubUc telecommunication network. The main intention of the project is to prepare economic, technically practical, and ergonomic solutions for the future CPNs in the domestic area. Participants Country Thomson-CSF* Standard Elektrik Lx)renz AG FATME SpA Systek HUSAT BED Thomsen LEREA F D I D UK D F Start Date 1 January 1988 Duration 2 years Estimated Costs ECU 3.07 million/$4.04 million * Prime contractor ESIS Volume D 0008189 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Reference Material—will not be repnblislied 59 1.2 Government R&D Development of Improved Indium Phosphide (InP) Substrate Material for Optoelectronic Device Production Pwject Number: R1029 This project is directed at the development of improved InP substrate manufacturing technology, with demonstrated benefits for discrete and integrated optoelectronic device yield and hence cost. Participants Country MCP Wafer Technology Ltd* Thomson-CSF Thomson Hybrides et Microondes SA University de Sciences et Techniques du Languedoc UK F F F Start Date 1 January 1988 Duration 3 years Estimated Costs ECU 1.09 miUion/$1.43 miUion * Prime contractor 60 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November' Reference MJtterial—will Dot be nqmbtiihed ESIS Vohmie n 0008189 t RACE ACCESS—Advanced Customer Connections, an Evolutionary Systems Strategy Project Number: R1030 The main objectives of the ACCESS project is to investigate the CAC based on digital transmission on single-mode optical fibre, with a view to implementation in the early phases of the IBCN. The investigation will lead to identification of one or more preferred CAC implementations. The main criterion used is the minimal total cost of the CAC. An additional objective is to study alternative means for enabUng early broadband connections to the domestic customers for provision of CATV and telephony services only. Participants Country Aktieselskabet Nordiske Kabel & Traadfabriker* AEG Kabel AG ANT—Nahrichtentechnik GmbH British Telecommunications pic Thomson Hybrides et Microondes SA Telef6nica de Espana SA Souriau et Cie. Societe Anonyme de Telecommunications Etat Francais—Ministfere des PTT Centre National d'Etudes des Telecommunications General Electric Company pic SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SA Telefonaktiebolaget L M Ericsson Televerket (Swedish Telecommunications Administration) DK D D UK F E F F F F UK F S Start Date 1 January 1988 Duration 4 years S Estimated Costs ECU 17.15 million/$22.57 million * Piinie contractor ESIS Volume n ®1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Material—will not be repnbiiabed 61 1.2 Goverament R&D Low-Cost Optoelectronic Components Project Number: R1031 The project's objective is the development of manufacturing technologies and device designs compatible with the production of large volumes of low-cost active optoelectronic components in line with the IBC network requirements. Participants Country Standard Elektrik Lorenz AG* STC pic AT&T en Philips Telecommunicatie Bedrijven BV Nederlandse Philips Bedrijven BV RTC-Compelec Siemens AG ANT—Nahrichtentechnik GmbH Compagnie Deutsch D UK NL NL F D D F Start Date 1 January 1988 Duration 4 years Estimated Costs ECU 9.67 million/$ 12.72 million * Prime contractor 62 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Reference Material-Hwill not be ESIS Volume n repiiblJahed 0008189 RACE OSCAR—Optical Switching Systems, Components and Applications Researcli Project Number: R1033 OSCAR aims to develop the key switching technologies required for the evolution towards integrated optical networks. In particular, building blocks with zero optical loss are expected to be realized. OSCAR is making extensive use of practical test beds as tools to verify its results both at the components and the system concept level. Participants Country Philips—LEP* General Electric Company pic Thomson-CSF Thomson-Sintra IMEC vzw British Telecommunications pic Dr Neher Laboratories Standard Elektrik Lorenz AG Universitat Dortmund AT&T en Philips Telecommunicatie Bedrijven BV Plessey UK Ltd Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Ascom Holding Ltd (Research and New Technologies Division) Telefonaktiebolaget L M Ericsson Televerket (Swedish Telecommunications Administration) F UK F F B UK ML D D NL UK CH CH S S Start Date 1 January 1988 Duration 4 years Estimated Costs ECU 6.14 mimon/$8.09 miUion * Prime contractor ESIS Volume H 0O08I89 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Refoeoce Matoul—will not be repnblisbed 63 1.2 Gk>vernment R&D Wavelength and Time-Division Multiplexed (WTDM) Broadband Customer Premises Network Project Number: R1036 The aim of this project is to develop a broadband customer premises network (BCPN) suitable for broadband service providers and for a wide range of oUier corporate applications. Participants Country British Broadcasting Corporation* STC pic Research Neher Laboratories of the Netherlands PTT General Electric Company pic Alcatel Standard E16ctrica SA Thomson-CSF Instruments SA SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SA STC Technology Ltd UK UK NL UK E F F F UK Start Date 1 January 1988 Duration 3 years Estimated Costs ECU 3.63 million/$4.78 million * Prime contractor 64 ©1990 Dataquest Eurcnpe Limited Novonber Reference Materiaf—wlU not be ESIS Volume II repoMJibed 0008189 DRIVE ESIS Volume n O1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Refecence Material—will not be repnUiibed 65 DRIVE Overview DRIVE Dedicated Road Infrastructure for Vehicle Safety in Europe Council decision: Official Journal L206, dated 30-7-1988 Aims: The development of information technologies to improve road transport efficiency and road safety; to reduce the environmental impact of road transport. Duration: 3 years, June 1988 to May 1991 EC Contribution: ECU 60 million, or $78.9 million Areas of Research: Road transport informatics (RTI) technologies • Enabling and supporting RTI technologies (specific components, communications options, vehicle-to-vehicle communications) • RTI software technologies (software systems, development tools) • The human factor and the human/machine interface • Fault tolerance Evaluation of strategic options • Refinement of objectives • Evaluation tools • Outline of implementation scenarios Specifications, protocols and standardization proposals • Definition of requirements and specific objectives • Use of the evaluation tools • Development of functional specifications and standardization proposals • Drafting guidelines for drawing up regulations ESIS Volume U ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Material—will not be lepablished 67 1 ^ Government R&D Calls for Proposals: * General call 17-10-1988 • Partial call 12-5-1989 ** To be decided * Published ** Planned Scheme of Support: 68 Deadline Shared-cost research contracts ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Refeteoce Material—will not be lepobliabed ESIS Vohime n 0008189 Vi BRITE/EURAM ESIS Volume n ®1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Material—will not be lepobliafaed 69 BRITE/EURAM Overview BRITE/EURAM Basic Research in Industrial Technology for Europe/ European Research in Advanced Materials Council decision: Aims: Official Journal L98, dated 11-4-1989 To strengthen the competitiveness of the European manufacturing industry, including small and medium-size enterprises (SMEs), in world markets; to establish the necessary technological base for the development of new products and processes. Duration: 4 years, 1989 to 1992 EC Contribution: ECU 499.5 milUon, or $657.2 milUon Areas of Research: I. Advanced materials technologies Metallic materials and metallic matrix composites Materials for magnetic, optical, electrical and superconducting applications High-temperature nonmetallic materials Polymers and polymer matrix composites Materials for specialized applications I. Design methodology and quality assurance for products and processes Quality, reliability and maintainability in industry Reliability of processes and products II. Application of manufacturing technologies Advancing conventional manufacturing practices Manufacturing processes for flexible materials IV. Technologies for manufacturing processes • • • • ESIS Volume U 0008189 Surface techniques Shaping, assembly and joining Chemical processes Powder processes and powder metallurgy ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Reference Materiil—will not be lepabUibed 71 1.2 Government R&D V. Aeronautics • • • • Calls for Proposals: Aerodynamics Acoustics Airborne systems and equipment Propulsion systems Deadlines * Expressions of interest (26.7.1988) 3-1989 * Feasibility awards 14-4-1989 * Areas I to IV (Types 1 and 2) 12-5-1989 * Area V Aeronautic research 9-6-1989 ** Areas I to IV 31-8-1990 * Feasibility 2-3-1990 ** To be decided * Published ** Planned Scheme of Support: Shared-cost research contracts Concerted actions Scholarships Particularities: • Type 1 projects, applied industrial research: participation of at least two industrial enterprises from different Member States • Type 2 projects, focused fundamental research: participation of at least two universities from different Member States with endorsement by two industrial enterprises • Feasibility awards for SMEs (Area I to IV); grants of up to 75 percent (to a maximum of ECU 25000) of the cost of research projects, which can last up to 6 months and must serve to establish the feasibiUQ^ of a device, process or concept 72 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Refaence Material—will not be repoblisbed ESIS Volume n 0008189 EUREKA ESIS Volume II ®1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Refoeaoe Material—will not be repoUiahed 73 EUREKA CONTENTS Page EUREKA Overview 77 EUREKA Project Information Integrated Circuits New Designs and Technologies for High-Power Semiconductor Devices ATA (Analog Transistor Array) Fast Prototypeable Analog Transistor Array (EPROM) Multi-Megabit Non Volatile Memories JESSI 79 80 81 83 Semiconductor Equipment and Materials The Development of an All Dry Single-Layer Photolithography Technology for Submicron Devices Automatic Design and Production of Custom Chips Using Direct Printing on Silicon Wafers 0.1 Micrometer Ion Projection ESIS Volume n ®1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Material—will not be tepnbUshed 90 91 92 75 EUREKA Overview EUREKA European REsearch Coordination Agency Created in 1985 as the result of a French-German initiative. With the active participation of the European Commission, EUREKA has developed parallel to EC research. Both initiatives have the same basic aims: the promotion of cross-border cooperation in European research and technology. However, their procedures are different. This is intentional; Community research and EUREKA should complement, not compete with each other. Basic approach: Whereas EC research is mainly concerned with precompetitive and basic research, EUREKA projects are nearer to the market. However, there are certain EUREKA projects concerned with basic research. Countries involved: EUREKA consists of the EC countries and the Commission, as well as the EFTA countries and Turkey (a total of 20 partners). Organization: Whereas EC research is based on fixed institutional rules and jointly agreed long-term specific aims, EUREKA projects arise spontaneously without detailed overall planning. Financing: The national governments of the partners concerned decide whether support will be given, and fix the extent of the subsidy. This offers the advantage of greater flexibility, but there are limits on the degree to which a coherent strategy is possible. The funding given to EUREKA projects has now reached the sum of approximately ECU 1 billion per annum ($1.3 billion). From the beginning, the Commission of the European Communities has supported this new form of European cooperation in research work, and has also participated financially, for example, in two of the most important EUREKA projects: HDTV (European standard for high-definition television) and JESSI (Development of 64M memories and their applications). ESIS Volume H 0008189 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Reference Material—will not be repnblisbed 77 EUREKA Project Information INTEGRATED CIRCUITS New Designs and Technologies for High-Power Semiconductor Devices Project Number: 97 Technological constraints of semiconductor devices are preventing not only further optimization in existing applications, but also the penetration of power semiconductors in the field of energy utilization; for example, in cases where the power control of motors could be introduced to advantage. In order to achieve further development in power semiconductor technology iuid thus a possible breakthrough in the application of these elements in the environmentally acceptable utilization of energy, new techniques and new designs of components must be introduced. These are already available to some extent in the IC industry, but require considerable investment to adapt them; other techniques and structures have to be newly developed to achieve the desired functions and combinations of parameters economically. Participants Country Asea Brown Boveri AG* Asea Drives Institut for Mikrovacsteknik Centre Suisse d'Electronique et de Microtechnique SA (CSEM) CH S S CH Estimated Costs Revised estimate as at 1/4/89; ECU 2.5 million (approx. $3.28 million) Time Scale Revised estimate as at 1/4/89; April 1987 to December 1989 * Main contractor ESIS Volume II ®1990 Dataquest Europe Lunited November 0008189 Reference Mitetial—will not be rqmblished 79 1.2 Government R&D ATA—Analog IVansistor Array Fast Prototypable Analog Transistor Array Project Number: 222 An analog ASIC will be developed which: • Is prototypable by direct write laser (DWL), and therefore guarantees extremely short prototype and production turnaround time. • Is of different layout philosophy than existing analog transistor arrays (ATAs). This enables a considerable speed-up of layout time, more effective use of standard analog cell libraries and a better use of silicon area. The first two arguments speed up chip development time, the third decreases production cost for both small and large production volumes. Analog microelectronics is indispensable in instrumentation (all measurements, sensor interfaces), telecommunications, power electronics and interfacing computers to the "real world." Participants Country Lasarray SA* Interest expressed by Favag SA Microelectronic CH CH Estimated Costs Total value of project as at 1/4/89: ECU 1.8 million ($2.37 million) Time Scale 16 months * Main contractor 80 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Reference Material—will not be ESIS Volume n republijlied 0008189 EUREKA EPROM—Multi-Megabit Nonvolatile Memories Project Number: 102 This project has two major objectives: • Study, development and industrialization of integrated circuit nonvolatile memory (EPROM) having a storage capacity of 4M • Feasibility study of technology and architecture of integrated circuit nonvolatile memory (EPROM) having a storage capacity of 16M Participants Country SGS-Thomson Microelettronica SpA Italy Estimated Costs Over a 5-year period Revised total as at 1/4/89: ECU 227.5 million (approx. $299.34 million) Time Scale April 1987 to December 1991 ESIS Volume II ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Material—will not be lepnbUshed 81 JESSI Overview JESSI Joint European Submicron Silicon Programme Project Number: 127 The JESSI programmes should be viewed in relation to the work done before in the field of semiconductors at the Community level (ESPRIT I and II) as well as through binational initiatives. Moreover, JESSI will support the achievements of applications programmes (e.g. HDTV). JESSI follows the MEGA project, which is an independent research programme between Philips and Siemens, with the participation of the Dutch and German governments. The timescale was five years, ending in 1989 with an investment of $1.2 billion over that period. The objective was to develop the submicron process, IM SRAM by Philips and 4M DRAM by Siemens and design, manufacturing and test automations. Achievements of the MEGA Project 8Kx8 SRAM—in production 256K SRAM production using MEGA Process—mid-1990 4M DRAM—into production 1989 ESIS Volume U ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Material—will not be repubtished 83 1.2 Government R&D OVERVIEW In 1986, European companies found themselves in a situation where, with no effective advantage in their home market, they were having to compete against companies who not only had more money to spend individually but who also had access to the results of nationwide, coordinated R&D efforts which were also becoming much more vertically integrated and crossdisciplinary. It was under these conditions that JESSI was established, to meet the challenge from outside Europe and to guarantee future technology which would support not just the electronics industry but all of Europe's industry in its entirety. The project was first outhned in March 1986, and by the end of that year JESSI received the EUREKA approval for its definition phase. The next two years were taken up in the planning phase. In 1988 the JESSI Green Book was released and defined a project which is the most ambitious within the EUREKA programme. From a cost point of view alone, it is equal to all the other EUREKA projects put together. After publication of the Green Book, JESSI was declared a EUREKA project in 1989. It is a research and development programme targeted on the technologies and equipment needed to integrate advanced systems on silicon and their applications into advanced systems. The JESSI programme has been allocated a total budget of over ECU 3.8 billion ($5 billion) for its eight-year life span. The JESSI programme will involve 21,400 man-years split between technology, equipment and materials, applications, and basic and long-term research. JESSI aims to help the whole of the European electronics industry to grow in a unified and coordinated way: from basic research to materials; from production equipment to CAD; and to the final application of devices within electronics systems. The basic structure of JESSI has thus been set to facilitate industry-wide coordination and growth with four major areas being specifically designated. These areas are addressed by four separate subprogrammes to cover: • Technology • Equipment and materials • Applications • Basic and long-term research These four subprogrammes, operating at an industry level, all report to the JESSI board which, with the help of a special support group and office is responsible for acceptance of projects and the overall administration of the programme. Within this basic framework, JESSI has the following objectives: ti • Development of the advanced process steps, advanced devices architectures and implementation of competitive production technologies for submicron CMOS technologies to be ready for the mid-1990s. • The realization of flexible tools and procedures, applicable throughout Europe, for the development of high-complexity integrated circuits and their implementation in electronic systems. ©1990 Dataquest Eurqw Limited November Reference Kfatecul—^will not be repabluhed ESIS Volume n 0008189 JESSI • Long-term applied research convergent on industrial objectives in the areas of materials, technologies and CAD. • Development of advanced microelectronics production equipment and methodologies in selected sectors of the European industry. Before its completion, JESSI will give Europe its own submicron technology within a time frame that will allow Europe to become and remain truly competitive with the rest of the world. Starting from 0.7 (im technology, the ultimate aim of the programme is to realize a 0.3 p,m technology using 64-Mbit memories as the test vehicle. In July 1989 the JESSI board was designated. To date the foiu- subprogramme management boards within the JESSI programme have examined a total of 224 projects covering technology, equipment and materials, applications and basic long term research. Of these, 53 have already been given the JESSI label which entitles them to financing from individual governments and the European Commission. Definition Phase: People from 29 institutions and companies from 6 European countries took part (Belgium, France, West Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom). Execution Phase: More than 100 companies, including among others: Participants Country Philips, Nederlandse Philips Bedrijven BV* Robert Bosch GmbH Siemens AG Philips, Untemehmensbereich Bauelemente SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SA SGS-Thomson Microelectronics SRL Plessey Company pic Interest expressed by Belgium NL D D D F I UK * Main contractor Estimated Costs The overall JESSI programme cost is ECU 3.8 billion (approx. $5 billion). The 4 subprogrammes will respectively represent 41 percent, 13 percent, 32 percent and 14 percent of this cost (ECU 1,550, 500, 1,200, and 550 mUlion). Time Scale 8 years, 1989 to 1996 ESIS Volume n ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Materia^-^will not be repoblished 85 1.2 Government R&D Major Events March 1986 Plans for JESSI first outlined. Jan.-Dec. 1988 Definition and Planning phases Four subprogrammes established: Technology, Equipment and Materials, Application, and Basic and Long-Term Research June 1989 JESSI is declared an official EUREKA project. July 1989 JESSI board designated. Feb 1990 JESSI acknowledges IBM-Siemens joint development project for 64M DRAM. March 1990 JESSI and SEMATECH start common projects. April 1990 Dr. Ing. Raimondo Paletto is nominated as the new Chairman of the JESSI Board. April 1990 Nine new JESSI projects approved. May 1990 JESSI and JEMI (Joint Equipment Manufacturers Initiative), France focus on common goals—the Equipment and Materials subprogramme was backed by JEMI. June 1990 CAD Project starts under ESPRIT The first and central CAD Project of the JESSI programme is started as an ESPRIT Project (number 5082). July 1990 JESSI decides on more projects—start-up programme nearly completely launched. A ftirther 13 projects have been selected in the area of applications of microelectronics, bringing the total to 49. Sept 1990 Philips withdraws from the Joint Memory Project This will not have a major impact on the overall JESSI programme. The Joint Memory Project was quite a large programme which had 1,535 man-years allocated over 3 years; the withdrawal has reduced this to UOCK) man-years and should be considered in the light of the total of 21,400 man-years so far allocated to the programme. Philips' lack of participation is capable of being supplemented by inputs from companies such as SGS-ITiomson or Matra-MHS. 86 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Refetence Material—^will not be repabUshed ESIS Volume n 0008189 JESSI JESSI Subprogramme Technology—JESSI Labelled Projects ID No. Title JESSI Label Date No. of Partners Technology Tl Joint Memory Project T2 Joint Logic Project 8-11-89 23-1-90 3 9 T3 23-1-90 9 3-4-90 11 F, D 3-4-90 10 F, D, UK 80 23-1-90 12 F, D, I, NL, UK 90 13-6-90 3 D 42 23-1-90 I D 23 23-1-90 4 D, I 25 23-1-90 7 F, D 31 23-1-90 23-1-90 23-1-90 2 4 2 NL D 53 36 56 23-1-90 8 B, D, I, NL 235 13-6-90 5 F, D, I 53 3-4-90 3-4-90 6-7-90 2 6 6 D D, I, NL F, D 176 27 25 13-6-90 4 D, NL, UK 61 Manufacturing Science and Technology Equipment and Materials E2A Ultra I*ure Wet Chemicals and Supply Systems for Semiconductor Processing E2B Gases Technology: Ultra Clean Technology in Gases and Chemicals for Ultra Large-Scale Integrated Semiconductor Manufacturing E5 Planarized Metallization Based On Al, Cu and TiN CVD E9 High Lead Count Ceramic Package for High Reliability Ell Equipment for the production of Si crystals by the CCZ/MCZ Process E15 Elymat Technique for In-Line Monitoring of Metal Contamination E20 MEGA Clean—FuUy Automated ULSI Cleaning System E29 Advanced Chip Encapsulation E31 Thermal Vertical Reactor E39 New Technologies for Half Micron and Subhalf Micron Stepper Optics E60 1-Line Production Lithography for 0.5 Micron E64A Automatic Metrology Tool for the 0.3 Micron ICs E66 Silicon Wafers for Submicron Technology E74 Target Materials for Submicron Metallization E77C Development of Contamination Free Distribution Components for the Transport of Ultra Pure Chemicals E104 Electron Beam Metrology System Countries F, D, B, F, NL, B, F, NL, I, NL D, I, UK D, I, UK D ESIS Volume II ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Material—will not be republished ManYears 1990-92 1,535 588 567 87 1.2 Government R&D JESSI Subprogramme Technology—JESSI Labelled Projects (Continued) ID No. Title JESSI Label Date No. of Partners Countries ManYears 1990-92 E106 13-6-90 4 B, F, I, NL 47 6-7-90 6-7-90 5 3 F, D, UK F, I, UK 66 6 Applications ACl JESSI CAD-Frame 8-11-90 16 AC3 HDL Component Modelling and Libraries 23-1-90 10 AC4 High-Performance Simulation Environment 23-1-90 7 ACS Development of a EMC Workbench for Microelectronic Application Test Generation and Design for Testability Support 3-4-90 24 23-1-90 7 23-1-90 16 3-4-90 11 3^-90 6-7-90 9 8 B, F, NL, F, D, UK F, D, UK B, F, NL, F, D, UK B. F, NL, F, D. UK B, F, B, D 6-7-90 3-4-90 23-190 6-7-90 4 6 8 F, D, UK F. D, NL F, D 177 210 189 4 B. F 83 23-1-90 8 F, D, NL 140 23-1-90 5 B, F, D 82 23-1-90 8 F, D, I, NL, UK 220 E183B El86 AC6 Wavelength-Dispersive X-Ray Fluorescence Wafer-Analyzer Automatic Mixed VLSI Tester Ultra Clean Process Environment in the Precleaning Oxidizing, Nitriding and Metalization Steps of ULSI Chips Manufacturing AC8 Synthesis, Optimization and Analysis AC 12 Analog Expert Design System AC41 AC50 Technology Assessment (prev. AE41) Layout Verification System for Submicron riesigns AC61 Euro-CAD Project for Board Design AEIO HDTV AEU Ultra Large-Scale Integration of a Control Unit for Safety-Critical Systems AE13B Advanced VLSI Conq>onents for the GSM Pan-European Digital Cellular Radio System AE14 Implementation of Prototype Building Blocks for a DAB Standard AE15 Advanced VLSI Components for B-ISDN ATM Networks AE23 Small and Medium-Size Industries Siq)port 88 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Reference Material—will not be lepobUsbed D, I, UK I, NL, 299 I, NL. 165 D, I, UK I, NL, 109 362 253 D, I, UK NL, 287 D. NL 112 67 244 ESIS Volume n 0008189 JESSI JESSI Subprogramme Technology—JESSI Labelled Projects (Continued) ID No. Title JESSI Label Date No. of Partners AE31B Mobile Cellular Radio 6-7-90 2 AE36 Digital Control for High-Resolution Display AE45B Improved Quality Television AE55B Advanced VLSI Chip Set for ISDN Videophone AE56 Europroject Signal Processing for SD/HD VCR AE60 High-Density Reconfigurable Computer Memory Components 6-7-90 6-7-90 6-7-90 Bacis and Long-Term Research BD2 System and Technology Related Circuit Design BEM Circuit Simulation 4 3 6 CH, F, SW, UK F, D, I D. I F, D 63 84 91 6-7-90 5 F, D, NL 93 6-7-90 3 F, D, UK 75 23-1-90 22 346 3-4-90 15 F, D, I, NL, UK F, D, NL, UK CH, F, D, I, NL B, F, D, I, NL, UK B, F, D, I, NL, UK BD5 Advanced Neural Circuits and Networks 6-7-90 12 BTl Advanced Technology for 0.25 Micron CMOS and Below Altemative Devices 23-1-90 26 23-1-90 11 BT2 Countries ManYears 1990-92 ESIS Volume n ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Material—will not be lepiibUsbed 61 116 65 1086 263 89 1.2 Government R&D SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT AND MATERIALS The Development of an All-Dry Single-Layer Photolithography Technology for Submicron Devices Project Number: 38 With the planned production of megabit and multimegabit devices, an urgent need exists for a relatively simple, economically attractive and reliable photolithography process in the submicron region. Processes such as e-beam or X-ray lithography have a disadvantage of high investment, low throughput or delicate mask making. Multilayer photolithography allows the use of conventional exposer equipment in order to achieve submicron resolution but due to process complexity, suffers from uneconomic low yields. UCB has applied for a worldwide patent covering a single-layer photoresist, which after irradiation is submitted to a gas-phase silylation reaction followed by treatment with a reactive oxygen ion plasma. Preliminary results have shown that submicron resolution can be achieved and reproduced to a level of 0.5 jim without significant yield loss. The objective of this EUREKA project is an optimization of: • Chemical structures of the photoresist and silylation agent • Synthesis and purification • Exposure, silylation, dry development and resist-stripping steps • Silylation equipment • Plasma equipment This optimlization is a prerequisite to the potential exploitation of this photolithography process. Participants Country UCB Electronics NV* Interuniversitair Micro-Elektronica Centrum vzw (IMEC) Plasma Technology UK Limited B B UK Estimated Costs Revised cost at 1/4/89: ECU 35 million ($46.0 million) Time Scale 3 years * Main contractor 90 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Reference Material—will not be republished E5IS Volume U 0008189 JESSI Automatic Design and Production of Custom Chips Using Direct Printing on Silicon Wafers Project Number: 16 The aim of the project is to offer a new service to the market which will enable engineers designing electronic systems to carry out electronic operations on the basis of custom chips defined using specialized software (silicon compilers); these chips are to be produced in a semiconductor fabrication plant organized in such a way as to minimize the production cycle time by means of direct printing on silicon wafers. It is edmed to supply the chips in under two weeks. Participants Country European Silicon Structures (ES2)* Nordic VLSI AS Asea Brown Boveri AG European Silicon Structures Interest expressed by Ireland and Turkey F N CH UK Estimated Costs ECU 81.4 million ($107.1 million) * Main contractor ESIS Volume n ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Material—will not be fepablisbed 91 1.2 Government R&D 0.1 Micrometer Ion Projection Project Number: 50 The development in telecommunications and data processing systems for applications such as robots calls for an increasing degree of integration of electronic components, aiming at cost reduction and improved systems reliability. The aim is to develop ion projection lithography for use in integrated circuit manufacture and to overcome the limitations of conventional optical, e-beam or X-ray lithography by using ion projection. The ion projection technique would allow the throughput of conventional optical or X-ray lithography, with a resolution of 0.1 fxm for suitably large chip sizes. Participants Country lonen Mikrofabrikations Systeme GmbH (IMS)* Technische Universitat Wien Fraunhofer Institut fiir Mikrostrukturtechnik Siemens AG Interest expressed by EC A A D D Estimated Costs Total amount: ECU 5 million (approx. $6.58 million) Time Scale Project dates: July 1986 to June 1989 * Main contractor 92 ©1990 Dataquest Basope Limited November Refoeace Material—will not be republistied ESIS Volume n 0008189 Information ESPRIT European Strategic Programme for Research and Development in Information Technologies Mr. Ian CUison Information Desk Commission of the European Communities DG XIII-ESPRIT Information 200, Rue de la Loi B-1049 Brussels Belgium Telephone: +32/2/2362067 +32/2/2351603 EUREKA European Research Coordination Agency Secretariat Eureka 19 H Av. des Arts, Bte. 3 B-1040 Brussels Belgium Telephone: +32/2/2170030 Telex: 29340 EUREKA B Fax: +32/2/2187906 Mr. David Saunders RTP/DTI (Room 205) Ashdown House 123 Victoria Street London SWIE 6RB England Telephone: 071/215 6615 Telex: 8813148 DTHQ G Fax: 071/821 1298 Mr. Cormac Gordon The Irish Science and Technology Agency (EOLAS) Glasnevin IRL-Dublin 9 Republic of Ireland Telephone: 01/370101 Telex: 32501 EI Fax: 01/379620 ESIS Volume n ®1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Refefcace Material—will not be repoblisfaed 93 1.2 Government R&D EUREKA—DATABASE (free of charge) Detailed information on projects carried out in the framework of the EUREKA progranmie; sharing of the financing participants; status of agreement between participants; location of work; application/market; partners sought; status of the project; and so on. Database Producer: EUREKA Secretariat in collaboration with national project coordinators, Coverage: Approx. 250 project records. Regular updating. User Aids: Online guidance with the command INFO EUREKA. Access to all listed databases through the ECHO_HOST Service of the Commission of the European Communities. Information: ECHO Customer Service 177, Route d'Esch L-1023 Luxembourg Telephone: +352/488041 (ECHO Help Desk) Fax: +352/488040 Telex: 2181 eurolu NUA: 270 448112 JESSI Joint European Submicron Silicon Initiative JESSI Press Office c/o Siemens AG Box 801709 D-8000 Munchen 80 West Germany Telephone: +49 89 41448480 RACE Research and Development in Advanced Communications Technologies for Europe Jiirgen Rosenbaum Commission of the European Communities DG XIII-RACE Programme 200, Rue de la Loi B-1049 Brussels Belgium Telephone: +32/2/2359235 94 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November Reference Material—will not be iqmbluhed ESIS Volume n 0008189 Information DRIVE # Dedicated Road Infrastructure for Vehicle Safety in Europe Fotis Karamitsos Programme Manager Commission of the European Communities DG XIII-F/5-DRIVE Programme 200, Rue de la Loi B-1049 Brussels Belgium Telephone: +32/2/2363461 BRITE/EURAM Basic Research in Industrial Technology for Europe/European Research in Advanced Materials Telephone: +32/2/2353707 Telephone: +32/2/2355290 Telephone: +32/2/2354055 Peter Evans (BRITE/EURAM) Joseph Wurm (BRITE/EURAM) Herbert Allgeier (Aeronautics) Commission of the European Communities DG XII-BRITE/EURAM Programme 200, Rue de la Loi B-1049 Brussels Belgium ESIS Volume H ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited November 0008189 Reference Material—will not be iqniblisbed 95 Semiconductor Devh Markets Dataquest tLuropean Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1985-1995 I European Semiconductor Consumption History and Forecast 1985-1995 > I Published by Dataquest Eurcpe Limited Dataquest cannot and does not guarantee the accuracy aiul completeness of the data used in the compilation of this report and shall not be liable for any loss or damage sustained by users of this review. Printed in the United Kingdom. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in retrieval systems, or transmitted, in any form or by any means—mechanical, electronic, photocopying, duplicating, microfDming, videotape, or otherwise—without the prior written permission of the publisher. © 1991 Dataquest Europe limited September 1991 0009897 i Table of Contents List of Tables Page INTRODUCTION ASSUMPTIONS CHANGES FROM 1990 FORECAST PRODUCT ANALYSIS COUNTRY ANALYSIS GRAPHICAL ANALYSIS 1 1 4 European Currency Exchange Rates 1 European Semiconduaor Market by Country 5 7 9 2 European Quarterly Semiconduaor Revenue 3 International Economic Forecast 4 Attraction of Foreign Investment in Electronics Production 5 ^plications Splits by Region—1990 6 Total All European Regions—^History (Dollars) List of Figures Figure 1 Semiconduaof Shipment Model 2 Estimated 1990 European Regional Semiconduaor Markets 3 Estimated 1990 European Country Semiconduaor Markets 4 Total Semiconductor European Market 1985-1995 5 Total Semiconductor European Growth 1985-1995 6 Exchange Rate—Dollars to ECUs 7 Relative Exchange Rate—Dollars to Local Currency 8 Growth Share Matrix—European Products 9 Growth Share Matrix—Eurofsean Regions Table P^e 2 10 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 Page iv 1 3 3 4 4 14 7 Total All European Regions—Forecast (Dollars) 8 Total All European Regions—History (ECUs) 9 Total All Europ>ean Regions—Forecast (ECUs) 10 Benelux Region—History 17 18 11 12 13 14 Benelux Region—Forecast France Region—History France Region—^Forecast Italy Region—History 19 20 21 22 15 16 17 18 Italy Region—Forecast Nordic Countries—History Nordic Countries—Forecast UK and Eire Region—History 23 24 25 26 19 20 21 22 23 UK and Eire Region—Forecast Germany Region—History Germany Region—Forecast Rest of Europe Region—History Rest of Europe Region—Forecast 27 28 29 30 31 15 16 European Sexolconductor Consumption History and Forecast 1985-1999 i European Cturency Exchange Kates Against the Dollar Region Currency Benelux Gulden OO France CPF) Lire a ) Swedish Krona (SKr) France Italy Nordic UK/Eire W. Germany UK Pound ( i ) Deutsche Mark (DM) ROE Peseta OPta) ECU Bi^on Benelux Currency Gulden (F) France France CFF) Italy Nordic Lire a ) Swedish Krona (SKr) 1985 3.32 8.98 1986 1987 1988 2.45 6.92 1.91 8.60 1.49 7.12 2.03 6.01 1.30 1.98 5.96 1.30 6.34 0.77 2.94 0.68 0.61 6.13 0.56 1.80 1.76 1.88 170.05 2.17 139.97 0.56 1.62 123.56 116.96 118.55 102.03 1.32 1.02 0.87 0.85 0.91 0.78 1991 1.90 5.70 1992 1.96 1993 1.96 1994 1.96 1995 1.96 5.87 5.87 1.26 1.30 1.30 5.87 1.30 5.87 1.30 6.31 0.59 6.31 0.59 6.31 0.59 6.31 0.59 105.20 1.73 109.10 1.73 109.10 1.73 109.10 1.73 109.10 0.82 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 UK/Eire UK Pound (£) 6.13 0.57 W. Germany ROE Deutsche Mark (DM) 1.68 Peseta (Pta) ECU Source: Dataquest (September 1991) 1989 2.12 6.39 1.37 6.45 0.61 1990 1.82 5.44 1.20 5.92 4 I i 0009787 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited September—Reproduction Prohibited European Semiconductor Consumption History and Forecast 1985-1995 Introduction Exchange Rates This booklet presents Dataquest's European regional history and forecast for semiconductor products for the period 1985 to 1995. For the first time, the European history and forecast is given in European currency units (ECU), as well as US dollars. The ECU is used to reflect local trading conditions, and will indicate underlying trends independent of exchange rate variations against the US dollar. There are of course variations between the local currencies and the ECU, but these are small. This data is given in the exchange rate table opposite. The exchange rates used for the forecast are those in place during the third quarter of 1991- These rates are assumed to be unchanged for the duration of the forecast. Table 2 shows the effects of the exchange rate variations on market growth when calculated in both dollars and ECU. Table 1 European Semiconductor Market by Country Region Total Europe Dataquest defines the semiconductor market as representing all merchant market business, plus the in-house business that exists for those semiconductor manufacturers which also participate in the merchant market This element of in-house business between a manufacturer and its equipment divisions or subsidiaries is valued at merchant market prices. This gives a true reflection of the total available semiconductor market to merchant semiconductor suppliers. Figure 1 shows the shipment model used by Dataquest in the definition of the total semiconductor market. Assumptions The semiconduaor forecast is made assuming certain fectors and conditions. The size of the semiconductor market may alter as a result of changes in our basic assumptions, which include: 1990 ($M) $10,661 Benelux Belgium Netherlands Luxembourg 1990 (LC M) $559 190 358 11 BF 6,346 F 652 F 367 France $1,531 FF 8,329 Italy $1,179 a K) 1,411 Nordic Countries Denmark Finland Iceland Norway Sweden UK and Eire England Scotland Wales Northern Ireland Eire $691 59 84 0 33 515 $2,730 1,884 546 109 27 164 DKr 365 EMk 321 IKr 0 NKr 206 SKr 3,049 £1,055 £306 £61 £15 £98 • Exchange rates Germany 3,077 DM 4,985 • Political environments Rest of Europ)e Austria Greece Malta Portugal Spain Switzerland Turkey $894 224 36 18 11 197 265 143 S 2,554 Dr 6,624 LM 57 Esc 1,566 Pta 20,094 SFr 368 Lt 373.030 • Economic conditions • Technologies • Semiconductor production capacity • End-use applications Table 1 gives semiconductor consumption by country for 1990. LC - Local currenq? Souree: Dataquest (September 1991) European Semiconductor Consumption History and Forecast 1985-1995 Figure 1 Semiconductor Shipment Model Supplier 1 Supplier f=inishes Product Completed Fabrication by Supf^iw Dataquast Total SomicoTKtuctor Rsvsnue Estimate Subcontract Customer Merchant Sales Supplier 3 Supplier 4 Captive 'Sales' C^38v© "Sales" Only Souree: Dataquest (September 1991) Political Conditions Economic Conditions Political conditions can include the unification of east and west Germany, the Gulf war, or reference prices for memory devices. Those factors likely to affect products (such as reference prices) are explained in the produa analysis, li is assumed that there will be no major polidcal changes within Europe. The changes that are in place, and are likely to have a notable impact on the European semiconductor market, are the unification of east and west Germany, the liberalizadon of the rest of Eastern Europe, possible new members of the European Community (Sweden, Turkey, Austria), the results of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) discussions, and trade barriers. Assumptions associated with these factors are dealt with in the regional and product analysis. Economic conditions vary significantly, and the expected changes in these conditions are explained in the regional analysis of this text. The basis for the economic growth of the relevant countries is shown in Table 3. This is the economic forecast prepared by our parent company, Dun & Bradstreet, in July 1991. 0009897 Other economic factors include the ability of the various governments to attract foreign investment into their countries. The growth of the electronic production segment of the GDP for these countries is more related to this foreign investment than the general growth of the country. Much of the current and future foreign investment will have a large impact on the potential growth of this country. Dataquest's view of the relative success ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited September—Reproduction Prohibited ESB i European Semiconductor Consumptioa History and Forecast 1985-1995 Table 2 European Quarterlf Semiconductor Revenues (MilUons of Dollars and ECUs) Qi QGR Q2 Q4 QGR Total Year AGR 0.0% -6.1% 2,794 2,040 0.73 5.1% -0.3% 10,661 8,383 0.78 9.3% -6.1% 2,491 2,113 0.85 -10.7% -10.5% 2,573 2,183 0.85 3.3% 3.3% 10,828 8,890 0.82 1.6% 6.0% 2,847 2,414 0.85 -1.5% -1.4% 3,074 2,606 0.85 8.0% 8.0% 11,558 9,799 0.85 6.7% 10.2% QGR <3 2,657 2,179 0.82 4.1% 2.9% 2,658 2,047 0.77 6.5% 9.5% 2,789 2,361 0.85 -6.3% 5.7% 6.8% 6.7% 2,889 2,449 0.85 5.1% 5.1% 1990 Dollars ECU Rate 2,552 2,118 0.83 8.2% -3.0% 1991 Dollars ECU Rate 2,975 2,233 0.75 1992 Dollars ECU Rate 2,748 2,330 0.85 QM QGK - Penjeni quarterty growth rate AGR • Percent annual growth rate Source: Dalaquest (September 1991> Table 3 International Economic Forecast GNF/GDP GroTTth Rates R^om United States Japan France Germany (west) Italy Netherlands Spain Sweden United Kingdom i n or Near Recession? Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes AGR 1989 2.5% 4.7% 4.5% 3.9% 3.2% 4.1% 4.9% 2.1% 1.7% 1990 1.0% 5.7% 2.8% 4.5% 2.0% 3.5% 3.5% 0.3% 0.5% 1991 0.0% 3.8% 1.4% 3.1% 1.4% 2.4% 2.6% -0.6% -1.8% 1992 2.5% 4.0% 2.5% 3.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.2% 1.2% 1-9% 1993 3.0% 4.6% 3.3% 3.4% 2.7% 3.3% 3.9% 1.6% 2.9% 1994 2.4% 5.0% 3.0% 3.7% 2.8% 3.1% 3.7% 2.3% 3.4% AGR " Annual growth rate Source: Dun & Bradstreet Corporation Economic Analysis Department Qxily 1991) of countries in attracting foreign investment, and the outlook for these countries in attracting future foreign investment is shown in Table 4. the UK and Eire electronics market is partly related to its production of data processing equipment within the region. Table 5 shows the applications splits in 1990 that have been used as the basis for this forecast. Applications TTie strength of the applications within a region can also have a modiying effect on the overall market size, and cause a country to grow in a maimer not related to its GDP. The data processing segment, for example, has been a major growth application in the past; and the strength of ESIS Technologies The basic technologies used for semiconductor manufacture are silicon bipolar, BiCMOS and MOS. Gallium arsenide and other ni-V materials are growing in use, but these are unlikely to have a major impact on the semiconductor market. ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited September—Reproduction Prohibited 0009897 Europeaa Setnicoaductor Consumiitioa History and Forecast 1985-1995 18.2 percent. The 1990 actual growth in US dollars was 9.3 percent, and the forecast for the CAGR 1990 to 1995 has been reduced to 9.0 percent. Table 4 Attraction of Fore^;a Investment in Electronics Production Region Benelux France Germany (west) Italy Nordic UK and Eire Rest of Europe Spain/Portugal Austria/Switzerland Past Performance Low Low Medium Low Low High Future Outlook Increasing Low Medium Low Low High High Low High Low The long-range forecast made in 1990 was based on a certain set of assumptions, and these assumptions have now changed for the foUowing reasons: • The economic gloom, apparent in the United States in 1990, spread to the United Kingdom in 1991. This had an effect on economic growth, and from the fourth quarter of 1990 the United Kingdom has been in economic recession. This is expected to improve by the end of 1991, but the rise out of recession is expected to be slow. The recession is spreading into mainland Europe, with France, Italy and Sweden also suffering from low economic growth. Source; Dataquesi (September 1991) Production Capacity Capadty of worldwide semiconductor production is expected to remain above semiconductor demand throughout the duration of this forecast, though Europe is expeaed to remain a substantial net imponer of semiconduaors for the next five years. Changes from 1990 Forecast The previous forecast for the European semiconductor market, July 1990, gave a growth of 9.5 percent in US dollars for 1990, and a compound annual growth rate (CAiGR) out to 1995 of • The unification of Germany is proving to be very expensive. There are signs of inflationary pressures creeping into the German economy; as a result, the German government has increased taxes, and the Bundesbank is increasing interest rates. This will impact further on the European economies as the ECU is heavily weighted towards the value of the deutsche mark. • Over the past two or three years, Europe has experienced a considerable influx of electronics manufacturing from the Far East. This has included printers, computers, and televisions. However, local purchasing of semiconductors has not increased as fast as w^as originally expected. Table 5 Applications Split by R^on—^1990 (Percent of Total Semiconductor) Re^on Benelux France Germany EDP Comms. Ind. Cons. 25% 24% 27% 24% 22% 25% 18% 21% 16% 15% 23% 18% 7% 23% Italy 40% Nordic UK and Eire Rest of Europe 15% 23% 44% 39% 18% 19% 15% 15% 19% MiL 6% 12% 13% 11% 1% 4% 6% 15% 45% 5% 4% Trans. 1% 7% 14% 5% 1% 4% 11% EDP - Electtonic Data Proces^g Coirans. - Communications Ind. - Industrial Cons. - Consumer MiL - Militaty Trans. - Ttansportalion Source: t)ataquest (September 1991) 0009897 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Umited September—^Reproduction Prohibited ^IS European Semiconductor Consumptioa History and Forecast 1985-1995 • The uptake of the 4M DRAM has been a lot slower than expected. This has been partly caused by a slowdown in demand for DRAMs because of the soft PC market, which has extended the life of the IM DRAM. Prices of the IM DRAM have fallen, delaying the point at which the 4M becomes economically desirable. • ASIC revenue per design is lower than was previously projected. This is because of severe price competition for low gate-count gate arrays, coupled with the increasing integration of several smaller ASICs into one ASIC. This, combined with the lower-than-expected number of designs, has led to a reduction in tiie ASIC revenue forecast. • The demand for consumer goods has slowed because of economic conditions, causing consumer analog demand to decline. Thomson, one of Europe's major consumer goods manufacturers, is also moving consumer goods manufacturing out of Europe because of the lower costs possible in Far Eastern labor markets. We expect this trend to continue as Philips and Nokia also move some manufacturing out of Europe. • In spite of the success of military electronics in the Gulf w^ar, the outbreak of peace in Eastern Europe is resulting in major cutbacks in military spending. The military market accounts for only 4.4 percent of the total European semiconductor market, but much process and product research and development is military-fimded. All these factors have combined to reduce the expected 1995 European semiconductor market to $16,368 million. This is a CAGR of 9-0 percent over the period 1990 to 1995. Product Analysis Bipolar Memory The bipolar memory market peaked in 1986, and has been declining ever since. The main reason for the use of bipolar memory is speed; and the advantage gained through the use of bipolar is rapidly declining as CMOS and BiCMOS memories achieve similar speeds. The major bipolar memory market of mainframes has also had very slow growth. The bipolar memory market will decline significantly over the next five years. EStS Bipolar Logic The bipolar logic market is gradually being superseded by MOS, as the power and integration advantages offered by CMOS outweigh the speed advantages provided by bipolar. The standard logic market is losing sh^e to the CMOS alternatives to 74LS products, and to CMOS and bipolar ASICs. Bipolar ASICs will also decline, with emittercoupled logic (ECL) gate arrays being replaced by BiCMOS arrays in many speed-critical applications. Bipolar programmable logic devices (PLDs) are also in decline, with MOS PtDs now offering comparable speeds for many PLD applications. In 1990, the CMOS PLD market exceeded the bipolar PLD market for the first time. The other logic market is also in decline. This category includes application-specific standard products, bit-slice arithmetic logic units (ALUs), multipliers, floating-point processors, and digital filters. In general, the bipolar market will decline, as CMOS and BiCMOS products replace bipolar products in all but the most speed-critical applications. The biggest threat to the bipolar market comes from BiCMOS, which offers a better compromise of speed and power than bipolar in most applications. Only some special, very high-speed applications will maintain the ECL market, where BiCMOS is unable to compete. MOS M e m o r y The MOS memory market is the most volatile of all of the semiconductor market segments. The high return required on the massive investment in manufacturing plants needed to participate in much of the MOS memory market, together with the number of suppliers, make memory prices very unstable. An effort to introduce some stability, and give European suppliers a chance to compete in the memory market, was attempted when tfie European Commission introduced price controls for Japanese memory suppliers. This has allowed European suppliers to compete and gain market share, but has failed to stabilize prices. MOS memory represented 20 percent of the European semiconductor market in 1990, a decline from 1989, where MOS memory represented 26 percent of the market. The decline is due to the fall in unit prices, as bit growth rates remained strong. The MOS memory market will grow at an ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited September—Reproduction Prohibited 0009897 ^European Seadcondnctar Consumption HJstory and Forecast 1985-1995 above-average rate, increasing its share to 23 percent by 1995. The largest product group in MOS memory is DRAM; and it is also the most volatile. The large revenue decline in the MOS memory market is due to the fall in DRAM prices. The delay in the take-up of 4M DRAMs by users forced 4M unit prices down, and hence the overall market size. The outlook for the DRAM market is, however, more optimistic, with above-average growth for the next five years. The future of DRAM supply will be dictated by a combination of new produa introductions and local manufacture. The 16M DRAM is expected by the end of 1992, and the 64M by 1996. Prior to this, Europe will be able to supply around half of its DRAM consumption, as seven DRAM suppliers will have fabs on stream by the end of 1993The largest user of DRAM is the ubiquitous PC, and the growth tn the use of the PC is one of the major drivers to this market. However, the PC growth is slowing, and this is one of the reasons why the growth of the DRAM market is now expeaed to be lower than previously forecast. The SRAM market is about one-third the size of the DRAM market, but has many more suppliers. The market is typified by the quest for speed and low power. The products with the highest margins are those with the highest speed. Ixjw-power SRAMs find applications in portable products such as laptop and hand-held PCs. Competition for slower devices is fierce, and there have been several casualties in this market in recent years. This market grew in 1990, but is expected to decline by 2 percent in US dollars in 1991. The five-year growth for the SRAM market is above DRAM, and above the average for MOS memory. The nonvolatile memory market is composed of EPROM, EEPROM, ROM and flash memory. Of these, EPROM represents more than 80 percent of the total nonvolatile memory market. The decline in the market in 1991 is mainly due to price erosion on IM devices. MOS ROM consumption in Europe is only 2 percent of the world market. The main application for MOS ROM is in games cartridges and font cartridges for laser printers, the majority of which are made in Japan. This market is expected to remain stable diroughout the duration of this forecast. 0009897 Flash memory is emerging as a popular nonvolatile memory, and is expected ultimately to replace EPROMs and EEPROMs as the cost per bit for flash continues to drop. Some major applications include zero-power memory cards, solid-state replacement for floppy-disk drives in portable computers, and ROM BIOS in PCs. MOS Microcomponent MOS microcomponent is composed of microprocessor, tnicroconiroller and microperipheral. The microcomponent market has enjoyed high growth to date, and this high growth is forecast to continue. The microprocessor market is dominated by a few suppliers, and this lack of competition between the supphers has kept prices relatively higher than is apparent in the memory market. The largest single use of microprocessors, the PC, has stimulated very high growth in this market. The unit growth of PC sales is slowing, however, but the price of the processor used in this device is increasing, as PC users opt for more powerful machines. This market will continue to grow well above the European semiconductor average, and the dominance of the few suppliers is set to continue. The microcontroller market will also grow "well above the European semiconductor average. The increase in the use of more pow^erful 8-, 16- and 32-bit microcontrollers in control applications will stimulate market growth. The largest unit shipments in Europe are for 4-bit controllers, but the higher prices commanded by 8- and l6-bit controllers mean they achieve higher revenue. The lower unit shipments for devices of longer word length give greater capacity for growth, and this will come especially in telecoms, consumer and automotive applications. The microperipheral market will exhibit the lowest growth of the microcomponent market. Most microperipheral devices are attached to microprocessors, and the increased integration capabilities of microprocessors allows the inclusion of the microperipheral devices into the microprocessor chip. However, growth is provided through the development of new, highly integrated, graphics chip sets; and the increase in the use of local area networks gives a high growth to the market for LAN chips. The high growth in the past has come from the development of PC chip sets, but competition here is cutting prices, and the development of processor chip sets such ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited September—Reproduction Prohibited E53S European Semiconductor Consumption History and Forecast 1985-1995 as Intel's laptop 386SL is also reducing the market size. M OS Logic The MOS logic market is composed of ASIC, standard logic and other logic. The ASIC market is forecast to continue its high growth, with a growth rate above the European average. Much of this growth comes from cell-based ICs (CBIC) and PLD, with PLD showing the highest growth. In 1990, MOS PLD revenue overtook bipolar PLD revenue for the first time. The new fieldprogrammable gate arrays will show the highest growth, and will become the preferred choice for many low gate-count designs. Standard logic includes the 7400 logic families, and this market has been suffering from price erosion. The decline in the market has, however, been balanced by the growth achieved at the expense of bipolar logic. The HC and AC logic fainilies give a better speed and power trade-off, so are more likely to be chosen for new designs than bipolar 7400 logic families. The standard logic market is now becoming profiable, as the move away from simple gates and towards octal drivers moves the unit price up for the devices. The introduction of the BiCMOS-based BC and BCT families, which focus on the more profitable 8-, 9- and 10-bit word lengths, will also add to longer-term profitability and growth for this market. Other MOS logic includes application-specific standard products (ASSPs), digital filters, barrel shifters, and other building blocks. Many of these products are used in DSP designs for teleconis applications, and are likely to be replaced by specialized designs targeted at specific applications. The growth of this market is forecast at average growth, as the complex, and higherpriced devices replace the lower-priced, highervolimie, building blocks. Analog The analog market is forecast to grow below the average rate for the semiconductor market over the five years, 1990 to 1995. Much of the analog ICs sold in Europe are for industrial, consumer and telecoms applications, and the wide variations in growth in the consumer market are balanced by the lower, and more steady growth of the telecoms and industrial markets. Much of the £SIS future of the telecoms market is with digital equipment, hence the below-average growth for the analog section. "Hie wide range of other applications for analog ICs also gives stability, but lower-than-average growth to the analog market. Dlsctetes and Optoelectrojoics Discretes and optoelectronics are similar to analog products in that the market has a wide range of applications. Tlais also gives low growth and stability to the market. Over half of the discrete market is for transistors; it is composed of lowpower, servo-assisted control systems, and higherpower motor control and regulators. Higher growth is seen for very high-power applications such as traction in passenger transport systems, and in automotive applications for motor control. The growth of the discrete market is below that of the semiconductor market as a whole. Country Analysis Dataquest has made estimates for the size of the semiconductor markets of each of the 22 countries that comprise Western Europe. These countries, grouped by region, are Belgium, the Netherlands, Luxembourg, France, Italy, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, Sweden, England, Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland, Eire, Germany, Austria, Greece, Malta, Portugal, Spain, Switzerland, and Turkey. See Table 1 for 1990 semiconductor market sizes. Figure 2 shows Europiean semiconductor markets by region, and Figure 3 shows European semiconductor markets by country. These and the remainder of the figures and tables have been placed at the end of the analysis for presentation purposes, Benelux The Belgian market has a small base of mainly telecoms and some consumer end users which grew •well above the European average between 1989 and 1990. It represents approximately onethird of the Benelux market. By contrast, the Netherlands' semiconductor market, consisting of mainly consumer and some telecoms and EDP end users, represents almost two-thirds of the Benelux market, but grew below the European average in 1990. Luxembourg has very litde semiconductor demand. ©1991 Dataquest Europe limited September—Reproduction Prohibited 0009897 European Semiconductor Consumption History and Forecast 1985-1995 France United Kingdom and Eire The French market is expected to grow below the European average. The current economic conditions in France are contributing to low short-term growth, and France's failure to attract foreign investment, in particular Japanese investment, is contributing to long-term lower growth. France is the home of Alcatel, the world's largest telecoms manufacturer, so the higher growth for telecoms products would be expected to increase the size of the French market. However, Alcatel has little switch manufacture in France, and switches are one of the areas of highest growth for new telecoms applications. France also has the largest military market in Europe, and the reductions in military manufacture will affect the French market significantly. The English semiconductor market has end users across a broad base of segments, but is weighted towards EDP, industrial, and telecoms. This country represents over two-thirds of the total market for this region. Scotland, the next-largest consuming country in this region, accounts for 20 percent. End users are weighted towards EDP and consumer. "Wales and Northern Ireland between them account for around 5 percent of this region, and are weighted in consumer end users. Eire has mainly EDP end users, and accounts for the remaining share. Italy The Italian market is dominated by the EDP market, and Olivetti in particular (whose recent health was below that of the general computer market). The decline in the memory market therefore had a major impact on the Italian market. The future of the Italian market is also tied closely to the EDP sector, as Hewlett-Packard will shortly be manufacturing laser printers in Italy, and IBM is now manufacmring AS/400s there. The weakness of the automotive sector is also affecting the Italian market, as new car sales have slumped. However, the longer-term outlook is for high growth in automotive applications as the electronic content of cars rises. Nordic Countries The Danish semiconductor market represents less than a tenth of the Nordic regional market. This country has a small number of consumer, telecoms, and EDP end users. However, it is distribution rather than OEM business that features here. The Finnish semiconductor market is approximately 40 percent larger than the Danish market, and has a base of telecoms, EDP and consumer manufacturers. The Norwegian market is the smallest of the four Nordic markets, with end users in telecoms and EDP. The largest and representative market of this region is Sweden. This country accounts for nearly three-quarters of the Nordic semiconductor market, with end users mainly in telecoms, but also in EDP, consumer, and industrial. 0009897 Germany Germany is the largest semiconductor maiket in Europe, followed closely by the United Kingdom and Eire. The most significant event affecting the German market was the unification of east and west Germany in 1990. This gave a boost to consumer sales, as east Germans spent their newfound deutsche marks. This consumer boom is now over, however, and the German market is attempting to absorb east German demands. The greatest area for future growth is in telecoms, as the telecoms infrastructure in eastern Germany needs considerable investment. Siemens and Alcatel will be the major beneficiaries of this. The automotive seaor has been strong in the past, but growth here is slowing. Thtis is related to lower car exports to the United States. We forecast the German market to grow at the European average over the next five years, as the telecoms infrastructure is rebuilt in east Germany, and access to the rest of the Eastern European markets is gained through Germany. Rest of Europe Ttiis region comprises all other remaining Western European countries not already covered. The Austrian market is one of the larger ones in this group, accounting for around one-quarter of total semiconductor demand. End users are biased towards telecoms and. industrial segments. The Greek semiconductor market is relatively underdeveloped and represents a minor market in this group, with a bias towards low-end consumer. The same applies to the Maltese market, which is half the size of ± e Greek market. The Portuguese market is the least substantial, with a weighting towards consumer and telecoms. Spain has a ©1991 Daiaquest Europe Limited September—BepioducUon Prohibited ESS European Semiconductor Consumption History and Forecast 1985-1995 market of similar size to Austria, around onequarter the size for the totaJ grciup, with the majority of users from the consumer, telecoms, and EDP segments. The Swiss market is the hrgesi market of this region, accounting for nearly onethird of the total group, with end users based in the segments of EDP, telecoms, and industrial. Finally, the l^irkish market is biased towards consumer and telecoms, with a market nearly four times the size of Greece. Graphical Analysis The following figures provide a graphical analysis behind the European forecast, and give an indication of the key trends in this market. The revenue for the European semiconductor market in both US dollars and ECU is shown in Figure 4. It demonstrates the impaa of the change in exchage rates between the US dollar and the ECU on the size of the European market (This impact is made more dear in Figure 5 showing the growth of the European market when measured in ECUS and US dollars.) The years 1986, 1987 and 1990 show revenue growth when measured in US dollars, but when measured in local currency (ECU) the market actually declined. The gradual weakening of the dollar against the ECU has masked a decline in the semiconductor market for this period. Figure 6 shows the exchange rate betsveen the ECU and the dollar, and over the six-year period, 1985 to 1991, the dollar has declined by nearly 40 percent. The ECU is a European currency tied to the values of the other European currencies. These curencies have all strengthened against the US doUar, but at different rates relative to each other. Figure 7 shows the relative exchange rates of the local currencies by setting their 1985 value to 100, and by monitoring the exchange rate to the dollar. The wide spread of exchange rates between the Dutch gulden and the UK pound will impact the value of each of the regions, and may also mask tme local market variations. It is because of this that the regional forecasts are presented in US dollars, ECUS and local currency. ESIS Product and Market Analysis The Boston Consulting Group identified a method for analysing the performance of a particular produa by plotting the growth and market share of this produa. By drawing a growth/share matrix it is possible to classify a product, and position it against a standard product. It is also possible to perfonn this analysis on markets, and regions. Figures 8 and 9 show the relative performance of the product categories when measured in ECUs. The growth plotted is the 1990 to 1995 CAGR, and the market share is for 1990. The average share for the products is obtained by dividing the total semiconductor market by six, for the six categories: digital bipolar, MOS memory, MOS microcomponent, MOS logic, analog, and discretes and optoelectronics. The average growth is the European total semiconductor CAGR, 1990 to 1995. The Boston Consulting Group matrix identifies the four elements of the matrix as: Problem Children (for high growth, low share). Stars (for high growth, high share). Dogs (for low growth, low share), and Cash Cows (for low growth, h i ^ share). Analysis of the matrix gives no surprises, as the MOS memory, microcomponent and JVIOS digital products are the stars of the product pottfolio. The dogs are bipolar digital products, the cash cows are analog, and discrete and optoelectronic products, and the problem child is logic—as the decline in standard products is offset by the rise in ASIC. Analysis of the regions in a similar way also yields the expected result. France and Germany are the cash cows, the United Kingdom and Eire is the rising star, Italy and the Rest of Europe are the problem children, and the dogs are the Nordic and Benelux regions. ©1991 Oataquest Europe Limited September—Reproduction Prohibited 0009897 10 European SemicoDductor Consmnptlon History and Forecast 1985-1995 Figure 2 Estimated 1990 Eiiropean Regional Semiconductor Markets UK and Eire 26% Benelux 5% <" Nordic 7% France 14% Rest of Europe 8% Italy 11% Total 1990 $10.6 Billion Source: Dataquest (September 1991) Figure 3 Estimated 1990 European Country Semiconductor Markets Country Belgium Netherlands Luxemtxiurg France Italy Denmark Rniand Iceland Norway Sweden England Scotland Wales Northern Ireland Eire Germany Austria Greece IM ; ^•^ f 1 : • i i ^ \ i^^S ':' ; 1 1 ; ^^•H 1 •1 \ 1 ^ 1 ^^^^^ .1 i t: I i 1. f 1 I t m ••i • i i t T :• •} - I' j. j i $0.5 $1 •• Malta — Portugal Spain $0 Switzerland Source: Dataquest (September 1991) Turkey 0009897 ; , 1 i • -. : j _ $1.5 $2 Billions of Dollars , $2.5 > $3 ©1991 Dataquest Europe limited September—Reproduction Prohibited 1 $3.5 European Semiconductor Consumption History and Forecast 1985-1995 I 11 Vigare 4 Total Semiconductor European Market 1985-1995 European Revenue (Billions) 20 -•- Revenue {ECU) —\— Revenue (Dotare) 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Sotxrce: Dataquest (September 1991> > F^iure 5 Total Semiconductor European Growth 1985-1995 Growth 40% 30% 20% 10% -10% 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Source: Dataquest CSeptember 1991) ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited September—Reproduction Prohibited 0009897 Baropean Semlcottdnctor CoosumptlaD History and Forecast 1985-1995 12 Figure 6 Exchange Rate X>ol)ars t o ECU Rate 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 Source: Dataquest (September 1991) i Figure 7 Relative E3:chai]^e Rates Dollars to Local Currency Relative Exchange Rate (1985 = 100) 100; — Benelux (F) -1- France (FF) -*- Italy (L) -B- Nordc (Kr) -"Xr- UK/Eire (£) 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 -$- Germany (DM) - z ^ Rest of Europe (Pta) -*- ECU 1990 1991 i Source; Dataquest (September 1991) 0009897 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited September—Reproduction Prohibited ESIS European Semiconductor Consumptlan History and Forecast 1985-1999 13 Figure 8 Growth Share Matrix European Products Growth 25% Problem Child 20% ''•'" Star Micro Logic * 15% MOS Digital * Memory . Ayerage Growth,. Cash Cow Dog 10% - • * ^ Discrete and Opto 5% 0% Average Share -5% I- Bipolar Digital * -10% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Share (1990) 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% Source: Dataquest (September 1991) F^^ure 9 Growth Bate Matrix European Regions Growth 20% Problem Child 18% 16% Star * Rest of Etirope -^ Average Growth UK and Eire -.-..-* -tte^ ^ Dog 14% Cash Cow *.. 12% *• Germany France Nordic Average Share 10% * * Benelux 8% 5% _L_ 7% 9% J_ r .-. . L J L 1 1 % 13% 15% 17% 19% 2 1 % 23% 25% 27% 29% Share (1990) Source: Dataquest (September 1991) ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe limited Septemijer—Reproduction Prohibited 0009897 14 European Semiconductor Consumption History and Forecast 1985-1995 Table 6 Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—History Total All European Regions (Millions of Dollars) History Total Semiconduaor Total Integrated Circuit Bip)olar Digital TTL ECL Bipolar Digital Memory Logic ASIC Std. Logic Other Logic MOS Digital CMOS BiCMOS NMOS and Other MOS Digital Memory DRAM SRAM Nonvolatile Other Microcomp>onent MPU MCU inc. DSP MPR Logic ASIC Std. Logic Other Logic Analog Monolithic Amplifiers Regulators Data Conversion Interface Special Consumer ASIC Other Hybrid Total Discrete Transistor Diode Thyristor Other Total Optoelectronic LED Lamp LED Display Optocoupler Other 1985 $4,720 $3,556 $709 641 68 $709 157 552 NA NA NA $1,953 702 NA 1,251 $1,953 $750 NA NA NA NA $485 NA NA NA $718 NA NA NA $894 $894 144 54 157 80 318 NA 141 NA $954 463 342 100 49 iiio 55 6i2 41 52 1986 $5,532 $4,088 $782 705 77 $782 172 610 230 376 4 $2,280 976 NA 1,304 $2,280 $822 262 252 308 NA $578 95 249 234 $880 443 157 280 $1,026 $975 166 62 185 94 360 NA 108 51 $1,153 540 432 125 56 $291 76 87 56 72 1987 $6,355 $4,693 $725 564 161 $725 85 640 210 410 20 $2,753 1,284 24 1,445 $2,753 $838 402 117 319 NA $794 217 339 238 $1,121 485 229 407 $1,215 $1,153 180 71 96 120 417 NA 269 62 $1,384 655 431 183 115 $278 57 48 68 105 1988 $8,491 $6,669 $772 624 148 $772 74 698 241 394 63 $4,364 2,491 56 1,817 $4,364 $1,797 1,062 262 473 NA $1,212 341 473 398 $1,355 711 287 357 $1,533 $1,416 200 90 116 145 475 NA 390 117 $1,516 709 473 210 124 $306 46 38 64 158 1989 $9,755 $7,794 $640 501 139 $640 72 568 260 282 26 $5,458 3,412 60 1,986 $5,458 $2,548 1,646 368 519 15 $1,469 409 640 420 $1,441 877 263 301 $1,696 $1,560 248 111 131 151 525 NA 394 136 $1,594 817 516 179 82 $367 57 43 75 192 1990 $10,661 $8,326 $577 430 147 $577 58 519 216 248 55 $5,403 4,032 39 1,332 $5,403 $2,154 1,216 396 515 27 $1,836 511 799 526 $1,413 926 230 257 $2,346 $2,187 199 125 160 88 625 189 801 159 $1,915 933 618 233 131 $420 79 60 112 169 CAGR 17.7% 18.5% -4.0% -7.7% 16.7% -4.0% -18.1% -1.2% NA NA NA 22.6% 41.9% NA 1.3% 22.6% 23.5% NA NA NA NA 30.5% NA NA NA 14.5% NA NA NA 21.3% 19.6% 6.7% 18.3% 0.4% 1.9% 14.5% NA 41.5% NA 15.0% 15.0% 12.6% 18.4% 21.7% 14.9% 7.5% -0.7% 22.3% 26.6% CAGR - Compound aninsJ gnwdi rale 1985-1990 NA - Not Available Note: figures may not add to totals due to lotmding. Source: Dataquest (September 1991) 0009897 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited September—Reproduction Prohibited ESIS European Semiconductor Consumption History and Forecast 1985-1995 I 15 Table 7 Estimated Semiconductor Consumptioti—Forecast Total All European R ^ o n s (Millions of Dollars) > Forecast Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital TTL ECL Bipolar Digital Memory Logic ASIC Std. Logic Other Logic MOS Digital CMOS BiCMOS NMOS and Other MOS Digital Memory DRAM SRAM Nonvolatile Other Microcomponent MPU MCU inc. DSP MPR Logic ASIC Std Logic Other Logic Analog Monolithic Amplifiers Regulators Data Conversion Interface Special Consumer ASIC Other Hybrid Total Discrete Transistor Diode Thyristor Other Total Optoelectronic LED Lamp LED Display Optocoupler Other 1990 $10,661 $8,326 $577 430 147 $577 58 519 216 248 55 $5,403 4.032 59 1,332 $5,403 $2,154 1,216 396 515 27 $1,836 511 799 526 $1,413 926 230 257 $2,346 $2,187 199 125 160 88 625 189 801 159 $1,915 933 618 233 131 $420 79 60 112 169 1991 $8,683 $489 352 137 $489 49 440 1^ 204 47 $5,777 4,307 104 1,366 $5,776 $2,094 1,208 389 461 36 $2,219 615 989 615 $1,463 988 219 256 $2,418 $2,255 193 123 161 87 646 201 844 163 $1,750 856 565 211 118 $395 72 55 107 161 1992 $11,556 $9,478 $425 289 136 $425 41 384 175 171 38 $6,596 4,911 189 1,496 $6,597 $2,445 1,411 489 503 42 $2,529 683 1,163 683 $1,622 1,120 216 276 $2,456 $2,292 184 119 159 85 657 211 877 164 $1,682 825 543 201 113 $396 70 54 109 163 1993 $13,777 $11,475 $395 250 145 $395 40 355 176 145 34 $8,302 6.173 327 1,802 $8,304 $3,204 1,897 630 626 51 $3,085 833 1.451 801 $2,014 1,442 238 334 $2,776 $2,591 196 127 176 91 743 246 1,012 185 $1,864 916 603 221 124 $438 75 59 122 182 1994 $15,335 $12,897 $361 209 152 $361 32 329 174 124 31 $9,452 7,022 473 1,957 $9,455 $3,604 2,066 757 722 59 $3,532 978 1,621 933 $2,318 1,705 239 374 $3,081 $2,877 204 134 190 96 825 281 1,147 204 $1,954 962 633 230 129 $484 81 65 136 202 1995 $16,368 $13,847 $317 162 155 $317 25 2<>2 170 95 27 $10,260 7,613 624 2,023 $10,263 $3,832 2,093 852 819 68 $3,885 1,112 1,769 1,004 $2,545 1,917 223 405 $3,267 $3,051 203 136 195 97 873 308 1,239 216 $2,013 997 651 234 131 $508 83 66 145 214 CAGR 9.0% 10.7% -11.3% -17.7% 1.1% -11.3% -15.5% -10.9% -4,7% -17.5% *13.3% 13.7% 13.6% 74.1% 8.7% 13.7% 12.2% 11.5% 16.6% 9.7% 203% 16.2% 16.8% 172% 13.8% 12.5% 15.7% -0.6% 9.5% 6.8% 6.9% 0.4% 1.7% 4.0% 2.0% 6.9% 10.3% 9.1% 6.3% 1.0% 1.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 3.9% 1.0% 1.9% 5.3% 4.8% CAGR - Compound annual growth rate 1990-1995 Note: Figures may not add to totals due to rounding. Source Dataquest (September 1991) ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe limited September—Reproduction Prohibited 0009897 16 European Semiconductor Consumption Hlstorjr and Forecast 1985-1995 Table 8 Estimated SemJconductor Consumptioii—History Total All European R ^ o n s (Millions of ECUS) History Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital TTL ECL Bipolar Digital Memory Logic ASIC Std. Logic Other Logic MOS Digital CMOS BiCMOS NMOS and Other MOS Digital Memory DRAM SRAM Nonvolatile Other Microcomponent MPU MCU inc. DSP MPR Logic ASIC Std. Logic Other Logic Analog Monolithic Amplifiers Regulators Etata Conversion Interface Special Consumer ASIC Other Hybrid Total Discrete Transistor Diode Thyristor Other Total Optoelectronic LED lamp LED Display Optocoupler Other Rate (ECU: $) 1985 6,230 4,694 936 846 90 936 207 729 NA NA NA 2,578 927 NA 1,651 2,578 990 NA NA NA NA 640 NA NA NA 948 NA NA NA 1,180 1,180 190 71 207 106 420 NA 186 NA 1,259 611 451 132 65 277 73 82 54 69 1986 5,643 4,170 798 719 79 798 175 622 235 384 4 2,326 996 NA 1,330 2,326 838 267 257 314 NA 590 97 254 239 898 452 160 286 1,047 995 169 63 189 96 367 NA 110 52 1,176 551 441 128 57 297 78 89 57 73 1987 5,529 4,083 631 491 140 631 74 557 183 357 17 2,395 1,117 21 1,257 2,395 729 350 102 278 NA 691 189 295 207 975 422 199 354 1,057 1,003 157 62 84 104 363 NA 234 54 1,204 570 375 159 100 242 50 42 59 91 1988 7,217 5,669 656 530 126 656 63 593 205 335 54 3,709 2,117 48 1,544 3,709 1,527 903 223 402 NA 1,030 290 402 338 1,152 604 244 303 1,303 1,204 170 77 99 123 404 NA 332 99 1.289 603 402 179 105 260 39 32 54 134 1989 8,916 7,124 585 458 127 585 66 519 238 258 24 4,989 3,119 55 1,815 4,989 2,329 1,504 336 474 14 1.343 374 585 384 1,317 802 240 275 1,550 1,426 227 101 120 138 480 NA 360 124 1,457 747 472 164 75 335 52 39 69 175 1990 8,380 6,544 454 338 116 454 46 408 170 195 43 4,247 3,169 31 1,047 4,247 1,693 956 311 405 21 1.443 402 628 413 1,111 728 181 202 1,844 1,719 156 98 126 69 491 149 630 125 1,505 733 486 183 103 330 62 47 88 133 1.32 1.02 0.87 0.85 0.91 0.78 CAGR 6.1% 6.9% -13.5% -16.8% 5.2% -13.5% -26.0% -11.0% NA NA NA 10.5% 27.9% NA -8.7% 10.5% 11.3% NA NA NA NA 17.7% NA NA NA 3.2% NA NA NA 9.3% 7.8% -3.9% 6.7% -9.5% -8.2% 3.2% NA 27.6% NA 3.6% 3,7% 1.5% 6.8% 9.6% 3.6% -3.2% -10.5% 10.3% 14.0% CAGR - Compound annual growth rate 1985-1990 NA - Not Available Note: Figures may not add to totals due to rounding. Source: Dataquest (September 1991) 0009897 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited September—Reproduction Prohibited ESIS I European Semiconductor Consumption History and Forecast 1985-1995 17 Table 9 Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—Forecast Total All European Regions (MlUions of ECUS) I Forecast Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit BifHslar Digital TTL ECL Bipolar Digital Memory Logic ASIC Std. Logic Other Logic MOS Digital CMOS BiCMOS NMOS and Other MOS Digital Memory DRAM SRAM Nonvolatile Other Microcomponent MPU MCU inc. DSP MPR Logic ASIC Std. Logic Other Logic Analog Monolithic Amplifiers Regulators Data Conversion Interface Special Consumer ASIC Other Hybrid Total Discrete Transistor Diode Thyristor Other Total Optoelectronic LED Lamp LED Display Optocoupler Other Rate OSCU: $) 1990 8,380 6,544 454 338 116 454 46 408 170 195 43 4,247 3,169 31 1,047 4,247 1,693 956 311 405 21 1,443 402 628 413 1,111 728 181 202 1,844 1,719 156 98 126 69 491 149 630 , 125 1,505 733 486 183 103 330 62 47 88 133 0.78 1991 8,890 7,129 401 289 112 401 40 361 155 167 39 4,743 3,536 85 1,121 4,742 1,719 992 319 378 30 1,822 505 812 505 1,201 811 180 210 1,985 1,851 158 101 132 71 530 165 693 134 1,437 703 464 173 97 324 59 45 88 132 1992 9,799 8,037 360 245 115 360 35 326 148 145 32 5,593 4,165 l60 1,269 5,594 2,073 1,197 415 427 36 2,145 579 986 579 1,375 958 183 234 2,083 1,944 156 101 135 72 557 179 744 139 1,426 700 460 170 96 336 59 46 92 138 1993 11,683 9,731 335 212 123 335 34 301 149 123 29 7,040 5,235 277 1,528 7,042 2,717 1,609 534 531 43 2,6l6 706 1,230 679 1,708 1,223 202 283 2,354 2,197 166 108 149 77 630 209 858 157 1,581 777 511 187 105 371 64 50 103 154 1994 13,004 10,937 306 177 129 306 27 279 148 105 26 8,015 5,955 401 1,660 8,018 3,056 1,752 642 612 50 2,995 829 1,375 791 1,966 1,446 203 317 2,613 2,440 173 114 161 81 700 238 973 173 1,657 816 537 195 109 410 69 • 55 115 171 1995 13,880 11,742 269 137 131 269 21 248 144 81 23 8,700 6,456 529 1,716 8,703 3,250 1,775 722 695 58 3,294 943 1,500 851 2,158 1,626 189 343 2,770 2,587 172 115 165 82 740 261 1,051 183 1,707 845 552 198 111 431 70 56 123 181 0.82 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 CAGR 10.6% 12.4% -9.9% -16.5% 2.5% -9.9% -14.5% -9.5% -3.3% -16.1% -11.8% 15.4% 15.3% 76.4% 10.4% 15.4% 13.9% 13.2% 18.3% 11.4% 22.5% 17.9% 18.6% 19.0% 15.6% 14.2% 17.4% 0.9% 11.2% 8.5% 8.5% - 2.0% 3.3% 5.5% 3.5% 8.6% 11.9% 10.8% 7.9% 2.6% 2.9% 2.6% 1.6% 1.5% 5.5% 2.5% 3.6% 6.9% 6.4% CAGR - Compound annual growth rate 1990-1995 Note: Tigates may not add to totals due to rounding. Source: Dataquest (September 1991) ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited September-Reproduction Prohibited 0009897 18 European Semiconductor Consumption History and Forecast 1985-1995 Table 10 Estimated Semiconductor Consuinption History Benelux R ^ o n mstory ($M) m $18 1987 $403 $303 $43 5 38 $184 42 64 78 $76 76 NA $82 $18 1988 $496 $361 $45 4 41 $213 72 73 68 $103 103 NA $107 $28 1989 $498 $365 $37 4 33 $230 77 78 75 $98 98 NA $104 $29 1990 $559 $400 $31 3 28 $224 67 91 66 $145 135 10 $127 $32 CAGR 13.0% 11.2% -8.0% -22.9% -4.9% 11.7% 6.5% 22.5% 7.0% 19.7% 18.0% NA 17.8% 19.7% 1985 401 310 62 15 48 170 65 44 62 78 78 NA 74 17 1986 365 279 53 12 41 158 58 40 60 68 68 NA 67 18 1987 351 264 37 4 33 160 37 56 68 66 66 NA 71 16 1988 422 307 38 3 35 181 61 62 58 88 88 NA 91 24 1989 455 334 34 4 30 210 70 71 69 90 90 NA 95 27 1990 439 314 24 2 22 176 53 72 52 114 106 8 100 25 CAGR 1.8% 0.3% -17.0% -30.5% -14.3% 0.7% -4.0% 10.4% -3.5% 7.9% 6.4% NA 6.2% 7.9% 1.32 1.02 0.87 0.85 0.91 0.79 1985 1,009 780 156 37 120 428 163 110 156 196 196 NA 186 43 1986 877 671 127 29 98 380 140 96 145 164 164 NA 162 44 1987 818 615 87 10 77 374 85 130 158 154 154 NA 166 37 1988 982 715 89 8 81 422 143 145 135 204 204 NA 212 55 1989 1.056 774 78 8 70 488 163 165 159 208 208 NA 220 61 1990 1,017 728 56 5 51 408 122 166 120 264 246 18 231 58 3.3 2.5 2.0 2.0 2.1 1.8 Total Setniconduaor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1985 $304 $235 $47 11 36 $129 49 33 47 $59 59 NA $56 $13 19S6 $358 $274 $52 12 40 $155 57 39 59 $67 67 NA Historr CECU M) Total Semiconduaor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic Rate (ECU: $) Historv CF M> Total Semiconduaor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic Rate (F; $) CAGR 0.2% -1.4% -18.4% -31.6% -15.7% -1.0% -5.6% 8.6% -5.1% 6.1% 4.6% NA 4.5% 6.2% CAGR - Compound annual growth rate 1985-1990 NA " Not Available Note: Bgures may not add to totals due to rotinding. Source; Dataquest (September 1991) 0009897 ©1991 t)ataqu?st Europe Limited Septetrfoer—Reproduction Prohibited ESI5 European Semiconductor Consumption History and Forecast 1985-1995 19 Table 11 Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—Forecast Benelux Region Forecast C$M) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcotrponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1990 $559 $400 31 3 28 $224 67 91 (£ $145 135 10 $127 $32 1991 $551 $416 27 3 24 $226 60 108 58 $163 152 11 $108 $27 1992 $565 $427 22 2 20 $235 58 119 58 $170 159 12 $108 $30 1993 $647 $491 21 2 19 $282 68 142 72 $188 177 12 $123 $33 1994 $690 $528 19 2 17 $312 71 152 89 $197 184 12 $129 $33 1995 $704 $538 16 2 14 $346 87 164 95 $176 165 10 $131 $35 CAGR 4.7% 6.1% -12.4% -7.8% -12.9% 9.1% 5.4% 12.5% 7.6% 4.0% 4.1% 0.0% 0.6% 1.8% Forecast OECU M) Total Semiconduaor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1990 439 314 24 2 22 176 53 72 52 114 106 8 100 25 1991 452 342 22 2 20 186 '^9 89 48 134 125 9 89 22 1992 479 362 19 2 17 199 ^') 101 49 144 135 10 92 25 1993 549 4l6 18 2 16 239 58 120 61 159 150 10 104 28 1994 585 448 16 2 14 265 60 129 75 167 156 10 109 28 1995 597 456 14 2 12 293 74 139 81 149 140 8 111 30 CAGR 6.3% 7.7% -11.0% 0.0% -11.6% 10.8% 7.0% 142% 9.2% 5.5% 5.7% 1.5% 2.2% 3.4% 0.79 0.82 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1990 1,017 728 56 5 51 408 122 166 120 264 246 18 231 58 1991 1,047 790 51 6 46 429 114 205 110 310 289 21 205 51 1992 1,107 837 43 4 39 461 114 233 114 333 312 24 212 59 1993 1,268 962 41 4 37 553 133 278 141 368 347 24 241 65 1994 1,352 1,035 37 4 33 612 139 298 174 386 361 24 253 65 1995 1,380 1,054 31 4 27 678 171 321 186 345 323 20 257 69 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 Rate: (ECU: $) Forecast (F IMO Total Semiconduaor Total Integrated Circuit Bip>olar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic Rate (F: $) CAGR 6.3% 7.7% -11.1% -4.4% -11.6% 10.7% 6.9% 142% 9.2% 5.5% 5.6% 1.5% 2.1% 3.3% CAGR - Compound annual growth rate 1990-1995 Note: Hgures may not add to totals due to lounding. Source Dataquest (September 1991) ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe Umited September—Reproduction Prohibited 0009897 20 Emropean Setnlcoaductcir Consumptioti History and Forecast 1985-1995 Table 12 Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—History France Re^on Efistory C$M) Total Semiconduaor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1985 $671 $503 $101 23 78 • $276 107 68 101 $126 126 NA $135 $33 1986 $801 $591 $114 26 88 $328 121 82 125 $149 141 8 $165 $45 1987 $940 $716 $109 13 96 $422 126 127 169 $185 176 9 $185 $39 1988 $1,210 $977 $115 10 105 $631 232 182 217 $231 214 17 $196 $37 1989 $1,386 $1,122 $83 8 75 $777 350 207 220 $262 237 25 $220 $44 1990 $1,532 $1,217 $78 7 71 $780 300 262 218 $359 337 22 $266 $49 CAGR 18.0% 19.3% -5.0% -21.2% -1.9% 23.1% 22.9% 31.0% 16.6% 23.3% 21.7% NA 14.5% 8.2% History CECU M) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelecttonic 1985 886 664 133 30 103 364 141 90 133 166 166 NA 178 44 1986 817 603 116 27 90 335 123 84 128 152 144 8 168 46 1987 818 623 95 11 84 367 110 110 147 161 153 8 161 34 1988 1,029 830 98 9 89 536 197 155 184 196 182 14 167 31 1989 1,267 1,026 76 7 69 710 320 189 201 239 217 23 201 40 1990 1,204 957 61 6 56 613 236 206 171 282 265 17 209 39 CAGR 6.3% 7.6% -14.4% -28.9% -11.5% 11.0% 10.8% 18.1% 5.1% 11.2% 9.8% NA 3.2% -2.4% 1.32 1.02 0.87 0.85 0.91 0.79 1985 6,026 4,517 907 207 700 2,478 961 611 907 1,131 1,131 NA 1,212 296 1986 5,543 4,090 789 180 609 2,270 837 567 865 1,031 976 55 1,142 311 1987 5,649 4,303 655 78 577 2,536 757 763 1,016 1,112 1,058 54 1,112 234 1988 7,212 5,823 685 60 626 3,761 1,383 1,085 1,293 1,377 1,275 101 1,168 221 1989 8,857 7,170 530 51 479 4,965 2,237 1,323 1,406 1,674 1,514 160 1,406 281 1990 8,334 6,620 424 38 386 4,243 1,632 1,425 1,186 1,953 1,833 120 1,447 267 9.0 6.9 6.0 6.0 6.4 5.4 Rate (ECU: $) History CFF M) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic Kate (FF: $) CAGR 6.7% 7.9% -14.1% -28.7% -11.2% 11.4% 11.2% 18.5% 5.5% 11.5% 10.1% NA 3.6% -2.1% CAGR - Compound mnua] growth rate 1S85-1990 NA - Not Availahia Note: Figutes may not add to totals due to rounding. Source: Dataquest (September 1990 0009897 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited September—^Reproduction Prohibited ESIS European Seniicoiiductor Consumption History and Forecast 1985-1995 21 Table 13 Estimated Semiconductor Consumptioii—Forecast France Region Forecast ($M) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcon^x>nent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1990 $1,532 $1,217 78 7 71 $780 300 262 218 $359 337 22 $266 $49 1991 $1,391 $1,133 60 5 55 $757 264 294 199 $316 297 19 $218 $40 1992 $1,502 $1,248 50 4 46 $859 300 337 222 $339 318 20 $213 $41 1993 $1,811 $1,526 50 4 46 $1,089 389 418 282 $387 364 22 $239 $46 1994 $2,037 $1,734 46 4 42 $1,251 440 479 332 $437 413 26 $253 $50 1995 $2,199 $1,897 39 2 37 $1,395 484 543 368 $463 436 27 $251 $51 CAGR 7.5% 9.3% -12.9% -22.2% -12.2% 12.3% 10.0% 15.7% 11.0% 5.2% 5.3% 4.2% -1.2% 0.8% Forecast CECU M) Total Semiconduaor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1990 1,204 957 61 6 56 613 236 206 171 282 265 17 209 39 1991 1,142 930 49 4 45 621 217 241 163 259 244 16 179 33 1992 1,274 1,058 42 3 39 728 254 286 188 287 270 17 181 35 1993 1,536 1,294 42 3 39 923 330 354 239 328 309 19 203 39 1994 1,727 1,470 39 3 36 1,061 373 406 282 371 350 22 215 42 1995 1,865 1,609 33 2 31 1,183 410 460 312 393 370 23 213 43 CAGR 9.1% 11.0% -11.6% -21.0% -10.9% 14.0% 11.7% 17.5% 12.7% 6.8% 6.9% 5.8% 0.4% 2.3% 0.79 0.82 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1990 8,334 6,620 424 38 386 4,243 1,632 1,425 1,186 1,953 1,833 120 1,447 267 1991 7,929 6,458 342 29 314 4,315 1,505 1,676 1,134 1,801 1,693 108 1,243 228 1992 8,817 7,326 294 23 270 5,042 l,76l 1,978 1,303 1,990 1,867 117 1,250 241 1993 10,631 8.958 294 23 270 6,392 2,283 2,454 1,655 2,272 2,137 129 1,403 270 1994 11,957 10.179 270 23 247 7,343 2,583 2,812 1,949 2,565 2,424 153 1,485 294 1995 12,908 11,135 229 12 217 8.189 2,841 3,187 2.160 2,718 2,559 158 1,473 299 5.4 5.7 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 Rate (ECU: $) Forecast OFF M) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic Rate OFF: $) CAGR 9.1% 11.0% -11.6% -21 0% -10.9% 14.1% 11.7% 17.5% 12.7% 6.8% 6.9% 5.8% 0.4% 2.3% CA.GR - Omipound annual growth rate 1990-1995 Note: Figures may not add to totals due to rounding. Source: Dataquest (September 1990 ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe limited September—^Reproduction Prohibited 0009897 European Semiconductor Consumption History a n d Forecast 198$-1995 22 Table 14 Estiinated Semicoaductor Consumptioii—History Italy Region History ($M) Total Semiconduaor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1985 $451 $345 $68 15 53 $190 72 48 70 $87 87 NA $88 $18 1986 $534 $404 $77 16 61 $225 80 58 87 $102 97 5 $106 $24 1987 $660 $493 $79 9 70 $294 92 79 123 $120 114 6 $139 $28 1988 $982 $791 $79 8 71 $560 253 145 162 $152 141 11 $160 $31 1989 $1,082 $845 $58 8 50 $625 315 170 140 $162 150 12 $205 $32 1990 $1,181 $897 $57 7 50 $612 255 214 143 228 215 13 $248 $36 CAGR 21.2% 21.1% -3.5% -l4.^o^ -1.2% 26.4% 28.8% 34.8% 15.4% 21.3% 19.8% NA 23.0% 14.9% H i s t o r y (ECU M ) Total Semiconduaor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1985 595 455 90 20 70 251 95 63 92 115 115 NA 116 24 1986 545 412 79 16 62 230 82 59 89 104 99 5 108 24 1987 574 429 69 8 61 256 80 69 107 104 99 5 121 24 1988 835 672 67 7 60 476 215 123 138 129 120 9 136 26 1989 989 772 53 7 46 571 288 155 128 148 137 11 187 29 1990 928 705 45 6 39 481 200 168 112 179 169 10 195 28 CAGR 9.3% 9.1% -13.0% -22.6% -10.9% 13-9% 16.1% 21.6% 4.0% 9.3% 8.0% NA 10.9% 3.6% 1.32 1.02 0.87 0.85 0.91 0.79 1985 861 659 130 29 101 363 137 92 134 166 166 NA 168 34 1966 796 602 115 24 91 335 119 86 130 152 145 7 158 36 1987 855 639 102 12 91 381 119 102 159 156 148 8 180 36 1988 1,278 1,029 103 10 92 729 329 189 211 198 183 14 208 40 1989 1,486 l,l6l 80 11 69 859 433 234 192 223 206 16 282 44 1990 1,414 1,074 68 8 60 733 305 256 171 273 257 16 297 43 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.2 Rate CECU: $) H i s t o r y (L B) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolidiic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1.9 Rate (L: $) CAGR - Ccmpoucid annitaJ growth taie 1985-1990 NA - Hot Available Note: Figures may not add to totals due to rounding. Source: Dataquest (September 1991) 0009897 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited September—^Reproduction Prohibited CAGR 10.4% 10-3% -12.1% -21.8% -10.0% 15.1% 17.3% 22.8% 5.1% 10.4% 9.2% NA 12,1% 4.6% ESIS 23 European SemlcondDctor Consiunptiati EClstory and Forecast 1985-1995 Table 15 Estimated Semjconductor Consumption—Forecast Italy Region Forecast ($M) Total Semiconduaor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Aiialog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1990 $1,181 $897 57 7 50 $6X2 255 214 143 $228 215 13 $248 $36 1991 $1,091 $863 42 5 37 $608 230 243 135 $213 202 11 $197 $31 1992 $1,169 $953 36 4 32 $707 275 280 152 $210 199 12 $186 $30 1993 $1,402 $1,169 36 4 32 $894 356 340 198 $239 228 12 $201 $32 1994 $1,566 $1,318 33 4 29 $1,017 396 397 224 $268 253 15 $212 $36 1995 $1,678 $1,415 28 3 25 $1,108 421 446 241 $279 266 15 $226 $37 OVGR 7.3% 9.5% -13.3% -15.6% -12.9% 12.6% 10.5% 15.8% 11.0% 41% 4.3% 2.9% -1.8% 0.5% Forecast (ECU M) Total Semiconduaor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory MicrocompKDnent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1990 928 705 45 6 39 481 200 168 112 179 169 10 195 28 1991 896 709 34 4 30 499 189 200 111 175 166 9 162 25 1992 991 808 31 3 27 600 233 237 129 178 169 10 158 25 1993 1,189 991 31 3 27 758 302 288 168 203 193 10 170 27 1994 1,328 1,118 28 3 25 862 336' 337 190 227 215 13 180 31 1995 1,423 1,200 24 3 21 940 357 378 204 237 226 13 192 31 CAGR 8.9% 11.2% -11.9% -14.3% -11.6% 14.3% 12.2% 17.6% 12.7% 5.7% 5.9% 4.5% -0.3% 2.1% 0.79 0.82 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1990 1,414 1,074 68 8 60 733 305 256 171 273 257 16 297 43 1991 1,370 1,084 53 6 46 764 289 305 170 268 254 14 247 39 1992 1,520 1,239 47 5 42 919 358 364 198 273 259 16 242 39 1993 1,823 1.520 47 5 42 1,162 463 442 257 311 296 16 261 42 1994 2,036 1,713 43 5 38 1,322 515 516 291 348 329 20 276 47 1995 2,181 1,839 36 4 33 1,440 547 580 313 363 346 20 294 48 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 Rate (ECU: $) Forecast (L B) Total Semiconduaor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic Rate CL B: $) CAGR 9.1% 11.4% -11.8% -14.2% -11.5% 14.5% 12.4% 17.7% 12.8% 5.8% 6.1% 4.6% -0.2% 2.2% CAGR " Compound annual growth fate 1990-1995 Note: Figures may not add to totals due to rounding. Source: Dataquest (Septembef 1991) ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe Uinited September—^Reproduction Prohibited 0009897 24 European Semiconductor Consumption History and Forecast 1985-1995 Table 16 Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—History Nordic Cotmtries History C$M) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1985 $391 $306 $60 12 48 $169 63 44 62 $77 77 NA $71 $14 1986 $426 $328 $61 14 47 $184 66 48 70 $83 79 4 $80 $18 1987 $458 $351 $57 5 52 $205 59 56 90 $89 84 5 $90 $17 1988 $625 $508 $70 7 63 $313 108 97 108 $125 114 11 $96 $21 1989 $682 $549 $52 7 45 $371 148 109 114 $126 115 11 $111 $22 1990 $691 $547 $44 5 39 $336 117 119 100 $167 157 10 $122 $22 CAGR 12.1% 12.3% -6.0% -16,1% -4.1% 14.7% 13.2% 22.0% 10.0% 16.7% 15.3% NA 11.4% 9.5% History (ECU M) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1985 516 404 79 16 63 223 83 58 82 102 102 NA 94 18 1986 435 335 62 14 48 188 67 49 71 85 81 4 82 18 1987 398 305 50 4 45 178 51 49 78 77 73 4 78 15 1988 531 432 60 6 54 266 92 82 92 106 97 9 82 18 1989 623 502 48 6 41 339 135 100 104 115 105 10 101 20 1990 543 430 35 4 31 264 92 94 79 131 123 8 96 17 CAGR 1.0% 1.3% -15.3% -24.3% -13.5% 3.4% 2.0% 10.0% -0.8% 5.2% 4.0% NA 0.5% -1.3% 1.32 1.02 0.87 0.85 0.91 0.79 1985 3.363 2,632 516 103 413 1,453 542 378 533 662 662 NA 611 120 1986 3,033 2,335 434 100 335 1,310 470 342 498 591 562 28 570 128 1987 2.904 2,225 361 32 330 1,300 374 355 571 564 533 32 571 108 1988 3,831 3,114 429 43 386 1,919 662 595 662 766 699 67 588 129 1989 4,399 3,541 335 45 290 2,393 955 703 735 813 742 71 716 142 1990 4,091 3,238 260 30 231 1,989 693 704 592 989 929 59 722 130 8.6 7.1 6.3 6.1 6.5 5.9 Rate (ECU: $) History (SKr M) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic Rate (SKr: $) CAGR. 4.0% 4.2% -12.8% -22.1% -11.0% 6.5% 5.0% 13.2% 2.1% 8.3% 7.0% NA 3.4% 1.6% CAGR - Compound annual growth rate 1985-1990 NA - Not Available Note: Figures may not add to totals due to rounding. Source: Dataquest (September 1991) 0009897 ©1991 Daaquest Europe Limited September—Reproduction Prohibited ESIS European Semiconductor Consumption History and Forecast 1985-1995 25 Table 17 Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—Forecast Noridc Countires Forecast ($M) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microconponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1990 $691 $547 44 5 39 $336 117 119 100 $167 157 10 $122 $22 1991 $639 $518 Forecast OECU M) Total Setniconduaor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1990 543 430 Rate (ECU: $) Forecast (SKr M) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic Kate (SKr: $) 5 31 $324 101 128 95 $158 148 9 $100 $21 1992 $666 $547 29 3 26 $355 113 139 103 $163 153 9 $100 $19 1993 $776 $641 27 3 24 $425 133 161 131 $189 178 12 $111 $24 1994 $839 $701 25 2 23 $476 144 192 140 $200 187 12 $113 $25 1995 $872 $741 22 2 20 $526 155 213 158 $193 183 13 $108 $23 CAGR 4.8% 6.3% -12.9% -16.7% -12.5% 9.4% 5.8% 12.3% 9.6% 2.9% 3.1% 5.4% -2.4% 0.9% 4 31 264 92 94 79 131 123 8 96 17 1991 525 425 30 4 25 266 83 105 78 130 122 7 82 17 1992 565 464 25 3 22 301 96 118 87 138 130 8 85 16 1993 658 544 23 3 20 360 113 137 111 160 151 10 94 20 1994 711 594 21 2 20 404 122 163 119 170 159 10 96 21 1995 739 628 19 2 17 446 131 181 134 164 155 11 92 20 CAGR 6.4% 7.9% -11.6% -15.5% -11.2% 11.1% 7.4% 14.1% 11.3% 4.5% 4.7% 7.0% -0.9% 2.4% 0.79 0.82 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1990 4,091 3,238 260 30 231 1,989 693 704 592 989 929 59 722 130 1991 3,917 3,175 221 31 190 1,986 619 785 582 969 907 55 613 129 1992 4,202 3,452 183 19 164 2,240 713 877 650 1,029 965 57 631 120 1993 4,897 4,045 170 19 151 2,682 839 1,016 827 1,193 1,123 76 700 151 1994 5,294 4,423 158 13 145 3,004 909 1,212 883 1,262 1,180 76 713 158 1995 5,502 4,676 139 13 126 3,319 978 1,344 997 1,218 1,155 82 681 145 5.9 6.1 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 35 36 CAGR 6.1% 7.6% -11.8% -15.7% -11.4% 10.8% 7.1% 13.8% 11.0% 4.3% 4.m 6.7% -1.2% 2.2% CAGR - Compound annual growth rate 1990-1995 Note: Rgures may not add to totals due to rounding. Source Dataquest (September 1991) ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe limited September—Reproduction Prohibited 0009897 26 £iuiopean Setniconductor Consomptioa History and Forecast 198S-1995 Table 18 Estimated Semiconductor Consumptiaa—History UK and Eire Region Htetory (;$M) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1985 $1,198 $959 $193 1986 $1,288 $1,016 $195 1987 $1,570 $1,203 $188 19S8 $2,230 $1,852 $206 1989 $2,614 $2,225 $177 1990 $2,729 $2,283 $152 44 149 44 151 22 166 18 188 19 158 16 136 $525 $565 $741 $1,294 $1,634 $1,587 202 130 193 200 145 220 251 199 291 (M 303 325 804 424 406 661 533 393 $241 $256 $274 $352 $414 $544 241 NA 243 13 260 14 326 26 387 27 507 37 $192 $211 $306 $312 $290 $47 $61 $61 $66 $99 $333 $113 History (ECU M) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1985 1,581 1,266 1986 1,314 1,036 1987 1,366 1,047 1988 1,896 1,574 1989 2,389 2,034 1990 2,145 1,794 255 58 197 693 267 172 255 318 318 NA 253 62 199 45 154 576 204 148 224 261 248 13 215 62 164 19 144 645 218 173 253 238 226 12 266 53 175 15 160 162 17 144 119 13 107 1,100 1,493 1,247 566 258 276 299 277 22 265 56 735 388 371 378 354 25 265 90 520 419 309 428 399 29 262 89 1.32 1.02 0.87 0.85 0.91 0.79 1985 1986 1987 922 738 149 34 115 404 156 100 149 186 186 NA 148 36 876 691 133 30 103 384 136 99 150 174 165 9 143 41 958 734 115 13 101 452 153 121 178 167 159 9 187 37 1988 1,249 1,037 1989 1,595 1,357 1990 1,528 1,278 CAGR 10.6% 115 10 105 725 373 170 182 197 183 15 175 37 108 12 96 997 490 259 248 253 236 16 177 60 85 9 76 889 370 298 220 305 284 21 186 63 -10.5% -23.4% -7.9% 17.1% 18.9% 24.4% 8.2% 10.4% 8.9% 0.8 07 0.6 0£ 0,6 06 Rate (ECU: $) History (A M) Total Semiconduaor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic Raie (£: $) CAGR 17.9% 18.9% -4.7% -18.3% -1.8% 24.8% 26.8% 32.6% 15.3% 17.7% l6.0% NA 11.6% 19.2% CACSi 6.3% 7.2% -14.1% -26.4% -11.5% 12.5% 14.3% 19.5% 3.9% 6.1% 4.6% NA 0.6% 7.4% 11.6% NA 4.8% 11.8% CAGR - Compound annual growth rate 1985-1990 NA - Not Available Note: Figures may not add to totals due to rounding. Sovjrce: Dataquest (September 1991) 0009897 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Liinited September—^Reproduction Prohibited ESIS European Semiconductor Consumption History and Forecast 1985-1995 Z7 Table 19 Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—Forecast UK and Eire Region 1995 $4,508 $4,021 89 6 83 $3,146 1,212 1,173 761 $786 735 51 $349 $138 CAGR 10.6% 12.0% -10.2% -17.8% -9.4% 14.7% 12.9% 17.1% 14.1% 7.6% 7.7% 6.6f/o 0.9% 4.1% 1994 3.540 3,144 81 7 75 2,461 988 895 . 578 602 563 40 283 112 1995 3,823 3,410 75 5 70 2,668 1,028 995 645 667 623 43 296 117 CAGR 12.3% 13-7% •8.8% -16.6% -8.0% 16.4% 14.6% 18.9% 15.9% 9.3% 9-4% 8.3% 2.5% 5.7% 0.85 0.85 0.85 1992 1,810 1,581 67 7 60 1,178 464 439 274 336 314 22 168 61 1993 2,185 1,933 64 7 57 1,499 614 542 344 371 345 25 184 68 1994 2.463 2,188 57 5 52 1,712 687 622 402 419 392 28 197 78 1995 2,660 2,372 53 4 49 1,856 715 692 449 464 434 30 206 81 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 Forecast C$M> Total Semiconduaor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital MemoryLogic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1990 $2,729 $2,283 152 16 136 $1,587 661 533 393 $544 507 37 $333 $113 1991 $2,841 $2,425 126 12 114 $1,728 660 649 419 $571 532 38 $310 $106 1992 $3,068 $2,680 114 12 102 $1,996 787 744 465 $570 533 38 $285 $103 1993 $3,704 $3,277 108 12 96 $2,541 1,040 918 583 $628 584 42 $312 $115 Forecast (ECU M) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Qrcuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1990 2,145 1,794 119 13 107 1,247 520 419 309 428 399 29 262 89 1991 2,332 1,991 103 10 94 1,419 542 533 344 469 437 31 255 87 1992 2,602 2,273 97 10 86 1,693 667 631 394 483 452 32 242 87 1993 3.141 2.779 92 10 81 2,155 882 778 494 533 495 36 265 98 0.79 0.82 0.85 1990 1,528 1,278 85 9 76 889 370 298 220 305 284 21 186 63 1991 1,619 1,382 72 7 65 985 376 370 239 325 303 22 177 60 0.6 0.6 Rate (ECU: $) Forecast Ci M3 Total Semiconduaor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic Rate (£: $) 1994 $4,174 $3,708 96 8 88 $2,902 1,165 1,055 682 $710 664 47 $334 $132 CAGR 11.7% 13.2% -9.2% -17.0% -8.5% 15.9% 14.1% 18.3% 15.3% 8.8% 8.8% 7.7% 2.0% 5.2% CAGK - Compound annual growth rate 1990-1995 Note: Figures may not add to totals due to rounding. Source: Dataquest (September I990 ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe limited September—Reproduction Prohibited 0009897 European Semlcondnctor Consumption History and Forecast 1985-1995 28 Table 20 Estimated Semiconductor Consumptioa—History Germany Region History ($M) Total Semiconduaor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1985 $1,318 $905 $180 39 141 $497 188 125 184 $228 228 NA $343 $70 1986 $1,628 $1,095 $211 45 166 $6ll 220 154 237 $273 259 14 $435 $98 1987 $1,890 $1,342 $216 24 192 $735 218 214 303 $391 372 19 $458 $90 1988 $2,250 $1,673 $201 20 181 $1,013 359 315 339 $459 425 34 $482 $95 1989 $2,6^ $2,087 $209 22 187 $1,377 595 390 392 $501 465 36 $480 $116 1990 $3,078 $2,345 $195 17 178 $1,429 529 504 396 $721 679 42 $598 $135 CAGR 18.5% 21.0% 1.6% -15.3% 4.8% 23.5% 23.0% 32.2% 16.6% 25.9% 24.4% NA 11.8% 14.0% History CECU Ml Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1985 1,740 1,195 238 51 186 656 248 165 243 301 301 NA 453 92 1986 1,661 1,117 215 46 169 623 224 157 242 278 264 14 444 100 1987 1,644 1,168 188 21 167 639 190 186 264 340 324 17 398 78 1988 1,913 1,422 171 17 154 861 305 268 288 390 361 29 410 81 1989 2,452 1,908 191 20 171 1,259 544 356 358 458 425 33 439 106 1990 2,419 1,843 153 13 140 1,123 416 396 311 567 534 33 470 106 CAGH 6.8% 9.1% -8.4% -23.6% -5.5% 11.4% 10.9% 19.1% 5.1% 13.5% 12.1% NA 0.8% 2.8% 1.32 1.02 0.87 0.85 0.91 0.79 1985 3,875 2,661 529 115 415 1,461 553 368 541 670 670 NA 1,008 206 1986 3.533 2,376 458 98 360 1,326 477 334 514 592 562 30 944 213 1987 3,402 2,416 389 43 346 1,323 392 385 545 704 670 34 824 162 1988 3,960 2,944 354 35 319 1,783 632 554 597 808 748 60 848 167 1989 5,044 3,924 393 41 352 2,589 1,119 733 737 942 874 68 902 218 1990 4,986 3,799 316 28 288 2,315 857 816 642 1,168 1,100 68 969 219 2.9 2.2 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.6 Rate (ECU: $) History (DM M) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bip>olar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic Rate (DM: $) CAGR 5.2% 7.4% -9.8% -24.8% -7.0% 9.6% 9.2% 17.3% 3.5% 11.7% 10.4% NA -0.8% 1.2% CAGR - Compound annual growth rate 1985-1990 NA - Not Available Note: Figures may not add to totals due to rounding. Source: Dataquest (September 1991) 0009897 © 1 9 9 1 Daiaquest Europe Limited September—^Reproduction Prohibited ESIS European Semiconductor Consumption History and Forecast 1985-1995 29 Table 21 Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—Forecast Germany Region Forecast ($M) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcortponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1990 $3,078 $2,345 195 17 178 $1,429 529 504 396 $721 679 42 $598 $135 1991 $3,347 $2,619 179 16 163 $1,646 556 648 442 $794 748 46 $590 $138 1992 $3,520 $2,814 156 12 144 $1,868 647 734 487 $790 746 45 $567 $139 1993 $4,131 $3,357 136 12 124 $2,323 862 879 582 $898 848 51 $623 $151 1994 $4,527 $3,723 124 8 116 $2,611 966 993 652 $988 933 55 $638 $166 1995 $4,761 $3,942 109 7 102 $2,779 1,020 1,057 702 $1,054 994 58 $650 $169 CAGR 9.1% 10.9% -11.0% -16.3% -10.5% 14.2% 14.0% 16.0% 12.1% 7.9% 7.9% 6.7% 1.7% 4.6% Forecast (ECU M) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory MicrocomfXjnent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1990 2,419 1,843 153 13 140 1,123 416 396 311 567 534 33 470 106 1991 2,748 2,150 147 13 134 1,351 456 532 363 652 614 38 484 113 1992 2,985 2,386 132 10 122 1,584 549 622 413 670 633 38 481 118 1993 3,503 2,847 115 10 105 1,970 731 745 494 762 719 43 528 128 1994 3,839 3,157 105 7 98 2,214 819 842 553 838 791 47 541 141 1995 4,037 3,343 92 6 86 2,357 865 896 595 894 843 49 551 143 CAGR 10.8% 12.6% -9.6% -15.0% -9.2% 16.0% 15.8% 17.7% 13.8% 9.5% 9.6% 8.3% 3.2% 6.2% 0.79 0.82 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1990 4,986 3,799 316 28 288 2,315 857 816 642 1,168 1,100 68 969 219 1991 5,623 4,400 301 27 274 2,765 934 1,089 743 1,334 1,257 77 991 232 1992 6,090 4,868 270 21 249 3,232 1,119 1,270 843 1,367 1,291 78 981 240 1993 7,147 5,808 235 21 215 4,019 1,491 1,521 1,007 1,554 1,467 88 1,078 261 1994 7,832 6,441 215 14 201 4,517 1,671 1,718 1,128 1,709 1,614 95 1,104 287 1995 8,237 6,820 189 12 176 4,808 1,765 1,829 1,214 1,823 1,720 100 1,125 292 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 Rate (ECU: $) Forecast (DM M) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic Rate (DM: $) CAGR 10.6% 12.4% -9.8% -15.2% -9.4% 15.7% 15.5% 17.5% 13.6% 9.3% 9.3% 8.1% 3.0% 6.0% CAGR - Compound annual growth rate 1990-1995 Note: figures majr not add to totals due to rounding. Source: Dataquest (September 1991) ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited September—Reproduction Prohibited 0009897 European Semiconductor Consumption History and Forecast 1985-1995 30 Table 22 Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—History Rest of Etu-ope Region History ($M) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1985 $387 $303 $60 13 47 $167 69 37 61 $76 76 NA $69 $15 1986 $494 $377 $72 15 57 $212 78 52 82 $93 89 4 $90 $27 1987 $430 $281 $33 7 26 $172 50 55 67 $76 71 5 $124 $25 1988 $690 $499 $56 7 49 $340 107 97 136 $103 93 10 $163 $28 1989 $801 $592 $24 4 20 $444 259 91 94 $124 108 16 $184 $25 1990 $894 $639 $22 4 18 $436 225 113 98 $181 156 25 $222 $33 CAGR 18.2% 16.1% -18.2% -21.0% -17.5% 21.2% 26.7% 25.0% 9.9% 19.0% 15.5% NA 26.3% 17.1% History (ECU M) Total Semiconduaor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1985 511 400 79 17 62 220 91 49 81 100 100 NA 91 20 1986 504 385 73 15 58 216 80 53 84 95 91 4 92 28 1987 374 244 29 6 23 150 44 48 58 (6 62 4 108 22 1988 587 424 48 6 42 289 91 82 116 88 79 9 139 24 1989 732 541 22 4 18 406 237 83 86 113 99 15 168 23 1990 703 502 17 3 14 343 177 89 77 142 123 20 174 26 CAGR 6.6% 4.7% -26.2% -28.8% -25-6% 9.2% 14.2% 12.7% -0.9% 7.2% 4.1% NA 13.9% 5.5% 1.32 1.02 0.87 0.85 0.91 0.79 1985 65,809 51,525 10,203 2,211 7,992 28,398 11,733 6,292 10,373 12,924 12,924 NA 11,733 2,551 1986 69,145 52,769 10.078 2,100 7,978 29,674 10,918 7,278 11,478 13,017 12,457 560 12,597 3,779 1987 53,131 34,720 4,077 865 3,213 21,252 6,178 6,796 8,279 9.391 8,773 618 15,321 3.089 1988 80,702 58,363 6,550 819 5,731 39,766 12,515 11,345 15,907 12,047 10,877 1,170 19,064 3,275 1989 94,959 70,182 2,845 474 2,371 52,636 30,704 10,788 11,144 14,700 12,803 1,897 21,813 2,964 1990 91,215 65,197 2,245 408 1,837 44,485 22,957 11,529 9,999 18,467 15,917 2,551 22,651 3,367 170.1 140.0 123.6 117.0 118.6 102.0 Rate (ECU: $) History (Pta M) Total Semiconduaor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic Rate (Pta: $) CAGB 6.7% 4.8% -26.1% -28.7% -25.5% 9.4% 14,4% 12.9% -0.7% 7.4% 4.3% NA 14.1% 5.7% CAGR - Compound annual growth fate 1985-1990 NA. - Not Available Note: Hgures may not add to totals due to rounding. Source: Dataquest CSeptember 1991) 0009S97 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited September—Bepioduction Prohibited ESIS European Semiconductor Conmumption History and Forecast 1985'1999 31 Table 23 Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—Forecast Rest of Europe R ^ o n Forecast ($M) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microconq>onent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1990 $894 $639 22 4 18 $436 225 113 98 $181 156 25 $222 $33 1991 $968 $709 20 4 16 $487 224 148 115 $202 175 28 $226 $33 1992 $1,066 $809 18 4 14 $578 266 176 136 $213 183 28 $223 $34 1993 $1,308 $1,015 17 3 14 $751 356 228 167 $247 213 35 $255 $38 1994 $1,500 $1,183 16 3 13 $886 423 265 198 $281 243 38 $274 $43 1995 $1,647 $1,293 14 2 12 $964 454 289 221 $315 272 42 $299 $55 CAGR 13.0% 15.1% -S.6% -12.9% -7.8% 17.2% 15.1% 20.7% 17.7% 11.7% 11.8% 10.9% 6.1% 10.8% Forecast (ECU M) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Qrcuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory MicrocompKJnent Logic Analog Monolithic HyiDrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1990 703 502 17 3 14 343 177 89 77 142 123 20 174 26 1991 795 582 16 3 13 400 184 122 94 166 144 23 186 27 1992 904 686 15 3 12 490 226 149 115 181 155 24 189 29 1993 1,109 861 14 3 12 637 302 193 142 209 181 30 32 1994 1,272 1,003 14 3 11 751 359 225 168 238 206 32 232 36 1995 1,397 1,096 12 2 10 817 385 245 187 267 231 36 254 47 CAGR 14.7% 16.9% -7.2% -11.6% •6.4% 19.0% 16.8% 22.5% 19.5% 13.4% 13.5% 12.6% 7.8% 12.5% 0.79 0.82 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1990 91,215 65,197 2,245 408 1,837 44,485 22,957 11,529 9,999 18.467 15,917 2,551 22,651 3367 1991 101,834 74.587 2,104 421 1,683 51,232 23,565 15,570 12,098 21,250 18,410 2.946 23,775 3,472 1992 116,301 88,262 1,964 436 1,527 63,060 29,021 19,202 14,838 23,238 19,965 3,055 24,329 3,709 1993 142,703 110.737 1,855 327 1,527 81,934 38,840 24,875 18,220 26,948 23,238 3,819 27,821 4,146 1994 163,650 129,065 1,746 327 1,418 96,663 46,149 28,912 21,602 30,657 26,511 4,146 29,893 4,691 1995 179,688 141,066 1,527 218 1,309 105,172 49,531 31,530 24,111 34,367 29,675 4,582 32,621 6,001 102.0 105.2 109.1 109.1 109.1 109.1 Rate (ECU: $) Forecast (Pta M;> Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic Rate (Pta: $) 2l6 CAGR 14.5% 16.7% -7.4% -11,8% -6.5% 18.8% 16.6% 22.3% 19.2% 13.2% 13.3% 12.4% 7.6% 12.3% CAGR » Compound annual growth rate 1990-1995 Note: Figures may not add to totals due to rounding. Source: Dataquest (September 1991) ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited September—Reproduction Prohibited 0009897 Dataquest Tni' Dun Hi'ltiadsttccI Cotporalion Danii/iies! Sfimareli andSaies (J^ces:Dalii<|iii'Sl liicorpiirnli'll l2'>0Rj.id(.-i'P;*ik Driv^ San.losi.-.(_"iililorn[ii'l.';i.ll-23<'K PlioiitMII (4IIS)-i37-KUO{l Tirkx; 171973 l - i n : l l l i4()K)437-b25i3 Tfthniiliiyy I'mduttsGroup l'li(i.it.':iK(KI)("i2J-32S(l Uiilu(|ui.'sl Incorporuled l.t^dtleM ii v/l>alag u (Ml TliL' Ciiipiiriik' ( V n e r 551) CiKhiluaif RoutI Fr!imiiis;li;irii. MAI1I7HI Plwiic:OI (50K)371l5,'iS5 Fj>.:l)l (50Nt370(i:ifi2 Dalaquest Incorporulcd I n i i f i i t i n i i a l (.iinipmer Conferences Division 3151 Airw;iy 'VVL'IIIIV:. C-2 C'osTii M^.•^il. ('Lililiirniii 'I2l)2[i Phone: (II i7 I4J'157-1117 I B i M l l l (7l4t'l57-(Mi)3 l)j|ul|uesl Anslralia Siiiiif I, C'L'nnirj' Pla/a K(l Bciiy Si reel NoiTh s'yilres'- NSW 2060 Aiislralia I'huneifil ( 2 i y 5 y 4 5 4 4 R i x : f i l (2l'i2vrtf>35 DataquesI Europe L i m i t e d RiiusscI House. RriijLKviiltr Piirk Dciiham. L!shri(li;e. Midd^ UH'I nHP England fiinne; 44 (H951 SJSIJSO fHN:44(RiJ5iS352(il)/l DiitH(|ucsi t:urope SA Tniiv Gjllit-iii 2 3fi, avtiuie dii GenSraJ^-Gaul le' W I 7 5 BagmilEl Ce4ex Frjjite Ptnme:S3(t)4S<>73M"l Teles: 233 263 Fax: 3 3 ( 1 ) 4 8 9 7 3 4 0 0 Dalaiiue'il ( i n i l i H KmiisUidrri" Sir;Lsse 9 KIHKl MimkliHd Ciermaiiv f'liiine:4y(K'J)'J30i)(m() Fax: 4iJlS'J|y3() 3277 Dalaiiuesr (Jermany III di^rStliiieilliiilil 17 f.242Krortvrg2 (Jeriniiny PlKw:4'ifil73/(il(iK5 F;a:4')(.173/67'KII Dufai[uesl t l o n « K i ) i i c Rm. 4<ll. (.iiiinauylil Cumrn. Rldg, ' IS5Wnin:liaiRd. W[ini.bii, Himu Kong Ph.)ti,i (S52)M3K733fi FjL!i:(S52) 5722375 nal;ique<<t Japan l^iiniled Shliikiiwii Sanliii l3iiMdinc 1-3-17 SiiinkiiU'ii, Child-k II Tnkvii III4 Jupaii Phone; i<i (3).i5(if)-04ll Fax; 81,(3)5566-0425 Dalaque^il Knrea DaehcLiiig Bids: 1105 64X 23 Yet'li.saiii-doiig Kijngremi-fLii Seoul. Korea 135 PlioiK:(^2(2l.'i56-4IW. Fji\:S2(2)r52-2fi61 Dalat|uest Singapiire 4 0 n A n g M o K i o I n d i i s m j 1 Park 1 Ave. 10,WI3-lOlo#03-l2 Singiipore 2056 Plume: 65 45'17IKI Telttx: 3S257 Fax: 65 4,56312y Dalaquesi Taiwafi' Roiim mil/Sili Fliioi' Ever Si'riiiij, IJinldiiig 147..SOL-. 2. Chii-ii KuolM. Rd. Taipei. Taiwan H.O.C. 104 Pliilnc:SW-i(:i,'iOI-7y6ll KH6(2)501-55<): Fax: KS612)505-4265 DATAQUEST EUROPEAN COMPONENTS GROUP These tables represent ESIS European regional semiconductor consumption, history and forecast, and correspond to the tables in ESIS Volume 2, Section 2.0.1 Semiconductor Device Markets. Regional consumption is expressed in U.S. dollars to make the tables useful in comparing different regions. However, estimates in the local currency of each country can be made based on the exchange rates detailed in the Exchange Rate Quarterly Newsletter published June 1989 (ESIS Code: Newsletters 1988-1989, 1989-16). The following changes in the technology categories have been made compared to last year 0 Other Bipolar is now included in TTL 0 PMOS is now included in Other Bipolar 0 BiCMOS is a new category. 0 The "Appendix-A" tables include market estimates of other products ESIS analysts observe. INDEX TO ESIS EUROPEAN SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION ESTIMATES Table 2.0.1-1 Table 2.0.1-1(a) Table 2.0.1-1(b) Table 2.0.1-2 Table 2.0.1-2(a) Table 2.0.1-2(b) Table 2.0.1-3 Table 2.0.1-3(a) Table 2.0.1-3(b) Table 2.0.1-4 Table 2.0.1-4(a) Table 2.0.1-4(b) Table 2.0.1-5 Table 2.0.1-5(a) Table 2.0.1-5(b) Table 2.0.1-6 Table 2.0.1-6(a) Table 2.0.1-6(b) Table 2.0.1-7 Table 2.0.1-7(a) Table 2.0.1-7(b) Table 2.0.1-8 Table 2.0.1-8(a) Table 2.0.1-8(b) Appendix European Semiconductor Consumption History: 1982-1988 History: 1982-1988 1 2 Benelux Semiconductor Consumption History: 1982-1988 History: 1982-1988 3 4 French Semiconductor Consumption History: 1982-1988 History: 1982-1988 5 6 Italian Semiconductor Consumption History: 1982-1988 History: 1982-1988 7 8 Scandinavian Semiconductor Consumption History: 1982-1988 History: 1982-1988 9 10 U.K. & Irish Semiconductor Consumption History: 1982-1988 History: 1982-1988 11 12 West German Semiconductor Consumption History: 1982-1988 History: 1982-1988 13 14 Rest of Europe Semiconductor Consumption History: 1982-1988 History: 1982-1988 J5 16 Appendix-A Tables Estimated European Semiconductor Consumption History Estimated European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast II 17 18 Table 2.0.1-l(a) ESTIMATED EUROPEAN SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION HISTORY (Millions of Dollars) 1983 im. 1251 12M 19?7 1988 $3,167 $3,370 $4,805 $4,720 $5,532 $6,355 $8,491 $1,988 $2,323 $3,634 $3,556 $4,088 $4,693 $6,669 Bipolar TTL ECL $ 434 394 40 $ 483 446 37 $ 724 659 65 $ 709 641 68 $ 782 705 77 $ 725 564 161 $ 772 624 148 Bipolar Memory Logic $ 434 100 334 $ 483 107 376 $ 724 149 575 $ 709 157 552 $ 782 172 610 $ 725 85 640 $ 772 74 698 MOS NMOS CMOS BiCMOS Other IC $ 948 650 214 0 84 $1,227 824 353 0 50 $2,092 1,443 617 0 32 $1,953 $2,280 $2,753 1,434 1,294 1,232 1,284 702 976 24 0 0 11 19 10 $4,364 1,759 2,491 56 58 MOS Memory Micro Logic $ 948 469 168 311 $1,227 581 239 407 $2,092 995 465 632 $1,953 750 485 718 $2,280 822 578 880 $2,753 838 794 1,121 $4,364 1,797 1,212 1,355 Linear Monolithic Hybrid $ 606 606 0 $ 613 613 0 $ 818 818 0 $ 894 894 0 $1,026 975 51 $1,215 1,153 62 $1,533 1,416 117 Total Discrete $1,011 $ 866 $ 963 $ 954 $1,153 $1,384 $1,516 Total Optoelectronic $ 168 $ 181 $ 208 $ 210 $ 291 $ 278 $ 306 mi Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Source: Dataquest August 1989 Ref: 0889-08 Page 1 Table 2.0.1-l(b) ESTIMATED EUROPEAN SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION FORECAST (Millions of Dollars) 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Total Semiconductor $8,491 $9,839 $10,368 $12,006 $15,481 $18,770 $20,572 Total Integrated Circuit $6,669 $7,880 $ 8,488 $ 9,968 $13,068 $16,123 $17,664 Bipolar TTL ECL $ 772 624 148 $ 762 612 150 $ 730 577 153 $ 781 605 176 $ 867 668 199 $ 965 730 235 $ 1,025 772 253 Bipolar Memory Logic $ 772 74 698 $ 762 72 690 $ 730 65 665 $ 781 70 711 $ 867 73 794 $ 965 71 894 $ 1,025 67 958 MOS NMOS CMOS BiCMOS Other IC $4,364 1,759 2,491 56 58 $5,518 2,023 3,354 106 35 $ 6,050 2,104 3,727 195 24 $ 7,227 2,222 4,637 351 17 $ 9,843 $12,408 $13,616 2,555 2,836 2,893 6,663 8,509 9,293 613 1,055 1,424 12 8 6 MOS Memory Micro Logic $4,364 1,797 1,212 1,355 $5,518 2,501 1,350 1,667 $ 6,050 2,788 1,425 1,837 $ 7,227 3,320 1,718 2,189 $ 9,843 $12,408 6,179 4,462 2,870 2,432 3,359 2,949 $13,616 6,478 3,475 3,663 Linear Monolithic Hybrid $1,533 1,416 117 $1,600 1,486 114 $ 1,707 1,598 109 $ 1,960 1,856 104 $ 2,358 2,262 96 $ 2,750 2,657 93 $ 3,023 2,935 88 Total Discrete $1,516 $1,667 $ 1,601 $ 1,740 $ 2,052 $ 2,229 $ 2,417 Total Optoelectronic $ 306 $ 292 $ $ $ $ $ 280 298 361 418 491 Source: Dataquest August 1989 Ref: 0889-08 Page 2 Tabic 2.0.1-2(a) ESTIMATED BENELUX SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION HISTORY (Millions of Dollars) 19?2 1983 iiM mi 1986 mi 19?? $184 $208 $306 $304 $351 $407 $504 $117 $149 $237 $235 $277 $307 $369 Bipolar TTL ECL $26 14 2 $ 31 28 3 $47 42 5 $ 47 42 5 $ 52 47 5 $43 33 10 $ 45 36 9 Bipolar Memory Logic $ 26 6 20 $ 31 7 24 $ 47 9 38 $ 47 11 36 $52 12 40 $ 43 5 38 $ 45 4 41 MOS NMOS CMOS BiCMOS Other IC $ 56 38 13 0 5 $ 79 53 23 0 3 $137 94 41 0 2 $129 82 46 0 1 $155 90 64 0 1 $184 91 90 2 1 $213 85 126 2 0 MOS Memory Micro Logic $ 56 28 10 18 $ 79 38 15 26 $137 65 30 42 $129 49 33 47 $155 57 39 59 $184 42 64 78 $213 72 73 68 Analog Monolithic Hybrid $ 35 35 0 $ 39 39 0 $ 53 53 0 $ 59 59 0 $ 70 70 0 $ 80 76 4 $111 103 8 Total Discrete $ 58 $ 49 $ 56 $ 56 $ 56 $ 82 $107 Total Optoelectronic $ 9 $ 10 $ 13 $ 13 $ 18 $ 18 $ 28 Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Source: Dataquest August 1989 Ref: 0889-08 Page 3 Table 2.0.1-2(b) ESTIMATED BENELUX SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION FORECAST (Millions of Dollars) 19§? 1989 1990 1991 1992 mi $504 $560 $590 $671 $836 $991 $1,068 $369 $426 $456 $534 $674 $813 $ 867 Bipolar TTL ECL $ 45 36 9 $ 44 35 9 $42 32 10 $ 45 34 11 $ 47 35 12 $ 51 38 13 $ 56 41 15 Bipolar Memory Logic $ 45 4 41 $ 44 4 40 $ 42 4 38 $45 4 41 $ 47 4 43 $ 51 3 48 $ 56 3 53 MOS NMOS CMOS BiCMOS Other IC $213 85 126 2 0 $266 97 166 3 0 $290 97 187 6 0 $347 102 235 10 0 $457 114 323 20 0 $564 121 408 35 0 $ 600 130 427 43 0 MOS Memory Micro Logic $213 72 73 68 $266 101 81 84 $290 112 86 92 $347 133 104 110 $457 171 143 143 $564 234 167 163 $ 600 235 195 170 Analog Monolithic Hybrid $111 103 8 $116 108 8 $124 116 8 $142 135 7 $170 164 6 $198 192 6 $ 211 205 6 Total Discrete $107 $110 $113 $123 $145 $159 $ 163 Total Optoelectronic $ 28 $ 24 $ 21 $ 14 $ 17 $ 19 $ 38 Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit 1994 Source: Dataquest August 1989 Ref: 0889-08 Page 4 Table 2.0.1-3(a) ESTIMATED FRANCE SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION HISTORY (Millions of Dollars) 1982 1983 1984 mi 1986 1987 198? $615 $585 $690 $771 $801 $940 $1,210 $412 $419 $520 $603 $591 $716 $ 977 Bipolar TTL ECL $90 82 8 $ 87 81 6 $104 95 9 $101 91 10 $114 102 12 $109 85 24 $ 115 94 21 Bipolar Memory Logic $ 90 21 69 $ 87 19 68 $104 22 82 $101 23 78 $114 26 88 $109 13 96 $ 115 10 105 MOS NMOS CMOS BiCMOS Other IC $196 135 44 0 17 $221 148 64 0 9 $298 203 89 0 6 $276 174 99 0 3 $329 187 139 0 3 $422 218 198 4 2 $ 631 266 347 8 10 MOS Memory Micro Logic $196 97 35 64 $221 105 43 73 $298 142 66 90 $376 207 68 101 $328 121 82 125 $422 126 127 169 $ 631 232 182 217 Linear Monolithic Hybrid $126 126 0 $111 111 0 $118 118 0 $126 126 0 $149 149 0 $185 176 9 $ 231 214 17 Total Discrete $171 $134 $138 $135 $165 $185 $ 196 Total Optoelectronic $32 $ 32 $32 $ 33 $ 45 $ 39 $ Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit 37 Source: Dataquest August 1989 Ref: 0889-08 ' Page 5 Table 2.0.1-3(b) ESTIMATED FRANCE SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION FORECAST (Millions of Dollars) 1991 mi 1993 1994 $1,440 $1,644 $2,088 $2,476 $2,734 $1,126 $1,199 $1,379 $1,773 $2,136 $2,382 $ 115 94 21 $ 114 93 21 $ 108 87 21 $ 117 92 25 $ 127 99 28 $ 140 108 32 $ 146 113 33 Bipolar Memory Logic $ 115 10 105 $ 114 10 104 $ 108 9 99 $ 117 10 107 $ 127 10 117 $ 140 10 130 $ 146 9 137 MOS NMOS CMOS BiCMOS Other IC $ 631 266 347 8 10 $ 770 302 447 15 6 $ 834 305 498 27 4 $ 967 $1,290 $1,581 $1,800 314 345 383 414 601 857 1,048 1,186 49 86 149 199 3 2 1 1 MOS Memory Micro Logic $ 631 232 182 217 $ 770 304 200 266 $ 834 335 211 288 $ 967 398 241 328 $1,290 523 333 434 $1,581 704 388 489 $1,800 747 491 562 Linear Monolithic Hybrid $ 231 214 17 $ 242 225 17 $ 257 241 16 $ 295 280 15 $ 356 342 14 $ 415 401 14 $ 436 424 12 Total Discrete $ 196 $ 202 $ 207 $ 224 $ 265 $ 283 $ 296 Total Optoelectronic $ $ $ $ 1988 •1989 $1,210 $1,363 $ 977 Bipolar TTL ECL • Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit 37 $ 35 • 1990 $ 34 • $ 41 50 57 56 Source: Dataquest August 1989 Ref: 0889-08 Page 6 Table 2.0.1-4(a) ESTIMATED ITALY SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION HISTORY (Millions of Dollars) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit 1984 1987 1988 $534 $ 660 $ 982 $ 203 $ 221 $ 368 $ 345 $404 $493 $ 791 1982 1983 1985 $ 319 $ 320 $ 480 $451 1986 Bipolar TTL ECL $ 44 $ 40 4 46 42 4 $ 74 $ 68 $ 77 $ 79 61 66 69 62 7 17 8 8 $ 79 64 15 Bipolar Memory Logic $ 44 $ 10 34 46 $ 74 $ 68 $ 77 $ 79 10 16 15 16 9 36 53 58 61 70 $ 79 8 71 MOS NMOS CMOS BiCMOS Other IC $ 97 $ 117 $ 212 $ 190 $ 225 $ 294 $ 560 78 149 66 145 203 120 128 34 141 22 63 340 69 96 0 3 0 0 7 0 0 5 1 9 4 10 1 1 MOS Memory Micro Logic $ 97 $ 117 $ 212 $ 190 $ 225 $ 294 $ 560 48 55 253 92 101 72 80 17 145 23 48 58 79 47 32 162 39 87 70 123 64 Linear Monolithic Hybrid $62 $ 62 0 58 $ 58 0 82 $ 82 0 87 $ 102 $ 120 $ 152 87 141 102 114 0 11 0 6 Total Discrete $ 99 $ 81 $ 92 $ 88 $ 106 $ 139 $ 160 Total, Optoelectronic $ 17 $ 18 $ 20 $ 18 $ 24 $ 28 $ 31 Source;: Dataquest August 1989 Ref: 0889-08 Page 7 Table 2.0.1-4(b) ESTIMATED ITALY SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION FORECAST (Millions of Dollars) 1993 1994 $ 982 $1,133 $1,161 $1,394 $1,828 $2,253 $2,512 $ 791 $ 938 $ 964 $1,179 $1,575 $1,972 $2,202 1988 Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit • im. • 122Q 1992 .1991 Bipolar TTL ECL $ 79 $ 64 15 78 $ 63 15 74 $ 59 15. 79 $ 61 18 88 $ 68 20 97 75 2 $ 107 81 26 Bipolar Memory Logic $ 79 $ 8 71 78 $ 8 70 74 $ 7 67 79 $ 7 72 88 $ 8 80 97 7 90 $ 107 7 100 MOS NMOS CMOS BiCMOS Other IC $ 560 $ 701 $ 719 $ 905 $1,252 $1,601 $1,787 340 243 316 270 356 203 234 448 1,268 852 1,103 586 340 448 24 178 82 46 141 7 13 4 1 2 3 1 10 6 MOS Memory Micro Logic $ 560 $ 701 $ 719 $ 905 $1,252 $1,601 566 414 797 253 340 335 297 206 356 145 161 162 389 285 448 162 200 222 $1,787 907 427 453 Linear Monolithic Hybrid $ 152 $ 159 $ 171 $ 195 $ 235 $ 274 160 265 141 185 226 148 11 11 9 10 9 11 $ 308 299 9 Total Discrete $ 160 $ 166 $ 169 $ 184 $ 217 $ 239 $ 260 Total Optoelectronic $ 31 $ 29 $ 28 $ 31 $ 36 $ 42 $ 50 Source: Dataquest August 1989 Ref: 0889-08 Page 8 Table 2.0.1-5(a) ESTIMATED SCANDINAVIA SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION HISTORY (Millions of Dollars) 1987 1988 $ 229 $ 245 $ 395 $ 391 $ 426 $ 458 $ 625 $ 141 $ 170 $ 310 $ 306 $ 328 $ 351 $ 508 1982 Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit 1983 1984 1985 m§. Bipolar TTL ECL $ 31 $ 28 3 6 $ 3 3 60 $ 54 6 60 $ 54 6 61 $ 55 6 57 46 11 $ 70 57 13 Bipolar Memory Logic $ 31 $ 7 24 6 $ 8 28 60 $ 11 49 60 $ 12 48 61 $ 14 47 57 5 52 $ 70 7 63 MOS NMOS CMOS BiCMOS Other IC $ 67 $ 46 15 0 6 90 $ 179 $ 169 $ 184 $ 205 105 112 60 123 106 78 90 26 54 60 0 2 0 0 0 1 1 4 2 3 $ 313 123 176 4 10 MOS Memory Micro Logic $ 67 $ 33 12 22 90 $ 179 $ 169 $ 184 $ 205 66 59 63 43 85 56 44 48 40 17 90 62 70 54 30 $ 313 108 97 108 Linear Monolithic Hybrid $ 43 $ 43 0 44 $ 44 0 71 $ 71 0 77 $ 77 0 83 $ 83 0 89 84 5 $ 125 114 11 Total Discrete $ 76 $ 63 $ 71 $ 71 $ 80 $ 90 $ 96 Total Optoelectronic $ 12 $ 12 $ 14 $ 14 $ 18 $ 17 $ 21 Source: Dataquest August 1989 Ref: 0889-08 Page 9 Table 2.0.1-5(5) ESTIMATED SCANDINAVIA SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION FORECAST (Millions of Dollars) 1988 Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit m9 1990 1991 1992 ^1994 1993 •• $ 625 $ 713 $ 755 $ 864 $1,099 $1,294 $1,399 $ 508 $ 593 $ 633 $ 732 $ 943 $1,122 $1,222 Bipolar TTL ECL $ 70 $ 68 $ 56 57 12 13 65 $ 64 $ 50 53 14 12 71 $ 57 14 77 $ 60 17 88 69 19 Bipolar Memory Logic $ 70 $ 68 $ 6 7 62 63 65 $ 64 $ 6 5 58 60 71 $ 7 64 77 $ 6 71 88 6 82 MOS NMOS CMOS BiCMOS Other IC $ 313 $ 395 $ 431 $ 510 $ 681 $ 824 $ 904 154 164 191 148 162 144 123 325 466 598 577 237 263 176 28 49 114 16 84 8 4 3 2 1 4 1 6 10 MOS Memory Micro Logic $ 313 $ 395 $ 431 $ 510 $ 681 $ 824 $ 904 202 269 366 170 359 153 108 137 182 262 114 210 109 97 171 230 276 147 255 133 108 Linear Monolithic Hybrid $ 125 $ 130 $ 137 $ 158 $ 191 $ 221 $ 230 149 182 222 128 213 120 114 9 9 8 9 8 10 11 Total Discrete $ 96 $ 100 $ 102 $ HI $ Total Optoelectronic $ 21 20 $ 20 $ 21 $ $ 131 $ 143 $ 144 25 $ 29 $ 33 Source: Dataquest August 1989 Ref: 0889- 08 Page 10 Table 2.0.1-6(a) ESTIMATED U.K. & IRISH SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION HISTORY (Millions of Dollars) 1982 1984 12S2 ^19?5 -1986 1987 ISM $ 703 $ 833 $1,240 $1,198 $1,288 $1,570 $2,230 $ 439 $ 6 1 9 $ 999 $ 959 $1,016 $1,203 $1,852 Bipolar TTL ECL $ 96 $ 129 120 87 9 9 $ 198 183 15 $ 193 $ 195 $ 188 178 147 17 41 $ 206 169 37 Bipolar Memory Logic $ 96 22 74 $ 129 $ 198 29 40 100 158 $ 193 $ 44 149 195 $ 188 22 44 166 151 $ 206 18 188 MOS NMOS CMOS BiCMOS Other IC $ 209 144 47 0 18 $ 327 $ 575 220 406 94 162 0 0 13 7 $ 525 $ 565 $ 741 $1,294 558 706 21 9 MOS Memory Micro Logic $ 209 103 37 69 $ 327 $ 575 155 274 64 128 108 173 $ 525 $ 565 $ 741 202 130 193 251 199 291 Linear Monolithic Hybrid $ 134 134 0 $ 163 $ 226 163 226 0 0 $ 241 Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Total Discrete $ 228 $ 172 $ Total Optoelectronic $ 36 $ 42 176 17 331 189 0 5 241 0 192 $ 49 $ $ 200 145 220 $ 256 $ 274 $ 61 $1,294 666 303 325 260 14 $ 352 326 . 26 $ 306 $ 312 $ $ 256 0 192 $ 211 47 385 347 6 3 319 244 0 2 61 66 Source: Dataquest August 1989 Ref: 0889-08 Page 11 Table 2.0.1-6(b) ESTIMATED U.K. & IRISH SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION FORECAST (Millions of Dollars) 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1294 $2,230 $2,598 $2,784 $3,246 $4,201 $5,115 $5,627 $1,852 $2,212 $2,393 $2,820 $3,695 $4,559 $5,023 Bipolar TTL ECL $ 206 169 37 $ 205 $ 196 $ 217 172 166 156 39 45 40 $ 240 187 53 $ 265 $ 275 208 205 67 60 Bipolar Memory Logic $ 206 18 188 $ 205 $ 196 16 18 180 187 $ 217 18 199 $ 240 18 222 $ 265 19 246 $ 275 17 258 MOS NMOS CMOS BiCMOS Other IC $1,294 558 706 21 9 $1,641 645 951 39 6 $1,805 669 1,061 71 4 $2,152 695 1,326 128 3 $2,913 789 1,900 222 2 $3,660 836 2,439 383 2 $4,057 920 2,616 520 1 MOS Memory Micro Logic $1,294 666 303 325 $1,641 906 335 400 $1,805 1,008 355 442 $2,152 1,196 431 525 $2,913 1,596 603 714 $3,660 2,169 700 791 $4,057 2,329 857 871 Linear Monolithic Hybrid $ 352 326 26 $ 366 341 25 $ 392 368 24 $ 451 428 23 $ 542 521 21 $ 634 614 20 $ 691 672 19 Total Discrete $ 312 $ 322 $ 329 $ 358 $ 423 $ 458 $ 497 Total Optoelectronic $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 107 Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit 66 64 62 68 83 98 Source: Dataquest August 1989 Ref: 0889-08 Page 12 Table 2.0.1-7(a) ESTIMATED WEST GERMAN SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION HISTORY (Millions of Dollars) 1982 Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 $ 895 $ 937 $1,300 $1,318 $1,628 $1,890 $2,250 $ 533 $ 572 $ 892 $ 905 $1,095 $1,342 $1,673 Bipolar TTL ECL $ 116 $ 118 $ 178 $ 180 $ 211 $ 216 $ 201 105 109 163 163 190 169 159 11 9 15 17 21 47 42 Bipolar Memory Logic $ 116 $ 118 $ 178 $ 180 $ 211 $ 216 $ 201 27 26 37 39 45 24 20 89 92 141 141 166 192 181 MOS NMOS CMOS BiCMOS Other IC $ 254 $ 302 $ 513 $ 492 $ 611 $ 735 $1,013 174 204 350 314 344 387 388 57 86 154 178 264 338 594 0 0 0 0 0 7 12 23 12 9 0 3 3 19 MOS Memory Micro Logic $ 254 $ 302 $ 513 $ 497 $ 611 $ 735 $1,013 126 142 244 188 220 218 359 45 59 116 125 154 214 315 83 101 153 184 237 303 339 Linear Monolithic Hybrid $ 163 $ 152 $ 201 $ 228 $ 273 $ 391 $ 459 163 152 201 228 273 372 425 0 0 0 0 0 19 34 Total Discrete $ 310 $ 309 $ 344 $ 343 $ 435 $ 458 $ 482 Total Optoelectronic $ 52 $ 56 $ 64 $ 70 $ 98 $ 90 $ 95 Source: Dataquest August 1989 Ref: 0889-08 Page 13 Table 2.0.1-7(b) ESTIMATED WEST GERMAN SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION FORECAST (Millions of Dollars) 1988 ma. 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 $2,250 $2,518 $2,663 $3,022 $3,818 $4,554 $4,910 $1,673 $1,928 $2,068 $2,377 $3,062 $3,725 $4,027 Bipolar TTL ECL $ 201 159 42 $ 198 155 43 $ 192 148 44 $ 203 153 50 $ 229 172 57 $ 255 178 77 $ 254 185 69 Bipolar Memory Logic $ 201 20 181 $ 198 19 179 $ .192 18 174 $ 203 $ 229 19 19 184 210 $ 255 19 236 $ 254 17 237 MOS NMOS CMOS BiCMOS Other IC $1,013 388 594 12 19 $1,251 445 771 24 11 $1,365 463 851 43 8 $1,587 $2,133 477 547 1,029 1,459 76 123 5 4 $2,654 577 1,863 211 3 $2,905 594 1,996 313 2 MOS Memory Micro Logic $1,013 359 315 339 $1,251 499 339 413 $1,365 555 356 454 $1,587 617 429 541 $2,133 808 611 714 $2,654 1120 721 813 $2,905 1214 829 862 Linear Monolithic Hybrid $459 425 34 $ 479 446 33 $ 511 480 31 $ 587 557 30 $ 700 672 28 $ 816 789 27 $ 868 844 24 Total Discrete $ 482 $ 499 $ 509 $ 553 $ 645 $ 701 $ 737 Total Optoelectronic $ 95 $ $ $ $ HI $ 128 $ 146 Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit 91 86 92 Source: Dataquest August 1989 Ref: 0889-08 Page 14 Table 2.0.1-8(a) ESTIMATED REST OF EUROPE SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION HISTORY (Millions of Dollars) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 mi 1988 $222 $242 $394 $387 $440 $430 $690 $ 143 $ 173 $ 308 $ 303 $ 323 $ 281 $ 499 Bipolar TTL ECL $ 31 28 3 $ 36 33 3 $ 63 $ 60 56 54 7 6 $ 72 64 8 $ 33 22 11 $ 56 45 11 Bipolar Memory Logic $ 31 7 24 $ 36 8 28 $ 63 14 49 $ 72 15 57 $ 33 7 26 $ 56 7 49 MOS NMOS CMOS BiCMOS Other IC $ 69 47 16 0 6 $ 91 $ 178 $ 167 $ 212 $ 172 $ 340 122 121 92 136 105 61 54 91 80 202 61 26 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 4 MOS Memory Micro Logic $ 69 34 12 23 $ 9 1 $ 178 $ 167 $ 158 $ 172 $ 340 50 69 84 78 43 107 55 37 38 52 18 97 67 61 56 28 30 136 Linear Monolithic Hybrid $ 43 43 0 $ 46 46 0 $ 67 67 0 $ 76 76 0 $ 93 93 0 Total Discrete $ 69 $ 58 $ 70 $ 69 $ 90 $ 124 $ 163 Total Optoelectronic $ 10 $ 11 $ 16 $ 15 $ 27 $ 60 13 47 $ 76 $ 103 93 71 10 5 $ 25 $ 28 Source: Dataquest August 1989 Ref: 0889-08 Page 15 Table 2.0.1-8(b) ESTIMATED REST OF EUROPE SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION HISTORY (Millions of Dollars) 19?? Total Semiconductor $690 ^1991 1992 1993 1224 $ 854 $ 975 $1,165 $1,611 $2,087 $2,322 $1,346 $1,796 $1,941 ma. 1990 $ 499 $657 $ 774 $ 947 Bipolar TTL ECL $ 56 45 11 $ 55 44 11 $ 53 42 11 $ 56 44 12 $ 65 50 15 $ 80 66 14 $ 99 75 24 Bipolar Memory Logic $ 56 7 49 $ 55 7 48 $ 53 6 47 $ 56 6 50 $ 65 7 58 $ 80 7 73 $ 99 8 91 MOS NMOS CMOS BiCMOS Other IC $ 340 $ 494 $ 606 179 157 136 419 333 202 8 4 2 0 0 0 $ 759 $1,117 281 210 805 535 31 14 0 0 $1,524 400 1,071 53 0 $1,563 304 $1,202 57 0 $ 340 $494 $606 198 273 107 125 141 97 171 192 136 $ 759 360 170 229 $1,117 529 263 325 $1,524 796 328 400 $1,563 680 414 469 Linear Monolithic Hybrid $ 103 $ 108 $ 115 98 93 105 10 10 10 $ 132 122 10 $ 164 155 9 $ 192 183 9 $ 279 269 10 Total Discrete $ 163 $ 168 $ 172 $ 187 $ 226 $ 246 $ 320 Total Optoelectronic $ 28 $ $ $ Total Integrated Circuit MOS Memory Micro Logic $ 29 $ 29 $ 31 39 45 Source: Dataquest August 1989 Ref: 0889-08 Page 16 61 Appendix-A ESTIMATED EUROPEAN SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION HISTORY (Millions of Dollars) 1982 1983 . 1984 1985 1986 .1987 1988 $3,167 $3,370 $4,805 $4,720 $5,532 $6,355 $8,491 $1 ,988 $2,323 $3,634 $3,556 $4,088 $4,693 $6,669 $ 434 394 40 $ 483 446 37 $ 724 659 65 $ 709 641 68 $ $ 725 564 161 $ Bipolar Memory Logic Other Logic Std. Logic ASIC $ 434 100 334 $ 483 107 376 $ 724 149 575 $ 709 157 552 $ $ 725 85 640 20 410 210 $ MOS $ 948 650 214 0 84 $1.227 824 353 0 50 S2,092 1,443 $1,953 1,232 702 0 19 $2,280 1,294 $2,753 1,434 1,284 24 11 $4,364 1,759 2,491 S 948 $ 469 $1,227 $ 581 $2,092 $1 ,953 $ 750 $2,280 $ 822 $2,753 $4,364 $1,797 1062 Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar TTL ECL NMOS CMOS BiCMOS Other IC MOS • Memory DRAM SRAM ROM/other Micro MPU MCU MPR (inc. OSP) Logic Std. Logic other Logic ASIC 617 0 32 $ 995 782 705 77 782 172 610 4 376 230 976 0 10 262 252 308 s 168 s 311 $ 239 $465 $ 485 $ 578 95 249 234 $ 407 $ 632 $ 718 $ 880 437 443 $ 606 $ 606 103 36 85 55 224 103 0 $ S 613 $ 613 104 37 92 55 227 98 0 $ $ 818 $ 818 137 50 130 72 298 131 % 0 $ 894 $ 894 144 54 157 80 318 141 $ 0 Total Discrete Transistor Diode Thyristor Other Discrete $1 ,011 468 391 105 47 $ 866 408 327 91 40 t 963 450 358 103 52 $ 954 463 342 100 49 $1,153 Total Optoelectronic LED Lamps LED Displays Optical Couplers Other t s $ 208 55 70 40 43 $ 210 55 62 41 52 $ L i near Monolithic Amplifiers Voltage Regulators Data Conversion Interface Special Consumer other Hybrid 168 44 65 28 31 181 45 66 32 38 $1,026 $ 975 166 62 185 94 360 108 $ 51 540 432 125 56 291 76 87 56 72 $ 838 402 117 319 $ 794 217 339 238 $1 .121 229 407 485 772 624 148 772 74 698 63 3^4 241 56 58 262 473 $1,212 341 473 398 $1,355 287 357 711 $1,215 $1 .153 180 71 96 49 417 340 $ 62 $1,533 $1,416 $1 .384 655 431 183 115 $1,516 $ 278 57 48 68 105 $ 200 90 101 52 475 498 $ 117 709 473 210 124 306 46 38 64 158 Source: Dataquest August 1989 Page 17 Appendix-A ESTIMATED EUROPEAN SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION FORECAST (Millions of Dollars) 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1992 1994 $8,491 $9,839 $10,368 $12,006 $15,481 $18,770 $20,572 S6,669 $7,880 $ 8,488 $ 9,968 $13,068 $16,123 $17,664 Bipolar TTL ECL $ 772 624 148 $ 762 612 150 $ 730 577 153 $ $ $ 965 730 235 $ 1,025 772 253 Bipolar Memory Logic Other Logic Std. Logic ASIC $ 772 74 698 63 394 241 $ 762 72 690 60 382 248 $ 730 65 665 61 372 232 $781 70 711 64 391 256 $ 867 73 794 72 430 292 $965 71 894 82 485 327 $ 1,025 67 958 93 495 370 MOS NMOS CMOS BiCMOS Other IC $4,364 1,759 2,491 56 58 $5,518 2,023 3,354 106 35 $6,050 2,104 3,727 195 24 $ 7,227 2,222 4,637 351 17 $ 9,843 2,555 6,663 613 12 $12,408 2,836 8,509 1,055 8 $13,616 2,893 9,293 1,424 6 MOS Memory DRAM SRAM ROM/Other Micro MPU MCU HPR (inc. DSP) Logic std. Logic other Logic ASIC Linear Monolithic Amplifiers Voltage Regulators Data Conversion Interface Special Consuner other Hybrid $4,364 $1,797 1,062 262 473 $1,212 341 473 398 $1,355 287 357 711 $5,518 $2,501 1,466 430 605 $1,350 365 549 436 $1,667 317 538 812 $6,050 $2,788 1,725 439 624 $1,425 380 587 458 $1,837 324 630 883 $ 7,227 $ 3,320 2,003 518 799 $ 1,718 448 720 550 $ 2,189 349 797 1,043 $ 9,843 $ 4,462 2,660 724 1,078 $ 2,432 638 1,044 750 $ 2,949 377 1,284 1,288 $12,408 $ 6,179 3,936 927 1,316 $ 2,870 746 1,274 850 $ 3,359 401 1,433 1,525 $13,616 $ 6,478 4,035 982 1,461 $ 3,475 888 1,555 1,032 $ 3,663 418 1,519 1,726 $1,533 $1,416 200 90 101 52 475 498 $ 117 $1,600 $1,486 204 91 110 53 496 532 $ 114 $1,707 $1,598 206 95 117 54 537 589 $ 109 $ 1,960 $ 1,856 207 101 134 58 634 722 $ 104 $ 2,358 $ 2,262 238 118 152 67 799 888 $ 96 $ 2,750 $ 2,657 257 130 170 72 918 1,110 $ 93 $ 3,023 $ 2,935 272 140 187 78 937 1,321 $ 88 Total Discrete Transistor Diode Thyristor other Discrete $1,516 709 473 210 124 $1,667 741 578 218 130 $1,601 759 474 227 141 $ 1,740 812 488 257 183 $ 2,052 946 552 298 256 $ 2,229 985 557 336 351 $ 2,417 1,004 563 373 477 Total Optoelectronic LED Lamps LED Displays Optical Couplers Other $ $ $ $ $ $ $ Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit 306 46 38 64 158 292 35 31 54 172 280 28 23 50 179 781 605 176 298 27 23 51 197 667 668 199 361 28 24 59 250 418 30 27 66 295 Source: Dataquest August 1989 Page 18 491 32 29 76 354 DataQuest Gtomp^uiyof rhenun&BiadsIrcctCurpDI^Itiiin Dataquest incorporated 1290 Ridder Park Drive San Jose, Caiifamia 95131-2398 (408) 437-8000 Tfelex: 171973 Fax; (408) 437-0292 Dataquest Boston 1740 Massachusetts Avenue Bosborough, MA 01719-2209 (508) 264-4373 •feles: 171973 Eax: C508) 635-0183 Dataquesi Intemationai Offices: Dataquest GmbH Rosenkavaiierplsu 17 D-8000 Munich Bl ttfcsl Gennany Phone; (089)91 10 64 Telex; 5218070 Fax; (0H9J91 21 89 Dataquesi Japan Limited Taiyo Ginza Building/2nd Floor 7-14-16 Ginza. Ciiuo-ku Tokyo 104 Japan Rione; (03)546-3191 •ftlex; 32768 Fax: (03)546-3198 Dataquest UK Limited RiiusscI House. Broadwaler Park Dcnham. Bucks UB9 5HP England Phone: 0895-835050 Teles; 266195 Fax; 0895 835260/1/2 Dataquest SASL Tour Gallieni 2 36. avenue Gallieni 93175 Bagnolel Cedes France Phone; (1)48 97 31 00 Telex: 233 263 Fax; (1)48 97 34 00 Dataquest Taiwan Rm. 801, 8lh Fi.. Ever Spring Bliig 147. Sec. 2. Chien KJI) N, Riiad Taipei. Taiwan. R. O. C. 104 P. O. Box 52-25. Ticnmou 111 Phone; (02,501-7960/501-5592 Ifclex: 27459 Fax: (02)505-4265 DataQuest hiuropean Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 EUROPEAN SEMICONDUCTOR CONSUMPTION FORECAST 1983-1995 EUROPEAN COMPONENTS GROUP ^ Note: This booklet replaces the last forecast dated August 1989, and should be filed in Volume II behind the 2.0 Semiconductor Device Markets tab. European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page Introduction Forecast Overview Product Overview Regional Overview Product and Regional Analysis Figures Tables 3 3 3 10 16 18 22 List of Figures 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 European European European European European European European European Semiconductor Market Semiconductor Market Relative to World Semiconductor Market Annual Growth Rates Semiconductor Market by Major Product Family Semiconductor Market Trends by Region IC Market Trends by Region Discrete Market Trends by Region Optoelectronic Market Trends by Region List of Tables 0 la lb 2a 2b 3a 3b 4a 4b 5a 5b 6a 6b 7a 7b 8a 8b European Currency Exchange Rates to the US Dollar European Semiconductor Consumption History European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast Benelux Semiconductor Consumption History Benelux Semiconductor Consumption Forecast France Semiconductor Consumption History France Semiconductor Consumption Forecast Italy Semiconductor Consumption History Italy Semiconductor Consumption Forecast Nordic Countries Semiconductor Consumption History Nordic Countries Semiconductor Consumption Forecast UK and Ireland Semiconductor Consumption History UK and Ireland Semiconductor Consumption Forecast West Germany Semiconductor Consumption History West Germany Semiconductor Consumption Forecast Rest of Europe Semiconductor Consumption History Rest of Europe Semiconductor Consumption Forecast ( ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July ESIS Volume n 0006099 i European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 INTRODUCTION This booklet presents Dataquest's latest European regional history and forecast for semiconductor products for the 1983 to 1995 period. Dataquest tracks local currency exchange rates for all the major European countries on a monthly basis and generates a weighted average basket of European currencies (see ESIS Exchange Rate Quarterly newsletter), which provides a translation from local currencies to US dollars. We forecast at constant exchange rates. This forecast is based on a fixed-level exchange rate factor calculated from local currency exchange rate data for the year 1990 up to the month of June. Growth in all subsequent years is therefore effectively in local currency. Table 0 shows the exchange rates for the major European currencies. The US dollar European semiconductor market growth of 9.5 percent in 1990 is based on a local currency growth of minus 0.1 percent. See Tables la and lb for our detailed forecast of the European semiconductor market. Dataquest defines the semiconductor market as representing all merchant market business, plus the captive business that exists for those semiconductor manufacturers which also participate in the merchant market. This element of captive business between a manufacturer and its equipment division/s and/or subsidiaries is valued at merchant market prices. FORECAST OVERVIEW R^ional EiTects The European semiconductor market over the past five years has been characterized by the dynamics of its two largest regions—West Germany, and UK and Ireland. These two regions combined account for an estimated 54 percent of the European total available market (TAM). Investment in, and expansion of, electronic equipment manufacturing facilities by large multinationals have ensured that these two regions maintain their dominance of the European semiconductor TAM in the medium-term future. Economic and political changes within different European countries can have significant effects on the course of semiconductor demand. Two examples are the financial incentives offered to equipment manufacturers in the form of government subsidies, and the monetary union of East and West Germany. Product Effects The integrated circuit (IC) has progressively replaced discrete semiconductors in electronic equipment designs. ICs represented 75 percent of the European semiconductor TAM in 1985, and is forecast to reach 85 percent by 1995. The four-year cycle of increase in density of DRAMs therefore has an increasingly profound effect on the total semiconductor forecast. PRODUCT OVERVIEW Bipolar Memory The market for bipolar memory reached its peak in 1986, and has since been stagnating. The reason for this is the increasingly higher speeds and densities attainable with low-power CMOS ESIS Volume 11 0006099 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited My European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-199S and BiCMOS SRAMs, which have stolen a significant proportion of business from bipolar memory suppliers. Bipolar SRAMs remain popular in many supercomputing and mainframe applications, in which there is relatively small European activity, while bipolar PROMs are often used in military applications, where government spending has been cut back. Effectively, the requirement for bipolar memory in the European market is diminishing, and is characterized by a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of minus 6 percent over the forecast period 1990 to 1995. Bipolar Logic The bipolar logic market comprises the product families of application-specific IC (ASIC), standard logic, and other logic. The bipolar logic market owes much of its growth to bipolar ASIC products, which have now attained the same market size as bipolar standard logic. Bipolar ASIC The largest product market within bipolar ASIC is in ECL gate arrays, which are reaching higher speeds and are stiU being used in mainframes and in fiber-optic communications. Also, TTL programmable logic array (PLA) devices are in strong demand by manufacturers of 80386-based PCs, while future demand for mixed analog-digital cell-based ICs (CBICs) is expected to increase. The five-year (1990 to 1995) CAGR for the bipolar ASIC market is 8 percent. Bipolar Standard Logic The bipolar standard logic market has been eroded by CMOS standard logic and CMOS gate array solutions, which has resulted in the poor performance of this market. The five-year (1990 to 1995) CAGR for bipolar standard logic is 4 percent, which is well below the average. Other Bipolar Logic This market includes application-specific standard products (ASSPs), bipolar bit-slice, arithmetic logic units (ALUs), multipliers, floating point, and digital filters. It is a market that is growing above the bipolar logic average, but from a small base. The five-year outlook CAGR is 8 percent. MOS Memory MOS memory is one of the most volatile product areas for a semiconductor vendor today, and represents an estimated 28 percent of the European IC market in 1990. Factors contributing to the instability of this segment include: • The short life-cycle of most MOS memory product • The rapid price erosion associated with this • The relatively high growth of the European PC industry which consumes a large proportion of DRAM products ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July ESIS Volume n 0006099 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 • • The array of tariffs, dumping duties, and floor prices imposed on various MOS memory products by the European Commission and individual governments The huge profits (or losses) to be made in this business DRAM The largest single product group is DRAM, which is expected to account for nearly 13 percent of the European semiconductor TAM, or 56 percent of the MOS memory TAM, in 1990. Overwhelming demand for the IM DRAM in 1988 was a major driving force behind the 34 percent total semiconductor market growth experienced in Europe that year. Acute shortages of the IM DRAM had given rise to inflated prices, thereby artificially boosting the value of the DRAM market which grew by an estimated 164 percent in 1988. Conversely, when production overtakes demand the reverse occurs. In fact, price erosion is a major factor behind our forecast of an 18 percent decline in the European DRAM TAM in 1990. The outlook for DRAM, however, is strong in the long term. We forecast a CAGR of 30 percent over the period 1990 to 1995. This is the strongest CAGR of any product tracked, and is driven by strong demand from users in the data processing segment. SRAM The SRAM market is about one-third the size of the DRAM market, although there are almost twice as many suppliers. This typifies the diversity of this particular market. High speed, low-power consumption, and no requirement for regular memory refresh are three of the main benefits of SRAM over DRAM, but there is a premium to pay. Roughly speaking, the price of a given density of SRAM is close to four times the price an equivalent DRAM. Therefore, SRAM is used where either high speed is a priority (such as in cache memory or high-performance computers), where low-power consumption is important (such as in laptop PCs), or where it is beneficial to avoid needing a memory refresh controller (such as in LAN cards). Growth in the SRAM TAM is strong, with a five-year outlook CAGR of 23 percent, as application segments for SRAM are generally healthy. Nonvolatile MOS Memory The nonvolatile (NV) MOS memory market includes EPROM, EEPROM, ROM, and Flash products. This market is also expected to grow above the European average, with a five-year outlook CAGR of nearly 19 percent. The main products of this market are discussed below. EPROM. It is estimated that the EPROM family represents more than 80 percent of the European NV memory TAM in 1990, and is second in size after DRAM. This market has historically been stable in comparison to the volatile memory market (that is, DRAM and SRAM), but recent competition in the European market has caused the IM EPROM price to plummet. The European Commission has been asked to investigate alleged dumping of EPROMs in the European market. If the Commission finds evidence of this, it is possible that an EPROM reference price may be introduced. Europe had the world's lowest prices for the IM part throughout the second quarter of 1990, according to contract pricing analysis by DataquesL Nevertheless, the outlook for the EPROM market is healthy, as applications for EPROM are in the growth equipment segments of data processing and telecommunications. ESIS Volume n 0006099 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited My 5 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 EEPROM. The EEPROM market is the next largest NV memory market after EPROM in 1990, and represents about 12 percent of the NV MOS memory TAM. The EEPROM is the most expensive type of commodity MOS memory, and is consequently implemented in equipment where either a small EEPROM can be justified (such as in advanced consumer electronics applications) or in equipment where cost is not a major issue (such as military or high-end automotive applications). The high cost of EEPROM therefore makes it most attractive in niche appUcations that cannot match the high-volume mass markets of its cheaper counterparts. MOS ROM. Demand for MOS ROM in Europe is relatively weak. It is best implemented in very high-volume applications, where the initial cost of the mask can be recouped by large unit shipments. Typical applications are in laser printer font cartridges and video games machine cartridges. Bearing in mind the suppUer base for these types of equipment, it is not surprising that Japan consumes more than 80 percent of the worldwide supply of MOS ROMs, and Europe less than 2 percent. The medium-term outlook for the European MOS ROM market is flat. Flash Memory. The last product of the NV MOS memory family is Flash. This product is the youngest of all the commodity MOS memory family, first appearing in 1985, and its applications have not yet been fully identified. There are two branches of Rash memory, one based on EPROM and the other on EEPROM. The former is simpler in design, meaning it is also cheaper. Potential mass-market uses of Flash memory are as a solid-state alternative to mechanical disk drives in pocket computers and in zero-power memory cards. There are potentially many other applications for Flash that are currently served by EPROM or EEPROM, Much depends on volume demand to bring prices down to competitive levels, as well as increasing the performance and density of Flash. Dataquest believes that the European Flash memory market will grow very fast. Microcomponent The microcomponent market comprises three main segments: microprocessor (MPU), microcontroller (MCU and DSP), and microperipheral (MPR). Microprocessor The European microprocessor market is dominated by a small number of proprietary suppliers—80 percent of the market is controlled by five suppliers—and is therefore not subject to the competition and rapid price erosion that other semiconductor products experience. It is a market that is closely related to the PC industry, which is particularly healthy in Europe. Therefore, as the European PC industry outlook is fundamentally strong, the microprocessor market is expected to have an above-average five-year outlook CAGR of 20 percent. Microcontroller The microcontroller market, including digital signal processors (DSPs), comprises many embedded controllers. This is an area in which Europe is strong, driven by applications in automotive electronics, data processing, and telecommunications. There are also potential applications for MCUs in consumer electronics equipment such as VCRs and compact disc. As there is ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July ^ ESIS Volume 11 0006099 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 less concentration on supplier market shares, so competition is stronger than for the microprocessor market, and price erosion is more of an influence. However the MCU market, which is more than 50 percent larger than the MPU market, is forecast to grow at the same 20 percent CAGR as the MPU market over the period 1990 to 1995. Microperipheral The microperipheral market includes PC chip sets, which are increasingly popular with OEMs to reduce PC chip count. This has led to aggressively competitive price wars, and is affecting the intrinsic value of the European TAM. The medium-term outlook is for strong growth in unit shipments, but with associated price erosion which is expected to weaken the 1990 to 1995 CAGR to just about average, namely 18 percent. MOS Logic The MOS logic market consists of the product families of ASIC, standard logic, and other logic. The MOS logic market is almost three times the size of the bipolar logic market, and is growing three times as fast. The benefits of low power consumption and higher gate density are two of the greatest assets of MOS over bipolar in the logic area. MOS ASIC The European MOS ASIC market is the strongest-growing segment of the MOS logic market, with ASIC solutions continuing to replace commodity standard logic, as well as power-hungry bipolar alternatives. The MOS ASIC category consists of gate array, CBICs (or standard cells), programmable logic devices (PLDs), and full custom. MOS PLD is one of the fastest growing product categories that Dataquest tracks. CMOS gate arrays, in particular, are replacing bipolar standard logic solutions. The outlook is very healthy, with a five-year outlook CAGR of more than 21 percent. MOS Standard Logic The MOS standard logic market has been suffering from price erosion which has limited the growth of its TAM. The outlook for this product family is below average, with a CAGR of 11 percent over the period 1990 to 1995. Otiier MOS Logic This category includes ASSPs, digital filters, barrel shifters, and other building blocks. Many of these devices are applied in digital telecommunications (including ISDN) and consumer electronics equipment. The five-year outlook for this large category of products is for belowaverage growth of 13 percent. Analog The analog market is expected to account for 18 percent of the European semiconductor TAM in 1990, and to grow above the European average growth for this year. This market is split into ESIS Volume U 0006099 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July 7 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 monolithic analog products and hybrid analog products. Monolithic analog represents over 90 percent of the total European analog market. Our hybrid analog market estimates only represent sales by manufacturers who also supply non-hybrid semiconductor products to the merchant market, and do not count resides from non-semiconductor manufacturers. Monolithic Analog Applications for monolithic analog ICs are wide and diversified, which has given this market a level of stability greater than almost any other semiconductor product. Consequently, we can expect the analog market to ride above industry downturns, but below the upturns, maintaining a steady growth. The use of mixed analog-digital devices in PCs for graphics and disk drives is expected to increase strongly, as is their use in the transportation segment. The largest application of monolithic analog is in consumer electronics equipment, which is also one of the fastest growing analog products in our forecast. Growth is also strong in mixed-mode (analog-digital) ICs, which are included in this segment when the analog component is dominant by area. Hybrid Analog The market for hybrid analog is primarily in the military and industrial application segments, although demand from data processing and consumer end users is growing. Major product implementations of hybrid analog are as amplifiers, power controllers, and data converters. This market is expected to grow below the semiconductor average, with a CAGR of 16 percent in the five-year outlook. Discrete The transistor market comprises the product families of transistor, diode, thyristor, and other discrete. The European discrete market is under attack from ICs, particularly "smart power" ICs, and is forecast to shrink from representing an estimated 17 percent of the European semiconductor TAM in 1990, to about 12 percent in 1995. However, like the analog market, there is an inherent stability in the discrete market which Dataquest believes will provide for steady positive growth at about half the European average over the period 1990 to 1995. Transistor The transistor market represents an estimated 50 percent of the European discrete TAM in 1990, and comprises a wide range of power-rated devices. Small signal applications include low-power servo-assisted systems for disk drives, VCRs, automatic cameras, and automotive equipment. High-power applications include motor control, regulators, power invertors, power supply switching, and traction. Traction is becoming a very important growth apphcation for power transistors, particularly in modem passenger transport systems such as subway trains and monorail. While some of these apphcations are being targeted by IC manufacturers, there are many others that cannot be targeted, due to die harsh envkonments in which they are required to operate, as well as the need for high current ratings. This market is expected to show the healthiest growth in the discrete segment, with a five-year outlook CAGR of aknost 11 percent. g ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July ESIS Volume II OOO0O99 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 Diode Diodes are likewise classified by power rating. Small signal diodes are found in low-current power supply rectification and as detectors in low-end frequency circuits in radios and televisions. Power diodes are used in microwave ovens and television main circuit boards. Other types of diode are the Schottky barrier diode, found in computer and peripheral power supplies, and the zener diode, found in voltage regulators, operational ampUfiers and converters. The European diode market is forecast to show steady positive growth, with a five-year outiook CAGR of 10 percent, generally following the trends of the transistor market. Thyristor The thyristor market, including triacs and diacs, mainly serves the consumer and industrial application segments. In the industrial segment, high power ratings and harsh environments are common. Positive but unremarkable growth is forecast for this product family over the 1990 to 1995 period. Optoelectronic The optoelectronic market comprises light-emitting diodes (LEDs), LED displays (such as, alphanumeric), optocouplers, and other optoelectronic devices. The European optoelectronic market is relatively stable, and does not exhibit the same swings in TAM as the IC market. The 1990 optoelectronic TAM is expected to grow above the European average, although the 1990 to 1995 CAGR is forecast to be a Uttle below the European average, at 15 percent, LED and LED Display LED-based devices are the commodity parts of the optoelectronic industry, and are used in a very wide range of appUcations for indication and data readout. They are also used in facsimile machines and printers. New developments in very bright LEDs may open further applications. A five-year outlook CAGR of between 8 and 10 percent is forecast for these two product groups. Optocoupler Optocouplers are used in more demanding applications, such as high-performance relays, position sensors, optical encoders, and voltage isolators for connection of sensitive logic circuits to power devices. It is the optocoupler market which is expected to show the highest growth in the optelectronics segment over the 1990 to 1995 period, with a CAGR of 18 percent. Other Optoelectronic Other optoelectronic products include photodiodes, phototransistors, solar cells, and semiconductor lasers. There are growing applications for these products in the application segments of compact disc equipment, remote controls for audio and visual equipment, facsimiles, photocopiers, laser printers, and fiber-optic communications. ESIS Volume U 0006099 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited My European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 REGIONAL OVERVIEW Benelux This region comprises Belgium, the Netherlands, and Luxembourg, The general five-year outlook is of below-average growth, with a CAGR of 13 percent. The exception is 1990, which is expected to grow slightly above the European average due to the fact that the Benelux countries are not affected by price erosion in DRAMs as much as other European regions. See Tables 2a and 2b. Belgium This country has a population equivalent to one-fifth that of West Germany or the United Kingdom. The Belgian semiconductor market is dominated by users from the telecommunications and consumer segments. Etemand from this user base is expected to increase, as European telecommunications networks are upgraded or expanded and the markets in the Eastern bloc open up. Demand is also expected in the consumer electronics equipment segment as it migrates toward the high end. However, new manufacturing plants are expected to be located outside Belgium, thereby diverting much of new semiconductor requirement to other regions. The five-year oudook for Belgium is for weak growth. Netherlands This country's population is also approximately one-fifth that of West Germany or the United Kingdom. The Netherlands is heavily biased toward the consumer application segment. Demand for analog and discrete devices is expected to be generally above the European average, while bipolar and MOS IC devices are expected to be below. The continuing influx of Japanese and Korean consumer electronics equipment is expected to weaken the future growth of the semiconductor TAM in the Netherlands. Also, some manufacturing operations are begiiming to be located outside the Netherlands to take advantage of lower wage costs. The five-year outlook for the Netherlands is therefore reasonable, but below the European average. Luxembourg Luxembourg is one of the smallest of the countries tracked, having a population equivalent to a small city. It is very active in the financial sector, as well as in the iron and steel industry. AlUiough it is a wealthy country, it does not have an indigenous electronics equipment manufacturing industry of any note, nor is one expected in the medium term. France France is a relatively large region of Europe, having a similar population to the United Kingdom and West Germany, but with a semiconductor TAM about half the value of these regions, as shown in Tables 3a and 3b. The reasons for this are partly seated in the ability or desire for attracting foreign investment. France in particular does not appear to compete very strongly in this area, and consequently has a relatively small number of foreign electronics equipment manufacturers operating within its borders. Manufacturing strength in the domestic electronics equipment market is spread across telecommunicatioiK, military, consumer, and industrial application segments. 10 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July ESIS Volume n 0006099 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 The telecommunications segment is strong, and the French-owned company, Alcatel, is the world's largest electronics equipment manufacturer in this segment. However, the military segment is beginning to shrink as East-West relationships improve; the consumer segment is increasingly a domain for Japanese suppliers; and the industrial segment is growing slower than other segments. Therefore, the outlook for France is generally below European average growth. Yet its strength in the analog and MOS digital product families means that the French five-year outlook CAGR is not much below the European average, at 17 percent. Italy Italy, like France, has a similar population to the United Kingdom and West Germany, but less than half the semiconductor TAM of these regions, as can be seen in Tables 4a and 4b. However, Italy is very much a developing region, and the prospects for future growth are optimistic. Italy's strengths lie in data processing, telecommunications, and automotive applications. The DP and telecommunications markets in Europe are strong, as the export markets begin to open up in Eastern Europe. Therefore Italy is well placed to take advantage of these opportunities. The It^an automotive industry is now targeting the economy high-volume market for automotive electronics, as well as continuing with its traditional high end. Dataquest believes that bipolar logic and the MOS digital segment will show above-average growth in the medium term, thereby driving the overall Italian semiconductor TAM ahead of the European average, with a five-year outlook CAGR of 19 percent. Nordic Countries This region comprises Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Iceland, with a combined population around one-third of the United Kingdom or West Germany. The relatively high costs of labor and materials in Nordic countries, together with the small domestic markets, has discouraged much foreign investment. This has meant that nearly all the semiconductors consumed in this region are by indigenous industries. These industries are mainly concentrated in telecommunications, as well as industrial, consumer, and some data processing. Below-average growth is expected in the five-year outlook, with a CAGR of 16 percent, as shown in Tables 5a and 5b. Sweden This country is the largest of the Nordic region, and represents a third of the region's population. Not surprisingly, it also has the strongest electronics industry. However, investment in domestic production capacity has been curtailed in the last few years, caused by shortages in skilled labor and increasing wage costs. Instead, investment is being made in production capacity in other European countries, which will make sales to external markets easier. Sweden is not a member country of the European Community (EC), but is already well positioned to take advantage of the 1992 market unification. Sweden's major semiconductor end-use segments are telecommunications and industrial, which mainly consume analog and MOS logic products. However, major product families such as MOS memory and microcomponents, where most of the European semiconductor market growth is derived, are in little demand. Consequently, we see a five-year outlook below the European average growth. ESIS Volume n 0006099 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July 11 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 Denmark The Danish population is the next highest of the Nordic countries, although it has only a tenth of the land area of any of its neighbors. It is unusual to note that very few Danish manufacturers have pan-European operations, let alone intematiijnal ones, as they are mainly small to mediumsize companies. This has meant that investment in manufacturing operations have been on a scale to support domestic demand, rather than export capacity. Denmark's major semiconductor end-use segments are consumer audio and instrumentation. Semiconductor distribution is also an important element of the market. Denmark is the only Nordic member of the EC, although it is not apparent whether it is well prepared to take advantage of this position. The five-year outlook is for limited semiconductor TAM growth. Finland Finland has the next highest population in the region, after Sweden and Denmark. It is also in the best position to do business with COMECON (Council for Mutual Economic Assistance) member countries as it borders with the Soviet Union. With the opening of Eastern bloc markets, there should be many opportunities for further trade, including electronics equipment. The country's main electronics equipment markets are in data processing, consumer, and telecommunications. However, there are few indigenous equipment manufacturers, and unless they are able to penetrate the EC (Finland is not a member country) and international markets as well as COMECON ones, the medium-term outlook for the Finnish semiconductor market is for weak growth. Norway The Norwegian semiconductor market is very much geared towards the data processing apphcation segment. There are three major manufacturers of data processing equipment in Norway, although by global standards they are small. This country is not a member country of the EC, although as the European PC market is growing strongly, it is expected that this will have an effect on demand for semiconductors in Norway. Therefore, the medium-term outlook for the Norwegian semiconductor market is optimistic, although from a comparatively small base. Iceland This coimtry, which became independent from Denmark in 1944, has the disadvantage of being the most geographically isolated in Europe. This is compounded by the fact that it has very few natural resources except fish, which is the country's major export product. There is negligible semiconductor demand, and the outlook is fiat. UK and Ireland This region comprises England, Wales, Scotland, Northern Ireland, and Ireland. The semiconductor markets of this region are growing more strongly than in all other European regions, with a five-year outlook CAGR of 20 percent, shown in Tables 6a and 6b. This strong growth is partly due to the manufacturing investment in this region made by some of the world's largest computer and consumer equipment manufacturers. 12 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July ESIS Volume U 0006099 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 It is believed that one of the reasons why the UK and Ireland have attracted so much foreign investment is because English is the most commonly used language in the world, making recruitment apparently easier, and business with external markets simpler. There have also been attractive government subsidies for equipment manufacturers setting up manufacturing facilities in this region. However, strong dependence on the data processing industry means this region is forecast to be the largest market for ICs in Europe, and therefore exposed to the cyclic shortages and prices changes in DRAMs and microprocessors. Another observation is that transportation applications are only a third of the the European average proportion. England This country represents over 80 percent of the UK population, and consequently has the largest industrial base of the region, with a broad infrastructure to support the needs of its manufacturing base. The end-user segments are broady based, although the transportation segment is weaker than in other European regions. The telecommunications application market is partly dependent on one major domestic user, British Telecom. However, export markets for telecommunication equipment are growing strongly, especially in developing countries. In the data processing market, some smaller manufacturing companies suffered during the DRAM shortage, and are still recovering, but the medium-term outlook is optimistic. The consumer applications market is expected to grow, as production of consumer equipment increases, helped by the growing investment from the Far East. The overall medium-term outlook is for strong growth. Wales The relatively small country of Wales has half the population of Scotland and is not a major user of semiconductors. However, it does have a few manufacturers which are strong in consumer and electronic printer production, as well as subcontractors providing board assembly services for the aforementioned companies. This is enough to provide Wales with strong growth from a small base in the five-year outlook period. Scotland The Scottish population represents about 10 percent of the UK total. There has been strong foreign investment in this country from equipment manufacturers in the data processing segment, aided by government subsidies. Plans by other data processing suppliers to locate major manufacturing facilities in Scotland could give the country a very strong demand for MOS memory and microcomponent devices. There are also several subcontracting board assembly facilities in Scotland serving the data processing segment. The medium-term outlook for semiconductor demand in Scotland is related to the European computer industry, and is therefore strong. Northern Ireland Northern Ireland has half the population of Wales and has little electronic equipment manufacturing capacity. The medium-term outlook is flat. ESIS Volume n 0006099 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July 13 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 Ireland Ireland became independent from the United Kingdom in 1922. The country's population is less than one-tenth of that of the United Kingdom, but its area is equivalent to one-third of the total UK area. Investment from semiconductor and electronics equipment manufacturers has been encouraged by government subsidies, as in the United Kingdom, and the country is now host to some of the world's largest suppUers in the field of data processing. Consumption of memory and microcomponents is therefore a major proportion of the Irish semiconductor TAM, more probably than in any other European country. This has had the effect of providing for strong TAM growth when DRAM prices are inflating, but for decline when DRAM prices are eroding. The medium-term outlook is for strong growth, following the trends of the European computer market. West Germany West Germany easily has the largest semiconductor market of any single country in Europe, which can be seen in Tables 7a and 7b. Consumption is fairly evenly spread across all application segments, though transportation appUcations are twice the European proportional average, and military applications are only a third. There are many large electronics equipment manufacturers in West Germany, some of which have their own captive supply of semiconductors. One of this country's main strengths is in the telecommunications segment, where business with Eastern bloc countries has been expanding recently; the data processing segment is also strong. However, application segments in which West Germany particularly excels are industrial, consumer, and automotive. This has had the effect of maintaining a very strong market for discrete and optoelectronic semiconductors. In fact, it is estimated that West Germany accounts for more than 30 percent of the European TAMs in both these product families in 1990, giving it a strong lead over any other European region. The West German IC TAM, though, is being just exceeded by that of the United Kingdom over the forecast period. The recent monetary union of East and West Germany has major implications for the West German market, although the net effect is yet unclear, and is largely dependent on the reaction of the populations of these countries to such changes. One likely chain of events is that East Germans will purchase West German data processing and consumer electronics equipment that cannot be sourced in their own market This will initially boost the West German electronics equipment and semiconductor markets. However, it will result in East German industries losing business to West Germany, and being faced with the prospect of cutbacks or closure. Large subsidies from the West German government will help keep these industries afloat so that they can catch up with Western standards and compete on the open market. The subsidies will affect interest rates in West Germany, which will increase inflation and limit domestic spending; this could overbalance the influx of new spending from East Germany. This scenario suggests that the West German semiconductor market will grow at a European average rate, although the product spUt may alter with time due to gradual changes in the end-user base. Rest of Europe This region consists of all the remaining Western European countries not already covered, including Spain, Switzerland, Austiia, Portugal, Greece, Turkey, and Malta. The territories are 14 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July ESIS Volume n 0006099 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 geographically, poUtically, and industrially diverse, which means their combined semiconductor consumption is also somewhat diverse. However, one consistent factor is that this regional category is experiencing above-average growth over the medium-term outlook, which is shown in Tables 8a and 8b. This is mainly due to investment by foreign equipment manufacturers in these countries, attracted by the relatively low wage costs. Spain Spain has a population about two-thirds that of West Germany, and is the major semiconductor market of this regional category. Several major data processing, telecommunications, and consumer electronics manufacturers have placed production facilities in Spain, attracted by low wages and cheap land. Unemployment has been a major problem for Spain in recent years, and the influx of manufacturers together with the requirement for offices and homes has given a boost to one of its major industries, construction. Another boost to the Spanish economy is expected in the buildup to the Olympic Games in Barcelona in 1992, which will attract much business in support communications and data processing. Also, Europe hopes to use the event to parade its Wgh-definition TV prototypes. Therefore, the medium-term outlook for Spain, as a newly industrializing economy, is for strong growth. Switzerland The population of Switzerland is about one-tenth that of West Germany or the United Kingdom, but represents the next largest semiconductor market in this region. Switzerland is not a member of the EC, but does have strong business ties with West Germany. The major application segments in this small country are industrial and consumer, and it has one of the highest national proportions of expenditure on R&D in high technology in the world. Switzerland is probably most famous for the consumer segment, where it has a worldwide reputation in sophisticated electronic watches and clocks. The medium-term outlook for Switzerland is healthy. Austria Austria has a similar population to Switzerland and is also not a member country of the EC. It has had a strong economy in recent years, partly through the restructuring of its larger loss-making nationalized industries and the partial privatization of some of the smaller industries. Austria's main semiconductor application segments are in the industrial, consumer and transportation segments. The country is well positioned for trade with the opening up of Eastern European markets. The medium-term outlook is for above-average growth. Portugal Portugal has a population about one-fifth that of West Germany or the United Kingdom, and it has benefited from an influx of investment from electronics equipment manufacturers in the segments of data processing and consumer. This newly industrializing economy is expected to show strong growth in the medium-term outlook. ESIS Volume 11 0006099 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July 15 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 Greece The Greek population is around one-sixth that of West Germany, and has remained heavily dependent on traditonal labor-intensive industries such as textiles, clothing, agriculture, and metals. There has been little activity in technology-based industries, either domestically or through inward foreign investment. The medium-term outlook is flat. T\irkey The population of Turkey is similar to that of West Germany or the United Kingdom, with a land area 40 percent greater than these two regions combined. Turkey has undergone substantial restructuring this century, including the replacement of its alphabet, and is still restructuring today in an effort to become more Westernized. About half its total civiUan workforce is still involved in agriculture, followed by textiles, clothing, and its metal industry. Turkey's application for membership of the EC is still pending. The government has initiated a program of privatization of nationalized industries, and there are indications that Turkey is starting to invest in high-technology industries through expansion and acquisition. The mediumterm outlook for Turkey is therefore for high growth from a very small base. Malta The Republic of Malta has a population similar to that of Luxembourg, or less than one percent of that of West Germany or the United Kingdom. The major industry of this country is tourism, followed by textiles, clothing and agriculture. Malta plans to apply for membership of the EC in 1990. There are a few semiconductor test and assembly operations in Malta, but little semiconductor consumption. Investment from equipment manufacmrers has been negligible. The five-year outlook is therefore flat. PRODUCT AND REGIONAL GRAPHIC ANALYSIS The following figures provide graphical analysis of key trends in the European semiconductor market by product and region. Figure 1 tracks the size the European semiconductor market over the period 1978 to 1989, with the forecast years 1990 to 1995 added for reference. The annual growth rates of this market over the same period in US dollars and local cunency are shown in Figure 2. As can be seen from this graph, Dataquest does not expect the market to experience any negative growth over the forecast period, although we do expect cycles of positive growth. Figure 3 shows the European semiconductor market as a percentage of the worldwide semiconductor market over the period 1978 to 1994. This graph shows a sharp dechne in the European representation in the worldwide market over die period 1980 to 1984, which is mainly due to the rise of the Japanese semiconductor market. In 1980, Japan represented 24 percent of the worldwide market; by 1984 this had increased to 31 percent. The short-lived peak in 1985 was caused by the catastrophic fall of the North American semiconductor market, which was affected by the worldwide industry decline of that year more than any other region. 16 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July ^ *^ " ESIS Volume n 0006099 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 The European semiconductor market is forecast to gain gound in the worldwide scenario over the period 1990 to 1994, driven by strong foreign investment in equipment manufacturing facilities. Figure 4 shows the change over time in the proportions that the three main semiconductor segments represent of the total market. As can be seen, the IC market is steadily advancing on discretes. The notable rise in the IC market in 1988 was caused by the inflation of the DRAM market. Figures 5 through 8 analyse the movement in two variables in each of the European regions over the forecast period 1990 to 1995. The first variable is the relative market size of each region, expressed as a percentage of the total European market, and is plotted along the X-axis for 1990 and 1995. The second variable is the five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for each region, which is plotted along the Y-axis for the five-year periods ending in 1990 and 1995. Therefore, a point can be plotted for each region for 1990 and 1995, and a line drawn between them to show the direction of movement. In this way, changes in size and growth of each region can be compared. Figure 5 provides this analysis for the total semiconductor market, Figure 6 shows the IC market. Figure 7 shows the discrete market, and Figure 8 shows the optoelectronic market. From these graphs, it can be seen that the UK and Irish market is forecast to show the greatest increase in relative market size, together with a jump in semiconductor CAGR, driven predominantly by demand in IC market. The Italian market is expected to see a slowdown in CAGR, mainly in the discrete market, although it is still expected to gain overall in relative semiconductor market size as its CAGR is maintained higher than the European average. The Nordic countries, on the other hand, are forecast to see an increase in CAGR, coupled with a decrease in relative market size. This decrease is a result of its below-average CAGR, even after the increase. The Rest of Europe region is forecast to experience two opposing trends. Its IC market is expected to see the strongest increase in CAGR of all the European regions, with a consequential increase in relative market size. However, its discrete market is expected to see the sharpest drop in CAGR, albeit from a very high level, which allows it to gain a little relative market share. The net effect of these strong opposite trends is to leave the total semiconductor market almost entirely unchanged in terms of growth and relative market size. The West German and UK and Irish markets are forecast to experience inverse trends in the IC segment. The West German market is expected see a slowdown in CAGR, coupled with a decline in relative market size, while the UK and Irish market is expected to see a pickup in CAGR, driving an increase in relative market size. However, both markets are forecast to have above-average CAGRs and relative market sizes in 1995. The Benelux market is expected to see the lowest semiconductor CAGR rates and smallest relative market size of any region. It is expected to experience an increase of CAGR in the IC market, although still remaining the slowest-growing region. Meanwhile, its discrete market is forecast to see a sharp slowdown in CAGR, which is in line with the overall European trend, therefore maintaining a steady relative market size. The French semiconductor market appears as the most stable region when measured by these variables. However, while its IC market shows stability, its discrete and optoelectronic markets are expected to exhibit opposite trends. Its discrete market is forecast to decline in CAGR, while its optoelectronic market is forecast to increase in CAGR, with the net effect of a balance. ESIS Volume n 0006099 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July 17 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 Figure 1 European Semiconductor Mari^et 1978 to 1995 Billions of US Dollars Source: Dataquest (July 1990) Figure 2 European Semiconductor Market, Annual Growth Rates 1978 to 1995 i Percent Annual Growth Rate 70 M l USDofara LocddBTBoey 60 50 m "•"- 40 30 - ^ - - — 1- / • 20 10 0 -10 -20 I_ 1 1 1 1 { 1 l^fifll 1 1 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Year Source: Dataquest (My 1990) 18 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited My ESIS Volume H 0006099 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 Figure 3 European Semiconductor Market as a Percentage of World Market 1978 to 1994 > Percent Source: Dataquest (July 1990) Figure 4 European Semiconductor Market by Major Product Family 1985 to 1995 Percent 100 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Souice: Dalaquest (July 1990) ESIS Volume n 0006099 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July 19 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 Figure 5 European Semiconductor Market Trends 1990 to 1995 Compound Annual Growth Rate 20% w 1S% #. * * 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% * -B-^ -^ -A-S- West Gennany •G- Rest of Europe Benelux Franco Italy Nordic Countries UK & Ireland 30% Relative Market Size ScHUce: Dataquest (My 1990) Figure 6 European IC Market Trends 1990 to 1995 Compound Annual Growth Rate •>K- 19% - #. 17% 15% - * -B- Franc* ->«- Italy -^ -AS- Nordic Countries •e0% S% 10% 16% 20% 26% Benelux UK & Ireland West Gennany Rest of Europe 3D% Relative Market Size Souice: Dataqoest (July 1990) 20 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July ESIS Volume H 0006099 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 Figure 7 European Discrete Market Trends 1990 to 1995 ^ Compound Annual Growth Rate 22% 20% 18% • 12% §4 10% 10% 15% 20% 25% * - Benelux -B-^ Francs -e- Nordic Countries Italy -A- UK & Ireland -s-e- West Germany Rest of Europe 30% Relative Market Size Source: Dataquest (July 1990) Figure 8 European Optoelectronic Market Trends 1990 to 1995 Compound Annual Growth Rate 16% 14% 12% • 10% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 2S% 30% * • Benelux •e- Franco -X-^ -A- Nordic Countries Sr West Gemany -e- Rest of Europe Italy UK & Ireland 35% Relative Market Size Source: Dataquest (July 1990) ESIS Volume H 0006099 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July 21 Table 0 European Currency Exchange Rates Against the US Dollar rt a Region Main Currency Benelux France Italy Nordic Countries UK & Ireland "West Germany Rest of Europe Dutch Florin French Franc Italian Lire Swedish Krona UK Pound Deutsche Mark Spanish Peseta 16-Country Weighted Average (Base 1980 = 100.00) Jjt g O I "S n p. t to to *EstiDiates based on data up to lone 1990 Source: IMF, Dalaquest (July 1990) 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 2.85 7.62 1,518.9 7.67 0.66 2.55 143.43 3.21 8.74 1,757.0 8.27 0.75 2.85 160.76 3.32 8.98 1,909.5 8.60 0.77 2.94 170.05 2.45 6.92 1,490.0 7.12 0.68 2.17 139.97 2.03 6.01 1,296.1 6.34 0.61 1.80 123.56 157.59 178.06 184.70 145.89 125.52 1 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 Table la Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—History Total All European Regions (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 • Product Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital (Tech.) TTL ECL Bipolar Digital (Function) Memory Logic ASIC Std. Logic Other Logic MOS Digital (Tech.) CMOS BiCMOS NMOS and Other MOS Digital (Function) Memory DRAM SRAM Nonvolatile Odier Microcomponent MPU MCU inc. DSP MPR Logic ASIC Std. Logic Other Logic Analog Monolithic Amplifiers Regulators Data Conversion Interface Special Consumer Other Hybrid Total Discrete Transistor Diode Thjoistor Other Total Optoelectronic LED Lamp LED Display Optocoupler Other $3,370 $2,323 $483 446 37 $483 107 376 NA NA NA $1,227 353 0 874 $1,227 $581 NA NA NA NA $239 NA NA NA $407 NA NA NA $613 $613 104 37 92 55 227 98 NA $866 408 327 91 40 $181 45 66 32 38 $4,805 $3,634 $724 659 65 $724 149 575 NA NA NA $2,092 617 0 1,475 $2,092 $995 NA NA NA NA $465 NA NA NA $632 NA NA NA $818 $818 137 50 130 72 298 131 NA $963 450 358 103 52 $208 55 70 40 43 $4,720 $3,556 $709 641 68 $709 157 552 NA NA NA $1,953 702 0 1,251 $1,953 $750 NA NA NA NA $485 NA NA NA $718 NA NA NA $894 $894 144 54 157 80 318 141 NA $954 463 342 100 49 $210 55 62 41 52 $5,532 $4,088 $782 705 77 $782 172 610 230 376 4 $2,280 976 0 1,304 $2,280 $822 262 252 308 NA $578 95 249 234 $880 443 157 280 $1,026 $975 166 62 185 94 360 108 $51 $1,153 540 432 125 56 $291 76 87 56 72 $6,355 $4,693 $725 564 161 $725 85 640 210 410 20 $2,753 1,284 24 1,445 $2,753 $838 402 117 319 NA $794 217 339 238 $1,121 485 229 407 $1,215 $1,153 180 71 96 120 417 269 $62 $1,384 655 431 183 115 $278 57 48 68 105 1988 $8,491 $6,669 $772 624 148 $772 74 698 241 394 63 $4,364 2,491 56 1,817 $4,364 $1,797 1,062 262 473 NA $1,212 341 473 398 $1,355 711 287 357 $1,533 $1,416 200 90 116 145 475 390 $117 $1,516 709 473 210 124 $306 46 38 64 158 1989 $9,755 $7,794 $640 501 139 $640 72 568 260 282 26 $5,458 3,412 60 1,986 $5,458 $2,548 1,646 368 519 15 $1,469 409 640 420 $1,441 877 263 301 $1,696 $1,560 248 111 131 151 525 394 $136 $1,594 817 516 179 82 $367 57 43 75 192 NA = Not available Source: Dataquest (July 1990) Ref: 0790-09 ESIS Volume H 0006099 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July 23 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 Table lb Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—Forecast Total All European Regions (Millions of1991 U.S. Dollars) 1990 1992 1989 1994 1993 Product Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital (Tech.) TTL ECL Bipolar Digital (Function) Memory Lx)gic ASIC Std. Logic Other Logic MOS Digital (Tech.) CMOS BiCMOS NMOS and Other MOS Digital (Function) Memory DRAM SRAM Nonvolatile Other Microcomponent MFU MCU inc. DSP MPR Logic ASIC Std, Logic Other Logic Analog MonoUthic Amplifiers Regiilators Data Conversion Interface Special Consumer Other Hybrid Total Discrete Transistor Diode Thyristor Other Total Optoelectronic LED Lamp LED Display Optocoupler Other $9,755 $7,794 $640 501 139 $640 72 568 260 282 26 $5,458 3,412 60 1,986 $5,458 $2,548 1,646 368 519 15 $1,469 409 640 420 $1,441 877 263 301 $1,696 $1,560 248 111 131 151 525 394 $136 $1,594 817 516 179 82 $367 57 43 75 192 $10,682 $8,455 $696 530 166 $696 80 616 286 299 31 $5,809 3,679 100 2,030 $5,809 $2,383 1,346 424 592 21 $1,704 479 750 475 $1,722 1,070 302 350 $1,950 $1,794 250 116 147 163 602 516 $156 $1,812 932 592 197 91 $415 65 46 84 220 $12,727 $10,194 $771 570 201 $756 83 673 315 325 33 $7,138 4,765 173 2,200 $7,138 $3,120 1,886 515 694 25 $1,985 550 885 550 $2,033 1.290 330 413 $2,300 $2,116 259 125 164 178 713 677 $184 $2,047 1,058 668 221 100 $486 69 50 95 272 $15,653 $12,657 $834 614 220 $834 86 748 362 350 36 $9,086 6,296 283 2,507 $9,086 $4,207 2,651 668 855 33 $2,420 680 1,080 660 $2,459 1,638 370 451 $2,737 $2,518 278 140 187 196 856 861 $219 $2,416 1,254 787 257 118 $580 77 60 125 318 $20,163 $16,830 $887 650 237 $887 77 810 390 380 40 $12,576 9,143 453 2.980 $12,576 $6,250 4,210 897 1,098 45 $3,244 893 1,510 841 $3,082 2,097 435 550 $3,367 $3,097 310 163 224 220 1,055 1,125 $270 $2,657 1,390 867 272 128 $676 88 65 135 388 $21,889 $18,417 $886 641 245 $886 68 818 400 377 41 $13,889 10,227 675 2,987 $13,889 $6,787 4,467 1,018 1,244 58 $3,641 1,010 1,670 961 $3,461 2.429 458 574 $3,642 $3,349 315 165 239 227 1,192 1,211 $293 $2,743 1,441 898 276 128 $729 88 69 155 417 1995 $24,661 $20,882 $890 638 252 $890 60 830 420 365 45 $15,918 11,814 965 3,139 $15,918 $7,773 5,100 UIO 1,398 65 $4,163 1,192 1.895 1.076 $3,982 2,820 519 643 $4,074 $3,742 336 174 262 247 1,357 1.366 $332 $2,950 1,554 959 299 138 $829 94 73 191 471 CAGR 18.2% 19.8% 5.0% 3.8% 8.7% 5.0% (5.6%) 6.1% 8.0% 4.1% 7.7% 22.3% 26.3% 57.4% 9.1% 22.3% 26.7% 30.5% 23.3% 18.8% 25.4% 19.6% 20.0% 20.4% 17.8% 18.3% 21.4% 11.4% 12.9% 15.9% 15.8% 6.1% 8.4% 12.3% 8.7% 17.7% 21.5% 16.3% 10.2% 10.8% 10.1% 8.7% 8.7% 14.8% 7.7% 9.7% 17.9% 16.4% CAGR = Con^und annual growtb rate, 1990-1995 Source: Dataqnest (July 1990) Ref: 0790-09 24 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July ESIS Volume H 0006099 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 Table 2a Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—History Benelux Region (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 'oduct 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 >tal Semiconductor $208 $306 $304 $361 $407 $504 $507 Total Integrated Circuit $149 $237 $235 $277 $307 $369 $374 Bipolar Digital Memory Logic $31 7 24 $47 9 38 $47 11 36 $52 12 40 $43 5 38 $45 4 41 $37 4 33 M O S Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic $79 38 15 26 $137 65 30 42 $129 49 33 47 $155 57 39 59 $184 42 64 78 $213 72 73 68 $230 77 78 75 Analog MonoUthic Hybrid $39 39 0 $53 53 0 $59 59 0 $70 70 0 $80 76 4 $111 103 8 $107 98 9 Total Discrete $49 $56 $56 $66 $82 $107 $104 Total Optoelectronic $10 $13 $13 $18 $18 $28 $29 Source: Dataquest (July 1990) Ref: 0790-09 Table 2b Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—^Forecast Benelux Region (Millions of U.S. Dollars) Product 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 CAGR Total Semiconductor $507 $556 $636 $736 $907 $920 $1,023 13.0% $374 $402 $467 $532 $678 $697 $772 13.9% $37 4 33 $38 4 34 $40 4 36 $43 4 39 $49 3 46 $47 3 44 $46 3 43 (5.6%) 4.8% MOS Digital Memory Microcomp<»ient Logic $230 $242 $268 $299 $396 $422 $495 77 78 75 75 86 81 89 93 86 99 109 91 135 146 115 139 149 134 180 163 152 Analog Monolithic Hybrid $107 $122 $159 $190 $233 $228 $231 98 9 112 10 147 12 176 14 216 17 213 15 215 16 13.6% 13.9% 9.9% $104 $122 $133 $159 $177 $175 $195 9.8% $29 $32 $36 $45 $52 $48 $56 11.8% Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 3.9% 15.4% 19.1% 13.6% 13.4% CAGR = Compound anoual growth rate, 1990-1995 Source: Dataquest (July 1990) Ref: 0790-09 ESIS Volume U 0006099 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July 25 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 Table 3a Estimated Semiconductor Consumption--History France Region (Millions of U.S. Dollars) Product 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Total Semiconductor $585 $690 $671 $801 $940 $1,210 $1,386 $419 $520 $503 $591 $716 $977 $1,122 $87 19 68 $104 22 82 $101 23 78 $114 26 88 $109 13 96 $115 10 105 $83 8 75 MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic $221 105 43 73 $298 142 66 90 $276 107 68 101 $328 121 82 125 $422 126 127 169 $631 232 182 217 $777 350 207 220 Analog Monolithic Hybrid $111 111 0 $118 118 0 $126 126 0 $149 149 0 $185 176 9 $231 214 17 $262 237 25 $134 $138 $135 $165 $185 $196 $220 $32 $32 $33 $45 $39 $37 $44 Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic Source: Dataquest (July 1990) Ref 0790-09 Table 3b Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—Forecast France Region (Millions of U.S. Dollars) Product 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 CAGR $1,386 $1,507 $1,757 $2,145 $2,783 $2,955 $3,354 17.4% $1,122 $1,213 $1,427 $1,752 $2,347 $2,512 $2,887 18.9% $83 8 75 $92 9 83 $99 9 90 $108 9 99 $121 9 112 $117 8 109 $117 7 110 4.9% (4.9%) 5.8% MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic $777 350 207 220 $828 327 240 261 $998 424 273 301 $1,242 547 332 363 $1,728 815 452 461 $1,860 857 491 512 $2,171 1,013 559 599 21.3% 25.4% 18.4% 18.1% Analog Monolithic Hybrid $262 237 25 $293 272 21 $330 304 26 $402 371 31 $498 460 38 $535 499 36 $599 563 36 15.4% 15.7% 11.4% $220 $247 $275 $328 $361 $366 $384 9.2% t/i/i ^p'l'i $47 $55 $65 $75 $77 $83 12.0% Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic CAGR = ConqxHuid amiual growth rate, 1990-1995 Source: Dataquest (July 1990) Ref: 0790-09 26 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July ESIS Volume H 0006099 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 Table 4a Estimated Semiconductor Consumption--History Italy Region (Millions of U.S. Dollars) Product 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Total Semiconductor $320 $480 $451 $534 $660 $982 $1,082 $221 $368 $345 $404 $493 $791 $845 $46 10 36 $74 16 58 $68 15 53 $77 16 61 $79 9 70 $79 8 71 $58 8 50 $117 55 23 39 $212 101 47 64 $190 72 48 70 $225 80 58 87 $294 92 79 123 $560 253 145 162 $625 315 170 140 $58 58 0 $82 82 0 $87 87 0 $102 102 0 $120 114 6 $152 141 11 $162 150 12 Total Discrete $81 $92 $88 $106 $139 $160 $205 Total Optoelectronic $18 $20 $18 $24 $28 $31 $32 Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory MicrocompcHient Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Source: Dataquest (July 1990) Ref 0790-09 Table 4b Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—^Forecast Italy Region (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 CAGR $1,082 $1,165 $1,400 $1,754 $2,238 $2,452 $2,774 18.9% $845 $900 $1,108 $1,412 $1,873 $2,064 $2,345 21.1% $58 8 50 $67 9 58 $73 9 64 $80 9 71 $88 8 80 $88 8 80 $88 7 81 5.6% (4.9%) 6.9% MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic $625 315 170 140 $646 278 196 172 $815 378 230 207 $1,072 528 289 255 $1,470 760 381 329 $1,630 821 439 370 $1,871 944 509 418 23.7% 27.7% 21.0% 19.4% Analog Monolithic Hybrid $162 150 12 $187 174 13 $220 205 15 $260 241 19 $315 292 23 $346 321 25 $386 360 26 15.6% 15.7% 14.9% $205 $230 $251 $294 $310 $328 $362 9.5% $32 $35 $41 $48 $55 $60 $67 13.9% Product Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic CAGR = Compotmd annual growth rate, 1990-1995 Source: Dataquest (July 1990) Ref: 0790-09 ESIS Volume H 0006099 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July 27 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 Table 5a Estimated Semiconductor Consumption-—History Nordic Countries (Millions of U.S. Dollars) Product 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Total Semiconductor $245 $395 $391 $426 $458 $625 $682 $170 $310 $306 $328 $351 $508 $549 Bipolar Digital Memory Logic $36 8 28 $60 11 49 $60 12 48 $61 14 47 $57 5 52 $70 7 63 $52 7 45 MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic $90 43 17 30 $179 85 40 54 $169 63 44 62 $184 66 48 70 $205 59 56 90 $313 108 97 108 $371 148 109 114 tAA 44 0 $71 71 0 $77 77 0 $83 83 0 $89 84 5 $125 114 11 $126 115 11 Total Discrete $63 $71 $71 $80 $90 $96 $111 Total Optoelectronic $12 $14 $14 $18 $17 $21 $22 Total Integrated Circuit Analog Monolithic Hybrid kP'I'l Source: Dataquest (July 1990) Ref 0790-09 Table 5b Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—Forecast Nordic Countries (Millions of U.S. Dollars) Product 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 CAGR Total Semiconductor $682 $748 $878 $1,049 $1,351 $1,401 $1,566 15.9% $549 $599 $709 $851 $1,121 $1,175 $1,327 17.2% $52 7 45 $58 8 50 $63 8 55 $69 61 $76 7 69 $77 6 71 $72 6 66 4.4% (5.6%) 5.7% MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic $371 148 109 114 $390 140 119 131 $468 175 138 155 $568 231 156 181 $770 323 207 240 $820 333 233 254 $958 386 278 294 19.7% 22.5% 18.5% 17.5% Analog Monolithic Hybrid $126 115 11 $151 140 11 $178 165 13 $214 199 15 $275 254 21 $278 256 22 $297 274 23 14.5% UA% 15.9% $111 $125 $141 $165 $189 $187 $195 9.3% $22 $24 $28 $33 $41 $39 "644 12.9% Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 8 CAGR = Compound annual growth rate, 1990-1995 Source: Dataquest (July 1990) Ref: 0790-09 28 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited My ESIS Volume H 0006099 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 Table 6a Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—History UK and Ireland Region (Millions of U.S. Dollars) Product 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Total Semiconductor $833 $1,240 $1,198 $1,288 $1,570 $2,230 $2,614 $619 $999 $959 $1,016 $1,203 $1,852 $2,225 Bipolar Digital Memory Logic $129 29 100 $198 40 158 $193 44 149 $195 44 151 $188 22 166 $206 18 188 $177 19 158 MOS Digital Memory MicrocompcHient Logic $327 155 64 108 $575 274 128 173 $525 202 130 193 $565 200 145 220 $741 251 199 291 $1,294 666 303 325 $1,634 804 424 406 Analog Monolithic $163 163 0 $226 226 0 $241 241 0 $256 256 0 $274 260 14 $352 326 26 $414 387 27 $172 $192 $192 $211 $306 $312 $290 $42 $49 $47 $61 $61 $66 $99 Total Integrated Circuit Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic Source: Dataqnest (July 1990) Ref: 0790-09 Table 6b Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—Forecast UK and Ireland Region (Millions of U.S. Dollars) Product Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 CAGR $2,614 $2,745 $3,309 $4,163 $5,363 $5,998 $6,806 19.9% $2,225 $2,322 $2,829 $3,604 $4,754 $5,330 $6,072 21.2% $177 19 158 $182 22 160 $198 23 175 $222 25 197 $229 22 207 $234 19 215 $246 16 230 6.2% (6.2%) 7.5% $1,634 804 424 406 $1,692 725 491 476 $2,101 965 569 567 $2,751 1,346 707 698 $3,785 1,981 935 869 $4,259 2,181 1,073 1,005 $4,861 2,451 1.237 1,173 23.5% 27.6% 20.3% 19.8% $414 387 27 $448 412 36 $530 488 42 $631 581 50 $740 684 56 $837 768 69 $965 881 84 16.6% 16.4% 18.5% $290 $312 $351 $406 $432 $467 $504 10.1% $99 $111 $129 $153 $177 $201 $230 15.7% CAGR = Compound annual growth rate, 1990-1995 Souice: Dataquest (July 1990) Ref: 0790-09 ESIS Volume H 0006099 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July 29 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 Table 7a Estimated Semiconductor Consumption-—History West Germany Region (Millions of U.S. Dollars) Product 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Total Semiconductor $937 $1,300 $1,318 $1,628 $1,890 $2,250 $2,683 $572 $892 $905 $1,095 $1,342 $1,673 $2,087 Bipolar Digital Memory Logic $118 26 92 $178 37 141 $180 39 141 $211 45 166 $216 24 192 $201 20 181 $209 22 187 MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic $302 142 59 101 $513 244 116 153 $497 188 125 184 $611 220 154 237 $735 218 214 303 $1,013 359 315 339 $1,377 595 390 392 Analog Monolithic Hybrid $152 152 0 $201 201 0 $228 228 0 $273 273 0 $391 372 19 $459 425 34 $501 465 36 $309 $344 $343 $435 $458 $482 $480 $56 $64 $70 $98 $90 $95 $116 Total Integrated Circuit Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic Source: Dataquest (July 1990) Ref: 0790-09 Table 7b Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—Forecast West Germany Region (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 CAGR $2,683 $3,023 $3,588 $4,383 $5,665 $6,108 $6,819 17.7% $2,087 $2,335 $2,798 $3,441 $4,607 $5,018 $5,639 19.3% $209 22 187 $232 23 209 $253 24 229 $278 24 254 $289 22 267 $286 19 267 $287 17 270 4.3% (5.9%) 5.3% $1,377 595 390 392 $1,514 576 462 476 $1,853 752 543 558 $2,352 1,014 659 679 $3,297 1,582 886 829 $3,629 1,723 991 915 $4,109 1,953 1,118 1,038 22.1% 27.7% 19.3% 16.9% $501 465 36 $589 549 40 $692 645 47 $811 756 55 $1,021 950 71 $1,103 1.022 81 $1,243 1.147 96 16.1% 15.9% 19.1% Total Discrete $480 $556 $633 $754 $838 $851 $911 10.4% Total Optoelectronic $116 $132 $157 $188 $220 $239 $269 15.3% Product Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic Analog Monolithic Hybrid CAGR = Compound annual growth rate, 1990-199!s Source: Dataquest (July 1990) 30 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July ESIS Volume H 0006099 European Semiconductor Consumption Forecast 1983-1995 Table 8a Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—History Rest of Europe Region (Millions of U.S. Dollars) Product 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Total Semiconductor $242 $394 $387 $494 $430 $690 $801 $173 $308 $303 $377 $281 $499 $592 Bipolar Digital Memory Logic $36 8 28 $63 14 49 $60 13 47 $72 15 57 $33 7 26 $56 7 49 $24 4 20 MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic $91 43 18 30 $178 84 38 56 $167 69 37 61 $212 78 52 82 $172 50 55 67 $340 107 97 136 t/i/i/t kP'i'i'1 Analog Monolithic Hybrid $46 46 0 $67 67 0 $76 76 0 $93 93 0 $76 71 5 $103 93 10 $124 108 16 Total Discrete $58 $70 $69 $90 $124 $163 $184 Total Optoelectronic $11 $16 $15 $27 $25 $28 $25 Total Integrated Circuit 259 91 94 Source: Dataquest (July 1990) Ref: 0790-09 Table 8b Estimated Semiconductor Consumption—Forecast Rest of Europe Region (Millions of U.S. Dollars) Product 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 CAGR Total Semiconductor $801 $938 $1,159 $1,423 $1,856 $2,055 $2,319 19.8% $592 $684 $856 $1,065 $1,450 $1,621 $1,840 21.9% $24 4 20 $27 5 22 $30 6 24 $34 7 27 $35 6 29 $37 5 32 $34 4 30 4.7% (4.4%) 6.4% MOS Digital Memory Microcomponent Logic tAAA MI'I'I 1 259 91 94 $497 262 110 125 $635 337 139 159 $802 442 168 192 $1,130 654 237 239 $1,269 733 265 271 $1,453 846 299 308 23.9% 26.4% 22.1% 19.8% Analog Monolithic Hybrid $124 108 16 $160 135 25 $191 162 29 $229 194 35 $285 241 44 $315 270 45 $353 302 51 17.1% 17.5% 15.3% $184 $220 $263 $310 $350 $369 $399 12.6% $25 $34 $40 $48 $56 $65 $80 18.7% Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital Memory Logic Total Discrete Total Optoelectronic CAGR = Compouod annual growth rate, 1990-199S Source: Dataquest (July 1990) Ref: 0790-09 ESIS Volume H 0006099 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited July 31 DataQuest a tonipiinv [>l 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NSW 2060 Australia Telex: 233 363 Datai)uesl Israel 59 Mishniar Hajarden Street Tel A*iv, Istaei 6986S or P,0. Box 18198 Tel Avii'. Israel Phone; 52 913937 Telex; 341118 Fas: 52 32.8S5 ' DataQuest LLuropean Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Final 1989 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates European Components Group ESIS Volume 3 0006080 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates INTRODUCTION This booklet contains final estimates of semiconductor market shares in the European market for calendar year 1989. It is intended as reference material, with more detailed analysis to follow in the form of Research Newsletters. { SUMMARY Figure 1 shows the European semiconductor market share by vendor base from 1978 to 1989. The North American vendors' share of the semiconductor market in Europe has been declining, while the Japanese vendors' share is rising year on year. The European vendors maintained a steady market share in their own home territory until 1987, but they too are beginning to lose their grip. This is in part due to the fact that, with the exception of Siemens, the European vendors (Philips, SGS-Thomson, plus the next sixteen largest) have no significant DRAM revenue. Since 1986 we have also seen Korean, and now Taiwanese, companies beginning to make an impact on the competitive scene in Europe. Figure 2 shows the worldwide semiconductor market share by vendor base for the same period. It was a watershed year in 1989 in the European semiconductor market. Philips, which has held number 1 position over the past decade, was almost toppled by Siemens. Contrary to popular belief, Siemens' growth did not come from DRAMs alone; high growth also occurred in its MOS logic, analog and discrete sales. Siemens rose from position 5 to position 2 and hence displaced SGS-Thomson, Motorola, and Texas Instruments into third, fourth and fifth places respectively. Another fundamental change was the brand new entry in the top 10 of Hitachi. Yet again the contributory factors behind this growth are DRAMs in part, but also the fact that the Japanese have been diversifying away from memory products. NEC managed to regain its position over Toshiba in Europe, this time due to declining prices of DRAMs which affected Toshiba more than NEC. In integrated circuits, the most spectacular result is that Siemens in 1989 moved up seven positions to become Europe's number 1 integrated circuit vendor, displacing Philips into second position. Texas Instruments was the third largest IC supplier, followed by SGS-Thomson. The rest of the vendor positioning remained the same, all falling by one position due to displacement by Siemens. The exceptions were Toshiba and AMD, which held their ninth and tenth positions in the IC rankings. With an average market growth of 17 percent the only other rising star was SGS-Thomson with 18.4 percent growth; this, however, was mainly due to its acquisition of Inmos. In bipolar technology both AMD and National Semiconductor moved their position up by one, although Texas Instruments is still the clear leader. In MOS technology, Intel remained in the number 1 slot with its leadership in MOS microprocessors. In MOS memory, Siemens became a clear leader, displacing TI into second position, and Samsung became the fifth largest vendor. In analog ICs, Philips, SGS-Thomson and National Semiconductor remained as the three leading suppliers, followed by Siemens. In discrete there was no change in the top five vendors, with Philips holding the number 1 position followed by Motorola, SGS-Thomson, Siemens and ITT. International Rectifier moved up two positions to number 6. In optoelectronics Hewlett-Packard took over the number 1 slot from Telefunken Electronic, which fell two places to number 3; Siemens remained at number 2. ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June ESIS Volume 3 0006080 g Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates TABLE OF CONTENTS Figure Eiuropean Semiconductor Market Share by Vendor Base Figure Worldwide Semiconductor Market Share by Vendor Base Table 1 European Companies Worldwide Semiconductor Market Share Rankings Table 2 European Semiconductor Market Share Rankings Table 3 European Integrated Circuit Market Share Rankings Table 4 European Bipolar Digital IC Market Share Rankings Table 5 European Bipolar TTL Market Share Rankings Table 6 European Bipolar ECL Market Share Rankings Table 7 European Bipolar Memory Market Share Rankings European Bipolar Logic Circuit Market Share Rankings Table 8 European Bipolar ASIC Market Share Rankings Table 9 European Bipolar Standard Logic Market Share Rankings Table 10 European Bipolar Other Logic Market Share Rankings Table 11 European Digital MOS IC Market Share Rankings Table 12 European NMOS IC Market Share Rankings Table 13 European CMOS IC Market Share Rankings Table 14 European BiCMOS IC Market Share Rankings Table 15 European Other MOS IC Market Share Rankings Table 16 European MOS Memory Market Share Rankings Table 17 European MOS Microcomponent Market Share Rankings Table 18 European MOS Logic Market Share Rankings Table 19 European MOS ASIC Market Share Rankings Table 20 European MOS Standard Logic Market Share Rankings Table 21 European Other MOS Logic Market Share Rankings Table 22 European Total Analog Market Share Rankings Table 23 Eiuropean Monolithic Analog Market Share Rankings Table 24 European Hybrid Analog Market Share Rankings Table 25 European Total Discrete Market Share Rankings Table 26 European Transistor Market Share Rankings Table 27 European Diode Market Share Rankings Table 28 European Thyristor Market Share Rankings Table 29 European Other Discrete Market Share Rankings Table 30 European Optoelectronic Market Share Rankings Table 31 to the Tables Footnotes Page 4 4 5 6 8 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 20 21 23 24 25 26 27 29 30 31 32 34 36 37 39 40 41 42 43 44 Notes to the Tables Colimin 1 shows market share ranking position in 1988 Column 2 shows market share ranking position in 1989 Column 3 shows the change in ranked position between 1988 and 1989 Colimin 4 shows ranked company's name Column 5 shows company's 1988 revenue 6 Column 7 shows company's 1989 revenue Column shows annual growth in revenue in 1989 from 1988 Column 8 shows cumulative market share revenue in 1989 Colimm 9 shows percentage market share of TAM in 1989 Column 10 shows cumulative percentage market share of TAM in 1989 Each of the tables also gives a summary showing the sum of aU revenues split by vendor regional base. This gives a final estimate for the TAM in each featured product category. TAM = Toal Available Market ESIS Volume 3 0006080 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Figure 1 European Semiconductor Market Share by Vendor Base Percent of Market 60 50 40 - 30 ....... ....... ,,.,... 20 - - * • — . .,...>. 10 • " • — " 0 European North American Japanese Asia/PadlkyROW Total Market $M Sum of Percent 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1963 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 45.5 52 ^S 0 2339 100 43.3 53.7 3 0 3,018 100 40.4 55.7 3.9 0 3,686 100 42.2 52.5 5.3 0 3,041 100 40.9 523 6.8 0 3,167 100 40.3 49.6 9.9 0 3,370 100 35.8 51.5 127 0 4,805 100 38.3 50.4 11.3 0 4,720 100 42 45.9 12 0.1 5.532 100 42.7 43.2 13.3 0.8 6,355 100 37.6 43.2 17.3 1.9 8,491 100 36.5 41.3 19.6 2.4 9,755 100 European l^cnh American Japanese Asla/Padfk^OW Source: Dataquest (June 1990) Figure 2 Worldwide Semiconductor Market Share by Vendor Base 1 Percent of Market 60 1 . j-i^i.. 50 40 • - • - - - - - - - • - — 30 ,....-,', ^_. ,., 20 ^ ,...... ... ^..-.. ..•,..^. V+—-..• —*— 10 . 0 1978 European North Ametlcffii Japanese Asla/Padnc^OW Total Market $M +.--.,*•.... 161 5S.3 2a4 0.2 8.963 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 p ¥ 1986 1987 1988 1989 16.1 15.2 129 11.7 11.2 11 126 11.3 11.1 9.7 8.5 57.9 57.2 51.4 51.4 41.5 49 45.4 39 36.5 34.9 48.4 25.8 27.4 35.4 41.7 3S.3 45.9 38.8 39.7 48.2 51 521 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.8 28 3.5 11,106 14,098 14.801 15,231 19,537 28,825 24,341 30,834 38,251 50.859 57.213 European Nortti American Japanese Asla/Padfk^ROW Souice: Dataquest (June 1990) ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June ESIS Volume 3 0006080 i Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 1 1989 European Companies Worldwide Semiconductor Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 Rank 1989 Rank Change in Rank 10 12 20 31 32 62 67 72 79 71 81 143 117 53 92 97 100 101 107 55 10 13 16 30 34 59 64 68 71 73 77 79 82 88 98 100 109 115 116 0 0 (1) 4 1 (2) 3 3 4 8 (2) 4 64 35 (35) (6) (3) (9) (14) (9) Ranked Companies 1988 Sales ($M) 1989 Sales ($M) 1988-89 Annual Growth (Percent) 1989 Market Share (Percent) Philips SGS-Thomson Siemens Telefiinken Electronic Plessey Semiconductors Semikron Matra MHS MEDL Austria Mikro Systeme Ericsson Components Mietec ABB-IXYS TMS ABB-HAFO EurosU Electronic Fagor Electrotecnica TAG STC Components European Silicon Structures Inmos 1,738 1,087 784 289 284 91 71 51 44 52 42 0 0 113 29 27 23 22 13 110 1,716 1,301 1,194 299 240 95 85 60 56 54 52 50 45 37 30 29 22 19 18 0 (1) 20 52 3 (15) 4 20 18 27 4 24 NA NA (67) 3 7 (4) (14) 38 (100) 3.0 2.3 2.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 NA = Not Applicable Souice: Dataquest (June 1990) ESIS Volume 3 0006080 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 2 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank 1 5 2 4 3 6 8 7 9 12 10 11 13 16 20 17 41 14 25 19 27 22 26 21 23 64 28 24 36 30 39 32 34 31 NA 29 NA 35 40 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 Change in Rank 0 3 (1) 0 (2) 0 1 (1) 0 2 (1) (1) 0 2 5 1 24 (4) 6 (1) 6 0 3 (3) (2) 38 1 (4) 7 0 8 0 1 (3) (7) (3) 1 Ranked Companies Philips Siemens SGS-Thomson* Motorola Texas Instruments Intel NEC Toshiba National Semiconductor Hitachi AMD m Telefunken Electronic Samsung Mitsubishi Fujitsu Harris* Plessey Semiconductors* Hewlett-Packard Analog Devices Matsushita (Panasonic) LSI Logic Matra MHS* International Rectifier Oki Electric Micron Technology* Austria Mikro Systeme Semikron VLSI Technology Mietec NMB* Marconi Electronic Devices Ericsson Components Siliconix ABB-DCYS* Burr-Brown TMS* IDT Powerex 1988-89 Annual 1988 1989 Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) 1,018 569 652 616 647 485 387 390 386 246 277 246 217 140 87 135 28 198 53 96 46 60 52 66 58 2 44 56 36 42 30 41 40 41 43 39 28 964 937 751 658 648 530 429 423 381 291 287 250 215 201 201 198 145 138 96 95 95 73 73 71 69 60 56 55 55 52 51 45 42 41 40 39 38 36 33 (5.3) 64.7 15.2 6.8 0.2 9.3 10.9 8.5 (L3) 18.3 3.6 1.6 (0.9) 43.6 131.0 46.7 417.9 (30.3) 81.1 (1.0) 106.5 21.7 40.4 7.6 19.0 2,900.0 27.3 (L8) 52.8 23.8 70.0 9.8 5.0 0.0 (9.3) (7.7) 17.9 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Cum. Market Sum Sum Share ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 964 1,901 2,652 3310 3,958 4,488 4,917 5,340 5,721 6,012 6,299 6,549 6,764 6,965 7,166 7,364 7,509 7,647 7,743 7,838 7,933 8,006 8,079 8,150 8,219 8,279 8,335 8,390 8,445 8,497 8,548 8,593 8,635 8,676 8,716 8,755 8,793 8,829 8,862 9.9 9.6 7.7 6.7 6.6 5.4 4.4 4.3 3.9 3.0 2.9 2.6 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.5 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 9.9 19.5 27.2 33.9 40.6 46.0 50.4 54.7 58.6 61.6 64.6 67.1 69.3 71.4 73.5 75.5 77.0 78.4 79.4 80.3 81.3 82.1 82.8 83.5 84.3 84.9 85.4 86.0 86.6 87.1 87.6 88.1 88.5 88.9 89.3 89.7 90.1 90.5 90.8 (CcMitinued) ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited Jime ESIS Volume 3 0006080 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 2 (Continued) 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank 50 37 61 18 44 38 59 52 43 55 42 54 47 51 60 45 49 48 53 57 58 63 46 15 33 56 62 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 NA NA NA NA Change in Rank 10 (4) 19 (25) 0 (7) 13 5 (5) 6 (8) 3 (5) (2) 6 (10) (7) (9) (5) (2) (2) 2 (16) Ranked Companies 1988-89 Annual 1988 1989 Growth Sales Sales ($M) ($M) (Percent) General Instrument Sprague* Sony* ABB-HAFO* Cypress* Precision Monolithics Sharp* Western Digital Fagor Electrotecnica Rohm Electronics* STC Components Unitrode* TAG AT&T* European Silicon Structures Zilog Rockwell* Sanyo* Raytheon* Mitel Semiconductor* Eurosil Electronic Goldstar Seiko Epson GE Sohd State* Inmos* Honeywell Solid State* TRW* 18 32 9 100 21 30 12 17 21 16 21 16 18 18 12 19 18 18 17 14 13 4 19 141 40 15 8 33 32 31 30 30 29 27 23 22 22 19 19 17 17 17 16 16 15 14 14 14 9 8 83.3 0.0 244.4 (70.0) 42.9 (3.3) 125.0 35.3 4.8 37.5 (9.5) 18.8 (5.6) (5.6) 41.7 (15.8) (11.1) (16.7) (17.6) 0.0 7.7 125.0 (57.9) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 8,895 8,927 8,958 8,988 9,018 9,047 9.074 9,097 9,119 9,141 9,160 9,179 9,196 9,213 9,230 9,246 9,262 9.277 9,291 9,305 9,319 9,328 9,336 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 91.2 91.5 91.8 92.1 92.4 92.7 93.0 93.3 93.5 93.7 93.9 94.1 94.3 94.4 94.6 94.8 94.9 95.1 95.2 95.4 95.5 95.6 95.7 European Others North American Others Japanese Others Rest of World Others 42 131 13 21 37 291 64 27 (11.9) 122.1 392.3 28.6 9,373 9,664 9,728 9,755 0.4 3.0 0.7 0.3 96.1 99.1 99.7 100.0 8.491 3,196 3,664 1,466 165 9,755 3,562 4,032 1,924 237 14.9 11.5 10.0 31.2 43.6 Total Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese Rest of World * See Footnotes (page 44) NA = Not Applicable Source: Dalaquest (June 1990) ESIS Volume (XX)6080 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Market Cum. Share Sum Sum ($M) (Percent) (Percent) ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June 100.0 36.5 41.3 19.7 2.4 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 3 1989 E u r o p e a n Integrated Circuit M a r k e t S h a r e Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank Change in Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 7 (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) 0 0 0 2 6 1 (2) (4) 17 (1) (1) 0 1 8 (2) 32 (2) 3 (2) 5 (2) (6) (3) 5 19 8 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 9 10 11 14 19 15 13 12 34 17 18 20 22 30 21 56 23 29 25 33 27 24 28 37 52 NA 32 36 31 43 51 (3) 0 (6) 5 12 Ranked Companies Siemens Philips Texas Instruments SGS-Thomson Intel Motorola NEC National Semiconductor Toshiba AMD Hitachi Samsung Mitsubishi Fujitsu m Plessey Semiconductors Harris Analog Devices Telefunken Electronic LSI Logic Matra MHS Matsushita (Panasonic) Oki Electric Micron Technology Austria Mikro Systeme VLSI Technology Mietec NMB Ericsson Components Burr-Brown IDT Cypress Sony TMS Precision Monolithics Marconi Electronic Devices Sprague Westem Digital Sharp 1988-89 1988 1989 Annual Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) 373 683 602 485 485 415 381 381 321 277 233 139 79 135 143 160 28 96 86 60 52 31 57 2 44 36 42 30 40 43 39 21 9 30 23 30 17 11 707 649 610 574 530 460 410 376 358 287 278 198 181 170 145 138 117 95 82 73 73 72 69 60 56 55 52 51 42 39 36 30 30 30 29 28 25 23 23 89.5 (5.0) 1.3 18.4 9.3 10.8 7.6 (1.3) 11.5 3.6 19.3 42.4 129.1 25.9 1.4 (13.8) 317.9 (1.0) (4.7) 21.7 40.4 132.3 21.1 2,900.0 27.3 52.8 23.8 70.0 5.0 (9.3) (7.7) 42.9 233.3 (3.3) 21.7 (16.7) 35.3 109.1 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Market Cum. Sum Share Sum ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 707 1,356 1,966 2,540 3,070 3,530 3,940 4,316 4,674 4,961 5,239 5,437 5,618 5,788 5,933 6,071 6,188 6,283 6,365 6,438 6,511 6,583 6,652 6,712 6,768 6,823 6,875 6,926 6,968 7,007 7,043 7,073 7,103 7,133 7,162 7,190 7,215 7,238 7,261 9.1 8.3 7.8 7.4 6.8 5.9 5.3 4.8 4.6 3.7 3.6 2.5 2.3 2.2 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 9.1 17.4 25.2 32.6 39.4 45.3 50.6 55.4 60.0 63.7 67.2 69.8 72.1 74.3 76.1 77.9 79.4 80.6 81.7 82.6 83.5 84.5 85.3 86.1 86.8 87.5 88.2 88.9 89.4 89.9 90.4 90.7 91.1 91.5 91.9 92.3 92.6 92.9 93.2 (Continued) ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June ESIS Volume 3 0006080 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 3 (Continued) 1989 European Integrated Circuit Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank ) 35 38 50 39 42 41 44 48 49 45 46 55 40 53 54 NA 16 26 47 Change in Rank 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 NA NA NA (5) (3) 8 (4) (2) (4) (2) 1 1 (4) (4) 4 (12) 0 0 Ranked Companies 1988-89 1988 1989 Annual Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) 25 20 12 19 18 18 17 14 13 16 15 4 19 6 6 21 17 17 16 16 16 14 14 14 13 9 9 8 8 8 1 (16.0) (15.0) 41.7 (15.8) (11.1) (11.1) (17.6) 0.0 7.7 (18.8) (40.0) 125.0 (57.9) 33.3 33.3 ABB-HAFO STC Components European Silicon Structures Zilog Rockwell Siliconix AT&T Mitel Semiconductor Eurosil Electronic Raytheon Sanyo Goldstar Seiko Epson Unitrode Rohm Electronics Intemational Rectifier GE SoUd State Inmos Honeywell Solid State 1(^ 40 15 European Others North American Others Japanese Others Rest of World Others 28 116 6 17 23 237 47 25 (17.9) 104.3 683.3 47.1 6,669 2,126 3,050 1,333 160 7,794 2,523 3,325 1,714 232 16.9 18.7 9.0 28.6 45.0 Total Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese Rest of World 0006080 7,282 7,299 7,316 7,332 7,348 7,364 7,378 7.392 7,406 7.419 7,428 7,437 7,445 7,453 7,461 7,462 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 93.4 93.6 93.9 94.1 94.3 94.5 94.7 94.8 95.0 95.2 95.3 95.4 95.5 95.6 95.7 95.7 7,485 7,722 7,769 7,794 0.3 3.0 0.6 0.3 96.0 99.1 99.7 100.0 (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) NA = N<« Applicable Source: Dataquest (June 1990) ESIS Volume 3 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Market Cum. Sum Share Sum ($M) (Percent) (Percent) ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June 100.0 32.4 42.7 22.0 3.0 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 4 1989 European Bipolar Digital IC Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank 1 3 4 2 5 7 6 14 9 15 12 NA 8 10 13 17 19 NA 18 11 16 Change in Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 NA NA 0 1 1 (2) 0 1 (1) 6 0 5 1 (5) (4) (2) 1 2 (1) Ranked Companies 1988-89 1988 1989 Annual Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) 142 97 79 66 66 51 48 28 13 8 7 7 5 4 4 2 2 2 1 Texas Instruments AMD National SenMconductor Philips Plessey Semiconductors Siemens Motorola NEC Fujitsu Hitachi Raytheon Mitsubishi Telefunken Electronic SGS-Thomson STC Components Toshiba Goldstar AT&T Matsushita (Panasonic) Intel Honeywell Solid State 189 112 110 117 60 28 55 6 12 6 9 European Others North American Others 8 1 4 4 (50.0) 300.0 772 250 491 30 1 640 200 379 59 2 (17.1) (20.0) (22.8) 96.7 100.0 Total Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese Rest of World 19 11 7 3 1 3 10 5 (24.9) (13.4) (28.2) (43.6) 10.0 82.1 (12.7) 366.7 8.3 33.3 (22.2) (73.7) (63.6) (42.9) (33.3) 100.0 (66.7) (100.0) (100.0) 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Market Cum. Sum Share Sum ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 142 239 318 384 450 501 549 577 590 598 605 612 617 621 625 627 629 631 632 22.2 15.2 12.3 10.3 10.3 8.0 7.5 4.4 2.0 1.3 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 22.2 37.3 49.7 60.0 70.3 78.3 85.8 90.2 92.2 93.4 94.5 95.6 96.4 97.0 97.7 98.0 98.3 98.6 98.8 636 640 0.6 0.6 99.4 100.0 100.0 31.3 59.2 9.2 0.3 NA = Not ^ppUcaUe Source: Dataquest (Jun 1990) 10 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June ESIS Volume 3 0006080 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 5 1989 European Bipolar TTL Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank 1 2 4 3 10 5 13 14 11 NA 9 12 6 7 16 NA 15 NA 8 Change in Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 NA 0 0 1 (1) 5 (1) 6 6 2 (2) 0 (7) (7) 1 (2) Ranked Companies 1988-89 Annual 1988 1989 Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) 142 85 62 58 47 24 24 14 7 7 6 6 5 4 2 2 1 1 Texas Instruments AMD National Semiconductor Philips Plessey Semiconductors Motorola NEC Siemens Hitachi Mitsubishi Raytheon Fujitsu Telefunken Electronic SGS-Thomson Goldstar AT&T Matsushita (Panasonic) Toshiba Intel 189 111 95 105 7 38 5 4 6 European Others North American Others 5 1 3 1 (40.0) 0.0 624 151 452 20 1 501 131 322 46 2 (19.7) (13.2) (28.8) 130.0 100.0 Total Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese Rest of World 8 6 19 11 1 3 (24.9) (23.4) (34.7) (44.8) 571.4 (36.8) 380.0 250.0 16.7 (25.0) 0.0 (73.7) (63.6) 100.0 (66.7) 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Cum. Market Sum Share Sum ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 142 227 289 347 394 418 442 456 463 470 476 482 487 491 493 495 496 497 28.3 17.0 12.4 11.6 9.4 4.8 4.8 2.8 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 28.3 45.3 57.7 69.3 78.6 83.4 88.2 91.0 92.4 93.8 95.0 96.2 97.2 98.0 98.4 98.8 99.0 99.2 500 501 0.6 0.2 99.8 100.0 (100.0) 10 100.0 26.1 64.3 9.2 0.4 NA = Not Api^cable Source: Dataquest (June 1990) ESIS Volume 0006080 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June 11 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 6 1989 European Bipolar ECL Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank Change in Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 NA 1 1 (2) 0 7 (1) 0 (2) 2 (1) (1) 2 3 1 4 12 5 7 6 11 9 10 NA 8 Ranked Companies 1988-89 Annual 1988 1989 Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) 24 17 53 15 1 12 6 7 1 3 1 European Others North American Others 3 1 3 (66.7) 148 99 39 10 139 69 57 13 (6.1) (30.3) 46.2 30.0 Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese 37 24 19 17 12 8 7 4 4 1 1 1 54.2 41.2 (64.2) 13.3 1,100.0 (33.3) 16.7 (42.9) 300.0 (66.7) 0.0 Siemens Motorola Plessey Semiconductors National Semiconductor AMD Philips Fujitsu STC Components NEC Toshiba Raytheon Hitachi Honeywell Solid State 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Cum. Market Share Sum Sum ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 37 61 80 97 109 117 124 128 132 133 134 135 26.6 17.3 13.7 12.2 8.6 5.8 5.0 2.9 2.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 26.6 43.9 57.6 69.8 78.4 84.2 89.2 92.1 95.0 95.7 96.4 97.1 136 139 0.7 2.2 97.8 100.0 (100.0) 5 100.0 49.6 41.0 9.4 NA = Not Applicable Source: Dataquest (Juiu; 1990) 12 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June ESIS Volume 3 0006080 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 7 1989 European Bipolar Memory Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank 1 3 2 4 6 8 7 5 9 Change in Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 NA NA 0 1 (1) 0 1 2 0 Ranked Companies AMD National Semiconductor Philips Fujitsu NEC Hitachi Raytheon Texas Instraments Motorola European Others Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese 1988-89 Annual 1988 1989 Growth Sales Sales ($M) ($M) (Percent) 29 10 14 7 3 2 2 5 1 27 15 12 7 7 3 1 27 42 54 61 68 71 72 37.5 20.8 16.7 9.7 9.7 4.2 1.4 37.5 58.3 75.0 84.7 94.4 98.6 100.0 (100.0) 1 74 15 47 12 (6.9) 50.0 (14.3) 0.0 133.3 50.0 (50.0) (100.0) (100.0) 19«9 1989 1989 Cum. Cum. Market Sum Share Sum ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 72 12 43 17 (2.7) (20.0) (8.5) 41.7 100.0 16.7 59.7 23.6 NA = Not Applicable Source: Dataquest (June 1990) ESIS Volume 3 0006080 ©1990 Dataquest Eiu-ope Limited June 13 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 8 1989 European Bipolar Logic Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank Change in Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 NA NA 0 2 2 (1) (3) 1 (1) 9 1 4 5 3 2 7 6 17 NA 12 14 8 15 9 11 16 19 NA 18 10 13 2 3 (4) 2 (5) (4) 0 2 (1) Ranked Companies 1988-89 1988 1989 Annual Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) Texas Instruments AMD Plessey Semiconductors National Semiconductor Philips Siemens Motorola NEC Mitsubishi Raytheon Fujitsu Telefunken Electronic Hitachi SGS-Thomson STC Components Toshiba Goldstar AT&T Matsushita (Panasonic) Intel Honeywell SoUd State 184 83 60 100 103 28 54 3 European Others North American Others 7 1 4 4 (42.9) 300.0 698 235 444 18 1 568 188 336 42 2 (18.6) (20.0) (24.3) 133.3 100.0 Total Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese Rest of World 7 5 19 4 11 7 3 1 3 10 5 142 70 66 64 54 51 48 21 7 6 6 5 5 4 4 2 2 2 1 (22.8) (15.7) 10.0 (36.0) (47.6) 82.1 (11.1) 600.0 (14.3) 20.0 (73.7) 25.0 (63.6) (42.9) (33.3) 100.0 (66.7) (100.0) (100.0) 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Cum. Market Sum Sum Share ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 142 212 278 342 396 447 495 516 523 529 535 540 545 549 553 555 557 559 560 25.0 12.3 11.6 11.3 9.5 9.0 8.5 3.7 1.2 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 25.0 37.3 48.9 60.2 69.7 78.7 87.1 90.8 92.1 93.1 94.2 95.1 96.0 96.7 97.4 97.7 98.1 98.4 98.6 564 568 0.7 0.7 99.3 100.0 100.0 33.1 59.2 7.4 0.4 NA = Not Applicable Source: Dataquest (June 1990) 14 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June ESIS Volume 3 0006080 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 9 1989 European Bipolar ASIC Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 [lank Rank 2 3 1 NA 10 4 7 5 9 6 12 8 13 NA NA NA 11 14 Change in Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NA NA 1 1 (2) 5 (2) 0 (3) 0 (4) 1 (4) 0 Ranked Companies 1988-89 1988 1989 Annual Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) 54 51 49 20 15 14 12 11 6 5 5 4 2 2 2 1 25.6 82.1 (12.5) Plessey Semiconductors Siemens AMD NEC Motorola Philips Texas Instruments National Semiconductor Raytheon Telefunken Electronic Fujitsu STC Components Toshiba Mitsubishi AT&T Hitachi Honeywell Solid State SGS-Thomson 43 28 56 European Others North American Others 4 3 4 0.0 260 241 126 108 7 260 132 98 30 7.9 4.8 (9.3) 328.6 Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese 5 24 15 20 7 19 4 7 3 200.0 (41.7) (20.0) (45.0) (14.3) (73.7) 25.0 (42.9) (33.3) 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Market Cum. Sum Share Sum ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 54 105 154 174 189 203 215 226 232 237 242 246 248 250 252 253 20.8 19.6 18.8 7.7 5.8 5.4 4.6 4.2 2.3 1.9 1.9 1.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.4 20.8 40.4 59.2 66.9 72.7 78.1 82.7 86.9 89.2 91.2 93.1 94.6 95.4 96.2 96.9 97.3 257 1.2 1.5 100.0 98.8 (100.0) (100.0) 5 1 100.0 50.8 37.7 11.5 NA = Not Applicable Source: Dataquest (June 1990) ESIS Volume 3 0006080 ©1990 Dataquest Eiuope Limited June 15 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 10 1989 European Bipolar Standard Logic Marliet Share Ranltings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 NA 11 7 9 10 12 Change in Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 (3) (2) (2) (1) Ranked Companies Texas Instruments Nationd Semiconductor Philips Motorola AMD SGS-Thomson Hitachi Mitsubishi Goldstar Plessey Semiconductors NEC Matsushita (Panasonic) Fujitsu European Others Total Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese Rest of World 1988-89 Annual 1988 1989 Growth Sales Sales ($M) ($M) (Percent) 169 76 52 49 17 10 4 1 6 3 3 1 130 53 37 33 11 4 4 4 2 1 1 1 1 3 394 71 311 11 1 (23.1) (30.3) (28.8) (32.7) (35.3) (60.0) 0.0 100.0 (83.3) (66.7) (66.7) 0.0 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Cum. Market Sum Sum Share ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 130 183 220 253 264 268 272 276 278 279 280 281 282 46.1 18.8 13.1 11.7 3.9 1.4 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 46.1 64.9 78.0 89.7 93.6 95.0 96.5 97.9 98.6 98.9 99.3 99.6 100.0 (100.0) 282 42 227 11 2 (28.4) (40.8) (27.0) 0.0 100.0 100.0 14.9 80.5 3.9 0.7 NA = Not A{q)licable Source: Dataquest (JuiK! 1990) 16 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited Jime ESIS Volume 3 0006080 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 11 1989 European Bipolar Other Logic Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Change Rank Rank in Rank 2 4 1 NA 3 5 1 2 3 4 NA NA 1 2 (2) Ranked Companies 1988-89 1988 1989 Annual Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) Plessey Semiconductors AMD Philips Mitsubishi Intel National Semiconductor 11 10 27 North American Others 1 1 0.0 63 38 25 26 14 11 1 (58.7) (63.2) (56.0) Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese 11 10 3 1 10 4 0.0 0.0 (88.9) 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Market Cum. Sum Share Sum ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 11 21 24 25 42.3 38.5 11.5 3.8 42.3 80.8 92.3 96.2 26 3.8 100.0 (100.0) (100.0) 100.0 53.8 42.3 3.8 NA = Not Applicable Souice: Dataquest (Jvme 1990) ESIS Volume 0006080 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June 17 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 12 1989 European Digital MOS IC Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 ^ank Rank 1 8 2 3 6 4 7 5 9 11 10 15 13 12 14 17 19 42 18 29 49 25 20 21 26 23 24 30 28 46 34 40 NA 27 39 31 35 37 36 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 Change in Rank 0 6 (1) (1) 1 (2) 0 (3) 0 1 (1) 3 0 (2) (1) 1 2 24 (1) 9 28 3 (3) (3) 1 (3) (3) 2 (1) 16 3 8 (7) 4 (5) (2) (1) (3) Ranked Companies Intel Siemens NEC Texas Instruments SGS-Thomson Toshiba Motorola Philips Hitachi Samsung AMD Mitsubishi Fujitsu National Semiconductor ITT LSI Logic Matra MHS Harris Oki Electric Matsushita (Panasonic) Micron Technology VLSI Technology Plessey Semiconductors Mietec NMB Austria Mikro Systeme DDT Cypress Marconi Electronic Devices Sony Westem Digital Shaq) TMS ABB-HAFO European Silicon Structures Zilog Telefunken Electronic Eurosil Electronic AT&T 1988-89 Annual 1988 1989 Growth Sales Sales ($M) ($M) (Percent) 475 243 372 308 264 301 255 285 221 137 148 79 123 131 102 60 52 10 57 22 2 36 51 42 30 40 39 21 23 5 17 11 25 12 19 15 13 15 530 522 378 368 344 334 313 267 264 188 168 153 148 137 118 73 73 70 69 67 60 55 54 52 51 47 36 30 26 26 23 23 23 21 17 16 15 14 12 11.6 114.8 1.6 19.5 30.3 11.0 22.7 (6.3) 19.5 37.2 13.5 93.7 20.3 4.6 15.7 21.7 40.4 600.0 21.1 204.5 2,900.0 52.8 5.9 23.8 70.0 17.5 (7.7) 42.9 13.0 420.0 35.3 109.1 (16.0) 41.7 (15.8) 0.0 7.7 (20.0) 1989 1989 1989 Market Cum. Cum. Sum Sum Share ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 530 1,052 1,430 1,798 2,142 2,476 2,789 3,056 3,320 3,508 3,676 3,829 3,977 4,114 4,232 4,305 4,378 4,448 4.517 4,584 4,644 4,699 4,753 4,805 4,856 4,903 4,939 4,969 4,995 5,021 5,044 5,067 5,090 5,111 5,128 5,144 5,159 5,173 5,185 9.7 9.6 6.9 6.7 6.3 6.1 5.7 4.9 4.8 3.4 3.1 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 9.7 19.3 26.2 32.9 39.2 45.4 51.1 56.0 60.8 64.3 67.4 70.2 72.9 75.4 77.5 78.9 80.2 81.5 82.8 84.0 85.1 86.1 87.1 88.0 89.0 89.8 90.5 91.0 91.5 92.0 92.4 92.8 93.3 93.6 94.0 94.2 94.5 94.8 95.0 (Continued) 18 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June ESIS Volume 3 0006080 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 12 (Continued) 1989 European Digital MOS IC Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank 33 43 47 32 44 45 48 38 16 22 41 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 NA NA NA Change in Rank (7) 2 5 (11) 0 0 2 (9) Ranked Companies 1988-89 Annual 1988 1989 Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Market Cum. Sum Sum Share ($M) (Percent) (Percent) Rockwell STC Components Sprague Seiko Epson Ericsson Components Analog Devices Goldstar Sanyo GE SoUd State Inmos Honeywell Solid State 18 9 3 18 6 6 3 12 73 40 10 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 4 (50.0) (11.1) 166.7 (61.1) 16.7 0.0 100.0 (66.7) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 5,194 5,202 5,210 5,217 5,224 5,230 5,236 5.240 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 95.2 95.3 95.5 95.6 95.7 95.8 95.9 96.0 European Others North American Others Japanese Others Rest of World Others 18 66 4 17 17 136 40 25 (5.6) 106.1 900.0 47.1 5,257 5,393 5,433 5,458 0.3 2.5 0.7 0.5 96.3 98.8 99.5 100.0 4,364 1,138 1,814 1,255 157 5,458 1,507 2,168 1,564 219 25.1 32.4 19.5 24.6 39.5 Total Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese Rest of World 100.0 27.6 39.7 28.7 4.0 NA = Not Applicable Source: Dalaquest (June 1990) ESIS Volume 3 0006080 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June 19 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 13 1989 E u r o p e a n N M O S IC Market S h a r e Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank 1 3 2 4 10 6 5 15 7 9 11 12 26 13 8 14 NA 16 18 22 21 20 17 19 23 NA 28 NA 24 25 27 29 Change in Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 NA NA NA NA 0 1 (1) 0 5 0 (2) 7 (2) (1) 0 0 13 (1) (7) (2) (2) (1) 2 0 (2) (6) (5) (2) 1 Ranked Companies Intel Siemens Texas Instruments SGS-Thomson Hitachi NEC AMD Mitsubishi Philips Toshiba Samsung m Micron Technology Fujitsu Motorola National Semiconductor Matsushita (Panasonic) Oki Electric Telefunken Electronic Sharp Austria Mikro Systeme Plessey Semiconductors ZUog Rockwell Mietec TMS STC Components Goldstar Sanyo Matra MHS Inmos Sprague European Others North American Others Japanese Others Rest of World Others Total Total Total Total Total AU Companies European North American Japanese Rest of World 1988-89 1988 1989 Annual Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) 257 177 194 137 73 124 127 26 117 80 62 47 2 44 108 40 22 15 7 8 10 15 11 7 1 282 233 223 152 128 122 100 94 88 87 52 52 52 47 39 30 29 26 15 15 11 10 9 9 7 5 2 2 9.7 31.6 14.9 10.9 75.3 (1.6) (21.3) 261.5 (24.8) 8.8 (16.1) 10.6 2,500.0 6.8 (63.9) (25.0) 18.2 0.0 114.3 37.5 0.0 (40.0) (18.2) 0.0 100.0 282 515 738 890 1,018 1,140 1,240 1,334 1,422 1,509 1,561 1,613 1,665 1,712 1,751 1,781 1,810 1,836 1,851 1,866 1,877 1,887 1,896 1,905 1,912 1,917 1,919 1,921 14.2 11.7 11.2 7.7 6.5 6.2 5.0 4.7 4.4 4.4 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 14.2 26.0 37.2 44.9 51.3 57.5 62.5 67.3 71.7 76.1 78.7 81.3 84.0 86.3 88.3 89.8 91.3 92.6 93.3 94.1 94.7 95.2 95.6 96.1 96.4 96.7 96.8 96.9 1,927 1,965 1,983 0.3 1.9 0.9 97.2 99.1 100.0 (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 5 3 2 1 6 38 18 0.0 40.7 1,700.0 (100.0) 1,759 1,983 529 483 834 829 382 566 65 54 12.7 9.5 0.6 48.2 (16.9) 6 27 1 3 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Market Cum. Sum Share Sum ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 100.0 26.7 42.1 28.5 2.7 NA =: Not Applicable Source: Dataquest (June 1990) 20 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June ESIS Volume 3 0006080 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 14 1989 European CMOS IC Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 llank Rank 13 5 1 3 2 6 4 7 11 8 9 10 16 14 37 29 17 15 21 24 18 22 27 19 23 28 26 43 31 32 25 NA 35 34 33 45 NA 30 41 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 Change in Rank 12 3 (2) (1) (3) 0 (3) (1) 2 (2) (2) (2) 3 0 22 13 0 (3) 2 4 (3) 0 4 (5) (2) 2 (1) 15 2 2 (6) 2 0 (2) 9 (8) 2 Ranked Companies Siemens Motorola NEC Intel Toshiba SGS-Thomson Philips Texas Instruments Samsung Hitachi National Semiconductor Fujitsu Matra MHS LSI Logic Harris AMD ITT Mitsubishi VLSI Technology NMB Plessey Semiconductors Oki Electric Matsushita (Panasonic) IDT Austria Mikro Systeme Cypress Marconi Electronic Devices Sony Western Digital Mietec ABB-HAFO TMS European Silicon Structures EurosU Electronic AT&T Sharp Micron Technology Seiko Epson Ericsson Components 1988-89 Annual 1988 1989 Growth Sales Sales ($M) ($M) (Percent) 65 147 230 218 221 127 168 108 73 99 90 79 49 59 10 21 48 53 36 30 40 35 22 39 32 21 23 5 17 17 25 12 13 15 4 18 6 289 274 256 248 246 184 179 142 136 135 103 98 73 72 70 68 63 59 55 51 44 43 38 36 36 30 26 26 23 22 21 18 17 14 12 8 8 7 7 344.6 86.4 11.3 13.8 11.3 44.9 6.5 31.5 86.3 36.4 14.4 24.1 49.0 22.0 600.0 223.8 31.3 11.3 52.8 70.0 10.0 22.9 72.7 (7.7) 12.5 42.9 13.0 420.0 35.3 29.4 (16.0) 41.7 7.7 (20.0) 100.0 (61.1) 16.7 1989 1989 1989 Market Cum. Cum. Sum Share Sum ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 289 563 819 1,067 1,313 1,497 1,676 1,818 1,954 2,089 2,192 2,290 2,363 2,435 2,505 2,573 2,636 2,695 2,750 2,801 2,845 2,888 2,926 2,962 2,998 3,028 3,054 3,080 3,103 3,125 3,146 3,164 3,181 3,195 3,207 3,215 3,223 3,230 3,237 8.5 8.0 7.5 7.3 7.2 5.4 5.2 4.2 4.0 4.0 3.0 2.9 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 8.5 16.5 24.0 31.3 38.5 43.9 49.1 53.3 57.3 61.2 64.2 67.1 69.3 71.4 73.4 75.4 77.3 79.0 80.6 82.1 83.4 84.6 85.8 86.8 87.9 88.7 89.5 90.3 90.9 91.6 92.2 92.7 93.2 93.6 94.0 94.2 94.5 94.7 94.9 (Continued) ESIS Volume 3 0006080 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June 21 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 14 1989 European CMOS IC Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) (Continued) 1988 1989 Rank Rank 44 42 38 46 39 12 20 36 40 47 Change in Rank 40 41 42 43 44 NA NA NA NA NA 4 1 (4) 3 (5) Ranked Companies 1988-89 Annual 1988 1989 Growth Sales Sales ($M) ($M) (Percent) 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Market Cum. Sum Sum Share ($M) (Percent) (Percent) Zilog Analog Devices Sanyo Goldstar STC Components GE Solid State lomos Honeywell Solid State Rockwell Sprague 4 6 7 3 6 66 38 10 6 2 7 6 4 4 3 75.0 0.0 (42.9) 33.3 (50.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 3,244 3,250 3,254 3,258 3,261 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 95.1 95.3 95.4 95.5 95.6 European Others North American Others Japanese Others Rest of World Others 12 39 3 14 11 93 22 25 (8.3) 138.5 633.3 78.6 3,272 3,365 3,387 3,412 0.3 2.7 0.6 0.7 95.9 98.6 99.3 100.0 2,491 3,412 944 633 962 1,310 993 806 165 90 37.0 49.1 36.2 23.2 83.3 Total Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese Rest of World 100.0 27.7 38.4 29.1 4.8 NA = Not Applicable Source; Dataquest (Jmu; 1990) 22 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June ESIS Volume 3 0006080 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 15 1989 European BiCMOS IC Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank 2 NA NA 7 5 6 NA 3 8 NA 1 4 Change in Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 NA NA 1 3 0 0 (5) (1) Ranked Companies Mietec SGS-Thomson Sprague National Semiconductor Texas Instraments STC Components Fujitsu Hitachi LSI Logic Toshiba NEC GE Solid State 1988-89 1988 1989 Annual Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) 18 1 2 2 7 1 18 7 North American Others Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese 23 8 8 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 27.8 300.0 50.0 50.0 (85.7) 0.0 23 31 39 43 46 49 52 53 54 55 38.3 13.3 13.3 6.7 5.0 5.0 5.0 1.7 1.7 1.7 38.3 51.7 65.0 71.7 76.7 81.7 86.7 88.3 90.0 91.7 60 8.3 100.0 (100.0) (100.0) •5 56 20 11 25 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Market Cum. Sum Share Sum ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 60 34 21 5 7.1 70.0 90.9 (80.0) 100.0 56.7 35.0 8.3 NA = Not Applicable Source: Dalaquest (June 1990) ESIS Volume 0006080 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June 23 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 16 1989 European Other MOS IC Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank 2 1 3 4 5 6 7 Change in Rank 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA 1 Ranked Companies 1988-89 Annual 1988 1989 Growth Sales Sales ($M) ($M) (Percent) 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Market Cum. Sum Share Sum ($M) (Percent) (Percent) ITT Hitachi Texas Instruments Samsung Siemens Rockwell Plessey Semiconductors 7 42 4 2 1 1 1 3 (57.1) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 100.0 Total Total Total Total Total 58 2 12 42 2 3 (94.8) (100.0) (75.0) (100.0) (100.0) 100.0 All Companies European North American Japanese Rest of World 3 100.0 100.0 NA = Not Applicable Sowce: Dataquest (June 1990) 24 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June ESIS Volume 3 0006080 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 17 1989 European MOS Memory Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 Rank 1989 Rank Change in Rank 5 3 1 2 6 4 9 7 10 8 11 17 16 29 13 12 14 18 25" 15 23 20 21 NA 32 31 NA 27 26 NA 19 22 24 28 30 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 NA NA NA NA NA 4 1 (2) (2) 1 (2) 2 (1) 1 (2) 0 5 3 15 (2) (4) (3) 0 6 (5) 2 (2) (2) 7 5 (1) (3) Ranked Companies Siemens Texas Instiuments Toshiba NEC Samsung Hitachi SGS-Thomson Fujitsu Mitsubishi Intel AMD Matsushita (Panasonic) Motorola Micron Technology NMB Oki Electric National Semiconductor Matra MHS Sony IDT Sharp Cypress Philips m Goldstar ESIS Volume 3 0006080 1989 Sales ($M) 130 216 228 223 128 138 84 102 71 97 56 22 25 2 30 38 30 20 5 27 10 16 14 338 250 247 232 186 172 129 120 104 102 71 67 60 60 51 48 30 28 26 24 22 21 20 9 4 3 2 1 1 1 19 1 1 1988-89 Annual Growth (Percent) 1989 Cum. Sum ($M) 1989 Market Share (Percent) 1989 Cum. Sum (Percent) 160.0 15.7 8.3 4.0 45.3 24.6 53.6 17.6 46.5 5.2 26.8 204.5 140.0 2,900.0 70.0 26.3 0.0 40.0 420.0 (11.1) 120.0 31.3 42.9 338 588 835 1,067 1,253 1,425 1,554 1,674 1,778 1,880 1,951 2,018 2,078 2,138 2,189 2,237 2,267 2,295 2,321 2,345 2,367 2,388 2,408 2,417 2,421 2,424 2,426 2,427 2,428 2,429 (100.0) 13.3 9.8 9.7 9.1 7.3 6.8 5.1 4.7 4.1 4.0 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.0 1.9 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.3 23.1 32.8 41.9 49.2 55.9 61.0 65.7 69.8 73.8 76.6 79.2 81.6 83.9 85.9 87.8 89.0 90.1 91.1 92.0 92.9 93.7 94.5 94.9 95.0 95.1 95.2 95.3 95.3 95.3 2,490 2,529 2,548 2.4 1.5 0.7 97.7 99.3 100.0 300.0 200.0 Marconi Electronic Devices Plessey Semiconductors Harris VLSI Technology Sanyo Itunos Seiko Epson GE SoUd State Austria Mikro Systeme STC Components 11 8 4 1 European Others North American Others Japanese Others Rest of World Others 2 18 1 11 61 39 19 (100.0) 238.9 3,800.0 72.7 1,797 275 503 879 140 2^48 520 690 1,129 209 41.8 89.1 37.2 28.4 49.3 Total Total Total Total Total NA = Not I \.ppUcable 5ouieei Bala;quest -(Jime 1988 Sales ($M) All Companies European North American Japanese Rest of World 4 4 (75.0) (75.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 100.0 20.4 27.1 44.3 8.2 ^ 1990) ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June 25 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 18 1989 European MOS Microcomponent Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank Change in Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 NA NA 0 0 0 0 0 1 (1) 0 12 (1) 0 (2) 1 10 2 (1) 5 8 (6) 1 2 3 4 5 7 6 8 21 9 11 10 14 24 17 15 22 26 13 NA 20 19 25 NA 31 23 30 NA 18 28 29 27 12 16 (1) (3) 2 6 (3) 3 (11) (2) (2) (5) Ranked Companies Intel Motorola NEC SGS-Thomson Hitachi Siemens Philips Texas Instniments Mitsubishi National Semiconductor Toshiba AMD Western Digital Harris Matra MHS Oki Electric nr VLSI Technology Zilog TMS Fujitsu Rockwell Analog Devices LSI Logic AT&T BDT Cypress Plessey Semiconductors Sanyo Marconi Electronic E>evices EurosU Electronic Sharp Inmos GE Solid State North American Others Rest of World Others Total Total Total Total Total AU Companies European North American Japanese Rest of World 1988 Sales ($M) 1989 Sales ($M) 351 150 109 77 71 51 55 48 8 40 27 33 17 6 14 16 7 5 19 416 179 122 101 75 67 62 60 48 45 35 34 23 21 20 18 18 17 16 11 10 9 6 6 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 9 11 6 1 6 1 12 1 1 1 21 15 1988-89 Annual Growth (Percent) 1989 Cum. Sum ($M) 1989 Market Share (Percent) 1989 Cum. Sum (Percent) 18.5 19.3 11.9 31.2 5.6 31.4 12.7 25.0 500.0 12.5 29.6 3.0 35.3 250.0 42.9 12.5 157.1 240.0 (15.8) 416 595 717 818 893 960 1,022 1,082 1,130 1,175 1,210 1,244 1,267 1,288 1,308 1,326 1,344 1,361 1,377 1,388 1.398 1,407 1,413 1,419 1,423 1,426 1,428 1,430 1.431 1,432 1,433 1,434 28.3 12.2 8.3 6.9 5.1 4.6 4.2 4.1 3.3 3.1 2.4 2.3 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 28.3 40.5 48.8 55.7 60.8 65.4 69.6 73.7 76.9 80.0 82.4 84.7 86.2 87.7 89.0 90.3 91.5 92.6 93.7 94.5 95.2 95.8 96.2 96.6 96.9 97.1 97.2 97.3 97.4 97.5 97.5 97.6 1,465 1,469 2.1 0.3 99.7 100.0 11.1 (18.2) 0.0 300.0 (50.0) 100.0 (91.7) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (100.0) (100.0) 19 4 31 4 63.2 0.0 1,212 220 735 253 4 1,469 265 890 310 4 21.2 20.5 21.1 22.5 0.0 100.0 18.0 60.6 21.1 0.3 NA = Not Applicable Somce: Dataquest (June 1990) 26 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June ESIS Volume 3 0006080 , i Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 19 1989 European MOS Logic Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank 1 5 2 3 4 7 8 6 12 11 13 9 NA 15 16 20 14 19 18 24 26 23 21 25 17 NA 32 22 29 35 30 33 34 36 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 Change in Rank 0 3 (1) (1) (1) 1 1 (2) 3 1 2 (3) 1 1 4 (3) 1 (1) 4 5 1 (2) 1 (8) 5 (6) 0 5 (1) 1 1 2 Ranked Companies Philips Siemens SGS-Thomson rrr Motorola LSI Logic AMD National Semiconductor Texas Instruments Toshiba Mietec Plessey Semiconductors Harris Austria Mikro Systeme VLSI Technology Matra MHS NEC Marconi Electronic Devices ABB-HAFO Fujitsu European Silicon Structures Hitachi Telefimken Electronic Eurosil Electronic Intel TMS IDT AT&T STC Components Sprague Seiko Epson Ericsson Components Cypress Oki Electric 1988-89 1988 1989 Annual Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) 216 62 103 95 80 60 59 61 44 46 42 51 36 27 18 40 21 25 12 12 12 15 12 27 6 14 8 3 7 6 4 3 185 117 114 91 74 67 63 62 58 52 52 50 48 47 37 25 24 22 21 18 17 17 15 13 12 12 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 3 (14.4) 88.7 10.7 (4.2) (7.5) 11.7 6.8 1.6 31.8 13.0 23.8 (2.0) 30.6 37.0 38.9 (40.0) 4.8 (16.0) 50.0 41.7 41.7 0.0 8.3 (55.6) 50.0 (42.9) 0.0 166.7 0.0 16.7 75.0 0.0 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Market Cum. Sum Sum Share ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 185 302 416 507 581 648 711 773 831 883 935 985 1,033 1,080 1,117 1,142 1,166 1,188 1,209 1,227 1,244 1,261 1,276 1,289 1,301 1,313 1,322 1,330 1,338 1,346 1,353 1,360 1,367 1,370 12.8 8.1 7.9 6.3 5.1 4.6 4.4 4.3 4.0 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.3 3.3 2.6 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 12.8 21.0 28.9 35.2 40.3 45.0 49.3 53.6 57.7 61.3 64.9 68.4 71.7 74.9 77.5 79.3 80.9 82.4 83.9 85.1 86.3 87.5 88.5 89.5 90.3 91.1 91.7 92.3 92.9 93.4 93.9 94.4 94.9 95.1 (Continued) ESIS Volume 3 0006080 ©1990 Dataquest Eiu'ope Limited June 27 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 19 1989 European MOS Logic Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) (Continued) 1988 1989 Rank Rank Change in Rank 35 36 37 38 NA NA NA (7) 1 28 37 NA NA 10 27 31 Ranked Companies 1988-89 1988 1989 Annual Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) Samsung Goldstar Sanyo Mitsubishi GE Solid State HcHieywell Solid State Rockwell 50 10 7 European Others North American Others Japanese Others Rest of World Others 16 29 3 2 Total Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese Rest of World 2 2 2 1 9 2 (77.8) 0.0 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Cum. Market Sum Sum Share ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 1,372 1,374 1,376 1,377 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 95.2 95.4 95.5 95.6 1,394 1,438 1,439 1,441 1.2 3.1 0.1 0.1 96.7 99.8 99.9 100.0 (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 17 44 1 2 6.3 51.7 (66.7) 0.0 1,355 1,441 722 643 576 588 123 125 6 13 6.3 12.3 2.1 1.6 (53.8) 100.0 50.1 40.8 8.7 0.4 NA = Not Applicable Source: Dataquest (June 1990) 28 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June ESIS Volume 3 0006080 Pinal 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 20 1989 European MOS ASIC Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 Sank 1989 Rank Change in Rank 1 2 9 3 4 5 7 6 10 11 8 13 12 18 17 15 NA 19 21 14 20 NA 27 22 25 31 26 29 30 28 33 16 32 NA 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 NA NA 0 0 6 (1) (1) (1) 0 (2) 1 1 (3) 1 (1) 4 2 (1) 1 2 (6) (1) 4 (2) 0 5 (1) 1 1 (2) 2 (16) (1) 1988-89 Annual Growth (Percent) 1989 Cum. Sum ($M) 1989 Market Share (Percent) 1989 Cum. Sum (Percent) (4.2) 13.6 96.4 23.8 22.0 40.0 42.4 17.6 48.0 40.0 0.0 4.3 (16.0) 50.0 42.9 35.7 91 158 213 265 315 364 411 451 488 523 553 577 598 619 639 658 677 695 712 727 740 752 763 773 781 789 796 803 810 815 820 824 827 828 10.4 7.6 6.3 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.4 4.6 4.2 4.0 3.4 2.7 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 10.4 18.0 24.3 30.2 35.9 41.5 46.9 51.4 55.6 59.6 63.1 65.8 68.2 70.6 72.9 75.0 77.2 79.2 81.2 82.9 84.4 85.7 87.0 88.1 89.1 90.0 90.8 91.6 92.4 92.9 93.5 94.0 94.3 94.4 838 877 1.1 4.4 95.6 100.0 1988 Sales ($M) 1989 Sales ($M) ITT LSI Logic Siemens Mietec Toshiba Plessey Semiconductors Austria Mikro Systeme SGS-Thomson VLSI Technology Texas Instruments National Semiconductor NEC ABB-HAFO Marcotii Electronic Devices Matra MHS Philips Harris Fujitsu European Silicon Structures Telefunken Electrotiic Eurosil Electronic TMS Hitachi Intel AT&T Sprague Seiko Epson Ericsson Components Cypress STC Components AMD Motorola Oki Electric Goldstar GE Solid State Honeywell Solid State 95 59 28 42 41 35 33 34 25 25 30 23 25 14 14 14 91 67 55 52 50 49 47 40 37 35 30 24 21 21 20 19 19 18 17 15 13 12 11 10 8 8 7 7 7 5 5 4 3 1 European Others North American Others Japanese Others 10 19 1 10 39 0.0 105.3 (100.0) 711 300 317 94 877 403 360 113 1 23.3 34.3 13.6 20.2 Ranked Companies Total Total Total Total Total AU Companies European North American Japanese Rest of Worid 12 12 15 12 7 11 9 3 7 6 4 6 2 14 3 11 10 50.0 41.7 0.0 8.3 57.1 (9.1) (11.1) 166.7 0.0 16.7 75.0 (16.7) 150.0 (71.4) 0.0 (100.0) (100.0) 100.0 46.0 41.0 12.9 0.1 NA = Not Applicable Source: Dataquest (June 1990) ESIS Volume 3 0006080 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June 29 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 21 1989 European MOS Standard Logic Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank 1 2 3 NA 5 6 7 9 11 13 8 10 14 NA 4 12 Change in Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 NA NA 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 (3) (2) 1 Ranked Companies 1988-89 1988 1989 Annual Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) AMD Philips Motorola Harris National Semiconductor Texas histiuments SGS-Thomson IDT Hitachi STC Components Samsung Toshiba Goldstar Mitsubishi GE Solid State AT&T 39 5 European Others North American Others Rest of Worid Others 6 3 2 7 3 2 16.7 0.0 0.0 287 74 190 10 13 263 74 175 9 5 (8.4) 0.0 (7.9) (10.0) (61.5) Total Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese Rest of World 57 48 40 21 19 18 6 5 2 9 5 2 58 46 33 29 22 21 18 9 6 3 2 2 1 1 1.8 (4.2) (17.5) 4.8 10.5 0.0 50.0 20.0 50.0 (77.8) (60.0) (50.0) 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Market Cum. Sum Share Sum ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 58 104 137 166 188 209 227 236 242 245 247 249 250 251 22.1 17.5 12.5 11.0 8.4 8.0 6.8 3.4 2.3 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.4 22.1 39.5 52.1 63.1 71.5 79.5 86.3 89.7 92.0 93.2 93.9 94.7 95.1 95.4 258 261 263 2.7 1.1 0.8 98.1 99.2 100.0 (100.0) (100.0) 100.0 28.1 66.5 3.4 1.9 ' NA = Not Applicable Source: Dataquest (June 1990) 30 ©1990 Dataquest Eiuope Limited June ESIS Volume 3 0006080 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 22 1989 European Other MOS Logic Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank 1 3 2 4 8 11 7 NA NA 6 10 5 9 12 13 14 Change in Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 NA NA NA NA NA 0 1 (1) 0 3 5 0 (4) (1) Ranked Companies Philips Siemens SGS-Thomson Motorola National Semiconductor Matra MHS Intel Sanyo Texas Instruments Plessey Semiconductors Marconi Electronic Devices NEC Rockwell Austria Mikro Systeme VLSI Technology LSI Logic North American Others Japanese Others Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese 1988-89 1988 1989 Annual Growth Sales Sales ($M) ($M) (Percent) 154 34 51 26 10 4 16 16 7 17 7 3 2 1 120 62 56 37 10 5 2 2 2 1 1 (22.1) 82.4 9.8 42.3 0.0 25.0 (87.5) (93.8) (85.7) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 7 2 2 1 (71.4) (50.0) 357 269 69 19 301 245 53 3 (15.7) (8.9) (23.2) (84.2) 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Cum. Market Sum Sum Share ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 120 182 238 275 285 290 292 294 296 297 298 39.9 20.6 18.6 12.3 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.3 39.9 60.5 79.1 91.4 94.7 96.3 97.0 97.7 98.3 98.7 99.0 300 301 0.7 0.3 99.7 100.0 100.0 81.4 17.6 1.0 NA = Not Applicable Source: Dataquest (June 1990) ESIS Volume 0006080 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June 31 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 23 1989 European Total Analog Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank Change in Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 0 0 0 2 (1) (1) 0 0 8 0 1 2 (2) 4 4 1 2 3 6 4 5 7 8 17 10 12 14 11 18 19 NA 9 15 16 20 31 28 NA 23 22 NA NA 21 25 26 29 24 27 30 (8) (3) (3) 0 10 6 (1) (3) (7) (4) (4) (2) (8) (6) (4) Ranked Companies Philips SGS-Thomson National Semiconductor Siemens Texas Instruments Motorola Analog Devices Telefunken Electronic Harris Burr-Brown Ericsson Components Precision Monolithics m Toshiba AMD Mitsubishi Plessey Semiconductors Sprague Siliconix Mitel Semiconductor Samsung Austria Mikro Systeme Fujitsu Rohm Electronics Unitrode TMS Rockwell Raytheon Hitachi STC Compcaients Sanyo Matsushita (Panasonic) Sony NEC 1988-89 Annual 1988 1989 Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) 281 210 140 102 105 105 90 52 18 43 34 30 41 17 17 49 27 18 14 2 4 6 6 7 6 4 3 6 4 3 316 226 160 134 100 99 89 62 47 39 35 29 27 22 22 21 18 17 16 14 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 4 4 4 12.5 7.6 14.3 31.4 (4.8) (5.7) (1.1) 19.2 161.1 (9.3) 2.9 (3.3) (34.1) 29.4 29.4 (63.3) (37.0) (11.1) 0.0 400.0 125.0 33.3 33.3 (14.3) 0.0 25.0 66.7 (33.3) 0.0 33.3 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Cum. Market Sum Sum Share ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 316 542 702 836 936 1,035 1,124 1,186 U33 1,272 1,307 1,336 1363 U85 1,407 1,428 1,446 1,463 1,479 1,493 1,503 1,512 1,521 1,529 1,537 1,544 1,551 1,557 1,563 1,568 1,573 1,577 1,581 1,585 18.6 13.3 9.4 7.9 5.9 5.8 5.2 3.7 2.8 2.3 2.1 1.7 1.6 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 18.6 32.0 41.4 49.3 55.2 61.0 66.3 69.9 72.7 75.0 77.1 78.8 80.4 81.7 83.0 84.2 85.3 86.3 87.2 88.0 88.6 89.2 89.7 90.2 90.6 91.0 91.5 91.8 92.2 92.5 92.7 93.0 93.2 93.5 (Continued) 32 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June ESIS Volume 3 0006080 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 23 1989 European Total Analog Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) (Continued) 1988 1989 Rank Rank NA 33 NA NA 13 32 Change in Rank 35 36 37 38 NA NA (3) Ranked Companies 1988-89 Annual 1988 1989 Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) Marconi Electronic Devices Seiko Epson Goldstar International Rectifier GE Solid State AT&T 33 2 European Others North American Others Japanese Others 2 49 2 Total Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese Rest of World 1 2 1 1 1 0.0 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Cum. Market Sum Sum Share ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 1,587 1,588 1,589 1.590 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 93.6 93.6 93.7 93.8 1,592 1,689 1,696 0.1 5.7 0.4 93,9 99.6 100.0 (100.0) (100.0) 2 97 7 0.0 98.0 250.0 1,533 1,696 738 816 745 778 48 91 2 11 10.6 10.6 4.4 89.6 450.0 100.0 48.1 45.9 5.4 0.6 NA = Not Applicable Souice: Dataquest (June 1990) ESIS Volume 0006080 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June 33 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 24 1989 European Monolithic Analog Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank 1 2 3 5 4 6 7 8 16 11 13 10 17 19 15 NA 9 14 18 31 20 26 24 NA NA 21 23 NA 22 25 27 28 30 29 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 Change in Rank 0 0 0 1 (1) 0 0 0 7 1 2 (2) 4 5 0 (8) (4) (1) 11 (1) 4 1 (5) (4) (7) (5) (4) (4) (3) (5) Ranked Companies Philips SGS-Thomson National Semiconductor Siemens Texas Instruments Motorola Analog Devices Telefunken Electronic Harris Ericsson Components Precision Monolithics ITT Toshiba AMD Burr-Brown Mitsubishi Plessey Semiconductors Sprague Siliconix Samsung Mitel Semiconductor Austria Mikro Systeme Unitrode TMS Rockwell Raytheon Hitachi Fujitsu Matsushita (Panasonic) Rohm Electronics STC Components NEC Sanyo Sony 1988-89 1988 1989 Annual Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) 247 210 140 94 105 87 73 49 18 34 30 41 17 17 23 48 27 17 2 10 4 5 6 6 6 4 3 3 2 2 276 226 160 125 100 81 72 59 45 35 29 27 22 22 21 20 18 17 16 10 9 9 7 7 7 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 2 11.7 7.6 14.3 33.0 (4.8) (6.9) (1.4) 20.4 150.0 2.9 (3.3) (34.1) 29.4 29.4 (8.7) (62.5) (37.0) (5.9) 400.0 (10.0) 125.0 40.0 0.0 0.0 (33.3) 0.0 33.3 33.3 100.0 0.0 1989 1989 1989 Market Cum. Cum. Sum Sum Share ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 276 502 662 787 887 968 1,040 1,099 1,144 1.179 uos 1,235 1,257 1,279 1,300 1,320 1,338 1,355 1,371 1,381 1,390 1,399 1,406 1,413 1,420 1,426 1,432 1,438 1,442 1,446 1,450 1,454 1,458 1,460 17.7 14.5 10.3 8.0 6.4 5.2 4.6 3.8 2.9 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 17.7 32.2 42.4 50.4 56.9 62.1 66.7 70.4 73.3 75.6 77.4 79.2 80.6 82.0 83.3 84.6 85.8 86.9 87.9 88.5 89.1 89.7 90.1 90.6 91.0 91.4 91.8 92.2 92.4 92.7 92.9 93.2 93.5 93.6 (Continued) 34 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June ESIS Volume 3 0006080 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 24 1989 European Monolithic Analog Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) (Continued) 1988 1989 Change Rank Rank in Rank NA NA NA 12 32 35 36 37 NA NA Ranked Companies Marconi Electronic Devices International RectiRer Goldstar GE Solid State AT&T European Others North American Others Japanese Others Total Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese Rest of World 1988-89 Annual 1988 1989 Growth Sales Sales ($M) ($M) (Percent) 2 1 1 1,462 1,463 1,464 0.1 0.1 0.1 93.7 93.8 93.8 1,466 1,559 1,560 0.1 6.0 0.1 94.0 99.9 100.0 (100.0) (100.0) 33 2 2 93 1 0.0 89.8 1,416 1,560 763 691 713 683 40 73 2 11 10.2 10.4 4.4 82.5 450.0 2 49 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Market Cum. Sum Share Sum ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 100.0 48.9 45.7 4.7 0.7 NA = Not Ai^cable Souice: dataquest (June 1990) ESIS Volume 0006080 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June 35 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Marliet Share Estimates Table 25 1989 European Hybrid Analog Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 9 7 NA 8 NA 11 10 14 13 NA 12 16 15 Change in Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NA NA NA 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 (1) (2) (1) (3) 0 (2) Ranked Companies Philips Burr-Brovra Motorola Analog Devices Siemens Mitel Semiconductor Rohm Electronics Telefunken Electronic Fujitsu Sony Harris STC Components Unitrode Sanyo Seiko Epson Mitsubishi Siliconix Plessey Semiconductors Raytheon North American Others Japanese Others Total Total Total Total AU Companies European North American Japanese 1988-89 1988 1989 Annual Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) 34 20 18 17 8 4 2 3 2 40 18 18 17 9 5 4 3 3 2 2 17.6 (10.0) 0.0 0.0 12.5 25.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Market Cum. Sum Share Sum ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 40 58 76 93 102 107 111 114 117 119 121 122 123 124 125 126 29.4 13.2 13.2 12.5 6.6 3.7 2.9 2.2 2.2 1.5 1.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 29.4 42.6 55.9 68.4 75.0 78.7 81.6 83.8 86.0 87.5 89.0 89.7 90.4 91.2 91.9 92.6 130 136 2.9 4.4 95.6 100.0 (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 2 4 6 200.0 117 47 62 8 136 53 65 18 16.2 12.8 4.8 125.0 100.0 39.0 47.8 13.2 NA = Not AppUcaUe Source: Dataquest (June 1990) 36 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June ESIS Volume 3 0006080 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 26 1989 European Total Discrete Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank 1 2 3 4 5 8 7 9 10 NA 11 19 14 NA 13 15 NA 20 24 18 16 27 22 25 21 23 28 26 30 6 31 29 NA 32 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 Change in Rank 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 7 1 (2) (1) 2 5 (2) (5) 5 (1) 1 (4) (3) 1 (2) 1 (24) 0 (3) (2) Ranked Companies Philips Motorola SGS-Thomson Siemens m International Rectifier Telefunken Electronic Semikron Toshiba ABB-IXYS Powerex General Instrument Siliconix Harris Texas Instruments Fagor Electrotecnica Fujitsu Matsushita (Panasonic) Mitsubishi Marconi Electronic Devices TAG Hewlett-Packard Rohm Electronics NEC Unitrode Hitachi Sprague National Semiconductor Sanyo ABB-HAFO Samsung STC Components TMS Raytheon 1988-89 Annual 1988 1989 Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) 313 196 167 135 103 66 66 56 52 28 18 23 25 21 13 6 18 18 4 10 5 10 9 2 5 1 69 1 1 1 294 193 177 162 105 70 66 55 46 40 33 33 25 24 23 22 22 21 20 17 17 17 14 14 11 9 7 5 4 3 3 2 2 1 (6.1) (1.5) 6.0 20.0 1.9 6.1 0.0 (1.8) (11.5) 17.9 83.3 8.7 (8.0) 4.8 61.5 233.3 (5.6) (5.6) 325.0 40.0 180.0 10.0 0.0 250.0 0.0 300.0 (95.7) 200.0 100.0 0.0 1989 1989 1989 Market Cum. Cum. Share Sum Sum ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 294 487 664 826 931 1,001 1,067 1,122 1.168 1,208 1,241 1,274 1,299 1,323 1,346 1,368 1,390 1,411 1,431 1,448 1,465 1,482 1,496 1,510 1,521 1,530 1,537 1,542 1,546 1,549 1,552 1,554 1,556 1,557 18.4 12.1 11.1 10.2 6.6 4.4 4.1 3.5 2.9 2.5 2.1 2.1 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 18.4 30.6 41.7 51.8 58.4 62.8 66.9 70.4 73.3 75.8 77.9 79.9 81.5 83.0 84.4 85.8 87.2 88.5 89.8 90.8 91.9 93.0 93.9 94.7 95.4 96.0 96.4 96.7 97.0 97.2 97.4 97.5 97.6 97.7 (Continued) ESIS Volume 3 0006080 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June 37 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 26 1989 European Total Discrete Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) (Continued) 1988 1989 Rank Rank NA 12 17 33 Change in Rank 35 NA NA NA Ranked Companies 1988-89 Annual 1988 1989 Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) Sony GE Solid State Plessey Semiconductors AT&T 27 18 1 European Others North American Others Japanese Others Rest of World Others 6 11 7 4 Total Total Total Total Total AU Companies European North American Japanese Rest of World 1 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Market Cum. Share Sum Sum ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 1,558 0.1 97.7 1,564 1,575 1,592 1,594 0.4 0.7 1.1 0.1 98. 98.8 99.9 100.0 (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 6 11 17 2 0.0 0.0 142.9 (50.0) 1,516 1,594 888 863 520 558 103 168 5 5 5.1 (2.8) 7.3 63.1 0.0 100.0 54.1 35.0 10.5 0.3 NA = Not Applicable Source: Dauquest (June 1990) 38 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June ESIS Volume 3 0006080 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 27 1989 E u r o p e a n Transistor M a r k e t Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 7 9 NA 13 11 NA 12 19 14 17 16 NA 23 20 24 18 21 26 22 25 NA NA 10 15 27 Change in Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 NA NA NA 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 (1) 0 2 (1) (2) 4 (2) 0 (2) 3 (1) 2 (5) (3) 1 (4) (2) Ranked Companies Philips Motorola SGS-Thomson Siemens Toshiba nr Siliconix Texas Instruments Intem^onal Rectifier Fujitsu Powerex Telefunken Electronic Harris Matsushita (Panasonic) NEC Rohm Electronics Mitsubishi Marconi Electronic Devices ABB-IXYS Sanyo National Semiconductor Samsung Hewlett-Packard Sprague Hitachi Semikron Raytheon TMS Sony GE SoUd State Plessey Semiconductors ABB-HAFO European Others North American Others Japanese Others Rest of World Others Total Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese Rest of World 1988-89 1988 1989 Annual Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) 185 124 85 66 36 32 23 25 20 8 16 12 3 7 4 5 1 3 1 4 2 1 1 1 180 127 90 77 34 32 25 23 23 22 18 17 17 14 11 10 10 5 5 4 3 3 2 2 20 7 1 (2.7) 2.4 5.9 16.7 (5.6) 0.0 8.7 (8.0) 15.0 125.0 6.3 16.7 266.7 42.9 150.0 0.0 300.0 0.0 200.0 (50.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Market Cum. Sum Share Sum ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 180 307 397 474 508 540 565 588 611 633 651 668 685 699 710 720 730 735 740 744 747 750 752 754 755 756 757 758 759 23.0 16.2 11.5 9.8 4.3 4.1 3.2 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.3 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.4 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 23.0 39.3 50.8 60.6 65.0 69.1 72.3 75.2 78.1 80.9 83.2 85.4 87.6 89.4 90.8 92.1 93.4 94.0 94.6 95.1 95.5 95.9 96.2 96.4 96.5 96.7 96.8 96.9 97.1 761 770 780 782 0.3 1.2 1.3 0.3 97.3 98.5 99.7 100.0 (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 2 7 3 4 2 9 10 2 0.0 28.6 233.3 (50.0) 709 368 269 67 5 782 378 282 117 5 10.3 2.7 4.8 74.6 0.0 100.0 48.3 36.1 15.0 0.6 NA = Not Applicable Source: Dataijuest (June 1990) ESIS Volume 0006080 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June 39 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Marltet Share Estimates Table 28 1989 European Diode Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 ^ank Rank 1 2 3 4 5 10 6 7 9 8 NA NA 13 21 15 17 14 16 18 19 20 NA 11 12 23 22 Change in Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 NA NA NA NA 0 0 0 0 0 4 (1) (1) 0 (2) 0 7 0 1 (3) (2) (1) (1) (1) Ranked Companies Philips Motorola SGS-Thomson nr Siemens General Instrument Telefunken Electronic International Rectifier Fagor Electrotecnica Semikron Hewlett-Packard ABB-IXYS Unitrode Matsushita (Panasonic) Marconi Electronic Devices Rohm Electronics Powerex Toshiba National Semiconductor STC Components NEC TMS ABB-HAFO Plessey Semiconductors AT&T GE Solid State European Others North American Others Japanese Others Total Total Total Total All Companies Eurc^an North American Japanese 1988-89 1988 1989 Annual Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) 111 59 50 47 35 18 26 23 21 21 8 1 4 3 5 3 2 1 1 1 14 11 1 1 95 55 54 47 40 33 26 22 22 21 15 11 9 7 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 (14.4) (6.8) 8.0 0.0 14.3 83.3 0.0 (4.3) 4.8 0.0 12.5 600.0 0.0 33.3 (40.0) 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 477 (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 2 4 1 2 2 6 0.0 (50.0) 500.0 473 296 168 9 487 278 188 21 3.0 (6.1) 11.9 133.3 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Cum. Market Sum Sum Share ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 95 150 204 251 291 324 350 372 394 415 430 441 450 457 461 465 468 471 473 475 476 0.2 19.5 11.3 11.1 9.7 8.2 6.8 5.3 4.5 4.5 4.3 3.1 2.3 1.8 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 97.9 19.5 30.8 41.9 51.5 59.8 66.5 71.9 76.4 80.9 85.2 88.3 90.6 92.4 93.8 94.7 95.5 96.1 96.7 97.1 97.5 97.7 479 481 487 0.4 0.4 1.2 98.4 98.8 100.0 100.0 57.1 38.6 4.3 NA = Not AppUcaUe Souice: Dataquest (June 1990) 40 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June ESIS Volume 3 0006080 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 29 1989 European Thyristor Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank 2 3 NA 4 5 6 S 7 9 10 11 12 13 14 NA 1 Change in Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 NA 1 1 0 0 0 1 (1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ranked Companies SGS-Thomson Siemens ABB-KYS TAG Telefunken Electronic Semikron International Rectifier Powerex PhiUps Marconi Electronic Devices Motorola Hitachi Mitsubishi Unitrode NEC ABB-HAFO European Others Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese 1988-89 1988 1989 Annual Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) 32 19 18 17 17 13 15 9 9 8 3 2 1 33 23 23 17 16 16 13 12 9 8 6 3 3 1 1 3.1 21.1 (5.6) (5.9) (5.9) 0.0 (20.0) 0.0 (11.1) (25.0) 0.0 50.0 0.0 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Market Cum. Sum Sum Share ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 33 56 79 96 112 128 141 153 162 170 176 179 182 183 184 17.8 12.4 12.4 9.2 8.6 8.6 7.0 6.5 4.9 4.3 3.2 1.6 1.6 0.5 0.5 17.8 30.3 42.7 51.9 60.5 69.2 76.2 82.7 87.6 91.9 95.1 96.8 98.4 98.9 99.5 185 0.5 100.0 (100.0) 46 1 1 0.0 210 168 37 5 185 146 32 7 (11.9) (13.1) (13.5) 40.0 100.0 78.9 17.3 3.8 NA = Not Applicable Source: Dotaquest (Jme 1990) ESIS Volume 3 0006080 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited Jime 41 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 30 1989 European Other Discrete Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank Change in Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NA 0 1 (1) 1 1 (2) 1 1 3 2 5 6 4 8 NA NA 10 11 NA 7 12 13 NA 9 0 0 (6) (2) (2) Ranked Companies nr Siemens Semikron Intemational Rectifier Philips Toshiba Telefunken Electronic Harris Mitsubishi Motorola Hitachi Sprague ABB-HAFO Unitrode NEC ABB-KYS GE Solid State European Others Japanese Others Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese 1988-89 1988 1989 Annua! Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) 24 15 17 10 8 13 7 5 5 8 1 1 26 22 17 12 10 9 7 7 7 5 5 5 3 1 1 1 6 8.3 46.7 0.0 20.0 25.0 (30.8) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (62.5) 0.0 0.0 1989 1989 1989 Market Cum. Cum. Sum Sum Share ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 26 48 65 77 87 96 103 110 117 122 127 132 135 136 137 138 18.6 15.7 12.1 8.6 7.1 6.4 5.0 5.0 5.0 3.6 3.6 3.6 2.1 0.7 0.7 0.7 18.6 34.3 46.4 55.0 62.1 68.6 73.6 78.6 83.6 87.1 90.7 94.3 96.4 97.1 97.9 98.6 139 140 0.7 0.7 99.3 100.0 (100.0) 1 3 1 1 0.0 (66.7) 124 56 46 22 140 61 56 23 12.9 8.9 21.7 4.5 100.0 43.6 40.0 16.4 NA = Not Applicable Source: Dataquest (June 1990) 42 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June ESIS Volume 3 0006080 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates Table 31 1989 European Optoelectronic Market Share Rankings (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1988 1989 Rank Rank 3 2 1 4 7 5 10 NA NA 11 18 12 16 NA NA 13 15 6 9 8 14 17 Change in Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 NA NA NA NA NA 2 0 (2) 0 2 (1) 3 1 7 0 3 (3) (2) Ranked Companies 1988-89 1988 1989 Annual Sales Sales Growth ($M) ($M) (Percent) Hewlett-Packard Siemens Telefunken Electronic Philips Toshiba Texas Instruments ABB-HAFO Fujitsu TMS Motorola NEC Hitachi Sharp Harris AT&T Sanyo Matsushita (Panasonic) Plessey Semiconductors GE Solid State TRW Mitsubishi Oki Electric 49 61 65 22 17 20 6 European Others North American Others 8 4 8 43 975.0 306 182 94 30 367 176 149 42 19.9 (3.3) 58.5 40.0 Total Total Total Total All Companies European North American Japanese 5 1 4 1 4 2 2 20 8 8 2 1 79 68 67 21 19 15 6 6 6 5 5 4 4 61.2 11.5 3.1 (4.5) 11.8 (25.0) 0.0 0.0 400.0 0.0 300.0 309 3 2 2 0.0 0.0 1989 1989 1989 Cum. Market Cum. Sum Share Sum ($M) (Percent) (Percent) 79 147 214 235 254 269 275 281 287 292 297 301 305 1.1 312 314 316 21.5 18.5 18.3 5.7 5.2 4.1 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.1 21.5 40.1 58.3 64.0 69.2 73.3 74.9 76.6 78.2 79.6 80.9 82.0 83.1 84.2 0.8 0.5 0.5 85.0 85.6 86.1 2.2 88.3 100.0 (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 0.0 324 367 11.7 100.0 48.0 40.6 11.4 NA = Not Applicable Source: Dataquest (June 1990) ESIS Volume 0006080 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June 43 Final 1989 European Semiconductor Market Share Estimates FOOTNOTES TO THE TABLES European Companies ABB-HAFO ABB-HAFO was formerly known as Asea Brown Boveri. ABB-IXYS ABB-IXYS was formerly the West German-based power semiconductor division of Asea Brown Boveri. Inmos Inmos revenue is included in SGS-Thomson revenue from 1989 onward. Matra MHS Matra MHS was formerly known as Matra-Harris Semiconducteurs. SGS-Thomson SGS-Thomson revenue includes Inmos revenue from 1989 onward. TMS Thomson Composants Militaires et Spatiaux (TMS) revenue was formerly included in SGS-Thomson (30 percent) and the European Others category (70 percent). North American Companies AT&T AT&T revenue was formerly included in the North American Others category. Cypress Cypress revenue was formerly included in the North American Others category. Harris Harris revenue includes GE Solid State revenue from 1989 cmward. Micron Technology Micron Technology revenue was formerly included in the North American Others category. Mitel Semiconductor Mitel Semiconductor revenue was formerly included in the North American Others category. Raytheon Raytheon revenue was formerly included in the North American Others category. Rockwell Rockwell revenue was formerly included in the North American Others category. Sprague Sprague revenue was formerly included in the North American Others category. Unitrode Unitrode revenue was formerly included in the North American Others category. Japanese Companies NMB Nippon Miniature Bearings (NMB) revenue was formerly included in the Japanese Odiers category. Rohm Electronics Rohm Electronics revenue was formerly included in the Japanese Others category. Sanyo Sanyo revenue was formerly included in the Japanese Others category. Sharp Sharp revenue was formerly included in the Japanese Others category. Sony Sony revenue was formerly included in the Japanese Others category. 44 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited June ESIS Volume 3 0006080 European Commission Policy Statement on the Electronics and Information Technology Industries Semiconductors Europe DataQuest L European Commission Policy Statement on tlie Electronics and Information Technology Industries Source: Dataquest Semiconductors Europe Preface This document is reproduced verbatim b y ESIS with the permission of the Commission of the European Communities for the benefit of Dataquest clients. The original document w a s published as a Communication from the Commission SEC(91) 565 o n April 3, 1991, "The European Electronics and Information Technology Industry: State of Play, Issues at Stake and Proposals for Action." As this document is reproduced verbatim, n o responsibility is accepted for the accuracy of completeness of its contents. Published by Dataquest Europe Limited The content of this report represents our interpretation and analysis of information generally available to the public or released by knowledgeable individuals in the subject industry, but is not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. It does not contain material provided to us in confidence by our clients. Printed in the United Kingdom. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in retrieval systems, or transmined, in any form or by any means—mechanical, electronic, photocopying, duplicating, microfilming, videotape, or otherwise—without the prior written jaermission of the publisher. (E) 1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November 1991 0009962 Table of Contents Page The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries EXECUTIVE SUMMARY A. Introduction B. The Situation of the European Industry C. The International Context D. A Community Approach Demand Technology Training External Relations The Business Envirorunent STATE OF PLAY, ISSUES AT STAKE AND PROPOSALS FOR ACTION—GENERAL OUTLINE A. Introduction B. The Situation of the Eurojjean Industry A Major and Rapidly Expanding Industry Strengths and Restructuring Efforts Weaknesses 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 6 Page C. The International Context I. Developments in Europe and the World n. The Causes of the Present Situation in this Context D. A Community Approach I. A Reference Framework n. Proposals for Action 7 7 9 13 13 14 Appendixes EVOLUTION OF EUROPEAN IT AND TELECOMMUNICATIONS INDUSTRY Exchange Rate Trend ANALYSIS OF THE SITUATION BY SECTOR Semiconductors THE WORSENING EUROPEAN TRADE DEHCIT ANALYSIS OF THE SITUATION OF ELECTRONICS AND IT HRMS 21 21 23 23 25 26 List of Tables Table Breakdown of World Production of the IT and Telecommunications Industries by Main Geographical Area (since 1980) Consumption and Production of the IT and Electronics Industries by Main Geographical Area Computers—^Trend in Market Shares of IT Firms in Europe Control of Production of Computer Hardware in the United States, Europe and Japan (in 1989) Main Statistical Data for Consumer Electronics (in 1988) Trends in Trade Balances for the IT and Telecommunications Industries by Main Geographical Area Page Table 7 22 M 9 22 10 24 11 24 European Trade Deficit in Electronics and IT (1988 and 1989) Ranking of the Top Ten Firms on the World Market World Ranking of Semiconductor Manufacturers (1990) Market Shares of World Top Ten Semiconductor Firms (1979, 1984 and 1990) World Top Ten Consumer Electronics Manufacturers (1989) Page 25 26 27 27 28 24 25 m tv The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries l i s t of Figures Figure jniqie 1 European Industrial Growth Comparison ....21 2 World Semiconductor Production by Region 23 3 World Production of DRAMs by Region 23 4 Trends in Company Results (Top 100 Information Systems Firms) 26 5 Ranking of Major World Computer Firms 28 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—Reproduction Prohibited The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries Executive Smnmary A. Introduction The purpose of this communication is to apply the concept of industrial policy as defined by the Commission in its communication of November 1990 "industrial policy in an open and competitive envirormient" to the Community information technology (775 and electronics industry. This open, horizontal and offensive approach has a natural application in the Conununity's IT and electronics industries, which are facing severe structural adjustment problems at present. In view of the "enabling" nature of these industries and their external effects on the economy as a whole, they are often regarded as strategic. In the run-up to the completion of the internal market and the increasingly global dimension of the economy, a better supported angle of attack could be based on the following questions: do the actual competition conditions allow the European industry to be effective? "What policies are appropriate in order to stimulate our competitiveness? The communication follows a double approach in order to enable the European industry to be more competitive on its own and on the world market: • To contribute to the examination of the relative industrial and technological conditions of the Community's electronics and IT industries in the world context. • To set out a consistent package of measures which the Community and the Member States would be prepared to implement, provided that they could be based on clearly defined medium- and long-term objectives set by the industry itself and on specific commitments from their side. ' These indiistries supply three main categories of products and services: components, which are the basic elements of any electronic equipment or system; computers, which comprise hardware and peripherals, software, and office- or industrialautomation appucations; and finally consumer electronics. B. The Situation o f t h e Eiu*opean Industry These industries represent a very important sector with a turnover in Europe of ECU 175 billion and a market growing fast at dose to 5% of GDP. Owing to their external effects on the whole productive fabric they also form an infrastructure which plays a major part in economic competitiveness, employment and social development. The European industry has made significant progress in fields such as computer software and services and industrial automation. It is weak in certain key areas, however: semiconductors, peripherals and consumer electronics. It is in a precarious position as far as computers are concerned. This results in a growing trade deficit (ECU 31 billion in 1990). European firms' positions differ according to their field of activity. Many have just had poor financial results and must restructure. C. The International Context Historically, the development of the IT and electronics industries has been influenced by the structure of demand, features of the market and the attitude of the public authorities. Despite the present changes, the European industry is still suffering from the consequences of long-term fragmentation of its markets and its difficulties in setting medium- and long-term objectives. The worrying situation of European industry can of course be explained by the current economic climate: a slowing down of growth and the depreciation of the yen and the dollar in relation to the ECU. Most causes are structural, however, in a world market where most public authorities hardly think twice about intervening: • As far as demand is concerned, the Community market has inherited a high degree of fragmentation which restricts the exploitation of economies of scale and "network externalities," and suffers from a shortage of leading-edge users. The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries • Supply and competition conditions, in a market which has become worldwide, are unequal in different areas of the world. Equally, financing conditions are less favourable in Europe for these industries which have heavy investment costs in R&TD and production capacity. There is a shortage of skilled staff. • As regards the structure of the productive fabric, relatively limited vertical integration, all-tooinfrequent cooperation within Europe and weaknesses in relations between manufacturers and users are also handicaps. • Except in precompetitive R&TD, the industrial strategy of European firms has not taken sufficient account of the Community and world markets and has failed to make long-term forecasts. The possibilities of cooperation with Community and international partners have not been sufficiently exploited. The economic and social importance of the IT and electronics industries has encouraged the public authorities of the major economic zones to pledge support to the industry and provide it with a competitive advantage on a local basis. In the United States, the public authorities have taken part in a heated debate on maintaining American technological supremacy using national security as the main pretext, and have widened their range of economic policy instruments. In Japan, the market is structurally protected by the very organization of the production system, supported by the public authorities. The Community has concentrated on the completion of the internal market, an essential step to make firms look, think and act beyond national frontiers. It is also committed to the strict application of a competition policy and the implementation of a policy on technological cooperation and a coordinated trade policy. D. A Community A p p r o a c h All these measures have been unable to offset the inadequacies of industrial initiative, the failures of the market and the imperfections of competition at world level. The measures to be taken to restore the competitiveness of the electronics and IT industry depend first and foremost on firms themselves taking the initiative and facing up to their responsibilities, and on their capacity to make the most of the new opportunities presented by the single European market. If firms can make a clear and unequivocal commitment to initiatives of this kind, it is up to the Community and the Member States, in accordance with the rules of competition and applying the principle of subsidiarity, to help create a favourable environment for them. The Commission is proposing five t5rpes of Community action to help firms through the adjustment process which diey are facing, without taking artificial measures to support them. Denuind Computerized telecommunications links between administrations should be set up as quickly as possible and a high level of interoperability of their information systems achieved, while respecting human rights. This initiative would be accompanied by the launch of projects designed to modernize or create, with the help of computerized telecommunications facilities, infrastructures in the fields of distance learning, transport, public health and the environment. Other projects might relate to the gradual introduction of broadband services networks, and the development of panEuropean high-definition television services. Technology The Community could consider launching a second generation of R&TD, ranging from projects at the precompetitive stage to projects geared more closely to the market. This second generation should be characterized by the concentration of work on a smaller number of better targeted and more ambitious objectives, closer cooperation with users, provision of training linked to advanced research and opening-up to international cooperation. Mobilizing projects aimed at accelerating technology take-up on a broad scale should be carried out alongside integrating projects aimed at mastering and consolidating a selected range of interdependent technologies. Such projects could cover software, computer integrated manufacturing, m i c r o e l e c t r o n i c s , p e r i p h e r a l s , h i g h performance computing and telecommunications. Training Multidisciplinary training measures could be launched or stepped up. They would be targeted at training staff and at staff engaged in production and management in firms using and supplying computerized telecommunications equipment and ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—^Reproduction Prohibited Reference material—will not be republished The European Electronics and Information Technology industries services. Networks of excellence composed of both academic and industrial teams, geographically distributed throughout the Community, will continue to be set up. State of Play, Issues at Stake and Proposals for Action—General Outline External A. Introduction Relations Trade policy will help to improve the competitiveness of the European electronics and IT industry. The Commission will seek a satisfactory conclusion for these industries in the multilateral negotiations of the Uruguay Round. It will endeavour to ensure fair conditions of competition and access to third-country markets. Where necessary, it will have recourse to bilateral measures and will fall back on its customs regulations and trade policy instruments. The Commimity will support international cooperation by setting up or expanding appropriate frameworks for trade and cooperation, notably with the EFTA countries. Central and Eastern Europe, the United States of America and Japan. Where appropriate, it will take the initiative of l a u n c h i n g i n t e r n a t i o n a l c o o p e r a t i o n programmes. The Business Environment Other initiatives will also help to create a healthy business environment. These concern the improvement of financing systems, faster standardi2ation and integration of standards into products, closer involvement of the development of electronics and IT in the introduction of structural policies, and a stepping-up of the dialogue between the various parties involved, especially SMEs. The communication summarized here is intended to serve as background for a debate with the Member States, the European Parliament, the Economic and Social Committee as well as the industries, manufacturers and users concerned, in order to analyse the situation as perceived by the Commission and discuss the action to be taken. This should enable the Commission to enter into fruitful dialogue with industry, users and investors, to assess the situation in greater depth from a dynamic perspective and to identify conditions for a long-term recovery, while respecting the roles of the parties concerned. 1. In November 1990 the Commission adopted a communication on industrial polic;/. While placing the main responsibility for improving industrial competitiveness on firms, the Commission indicated that it was up to the public authorities to provide them with a dear and predictable framework and outlook for their activities. The industrial policy approach adopted by the Commission and approved by the Council is based on the concept of Community interest, on past experience of industrial adjustment and on the overall industrial challenges which the Community must be prepared to tackle. It focuses on the importance of the single market to industry and on the application of the competition rules at international level to ensure, on the basis of a balance of rights and obligations, that competitors' markets are as open as the Community market. In its industrial policy paper the Commission also comes out in favour of pursuing positive adjustment policies, including a technological development policy; such policies are regarded by the Commission as complementing the open and competitive environment needed in the context of the single European market. 2. This open, horizontal and offensive approach has a natural application in the Community's electronics and information technology (ID industries, which are facing severe structural adjustment problems at present. In view of the "enabling" nature of these industries and their external effects on the economy as a whole, they are often regarded as strategic. In the run-up to the completion of the internal market and the increasingly global dimension of the economy, a better supported approach could be based on the following questions: do the actual conditions of competition idlow European industry to be effective? What policies are appropriate in order to stimulate our competitiveness? ' Commission communication on industrial policy in an open and competitive environment (COM(90)556). ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—^Re[»oduction Prohibited Reference material—will not be republished The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries 3. These industries provide three main categories of products and services: components*, which are the basis of any electronic equipment or system; computers, consisting of hardware, peripherals, software and office and industrial automation applications"; and finally consumer electronics'. These are the industries which are the subjea of this communication. Other allied high-growth industries, e.g. the industries which provide audiovisual services, telecommunications equipment and services, and on-line data base services, are not discussed in this communication, but may be covered by separate communications. 4. Taken as a whole, these industries have certain specific features, contributing as they do towards the compilation, creation, communication and application of something which may be regarded as a new resource, namely information. They are already important in their own right, with a worldwide turnover of ECU 700 billion in 1990 and a Community-wide turnover of ECU 175 billion. Their rapidly expanding market now represents 5% of GDP and wUl be nearing 10% by the year 2000. However, they also constitute an infrastructure through the "enabling" nature of the technologies developed by them. The closely interdependent group formed by these rapidly developing new technologies provides the hardware, software and application systems now used in virtually all economic and social activities. As a result, these industries have a major part to play in the competitiveness of industry and the quality of services, in particular public services of general interest. ' Components: passive components, active components including memories, microprocessors, microcontrollers, applicationspecific integrated circuits (ASICs), etc. '' Computers: • hardware: portables, microcomputers, minicomputers, workstations, mainframes, network equipment, etc. • peripherals-, printers, discs, screens, etc. • software, packages and applications, information systems, systems engtoeering and services, etc. • office automation: photocopiers, facsimile machines, dedicated terminals, etc. • industrial automation: numeiically<ontFoUed machine tools, robots, sensors, computer-aided design, manufacturing and management, computer-integrated manufacturing systems, etc. ' Consumer electtvnlcs: TV, video tape recorders, video cameras, video disc players, compact disc players, etc. The impact on employment is considerable. It is estimated that between 60% and 65% of the working population is direcdy or indirectly affected by these technologies and their applications. 5. This communication has been written at a time when many of these industries are in difficulty, especially in Europe. This state of affairs calls for an analysis without complacency, and in a world context, of the situation in this sector, the causes of the difficulties encountered and the respective roles to be played by and the challenges to be faced by the firms and the public authorities. The communication follows a double approach in order to enable the European industry to be more competitive on its own and on the world market: • To contribute to the examination of the relative industrial and technological conditions of the Community's electronics and IT industries. This examination analyses the situation by looking at all the players concerned in Europe and the world as a whole, taking into account the progress towards a single European market which is still influenced by structures and behaviour bound up with the fragmentation of the Community market and subjected to international competition with very contrasting rules. • To set out, in keeping with the industrial policy paper mentioned at the beginning, a consistent package of measures which the Community and the Member States would be prepared to implement. It must be made dear, however, that this initiative will be pointless and impracticable unless it is based on clearly defined medium- and long-term objectives set by the industry and on specific commitments from their side. B. The Situation o f t h e European Industry 6. Annex I contains a detailed quantitative analysis of the situation of the industry in Europe and worldwide. The following prominent features emerge from it: • The electronics and IT industry in Europe and the world as a whole is expanding considerably, particularly on the demand side. Market studies suggest that this expansion will continue at least until the end of the decade, making this industry even more important than it is today. ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—Reproduction Prohibited Reference material—will not be republished The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries • The background to the development of these industries in the world as a whole makes it easier to understand the current difficulties of the European industry. The causes are examined in greater detail in Section II below. As a result of them, despite the strengths and the genuine efforts made to face up to technological changes and new market conditions (establishment of the single market, and globalization) the European industry has weaknesses and shortcomings which give grounds for concern. A Major and Rapidly Expanding Industry 7. The European electronics and IT industry has achieved great importance in a particularly short space of time. With a growth rate of around 15% per annum in the 1980s, well in excess of the GDP growth rate, it has caught up with other major Community industries such as the chemical industry and the motor industry. Between 1984 and 1989 the turnover for this industry as a whole more than doubled, rising from ECU 55 billion to ECU 130 billion. Allied to the telecommunications industry, which both drives it and is driven by it, the electronics and IT industry now represents nearly 5% of GDP in Europe compared with 5-5% in Japan and 6.2% in the United States. The trend since 1980 in world production for all the electronics and IT industries, together with telecommunications, by main geographical areas, is as follows*: • American production is pre-eminent in absolute terms but falling over time (37% in 1990 compared with 46% in 1980). • Japanese production has increased considerably in both absolute and relative terms (24% in 1990 compared with 15% in 1980). • The European industry's comparatively modest production level has remained fairly stable (24% in 1990 compared with 26% in 1980), although there are major differences between sectors. Demand in Europe represented a quarter of world demand in 1984 and a third in 1989. With the single European market, the driving role of the European market will increase. The forecast for the year 2000 is for sustained demand growth in Source: EIC. the "triad": 11% for active components, 11% for computers and 4% for consumer electronics. Strengths and Restt%icturing Efforts 8. The European electronics and IT industry has considerable potential and in recent years has made significant progress in certain areas, in particular in software and computer services and in industrial automation. There are in the Community some 13,000 computer services and engineering companies whose strengths lie in particular in the integration of customized software and systems. In 1989 Siemens, BuU, and Olivetti ranked for the first time among the top ten computer companies, though admittedly a long way behind IBM, whose turnover is nearly three times their combined turnover. The European advanced manufacturing equipment industry (numerically controlled machine tools, industrial robots, etc.) has regained its position of world leader, pursued by Japan and well ahead of the United States. Alongside the electronics and IT industry, the European telecommunications industry has considerably strengthened its comjjetitive position, with Alcatel and Siemens in first and third places respectively in the world. Europe's university and research structure possesses a wealth of differentiated cultural and intellectual resources. The situation as regards research and technological development has changed substantially since 1980. The Community programmes (ESPRIT, RACE, BRITE) and EUREKA have helped to mobilize human, financial and technological resources. Their catalytic effects have helped to encourage joint analyses, develop inter-firm cooperation and consolidate the technological base. The European companies operating in these areas employ over 800,000 highly-skilled workers in the Community and approximately 1.1 million in the world as a whole. To face up to the current difficulties, the European firms are engaged in restructuring operations: they are stepping up their efforts to reduce costs and increase their productivity, and are striving to speed up their response to rapid changes in demand. These restructuring efforts are cosUy and entail significant job-shedding. Many of them are refocusing their activities on markets with a promising future (Olivetti in microcomputers and ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—Reproduction Prohibited Reference material—will not be republished The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries workstations, Philips in consumer electronics, etc.), and adjusting their operating and distribution structures. Weaknesses 9. Despite this growth, these strengths and this technological potential, there are worrying weaknesses and shortcomings. An analysis of the situation of the Community industry indicates a limited presence in certain key sectors: semiconductors, peripherals, consumer electronics, and a precarious situation in computers. Apart from the consequences for the balance of trade, this situation obliges European companies to obtain supplies of certain vital components from their competitors, which impedes dieir decision-making ability. In semiconductors, Japan has a 49.5% share of production compared with 36.5% for the United States and 10% for Europe. Computer peripherals (discs, printers, screens, etc.) are manufactured to a large extent in Japan (40% of world production) and to a lesser extent in the United States (25%). Production in Europe accounts for only about 15%. In consumer electronics, Japan accounts for 55% of world production and has control over 99% of its domestic production, 27% of production in Europe and 20% of production in the United States. The Community industry accounts for nearly 20% of world production. In computers, production in Europe only covers two-thirds of internal demand, and 60% is accounted for by firms of American origin (IBM, Digital, Hewlett-Packard)^. After staging a significant recovery between 1984 and 1987, the Commission industry has again lost ground in Europe. Overall, therefore, the increased demand for electronics and IT products and services in Europe is being met only to a limited extent from European sources. Production in Europe covers about 75% of consumption in the electronics and IT sector, as compared with 140% in Japan. This imbalance has generated a trade deficit in Europe which has worsened since the start of the 1980s. For electronics as a whole, it was ECU 31 billion in Europe ' It should be noted that American and Japanese companies create less value added per employee in Europe than in their domestic markets. compared with a surplus of ECU 57 billion in Japan and a deficit of ECU 7 billion in the United States. Europe's deficit is mainly attributable to trade in components (deficit of ECU -5.6 billion), computers (deficit of ECU -15.3 billion) and consumer electronics (deficit of ECU -9.6 billion) in 1989. This balance-of-trade position indicates that the Community industry is not competitive enough in these sectors. The growing internationalization of the economy means that European firms must be able to invest increasingly abroad. These investments and cooperation arrangements should allow a further improvement in firms' competitiveness. 10. An analysis of the situation of European firms on the European and world markets indicates different positions depending on the areas of activity and, as a whole, major differences of scale in comparison with American and Japanese firms. The world semiconductor market is dominated by Japanese firms (NEC, Toshiba, Hitachi, Fujitsu, Mitsubishi) which account for nearly 90% of world production of high-capacity memories, and by the American microprocessor manufacturers (Intel, Motorola) which control over 80% of world production of 16 and 32 bit microprocessors (the most popular at present). Investing 15% of their turnover in R&TD and 13% on average in manufacturing equipment, the E u r o p e a n firms (Philips, SGS-Thomson, Siemens—tenth, twelfth and fourteenth in the world rankings respectively) have still not achieved the critical threshold of 5% of the world market. The turnover of the second manufacturer of semiconductors in the world (Toshiba) is higher than the combined turnover of these three manufacturers. In computers, American firms are in the lead with five of the top ten companies, the biggest of which, IBM, dominates the world market as a whole. The Japanese firm Fujitsu has moved into second place following its acquisition of ICL. The share of the European market held by IBM is greater than that of Siemens/Nixdorf, BuU, Olivetti and Philips together. The latter have increased in size as a result of outward expansion and by acquiring other firms: Bull has acquired 85% of Honeywell Electronics and 51% of the IT division of Zenith (United States). Siemens recently bought Ntxdorf. The significance of the investments made is considerable: on average 10% of turnover is spent on R&TD, 10% on investments in capacity, ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—^Reproduction Prohibited Reference material—will not be republished The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries and 10% of the wage bill is made up of training costs. However, the Community industry consists of virtually the same (medium-size) firms as 10 years ago. Many of them recently had poor financial results (high losses for Bull, Nixdorf, Philips), as did the main American manufacturers in fact (Digital, Unisys, Hewlett-Packard, Wang). Unlike the computer manufacturers, the software and IT services companies (CAP-Gemini Sogeti, SEMA Group, Logica, etc.) are in a strong, though vulnerable, position. In industrial automation, Europe has major trump cards with Siemens, Comau-Fiat, Renault, GEC, etc. and a wealth of efficient SMEs, especially in Germany and Italy. In consumer electronics, apart from Philips and Thomson, which respectively occupy the third and sixth places worldwide, Japanese companies, with Matsushita and Sony in tfie lead, dominate the industry. The only other non-Japanese firms in the top dozen are Korean, Samsung and Goldstar at nintfi and tenth. Philips and Thomson hold very strong positions in the United States through their subsidiaries Philips North American and RCA and are at the forefront of HDTV research there. US industry is barely represented in this sector; Zenith, the best placed American firm, ranks only sixteenth. Despite the high rankings held by European companies, their strengths reside generally in the more mature technologies, and their shares in the newer products are declining (e.g. camcorders). C. The International Context /. Developments in Europe and the World 11. Historically, the development of the IT and electronics industries has been influenced by the structure of demand, features of the market and the attitude of the public authorities. Three main categories of users have shaped these features. The public authorities. Public procurement, although it currently represents only 15% of the market for these industries, has long made its mark on them. It involved heavy and expensive equipment (miniaturized equipment, distributed computer systems and the liberalization of telecommunications being relatively recent phenomena). Orders placed by national public bodies, such as for mainframe computers or tele- phone exchanges, have created captive, protected markets throughout the world. Public procurement has thus helped national champions to emerge and proprietary standards, often incompatible, to develop. These features are blurring public procurement is becoming more commonplace with the emergence of distributed products and systems. In Europe, with the completion of the internal market, public procurement is gradually being opened up to competition. However, European IT and electronics firms have inherited a dependence on national buyers, proprietary standards and telecommunications infrastructures which are not properly interconnected at European level. The European market is still fragmented, which limits economies of scale and reduces size and networking effects. Firms. The products and services of the IT and electronics industry have become an essential element of productivity, flexibility and competitiveness for almost all of the productive fabric. They provide innovative elements such as electronic components for the motor industry and have now become indispensable production and design tools: computer-aided manufacturing and engineering, computerized telecommunications networks, workstations, applications software, etc. Firms face a twofold challenge: gaining access to the most innovative IT and electronics products, with optimum price, delivery and after-sales service terms, and also organizing themselves to exploit their potential to the maximum. Trade relations between manufacturing and user firms, the existence of a large market for standardized hardware and applications, and the presence of leading-edge users, are now essential preconditions for growth in the IT and electronics industries. These conditions differ from those prevailing in the United States and especially in Japan. Individual consumers. Their market is mainly consumer electronics and associated services, but also, increasingly, products originally designed for business use (minicomputers, etc.). It is a mass consumer market which makes severe demands on manufacturers in terms of cost and quality. This market is highly competitive, is subject to a high rate of innovation and involves taking major risks in the introduction of de facto standards. To remain competitive, firms must sustain a constant R&TD and innovation effort, and have substantial financial, production and commercial resources. ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—^Eieproduction Prohibited Reference mateiial—will not be republished The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries 12. History also influences the conditions for the growth of these industries throughout the world. In the United States, the power of the IT and electronics industry was built up in the '60s. Stimulated at first by the major military and space programmes, large groups consolidated their positions. The vitality and receptiveness of the American market, businesses' entrepreneurial spirit and the workings of competition allowed many medium-size firms (start-ups) to gain a foothold on the market and a rich and lively fabric of small and large firms to develop. Focusing originally on mainframe computer systems, in the '70s the American industry concentrated on minicomputers, in the '80s on personal computers and today on open and distributed systems. At the same time the software industry grew up, nourished by successive generations of hardware (the "proximity effect"). The American computer and components industry is still powerful, even though it has been experiencing difficulties since 1980 in the face of Japanese competition. On the other hand, the American consumer electronics industry has almost disappeared: the American market, which is open and competitive, is now dominated by Japanese and European firms. In Japan, the industry has grown and gained strength along a number of different paths. Japanese growth is not solely the result of market forces, but rather of long-term strategic planning in which the public authorities play a central part. The objective was to rebuild the Japanese economy and commercial and technological interdependence w^ith a view to achieving a very strong presence on the world market. The method used has been to consolidate and exploit an economic and political system which ensures close cooperation between the public authorities and industry, accompanied by selective public financing. It has given rise to structural protection of the domestic market and strong horizontal and vertical integration of the industrial groups, banks and distribution. This complex "controlled market" system has created favourable conditions for the growth of new industries including IT and electronics. The industry's development strategy has relied primarily on consumer electronics. Success in this area has led to a chain reaction: technological skills and breakthroughs, success with complex production processes, quality control, rapid innovation. These advantages then ensured Japanese success in the production of memories and later, peripherals. Japanese industry seems to be implementing a strategy to gain control of the world electronics market by gradual stages: after consumer electronics, components, now computers and maybe, by the end of the century, telecommunications. Japan has inherited from the past a technologically, industrially and financially strong industrial structure, a structurally protected national base and a strong capacity to innovate. To make up for its relative weakness in research, it launches well targeted international cooperation initiatives. For a long time in Europe, in the absence of a true Community market, the development of the IT and electronics industries and the industrial and technology policies adopted by the Member States were conceived on a national basis. The confines of the national markets, the difficulty in penetrating other Community markets and a certain reluctance to tackle other markets have weakened the Community IT and electronics industry as a whole. Not only were national champions able to achieve only limited economies of scale and networking effects, but also synergies between Community manufacturers and users from different Member States failed to materialize. At the present time, no Community IT and electronics manufacturer, not even among the largest, has a European image, especially in the eyes of the major user industries. For certain countries, the defence sector has been able to create captive markets and limit the stimulating role of competition on industry's ability to innovate. In consumer electronics, the segmentation of the Community market has paradoxically been able to protect European manufacturers from the Japanese, who have concentrated on the American market which is homogeneous and open. The European market and its industry are now undergoing radical changes. Much work has been done at both national and European level: industrial R&TD work and many restructuring initiatives have been stepped up, major national technological programmes have been launched. Community intervention has increased through the various Community programmes, EUREKA has been a mobilizing force, and markets have been opened up through the internal market. Despite these efforts, Europe is still suffering from tfie consequences of long-term fragmentation of its markets and its firms' difficulties in setting medium- and ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—^Reproduction Prohibited Reference material—will not be republished The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries long-term objectives. European industry must adapt its structure to the Community and world dimension, but this cannot but be a long and costly process. 13. In addition to these difficulties rooted in the past, European industry faces the phenomenon of globalization. Increasingly exploited by the more powerful firms, principally American and Japanese, it allows them to make up for certain gaps in their basic expertise, meet constantly rising R&TD costs and the shortening of product life, and to benefit from the high rate of technological innovation. Globalization also allows them to take advantage of differing competition conditions on the world market. For European firms facing fiercer competition on their own domestic markets, it is becoming essential for them to weave complex webs of cooperation arrangements, in particular by creating technological and commercial cooperation networks at both Community and national level. For the Community public authorities, it is becoming important to ensure, in this context of globalization and on the basis of balanced rights and obligations, that the its competitors' markets are as open as its own. //. The Causes of the Present Situation in this Context 14. Certain causes are of a cyclical nature. To begin with, the adverse effects of the economic cycle characterized by a slowing down of growth are being aggravated by the fall of the dollar and the yen in relation to the ECU. With the depreciation of the yen and the dollar, competitive pressure from Japanese and American goods on the European market has grown sharply. 15. Most are structural, however, and have been highlighted by the poor general economic climate of the '90s. They are manifold and interrelated. In order to analyse them, we will use the latest theoretical models* developed for the study of the competitive advantages of nations and apply them to the European IT and electionics industries. The analysis is based on four elements: demand conditions, factor conditions, related and supporting industries, and firm strategy, structure and rivalry. In addition to these factors, unequal competition conditions are accentuated by the public authorities. 16. Demand. The Community market has inherited a high degree of fragmentation in relation to the other large markets in America and Japan. This has particularly serious consequences for the European IT and electronics industry: The limited scope of its markets, often still confined to the national level has restricted the exploitation of economies of scale. European firms are therefore faced with higher unit production costs than their competitors. This is even more of a handicap since its effects are dynamic and cumulative. For the same reasons, European firms have not been able to exploit "network externality" effects. These effects appear when a user's choice is influenced by the size of the firms concerned or the total number of users of the products he wishes to buy. These networks attract users and they become captive for reasons unrelated to price, but linked to the difficulty of converting existing hardware, a wide range of compatible products or services, and the life of the networks. The segmentation of the Community market has restricted the size of networks and the number of users for European firms. The former development of proprietary standards and systems, long used to create captive national demand, becomes a handicap at a time when European firms, which have never commanded sufficientiy large markets to impose their standards, are obliged to change to open standards and systems. This essential change is called for by users but it does have the effect of eroding European computer hardware manufacturers' profit margins since the markets for open systems are more competitive. It also increases their costs, since the old and new generations of equipment have to be maintained simultaneously during the transitional phase from one to the other, while maintaining compatibility with dominant proprietary systems. 17. The lack of leading-edge useri in Europe, in contrast to the United States and Japan, prevents ' See in particular M.E. Porter: "The Competitive Advantage of Nations," Harvard Business Review, March-April 1990, and The Free Press, New York, 1990. ' European demand is estimated to be two to three years behind the American and Japanese markets and is reluctant to buy until new innovative products spread ortto external markets. ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—Reproduction Prohibited Reference material—will not be republished 10 The European Electronics and Infonnatlon Technology Industries the European IT and electronics industry from exploiting all the advantages of being first to market in new fields. However, for the development of the IT and electronics industries, the existence of a dynamic and demanding market plays a decisive role. The quality of demand is as important as quantity. The advantages of leadingedge demand are not only technological, but also commercial and financial. Indeed, it is during the period when a product is introduced that prices are high and profit margins sufficient to release the resources needed to finance R&TD and prepare subsequent generations of products. 18. Supply. Competition conditions are unequal between different areas. On a market which, in the case of IT and electronics, is worldwide, and where certain firms must employ a global strategy to survive, these differences become economically decisive and pose a political problem. While the degree of competition and openness to direct foreign investments is increasing in Europe with the completion of the internal market, certain foreign markets are still practically closed to the penetration of Community investments and products. While European firms must step up their efforts, and invest and develop partnerships in third countries, there are many reasons why they may come up against barriers to such initiatives. At a time when competition rules are becoming stricter in the Community, in other competing areas measures relating to concentrations and aid allowed are becoming more flexible or are sometimes remaining less strict. This state of affairs facilitates or on the contrary makes very difficult, depending on the internal markets of firms, their simultaneous presence or the distribution of their products throughout the world. The same applies to the concentration and vertical integration facilities offered to them. 19. Similarly, in view of the considerable volume of investments in R&TD and production capacity, financing conditions militate against the IT and electronics industries in Europe. In contrast to the United States, the financial system is reluctant to invest in start-ups. In contrast to Japan, the cost of financing R&TD and capacity investment is high in Europe and access to financial resources is difficult in the case of long-term or high-risk operations". This allows Japanese firms to devise a long-term development strategy and invest at lower cost. 20. Availability of skilled staff. Rapid technological advances have made the European IT and electronics industry heavily dependent on highly skilled staff \^dth state-of-the-art kno^vledge. However, in the labour market there are not enough engineers and researchers with recent training in the production, adaptation or use of these technologies. For the same basic population, Japan trains 80,000 engineers a year as compared with 41,000 for Germany and France together. Due to a lack of qualified staff (systems engineers, staff trained in computer-aided management), user industries and small businesses in particular are unable to make the most of competitive openings arising in the IT field. This means that demand on the European market is less advanced and less receptive to innovations than in the United States or Japan. 21. Structure of the European Productive Fabric. The relations between the FT and electronics industry and the surrounding industrial and scientific fabric are crucial. They can take many forms: access to basic knowledge depends on relations with scientific circles; knowledge of market needs, and users' ability to develop leading-edge markets depend on relations between manufacturers and users. Relations within and between industries allow the exploitation of complementary features and technological and commercial interdependences within the IT and electronics product family, and between small and large businesses. All these relations result from the compactness, solidity and dynamism of the productive fabric around industrial and scientific poles of competitiveness. In Europe, vertical integration of IT and electronics firms is relatively limited in comparison with American and especially Japanese firms. It failed in the past because European computer manufacturers tried to generate upstream business by making components, but only for their own needs. Since the markets within firms were insufficient, they were not able to reach critical production volume thresholds. On the other hand, " The financial costs for R&TD in Japan are substantialty less than in Europe. ArecetUstudy published fay the Federal Reserve Bank of New York ^ows that, in the medium term, costs may vary by up to 10 piercentage points. Long-term investments made by Japan s&ultaneousty on aU fronts aie colossil aitd their origin cannM in any way be explained by profit maigins on the domestic or external markets. Furthermore, In Japan the major groups are concentrated around a bank which partidpates directfy in strategic development decisions and their finandng. Access to finandaJ resources is therefore secure and not dependent on the firms' shoit-iemi profits, ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—Reproduction Prohibited Reference material—^will not be republished The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries this strategy has led to beneficial results for certain American groups, notably IBM, which were large enough to guarantee sufficient outlets within the enterprise. In Japan, vertical integration has succeeded since component production by consumer electronics or IT firms was oriented towards the export market, regardless of the cost. Groups such as Toshiba, Hitachi, NEC and Fujitsu belong to the top ten companies in the world in two and sometimes three segments of the components-IT-consumer electronics chain simultaneously. Inadequate integration in European firms, in relation to their American and Japanese competitors, is a handicap, particularly as far as components are concerned. Although there is plenty of cooperation on precompetitive research in Europe, cooperation arrangements on the development of new products are all too few and far between. For certain products such as memories, liquid-crystal displays (or HDTV), they are or will become indispensable, in view of the human, technological and financial resources which can only be mobilized on a European scale. Finally, the structure of the European productive fabric also has gaps in it as far as relations between manufacturers and users are concerned, which is a hindrance notably for start-ups and in complementary arrangements between large and small companies. Such relations exist in software and applications—where European competitiveness is high—but are generally insufficiently developed. 22. European Business Strategy. W i t h the exception of precompetitive R&D, the industrial strategy of Community firms has failed to take sufficient account of the Community dimension and long-term prospects. Opportunities for cooperation with Community and international partners have not been fully exploited. As regards innovation and production, European firms have failed to take full advantage of the opportunities for cooperation created by the major Community technology programmes and have not put longterm global strategies in place early enough. In this context, we should consider whether R&TD policy has not been too limited to the precompetitive area. It has, however, been Commission policy up to now to leave near market research to the companies themselves so as to maintain the i n c e n t i v e for t h e m to c o m p e t e t h r o u g h iimovation. 11. European firms must simultaneously sustain their R&TD efforts and capacity investments, manage their change towards both the Community and world markets and assimilate the many internal and external restructuring operations which they must carry out, while losing no time in finding a place on the most promising and innovative market segments which many have yet to enter (peripherals, microcomputers and portables). This requires considerable financial resources which they can raise neither internally, as competition is fierce, nor externally, as the financial system in most Member States is not properly geared to financing long-term or high-risk operations. The European IT and electronics industry's R&TD investment capacity needs are considerable. In the recent past European firms have made great efforts: on average they spend as much as their American or Japanese competitors in relation to their turnover (some 9-5% and 8.0% of sales are spent on R&TD and capacity investment respectively). The financial resources to be mobilized for the seven largest European firms amounted to around ECU 14 billion in 1989. Despite these efforts and taking account of their relatively small size, these resources are still lower than the investment expenditure of the six largest Japanese firms (ECU 22 billion) and seven largest American firms (ECU 20 billion). 23. European firms have a high-quality technological base, but fail to bring enough innovative products onto the market quickly enough. There is a shortage of new firms in Europe, especially small ones, to exploit the new market openings which are constantiy arising through rapid technological development. There are three reasons behind this: the first is the hesitant market. The second concerns finance: firms have insufficient financial resources and banks are reluctant to take risks. The third results in particular fi-om the shortage of skilled staff in systems management. 24. Inequality of Competition Conditions Is A c c e n t u a t e d b y P u b l i c A u t h o r i t y Involvement. The structural characteristics of the IT and electronics market described above (substantial economies of scale and learning, high entry and exit costs) lead the most powerful firms to acquire dominant positions, build barriers to entry, form cartels or closely control the use of certain technologies, subcontracting networks and distribution systems. In addition to these imperfections of the market, various failures of the ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—^Reproduction Prohibited Reference material—will not be republished 12 Hie European Electronics and luformatian Technology Industries competition mechanisms appear: external effects between activities or geographical areas, public facilities, especially R&TD where private production is insufficient and information incomplete or unbalanced. These failures call for information, coordination and stimulation functions which the pricing system alone, however "perfect" it may be, cannot provide. These imperfections and failures of the market mechanisms, and also the economic and social importance of the IT and electronics industries have encouraged the public authorities of the major economic zones to pledge support to the industry and provide it with a competitive advantage on a local basis. 25. In the United States the public authorities have taken part in an intense debate on maintaining American technological supremacy using national security as the main pretext, and have widened their range of economic policy instruments. The involvement of the public authorities has taken on various forms. Massive orders for high-tech equipment are being placed by various departments and agencies (in particular the Department of Defense), and expensive R&D programmes, backed up by the creation of university networks, are under way. The implementation of competition laws has been •watered down. Special procedures apply in certain sectors with regard to foreign firms carrying out their activities in the United States. The implementation of the "Buy American Act" enables preferential treatment to be given to American firms. Discrimination against American firms of foreign origin as regards R&TD is being practised by the Department of Defense, and Sematech is one example here. As negotiations stand at present, the GATT rules are applied in a selective fashion. Bilateral pressures (Super 301) to obtaui reciprocity, based on the 1988 Omnibus Trade and Competitiveness Act, aim to allow American firms to penetrate third countries' markets, under threat of unilateral retaliatory measures (the Community has been designated a "priority country" for telecommunications); at the same time, the United States is calling for "national treatment" from its trading partners which would like to see reciprocal opening-up of the markets. 26. In Japan, the policy of the public authorities is based on various instruments with mutually reinforcing effects: backing for business cooperation in terms of strategic planning and of scientific and technical cooperation; virtual closure of public procurement to foreign companies while ensuring a high degree of internal competition; support for the setting up of major diversified vertically and hori2ontally integrated groups, capable of sustaining for several years the losses incurred by the market launch of new products usually manufactured on the basis of technologies originally acquired externally. Japanese industry is geared to long-term strategies. TTie "Keiretsu" also provides a high level of coop>eration and solidarity between Japanese firms. The Japanese market is protected structurally by the way the productive system is organized, with support from the public authorities. The big Japanese conglomerates generally have a dual banking and commercial focus. The banking side takes care of the financing, according to the group's strategy, of long-term or high-risk operations such as research and the production of innovatory products. The sales and distribution side (notably in consumer electronics) deals with the promotion of products, market research and control via the captive markets created between the companies in the group. Comparative studies show that the prices charged for certain equipment in Japan are far higher than in other parts of the world. 27. The other Southeast Asian countries have also greatly consolidated their foothold in the IT and electronics industries, in particular via long-term technological development programmes (such as the ten-year "Submicron Process Technology Development" programme in Taiwan) and an intensive investment strategy. 28. The Member States have all developed their own R&TD policies accompanied by different instruments and have launched numerous national and international initiatives (such as the European Space Agency, the EUREKA initiative and aeronautical and military cooperation projects). The Community, so far with very limited powers in the field of defence, has concentrated on the completion of the internal market, an essential step to make firms look, think and act beyond national frontiers. It is also committed to the strict ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—^Reproduction Prohibited Reference material—^will not be republished The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries application of the lavvr concerning the competition conditions set out in the Treaty, the Ubersdization of telecommunications in the same spirit, and in particular the implementation of a major technological cooperation policy, more for the stimulus it provides than for the scale of financing involved. Committed to a policy of opening up to competition, it has actively promoted a standardization policy in favour of open systems geared towards hardware compatibility. It has decided to promote the development of trans-European networks which, through their structural effects, will ensure that full economic and social advantage is taken of the completion of the internal market. These trans-European networks relate in particular to computerized communications service vocational training networks. As far as trade is concerned it has endeavoured, so far with limited success, to obtain from its main trading partners an open, multilateral international trade system, ensuring, on the basis of the principle of balanced rights and obligations, that its competitors' markets are as open as its own. It has also been concerned to continue the integration of the European markets by new agreements with the EFTA and east European countries. These are all positive measures. They have not yet managed, however, to offset the failures of the market and imperfections in competition which characterize the IT and electronics market. D, A C o m m u n i t y A p p r o a c h /. A Reference Fratnework 29. Measures to be taken to restore the competitiveness of the electronics and IT industry depend on firms themselves taking the initiative and facing up to their responsibilities, and on their capacity to make the most of the new opportunities presented by the single European market. Despite their present difficulties, firms must follow a long-term strategy which allows them to maintain and step up action to increase productivity, modify their operating and distribution structures, anticipate technological developments and client needs, pool their efforts and become more complementary in certain fields, and form alli- 13 ances on a European and world scale, while observing Community competition rules. If firms can make a clear and unequivocal commitment to activities of this kind, supported by the new market conditions and in accordance with the rules of competition, it is up to the Community or the Member States, applying the principle of subsidiarity, to help create a favourable environment for them, taking into account in particular the importance of FT and electronics for the whole of society. 30. In order to back up firms' initiatives, the Community must identify the European interest before making proposals for measures to be taken in this field. One objective is to allow firms to have access to the markets for products, investment and technologies. The completion of the internal market is an essential contribution to this but firms will need time to take advantage of all the opportunities it offers. This may not be enough, however. In a context of the move towards global markets and substantial economies of scale, production geared to the world market has become essential. IT and electronics firms are increasingly inclined to manufacture their products on the spot, so as to take advantage of the proximity of tfie market and the special relations with clients which result. Access to the markets must include the possibility for direct investment and exports in all parts of the world. 31. As a precondition for the expansion of European industry, it must also have access to technology. Indeed competitiveness cannot be achieved without it and without the latest products incorporating technology, given the expansion in trade, the growing interdependence of economies and the increasingly hot pace of the marketing of new products. This applies primarily to components; firms need satisfactory access to components so as to be able to continue to place innovatory products on the market. A second important condition, indissociable from access to markets and technologies, involves mastery of technologies in Europe. This may be unrelated to a firm's origins but is closely linked with the type of R&TD w^ork it carries out in Europe and the way in which it disseminates its technologies outside. This means that the risk of a break in external sources of supply, especially in microelectronics, is reduced by the Community's capacity to develop products to deal with that eventuality, should it prove necessary. It also ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—Reproduction Prohibited Reference material—will not be republished 14 The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries means the capacity to develop these technologies in harmony with European societal development. A third factor relates to European firms whose basic markets are largely in Europe, with the positive effects on strategic decision-making, mastery of the technology and irmovation in Europe which this entails. Firms with the bulk of their activities taking place in Europe do not enjoy the same advantages as their competitors on their national markets, and face imperfections in the system of competition or failures of market mechanisms at international level. It is against this background that the Commission is proposing Community action to help firms through the adjustment process which they are facing, and help them meet customer needs, without taking artificial measures to support them. //. Proposals for Action There are five proposals altogether, relating to demand, technology, training, external relations and the business environment. tion of an international pilot project for a broadband network between research centres. Projects relating to a pan-European high-definition television service could also be studied and business applications found. These infrastructures for meeting user requirements will necessitate substantial investments in the Member States over the next ten years. These investments w^ill be all the more profitable and effective if they can d r a w on full-scale Community-wide trials. The Community's role will be limited to providing the necessary impetus and coherence, helping to define overall projects, coordination—especially for the exchange of results—and taking the general measures for which it is responsible, for instance harmonization of architecture and protocols. The investment necessary to implement projects drawn up and prepared in this way will have to be largely financed by the parties concerned, although this does not necessarily rule out Community support, notably through the use of the appropriate financial engineering mechanisms. 32. Demand. The creation of trans-European networks, as advocated by the Commission, incorporating harmonized telecommunications services, will considerably stimulate the demand for IT and electronic equipment". 35. Intensified joint efforts will be needed to disseminate and exploit the results of R&TD work on IT and electronics conducted at Community or national level or in a multinational framework such as EUREKA. 33- Computerized telecommunications links between administrations must be set up as quickly as possible and a high level of interoperability of information systems achieved, while respecting human rights, in order to speed up integration of the European market. Preparatory R&TD activities are planned under the third framework programme (1990-94)". The national bodies responsible for conducting these tasks will have to work together with the Commission's departments on computerized telecommunications networks and cooperation projects targeted primarily at SMEs. 34. This action must be accompanied by the launch of projects designed to modernize or create, with the help of computerized telecommunications, infrastructures in the fields of distance learning, transport, public health and the environment. Another project might relate to the gradual introduction of broadband services networks into the Community, in particular by the implementa" 'Towards trans-European networics—for a Community action programme" (COM(90)585 final). " Proposal for a spedflc programme on the ctevelopment of telematics systems in areas of general interest. 36. Increased user involvement in the Community's technological development programmes will be sought, both in their initial phases and if they are extended, in particular in the context of EUREKA. 37. Technology. In order to keep pace with the extremely rapid rate of technological development in electronics and FT, satisfy the growth in demand and maintain an active role on a market which is becoming global in scale, the Community could consider launching a second generation of R&TD, ranging from projects at the precompetitive stage to projects geared more closely to the market. ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—^Reproduction Prohibited Reference material—will not be republished The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries 15 This second generation, which is already emerging through the pilot projects being conducted under the third Community R&TD framework programme (1990-94) adopted by the Council on 23 April 1990, will be characterized in particular by the concentration of work on a smaller number of better targeted projects, closer cooperation with users, provision of training linked to advanced research and opening-up to international cooperation. Among the main objectives to be pursued, one could mention the following. 38. The guiding principles of the technology projects would rest on the following considerations: The creation of a Trans-European Software Institute at the initiative of Community industry could receive Community support. Provision is made in the third framework progranune for a pilot experiment (European Systems and Software Initiative). • It would make eminent sense to build further on points of strength in as far as they continue to offer, like software and CIM, potential for growth. • The frontier between computer software and hardware, predicated by the need to optimize the cost/benefit ratio, keeps moving towards ever more powerful systems, thanks to progress in microelectronics technologies, which allow more and more functions to be integrated onto one chip. In a sense, it can be said that today's systems will be tomorrow's chips. It is therefore essential to master the technologies on which these components are based in order to secure the continued growth of the software and systems industries. • Most technologies are on the brink of radical change or a new generation, which offer opportunities for bridging existing gaps and taking the lead again. This is the case in priority areas, like microelectronics, peripherals and high-performance computing. Projects implemented towards this end would need to be of different nature depending on the objective pursued. Mobilizing projects aimed at accelerating technology take-up on a broad scale would thus need to be carried out alongside integrating projects aimed at mastering and consolidating a selected range of interdependent technologies. These major projects, that would involve participation from all over the Community, would represent the core of R&TD effort and would have to be funded from the Community budget and as appropriate by national, regional or local sources, in particular within the context of EUREKA. For software, to increase productivity by concentrating on production methods and tools and their early transfer to users in the framework of mobilizing p r o j e c t ( s ) , involving n o t a b l y SMEs. Emphasis will be on software reusability well as on precompetitive work on both systems and applications interfaces. For computer-integrated manufacturing (CIM) and engineering, to strengthen European manufacturing capabilities by the timely provision of the most powerful technologies of the IT and electronics industries. These will help to shorten design-to-product time, implement just-in-time strategies, and make for more flexible production, especially small, diversified runs under severe time constraints. These technologies are also e s s e n t i a l for a c h i e v i n g d e c i s i v e quality improvements. For microelectronics, to develop integrated-circuit design and manufacturing technologies for both standard components (memories and logic circuits) and custom integrated circuits (ASICs), R&TD work building on and carrying further the collaboration established under JESSI. To supplement the above, efforts would need to be undertaken to provide microprocessor capabilities with particular emphasis on the definition of a family of new-generation architectures, securing compatibility and the transition from currentgeneration machines. For peripherals, to establish capabilities for developing input/output devices and subsystems. Special attention should be given to highresolution flat-panel display technology currently based on liquid crystals (LCD). A specific industrial commitment should be obtained on this. It is also essential for the development of consumer electronics. For high-performance computing (HPC), to take advantage of the possibilities offered by progress in the field of parallel processing, t h r o u ^ which computing power is expected to be increased by ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—Reproduction Prohibited Reference material—^will not be republished 16 The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries a factor of 1,000 by the end of the century. This will revolutionize the field and open horizons to applications for new users. This represents a major challenge in software. Once the complex software problems have been overcome, there should be rapid exploitation in many fields, such as simulation, forecasting and optimization in manufacturing industry, environment and meteorology. A project lasting ten years will probably be needed to master this new approach and all its implications. A preparatory phase is planned under the new programme on IT ^vithin the third Framework Programme. The Commission, in its communications to the Council on trans-European networks, has already proposed specific measures on vocational training". The R&TD framework programme for 1990-94 also includes an entire specific programme devoted to developing human capital and promoting the mobility of research scientists. The Commission has also been involved for a number of years, notably since 1986, in the development of highly specialized programmes and initiatives on initial and continuing training in new technologies such as DELTA, COMETT, FORCE and EUROFORM. For telecommunications, to respond to the growing demand for improved user friendliness, better economic return, faster response times and increasing freedom of choice and flexibility in integration of services. This should be achieved by the development "intelligent" networks, integration of flexible services, and the extension of multitasking capabilities to create or improve telecommunications networks ^vhile safeguarding data integrity and security. The objective would be to achieve response times and performance comparable to what is obtained today in companies' local area networks. Integrated broadband network technology provides both the capacity and the generic intelligence to respond to these user needs. Satisfying user demands requires a sustained effort of mobilizing and integrating technology and advancing international standardization at a rapid pace. Second-generation efforts should concentrate on the systematic development and validation of modular standardization of common parts of services enabling open service implementations to evolve with demand. Networks of excellence composed of both academic and industrial research teams, geographically distributed throughout the Community, will continue to be set up in order to provide a critical mass of complementary knowledge and expertise, and help to share limited and expensive resources. Training. 39. The Community urgently needs to train research scientists and engineers capable of developing and making maximum use of the new information technologies, where new generations are constantly emerging. Multidisciplinary training measures could be launched or stepped up. They would be targeted at training staff and at staff engaged in production and management in firms using and supplying computerized telecommunications products and services. Training activities should also be developed to promote new forms of business management, integrating computer applications and advanced telecommunications in new management and production systems. 40. External relations. The Community can help to sustain a competitive Community electronics and IT industry by adopting a trade policy based on the following six objectives: • Maintenance of an open, multilateral international trade system • The improvement of access to the markets of the main trading partners in electronics and IT (notably the United States, Japan and South Korea) • Establishment of fair competition in international markets • Support for scientific, technological, industrial and commercial cooperation in the international arena • Continuing integration of European markets by means of new agreements with EFTA and Eastern European countries • Economic restructuring aid for the Eastern European countries 41. The electronics and IT industries are directly concerned by the Uruguay Round of multilateral negotiations, and a satisfactory conclusion could " 'Towards trans-European networks: Objectives and jX)ssible applications" (COM(89)643 of 18 December 1989) and 'Towards trans-European networks—a Community action programme" (COM(90) 585 of 5 December 1990). ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—Reproduction Prohibited Reference material—will not be republished The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries make an important contribution to the achievement of the first two objectives. The Uniguay Round "market access" negotiations are especially important for semiconductors and consumer electronics. Inconsistencies in the present tariff structure for semiconductors are liable to place the Community's processing industries at a competitive disadvantage. Within the constraints of the current global negotiations, the Commission will attempt to iron out these inconsistencies, while taking into account the respective interests of Community producers and users. On consumer electronics, the Community has offered less substantial tariff reductions to its trading partners on certain products. In addition, the Commission will insist on the need to remove the numerous non-tariff barriers which hinder imports of consumer electronic goods to some of our partners (in particular Japan). 17 Similarly, in this sector, a high degree of vertical integration and the acquisition or existence of dominant positions could give rise to abuses in particular market segments, such as discriminatory practices, predatory pricing or refusal to supply. In the Community, if such practices were proved, they would be subject to the prohibition of Articles 85 and 86. The Community must insist that its competitors and the public refrain from such practices and that the public authorities put in place an efficient system to prevent such abuses. The response to external competitive pressures must be to secure a situation in which Europe's competitors refrain from unfair practices in their own or third country markets, not to modify the application of the rules in the Community. Competition policy strengthens European companies and is not a luxury to be discarded when there is competition from outside. New Community measures to control concentrations have an important part to play. Moreover, in view of the damaging instability of supply prices on the world components market, the Commission believes that the OECD should be asked to set up a new consultative forum on semiconductors. The Commission will investigate the existence of such practices among the Community's main competitors. If abuses and unfair practices can be shown to exist, pressure will be brought to bear on the relevant authorities. Identification of specific obstacles to fair competition followed by pressure on the public authorities has brought positive results in other sectors. For example, as a result of Community pressure, access has been granted to the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Partly as a reaction to international criticism, Japanese competition policy is being reformed and strengthened. The Japanese and US authorities must be pressurized to go further in this direction so as to bring about a situation where the main international trading partners can operate under roughly equivalent competition rules. 42. The Commission will seek to ensure equitable conditions of competition and market access for both products and technologies at world level. As international competition intensifies and as markets become global, the fact that all companies competing in the world market are not operating under the same conditions of competition may cause particular problems for specific markets and products such as those in electronics. For example, very large companies may use their extensive range of activities in the electronics sector to cross-subsidize certain products and activities and seek to gain market shares by undercutting their competitors. 43. While meeting its international obligations, the Community will have to fall back, where necessary, on its customs regulations (temporary suspension of the autonomous duties of the common customs tarifO and its trade policy instruments (such as antidumping measures and customs duties). In any event, the antidumping procedure can only be considered as a last resort. For this reason it is necessary to maintain detailed statistics and use all available bilateral and multilateral consultative fora in order to anticipate and avoid those situations which could result in the Community having no other choice than to take antidumping measures. The Community is paying close attention to the possibility of the renewal of the bilateral agreement on semiconductors between the United States and Japan which has important direct implications for all the Community's electronics and IT industry. The Commission will not hesitate to take action—as it did when the original agreement was concluded, by calling for a GATT Panel—^if the new agreement contains provisions which may be against the interests of the Community electronics and IT industries. ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—Reproduction Prohibited Reference material—^will not be republished 18 The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries The Community applied the antidumping regulations to several electronics and IT products in the period 1985-90: semiconductors, photocopiers, printers, video recorders and television receivers. It seems that the effects of antidumping measures can vary, owing to the peculiarities of the markets for these products and the controversial impact of these measures on consumers and the industries which use components. In any event, application of Article 115 will not be possible at the intra-Community borders once the internal market has been completed. 44. In the search for a balance between international cooperation and technological independence, firms should take responsibility for their strategic choices in this area, while the public authorities have the important role of providing a p p r o p r i a t e f r a m e w o r k s for t r a d e a n d cooperation. 45. The Community, in close collaboration with the industrialists concerned, has already taken part in international cooperation, for example in the field of standardization. Other opportunities are now emerging, such as the project for a programme on intelligent manufacturing systems (IMS). A number of areas of technological cooperation are currently being explored with American organizations. The Community itself should also seize the initiative in launching scientific cooperation programmes. 46. The Community will continue current negotiations with the EFTA countries with a view to creating a European economic area. The huge market which will be created in this way will offer fresh growth opportunities for the electronics and IT industries. 47. The Community must face up to its responsibilities vis-^-vis the Central and Eastern European countries and help them to bridge the technology gap and make good their inadequate infrastructure, especially in telecommunications. In time these countries will offer new opportunities and prospects for industrial cooperation. Their needs are very considerable: their production system must be adapted or changed and IT has a central part to play in their efforts to catch up. 48. The Business Environment. T h e i m p l e mentation of the concept of industrial policy also calls for further measures in the field of electron- ics and IT designed to create a healthy business environment. 49. Improving financing systems. Given the importance of financing systems for firms which are capital-intensive and require high R&TD expenditure, the public authorities should hold discussions with banks and financial institutions on ways in which risk capital could be employed in conjunction with taxation measures. Training schemes for staff in the banking sector encompassing both the financial side and computerized systems applications should also be looked into. 50. Faster standardization and integration of standards into products (hardware and software). Since products now become obsolete so rapidly, European firms are finding it increasingly difficult and costly to manage the evolution of standards. Ways of speeding up the procedures for drawing up standards, especially those relating to software, should be studied with European and national standards institutes. European industry must also build new standards into its products and systems more quickly, like its foreign competitors, so as to derive maximum benefit fi-om such standards, and must play an active role in the European, foreign and international standards bodies. 51. Closer involvement of the development of electronics and rr in the introduction of structural policies. The structural Funds make a significant contribution to the development of the less prosperous regions, by promoting the infi-astructure for technology transfer, the dissemination and exploitation of research results, and the launching of training schemes in science, technology and management. These measures are among the priorities for development established, for each of the Community's less-favoured areas, within the Community support fi-amework. In addition to these measures, the Commission has adopted a series of Community initiatives such as STRIDE, STAR, TELEMATIQUE and PRISMA. These initiatives help to create an environment that favours the development and dissemination of new technologies in firms, especially small businesses, in these regions. These structural measures should continue, and be better targeted where necessary, especially in the most disadvantaged areas. ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—Reproduction Prohibited Reference material—^will not be republished The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries 52. Developing infrastructure for cooperation. The dialogue between the various groups involved needs to be stepped up, a move which could lead to the formation of partnerships. Special measures could be considered or stepped up to help SMEs to expand their networks and step up their activities beyond their national frontiers. Pilot operations for cooperation between SMEs, large firms and research centres at Community and international level should be launched, multisectoral basic technologies promoted in the framework of overall technology policy and the need for major industrial iavestments in basic components required for future generations of data-processing and electronics products taken into consideration. The progressive integration into components of the functions contained in information and communication systems requires an improvement in cooperation between semiconductor manufacturers and users. The Commission will continue its efforts to facilitate the formation of such cooperative partnerships. 53. This communication is intended to serve as background for a debate with the Member States, the European Parliament, the Economic and Social Committee as well as the industries, manufacturers and users concerned, in order to analyse the situation as perceived by the Commission and discuss the action to be taken. This should enable the Commission to enter into fruitful dialogue with industry, users and investors, in order to assess the situation in greater depth from a dynamic perspective and to identify conditions for a long-term recovery, while respecting the roles of the parties concerned. ©1991 Dataquest Europe limited November-^teproduction Prohibited Reference material—will not be republished 19 Appendixes Evolution of European IT and Telecommunications Industry Exchange Rate Trend 1980: 1984: 1989: 1990: $1 $1 $1 $1 = = = = ¥225 ¥238 ¥138 ¥146 = = = = ECU ECU ECU ECU 0.72 1.27 0.91 0.80 Figure 1 European Industrial Growth Comparison Annual Growth (Percent) 176 rr IndiKby (^55 %) fessengerCars (5%) Transport (4SW Electronk: Engineering (A2,%) Engineering {4%J GDP (3.6%) Chemicals (33%) Note: Compound annual growth rates 1984 to 1988 given in brackets. Source: EurosUtistics Data for Short Term Analysis, Price Watethouse: IT2000 Ouly 1990) 21 The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries 22 Table 1 Breakdown of World Production of the IT and Tetecommunlcations Industries by Main Geographical Area (since 1980) 1980 1984 United States 46% Japan Europe 15% 26% 47% 21% Other Countries 13% 1990 1989 38% 21% 27% 22% 11% 13% 37% 24% 24% 14% Source: EC (1990) Table 2 Consumption and Production of the IT and Electronics Industries by Main Geographical Area (Billions of Dollars) Consumption Production Europe United States Japan World 26,400 38,700 40,200 Active Components 13,200 21,200 Passive Components 13,200 Europe United States Japan 125,600 20,100 34,700 54,500 125,600 26,100 73,000 8,300 18,100 37,100 73,000 17,500 14,100 52,600 11,800 16,600 17,400 52,600 108,100 164,300 70,200 391,900 85,200 168,000 90,200 391,900 Computer Hardware 62,000 78,500 37,500 204,000 45,200 78,100 50,200 204,000 Software and Services 27,600 58,800 14,700 115,000 26,200 63,200 14,000 115,000 1989 Components of which: Computers of which: Office Systems Automation Consumer Electronics Total in IT and Electronics As Percentage World 6,300 12,100 4,900 26,900 4,100 9,400 10,700 26,900 12,200 14,900 13,100 46,000 9,700 17,300 15,300 46,000 23,400 24,800 16,300 84,000 12,900 10,800 35,700 84,000 157,900 226,800 126,700 601,500 118,200 213,500 180,300 601,500 26% 37% 21% 100% 20% 35% 30% 100% Source. HC (1990) ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited Novemt)er—Reproduction Prohibited Reference material—will not be republished The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries 23 Analysis of the Situation by Sector Semiconductors Fi^iure 2 World Semiconductor Production by Region Market Share (Percent) 70% 0%l& 1980 19ei 1982 1383 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 Source: Dataquest (November 1991) Figure 3 World Production o f DRAMs b y R ^ o n market share (%) 80 Japan ^x 60 40 ao- oJ1974 USA X 1976 Rest of the worid Europe 1980 1984 1988 Source: Dataquest (November 1991) ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—Reproduction Prohibited Reference material—will not be republished 24 The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries Table 3 Computers—Trend in Market Shares of IT Firms in Europe 1980 1982 1984 1987 1988 European Firms 33.0% 34.0% 36.5% 43.2% 42.8% American Firms 67.0% - 66.0% - 63.5% - 56.8% - 54.4% Japanese Firms 3.8% 1989 40.2% 56.5% 3.2% Source: Datamation Table 4 Control of Production of Computer Hardware In the United States, Europe and Japan (in 1989) Firms under American Control Firms under European Control Firms under Japanese Control Production United States 92% 4% 4% Europe 58% 34% 8% Japan 16% 0% 78.1 45.2 50.2 Source: EIC (1990) Table 5 Main Statistical Data for Consumer Electronics (In 1988) (Billions of Dollars) Prod. Imp. Exp. BaL Mkt. Imp. Ratio EC 10.7 9.3 1.2 -8.1 18.8 49.5% Japan 32.2 0.7 16.8 +16.1 16.1 4.3% USA 5.4 11.2 15.7 7.6 71.3% 16.6% 11.1 - +4.7 - 3.0 ROW 0.5 - 0.9 5.2 -10.3 Korea 12.2 - Total 68.2 - - - 68.1 - Source: BIS-Maddntosh (1990) ©1991 Dataquest Europe limited November-^teproduction Prohibited Reference material—will not be republished The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries 25 The Worsening European Trade Deficit Table 6 Trends In Trade Balances for the IT and Teleconununlcatlons Industries by Main Geographical Area (BlUlons of ECU) 1986 1987 1988 -14.5 -18.9 -28.0 1989 -31.0 -7.6 -65 -4.4 -7.0 +50.3 -28.0 +47.0 +56.0 +57.0 -21.9 -20.5 -18.8 Europe United States Japan Rest of "World Source: EIC Table 7 European Trade Deficit in Electronics and IT (1988 and 1989) (Billions of ECU*) Trade Balance 1988 1989 Active Components -3.6 -4.4 Passive Components -0.6 -1.2 -14.3 -1.0 -15.3 Components, of which Computers, of which: Computer Hardware Computer Software and Services Consumer Electronics -9.5 -1.3 -9.6 'Mean annual doUar/ECU exchange rate: 1986 $1 - ECU 1.016 1987 $1 - ECU 0.867 1988 $1 - ECU 0.846 1989 $1 - ECU 0.908 Source: EIC (1990) ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—Reproduction Proliibited Reference material—will not be republished 26 The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries Analysis of the Situation of Electronics and IT Firms Table 8 Ranking of the Top Ten Firms o n the World Market Rankli^ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Source; Components' (1990) NEC Toshiba Hitachi Motorola Intel Fujitsu Texas Instruments Mitsubishi Matsushita Philips Computers' (1990) IBM Fujitsu Digital NEC Unisys Hitachi Hewlett-Packard Siemens-Nixdorf GroupeBull Olivetti Consumer Electronics' (1989) Matsushita Sony Philips Toshiba Hitachi Thomson JVC Mitsubishi Samsung Goldstar ' Dataquest (November 1991) ' Gartner Group Inc. (1990) ' BIS-Maddntosh Figure 4 Trends i n Company Results (Top 100 Information Systems Firms*) Net Profits as Percentile of Tiunover Profit after tax in % of revenues Revenues (Billion $) 1985 1986 1967 1988 1989 ' AU Companies - - - European Companies * IS: Definition referring to Datamation's "Information System" includes additionally data communications equipment (digital PABX, communications processors, facsimile machines, muttiplexeis, word processing). Source: Datamation ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—Reproduction Prohitrited Reference material—will not be republished 27 The European Electronics and Information Technology Industries Table 9 World Rankli^ of Semiconductor Manufocturers (1990) (Turnover in Millions of Dollars) 1990 Company 1989 Tumover 1990 Turnover 1 1989 1 4,952 2 2 Toshiba 5,015 4,930 90/89 -1% 4,905 -1% 3 4 3 4 Hitachi 3,974 3,927 -1% Motorola 3,692 11% 5 6 8, 6 Intel 3,319 2,430 3,135 6 Texas Instruments 3,019 2,574 29% 2% 7 2.963 2,787 8 7 Mitsubishi 2,476 9 10 9 10 Matsushita 2,579 1,882 1,945 3% Philips 1,716 1,932 11 11 National 1,618 1,718 13% 6% 12 13 12 SOS-Thomson 1,301 12% Sanyo 1,365 1,463 1,381 Sharp 1,230 1,360 11% 15 16 15 14 Samsung 1,260 Siemens 1,194 1,315 1,221 4% 16 17 13 14 NEC Fujitsu -8% -4% 1% 2% 19 Sony 1,077 1,172 9% 18 17 Oki 1,154 1,074 -7% 19 20 18 AMD 1,100 1,067 -3% 20 AT&T 873 830 -5% Source: Dataquest (November 1991) Table 10 Market Shares of World Top Ten Semiconductor Firms (1979, 1984 and 1990) 1 1979 Texas Instruments 2 Motorola 3 4 5 6 1990 13.5% Texas Instruments 9.7% 1 NEC 7.8% 2 NEC 7.5% 2 Toshiba National 7.3% Motorola Hitachi 3 4 6.7% Motorola Intel 7.3% 6.8% 6.9% 6.4% Hitachi Phillips 3 4 5 National 4.9% Intel Fairchild 5.5% 6 Intel 4.8% 5 6 6.3% 5.4% Fujitsu 5.2% 7 Texas Instruments 4.4% 8 Mitsubishi 4.2% 9 10 Matsushita 3.3% 3.3% 7 Mostek 8 NEC 9 10 1984 1 3.3% 3.0% AMD 3.0% Hitachi 2.4% 7 Fujitsu 8 Phillips 9 10 Toshiba 4.5% 4.4% 4.2% AMD 3.8% Phillips Source: Dataquest (November 1991) ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited NovemlDer—Reproduction Proliibited Reference material—will not be republished 8.5% 8.4% 28 The European Electronics and Infonnation Technology Industries Figure 5 Ranking of Major World Computer Firms $60.8B $54.5B EDS Wang Xerox AT&T $48.0B MhonUmtvs KTT Compaq Matsushita NCR Canon Apple HP SNI ($6.2B) 1 1 1 1 1 Tosliilia Hitachi $26.3B STC/ICL Nb(dort{$2.eB) Unisys Ptinipe Fujitsu Olivetti Digital NEC Siemens ($6.0B) DT (new)($3.4B) Bull * IS: Definition referring to Datamation's "Information System" includes additionally data communications equipment (digital PABX, communications processors, facsimile machines, multiplexers, word processing). Source: Datamation (June 1990) Table 11 World Top Ten Consumer Electronics Manufacturers (1989) (Billions of ECU) Ranking Company Turnover 1 Matsushita 19.5 2 Sony 10.7 3 4 Philips 10.1 Toshiba 7.1 Hitachi 6.1 5 6 Thomson 5.0 7 JVC 4.9 8 Mitsubishi 4.1 9 10 Samsung 3.4 Goldstar 3.1 Source: BIS-Mackintosh ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November—^Reproduction Prohibited Reference material—will not be republished Dataquest n n a company of MBMM TheDun&BradslFeetCorporation Dataquest Research and Sales Offices: Dataquest Incorporated 1290 Ridder Park Drive San Jose, California 95131-2398 Phone: 01 (408) 437-8000 Telex: 171973 Fax: 01 (408) 437-0292 Dataquest Germany In der Schneithohl 17 6242 Kronberg 2 Germany Phone: 49 6173/61685 Fax: 49 6173/67901 Teclinology Products Group Phone: (800) 624-3280 Dataquest Hong Kong Rm. 401, Connaught Comm. Bldg. 185 Wanchai Rd. Wanchai, Hong Kong Phone: (852) 8387336 Fax:(852)5722375 Dataquest Incorporated Ledgeway/Dataquest The Corporate Center 550 Cochituate Road Framingham, MA 01701 Phone: 01 (508) 370 5555 Fax: 01 (508)370 6262 Dataquest Incorporated Invitational Computer Conferences Division 3151 Airway Avenue, C-2 Costa Mesa, California 92626 Phone: 01 (714) 957-0171 Fax: 01 (714)957-0903 Dataquest Australia Suite 1, Century Plaza 80 Berry Street North Sydney, NSW 2060 Australia Phone: 61 (2) 959 4544 Fax; 61 (2) 929 0635 Dataquest Europe Limited Roussel House, Broadwater Park Denham, Uxbridge, Middx UB9 5HP England Phone: 44 (895) 835050 Fax: 44 (895) 835260/1 Dataquest Europe SA Tour Gallidni 2 36, avenue du G^n^ral-de-GauUe 93175 Bagnolet Cedex France Phone: 33 (1)48 97 31 00 Telex: 233 263 Fax: 33 (1)48 97 34 00 Dataquest Japan Limited Shinkawa Sanko Building 1-3-17 Shinkawa, Chuo-ku Tokyo 104 Japan Phone: 81 (3)5566-0411 Fax: 81 (3) 5566-0425 Dataquest Korea Daeheung Bldg. 1105 648-23 Yeoksam-dong Kangnam-gu Seoul, Korea 135 Phone: 82 (2) 556-4166 Fax: 82 (2) 552-2661 Dataquest Singapore 4012 Ang Mo Kio Industrial Park 1 Ave. 10, #03-10 to #03-12 Singapore 2056 Phone: 65 4597181 Telex: 38257 Fax: 65 4563129 Dataquest Taiwan Room 80 l/8th Floor Ever Spring Building 147, Sec. 2, Chien Kuo N. Rd. Taipei, Taiwan R.O.C. 104 Phone: 886 (2) 501-7960 886(2)501-5592 Fax: 886 (2) 505-4265 Dataquest GmbH Kronstadter Strasse 9 8000 Munich 80 Germany Phone: 49 (89) 93 09 09 0 Fax: 49 (89) 930 3277 00095*3 3.0 Semiconductor End-User Markets INTRODUCTION Dataquest's European Components Group (ECG) has developed a new module called European Semiconductor Applications Markets (ESAM) that provides a complete analysis of semiconductor consumption in Europe by application market segment. This product is intended to support decision makers who must take a tactical or strategic approach in their analysis of the semiconductor market, from either an application (or demand) side or end-use perspective. This section gives a top-level overview of the semiconductor applications markets in Europe by the following six market segments: • Data processing • Consumer • Communications • Military • Industrial • Transportation For a complete analysis of these segments, readers should refer to the ESAM module. EUROPEAN END-USE SEGMENTS The data processing segment comprises all equipment with the main function of information processing. Included in this segment are all types of computers, from personal computers to mainframes, and all computer peripheral equipment such as memory storage systems and data terminals. The communications segment consists of all forms of equipment used for electronic communication. This equipment includes devices used on customers' premises (e.g., PABXs, telephones, facsimile), the public network (switches and transmission), radio, and studio and broadcast equipment. The industrial segment covers all forms of manufacturing-related equipment including energy management, automated manufacturing systems, robotics, medical systems, and commercial aviation. The consumer segment covers equipment that is retailed through retail stores and designed primarily for domestic or personal use, such as home audio and video equipment; white goods appliances (e.g., microwave ovens and washing machines), and personal electronics (e.g., watches, hearing-aids). Military equipment consists of electronic equipment used for weapons or weapon-support systems and is classified by specific budget areas. To avoid double counting of items that logically belong to other segments, it excludes nonspecific electronic equipment procured by governments. # • ESIS Volume II 0004416 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated August 3.0-1 3.0 Semiconductor End-User Markets Transportation segment consists mainly of automotive and light truck electronics. This designation leaves room to analyze other markets, such as off-highway equipment, that are potentially large users of semiconductors. EUROPEAN OVERVIEW The European electronic market exhibits significant differences from those in the United States or Japan in terms of the percentage of consumption by end-use segment (see Figure 3.0-1). Figure 3.0-1 1988 Semiconductor Consumption by Application Markets Billions of Dollars 20- fM^] Transportation • • Military I I Consumer 16Industrial C ommunic atlona 14[,"V"-.| Data Procsssing 18 12 10 a 6 4^ 2 0 North America Europe Japan Source: Dataquest August 1989 0004416-1 # 3.0-2 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated August ESIS Volume II 0004416 3.0 Semiconductor End-User Markets In North America the emphasis lies in the data processing segment, which Dataquest estimates accounted for 49.4 percent of 1988 U.S. semiconductor consumption, in contrast with 39.8 percent in Europe (or 43.3 percent in Japan). In Europe, the communications segment continues to occupy a high, 19.2 percent share of total consumption, compared with 13.5 percent in the United States and 12.9 percent in Japan. This difference is due largely to the regulatory environment in Europe, where the Pidalic Telephone and Telegraph (PTT) operator in each country favors local equipment suppliers. The consumer market in Japan continues to occupy a greater proportion of semiconductor consumption, 31 percent, than either Europe (11.5 percent) or the United States (5.4 percent). EUROPEAN SEMICONDUCTOR MARKETS Table 3.0-1 describes Dataquest's five-year forecast by top level end-use segment for 1989 to 1994, with an overall compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.9 percent predicted for this period. Table 3.0-1 Estimated European Semiconductor Consumption by End-Use Af^lication ^999 % Category ($B) Data Processing Communications Industrial Consumer Military Transportation $3.40 2.04 1.73 1.18 0.58 0,7$ 35.0% 21,0 17.8 12.2 6.0 Total $9.69 1994 ($B) % 8,0 $ 7.50 4.60 3.44 3.80 1.30 2.43 32.5% 19.9 14.9 16.5 5.6 10,e 17.2% 17.7% 14.8% 26.3% 17.3% 26.1% 100.0% $23.07 100.0% 18.9% Source: m ESIS Volume II 0004416 CAGR © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated August Dataquest August 1989 3.0-3 3.0 Semiconductor End-User Markets Data Processing Rapidly rising DRAM prices have distorted the consumption of semiconductors in this segment during the past couple of years. In 1988, data processing consumption represented 39.8 percent of the total European market. With an outlook of falling DRAM prices, we expect this fraction to drop to 35 percent this year, returning to a long-run 32.5 percent by 1994. Table 3.0-2 shows the data processing market in Europe broken down by subsegment. Computers occupied the lion's share of this market in 1988, accounting for an estimated 78.3 percent of the semiconductor market in the data processing segment. Following this segment were data storage systems (largely hard disks) with 9.8 percent and dedicated systems with 6.3 percent. Table 3.0-2 Estimated 1988 European Data Processing Semiconductor Consumption by Subsegment Subseament Millions of Dollars Percent Data Processing Computers Data Storage Subsystems Terminals Input/Output Dedicated Systems $2,645 333 28 165 210 78.3% 9.8 0.8 4.8 6.3 $3,381 100.0% Total Source: Dataguest August 1989 Dataquest estimates that overall semiconductor consumption in the data processing segment will experience a 17.2 percent CAGR during the next five years. Laser printers and workstations represent the two most djmamic markets in this segment. The growing affordability of laser printers, combined with tougher European local content rules that are driving greater local production, will cause this subsegment to show a 34 percent CAGR between 1989 and 1994. The growth in semiconductors consumed for the workstation market will be almost as dramatic, with an estimated 31 percent. 3.0-4 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated August ESIS Volume II 0004416 3.0 Semiconductor End-User Markets Communications Table 3.0-3 shows the communications market in Europe for 1988 broken down by subsegment. Customer-premises equipment (telephones, facsimile, data terminals, modems, PBXs) account for the greatest proportion of revenue in this segment, 38.4 percentTable 3.&-3 Estimated 1988 Eurcq>ean Communications Semi<x)nductcH* Consumption t^ Subsegment Subseqment Conanunications Customer Premises Piiblic Telecommunications Radio Broadcast and Studio Other Total Millions of Dollars p§rpe^t 628 496 261 137 112 38.4% 30.4 16.0 8.4 6.8 $1,634 100.0% $ Source: Dataquest August 1989 Although overall growth for communications—17.7 percent CAGR—ranks behind the consumer and transportation sectors, it contains the highest growth applications for the next five years. With ISDN services recently announced in France and West Germany, Dataquest expects ISDN semiconductor revenue to show a sharp increase, reflecting an average 90 percent CAGR. By 1992 the market for dedicated ISDN ICs is estimated to be worth $137 million. The new digital cordless telephone technologies, CT2 and DECT (Digital European Cordless Telephone), also are poised to make a strong impact in the next five years—growing at an estimated 54 percent during this period. Dataquest estimates that the market for CT2 semiconductors in Europe alone will be worth between $90 million and $170 million by 1994. X For the most part, facsimile machines are imported and in the past have not accounted for significant component sales in Europe. Dataquest estimates that in 1988 only 15 percent of this high-growth market was satisfied by production in Europe. ESIS Volume II 0004416 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated August 3.0-5 3.0 Semiconductor End-User Markets However, the trend here is toward rising local production with both Japanese and European companies expected to expand production in Europe, driving an average 45 percent CAGR in semiconductor consumption during the next five years. Industrial The industrial segment covers a diverse range of applications. Table 3.0-4 shows a breakdown for industrial consumption in Europe by subsegment for 1988. Table 3.0-4 Estimated 1988 European Industrial Semiconductor Consumption by Subsegment Subsegment Industrial Energy Management Manufacturing Systems Robot Systems Medical Systems Commercial Aviation Other Total Millions of Dollars $ p?r<??nt 125 795 26 217 75 153 8.9% 57.1 1.9 15.6 5.5 11.0 $1,392 100.0% Source: Dataquest August 1989 Manufacturing systems (production systems, instrumentation) accounted for 59.1 percent of this market, with medical systems accounting for much of the remainder (15.6 percent). However, the energy management systems sector is the one in which Dataquest predicts the main growth (38 percent CAGR) in this segment during the next five years. In this time period, smart electronic metering systems are forecast to gradually replace existing electromechanical meters for electricity, gas, and water. Consumer Table 3.0-5 shows the consumer semiconductor consumption in Europe for 1988 broken down by subsegment. Video equipment (television and video recorders) represent the greatest share, with 68 percent of the market, followed by white goods appliances (microwave ovens, washing machines, dishwashers) with 16 percent and audio equipment (hifi, radios) with 12 percent. 3.0-6 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated August ESIS Volume II 0004416 3.0 Semiconductor End-User Markets Dataquest expects the consumer segment to show the strongest growth in semiconductor consumption, with a 26.3 percent CAGR during the next five years. A key factor behind this growth is the European Commission (EC)'s rules on local content and antidumping, which are especially strong on products in this segment—particularly regarding televisions and video recorders. Table 3.0-5 Estimated 1988 EunH>ean Consumer Semiconductor Consumption by Subsegment Subseament Millions of Dollars Consumer Audio Video Personal Electronics Appliances Other $117 666 29 158 6 12.0\ 68.2 2.9 16.2 $976 100.0% Total Source: Percent Q,7 Dataquest August 1989 Where there are new markets presently dominated by imports, Dataquest expects the EC to move to encourage local production. One proposal before the commission is to raise tariffs on imported camcorders from 4.9 percent to 14 percent. In Europe, camcorders represent a $2 billion market, of which almost all are imported. The semiconductor content per unit in this segment also is steadily increasing, as chips will continue to replace electromechanical controllers in washing machines, dishwashers, and microwave ovens during the coming years. Except for microwave ovens, these items will continue to be produced mainly in Europe by strong, locally owned manufacturers such as Electrolux, Philips, and Bosch-Siemens. Transportation The trends in semiconductor consumption for transportation are similar to those for the consumer market. The most prominent of these trends is a market that is shifting toward greater semiconductor content in a legislative environment in which local production is increasingly favored. ESIS Volume 11 0004416 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated August 3.0-7 3.0 Semiconductor End-User Markets Features like antllock braking and fuel injection were at one time luxuries that distinguished top-range performance cars from low-end ones, but this is changing and these items increasingly are being offered as standard equipment on all models. The EC's target of tightening of regulations regarding car pollution by 1993 is another major factor. These rules will require a much higher proportion of cars to use microprocessor-controlled engine management systems. Table 3.0-6 shows Dataquest's estimation of transportation semiconductor consumption for Europe broken down by subsegment for 1988. Power train systems (electronic fuel injection and engine management) account for the greatest (41 percent) share of this market, followed by safety and convenience systems (mainly antilock braking) with 22.2 percent and entertainment systems with 19.1 percent. Table 3.0-6 Estimated 1988 European Transportation Semiconductor Consumption by Subsegment Siibseqment Millions fitDollars Transportation Entertainment Body Controls Safety and Convenience Power Train Driver Information $117 72 136 251 Total P^rg^nt 36 19.1% 11.8 22.2 41.0 5.9 $612 100.0% Source: Dataquest August 1989 Military Semiconductor consumption for the military segment will remain static in real terms during the next five years. The current political climate between the West and east bloc countries is such that further cuts in defense budgets in Europe are probable, which will result in declining orders for military systems. However, Dataquest predicts that electronic content will continue to increase and, as procurement budgets shrink, military electronic systems will go through successive phases of modernization rather than replacement. 3.0-8 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated August ESIS Volume II 0004416 3.0 Semiconductor End-User Markets Consolidation through horizontal integration and joint consortia is likely in a European military market that is deeply fragmented along national lines. The main impetus for consolidation in this market comes from the fact that R&D costs are escalating rapidly. Examples include Ferranti's venture with Teledyne to manufacture acoustic sensors, Plessey's 49 percent stake in Electtronic and GEC's 5 percent holding in Matra. Further consolidation is likely. ESIS Volume II 0004416 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated August 3.0-9 3.7 Semiconductor Distribution Markets INTRODUCTION This service section will discuss the European semiconductor distribution markets. Included will be the following topics: •• Major distribution by region • Market data by region • Profiles on the major European distributors A description of the European semiconductor distribution markets, their history, development, and future outlook, is contained in Section 1.5 of this volume. Channels of Distribution. The formal service section is currently in preparation. Clients who wish advance information should use their inquiry privileges to address their specific topics of interest. ESIS Volume II ' © 1986 Dataguest Incorporated October 3.7-1 4.0 Major Users INTRODUCTION This service section gives Dataquest's estimates of the semiconductor spends of the main equipment companies in Europe in 1990. Two sets of estimates are given: European equipment companies' worldwide purchases, and worldwide companies' European purchases. For the first time these estimates include a breakdown by the major product categories of bipolar digital, MOS memory, MOS micro, MOS logic, analog, discrete, and optoelectronic. Changes in company structures are constantly taking place due to mergers, acquisitions, divestitures, and so on. bi these estimates, company structures are taken to be as at the end of 1989. Detailed company notes explaining the assumptions we have made are given at the end of this section after the tables. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY In estimating the semiconductor spend of major equipment companies Dataquest employs two main methodologies: • Procurement surveys. These gather actual inputs from the companies themselves on their spends. The surveys also yield a breakdown of types of semiconductor purchased (microprocessor, memory, and so on). • Dataquest's application markets research. Analysts in Dataquest's European Semiconductor Applications Markets (ESAM) research group use their knowledge of equipment production and semiconductor content of equipment to estimate the semiconductor spends of the major equipment companies. Other sources of information include: • Other Dataquest service groups, particularly our European telecommunications, computer, personal computer, printer, and copier and duplicating industry groups • Publically available sources such as press clippings • Our own market intelligence Finally, in completing our 1990 estimates we sent a draft of the final estimates to each of the top 10 semiconductor vendors in Europe. Their comments and corrections have been included, and we gratefully acknowledge their assistance. # ESIS Volume n 0006186 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited October 4.0 Major Users THE TABLES The following tables show Dataquest's estimates of the semiconductor consumption of electronic equipment manufacturers. • Table 1 estimates European companies' worldwide semiconductor consumption by major product category in 1990. • Table 2 estimates worldwide companies' European semiconductor consumption by major product category in 1990. • Table 3 ranks worldwide companies' European semiconductor consumption in 1990 by size in descending order. # ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited October ESIS Volume n 0006186 4.0 Major Users fi < s t < i - H T - < m t ^ o o o \ M f < - H o o t - i o \ r ~ t n t s ( s c < ' - H O > © ' < a - e n c n o n v o > n o ; p < o o o. cj ^ O « ©-HO\0\\ovoc'i<-i»-ir^»HrfO\Ooovoo\'-iot~voo»oc^o©c<»ooef>in-HOS'-<ca 1-H ^H o O I O n ^ a> a\ •£ B O 'M S o 2 J ,o r-i-H-H^ © »-H ,-1 vodot--" r~ Nts c>l »-<o>0\'-<>o *^ vo ^ ^ J ee- coo 00«O'-^tS'-<O a. -< M <-< •-^ VH © 'S a. E 3 en S O U o ^d « .-v • g | - SI M P t~vooot<iO\Ocs<o>o<rivo«siric<'o>nt~vo—i'*tsr~c<i'0©vor-r~r-av-^vO'*r~ en>-< "-I © p^ op»-H(s rt-< tSM <no —<c«ios»-i\6 '^ '^ oo ^ so «9' IZl >. \ O T r ' ^ w 3 < n o - H N v o t n c < i ' H m \ o > o « e < % c < i O \ r - - c » c j < o o o o t ~ ' r - » ^ v O { S > n > o O \ v o o\ O S t^ .a Ss i-H »—( IS E *—( © V i3c« i §"3° 3 2 11 •-<<Dmo\iQcsvoo\c<its..Hr-.cnt~-oo—<«»Hr~^Hr»rtooT^^tso^oooo>n»o^n'-^vo *o cSrtOv'S-'^m -Hvo-<Tr \oint^ooc<ienc<icsoo'* M'<3-c»c^cs>noo-Hvoo\ts (S ^H c ^ , - 4 ^ H T-<c^c<i e n ' - H O N <s" 1| «9"S b cSf>|io»0«-<a-©cn'>!t->-4CJ©©i«.o«STt-H<r)c<iT|-c»i'-imo\cn>ort-0\t»i-^©0\rr '§> 2 'S n D. E o U c e9 D. 2 s ie- 5 s TSCJ 3 S o "*c^o^(sr--Hrt'*voo\©<n-<ttst~^<o^©-H©©©'^voc<ir~©e<iT^O\vocn( c'^csoor-vo>0'Hc<i--'-ioo»-<'^o\-HVO'»t'^'nc^-Hen'-<ooONenc<^^oo'^'^oovoi cs e n - H C S ' - i . - H •-itstsio ' - i ^ c ^ s •3.2 e o S ' CO vot~o\c<iooc'im>ovooofno\-HOcncnvOTi-c»-Hr~oo©'*o\*oo>©ts©o\r-ciio •*e'ir-oooooo<-ir)oo(sa>—ic<l'*>n»-Hmio\0'*-HoO'-H©o\'*c<iin-<'^oo©>0\e'5 t*i •^^-Hc'i'-irtcs -^tsent^ ^ - H I O T T vo •<* VO •s 1^ M) p "S S 2 § ESIS Volume H 0006186 ^11 ^ F ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited October 4.0 Major Users 0 0 — i i - i < n r - © o - ^ c M c s > - i o c s o v e o \ 0 \ v o c ^ o e » i ' - i c i N O ' - i O \ O e « i O NON O © <S <0 Tf '§' *-( I »-H i-H y—f *-H I 3 oj r~—iooON«<i\ovoc^-^r~r-ON<rj©r~Mc<i>nooe'iasooo\t-t~t~-r<i'nr;©c<i>or-<sooooen • g ^ H i o I - H M VO i n c n t S ' ^ ^ ^ - H O N - H C S t-~r~Ovo>ri«>o»0«S«n>ncn^©-HTt-^TtOi1''-HOOO\vevOoocnONtS'-i'HOOvoe<^oocn-^ vot-H-Hrt f ~ . r t ^-i<nM<sr~'-ittreses ^ c s 1-H s O o\ i! ^eo a. >r)>ocs«<^«so\c>j<S'*t-->riONO©-H-H,^o\»0'*r^r~-r~-Hoo'<*-vo-Hvoc»voco'*t^r~e<%vo r» cs-H c< m ^ r t c s c s o o ^ c* — -^«"n .— cri" ^H T-t —4 •<r E 11 s M B O ub. e 3 vo<ovo(Si~--H©c<ie'i-H'*oo\o©'*r>lt~r»r»oomr~tsoo«oO'^cs-H>-iooO\vo^©c<-H t^^H c^^^ oo ^H ^H vo^Hc*^cn»—I©—< t-H ^^<r> c^t** ^n^nen en "O is = = S5 M ~a if 11 • ^ • * i n i o o o i o o > M © ' * t n o o ' ^ o o o r t r - .• *^ v-Ho t>so-© o e ' » N ' ^ i ^ < n o \ - H m t ' t ^ ' ' > t ~ - 'rt - | '»-i - ' cv| ' - <I— < ir> >rtrlfS-H»^ y-i trt \0(S — ^ ^"« • — — •* "n « _. ^ — ._ .^ _. ^ •^<nMO\*0'*<s\Dr~r«M<n©©-*'*voooor-\o^'-i-Hop<-imc^oooo-H<r)«no\opt^oo '-i-^vO'^'^'^pi T-io\'-<r-i'* 00 T f i o r - p ^ o o c i e ' i c ^ c S o c s o o t n oooo-ntsrS'^r* 1—1 » - ( l ™ ( ^H t ^ »H»—(i-H E 3t» ® .es c« ^ -<r)-H\er»vo-<tOc^©'-Hoovo©<r)©oo<oof>)cnm^'-iTj-tf>'*cnt<i^oo'*c<«n^r»t'i So C a « :2 II it !y fi.S M V 'S et mtoMtsosvo—i^(svoo\vo — ©t^oooo©t^(nor>-<nr-r~'-iNc<^t<io©f>-tsr»©r»r» csfS-*r~io\o<n'^csr--HTrio © '-Hooi-iin-HcS'*<scncoc^©tS'-<e<%cS(Sc<i^>o© ^ C^ C S T H ^ ( S | , - « ^ » H O \ ^HCSCStr) rl a. S o U « •o '^ "m •- S G OR -^t~00t0CSt~-e<%>nt<^<O00VD'^©ve-H^-'^t^<S'-''*«^*0'-i*O»0\OP~-<'-i0\©O>O\ cnen-Hoovooooo-HC»«r><s>n>o «^ m . - ( -H.-ioQ«N<o©c<oo>oe'i'<i--*tn©r~rt'*^c<ie<%<noo«s <-IC^'-I-H<S-HO\ —IC^CS^ -H f-jg 2 "b I e- -i I I s 13-J fl... 5 ^ .a P o s „ .. i o S S S ' S - n = ^ i l a. aa psJ - g m S i S i ' g S l l S . a ' S S:S 3 « -3,0 <<«pqmmpQUO QSBaoO(3fflS«^SSZ22:Sso S'Spg s^lllf ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited October 16"^ ESIS Volume H 0006186 Table 2 (Continued) Worldwide Companies' European Semiconductor Consumption in 1990 (Millions of Dollars) i^^^ 9! I Total Semi. Total Digital Bipolar Total MOS MOS MOS IC MOS Metnw^ Micro Logic 409 61 90 299 30 35 313 46 79 220 23 33 29 0 9 5 0 4 220 23 60 116 11 26 88 4 32 24 2 16 64 7 15 39 3 7 69 11 13 53 6 4 $5,894 $4,827 $415 $3,376 $1,466 $934 $976 $1,0 Total Euiopean Semiconductor Markets $10,682 $8,455 $696 $5,809 $2,383 $1,704 $1,722 $1,9 Above Companies Percentage of Total European Market 55.2% 57.1% 59.7% 58.1% 61.5% 54.8% 56.7% 5l3.1 Siemens Sony « 1=1 STC (incl. ICL) Thomson Toshiba T\ilq) Total Above Companies o I a II VI Note: Ttrials may Dot add doc to mukting Snina; (DotiquMt) Ootoher 1990 Line 1 Table 3 Ranked Worldwide Companies' European-Based Semiconductor Consumption in (Millions of Dollars) o a I r HH w S« IBM Philips Siememi Basch Alcatel ThomsoO' Ericsson Nokia Olivetti Gnindig BuU GPT Semdco GEC Hewlett-Packard Digital Nixdorf STC (incl. ICL) Schlumbeiger ASCOM A « a Brown Bovetf Amstrad Apple Sony Italtel Commodore Sagem Mannesmarm Matra ConumttilciMisnl Rank Xerox Aerospatiale Lucas "Hilip NCR Racal £IectrcM){ES AEG Total Total Semi. IC Digital Bipolar 984 441 409 356 318 299 287 279 247 202 156 153 129 124 121 116 109 90 89 87 83 83 62 61 56 54 50 46 41 39 37 36 35 34 31 31 927 327 313 276 242 220 218 223 230 153 146 117 102 80 110 107 103 79 67 66 51 72 59 46 45 51 40 37 31 37 23 27 33 32 22 23 115 14 29 10 21 5 18 13 28 2 18 10 3 6 13 13 13 9 7 6 4 6 7 0 4 6 4 4 3 5 2 1 4 4 2 1 Total MOS MOS MOS MOS Memory Micro Logic 734 185 220 192 162 116 146 138 181 77 115 78 78 50 86 84 82 60 47 44 32 49 46 23 31 40 28 28 21 29 15 21 26 25 15 14 440 53 88 34 53 24 47 51 107 15 68 26 11 14 50 48 49 32 21 15 10 25 28 4 13 24 11 14 7 17 4 2 16 15 5 4 187 53 64 77 32 39 31 36 46 24 29 16 36 19 22 21 21 15 13 9 12 13 12 7 7 10 7 8 4 7 6 11 7 6 4 5 107 79 69 81 76 53 67 51 28 38 18 37 31 17 13 14 12 13 12 21 10 12 7 11 12 6 10 5 10 4 5 8 4 4 6 6 Linear 78 128 63 73 60 100 54 72 21 74 13 29 21 24 11 11 9 10 13 16 15 16 5 23 9 4 8 6 8 3 7 6 3 3 6 7 Table 3 (Continued) Ranl(ed Worldwide Companies' European-Based Semiconductor Consumption in (Millions of Dollars) cK I—I S">* 00 ^t Toshiba British Aerospace Bayer Bang & Olufsen Electrolux Norsk Data Compaq Total Above Companies Note: Ibtalt may not add due to rounding Source; Dataquest (October 1990) O I i i Total Semi. Total IC Digital Bipolar Total MOS MOS Memory MOS Micro MOS Logic Linear 30 28 23 15 11 10 0 23 19 22 11 8 10 0 0 1 3 0 0 1 0 11 12 17 6 4 8 0 2 3 10 1 1 5 0 3 5 4 2 1 2 0 6 4 3 3 2 1 0 11 5 2 6 4 1 0 $5,894 $4,827 $415 $3,376 $1,466 $934 $976 $1,036 4.0 Major Users COMPANY NOTES AEG Group On 1 July 1989, AEG's aviation, space technology and defense operations were transferred to Deutsche Aerospace AG. AEG and Deutsche Aerospace are subsidiaries of Daimler-Benz. A substantial portion of AEG's office and communications systems division revenue is derived from sales of badged systems. Aerospatiale In 1989, Aerospatiale and Thomson-CSF merged their avionics interests to form Sextant Avionics. This new company has not been shown seperately. Sextant's production and semiconductor consumption are included in the original companies. Alcatel All equipment production for the Alcatel group is shown, although the eight major companies within the group each procure separately. Amstrad Although Amstrad only manufactures a limited amount of equipment in Europe, it is believed to procure for the bulk of its semiconductor needs through its European office. ASCOM ASCOM was founded in mid-1987 by the merger of Autophon AG and Hasler Holdings. Bang & Olufsen Bang and Olufsen is now majority-owned by Phihps, but because the company still has control of its own procurement and equipment production, it is shown separately. Bayer The Imaging Technology division of Bayer is Agfa-Gevaert Group. We believe that a major portion of Agfa-Gevaert's sales are derived from badged products. Robert Bosch We estimate that the 80 percent of Bosch's semiconductor consimiption in transportation is from captive supply while, in other areas, the consumption is predominantly merchant Our estimates include Bosch's majority stakes in 19 German and 68 foreign subsidiaries. This includes Blaupunkt-Werke GmbH, Bosch-Siemens Hausgerate, ANT Nachrichtentechnik GmbH and Telenorma. These estimates do not include the Bosch-Matsushita joint venture, MB \^deo GmbH. 8 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited October ESIS Volume n 0006186 4.0 Major Users Bull These figures include Bull's recent acquisition of Zenith Data Systems. Compaq Compaq manufactures PCs in Scotland but is believed not to procure semiconductors locally, instead importing PCBs from outside Europe. Consequently we have left its semiconductor consumption at zero. Deutsche Aerospace Deutsche Aerospace has not been included in this year's breakdown. GEC The estimates for GEC exclude GPT, but include the aerospace and engineering divisions of Plessey. GPT Telecommunications GPT is owned 60-40 by GEC and Siemens respectively. It is shown separately because it still has independent purchasing power. Each GPT manufacturing location has its own procurement office, controlled by a steering committee to determine common sources. Grundig The estimates cover Grundig AG Group. These consist predominantly of its home consumer/ home electronics operations. IBM We estimate that there is a 50-50 spht between captive and merchant semiconductor consumption in IBM. In PC production, its demand from the merchant market is stronger, with captive supply accounting for only 15 percent of its total PC consumption. Italtel Italtel is owned by IRI-STET; the Italtel numbers include Italtel Telematica, Italtel Tecnomeccanica, Italtel Tecnoelettronica and Italtel Telesis. Magnet! Marelli This is the automotive components arm of the Fiat Group. All of Fiat's semiconductor procurement is through Semelco. ESIS Volume n 0006186 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited October 9 4.0 Major Users Mannesmann These estimates include all companies within the Mannesmaim group, including Mannesmaim Kienzle and Hartmann & Braun. Matra Communication The Matra Communication estimates do not include its subsidiaries: MET, LCT, and Matra Communication Systemes de Security. Matra SA Matra SA has not been included in this year's breakdown. Nixdorf (latterly Siemens-Nixdorf Information Systems) Nixdorf is now controlled by Siemens. For this analysis, estimates for these companies are shown separately. Nokia Nokia estimates include the companies Luxor Oy, Salora Oy, and Oceanic SA. Olivetti Olivetti's joint venture in photocopiers with Canon is not included in this estimate. Philips At the begimiing of 1990, Philips disposed of a major portion of its defense business in Europe to Thomson-CSF, selhng an 80 percent interest in Philips' Dutch subsidiary Hollandse Signaalaparaten BV, a 49 percent interest in Philips' Belgian company MBLE, and 99 percent of the defense business of Philips' French company TRT. In the &st quarter of 1990 Philips sold its German defense activities. Since early 1989 Philips' major domestic appliances divisions have been in a joint venture with Whirlpool. Estimates for this venture are not included and semiconductor procurement for this company is not shown. In mid-1990 Philips took control of Bang & Olufsen. Bang & Olufsen's equipment production is not included because it still has control of its own semiconductor procurement i Plessey Plessey was split up between GEC and Siemens. Siemens took the defense electronics division of Plessey, and GEC took the aerospace and engineering divisions. GPT is now owned on a 60-^0 split between GEC and Siemens respectively. 10 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited October ESIS Volume n 0006186 4.0 Major Users Rank Xerox • l A large portion of Rank Xerox's revenue comes from its reprographic businesses, which account for about 70 percent of its revenue. Within this, a large portion (45 percent) is made up from service agreements. Sagem The Sagem equipment production represents the consolidated sales of Sagem, and not just that of the parent company. Schneider The data include only PC production (excluding laptops). Semeico Semelco is the semiconductor procurement arm of the Fiat group. These figures include consumption for Magneti Marelli and Telettra. Sextant Avionics Sextant Avionics has not been included in this year's breakdown. The joint venture was set up by Aerospatiale and Thomson-CSF by the merger of their civil and fighter electronics businesses. Aerospatiale transferred Crouzet, Sfena and ESA, while Thomson-CSF transferred its general avionics division. Siemens These estimates include captive sales to Siemens from Siemens Components (believed to account for 30 percent of Siemens' total demand). After the takeover of Plessey, Siemens took control of the defense electronics division of Plessey. Siemens' 40 percent stake in GPT is not shown, as the company retains its own purchasing locations. Siemens' has recently acquired control of Nixdorf. For the moment, estimates for these companies are shown separately. STC (including ICL) STC's equipment production includes ICL (whose controlling interest is being sold to Fujitsu). Telettra This is the telecommunications arm of the Fiat Group, and is now merged with Alcatel NV. All of Fiat's semiconductor procurement is through Semelco. ESIS Volume n 0006186 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited October 11 4.0 Major Users Thomson Thomson includes equipment production for Thomson Consumer Electronics SA and Thomson-CSF. At the beginning of 1990 Thomson acquired a major portion of Philips' defense business in Europe; this has been included in the estimates. From 1989, Aerospatiale and Thomson-CSF merged their avionics interests to form Sextant Avionics. This has not been included. Whirlpool International Whirlpool International was formed by the merger of the European appliance division of PhiUps and Whirlpool. It has not been included in this year's breakdown. 12 ©1990 Dataquest Europe Limited October ESIS 0006186 m 4.0 Major Users INTRODUCTION This service section gives Dataquest's estimates of semiconductor spends for the main equipment companies in Europe in 1991. Two sets of estimates are given—^European equipment companies' purchases worldwide, and worldwide companies' purchases in Europe. These estimates include a breakdown by the major product categories of bipolar digital, MOS memory, MOS microcomponent, MOS logic, analog, discrete, and optoelectronic devices. Changes are taking place in company structures all the time due to mergers, acquisitions, divestitures, and so on. In these estimates company structures are taken to be as they were at the end of 1991. Detailed company notes explaining the assumptions we have made are given at the end, after the tables. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY In estimating major equipment companies' semiconductor spend, Dataquest employs two main methodologies: • Procurement surveys. These gather actual inputs from the companies themselves on their spends. The surveys also yield a breakdown of types of semiconductor purchased (microprocessor, memory, and so on). • Dataquest's application markets research. Analysts in Dataquest's European Semiconductor Application Markets (ESAM) research group use their knowledge of equipment production, and semiconductor content of equipment to estimate the semiconductor spends of the major equipment companies. Other sources of information include: • Other Dataquest service groups, particularly our European telecoms, computer, personal computer, printer and peripherals service groups. • Publicly available sources such as press clippings. • Our own market intelligence. Finally, in completing our 1991 estimates we sent a draft of our final estimates to each of the top 10 semiconductor vendors in Europe. Their conunents and corrections have been included, and we gratefully acknowledge their assistance. ESIS 0009993 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November 4.0 Major Users THE TABLES The following tables show Dataquest's estimates of the semiconductor consumption of electronic equipment manufacturers. • Table 1 estimates European companies worldwide semiconductor consumption by major product category in 1991. • Table 2 estimates worldwide companies European semiconductor consumption by major product category in 1991. • Table 3 ranks worldwide companies European semiconductor consumption in 1991 by size in descending order. Note: Figures may not always add to totals shown due to rounding. CHANGES TO 1990 ESTIMATES Since the last estimates in this section were published (September 1990), the Commercial Aviation segment has been deleted from from the Industrial segment and added to the Military and Aerospace segment, and is reflected in the accompanying estimates. In addition, more representative nominal margins assumptions have been used this year to translate ex-factory revenue (derived from the company reports) to give the end-user revenues printed in this section. Compared with last year, the following changes have been made: • Last year's uniform 12.5 percent markup for data processing equipment has been replaced by 25 percent in cases where channels exist between the OEM and the end user. In many cases, this has significantiy raised the estimates for manufacturers of personal computers and related peripherals. • Last year's uniform 12.5 percent markup on communications equipment has been replaced by a 25 percent markup in the Customer Premise subsegment, and a zero markup for the Public Telecommunications segment. • Last year's uniform 25 percent markup on consumer equipment has been replaced by a 50 percent markup. • The zero markups for industrial and military equipment remain unchanged. ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November ^ ESIS 0009993 4.0 Major Users COMPANY NOTES Acorn A subsidiary of the Olivetti Group which currently subcontracts all of its PC motherboard manufacturing in the United Kingdom. AEG Group A subsidiary of Daimler-Benz. A substantial portion of AEG's Office and Communications Systems division is derived from sales of badge systems. AEG's estimates include its Telefunken subsidiary. Aerospatial Estimates do not include Aerospatiale Crouzet, Sfena and ESA divisions which were transferred to Sextant Avionique in 1989. Sextant Avionique estimates have been shown separately. Last year's estimates showed Aerospatiale with production in Industrial, due to changes in the way ESAM defines equipment this production of commercial aircraft is now included in MiUtary. Alcatel Estimates include the whole of the Alcatel group including Alcatel FACE, Alacatel Bell Telephone, Alcatel Business Systems, Alcatel Standard El^ctrica, Alcatel SEL, Alcatel CIT, Alcatel Cable, and Telettra. Amstrad Subcontracts all of its manufacturing, the majority of which is done outside Europe, but is believed to specify and procure the bulk of its semiconductor needs through its European office. Consequently, procurement for its non-European activities is included in the European estimate. Apple Currently expanding its current PC factory in Cork, Eire. Apricot Included for the first time this year. Apricot was acquired by Mitsubishi in May 1990. ESIS 0009993 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November 4.0 Major Users ASCOM Created in mid-1987 by the merger of Autophon AG and Hasler Holdings. ASEA AB Not shown in this year's breakdown, although its two main subsidiaries, Asea Brown Boveri and Electrolux remain listed. Asea Brown Boveri (ABB) A joint-venture company between ASEA AB of Sweden and BBC Brown Boveri of Switzerland. The ABB Group owns 1,300 companies worldwide. Bang & Olufsen (B&O) Now 25 percent owned by Philips with the remaining 75 percent owned by Bang & Olufsen Holding. The company still procures semiconductors independently and, consequently, its equipment production is shown separately. During B&O's 1990 financial year it sold 50 percent of Dikon, now Diax Telecommunications A/S, to Ericsson A/S for $6.5 million (not included in the equipment estimates). Bayer The imaging Technologies sector of Bayer is the Agfa-Gevaert group. Bayer is active in the printer, copier and scanner markets. Dataquest estimates that the majority of Agfa-Gevaert's sales are derived from badged products, midrange to high-end printers and copiers and mainly from Minolta. Robert Bosch We estimate that 80 percent of Bosch's semiconductor consumption in transportation is from captive supply while, in other areas, the consumption is predominantly merchant. The estimates include Blaupunkt-Werke, ANT Nachrichtentecluiik and Telenorma. This year Bosch-Siemens Hausgerate is broken out and shown separately. Bosch-Siemens Hausgerate This year we have spUt out the equipment estimates of Bosch-Siemens Hausgerate. This is a 50-50 joint venture between Bosch and Siemens, and manufactures electric household appliances and entertainment electronics. ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November ESIS 0009993 4.0 Major Users Groupe Bull Acquired Zenith Data Systems (ZDS) in December 1989, it has since rationalized production to plants in France and closed down the ZDS facility in Eire. Commodore Currently expanding it PC facility in Braunschweig, Germany. Deutsche Aerospace Founded in 1989 and embraces the activities of Domier, Messerschmitt-Bolkow-Blohm, Motoren-und Turbinen-Union and Telefunken Systemtechnik. The companies' production estimates have not been shown this year. Electrolux Markup for consumer is 50 percent instead of last year's 25 percent. GEC Estimates exclude GPT (shown separately) but include Ferranti Defence Systems, which GEC acquired during this year. Goldstar Currently manufacturing consumer goods in Germany (VCRs) and in the United Kingdom (microwave ovens). For the consumer electronics-related business, Goldstar is procuring semiconductors locally, its PC operation in the United Kingdom is currently using imported boards so this equipment production is not shown. GPT Owned 60-40 by GEC and Siemens respectively. It is shown separately because it still retains independent purchasing power. IBM Has a 50-50 split between captive and merchant semiconductor consumption. In PC production, IBM's demand from the merchant market is stronger, with captive supply accounting for only 15 percent of its total PC consumption. ESIS 0009993 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November 5 4.0 Major Users ICL STC, the previous owner, sold its controlling stake in ICL to Fujitsu this year. ICL's equipment estimates are shown separately. In May 1991, ICL acquired Nokia's computer division, Nokia Data, and Nokia Data's production is also included. Italtel Equipment estimates include Italtel's subsidiaries, Italtel Telematica, Italtel Sistemi, Italtel Tecnoelettronica, Italtel Tecnomeccanica and Italtel Telesis. Mannesmann Recently entered into two cooperation agreements in the electronic equipment area of its operations. Firstly the printer operations of Mannesmann Tally and Siemens were merged and, secondly, Mannesmann has transferred control of its computer division, Mannesmann Kienzle, to a joint-venture company with Digital. Therefore, an independent estimate for Mannesmann has not been made this year. Matra Communication Estimates only include the parent company, and not those of its subsidiaries. Nokia Corporation Sold its computer division, Nokia Data Systems, to ICL in May 1991, estimates for this division have therefore been excluded. Nokia Consumer Electronics include production for Luxor, Salora and Oceanic. Northern Telecom Took over STC this year. Previously STC sold its stake in ICL to Fujitsu (Northern Telecom estimates are not shown this year). Olivetti Group Estimates include Olivetti's PC subsidiary, Triumph-Adler, which it acquired in 1986. The estimates do not include its subsidiary Acorn which is shown separately. Matsushita Equipment estimates include Matsushita's subsidiaries, Panasonic and JVC, which manufacture equipment in Europe. It does not include the equipment manufactured by the joint-venture company MB Video. 6 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November ESIS 0009993 4.0 Msyor Users Philips Disposed of a major portion of its defense business in Europe to Thomson-CSF at the beginning of 1990. In July 1991, Philips sold the majority of its Information Systems Division (excluding its PC operations) to Digital. These operations have been deducted from our estimates. The estimates include all companies in which Philips has a controlUng interest and, therefore, they exclude Bang & Olufsen and Whirlpool International. Philips estimates have been strongly influenced by a large exchange fluctuation in US dollars to gulden for 1991 over 1990. Sagem Equipment estimates represent the consolidated sales of Sagem, and not just those of the parent company. Sextant Avionique A joint venture formed between Aerospatiale and Thompson-CSF in 1989. Aerospatiale transferred Crouzet, Sfena and ESA to the new company, while Thomson-CSF transferred its general avionics division. Its revenue was made up of the following: civil aviation (27 percent), military aviation (20 percent), helicopter and space (20 percent) components (33 percent). Siemens Estimates include the activities of Siemens-Nixdorf Information Systems (SNI) which was founded by the merger of Siemens' and Nixdorf's computer divisions in January 1990. Siemens also acquired the defense activities of Plessey which are included in the estimates, but excluded from the estimates is Bosch-Siemens Hausgerate's estimates (shown separately). The estimates include captive sales to Siemens from Siemens Components (believed to account for 30 percent of Siemens' total demand. STC Sold its controlling interest in ICL to Fujitsu. Later, STC was taken over and incorporated into Northern Telecom. Sony Estimates are derived from its TV and VCR production in the United Kingdom, Germany, and Spain. ESIS 0009993 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November 4.0 Major Users Thomson Consumer Electronics (TCE) A subsidiary of Thomson SA, split out for the first time this year. TCE's products are mainly marketed under the brands Thomson, Telefunken, RCA, Nordmende, General Electric, SABA and Ferguson. Over one-third of TCE's workforce is located in Asia with production facilities in Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, Hong Kong, Taiwan and China. Most of TCE's Audio and Communication Group's products are manufactured in Asia. For this reason a large part of TCE's production and consumption is outside Europe. Thomson-CSF A subsidiary of Thomson SA, split out for the first time this year. Thomson-CSF general avionics division is not included in these estimates as it was transferred to Sextant Avionique in 1989. Sextant Avionique has been shown separately. Tblip Computers Manufactures PCs in the Netherlands and has recently announced plans to expand its production facility there. At the moment, Tulip subcontracts its manufacture of motherboards. ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November ^ '^ ESIS 0009993 4.0 Major Users Table 1 European Companies' Semiconductor Consumption Worldwide in 1991 (Millions of Dollars) Company AB Electronics Acorn AEG Aerospatiale Alcatel Amstrad Apricot ASCOM Asea Brown Boveri Bang & Olufsen Bayer Bosch Bosch-Siemens British Aerospace BuU Electrolux Ericsson GEO GPT Grundig ICL Italtel Lucas Matra Communication Nokia Group Olivetti Philips Racal Electronics Rank Xerox Sagem Schlumberger Sextant Avionique Siemens Thomson Consumer Thomson-CSF "Mip Total Total Semi. Total IC Digital Bipolar Total MOS MOS MOS Memory Micro. 18 18 66 22 444 98 12 104 77 18 31 669 133 33 211 46 222 231 152 319 206 88 68 36 243 403 963 46 48 52 139 11 1,025 272 96 20 14 17 46 18 346 81 11 77 47 13 30 493 91 27 198 31 173 153 119 220 193 68 49 28 172 377 661 34 45 43 101 9 810 187 78 19 1 2 3 4 19 6 1 5 5 0 3 18 3 5 20 1 10 23 6 7 19 4 4 2 8 37 34 4 5 3 11 2 68 6 15 2 10 14 28 10 231 56 9 50 28 5 25 345 37 14 163 13 115 85 79 97 160 46 33 19 86 309 317 21 37 30 68 5 576 78 42 15 3 7 6 3 58 24 5 12 4 2 12 49 12 5 78 4 29 19 20 28 77 11 5 5 24 147 92 5 18 10 22 2 186 25 14 7 4 4 11 2 94 18 3 20 12 2 7 126 17 3 45 6 46 31 32 42 44 18 11 8 37 87 135 8 10 11 24 1 199 35 10 4 4 3 11 4 79 14 2 18 12 1 6 171 8 6 39 3 40 35 27 27 39 16 17 6 25 75 90 8 9 10 22 2 192 18 18 4 4 1 16 5 96 19 1 22 14 7 2 130 52 7 15 18 48 45 33 116 15 19 12 8 77 31 310 10 3 10 21 2 166 103 20 1 $6,639 $5,079 $365 $3,256 $1,029 $1,167 $1,059 $1,460 Source: Dataquest (November 1991) ESIS 0009993 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Linuted November MOS Logic Linear Discrete Opto. 3 1 16 3 64 13 0 19 24 5 1 134 36 5 7 12 32 61 22 84 6 13 15 5 58 14 251 8 1 6 29 2 153 72 15 1 3 0 4 1 34 4 0 8 6 1 1 42 6 1 6 2 17 16 12 15 6 7 4 3 14 12 52 3 1 3 9 0 62 12 3 1 $1,190 $372 4.0 Major Users Table 2 Worldwide Companies' Semiconductor Consumption in Europe 1991 (Millions of Dollars) Company AB Electronics Acorn AEG Aerospatiale Alcatel Amstrad Apple Apricot ASCOM Asea Brown Boveri Bang & Olufsen Bayer Bosch Bosch-Siemens British Aerospace Bull Commodore Compaq Digital Electrolux Ericsson GEC Goldstar GPT Grundig Hewlett-Packard Hitachi IBM ICL Italtel Lucas Matra CommunicaticHi Mitsubishi NCR Nokia Group Olivetti Matsushita Philips Racal Electronics Total Semi. Total IC Digital Bipolar 18 18 47 22 373 93 96 12 96 61 18 25 500 133 33 105 78 20 47 31 198 181 33 120 302 151 55 938 187 88 50 36 42 66 216 358 205 583 38 14 17 32 18 291 77 90 11 72 37 13 24 369 91 27 98 74 20 43 21 155 120 22 93 208 138 38 886 175 68 36 28 29 62 152 335 143 394 29 1 2 2 4 16 6 9 1 5 4 0 2 13 3 5 10 7 0 4 1 9 18 1 5 7 14 1 90 18 4 2 2 1 6 7 33 5 19 3 Total MOS MOS MOS Memory Micro. 10 14 17 10 194 52 75 9 47 22 5 20 259 37 14 81 61 20 34 9 103 67 9 62 92 112 15 733 145 46 25 19 12 52 77 275 62 181 18 3 7 5 3 48 22 36 5 11 3 2 9 36 12 5 39 30 20 15 3 26 15 3 16 26 53 5 355 70 11 3 5 4 25 21 131 21 49 5 4 4 7 2 79 17 21 3 19 9 2 5 94 17 3 22 17 0 10 4 41 24 4 25 40 32 7 201 40 18 8 8 5 14 33 77 27 80 7 MOS Logic 4 3 6 4 67 13 18 2 17 9 1 5 128 8 6 20 15 0 9 2 36 27 2 21 25 28 3 176 35 16 13 6 3 12 22 67 14 52 7 Linear Discrete Opto. 3 1 12 5 81 19 6 1 20 11 7 2 97 52 7 8 5 0 5 12 42 35 13 26 109 12 21 63 13 19 9 8 16 4 69 27 75 194 8 3 1 12 3 53 13 3 0 16 18 5 1 100 36 5 3 2 0 2 9 29 48 9 17 80 8 15 27 6 13 11 5 11 2 51 12 53 157 7 1 0 3 1 29 4 3 0 7 5 1 1 31 6 1 3 2 0 2 1 15 13 1 9 14 5 2 25 5 7 3 3 2 2 12 11 9 32 3 (Continued) 10 (©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November ESIS 0009993 4.0 Major Users Table 2 (Continued) Worldwide Companies' Semiconductor Consumption in Europe 1991 (Millions of Dollars) Company Total Semi. MOS MOS Memory Micro. MOS Logic Linear Discrete Opto. 1 6 20 2 105 25 44 15 12 1 1 3 6 0 45 4 8 3 2 1 $7,087 $5,662 $436 $3,821 $1,417 $1,279 $1,125 $1,405 $1,077 $348 $10,828 $8,683 $489 $5,776 $2,094 $2,219 $1,463 $2,418 $1,750 $395 Rank Xerox Sagem Schliunberger Sextant Avionique Siemens Sony Thomson Consumer Thomson-CSF Toshiba "HiUp 48 52 95 11 786 94 167 96 47 20 Total Total European Semi. Consumption Total Digital Total IC Bipolar MOS Percentage of Total European Market 65.5% 45 43 69 9 637 64 115 78 33 19 65.2% 5 3 8 2 55 2 4 15 1 2 37 30 47 5 463 26 48 42 15 15 18 10 16 2 163 8 15 14 5 7 89.2% 66.1% 67.7% 10 11 16 1 154 12 22 10 6 4 57.6% 9 10 15 2 146 6 11 18 3 4 76.9% 3 10 14 2 118 36 63 20 17 1 58.1% 61.6% 88.1% Source: Dataquest (November 1991) ESIS 0009993 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November 11 4.0 Major Users Table 3 Worldwide Companies' Semiconductor Consumption in Europe 1991 (Millions of Dollars) Company ffiM Siemens Philips Bosch Alcatel Olivetti Grundig Nokia Group Matsushita Ericsson ICL GEC Thomson Consumer Hewlett-Packard Bosch-Siemens GPT Bull ASCOM Thomson-CSF Apple Schlumberger Sony Amstrad Italtel Commodore NCR Asea Brown Boveri Hitachi Sagem Lucas Rank Xerox Toshiba Digital AEG Mitsubishi Racal Electronics Matra Communication British Aerospace Goldstar Total Semi. 938 786 583 500 373 358 302 216 205 198 187 181 167 151 133 120 105 96 96 96 95 94 93 88 78 66 61 55 52 50 48 47 47 47 42 38 36 33 33 Total Digital Total MOS MOS IC Bipolar MOS Memory Micro. 886 637 394 369 291 335 208 152 143 155 175 120 115 138 91 93 98 72 78 90 69 64 77 68 74 62 37 38 43 36 45 33 43 32 29 29 28 27 22 90 55 19 13 16 33 7 7 5 9 18 18 4 14 3 5 10 5 15 9 8 2 6 4 7 6 4 1 3 2 5 1 4 2 1 3 2 5 1 733 463 181 259 194 275 92 77 62 103 145 67 48 112 37 62 81 47 42 75 47 26 52 46 61 52 22 15 30 25 37 15 34 17 12 18 19 14 9 355 163 49 36 48 131 26 21 21 26 70 15 15 53 12 16 39 11 14 36 16 8 22 11 30 25 3 5 10 3 18 5 15 5 4 5 5 5 3 201 154 80 94 79 77 40 33 27 41 40 24 22 32 17 25 22 19 10 21 16 12 17 18 17 14 9 7 11 8 10 6 10 7 5 7 8 3 4 MOS Logic 176 146 52 128 67 67 25 22 14 36 35 27 11 28 8 21 20 17 18 18 15 6 13 16 15 12 9 3 10 13 9 3 9 6 3 7 6 6 2 Linear Discrete Opto. 63 118 194 97 81 27 109 69 75 42 13 35 63 12 52 26 8 20 20 6 14 36 19 19 5 4 11 21 10 9 3 17 5 12 16 8 8 7 13 27 105 157 100 53 12 80 51 53 29 6 48 44 8 36 17 3 16 15 3 20 25 13 13 2 2 18 15 6 11 1 12 2 12 11 7 5 5 9 25 45 32 31 29 11 14 12 9 15 5 13 8 5 6 9 3 7 3 3 6 4 4 7 2 2 5 2 3 3 1 2 2 3 2 3 3 1 1 (Continued) 12 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November ESIS ([XX)9993 4.0 Major Users Table 3 (Continued) Worldwide Companies' Semiconductor Consumption in Europe 1991 (Millions of Dollars) Company Electrolux Bayer Aerospatiale Compaq "Mip Bang & Olufsen Acom AB Electronics Apricot Sextant Avionique Total Total Semi. 31 25 22 20 20 18 18 18 12 11 Total Digital Total MOS MOS MOS IC Bipolar MOS Memory Micro. Logic Linear Discrete Opto. 21 24 18 20 19 13 17 14 11 9 $7,087 $5,662 1 2 4 0 2 0 2 1 1 2 9 20 10 20 15 5 14 10 9 5 3 9 3 20 7 2 7 3 5 2 4 5 2 0 4 2 4 4 3 1 2 5 4 0 4 1 3 4 2 2 12 2 5 0 1 7 1 3 1 2 9 1 3 0 1 5 1 3 0 2 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 $436 $3,821 $1,417 $1,279 $1,125 $1,405 $1,077 $348 Source: Dataquest (November 1991) ESIS 0009993 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited November 13 5. Services and Suppliers to the Semiconductor Industry INTRODUCTION This service section specifically deals with the European aspects of services and suppliers of the semiconductor industry. For the purposes of specific discussion on individual areas, this document is divided into five main segments: • Equipment • Materials • Wafer Fabrication Services • Assembly Services • Test Services EQUIPMENT Until the early 1980s, the equipment market in Europe was dominated primarily by United States-owned companies, and to a lesser extent, by the Japanese. Much of this was the result of two factors: the relatively small E\jropean-owned semiconductor manufacturing base and the fact that the United States- and Japanese-owned semiconductor companies with manufacturing facilities in Europe have tended to use the same equipment there as in their U.S. or Japanese counterparts. During the mid-1980s, three forces had a dramatic global impact on the semiconductor equipment industry. The first was the downturn in worldwide IC demand. The second was the shift toward megabit and submicron memory technology. The third was the ASIC revolution. As a result of the downturn in IC demand, a parallel downturn occurred in semiconductor equipment demand. The same rationalization and merger phenomena that affected the semiconductor manufacturers also affected semiconductor equipment manufacturers. Previous market leaders emerged with smaller market share, and Japanese, U.S., and European equipment manufacturers were forced to explore markets far beyond local boundaries. Antiprotectionist measures and trade agreements are forcing the opening of local markets. European wafer fabrication, assembly, and test equipment manufacturers stand poised to take advantage of opportunities associated with free market conditions. Traditionally, European engineering and innovation are second to none. With the push in memory fabrication toward smaller and smaller critical dimensions, European equipment manufacturers in the areas of lithography, plasma, implant, and inspection have been launching state-of-the-art products to capitalize on these areas of manufacture. Examples are companies such as AET, Electrotech, Heidelberg Instruments, Helmut Seier, High Voltage Engineering, Oxford Instruments, and Plasma Technology. See Table 1 for further listings of European equipment manufacturers. ESIS Volume II © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated April 5-1 5. Services and Suppliers to the Semiconductor Industry Table 1 Equipment and Materials Companies of EurcY>e—by Company Company Product Area Location AET France Plasma etch equipment/ RTP Advanced Semiconductor Materials (ASM) Netherlands Furnaces, plasma-enhanced CVD, assembly equipment Alcatel France Plasma etch, sputtering equipment, pumps, vertical furnaces Align-rite United Kingdom Maskmaking Alphasem Switzerland Wafer saws, assembly equipment Applied Materials United Kingdom Implanters Balzers Aktiengesellschaft Liechtenstein Etch equipment, implanters, CVD BOC United Kingdom Gases COSY Microtec Germany SOR ring for X-ray lithography CSEM Switzerland Maskmaking Cambridge Instruments United Kingdom E-beam, inspection systems Centrotherm Germany Diffusion, CVD systems Compugraphics United Kingdom Maskmaking Convac Germany Track equipment, microscope loaders Cryophysics Switzerland Cryopumps DNS Italy Silicon wafers Deltest United Kingdom Engineering test equipment (Continued) 5-2 © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated April ESIS Volume II 5. Services and Suppliers to the Semiconductor Industry Table 1 (Continued) Equipment and Materials Companies of Europe—by Company Company Product Area Location ESEC Switzerland Assembly equipment Edwards High Vacuiun International United Kingdom CVD, vacuum piunps Electrotech United Kingdom Etch, CVD, sputter systems Ernst Leitz Germany Inspection equipment, mask comparators, optics Eurotherm United Kingdom Controllers Farco Switzerland Assembly equipment G. Wirz Switzerland Assembly equipment 6E Solid State Belgium Maskmaking Heidelberg Instruments Germany Measurement and inspection systems Helmut Seier Germany Furnaces, laminar flow, CVD systems High Voltage Engineering Netherlands Implanters Hoechst Germany Chemicals, resists, gases Holec Netherlands Furnaces ICI United Kingdom III-V semiconductor materials Karl Suss Germany Proximity aligners, X-ray systems L'Air Liquide France Gases La Porte Industries United Kingdom Chemicals, clean room equipment (Continued) ESIS Volume II © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated April 5-3 5. Services and Suppliers to the Semiconductor Industry Table 1 (Continued) Equipment and Materials Companies of Europe—by Company Location Company Product Area Laufer Germany Molding presses Leibold-Heraeus Germany Quartz, wafer-handling equipment, pumps, sputtering equipment, plasma etchers Loadpoint United Kingdom Wafer saws MEM Switzerland Maskmaking MTL ATE Systems United Kingdom High-pin-count testers Merck Germany Chemicals, chemical systems, resists Micro-Image Technology United Kingdom Resists Monsanto United Kingdom Silicon wafers Nanomask France Maskmaking Nordiko United Kingdom Plasma etchers, sputtering equipment Okmetic Finland Silicon wafers Oxford Instruments United Kingdom X-ray, ion-beam lithography Philips Semiconductor Product Equipment Netherlands Photolithography equipment, E-beam equipment Plasma Technology United Kingdom Plasma etch equipment Plasmos Germany CVD equipment Rhone-Poulenc France Chemicals, gases Robert Bosch Germany Assembly equipment SEH United Kingdom Silicon wafers (Continued) 5-4 © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated April ESIS Volume 11 5. Services and Suppliers to the Semiconductor Industry Table 1 (Continued) Equipment and Materials Companies of £ur(^)e—by Company Company Product Area Location SEMY Engineering France CVD systems Semas Switzerland Assembly equipment, photolithography systems Sitesa Switzerland CVD systems Society Electrothermigue de la Tour de France Switzerland Quartz Sofiltra France HEPA (high-efficiency particle arresting) filters Topsil Denmark Silicon wafers V6 Semicon United Kingdom Chemical-beam epitaxy, etch systems Vickers Instruments United Kingdom Measurement and inspection systems Hacker Chemitronic Germany Silicon wafers Wellman Furnaces United Kingdom Diffusion equipment Western Equipment Developments Ltd. United Kingdom Wafer-handling robots Wild Leitz Switzerland Optics Zeiss Germany Optics, inspection equipment Source: ESIS Volume II © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated April Dataquest April 1988 5-5 5. Services and Suppliers to the Semiconductor Industry The ASIC explosion puts other pressures on semiconductor equipment manufacturers. In wafer fab, assembly, and test, equipment must prove flexible and able to handle many different types of product in short time spans. These demands are far different from the high-volume, one-product lines of old. Just-in-time supply also applies pressures for less rework, quick cycle times, and diminished processing queues (which decreases line inventory). All these factors push equipment suppliers to produce light, flexible, small-footprint machinery. Advanced Semiconductor Materials (ASM) and Philips, long-time European suppliers of a range of fab, assembly, and test equipment, have increased their presence worldwide in all three areas over the recent past. In the European region, Japanese equipment suppliers are increasing their local presence in sales, marketing, and support, but no product development takes place in Europe at the present. The areas in which Japanese companies are aggressively pursuing market share are lithography and assembly equipment. Nikon is actively competing with ASM of Europe and GCA of the United States for European stepper market share. The push of Shinkawa in bonding equipment and Disco in wafer saws probably reflects the large number of Japanese IC assembly/test facilities in Europe. As the Japanese build more wafer fabrication facilities in Europe, Dataquest expects to see the amount of Japanese equipment installed rise in the region. U.S. equipment companies historically have had a strong commercial and product development base in Europe. Examples are Applied Materials, who do their worldwide implant development in the United Kingdom, and Perkin-Elmer, who purchased Censor, the Liechtenstein-based wafer stepper company. Another recent trend appears to be the reverse of this, with European ownership of U.S. companies. Examples are Ion Beam Technology (IBT) of Massachusetts (majority-owned by Dubilier PLC, United Kingdom and Robert Flemming, United Kingdom), and Branson/IPC of California (owned by Emerson Electronics, United Kingdom). Branson/IPC makes plasma etch equipment, and IBT, a focused ion-beam system. Though presently used for the repair of photomasks (by depositing or etching out defects), ultimately the IBT system, which offers write, etch, and deposit capabilities, has great potential for a completely maskless wafer fabrication process. Table 2 shows the major European equipment companies by country. 5-6 © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated April ESIS Volume II 5. Services and Suppliers to the Semiconductor Industry Table 2 Equipment and Materials Companies of Eur<^>e—by Country Product Area Company Country Belgium GE Solid State Maskmaking Denmark Topsil Silicon wafers Finland Okmetic Silicon wafers France AET Plasma etch equipment, RTF Alcatel Plasma etch, sputtering , equipment, pumps, vertical furnaces L'Air Liquide Gases Nanomask Maskmaking Rhone-Poulenc Chemicals, gases SEMY Engineering CVD systems Sofiltra HEPA (high-efficiency particle arresting) filters COSY Microtec SOR ring for X-ray lithography Centrotherm Diffusion, CVD systems Convac Track equipment, microscope loaders Ernst Leitz Inspection equipment, mask comparators, optics Heidelberg Instruments Measurement and inspection systems Helmut Seier Furnaces, laminar flow, CVD systems Germany (Continued) ESIS Volume II © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated April 5-7 5. Services and Suppliers to the Semiconductor Industry Table 2 (Continued) Equipment and Materials Companies of Europe—by Country Country Company Product Area Hoechst Chemicals/ resists, gases Karl Suss Proximity aligners. X-ray systems Laufer Molding presses Leibold-Heraeus Quartz, wafer handling equipment, pumps, sputtering equipment, plasma etchers Merck Chemicals, chemical systems, resists Plasmos CVD equipment Robert Bosch Assembly equipment Wacker Chemitronic Silicon wafers Zeiss Optics, inspection equipment Italy DNS Silicon wafers Liechtenstein Balzers Aktiengesellschaft Etch equipment, implanters, CVD Netherlands Advanced Semiconductor Materials (ASM) Furnaces, plasma-enhanced CVD, assembly equipment High Voltage Engineering Implanters Holec Furnaces Philips Semiconductor Product Equipment Photolithography equipment, E-beam equipment Alphasem Wafer saws, assembly equipment Germany Switzerland (Continued) 5-8 © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated April ESIS Volume H 5. Services and Suppliers to the Semiconductor Industry Table 2 (Continued) Equipment and Materials Companies of £ur(^>e—by Country Country Switzerland United Kingdom Product Area Company CSEM Maskmaking Cryophysics Cryopumps ESEC Assembly equipment Farco Assembly equipment G. Wirz Assembly equipment MEM Maskmaking Semas Assembly equipment, photolithography systems Sitesa CVD systems Society Electrothermique de la tour de France Quartz Wild Leitz Optics Align-rite Maskmaking Applied Materials Implanters BOC Gases Cambridge Instruments E-beam, inspection systems Compugraphics Mask maker Deltest Engineering test equipment Edwards High Vacuum International CVD, vacuum pumps Electrotech Etch, CVD, sputter systems Eurotherm Controllers (Continued) ESIS Volume II © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated April 5-9 5. Services and Suppliers to the Semiconductor Industry Table 2 (Continued) Equipment and Materials Companies of Europe—by Country Company Country United Kingdom Product Area ICI III-V semiconductor materials La Porte Industries Chemicals, clean room equipment Loadpoint Wafer saws MTL ATE Systems High-pin-count testers Micro-Image Technology Resists Monsanto Silicon wafers Kordiko Plasma etchers, sputtering equipment Oxford Instruments X-ray, ion-beam lithography Plasma Technology Plasma etch equipment SEH Silicon wafers VG Semicon Chemical-beam epitaxy, etch systems Vickers Instruments Measurement and inspection systems Wellman Furnaces Diffusion equipment Western Equipment Developments Ltd. Wafer-handling robots Source: 5-10 © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated April Dataquest April 1988 ESIS Volume II 5. Services and Suppliers to the Semiconductor Industry MATERIALS Key supply areas of semiconductor materials in Europe are the following: Gases (bulk and specialty) Wet process chemicals Photoresists and related chemicals Silicon and III-V substrates Masks and reticles (Tables 1 and 2 list key European suppliers in the above categories). The materials situation in Europe has evolved significantly in the recent past. Large European industrial chemical and gas supply firms have begun to develop products of suitable purity for semiconductor use and are joining the traditionally strong European suppliers in a search for market share in the region. Due to shipment and supply problems related to chemicals and gases, the manufacturers often dominate in market share, and this is true in Europe. Historically, BOC, Hoechst, L'Air Liquide, and Merck, have supplied large quantities of chemicals, photoresists, and gases to local semiconductor manufacturers. Aggressively competing with them are Du Pont, ICI, La Porte, Olin-Hunt, and Rhone-Poulenc. Silicon production in Europe is dominated primarily by Monsanto of the United States and Wacker of Germany, although local suppliers such as DNS fltaly), Okmetic (Finland), and Topsil (Denmark) are striving for market share. Shin-Etsu-Handotai (SEH) is the only Japanese manufacturer of silicon to have a production facility in Europe. SEH and Monsanto have facilities that produce silicon wafers in the United Kingdom The ASIC revolution has stimulated the local requirement for masks and reticles in Europe. Several European and U.S. suppliers of masks exist in the region, and semiconductor manufacturers that have in-house maskmaking facilities are offering spare capacity as a service (see Tables 1 and 2 for lists of maskmaking faicilities). WAFER FABRICATION SERVICES No significant independent wafer fabrication companies, the so-called silicon foundries, exist in Europe today. On a limited scale, some merchant manufacturers will make their capabilities available to third parties, usually on a customer-owned tooling (COT) basis. But the conditions for large foundry-only facilities, such as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, will probably not exist in Europe in the near future. A number of smaller companies are making foundry facilities available, such as Elmos in Germany and MEM in Switzerland. The high costs involved in setting up even a ESIS Volume II © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated April 5-11 5. Services and Suppliers to the Semiconductor Industry pilot line for modern wafer fabrication are such that a relatively high throughput of material is required for viability. Labor costs in Europe may make major foundry exercises prohibitive. Nearly all semiconductor component users would ideally like an ASIC facility. However, few are prepared to pay the associated overhead costs brought by the low-volume throughput and the costs for equipping and running a state-of-the-art capability (1.5- to 2-micron, double-layer metal CMOS). We do not believe that anything other than a state-of-the-art facility would be worth the capital investment, and many semiconductor users do not have sophisticated enough knowledge or experience of ASIC manufacture to make this a viable option. ASSEMBLY SERVICES Two companies offer subcontract assembly services in the European region: Eurasem in the Netherlands and Indy in Scotland. The Indy European management team just purchased the facility in Scotland from Indy/Olin Hunt in the United States. Indy specializes in high-pin-count, high-reliability, quick-turnaround packaging for the ASIC market. Eurasem pursues the more traditional high-volume assembly scenario. The reason that more high-volume assembly services are not in Europe is that high volume assembly is best carried out in low-labor-cost areas, such as the Far East. Manufacturing automation can lower labor costs, and, as assembly automation has increased, there are some incentives to perform assembly in the European Economic Community (EEC). Another incentive is a substantial saving in import duty. For a non-European-manufactured wafer, the present import duty on a semiconductor device assembled outside the EEC is approximately 14 percent. For a wafer imported into the EEC, the duty rate is approximately only 4 percent. An incremental 10 percent duty can therefore be saved by assembly within the EEC. Dataquest believes that this differential is actually harmful to Europe in that it effectively encourages low-technology assembly operations to be set up and discourages investment in the high-technology areas of wafer fabrication. TEST SERVICES Currently, no market exists in Europe for large independent semiconductor testing houses. Dataquest believes that this is a direct result of the lack of independent assembly houses and the need for manufacturers to carry out their own testing for both cost and engineering reasons. In the area of component evaluation or qualification, some independent houses exist, such as Elektronik Centralen (Denmark), and MTL Microtesting Limited (United Kingdom), but these are geared more to the user community than to the merchant component suppliers. In the testing area, testing costs and engineering information are the two key issues. The former demands high-volume throughputs; the latter demands easy and direct interface by the relevant design and product engineers. This virtually demands that test equipment be located either at the point of assembly (high-volume force) or near the relevant engineering establishments (technical force). 5-12 © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated April ESIS Volume II 5. Services and Suppliers to the Semiconductor Industry There are, however, some advantages to outside testing. These include: Testing and evaluation by an unbiased source Access to wider range of test experience Software availability Supplementary capacity (particularly in a capacity crunch or for incremental shipment opportunity) Access to more up-to-date equipment Access to equipment not currently in-house ESIS Volume II © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated April 5-13 5. Services and Suppliers to the Semiconductor Industry (Page intentionally left blank) 5-14 © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated April ESIS Volume n Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. BACKGROUND AND OVERVIEW Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., (Air Products) was founded in 1940 in the United States (Detroit, Michigan). Initially, the Company was involved in constructing small industrial gas plants on or adjacent to a consumer's plant, delivering products by pipeline. Since its inception. Air Products has become a large international company with annual worldwide sales exceeding $2.4 billion, employing approximately 13,000 persons in 21 countries. The Company operates more than 100 plants, and has 5 research centers. Air Products operates in the following three business segments: • • • Industrial Gases Chemicals Equipment and Technology In 1989, the Company reported worldwide sales of $2.4 billion, of which 76 percent was generated in the United States and 21 percent in Europe. Worldwide sales of the Industrial Gases segment reached $1.4 billion, representing 58 percent of total sales. The Chemicals segment accounted for 34 percent of sales, with revenue of $834 million; the Equipment and Technology segment accounted for 8 percent of sales, at $195 million. These record sales for 1988, which showed an increase of 14 percent over 1987, were accompanied by a record operating income of $376 million, an increase of 15 percent over 1987. Worldwide capital expenditure in 1988 amounted to $542 million, and of this sum, approximately $300 million was capital spending in the Industrial Gases segment. In Europe, nearly $150 million was invested, surpassing the record of the past several years. The acquisition of a 65 percent interest in L'Oxygene Liquide, an important regional supplier in France, was included in this European total for the year. This acquisition bolsters Air Products' coverage of the French market and complements the operations of Prodair, the Company's French subsidiary and the country's second-largest producer of industrial gases. In 1988, the Company began construction of a large-scale air-separation plant in Strasbourg, France. This plant is being built in partnership with a German industrial gas producer and will supply gaseous oxygen via a pipeline across the Rhine to a steel mill in West Germany. It will supply liquid products for customers in northeastern France and the southern part of West Germany also. This plant is scheduled to begin operations in 1990. Air Products also completed the successful start-up of Europe's first commercial-scale liquid hydrogen plant in Rozenburg, The Netherlands; substantial additional capacity was added for liquid oxygen, nitrogen, and argon. In the United Kingdom, construction was completed on an air-separation facility that will supply gaseous oxygen and nitrogen to British Petroleum and liquid products to the merchant market including ultrahigh-purity gases for electronic applications. ESIS Volume II 0004126 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. Air Products has continued to expand strategically in the Pacific Rim through increased investments. The Company entered the Malaysian market through the purchase of a 30 percent interest in an existing supplier. Expansion of this joint venture is already under way, with the construction of an 80-ton-per-day merchant plant, which is expected to be on-stream in 1990. In Thailand, Air Products is building an air-separation plant for the country's National Petroleum Company, Ltd., as well as liquid products for the merchant market. The expansions in Malaysia and Thailand both use cryogenic equipment supplied by Air Products. During 1988, the Company expanded opportunities in chemicals by completing a number of strategic acquisitions. The largest was Anchor Chemical Group pic, a British company that is a leading worldwide supplier of epoxy curatives. This $47 million acquisition significantly accelerated the Company's penetration of the epoxy additives market, where the strategy is to extend commercial and technical strengths in amines and polyurethane catalysts. The Company also acquired the Valchem Division of United Merchants and Manufacturers Inc., thus providing the Company with a new line of water-based acrylic products and positioning itself to take advantage of the trend toward water-based polymer systems. Operations Air Products is located in the United States in Allentown, Pennsylvania. This location also houses the headquarters. The three operating divisions are described briefly in the following paragraphs. Industrial Gases This segment produces and sells a variety of industrial, medical, and specialty gases for the microelectronics industry and other industries. Worldwide, the division operates more than 100 plants. Chemicals The Chemicals division has numerous plants throughout the United States. It has three principal product lines—polymers, polyurethane intermediates and additives, and amines and specialty additives, including epoxy curatives. Equipment and Technology The equipment side of the segment designs and manufactures various lines of cryogenic and gas-processing equipment, builds components for cogeneration facilities, and markets proprietary wastewater treatment technologies and systems. The technology side of this segment includes the Company's initiatives in ceramic-coated products and other advanced materials. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June ESIS Volume II 0004126 Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. International Operations The European and U.K. headquarters, Air Products pic, is located at Hersham, Walton-on-Thames, England. This subsidiary was established in Britain in 1957; it employs approximately 2,000 persons and operates in more than 30 locations. The principal manufacturing base in the United Kingdom for specialty gases serving the microelectronics industry is at Crewe, with storage depots and sales offices sited strategically throughout the country. An engineering facility for high-quality piping for clean rooms to Class 10,000 specification and Class 100 workbenches is located at Acrefair in Wales. A specific feature of this facility is two mobile clean rooms. In Europe, there are numerous production plants oxygen, and hydrogen. The specialty gases facility is The Company manufactures gas cabinets at Woluwe, Company's dedicated clean-room facility, constructed facility in Wales. for the manufacture of nitrogen, located at Keumiee in Belgium. near Brussels in Belgium, at the to the same high standard as the Air Products has regional headquarters at the following locations in Western Europe: • Belgium—Air Products SA, Brussels • France—Prodair, Paris • Netherlands—Air Products Nederland BV, AG, Waddinxveen • West Germany—Air Products GmbH, Dusseldorf European operations also include companies in Austria and Italy. In Norway and Spain, the Company has local agents acting on its behalf. In Korea, Air Products has joined forces with Korea Industrial Gases Ltd. to supply the growing market for industrial gases in that dynamic economy. In addition, a joint venture has been formed with Kinhill Pty in Australia. Financial Table 1 gives a Worldwide segment sales analysis for the fiscal years 1986 through 1988, ending December 31. In its 1988 annual report, the Company notes that sales of industrial gases at $1,403 million reached a new record and were 12 percent above those of the previous year. The Company attributes this increase to higher shipments of merchant and on-site gases in all geographic locations in addition to the favorable effect of European currency translation. Using the Company's estimate that the worldwide market for gases is approximately $14 billion, Dataquest estimates Air Products' share to be about 10 percent. ESIS Volume II 0004126 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. Table 1 Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. Worldwide Sales Revenue by Business Segment (Millions of Dollars) 1986 1987 1988 $1,166 $1,255 $1,403 Chemicals 632 664 834 Equipment and Technology 144 213 195 $1,942 $2,132 $2,432 Seoinent Industrial Gases Total Source: Air Products and Chemic:als. Inc. Annual Report 1988 Dataquest June 1989 Sales of chemicals increased 26 percent to $834 million. The Company notes that volume rose 4 percent in 1988, as records were attained in most product lines. The increase also reflects higher pricing for most products and sales of Anchor Chemical, which was acquired in January 1988. Anchor accounted for 8 percent of the increase. Equipment and technology sales declined $18 million to $195 million. This was primarily a result of the high level of activity in fiscal year 1987 associated with the construction of an industrial cogeneration facility sold to an unconsolidated affiliate. If this item is excluded, sales in this segment were higher than the previous year. Table 2 summarizes Air Products' worldwide operating income by business segment. The figures in Table 2 show that the operating income for the Industrial Gases segment in 1988 increased $18 million over the previous year. This was a record and reflects higher worldwide shipments, stronger European currencies, and lower pension expenses. The Chemicals segment showed an operating income at an all-time high of $103 million, an increase of 22 percent over 1987. Better pricing in commodity chemicals was the major factor in these improved results. Other factors included higher shipments in most product lines and a first-time profit contribution from Anchor Chemical. The Equipment and Technology segment showed an operating income of $3 million, a very cgnsiderable improvement on the previous loss of $18 million. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June ESIS Volume II 0004126 Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. Table 2 Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. Worldwide C^Terating Income by Business Segment (Millions of Dollars) 1986 1987 1988 $257 $288 $306 41 85 103 Equipment and Technology (18) (18) 3 Corporate and Other (39) (27) (36) Segment Industrial Gases Chemicals Total $328 $241 Source: $376 Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. Annual Report 1988 Dataguest June 1989 Table 3 summarizes sales and operating income by geographic area. It shows that in 1988, sales in the United States improved by 11 percent and operating income by 15 percent. The gains were very dramatic in Europe, with sales showing an increase of nearly 28 percent over those of 1987 and operating income increasing by 27 percent. Table 3 Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. Sales and Operating Income by Geographic Region (Millions of Dollars) 1987 1986 Region United States Europe Canada and Latin America Other Total ESIS Volume II 0004126 Sales Income Sales 1988 Income Sales Income $1,561 322 59 - $185 43 13 - $1,662 394 76 - $242 66 14 6 $1,849 504 79 - $279 84 15 (2) $1,942 $241 $2,132 $328 $2,432 $376 Source: Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. Annual Report 1988 Dataguest June 1989 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. Research and Development In 1988, research and development (R&D) expenses were increased 27 percent to a total of $72 million. New chemistry advances were made in polymer, polyurethane, and catalytic systems. In gases, the Company strengthened its program in noncryogenic gas separation technologies and in new market uses and applications for gas products. PRODUCTS Air Products offers a comprehensive range of high-quality industrial and specialty gases for use in the manufacture of silicon memory devices. These latter products have greater than 99.9 percent purity. Also, the Company is able to blend gases according to the customer's individual stoichiometric and mass requirements for doping purposes. For plasma etching, Air Products is able to supply a comprehensive range of gases including sulfur hexafluoride, silicon tetrafluoride, and a number of halocarbons. These can be supplied as pure gases or diluted with small amounts of high-purity oxygen. Recently, the Company introduced a new line of high-purity organometallics for MOCVD processing. These compounds, all of which are guaranteed to greater than 99.9995 percent, are used primarily in the epitaxial growth of compound semiconductors. A full range of high purity gallium, indium, zinc, and aluminium compounds is available, as well as a comprehensive line of phosphorous adducts for semiconductors. In addition to gases for the electronics industry. Air Products supplies a range of gas-handling and control equipment. In the area of cryogenics, the Company offers a wide range of laboratory cryogenic systems. In the area of chemicals, two new adhesives have recently been introduced. These adhesives are Airflex 465 emulsion and Flexcryl acrylic-based emulsions for high-speed packaging and pressure-sensitive adhesive applications. (Airflex and Flexcryl are registered trademarks of Air Products.) OUTLOOK An essential element of Air Products' growth strategy, particularly in chemicals, is to add new products through internal development, technology licensing, and acquisitions. Thus, an increasing flow of new products is expected as development programs initiated during the past five years come to fruition and reach the commercial stage. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June ESIS Volume II 0004126 # Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. • • Significant expansion of the Company's traditional water-based markets for polyvinyl alcohol is expected from thermoplastic polyvinyl grades now being introduced to the market. Air Products sees these products as having potential in water-soluble, biodegradable films, containers, and personal care items. In electronics, the Company is adopting a strategy directed toward becoming a fully integrated supplier of gases, chemicals, and related systems. Thus, while industrial gases will no doubt remain central to the Company's business, Air Products is now actively developing a strategy of diversification into other business areas. Those targeted include urethanes, adhesives, coatings, and high-performance polymer systems. The Company views these products with optimism, expecting them to provide exciting growth prospects as Air Products enters the 1990s. ESIS Volume 11 0004126 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. (Page intentionally left blank) 8 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June ESIS Volume II 0004126 Austria Mikro Systeme International GmbH BACKGROUND AND OVERVIEW Austria Mikro Systeme International GmbH (AMS), formerly Austria Microsystems International (AMI), was set up in 1981 as a joint venture between the company that was then called Gould-American Microsystems, Inc., (51 percent ownership) and VoestAlpine, the Austrian industrial conglomerate (49 percent ownership), A $60 million 11,700-square-meter facility was built near Graz, Austria, to manufacture integrated circuits. It comprises design engineering, maskmaking, wafer fabrication, assembly, and test areas. Lead times offered are competitive—4 weeks for gate arrays, 8 weeks for standard cells, 20 weeks for full custom circuits, and 4 weeks for ROMs, from specification or code approval until delivery of first samples. In autumn 1986, the name Gould-American Microsystems was changed to Gould Semiconductor Division (supplier of AMI products). Gould Semiconductor Division does not operate in Europe. In 1982, AMS pioneered SCEPTRE (Standard Cell Placement and Routing Environment) at its Swindon, United Kingdom, design center. SCEPTRE is a system intended to offer small to medium-size electronic equipment manufacturers a chip design capability at low cost. At present, this system supports designs using AMS's CMOS and NMOS 3 - , 4-, and 5-micron standard cell families. In 1985, AMS completed a major investment program and increased its production by 40 percent over 1984. However, because of the depressed market condition, a loss in revenue was reported in 1985. The joint owners, Gould-American Microsystems and Voest Alpine, then injected a further $33 million into the company to enable it to finance future investments with equity. In 1986, AMS launched Super Sceptre, a standalone PC-based semicustom IC design workstation for gate array and standard cell. The product provides a full range of semicustom IC design software capabilities running on the IBM PC AT. It is the culmination of four years of user experience with the Sceptre and its enhanced version, Sceptre II. Also in 1986, AMS launched a commercial MOS multiproduct wafer service through which customers can cut their development costs. To accomplish this, customers can share a batch of wafers with other clients or can place several of their chip designs on a fast turnaround, dedicated wafer batch. In February 1987, AMS announced expansion of its mask processing capability. At the same time, the Company announced the S2570 combined loop disconnect/multifrequency (LD/MF) dialer IC for push-button telephones. In March 1987, AMS announced the S2573, a new pulse dialer IC in CMOS for push-button telephones. In April 1987, AMS announced the S2571 pulse dialer device in CMOS for push-button telephones. At the same time, the Company added high-performance analog, digital, and peripheral cells to its IC design library. ESIS Volume 111 © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated April Austria Mikro Systeme International GmbH As shown in Table 1, Dataquest estimates that AMS's European revenue in 1986 was US$21 million. Table 1 Austria Mikro Systeme International GmbH Estimated European Semiconductor Revenue by Product Line (Millions of U.S. Dollars) Total Semiconductor Total Integrated Circuit Bipolar Digital MOS Linear Total Discrete Transistor Diode Thyristor Other Total 1982 1953 1984 1985 1986 $26 $13 $20 $18 $21 $26 $13 $20 $18 $21 0 26 0 0 13 0 0 20 0 0 18 0 0 21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Optoelectronic Source: Dataquest A p r i l 1988 PRODUCTS AND MARKETS SERVED AMS offers a complete range of custom and semicustom MOS/VLSI capabilities, including gate arrays, standard cell, and full custom circuits, as well as silicon foundry facilities for customer-designed circuits. CAD/CAE tools and IC design training are also available. AMS's telecommunications and data communications circuits, ROMs, microcomputers, and peripheral devices provide standard solutions for specific applications. AMS serves the telecommunications, automotive, industrial, instrumentation, EOF, and consumer markets. © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated April ESIS Volume III Austria Mikro Systeme International GmbH In addition to the Graz facility, AMS has design centers in Swindon (United Kingdom), Stockholm (Sweden), Munich and Hamburg (West Germany), Paris (France), and Milan (Italy). The Company has a network of representatives in Denmark, Israel, Spain, Switzerland, and Yugoslavia. OUTLOOK In July 1987, Gould sold its 51 percent stake in AMI to Voest-Alpine. The takeover means that AMS, now called Austria Mikro Systeme, is now entirely Austrian owned. Gould stated that it will return to the European marketplace with custom and semicustom chip sets from its U.S. base. ESIS Volume III © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated April Balzers BACKGROUND AND OVERVIEW Balzers, which operates as the Balzers Division of Oerlikon-Buhrle Holding Limited of Switzerland, is a leading supplier of high-vacuum equipment and thin-film products for the optics, optoelectronics, and electronics industries. The origin of the Balzers Division can be traced back to two companies—Arthur Pfeiffer and Balzers AG. The former company was established in Frankfurt in 1890 to produce vacuum pumps; it was taken over by Balzers AG in 1969. Balzers AG was founded in Liechtenstein in 1946 by Prof. Dr. Auwarter to produce thin-film products and was incorporated into the parent company, Oerlikon-Buhrle, in 1973. Today, Balzers coating systems are used by the principal electronics manufacturers worldwide. The main applications for these systems are as follows: • Metallization of integrated, bipolar, and MOS circuits • Deposition of resistor and contact films • Production of highly stable metal film resistors • Coating of solar cells Oerlikon-BUhrle's 1988 annual report stated that the Balzers Division employed 3,653 persons as of December 31, 1988. It also said that consolidated sales amounted to SFr 471.5 million (U.S. $323 million) for fiscal 1988. Operations The principal manufacturing companies in the Balzers Division are as follows: • Europe Balzers Limited—Liechtenstein Arthur Pfeiffer—Asslar, West Germany - • United States - ESIS Volume II 0005011 Balzers Hochvakuum GmbH—Wiesbaden, West Germany Balzers—Hudson, New Hampshire © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated November Balzers In addition to manufacturing and research and development (R&D), which is also carried out in Liechenstein, Balzers has the following sales and servicing companies: Austria—Vienna, Austria NV Balzers—Zaventem, Belgium/Luxembourg Bakzers SA—Meudon, France Balzers SpA—Milan, Italy Balzers—Utrecht, Netherlands Nordiska Balzers—Kungsbacka, Sweden/Denmark Balzers AG—Zurich, Switzerland Balzers High Vacuum—Berkhamsted, Herts, U.K. Worldwide, Balzers has additional representation in 20 countries. Research and Development As in previous years, Balzers has concentrated its R&D efforts on thin films and high-vacuum systems associated with those key sectors that are characterized by rapid technological progress. In these areas, the Company reports having increased investment significantly. The Company reports that after reaching a peak of US$55 million in 1987 because of large volumes of new construction, plant and equipment expenditures in 1988 receded to US$33 million. Apart from the worldwide expansion of manufacturing, sales, and research facilities, large amounts of capital were invested in improving and rationalizing production and development equipment. PRODUCTS The range of products offered by Pfeiffer High-Vacuum Department of the Balzers Division include the following: • Components for the production, measurement, and control gas-analysis instruments for use in research and manufacturing • Vacuum process systems for the production of thin films for optical, electronic, memory technology, and display applications as well as for solar cells © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated November of vacuum ESIS Volume II 0005011 Balzers The products offered by the Thin-Film Department of the Balzers Division include the following: • Thin-film products and coating services for the fields of optics, ophthalmic, optoelectronics, and microelectronics, specifically laser, infrared and antireflection applications; office equipment; lighting technology; LCD displays; and chrome masks Products included in the range of high-vacuum systems that Balzers offers are as follows: • BAE 250—This sputtering/evaporation system accommodates 205mm diameter metal or glass recipients. It is useful in the preparation of substrate for scanning electron microscopy. • BAS 450—This is a compact sputterer for development purposes and small production runs. It features up to four 5 - to 10-inch planar magnetron or heating stations, as susceptor for 24 3-inch or 6 125mm substrates. • LLS 900~This load-lock sputtering system is very flexible with regard to substrate size and will process substrates with diameters of up to 200mm or rectangular substrates of up to 200mm x 400mm in a fully automatic cassette-to-cassette mode. • VIS 750—This is a vertical inline system for plasma-enhanced chemical vapor deposition (CVD). It is particularly suitable for plasma-enhanced CVD (PECVD) of large substrates. To coat 720mm x 720mm on both sides, the throughput per hour is 6 square meters with a cycle time of 10 minutes. Loading time can be reduced to less than 2 minutes by using a suitable vacuum pump system. Other equipment offered by Balzer are: • GAM 400—The GAM 400 gas analysis module is an integrated, compact mass spectrometer unit for qualitative and quantitative gas analysis. Its modular design makes it ideal for a wide variety of applications. It incorporates a Balzers state-of-the-art QMG 420 quadruple mass spectrometer, a turbomolecular pump, and application-specific software. • HLT 150—This is a helium leak tester with the ability to detect leaks in UHV components and cryopumped systems without any need for LN2. This device also is ideal for use as a helium sniffer. Operating convenience is provided by a microprocessor control system that features range selection and autocalibration for a wide variety of applications. ESIS Volume II 0005011 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated November Balzers • GIA 707—This is a gas inclusion analysis system. It is important to technical glasses and ceramics where gas inclusions very often have a negative influence on the product and lower its quality to an unacceptabe level. In semiconductor production, gas inclusion analysis is important in the quality control of hermetically sealed, encapsulated components such as IC housings, Reed relays, and other gas-filled components. This system features fast, dynamic measurement of verv small gas inclusions in various materials. Sample size can vary from 10"-^ to approximately 10~^2 ^gr 1 and detection limits are approximately 10 to 100 ppm, depending on the components. In addition to these systems, Balzers offers evaporation and sputter materials, evaporation sources, and auxiliary materials. coating For EB evaporation, a variety of high-purity materials are available in disk forms. Balzers' range of planar magnetron sputtering targets includes metals, metal alloys, and dielectrics. Balzers' range of coating materials for optics and electronics contains more than 90 metals and alloys as well as dielectrics in a variety of shapes and degrees of purity. Financial The Oerlikon-Buhrle Group statement of income is shown in Table 1 for the two fiscal years that ended on December 31, 1987 and 1988. In its annual report, the parent company notes that organizational and structural changes in the group initiated in previous years were completed in 1988. Gross sales in 1988 increased 5 percent over the previous year. Table 2 shows gross sales for the Balzers Division for the fiscal years that ended on December 31, 1987 and 1988. The Oerlikon-Buhrle Group notes that after a brief drop in incoming orders at the end of 1987, which caused a slight downturn in sales in 1988, the Balzers Division reported a sharp recovery. This resulted in an order backlog at the end of 1988. During that year, Balzers was able to maintain its leading position both in coating machines for various applications and in numerous sectors of coating operations. Table 1 and Table 2 show that during the past two years, gross sales of the Balzers Division remained at approximately 11 percent of the parent company's total gross sales. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated November ESIS Volume II 0005011 Balzers Table 1 Oerlikon-Buhrle Group Statement of Income Worldwide Revenue (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1987 1988 $2,757 $2,897 2,536 .2,686 378 318 $2,914 $3,004 Less Operating Expenses (2,992) (3,029) Consolidated Net Result $ $ Gross Sales Net Sales Other Income Total Exchange Rate (SFr to US$1) (78) 1.49 (25) 1.46 Source: Oerlikon-Buhrle 1988 Annual Report Dataguest November 1989 Table 2 Balzers Division Worldwide Revenue (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1987 12M Gross s a l e s $324 $323 Exchange Rate (SFr to US$1) 1.49 1.46 Source: ESIS Volume II 0005011 Oerlikon-Buhrle 1988 Annual Report Dataguest November 1989 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated November Balzers OUTLOOK Balzers Division plays an important role in the parent company's operations, which takes the view that Balzers Division has a great future working in the high-vacuum industry in general and in thin-film technology in particular. Today, Balzers ranks as a high-tech company that occupies a significant market position and recognizes that the pursuit of new technologies requires substantial sums of capital made available for R&D. Balzers therefore faces the future with confidence and is in the forefront with certain technology strengths. One such strengh lies in the arena of special systems for coating compact discs, where the Company claims it is the leader in this rapidly growing market. Another particular strength of Balzers is its claim to be the only company that combines the production of evaporation and sputter coating materials with its own industrial-scale thin-film production and the manufacture of the deposition systems in which those materials are used to make the films. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated November ESIS Volume II 0005011 The BOC Group PLC BACKGROUND AND OVERVIEW The BOC Group PLC is one of the United Kingdom's major industrial companies, with worldwide operations in approximately 50 countries. Its business is segmented as follows: • Gases and Related Products—This segment includes gases for the electronics and food industries and for environmental applications. • Health Care—This segment embraces anesthetic pharmaceuticals, health care, intravascular devices, and patient monitoring systems. • Special Products and Services—This segment includes high-vacuum technology and incorporates Edwards High Vacuum International, a world leader in the technology and manufacture of vacuum systems and components. home In 1988, the Company reported record vacuum turnover of US$4,495 million and profit of US$620 million. In its 1988 Annual Report, the Company noted that the demand for industrial gases showed healthy growth in most markets, and that the health care and special products and services businesses also enjoyed generally strong demand. Over the past decade, the Company made some notable acquisitions that enabled it to build up an important presence in the area of bulk and special gases for the semiconductor industry. Some of the more important developments are as follows: • 1978—The Company acquired Airco of the United States, a large supplier of industrial and special gases. In the United Kingdom, the Company acquired Edwards High Vacuum Incorporated, the leading European company in vacuum technology. • 1984—The Microelectronics Center of North Carolina was opened. This facility is supported by a number of companies, including Airco Inc. and Specialty Gases (members of the BOC Group), with full-time BOC/Airco staff members located on site. • 1988—BOC purchased the tungsten hexafluoride activities of Genus, Inc., located in California. This valuable gas is used to make low-resistance pathways on megabit chips, which are the building blocks of today's high-speed computers. Also in 1988, the Company signed an agreement with Eagle-Picher Research Laboratory in the United States for joint marketing of ultrahigh-purity trimethyl gallium and for future product development. Trimethyl gallium is a critical source material in the manufacture of gallium arsenide semiconductor devices. ESIS Volume II 0004485 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated August The BOC Group PLC During 1988, BOC announced that construction of a new special gases facility also is under way in order to meet Taiwan's fast-growing semiconductor industry needs. This plant will be adjacent to the newly developed Science-Based Industrial Park in Taiwan, where the semiconductor industry is concentrated. OPERATIONS The BOC Group's corporate headquarters is located at Windlesham, Surrey, England. As of September 30, 1988, the Company employed 38,810 persons worldwide. Of these, approximately 30 percent were employed in Europe, 32 percent in the Americas, and the remaining 38 percent divided about evenly among Africa and Asia/Pacific region. Principal Companies To meet the worldwide demands of the semiconductor industry for bulk and special gases, BOC has strategically located manufacturing facilities serving a network of localized warehousing and distribution centers in each of these four major geographical areas—Africa, the Americas, Asia/Pacific, and Western Europe. In each of these areas, BOC has many subsidiaries and affiliated companies that either are wholly owned or in which it has a major interest. Worldwide, there are approximately 100 such companies. The four principal companies covering the worldwide operation are as follows: • In Western Europe, the production and marketing of commodity and special gases is provided by BOC Limited, with headquarters in London, England. On the European continent, these activities are provided by BOC Special Gases GmbH, situated in Marburg, West Germany. • In the United States, the Company manufactures and markets bulk and special gases across the country through the BOC Group Inc., a 100 percent owned subsidiary. This important subsidiary includes Airco, with headquarters in Murray Hill, New Jersey. • The Company's South African interests are covered by African Oxygen Ltd. • Asia/Pacific is covered by The Commonwealth Industrial Gases Ltd., an Australian company that supplies bulk gases. Other Companies and Joint Ventures In Japan, where the Group has a 49 percent interest in Osaka Sanso Kogyo KK, it has gained access to new technology. In this joint enterprise, the Company operates a new special gases plant in Osaka and employs state-of-the-art technology in the filling, purification, and manufacture of gases for the Asia/Pacific region. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated August ESIS Volume II 0004485 The BOC Group PLC The BOC Group has a 50 percent interest in Shanghai BOC Industrial Gases Co., Ltd., in the People's Republic of China. Currently, a new liquid gases plant is being built in Shanghai; this plant is expected to be on-line by the end of 1989. During 1988, a 120-ton-per-day air-separation plant was commissioned in Jamshedpur, India, and a second 70-ton-per-day plant was commissioned in Tarapur. The Company has a 50 percent interest in a joint venture in Turkey, where a 120-ton-per-day gas plant is being built near Istanbul, and is due to be commissioned in early 1990. FINANCIAL The Company's 1988 accounts revealed that 26 percent of worldwide revenue and 33 percent of operating profit were derived from its European operations. A summary of the most recent financial information covering the fiscal years ending September 30, 1986 through 1988 for the BOC Group is given in Tables 1 through 3. Table 1 shows that worldwide revenue increased by 14.5 percent in 1988 over 1987 to reach a record $4,495 million in U.S. dollars. The largest increase in revenue was recorded by Special Products and Services (29 percent), followed by Health Care (22 percent) and Gases and Related Products (14 percent). Table 1 The BOC Group and Subsidiaries Worldwide Revenue by Business Segment (Millions of Dollars) Gases and Related Products Health Care Special Products & Services Discontinued Products Total Exchange Rate (£ per US$1) 1986 1987 1988 $2,052 760 531 143 $2,344 844 448 289 $2,665 1,028 588 214 $3,486 $3,925 $4,495 0.68 0.60 0.57 Source: BOC Annual Accounts 1988 Dataguest August 1989 ESIS Volume II 0004485 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated August The BOC Group PLC The largest business segment is Gases and Related Products, with 1988 worldwide revenue of $2,665 billion. This represents 59 percent of all revenue. Table 2 shows that of 1988's total operating profit of $620 million, the Gases and Related Products segment contributed $395 million, or 64 percent. Table 2 The BOC Group and Subsidiaries Worldwide Operating Profit by Business Segment (Millions of Dollars) Business Seoment Gases and Related Products Health Care Special Products & Services Corporate Discontinued Business Total Exchange Rate (£ per US$1) 1986 1987 1988 $261 117 24 (19) 20* $327 136 55 (28) 33 $395 158 79 (31) 19 $403 $523 $620 0.68 0.60 0.57 •Relates to currency gains Source: BOC Annual Accounts 1988 Dataguest August 1989 Worldwide 1988 revenue growth for the Gases and Related Products segment was 13.7 percent. Table 3 shows that revenue in Europe increased by 9.7 percent, Africa had a 10 percent decrease, the Americas had a 20.6 percent increase, and the Asia/Pacific region had a 16.7 percent increase. Table 3 further shows that the Asia/Pacific region is the largest market for Gases and Related Products. In 1988, it accounted for 42 percent of revenue, up from 40 percent in 1987. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated August ESIS Volume II 0004485 The BOC Group PLC Table 3 The BOC Group and Subsidiaries Revenue of Gases and Related Products by Geographic Area (Millions of Dollars) 1987 Geographic Area Revenue Europe Africa Americas Asia/Pacific $ Total Exchange Rate (£ per US$1) 1988 Percent Revenue Percent 504 230 655 955 22'ib 10 28 40 553 207 790 1.115 21''b 8 $2,344 100% $2,665 100% 0.60 Source: $ 29 42 0.57 BOC Annual A c c o u n t s Dataguest August 1989 1988 RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT The strong emphasis placed on research and development (R&D) is underlined by the $82 million expenditure in 1988, an increase of 30 percent over 1987. Because of the diverse nature of the Company's activities regarding products, manufacturing processes, and geographical spread of its markets, R&D is organized both centrally and locally. Local R&D groups are maintained and managed by the operating business units, usually near the Company's plants. They perform advanced technical work close to the point of application. In the United Kingdom, process and product development is carried out at the Morden headquarters in London. Long-term technical developments requiring significant expenditure are carried out at the BOC Group's technical center in Murray Hill, New Jersey, in the United States. The technical center covers approximately 168,000 square feet and comprises research laboratories and support facilities such as computer, information, and drafting services. In addition to the Company's own R&D, it has set up a number of strategic alliances with research organizations and universities that have produced some very positive results. Work at the Company's microelectronics center in North Carolina is very much involved in developing new gas applications, and the Company now has strong links with the semiconductor research establishment at Tokohu University in Japan. ESIS Volume II 0004485 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated August The BOC Group PLC In the United Kingdom, BOC is taking part in a major industrial research program on plasma-etching techniques for use in VLSI circuits. The program has been launched under the government's Alvey scheme for the development of advanced information technology. Another area of research currently being investigated is with silane/diborane mixtures used in passivation to give low-temperature processing. The company also supports the London Computer and Electronics School. In 1988, BOC donated approximately $800,000 to this organization for its studies. PRODUCTS Through its Special Gases Division, BOC supplies electronics gases and equipment to the European electronics industry. Under the Electra II trademark, BOC offers a range of doping, etching, epitaxial, passive structure, and ion-implantation gases to meet the exacting requirements of the European semiconductor industry. In addition to these special gases, a number of diluent gases are offered, including argon, helium, hydrogen, nitrogen, and oxygen. BOC's Special Gases Division also has a range of gases and gas mixtures in its Electra III-V range for use in the metal-organic chemical vapor decomposition (MOCVD) technique for growing high-quality multilayers for semiconductors. A selection of these gases includes the following: • Dimethyl zinc in hydrogen • Diethyl zinc in hydrogen • Diethyl telluride in hydrogen • Dimethyl cadmium in hydrogen In addition to special gases, BOC also offers a complete service for the design, supply, installation, and commission of total gas feed and control systems for industrial gases. These include acetylene, hydrogen, propane, oxygen, nitrogen, and carbon dioxide. Under its Spectra-matic trademark, BOC recently launched a new generation of microprocessor-controlled gas delivery systems. These systems are used to automate the purging cycle necessary for high-purity and hazardous gases, and also to monitor process and purge conditions, taking corrective action when necessary. Recently, the Company produced a range of gases that can be certified as less than 10 particles per cubic foot greater than 0.3 micron. This range of gases is called Spectra-Clean and includes silane, arsine, and phosphine as well as the inert gases nitrogen, argon, and helium. These gases are supplied in Spectra-Clean aluminum cylinders. 6 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated August ESIS Volume II 0004485 The BOC Group PLC Edwards High Vacuum International, also a member of the BOC Group, makes vacuum systems and instrumentation and has recently introduced a new version of its Drystar pumping system for harsh semiconductor processes. This system is particularly suitable for plasma etch, film deposition, photoresist stripping, and crystal/epitaxial growth. Edwards High Vacuum International also has recently introduced new product lines manufactured by its Datametrics Division. These are gas flow transducers that cover the scale range of 5 sscm up to 20 slpm and two new products covering the ranges up to 200 slpm. FUTURE PROSPECTS In the long term, the Company takes an optimistic view of the prospects. It recognizes that some important problems must be resolved in the short term, particularly regarding the United States' trade imbalances, which will require changes in policy that will produce a temporary restraint on growth. However, because the Company's revenue is diverse, it is well positioned to weather any downturn in the world economy. Gas is BOC's biggest business, and it is at the leading edge of new technologies in production, distribution, and applications. The diversity of customers and geography gives the gases business its resilience, stability, and potential for growth. ESIS Volume II 0004485 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated August Compugraphics International OVERVIEW Compugraphics International is a wholly owned subsidiary of the British company Laporte Industries pic, one of the world's leading manufacturers of specialty chemicals. In 1988, Laporte reported worldwide sales of $921 million. Compugraphics International can trace its origins back some 21 years, when in 1968 it was set up as a small software bureau employing CAD techniques for cartography. Between 1971 and 1981, it was part of the Furness Withy Group and underwent an extensive expansion of its operations. In 1982, the Company was sold to a private company—Caledonian Applied Technology Limited, which at that time owned IC Masks. Subsequently, both IC Masks and Compugraphics International were acquired by Laporte. Through these two acquisitions, Laporte has a very major interest in not only the U.K. market for photomasks, but also in the Western European market. Compugraphics' manufacturing capability fully utilizes its electron beam system and optical equipment, thus providing the flexibility to produce any mask type from simple, large geometry devices to the most complex IC and SAW devices now coming out of design. The Company, which is located in Scotland's Silicon Glen, offers the most technologically advanced semiconductor photomasking service in Europe. Full electron beam and optical services are available. These are backed by the most advanced inspection equipment available, including die-to-data base and through-pellicle inspection, thus ensuring a fast and reliable quality product. The Company prides itself on the speed of the service offered. Its Gold Service is a maximum three-day cycle time with data input via package switch system (PSS) where appropriate. Its normal cycle time is 4 days for the first 3 layers and 10 days for the remainder. OPERATIONS The headquarters of the Company is housed at Glenrothes, Fife, Scotland. The site consists of some 43,000 square feet and includes a new extension of some 10,000 square feet, which opened in July 1988. This new extension contains the stores, shipping and receiving areas, and a new supplementary deionized water supply. In addition, new clean rooms were constructed that include customer viewing corridors. These rooms provide a base for dedicated functional departments such as final plate cleaning, pelliclizations, inspection, and measurement. One area houses the newly installed Mebes III e-beam equipment in a Class 10 vertical laminar flow room with full HEPA filter ceiling and computer floor. ESIS Volume II 0004128 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June Compugraphics International On the technical front, the Company recently added a Quantronix DSR2 pinhole repair station, a KLA 228 data base inspection station, and new metrology equipment to further the goal toward zero defects. The total of new investment is some £5 million ($8.5 million). FINANCIAL Table 1 gives revenue and profit for Laporte for the fiscal years ended December 31, 1986, through December 31, 1988. The figures in Table 1 reveal that turnover in 1988 increased by 21 percent over that of 1987 and that pretax profit increased by 38 percent. In 1986, the last year before the Company became a wholly owned subsidiary of Laporte, it reported a turnover of $6 million, about 1 percent of the parent company's turnover. Table 2 shows worldwide revenue for 1987 and 1988 split by business segment. The figures show very satisfactory increases in all the business segments. The electronic segment, which also includes Micro-Image Technology's contribution, shows a very healthy increase of 41 percent over 1987, reflecting the strong growth in the semiconductor business during the year. Table 1 Laporte Industries Worldwide Revenue and Profit (Millions of Dollars) 1986 1987 1988 Turnover $620 $759 $921 Profit before tax $ 94 $123 $170 Rate of Exchange £ Sterling per U.S. Dollar 0.68 0.61 0.56 Source: Laporte Industries pic Annual Accounts 1988 Dataguest June 1989 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June ESIS Volume II 0004128 Compugraphics International Table 2 Laporte Industries Woridwide Revenue by Business Segments (Millions of Dollars) Business Segment Peroxygen products Building and timber products Inorganic and organic specialties Absorbents Paper and water treatment Electronic Trading and other activities Total Source: 1987 1988 $256 108 127 63 66 29 110 $272 152 137 83 85 41 151 $759 $921 Laporte Industries pic Annual Accounts 1988 Dataguest June 1989 RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT The Company is involved in the Alvey project. VLSI photomasks at the 1-micron level. It is contributing to the study of THE COMPANY'S PHOTOMASK SERVICE This service covers the following five areas: • Reticle pattern generation • Mask/reticle inspection • Optical projection masters • Electron beam masking • Data processing ESIS Volume II 0004128 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June Compugraphics International Reticle Pattern Generation Compugraphics International has three electromask pattern generators. These machines are able to accept pattern generated (PD) data on magnetic tape in Electromask 2000 or D.W. Mann 3000/3600 formats. The data units can be either metric or imperial. In the interests of speed, reticles are normally pattern generated using a high-intensity xenon flash exposure onto high-resolution halide emulsion plates. The equipment can produce hard-surface reticles directly using UV exposure, but this nearly doubles the PG time with a commensurate increase in cost. The equipment is housed in individual Class 100 environmental chambers that also provide temperature and humidity control as well as minimizing particulates within the chamber. Access to the chamber is via a sliding safelight window panel for the purpose of plate loading and unloading only. Mask/Reticle Inspection The Company has installed and commissioned two new inspection systems, both of which incorporate submicron defect-detection capability. This addition to its service makes Compugraphics International one of the few mask houses offering this capability. The two systems, Chipcheck and KLA 208, offer 0.5-micron defect detection on DSW reticles and full projection master arrays. In addition, the Chipcheck will inspect against the original data base, thereby ensuring device integrity of all geometries within the device, and identify and classify all defects to submicron levels. The system also can inspect IX structures; critical level reticles for optical stepping; IX, 5X, and lOX DSW reticles and SAW devices. An important feature of this all-embracing facility is the through-pellicle inspection capability. To complement the Chipcheck and KLA 208, two other KLA systems , the 100 and 211, are operated. These systems have been used by the Company for many years and have high thresholds of defect detection. The KLA 211 also has through-pellicle inspection capability. For layer-to-layer registration, the Company has two optical mask comparators, a Nikon MC-7 (up to 7-inch by 7-inch masks) and a Leitz (up to 5-inch by 5-inch masks). The Nikon gives 0.25^micron registration accuracy. Critical dimension measurements are made using Vickers M41 microscopes with intensity profile attachments, accurate to 0.03 micron. The Company also uses a NECY 452C Laser repair system. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June ESIS Volume II 0004128 Compugraphics International Optical Projection Masters The Company manufactures optical projection masters of the highest quality. The maximum size is 7-inch by 7-inch, with registration accuracy of +0.5 micron, CD control of +0.25 micron, and defectivity of less than 1 per square inch. The equipment used is GCA 3696 Stepper and Electromask 2500 Combo. Electron Beam Masking A Mebes III 80-MHz electron beam system, primarily designed for mask manufacture, was commissioned and became operational in May 1988; it also is capable of direct exposure on wafers. The Mebes III has the capability to write line widths down to about 0.5 micron and can analyze its own performance to a resolution of 0.015 micron. Layer-to-layer overlay registration accuracy is better than 0.12 micron. This machine complements the Varian VLS40 system, which was installed earlier and provides duplication of critical path equipment in addition to doubling production capacity for electron beam mask generation. This facility is housed in a 400-square-foot clean area built specifically for it, and environmental conditions are maintained to tightly controlled temperature and humidity tolerances. Data Processing Compugraphics offers complete data processing capability for a wide variety of inputs. Utilizing the Shapesmith software suite from Lattice Logic with a VAX 11/750, it is possible to perform any type of manipulation necessary for generating optical and electron beam photomasks. This manipulation includes oversizing and undersizing (+ve and -ve biasing), data sealing, data base-PC format, -E beam format conversions, and full fracturing ability. A complementary, though separate, digitizing services also is available. From supplied scaled drawings, dimensional sketches or coordinated listings, the Company can produce data output suitable for optical and e-beam masks. Conversion from punched paper tape is carried out using a DEC PNP 11/40 computer. Future Prospects Compugraphics International, with its state-of-the-art facilities and sound commercial and technical backing, is well placed to meet the future demands of the semiconductor industry. ESIS Volume II 0004128 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June 5 Compugraphics International The Company is dedicated to a continuous program of technical improvements, as evidenced by the recent installation of a Balzers BMC 701 Ultrasonic photomask cleaning system. This machine represents the best equipment that is currently offered that can tackle the vital final cleaning stage of mask manufacture. This and other technical improvements will enable the Company to maintain its position as a leading European mask maker. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June ESIS Volume II 0004128 Dynamit Nobel Silicon OVERVIEW Dynamit Nobel Silicon S.p.A. (DNS) is a subsidiary of Dynamit Nobel AG, one of West Germany's largest chemical and plastics producers. Dynamit Nobel AG was established by the Swedish engineer Alfred Nobel, who is also known as the inventor of dynamite and founder of the Nobel Foundation. Prior to DNS becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of Dynamit Nobel AG in October 1980, it had been known as Smiel, situated at Merano in the Dolomite Alps and owned by Montedison. Today the Company is completely dedicated to the manufacture of silicon for the semiconductor industry, with manufacturing facilities at Merano and Novara in northern Italy. In 1983 DNS established a technology center in Sunnyvale, California, United States, to support its worldwide customers in the semiconductor industry and its silicon manufacturing plants in Italy and North Carolina, also in the United States. OPERATIONS The corporate headquarters located at Novara, Italy. of Dynamit Nobel Silicon S.p.A. are In addition to administration, this site houses marketing departments, R&D laboratories, and a wafer processing plant. The latter occupies some 150,000 square feet and employs 500 persons. The Company has another plant at Merano, employing also about 500 persons, which supplies the Novara plant with monocrystalline silicon. Manufacturing Process The Merano plant receives rail cars of trichlorosilane (TCS), the basic raw material for the production of ultrapure silicon, from the Dynamit Nobel plant at Rheinfeld. This installation is one of the world's largest production units for silicon tetrachloride. On arrival at Merano, the liquid TCS is checked for quality and further purified to semiconductor grade (i.e., impurities reduced to less than one part per billion). Polycrystalline silicon of extremely high resistivity is produced by reaction of TCS with very pure hydrogen. The polycrystalline silicon is then transformed into monocrystalline, or single-crystal, silicon rods by either state-of-the-art computercontrolled crystal pullers to give Czochralski (CZ) silicon or Float-Zone (Fz) silicon. ESIS Volume II © 1986 Dataquest Incorporated November Dynamit Nobel Silicon The monocrystalline silicon is dispatched to both the Novara plant in Italy and to the DNS plant in North Carolina, for the actual wafer fabrication process. At these facilities the rods of silicon undergo sawing into wafers, followed by lapping and polishing. The wafers are now ready for sale or may undergo epitaxial deposition, depending on customer requirements. Sales Outlets To serve the European market, the Company has, in addition to its sales office in Novara, offices at Munich, Bavaria, in West Germany and at Sloughy Berkshire, in the United Kingdom. In the United States DNS has sales offices at Sunnyvale, California; Salem, Massachussetts; and Austin, Texas. FINANCIAL A summary of the most recent financial statements for the Dynamit Nobel Group for the fiscal years ended 31 December 1983, 1984, and 1985 is shown in Table 1. In the 1985 Annual Report, the parent company noted that worldwide investment in fixed and financial assets amounted to US$49 million. These were predominantly related to the continued expansion of its activities in high-purity silicon for the semiconductor industry. DNS expanded production of its Novara and Merano facilities, and work commenced on the erection of a new plant for high-purity silicon wafers in Durham, North Carolina, United States. The first stage in the expansion program involved an investment of about $35 million, with initial production scheduled for early 1986. © 1986 Dataguest Incorporated November ESIS Volume II Dynamit Nobel Silicon Table 1 ' Dynamit Nobel Group CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF INCOME (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1983 1984 1985 Sales (net) $1,126 $1,102 $1,094 Investments in fixed and financial assets $ 41 $ 53 $ 49 Depreciation on fixed and financial assets $ 50 $ 53 $ 49 Balance Sheet Total $ 630 $ 563 $ 544 Expenditure on Research $ 31 $ 29 $ 30 Expenditure for Environment Protection $ 18 $ 22 $ 23 Personnel Expenditure $ 290 $ 267 $ 273 Exchange Rate DM per U.S. Dollar 2.55 Source: 2.94 2.85 Dynamit Nobel Annual Report 1985 RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT Fundamental research and development are carried out in the United States at the Company's technology center in Sunnyvale, California, which was established in 1984. The objectives of the R&D work done at this center are: • To investigate the performance yield • To provide comprehensive, prompt quality-assurance services • To anticipate future requirements for silicon products ESIS Volume II relationships between silicon 1986 Dataquest Incorporated November and device Dynamit Nobel Silicon Recent R&D projects being carried on in Novara include: • Comprehensive modelling of the behavior of interstitial oxygen in silicon (As a result of these studies, it has been shown that tight control of oxygen can be a very useful tool in itself to improve device yields.) • Research to optimize gettering techniques and their application to specific processing procedures (This has led to customdesigned gettering and, in particular, to extrinsic gettering, which involves generating crystal damage on the back surface of the polished wafer; this acts as a trap for metallic impurities.) • Purity studies and the development of techniques for detection of impurities using Neutron Activation Analysis • Studies into the deposition of silicon nitride and polysilicon on the back of the wafer • Development of epitaxy technology to achieve the advanced properties required in the next generation of VLSI circuits the Under an exchange of technical information with Sony in Japan, the Company is studying the effect on impurities of growing silicon crystals under the influence of a magnetic field. With growing interest in electro-optical devices, another area to which the Company is giving attention is that of multilayered structures using III/V semiconductor alloys. Another area of complementary metal radiation damage. interest is the design of epitaxial wafers for oxide semiconductors (CMOS), avoiding particle PRODUCTS Dynamit Nobel Silicon's principal products include: Silicon poly nuggets Silicon CZ monocrystals Silicon as cut/lapped wafers—CZ Polished silicon wafers Test wafers © 1986 Dataquest Incorporated November ESIS Volume II Dynamit Nobel Silicon Silicon Poly Nuggets The Company's silicon poly nuggets have the following specifications: • Dimensions Size—6 to 70mm typical Weight—15 to 20 grams/piece • Purity Donor level— >300 ohm.cm Acceptor level— >3000 ohm.cm Carbon content— >2.5 x 10^^ At/cm^ Silicon CZ Monocrystals These are available doped with phosphorous, boron, or antimony in (111) and (100)± 1° orientations in standard diameters from 76.2mm (3") to 150mm. Table 2 gives typical electrical resistivity ranges and tolerance for silicon doped with different agents. Table 3 gives typical resistivity ranges, tolerances, and radial resistivity variation for FZ monocrystals doped with phosphorous and boron. ESIS Volume II © 1986 Dataquest Incorporated November Dynamit Nobel Silicon Table 2 Dynamit Nobel Silicon TYPICAL RESISTIVITIES FOR DOPED SILICON CZ* MONOCRYSTALS Resistivity Tolerance Resistivity Range Dopant + +. 0.1 - 25 ohm.cm Phosphorous Antimony Boron Boron P+ 30% std. 20% min. 0.005-0.015 ohm.cm 0.005-0.020 ohm.cm N/A N/A 0.1 - 100 ohm.cm ± 25% std. ± 15% min. 0.005 - 0.020 ohm.cm N/A N/A *CZ = Czochralski crucible pulled Table 3 Dynamit Nobel Silicon TYPICAL RESISTIVITIES FOR DOPED SILICON FZ* MONOCRYSTALS Resistivity Tolerance Radial Resistivity Variation Dopant Resistivity Range Phosporous 0.1 - 150 ohm.cm ± 25% std. + 12% min. 100 - 150 ohm.cm ± 30% Std. + 20% min. 20% max. 0.1 - 500 ohm.cm + 25% std. + 15% min. < 8 % typ. < 8 % typ. 10% max. 10% max. Boron < 1 8 % typ. < 1 6 % typ. 18% max. *FZ = Float Zone Source: Dynamit Nobel Silicon Standard Product Specification 1986 Dataquest Incorporated November ESIS Volume II Dynamit Nobel Silicon Silicon as Cut/Lapped Wafers—C2 Wafers are available from 76.2mm (3") up to resistivity ranges already given in Tables 2 and 3. 150mm diameter in Table 4 gives minimum thickness tolerances for various diameters of wafer as a function of surface finish for CZ cut/lapped wafers. Table 4 Dynamit Nobel Silicon THICKNESS CHARACTERISTICS FOR CZ AS CUT/LAPPED WAFERS Surface Finish AS CUT LAPPED Diameter Minimum Thickness Thickness Tolerance Min. Std. 76.2mm (3") lOOnun 125mm 150mm 300um 400um 450um SOOum + ± ± ± 25i]m 25um 25um 25um 76.2mm (3") 100mm 125mm 150mm 300Tun 380\im 420um 450um + + + + Sum Sum Sum Sum Source: ± ISxim ± 15\jm + 15um ± 2um Dynamit Nobel Silicon Standard Product Specifications Polished Silicon Wafers The range of CZ polished silicon wafers comprises the following eight products: • (lll)P—boron polished • (lll)P*—boron polished • (lOO)P—boron polished • (100)P+—boron polished ESIS Volume II © 19S6 Dataquest Incorporated November Dynamit Nobel Silicon • (lll)N—phosphorous polished • (lOO)N—phosphorous polished • (lll)N'''—antimony polished • (lOO)N'*'—antimony polished These wafers are manufactured to a very high standard. On the polished side, 98 percent of wafers are free of scratches; the utmost care is taken to ensure that the wafers are free of haze, dimples, chips, and cracks and that all edges are fully contoured, including flats. Text Wafers Polished test wafers are available in standard diameters but tailor-made to customer specifications (i.e. in terms of type, dopant, and resistivity). In addition to silicon substrate material, DNS offers the following two electronic grade chemicals: • Silicon Trichloride • Silicon Tetrachloride FUTURE PROSPECTS As one of the world's leading suppliers of silicon substrates, the Company continues to view its long-term growth prospects with optimism. To this end, the Company is well placed, with its current expansion plans, to take advantage of the increased demand for its products that it expects over the next decade. DNS is very alert to the effect that changing IC technology will have on the properties demanded of the substrate material, particularly as line widths on devices challenge the 1-um barrier. This is illustrated by the emphasis of the R&D program of study being carried out by the Company on purity and epitaxy. The Company believes that as a supplier of substrate material, it must have an intimate knowledge not only of the behavioral characteristics of the raw materials but also of the device market being supplied. This takes teamwork, innovation, and creativity across the whole spectrum of its activities—all of which DNS takes great pride in pursuing. 3 © 1986 Dataquest Incorporated November ESIS Volume II General Signal OVERVIEW General Signal CcHpwation is a leader in instrumentation and control technology for semiconductor production, telecommunications, industrial automation, energy management, and rail transportation. The Company divides its business into the following four sectors: • Process Controls • Technology Industries • Electrical Controls • Transportation Controls The Process Controls sector includes products such as general mixing equipment and industrial valves for use in the chemical and chemical-related industries. The Technology Industries sector covers the Company's sales of semiconductor equipment. Its position in the industry was greatly enhanced in 1988 by the acquisition of GCA Corporation. This purchase not only enabled the Company to broaden its products and services but provided extensive foreign operations in Japan and Europe, thus furthering General Signal's influence in what has become a highly competitive global industry. The products and services previously offered by GCA Europa, S.A., now are handled by General Signal's Semiconductor Equipment Group Europe. The Electrical Controls sector covers transformers and their repair, utility switching, and heat-trace and firestop product line business. The Transport Controls sector includes such items as locomotive control systems, braking equipment, and automatic couplers. In 1988, General Signal reported net sales of $1,760 million, an increase of 9.8 percent over 1987. In its 1988 annual report, the Company noted that on June 7, 1988, the Company acquired all outstanding shares of GCA for approximately $28.0 million in cash and nearly one million shares of the Company's common stock, which were valued at $51.6 million. OPERATIONS General Signal's corporate headquarters is located at High Ridge Park, Stamford, Connecticut, in the United States. ESIS Volume II 0004753 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated September General Signal In Europe, semiconductor equipment sales are handled through the General Signal Semiconductor Equipment Group Europe, with sales and service offices located as follows: • France—Femey-Voltaire • United Kingdom—Southampton • West Germany—Munich Each company has its own manager, service personnel, and spare parts warehouse; West Germany also has a training center. Altogether, the Group has approximately 90 highly trained specialists throughout Western Europe who provide service to the Company's customers. They are involved in installing the Company's systems and working with customers on problems concerning product/process relationships. The operating units of the Semiconductor Equipment Group Europe in the United States consist of the following: Advanced Mechanization Inc., Horsham, Pennsylvania Drytek, Wilmington, Massachusetts GCA, Andover, Massachusetts General Signal Thinfilm Company, Fremont, California Kayex, Rochester, New York Semiconductor Systems, Fremont, California Ultratech Stepper, Santa Clara, California Xynetics, Santa Clara, California FINANCIAL A summary of the Company's financial operations for the fiscal years ending December 31, 1986 through 1988, is shown in Table 1. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated September ESIS Volume II 0004753 General Signal Table 1 Genaral Signal Ccrporati«i OHisolidated Statem^it of C^>erati(»is (MiUi<»^ of Dollars) Net Sales Cost and Expenses: Cost of Sales Sales and Administrative Expenses Write-offs Operating Revenue 1£M 1987 1988 $1,583 $1,603 $1,760 1,115 348 0 1,152 355 1,267 418 58 $ Source: 120 0 $ 96 $ 17 General Signal Corporation Annual Accounts September 1989 In the 1988 annual report, the Company notes that sales for 1988 totaled $1,760 million, an increase of 9.8 percent over $1,603 million in 1987. Sales from the Company's continuing businesses increased by 7.6 percent, excluding business acquisitions and divestitures. Sales growth was attributable primarily to continuing strength in the Process Controls sector, renewed demand in the Technology Industries sector's semiconductor capital equipment markets, and advances in the Electrical Controls sector's equipment sales. Sales gains were offset partly by declines experienced by the Company's Transportation Controls sector. Table 1 reveals that operating earnings in 1988 declined 82.4 percent to $17 million compared with $96 million in 1987. This substantial decrease is attributable to $95 million of significant and nonrecurring charges recorded in 1988. These charges include a $58.1 million goodwill write-off, of which $54.9 million is associated with the Technology Industry sector's Karkar Electronics business. A breakdown of revenue by business sector is shown in Table 2. This table shows that the Technology Industries sector reported a significant advance in 1988 with sales reaching $445 million. This was due to good growth in semiconductor equipment operations coupled with the acquisition of GCA Corporation in June 1988, In 1988, nearly 17 percent of General Signal's sales were generated outside the United States. ESIS Volume n 0004753 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated September General Signal Table 2 General Signal Corporation Revenue by Business Sectcn* (Millions of Dollars) 198$ Sector Process Controls Technology Industries Electrical Controls Transportation Control: Dispositions Total Source: IMSL 281 ?8$ 637 445 387 ?71 $1,525 $1,524 $1,740 58 79 20 $1,583 $1,603 $1,760 $ Subtotal 2M1 600 311 333 $ 590 297 351 $ General Signal Corporation Annual Accounts 1988 September 1989 RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT (R&D) The Company has a strong commitment to R&D. In 1988, R&D expenditure was $116 million, approximately 6.6 percent of total sales turnover. With the challenge posed by ASICs, considerable R&D effort is being expended in the area of maskmaking, PRODUCTS The Company's principal markets in the Technology Industries sector are the semiconductor, telecommunications, broadcast, and defense industries. This sector provides equipment for most major segments of semiconductor manufacturing, from wafer preparation and processing through environmental test. Products include crystal-growing furnaces, wafer saws and polishers, diffusion/deposition systems, photolithography wafer steppers and lenses, wafer processing equipment, plasma etching/stripping systems, wafer probers, and die bonders. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated September ESIS Volume II 0004753 General Signal The following are some of the products offered by the Company: AMI model 4206 automatic epoxy die attach system and model 5406 fully automatic epo^Qr die attach system Drytek quad system, which features a central rotary pick-and-place transport that feeds four independent single-wafer process etch chambers and is capable of handling wafers to 200mm Electroglas +201 OX 4-inch by 6-inch robotic wafer handling system and +300IX 8-inch robotic handling system, each with 100/75 wafer capacity ALS Waferstep* 200 System—a microlithography exposure system for producing advanced devices; features the Tropel i-line lens and Maximus* illuminator for submicron production ALS Laserstep* 200 system—a microlithography system featuring the Tropel 2035 KrF reduction lens and excimer laser exposure source GCA/Tropel metrology products include the Flatmaster* automatic cassette-to-cassette wafer flatness measurement and sorting system with 3-inch to 6-inch capacity; Waferstress* film stress analyzer; Multisort* multiple parameter wafer sorting system; Wafersense* fiber-optic wafer detection system; Smartaligner* noncontact wafer prealignment station Tempress thermal processing and deposition equipment—a European product and an ideal ASICs system design Micro Automation System SIX/75, which incorporates unique transfer and processing modules, film frame mounted substrates, and flexible software. The model 1100 is a new programmable dicing saw Ultrastep 1500 and 990 1:1 projection steppers, which feature a new lens system for submicron circuit pattern lines and are capable of handling various size wafers ATEQ Core-2000J^ high-speed laser pattern generator Verteq Superclean 1600-5 rinser/dryer system Note: R denotes a registered trademark and * a trademark of General Signal Corporation. ESIS Volume II 0004753 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated September General Signal FUTURE PROSPECTS The progress of optical lithography to submicron geometries has been made by moving to shorter light wavelengths. GCA, now a wholly owned subsidiary of General Signal, was one of the pioneers of the i-line wavelength for which the Tropel Division has developed special lenses and the ALS Waferstep 2000 uses i-line. Reaching 0.5-micron levels and lower requires even shorter wavelengths that are beyond the optical spectrum; in this area, the Company is leading the way with its excimer laser lithography systems. General Signal believes that systems for submicron work will be a major development in the market in the years ahead, and the Company commands a leading position in this area. $ © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated September ESIS Volume II 0004753 LTX Corporation OVERVIEW LTX Corporation is one of the world's leading suppliers of systems used for the testing of linear, digital, and mixed-signal (combined linear/digital) integrated circuits. These systems also are used for the functional test and alignment of high-volume electronic assemblies. Laser-trimming and computer-networking products also are offered by the Company. The Company designs and manufactures four lines of semiconductor test systems. All of the Company's test systems have the same fundamental characteristic, namely, a set of computer-controlled instruments that send signals to a device under test and measure the response of that device. The four lines of test systems are as follows: • Ninety—The new Ninety system enhances the Company's original LTX77 linear and mixed-signal tester. This system uses a Data General computer enhanced by LTX to function as a test controller. • Hi.T—This line of test equipment provides a completely new architecture for high-throughput testing of linear devices. • Trillium—The Company's line of digital test equipment is used to test a wide variety of digital VLSI circuits. • Synchromaster—This product was introduced in May 1988 and was specifically developed for mixed-signal testing. For the fiscal year ending July 31, 1988, the Company reported record worldwide sales of US$174.8 million and income from operations totaling US$15.1 million. OPERATIONS The Company maintains its headquarters at LTX Park, Westwood, Massachusetts. This location houses corporate administration, sales and customer support, and manufacturing and engineering for its Linear Division. The Company also has component parts assembly, final assembly, and testing at its manufacturing facility in San Jose, California. This is the Company's Trillium Digital Division. LTX maintains 8 sales and customer support offices located throughout the United States. The Company's European and Far Eastern headquarters are located in Woking, United Kingdom, and Tokyo, Japan, respectively. Sales and customer support are provided in 10 additional facilities located throughout Europe and the Far East. ESIS Volume II 0003086 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated February LTX Corporation As of July 31, 1988, LTX employed 1,411 personnel worldwide. This included 601 in engineering and technical support, 543 in manufacturing, and 267 in sales and administration. In the United States, the Company's support center at Westwood consists of 326 employees. The support center's activities include training, field service, and applications assistance. Financial A summary of LTX Corporation's most recent financial information for the fiscal years ending July 31, 1986, through July 31, 1988, is given in Table 1. The Company noted in the 1988 annual accounts that it experienced favorable conditions in the semiconductor industry and a continuing strong market reception for its digital VLSI product line. Table 1 LTX Corporation Worldwide Consolidated Statement of Income (Thousands of U.S. Dollars) 1986 1987 1988 Net Sales Less Cost of Sales $95,400 -58.295 $120,622 - 66.706 $174,804 - 86,223 Gross Profit Less RScD Expenses $37,105 -21,546 $ 53,916 - 23,166 $ 88,581 - 31.572 Less Selling and Admin. Expenses $15,559 -31.612 $ 30,750 - 33,615 $ 57,009 - 41,945 Income from Operations ($16,053) ($ 2,865) Source: $ 15,064 LTX Corporation Annual Accounts Dataguest February :1989 In 1988, net sales increased 45 percent over the comparable 1987 period, to a record $174.8 million. For the second year in succession, shipments of digital VLSI test systems nearly doubled to approximately $85 million. The Company also noted that in 1988, shipments of linear product equipment improved about 15 percent over fiscal 1987. The Company's linear business was aided by increased sales of its new Hi.T system and broader application of its Ninety systems. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated February ESIS Volume n 0003086 LTX Corporation Table 1 also reveals that gross profit in fiscal 1988 increased to 50.7 percent of net sales from 44.7 percent in fiscal 1987. This is attributable to greater use of manufacturing capacity, improved product margins, and increased manufacturing of the Company's digital product line. Table 2 shows that sales in the United States have risen progressively from 48 percent in 1986 to 51 percent in 1988. Over this same period, exports from the United States have increased from about 13 percent of net sales to 19 percent. Table 2 also shows that sales to European customers increased in 1988 to 18 percent of the total net sales, up from 20 percent in 1987. Table 2 LTX Corporation Worldwide Sales by Geographic Area (Thousands of U.S. Dollars) Year Ending July 31 1986* 1987* 1988* Sales to Unaffiliated Customers United States Europe Japan Export from United States Total $46,364 21,577 15,360 12,099 $ 59,135 24,674 15,435 21,378 $95,400 $120,622 . $ 88,856 31,436 21,625 32.887 $174,804 *Fiscal year ending July 31 Source: LTX Corporation Annual Accounts Dataquest February 1989 Research and Development LTX operates in a field characterized by rapid technological change, and its future success depends on a large and continuing commitment to R&D. The Company's fiscal 1988 R&D expenses increased 36 percent over 1987 to $31.6 million. ESIS Volume II 0003086 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated February LTX Corporation PRODUCTS All four of the LTX test systems have the same fundamental design, i.e., a set of computer-controlled instruments that send signals to an integrated circuit under test and measure that circuit's responses. Test Systems Ninety The Ninety's central processing unit is the CP90 and includes a Data General Nova computer enhanced by LTX as test controller. The CP90 also supports a 160Mb disk drive, a magnetic tape unit, and other peripherals. The LTX 90 computer system may be used with a wide array of instruments, all developed by LTX for testing. The instruments can be configured to provide a range of signals appropriate to many types of linear integrated circuits. This system can laser trim thin- or thick-film hybrid circuits and silicon integrated circuits using suitable system extensions. Trillium The Trillium systems for testing digital devices use a new architecture, based on the theory of providing a complete set of testing resources at each pin of the circuit being tested. Recently, three new additions have been introduced to the Trillium product family. These are the following: • Validmaster Plus is an ideal cost-effective solution for high-volume production testing of 32-bit MPUs, RISC processors, and peripheral controllers. • Micromaster HPC (High Pin Count) is geared for high-pin-count, high-performance testing. It is designed for complex device characterization as well as high-throughput testing of the more advanced VLSI devices. • Validmaster HPC is geared for high-pin-count, cost-effective ASIC gate array and complex VLSI device testing. Performance characteristics and resource-per-pin architecture are similar to those of the Validmaster Plus. The 512-pin test head is the smallest high-pin-count test head in the industry. Hi.T The Hi.T linear test system uses Apollo DOMAIN network. The system also makes wide use of microprocessors to control signals and measurements to each pin of the device being tested to improve test efficiency. This line of equipment provides new architecture based on producing a complete set of independently controlled linear resources at each pin of the circuit under test, rather than sharing test instrumentation among pins. This "per-pin" architecture, combined with further independent 4 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated February ESIS Volume II 0003086 LTX Corporation microprocessors throughout the system, permits test signals and measurement to be executed concurrently whenever possible. The per-pin design significantly improves throughput and accuracy of testing for linear devices. SiTichromaster Synchromaster is LTX's new-generation, mixed-linear digital tester. It incorporates the Trillium digital architecture and the use of a Trillium system test head and test head digital pin cards combined with the Hi.T system. With the elimination of matrix-switching mechanisms, Synchromaster increases test throughput dramatically. This tester has great flexibility in being able to assign test resources to any pin of a device; thus, it is particularly suited to the best requirements of ASIC devices, no matter where the cells are located in the device and regardless of how the device is packaged. Product Applications Linear Applications Linear applications include the following: • Industrial—Using devices in a wide variety of commercial and military electronic assemblies. They include such applications as amplifiers, comparators, and voltage regulators. For these, the Ninety system or the Hi.T. system can be used. • Communications—Using both linear and mixed-signal circuits. Linear circuits such as amplifiers can be tested by either the Ninety or Hi.T system. Mixed-signal circuits such as digital filters, ISDN transceivers, and modems can be tested by either the Ninety, with its digital options, or the Synchromaster. • Consumer—Products such as radios, compact disc players, and cameras incorporating linear and mixed-signal circuits. These devices can be tested by adding radio, chroma, video, or digital modules to the Ninety system. • Automotive—Using the Company's Ninety system to test and laser trim integrated circuits or electronic assemblies used in ignition, fuel, and braking systems. Various modules are available for the system, which provide the unique waveforms necessary to test these devices. Digital Applications The Trillium family of digital test systems has been designed to test efficiently the wide variety of devices designed with MOS and ECL technologies. These include gate arrays, microprocessors and controllers, RISC processors, complex logic, and programmable logic. ESIS Volume II 0003086 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated February LTX Corporation Customer Support and Warranty Because of the highly technical nature of its systems, the Company considers customer support to be important to the success of its business. Customer support activities include training, field service, and applications assistance. As of July 31, 1988, the Company's service and support staff consisted of 326 employees. LTX maintains support centers at its Westwood, Massachusetts, headquarters and at 20 other locations around the world. The Company's policy is to provide customers with unlimited training at LTX support centers without charge, except for basic test system orientation and certain advanced courses. Customers' employees are instructed in system hardware and in the software developed by LTX specifically for preparing the debugging test programs for its systems. The Company provides a ten-year warranty against defects in its linear and mixed-signal test systems and a limited lifetime warranty against defects in the digital test systems. Computer peripherals, laser-trim equipment, and certain other components purchased from others outside LTX are covered by a one-year warranty. OUTLOOK LTX has a major share of the test equipment market and is well set up to continue the successful expansion of the two sides of the business through the Trillium Digital Division and the Hi.T linear system. The correctness of the Company's decision to emphasize the digital business is demonstrated by the fact that in just three years Trillium shipments have accumulated to more than $150 million, and LTX has become the largest U.S.-owned supplier of digital VLSI test systems. The Company views the long-term prospects with cautious optimism and sees continued expansion of its markets from the now well-established Trillium and Hi.T bases. This, together with its dedication to customer support and applications, will ensure that LTX will continue to enjoy a place at the forefront of the semiconductor test equipment market. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated February ESIS Volume II 0003086 MEMC Electronic Materials SpA OVERVffiW In January 1988, DNS (formerly Dynamit Nobel Silicon) was acquired by Hiils AG, a wholly owned subsidiary of Veba AG, one of West Germany's largest compmries. The acquisition was followed in February 1989 by the announcement that President Bush had ratified the transaction between Htils and Monsanto, whereby the former company would acquire the Electronic Materials Division of Monsanto. Hiils announced the formation of a new company from the merger of these two companies; the new company is MEMC Inc. It is responsible for worldwide production and marketing of electronic grade silicon products. Implementation of MEMC Inc. became effective in April 1989. MEMC Inc. forecasts that worldwide sales revenue in 1989 will be in the $400 million range, and MEMC Electronic SpA, with sales of approximately $130 million, will be the principal suppliers to MEMC's business in Europe. With these acquisitions, the HiilsA'eba Group is implementing its strategic decision to play a primary role in the silicon wafer market. MEMC Inc will benefit from a high degree of synergism, with very positive effects on research and innovation capacity, product quality, service, and competitiveness. In 1988, the Hiils Group reported net worldwide sales of DM 8.23 billion ($4.7 billion), representing approximately 18.5 percent of Veba's sales, which reported DM 44.4 billion ($25.2 bilUon) in sales in 1988. OPERATIONS MEMC Inc.'s corporate headquarters are located in No vara, Italy. The marketing, administration, and research and development (R&D) laboratories for Europe also are housed at this site. MEMC Inc.'s principal wafer fabrication facilities for Europe also are located in Novara. This plant covers approximately 150,000 square feet and employs 500 persons. The Company has a second Italian plant at Merano. Here, polyoystalline silicon is manufactured and single-crystal ingots prepared by Czochralski crucible pulling. Approximately 500 persons are employed here. Sales-of the Company's products are made through regional sales offices at the following strategic points throughout Europe: West Germany—^Munich France—^Paris United Kingdom—Milton Keynes and Manchester Italy—Novara The Company also has distributors and sales agents in Japan, Taiwan, Singapore, and India. • ESIS Volume n 0005966 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated February MEMC Electronic Materials SpA MANUFACTURING PROCESS The basic raw material for ultrapure silicon production is trichlorosilane (TCS). It is supplied by the Hills Troisdorf plant at Rheinfelden in West Germany; this plant also is one of the world's largest producers of silicon tetrachloride. At the Merano plant, the liquid TCS undergoes a series of purifications that bring it to semiconductor grade levels (i.e., impurities less than 1 part per billion). The TCS then is reduced—^using very high purity hydrogen made on site—^to high-resistivity polycrystalline silicon. This in turn is transformed by state-of-the-art computer-controlled pullers into large diameter single-crystal ingots. These ingots then are ground to give tight diameter tolerances, and reference flats or notches are added for crystal orientation referencing. When this process is completed, the ingots are shipped to Novara to be made into wafers. The wafer-making process is carried out at the Novara plant. It consists of sawing the ingots into slices, lapping for flatness, polishing to produce a precise mirror-like finish, and cleaning in a Class 10 ambient surrounding to remove microscopic particles. Most wafers are sold in polished form, but that depends on customer requirements. Wafers may undergo further processing (e.g., epitaxial layers, back sealing) before shipment. FINANCIAL Financial information for MEMC Electronic Materials SpA is not made available, but rather is consolidated into those of the immediate parent company, Htils AG. A summary of the most recent financial statements for the Hiils Group for the fiscal years that ended December 31, 1987 and 1988 is shown in Table 1. Table 1 shows that Group sales increased in 1988 by 66 percent over 1987. Pretax profit increased by a record 35 percent; indeed, 1988 was a record year in all regards, coinciding as it did with Hiils' 50th anniversary. In its 1987/1988 Annual Report, Veba notes that the Hiils Group's domestic sales increased by 55.3 percent to DM 3.6 billion (US$2 billion) in 1988, while Hiils AG's export sales were up by 68.0 percent to DM 4.6 billion (US$2,6 billion). The export ratio was 56.0 percent compared with 54.0 percent in 1987. Table 2 shows the business divided into operational areas. The "Other Areas of Business" row in Table 2 includes plastics processing, biotechnology, and silicon wafer fabrication. Table 2 shows satisfactory increases in all business areas. The companies of the Hiils Troisdorf AG subgroup and Svenska Polystyren Fabriken AB are incorporated into the financial statements for the first time: this incorporation is reflected in the sharp increase in the "Other Areas of Business" part of the table. These data also include for the first time, a full year's contribution from MEMC Electronic Materials SpA, estimated by Dataquest to be in the $100 million to $120 million range, i.e., approximately 11 percent of sales in this area and 2,4 percent of the Group's overall sales. ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated February ESIS Volume n 0005966 MEMC Electronic Materials SpA Table 1 Hills Group Profit and Loss Account (Millions of Dollars) Net Sales Cost of Sales Gross Profit on Sales Selling Expenses Research Expenses General Administrative Expenses Other Operating Expenses Other Operating Income Income from Participations Net Interest Profit before Tax Profit after Tax Exchange Rate (DM/$) 1987 1988 2,821 2,022 799 (325) (120) (50) (140) 65 61 18 308 152 1.8 4,678 3,412 1,266 (525) (173) (132) (273) (168) 88 (3) 416 215 1.76 Souice: Htlls AO Ammal Report 1988 Datatjuest Febniaiy 1990 Table 2 Hills Group Worldwide Sales by Business Area (Millions of Dollars) Basic Chemicals Organics Thermoplastics Elastomers, Coatings Other Areas of Business Total Exchange Rate (DM/$) 1987 1988 260 944 964 506 147 645 1,341 1,157 543 992 2,821 4,678 1.80 1.76 Souice: HOls AO Annual Report 1988 Dataquest Febniuy 1990 RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT Great importance is attached to R&D work that is aimed at providing customers with solutions to their problems. In 1988, the Hiils Group expended $173 million on R&D, a 44 percent increase over 1987. ESIS Volume n 0005966 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated Fehruary MEMC Electronic Materials SpA Hiils spends a large amount on R&D. Because of the wide range of the MEMC Inc. interests, the field of research is extensive, particularly recent research into the toxicological and safety aspects of the company's products. Research on silicon products by MEMC Electronic Materials SpA is carried out at both the Novara and Merano sites. Some of the projects include the following: Comprehensive behavior modeling of interstitial oxygen in silicon Research to optimize gettering techniques and their appUcation to specific processing procedures Studies on the properties of silicon nitride and polysilicon on the back of wafers Development of advanced epitaxy technology to achieve the properties required in the next generation of VLSI circuits Study of multilayered structures using IllfV semiconductor alloys because of growing interest in electro-optical devices PRODUCTS MEMC Electronic Materials SpA's products include the following: • Silicon poly nuggets • Silicon monocrystals • SiUcon as cut/lapped wafers • Test wafers • Polished silicon wafers • Epitaxial silicon wafers The monocrystals are available doped with phosphorus, boron, or antimony in 111 and 100 ± r orientations in diameters that range from 76.2mm, or 3 inches, to 200mm. Silicon-CZ as cut/lapped wafers are available from 76.2mm (3 inches) up to 150mm diameter in various resistivities. The range of Czochralski crucible pulled (CZ) polished wafers comprises the following eight products: (lll)P—boron polished (111)P+ —boron polished (lOO)P—boron polished (100)P+ —boron polished (111 )N—^phosphorus polished (lOO)N—phosphorus polished (111)NH ^antimony polished (IOO)NH antimony polished ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated February ESIS Volume n 000S966 MEMC Electronic Materials SpA These wafers are manufactured to a very high standard. On the polished side, all wafers are free from scratches, haze, dimples, chips, and cracks, and all edges are fully contoured, including flats. Test wafers are available in standard diameters and can be tailor-made to customer specifications, i.e., type, dopant, and resistivity. In addition to silicon substrate material, the Company offers the following two elecfronic grade chemicals: • • Silicon trichloride Silicon tetrachloride OUTLOOK With its integration into the HiilsA'isba Group, MEMC Electronic Materials SpA has an assured ftiture in a market that offers good growth prospects. As a result of its new affiUation with MEMC Inc. in the United States, where complementary R&D is carried out, the Company is well placed to study die effect that changing IC technology will have on the properties demanded of the substrate material, particularly as linewidths on devices challenge the 1-micron barrier. The Company believes that, as one of the world's leading suppliers of substrate material, it must have an intimate knowledge not only of the behavioral characteristics of the raw materials but also of the device market that is being suppUed. This knowledge requires teamwork, innovation, and creativity across the whole spectrum of its activities. • < ESIS Volume n 0005966 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated February -1 r Merck Group OVERVIEW Merck's history reaches back to 1668 when Jacob Merck took over Engel Apotheke, a pharmacy in what is now Darmstadt, West Germany. In 1827, Heinrich Emanuel Merck, who at that time was the proprietor of Engel, made the important decision to produce certain products on a large scale. Thus was bom the industrial enterprise that now is one of West Germany's largest companies. Merck now is a modem enterprise in the chemical-pharmaceutical industry. It manufactures a broad spectram of products. It is still owned by the founding family, and its legal form still is that of a general partnership. In 1988, Merck reported worldwide sales of US$1.9 billion. The Company's activities are grouped into the following two business areas: • Pharmaceutical • Chemical The Pharmaceutical Group covers the production and marketing of formulated medical products, including preparations for the treataient of cardiovascular and central and peripheral nervous system disorders. The Chemical Group consists of five divisions—^Fine Chemicals, Industrial Chemicals, and Pigments, which make up the Chemicals Subgroup; and Reagents and Diagnostics, which form the Laboratory Preparations Subgroup. The Industrial Chemicals Division is mainly engaged in producing and distributing products and equipment for technically demanding applications. It is a research-intensive operation; a large part of its product portfoUo is the result of its own research and development and, accordingly, is protected by patents. Its most important products are liquid crystals and process chemicals with related supply systems for the semiconductor industry. Other major product groups include vapor deposition chemicals for the optical industry, monocrystals, UV initiators for the coatings and printing industry, and printing chemicals. In order to concentrate more strongly on the two key sectors of liquid crystals and process chemicals, the Company sold its photoresistant business to Ciba-Geigy late in 1988, thus releasing manpower and plant capacity. OPERATIONS Merck's corporate headquarters are located in Darmstadt, West Germany. In 1988, companies of the Merck Group were active in 40 countries. Plants at 45 locations in 27 countries manufacture products for Merck's worldwide business, which encompasses approximately 15,000 different chemical and pharmaceutical items. At the end of 1988, the Merck Group employed 21,017 persons worldwide, up slightly from the previous year. Of this total, employees in West Germany account for 45.1 percent (9,489 persons). ESIS Volume n 0005965 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated February 1 Merck Group Outside of West Germany, the Industrial Chemicals Division has several plants, including the following: • United Kingdom BDH Chemicals Ltd., Poole, Dorset • United States EM Industries Inc., Hawthorne, New York. Also, various companies in New Jersey, Ohio, Georgia, Maine, and CaUfomia • Rio de Janeiro Merck S.A. and four other manufacturing plants in the country • Japan Merck Japan Ltd. Kanto Kagaku K.K., Tokyo Plants also are located in Australia, New Zealand, the Philippines, and South Africa. FINANCIAL Merck Group revenue is given in Table 1 for the fiscal years that ended December 31, 1986 through 1988. In terms of deutsche marks, the Group's sales increased 9.4 percent in 1988 over 1987. Converted into U.S. dollars, this equals an 11.8 percent increase and reflects real growth far more accurately than in the previous two years because the distortions caused by foreign exchange rates are much less pronounced. Table 1 Merck Group Worldwide Revenue by Business Sector (Millions of U.S. Dollars) Pharmaceuticals Chemicals Others Total Exchange Rate (DM per US$1) 1986 1987 1988 520 790 51 1,361 652 941 62 1,655 735 1,042 74 1,851 2.17 1.80 1.76 Souice: Nfeick Annual Accounts 1988 Dataquest Febnuty 1990 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated February • ESIS Volume n 0005965 Merck Group Table 2 shows that in 1988, pharmaceutical product sales and chemical sales accounted for 39.7 percent and 56.3 percent of total revenue, respectively. Table 2 also shows that sales of pharmaceuticals increased by 12.7 percent in 1988 over 1987, and sales of chemicals increased by 10.7 percent. The figures in Table 2 show that, in terms of U.S. dollars, 64 percent of the Company's sales were derived in Europe. This sum compares with nearly 67 percent in 1987. The table also makes it clear that important new growth areas lie in new industrial areas such as Asia and Comecon countries. Table 2 Worldwide Revenue by Geographic Area (MUlions of U.S. Dollars) West Germany Other EEC countries Other European countries Total—^Europe United States Latin America Africa Asia Other Industrial Countries Comecon and People's Republic of China Total Exchange Rate (DM per US$1) 1986 1987 1988 366 411 86 863 450 545 107 1,102 478 581 126 1,185 110 150 12 73 132 119 162 8 82 155 164 161 18 103 184 21 ,361 27 1,655 36 1,851 2.17 1.80 1.76 Source;; Merck Annual Accounts 1988 Datuquest Febnuuy 1990 ESIS Volume n 0005965 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated February Merck Group RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT For Merck, which is principally concerned with producing and selling chemical and pharmaceutical specialties, research and development (R«feD) plays a very vital role. Its importance is reflected both in relatively high expenditure for R&D and the lar^ number of employees (about 11 percent) engaged in these activities. Product lines are being renewed constantly and approximately 40 percent of the sales made by the Merck Group in West Germany is attributable to products that were either introduced or improved within the last two years. The marked intensification of R«&D activities that started in the early 1980s has continued into 1988. Current R&D expenditure amounted to DM 254 million (US$144.00 million), an 8.0 percent increase over 1987. An additional DM 33 million (US$18.75 million) was spent on capital investments. This total outlay of DM 287 million (US$163 million) represents 8.8 percent of sales. The research center that is of primary importance for the Merck Group is located at Merck's Darmstadt plant. This plant accounts for 80 percent of total R&D expense, but the entire Merck Group benefits fi-om its product and process innovations. Also, the research facilities at BDH Chemicals in the United Kingdom and at Merck Japan Ltd., as weU as those in the United States and Spain, are being expanded. Research is being intensified to meet the increased demands of the electrical and electronics industry. Also, efforts are being concentrated in the area of monocrystals for high-powered laser optics in the IR and UV ranges; liquid cystals, where R&D in Darmstadt, Japan, and Great Britain now has been adapted to the more stringent demands now being imposed by industry. In the area of pharmaceutical research, Merck has continued to focus on agents for the control of cardiovascular diseases, the central nervous system, and biomaterials. In particular, Bracco Industria SpA, an associated company in Italy, is working on X-ray contrast media and contrast media for in vivo diagnostics with magnetic resonance equipment. PRODUCTS In the area of industrial chemicals, Merck offers a comprehensive range of electronic chemicals that serve the semiconductor industry. This range covers general process chemicals, dopants, developers, strippers, rinses, chemical supply systems, evaporation chemicals, and sputtering targets. The product range for electronic applications includes the following: • Process Chemicals VLSI Selectipur''—These are high purity, low-particulate chemicals for VLSI-semiconductor technology. Particle content has been reduced, and the guarantee values for dissolved critical heavy metals such as Cu, Fe, Ni, Cr, Na, and K all have been reduced to the ppb range. MOS Selectipur*—^These chemicals have particle class specifications for the manufacture of ICs and cover a range of acids and etchants. In these products, the guarantee limits for impurities have been reduced to the 0.001 ppm region. Selectipur^—^This covers a broad range of solvents and etchants for semiconductor production, as well as chemicals for the manufacture of variable resistors. ©1990 Dataquest Incoiporated Febiuaiy ESIS Volume 11 0005965 Merck Group - • Mega Electipui*—^This covers a range of state-of-the-art high-purity acids and solvents with exceptionally low particle levels for the manufacture of megabit memories and equivalent devices. Dopants IC Selectipiu*—Under this trademark, Merck supplies a range of very pure products for application in diffusion and epitaxial growth. This product includes: Boron tribromide Phosphorous tribromide Phosphorous oxychloride 1,1,1-Trichloroethane Diodop/Sioge"^—^These products are high-purity silicate solutions for application by spin-on and other techidques. They are available as undoped liquid or doped with either arsenic, phosphorous, boron, or boron/aluminum. They are suitable for power-device production and for all cases where high doping gradients or planarization are required. Developers Selectiplast—^These chemicals are used for developing positive and negative photoresists and adhesion promotors. The positive developers are either metal ion free or metal based. Formulations are available for both immersion and iu-line development The negative developer N2 is designed to achieve optimum processing of negative photoresists with spray development In addition, the HIR range of adhesion promotors and developers is available with polyimides. • Strippers Losolin chemicals—^These chemicals are used for stripping photoresists. Losolin HIR is used with polyimides and does not contain toxic hydrazine compoimds, and Losolin IV is a nonphenoUc and nonchlorinated stripper that is used with either positive or negative photoresists. Rinse Liusin—Liusin is an aqueous alkaline solution of organic surfactants for use in rinsing. Chemical Supply Systems Selectimat—Selectimat is a turnkey system designed to give high-purity electronic chemicals as an entire package togetiier with an extended guarantee of chemical quality at the point of use. As an alternative, customers may first select those parts of the package they require to an agreed quality guarantee, Evaporation Chemicals and Sputtering Targets Patinal—^This trademark covers a range of chemicals used in evaporation and sputtering. They are metals, alloys, and simple inorganic compounds supplied as powders, granules, tablets, or disks. ESIS Volume n 00QS96S ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated February Merck Group In the optical products area, Merck manufactures a range of chemicals under the Optipur trademark for the production of low-mass optical fibers. These chemicals cover halides, oxides, carbonates, nitrates, and fluorides. In addition, the Company offers a range of chemicals used for crystal growing. Other products include single-crystal optical components for IR and UV including windows and prisms, scintillator crystals, and products for use in X-ray fluorescent spectroscopy. OUTLOOK The Company expects the trend established in 1988 to continue into 1989. International business should continue to grow at an above-average rate, while domestic business is expected to show only modest expansion, primarily because the West German pharmaceutical industry is passing through a difficult time. Capital expenditure for 1989 is expected to remain at approximately the same level as 1988. The Company notes that steadily rising costs for environmental protection, especially in West Germany, also are expected to have an increasing impact on profitability: Merck wiU continue to attach the greatest importance to innovation. Therefore, strong R&D is being maintained not only to keep pace with the fast progress of new technologies with which the Company interfaces, but also to help shape these technologies in key areas. Short-term business cycles notwithstanding, the Company maintains an optimistic outlook for the longer term. It is confident that it has adopted the correct strategy to meet futiu-e demand for leading-edge products, not only in the development of new pharmaceutical products, but also for special chemicals for the electronics industry. (Products marked "^ are registered trademarks of the Merck Group.) ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated February ESIS Volume 11 0005965 Micro-Image Technology Ltd. OVERVIEW Micro-Image Technology Limited (MIT) is a wholly owned subsidiary of Laporte Industries pic, Britain's second largest independent chemicals company. It reported 1988 worldwide sales of $921 million. The Company was established in 1972 by semiconductor engineers, and it has pioneered the production of high-purity, low-particulate chemicals. During the past 17 years, MIT has gained a reputation for quality and service and is recognized as second to none throughout the United Kingdom and other major European semiconductor centers. MIT now holds at least 70 percent of the U.K. semiconductor market for high-purity, low-particulate acids, etch mixtures, and solvents and is a major supplier to virtually all the leading semiconductor companies operating in the United Kingdom and the Republic of Ireland. Strategically located service depots located in Livingston, Scotland, and Rousset and Grenoble, France, enable the Company to provide "just in time" (JIT) services to the major companies in those areas whose tightly coordinated production schedules require absolute reliability of chemical supply on a day-to-day basis. The Company's reputation has enabled it to introduce its own and other manufacturers' state-of-the-art products to the U.K. market, including those manufactured by leading overseas producers of semiconductor chemicals and equipment. OPERATIONS The operations of MIT and its associated companies come within the Electronic Chemicals and Services Division of Laporte Industries pic, which has headquarters at Laporte House, Luton, Bedfordshire, United Kingdom. MIT is headquartered at Greenhill Industrial Estate, Riddings, Derbyshire, in the center of England. The site comprises four main manufacturing facilities of up to 25,000 square feet each and also includes administration, sales, and warehousing facilities. The Company employs more than 150 persons. The Greenhill site manufactures and distributes the following products: • Low-particulate chemicals and photoresists • Flanders filtration products • Wafer-handling products • Reclaimed silicon wafers, using Exsil technology • Antireflective coatings ESIS Volume II 0004752 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated September 1 Micro-Image Technology Ltd. Countdown Clean Systems Limited, part of the Laporte Electronic Chemicals and Services Division, which opened new facilities in both Riddings and Swindon, Wiltshire in 1988, provides the following products: • • • • Clean-room garments High-efficiency particulate air filters Specialized cleaning service Contamination control products Also coming within the control of The Laporte Electronic Chemicals and Services Division are the following companies, all of which are considered leaders in products and services in the electronics industry: Compugraphics International—Photomask service Cyantek Corporation—Specialty chemicals for photomasks Exsil—^Wafer reclamation services Soprelec SA and UCE of France—High-purity chemicals Winchester Disc Inc.—Reclamation of computer memory disks In West Germany, MIT operates through MIT Halbleiterchemie GmbH. FINANCIAL Table 1 gives revenue and profit data for Laporte for the fiscal years ended 31 December, 1986 through 1988. As Table 1 shows, turnover in 1988 increased by 21 percent over that of 1987, and the 1988 pretax profit increased by 38 percent. Table 1 Laporte Industries Worldwide Revenue and Profit (Millions of Dollars) Turnover Pretax P r o f i t 1986 1987 1988 $620 $ 94 $759 $123 $921 $170 Source: Laporte Industries Annual Accounts 1988 September 1989 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated September ESIS Volume II 0004752 Micro-Image Technology Ltd. Table 2 shows worldwide revenue for 1987 and 1988 split by business segment. Table 2 L^x»^e Imlustries Worldwide Revenue by Business Segment (Millions of Dollars) Business Segment 1987 1988 Peroxide products Building and timber products Inorganic and organic s p e c i a l t i e s Absorbents Paper amd water treatment Electronic Trading and other a c t i v i t i e s Total $256 108 127 63 66 29 110 $272 152 137 83 85 41 151 $759 $921 m Source: Laporte I n d u s t r i e s Annual Accounts 1988 September 1989 All the business segments have shown very satisfactory revenue increases. The electronic segment, which includes MIT's contribution, shows a very healthy increase of 41 percent over 1987, reflecting overall strong growth in the semiconductor business during the year. In its Annual Report, the Company states that both MIT in the United Kingdom and Soprelec in France had outstanding years, with both sales and profits reaching record levels. Countdown Clean Systems performed well in 1988, with sales ahead of those in 1987. Profit, however, changed little as the opening costs of the new Swindon facility were absorbed. Compugraphics is reported as having had an exceptional year as did the American company, Exsil. Exsil's new operations in the United Kingdom showed substantial growth, as sales expanded into Europe. ESIS Volume II 0004752 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated September Micro-Image Technology Ltd. RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT The improvement of existing products and processes and the identification and the development of new products and technologies are key aspects of the R&D Division's strategy and an integral part of the operations of each core business. Research and development make a vital contribution to the organic growth of the Division and facilities are now established at all of the Company's major manufacturing sites. In addition, the Division maintains centralized research and development laboratories and engineering facilities. Research and development for MIT is carried out principally at the Riddings site, with backup facilities provided by central research at Widnes, United Kingdom. In total, up to 20 people can be involved on any single R&D project. R&D facilities include modem laboratories capable of simulating wafer-processing techniques used by the Company's customers. The Company has several licensing arrangements, including an exclusive European manufacturing licensing and distribution agreement with Flanders Filters in North Carolina, United States. MIT is also a U.K. distributor for the range of state-of-the-art products manufactured by Brewer Science of Missouri, United States. Marketing arrangements include one with Eastman Kodak that covers photoresists, and one with other companies that cover vacuum wands and other wafer-handling equipment. PRODUCTS Low-Particulate Chemicals The Company produces a wide range of low-particulate chemicals, photoresists, and related products for large-scale integrated circuit processing. These products are sold under the trade names of Spectrum, Isopoly, Isofine, Nanoclean, Isoform Mixelec, Cleanalec, and Puralec. MIT markets a number of negative and positive photoresists under the names of Isopoly and Isofine. These are manufactured by Kodak and further refined and quality tested by the Company. Other products include developers, thinners, and rinses. In conjunction with these high-purity products, the Company also offers chemical dispensing and distribution systems. This includes the new Microguard Solvent Dispense System designed for the automatic filling of baths and process equipment. These systems enable chemicals to be supplied directly to the point of use from drums situated outside the clean room. Thus, etch baths and automated wafer processing equipment can now be replenished with high-purity, low-particulate chemicals from control consoles in the clean room itself. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated September ESIS Volume II 0004752 Micro-Image Technology Ltd. Phot(»'esists The photoresist range comprises positive resists, metal ion and metal-ion-free developers, negative resists, developers, and rinses. Protective coatings are available in either negative or positive chemistry, e-beam resists and developers, and associated photolithography products. The positive range of photoresists, labeled the MEGA series, is characterized by its resolution, cd control, process latitude, thermal stability, and plasma resistance. Viscosities and formulations to suit the majority of processing requirements are available. The negative range of photoresists, labeled the SNR series, is characterized by its excellent resolution, low-exposed film loss after development, and high adhesion factor. Complementing the Company's range of photoresists is the new range of high-purity process chemicals. The most important of these products are antireflective coatings (ARCs) that enhance the performance of photoresists. ARCs are currently in use in the manufacture of DRAMs, SRAMs, 32-bit microprocessors, and other integrated circuits; hybrid circuits; diffraction gratings; and holographic images, which result in dramatic yield increases on reflective substrates. Air Filtration Products These products are manufactured by MIT under license in the United Kingdom from Flanders Filters Inc., the U.S. leader in this activity. The Company offers a complete service in Flanders, VLSI Filters for VLSI production clean rooms to give Class 10 (0.12 micron. Federal Spec 209d) clean room ceiling. Accessories The Company manufactures and distributes the following accessories: • Vacuum wands and wafer-handling equipment • Coated and uncoated Tau Pellicles (adhesive type and frame type) • U.V. actinic spectra lamps • MIT resolution mask • Tweezers ESIS Volume II 0004752 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated September Micro-Image Technology Ltd. Clean Room Products The Company manufactures and distributes the following clean room products: • Gloves and wipes • Entry mats and lockers • Headwear and footwear • Coveralls • Paper products • Static control system WAFER RECLAMATION The Company offers a wafer reclamation service that uses the Exsil process. All traces of foreign materials and process dopants are removed from all wafer surfaces regardless of wafer thickness or orientation. The Company is capable of processing silicon wafers with diameters of 76mm, 100mm, 125mm, and 150mm. Detailed specifications for individual customers' recycled wafers from Exsil are usually prenegotiated to ensure the maximum possible yield. OUTLOOK The semiconductor industry has a continual requirement for processing chemicals that are capable of maintaining and improving yields under the increasingly stringent requirements of line width and pattern reduction. This demand has necessitated an ongoing program of trace element and particle reduction on critical acids, solvents, and other process chemicals. It is in this area that MIT occupies a strong position in Europe and this position is expected to be maintained. The development of MIT's range of photoresists and UV-sensitive resists, together with its related resists processing chemicals, has fulfilled, and is expected to continue to fulfill, the need for European production of a top-quality range of resists materials that are capable of meeting the most exacting industry requirements for submicron pattern definition. Thus, steady expansion of the Company's activities is expected. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated September ESIS Volume II 0004752 Monsanto Company BACKGROUND AND OVERVIEW Monsanto Company was founded in 1901 in the United States (Saint Louis, Missouri). Since then, it has developed into a major multinational company with interests in a wide range of agricultural products, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, and electronic materials. The Company's main business segments are as follows: Agricultural Products Chemicals Electronic Materials Pharmaceuticals NutraSweet In 1988 Monsanto turned in its best financial performance ever with net income reaching $591 million, one-third more than in any other year in the Company's history. During the past year, the Company has continued the restructuring program it started in 1987. Monsanto broadened the base it secured in pharmaceuticals through its G.D. Searle subsidiary. Sales of Calan, an antihypertensive drug, and Cytotec, an antiulcer drug, continue to grow satisfactorily. As part of the Company's restructuring program, underperforming assets were further pruned and, as a result, the Company announced late in 1988 that the West German conglomerate Huels AG had made a successful bid to buy Monsanto Electronic Materials (MEMC), based in Palo Alto, California, in the United States. Early in 1989, both companies agreed to the sale, and the U.S. president ratified the sale under the new omnibus trade bill. Therefore, although Monsanto will remain in the United States, no indigenous wafer manufacturers remain in North America, and the deal will have important consequences for the silicon wafer market in Western Europe. Dataquest believes that as a result of this acquisition, VEBA AG subsidiary Huels AG, one of West Germany's largest industrial groups with a turnover of $2.5 billion, will, with its recent takeover of DNS in Italy, have a very important share of the European silicon wafer market. In the United Kingdom alone, Monsanto recently had invested more than $3 million in dedicated research equipment at its Wafer Research and Technology Facility in Milton Keynes. This plant, together with MEMC's other worldwide facilities, is now part of the Huels group and will be known as MEMC Huels Limited. ESIS Volume II 0004127 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June Monsanto Company Operations The Monsanto Company has its corporate headquarters in Saint Louis, Missouri, in the United States. The Company employs approximately 45,600 persons worldwide, with about 8 percent in Western Europe, where it also has six plants, 28 sales offices, and a major technical center in Belgium. Monsanto Electronic Materials Company (MEMC) handles the manufacturing and marketing of silicon-wafer products used in the fabrication of integrated circuits and other semiconductor devices. The headquarters of MEMC are in Palo Alto, California, in the United States. Plants are located in the United States, Malaysia, South Korea, the United Kingdom, and Japan. Financial Table 1 summarizes the most recent financial information for Monsanto Company for the fiscal years ended December 31, 1986, through 1988. This information is broken out by business segments. Table 1 Monsanto Company Worldwide Revenue by Business Segment (Millions of Dollars) Segment 1986 1987 Agricultural Products Chemicals Electronic Materials Fisher Controls NutraSweet Pharmaceuticals Corporate $1,153 3,548 154 645 711 665 3 $1,,305 3 ,858 185 749 722 820 - $1,,546 3 ,989 209* 840 736 973 — $6,879 $7,639 $8,293 Total Consolidated 1988 *For 10 months, Jan.-Oct. 1988 Source: © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June Monsanto Company Annual Report 1988 Dataquest June 1989 ESIS Volume II 0004127 Monsanto Company In its annual report, the Company stated that the strategies established in prior years had paid off in 1988 with sales worldwide reaching a record $8,293 million. This represents an 8.6 percent increase over 1987. Sales of electronic materials, although reported for only 10 months, showed a strong performance as a result of growth in worldwide semiconductor demand and penetration in markets outside the United States. Table 2 gives a breakdown of MonTsanto's worldwide operating income by business segment. The Company achieved a record operating income in 1988 of $955 million, an increase of 30 percent over 1987. Table 2 Monsanto Company Oijerating Income (Loss) by Business Segment (Millions of Dollars) Segment 1986 1987 1988 Agricultural Products Chemicals Electronic Materials Fisher Controls NutraSweet Pharmaceuticals Biotechnology Product Discovery Corporate $283 613 (139) (66) 142 (119) $316 450 (5) 26 145 (119) $424 486 11* 29 154 (62) (41) (38) (43) (36) (47) (40) Total Consolidated $635 $734 $955 *For 10 months, Jan.-Oct. 1988 Source: ESIS Volume U 0004127 Monsanto Company Annual Report 1988 Dataguest June 1989 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June Monsanto Company The Electronic Materials segment has shown a substantial improvement over the past three years, moving from a loss in 1986, which included a $90 million asset impairment write-down, to a modest $11 million surplus in 1988. Table 3 shows the worldwide revenue reported in Table 1 by geographic region. Sales in all regions showed good growth over 1987, with the exception of the Asia/Pacific region, which remained static. Sales in Europe were particularly strong at $1,801 million, showing an increase of 17 percent over 1987. Table 3 Monsanto Company Worldwide Revenue by Geographic Region (Millions of Dollars) 1986 1987 1988 $4,638 $4,883 $5,219 1,231 1,537 1,801 Canada 290 329 377 Latin America 283 293 304 Asia/Pacific 437 597 592 $6,879 $7,639 $8,293 Region United States Europe and Africa Total Consolidated Source: Monsanto Company Annual Repo rt 1988 Dataquest June 1989 Monsanto's operating income, given in Table 2, is shown in Table 4 by geographic region. The Company noted in its 1988 annual report that operating income in Europe and Africa set a new record, showing an increase of 35 percent more than the previous year. Both net sales and operating income benefited from increased sales volumes of U.S.-produced chemical products resold in Europe and Africa and from higher pharmaceutical and agricultural product sales. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June ESIS Volume II 0004127 Monsanto Company Table 4 Monsanto Company Operating Income (Loss) by Geographic Region (Millions of Dollars) Reaion United States Europe and Africa Canada Latin America Asia/Pacific Interarea Eliminations Corporate Total Consolidated 1986 1987 1988 $506 $501 $638 117 181 245 26 31 37 6 2 27 16 49 74 2 6 (26) (38) (36) (40) $635 Source: $734 $955 Monsanto Company Annual Report 1988 Dataquest June 1989 Economic growth in the Asia/Pacific region continued apace with operating income, increasing 51 percent in 1988 over the previous year. The higher profit was generated principally from higher sales of agricultural products and electronic materials, where sales particularly benefited from strong semiconductor demand. Research and Development Monsanto continues to commit significant resources to research. Technological expenses totaled $648 million in 1988, 5 percent higher than in 1987, representing 7.8 percent of net sales. Significant expenditures were in life sciences—pharmaceuticals and agriculture; two thirds of the current research effort is being directed in these areas. ESIS Volume II 0004127 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June Monsanto Company In the area of electronic materials, MEMC recently made a multimillion-dollar investment in a clean module. It also assists in the funding of European research projects concerned with studies in silicon wafer microdefects. SEMICONDUCTOR PRODUCTS MEMC markets a different type of silicon wafer to service each of the following three application series: • ULSI—Ultralarge Scale Integration • VLSI—Very Large Scale Integration • LSI/MSI—Large Scale Integration/Medium-Scale Integration ULSI Application Series Wafer The evolution of integrated circuits toward greater circuit density and the smaller design rules of ULSI circuits have required concurrent technological advancements in silicon wafers. MEMC has designed silicon wafers that are multizone systems and focus on specific circuit application requirements. The three product systems in this series are as follows: • MUS—ULSI polished silicon • MUG—ULSI enhanced gettering • MUE—ULSI MOS EPI VLSI Application Series Wafer This series consists of circuit-focused wafers for use in VLSI applications and incorporates the specifications best suited to meet the requirements of this level of integration. The series offers the following crystallographic improvements over the former VLSI series: • OISF is now specified at less than lOO/cm^. • Oxygen content may now be specified to a target between 28 and 35 ppma with a tolerance of +3. These crystallographic improvements are the result of a novel technique in crystal-pulling technology that gives maximum fab line yield and enhanced device parametrics to the silicon user. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June ESIS Volume II 0004127 Monsanto Company LSI/MSI Application Series Wafer These are circuit-focused silicon wafer products to service LSI and MSI applications. Specifications are designed to be cost effective and to provide excellent performances for the typically mature processes in which this type of substrate is used. OUTLOOK Under its new management, MEMC is well placed to capitalize on its ability to design silicon wafer products possessing functional zones tailored to individual requirements. By virtue of MEMC's new ownership, and thereby its relations with DNS, Dataquest anticipates that the marketing of silicon wafer products, particularly in Europe, will undergo considerable change. ESIS Volume II 0004127 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June Olin Corporation BACKGROUND AND OVERVIEW Olin Corporation's business primarily is in chemicals, metals, and applied physics, with special emphasis on electronic materials and services and the defense/aerospace industry. The Company reported record sales in 1988 of $2,308 million. Electronic materials accounted for 10 percent of sales or $231 million; this was an increase of 15.0 percent on 1987 sales. Projected sales for the Company are $2,650 million for 1989 and for electronic materials $300 million, accounting for 11.3 percent of total company sales. At the end of the first quarter of 1989, the Company reported sales and income as being on target. Olin Corporation divides its business into the following three segments: • Chemicals • Defense •* • Metals and Materials The Chemicals segment embraces a wide variety of electronic materials, and these are marketed through Olin Hunt Specialty Products. Currently, the Olin Corporation is going through a period of rationalization with a view toward strengthening its position, particularly in electronics. To this end, it recently increased its investment in Indy Electronics, a leading contract assembler of integrated circuits and microelectronic packages. The Company also is divesting itself of businesses that do not fit with its marketing strategy. As part of this process, the company announced on May 22, 1989 that it had completed the sale of its Olin Hunt worldwide photographic chemicals business to Fuji Photo Film Company Ltd. of Japan for approximately $75 million. The company pointed out at the time of the sale that this transaction had no connection with a Fuji-Olin Hunt venture that covers photoresist products for the semiconductor industry. In Europe, the St. Niklaas plant in Belgium will be transferred to Fuji. Although the sale of the photographic chemicals business makes Olin Hunt smaller in this area, the company takes the view that it will now be able to focus more sharply on electronics materials. In addition, Olin Hunt continues to participate as a major supplier of process chemicals to the growing semiconductor and printed wireboard markets, of electrostatic materials such as toner for copiers, and of materials for the computer printer markets. Also in May 1989, Olin iannounced that it purchased an interest in Langenberg Kupfer und Messingwerke GmbH & Co. to form a joint venture with Wieland-Werke AG of West Germany. The objectives of the new venture, which will operate as an independent company, include the introduction of Olin's high-performance alloys to the electronic and connector industries in Western Europe. ESIS Volume II 0004914 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated October 1 Olin Corporation OPERATIONS The Company's corporate headquarters are located in Stamford, Connecticut, in the United States. Worldwide, the company employs approximately 16,400 persons. Olin Hunt Specialty Products, Inc., manufactures, distributes, and markets a wide range of products used in semiconductor manufacture. The Company employs approximately 1,200 persons in these operations and 150 chemists in R&D outside Europe. In Europe, another 200 persons are employed. This company markets approximately 600 chemicals to 20,000 customers through an international operation that includes a complex of manufacturing, warehousing, and distribution centers with 17 plants in the United States, Europe, Singapore, and Japan. In addition to Olin Hunt Specialty Products, Inc., which embraces printed wireboard (PWB), electrostatics, and microelectronics operations, Olin has three interconnect and packaging companies: Olin Mesa, Indy Electronics, and Aegis Inc., which is a joint venture with Asahi Glass of Japan. •• -To distribute the company's products in Europe, warehousing and regional sales officfes are maintained in all the main European countries. FINANCIAL In its 1988 Annual Accounts, Olin Corporation reported record sales of $2,308 million, a 20 percent growth over the previous year. A record $98 million in net income also was achieved in 1988, a 26 percent increase over $78 million in 1987. The Company attributes its increased earnings to the impact of increased volumes and ongoing efforts to reduce costs. Table 1 gives the Company's financial results for the fiscal years that ended December 31, 1986, through 1988. Sales by business segment are shown in Table 2. Table 1 Olin Corporation and Subsidiaries Worldwide Revenue (Millions of Dollars) Net Sales Cost of Goods Sold Selling and Administration Research & Development Operating Income 1986 1987 1988 $ 1 . ,732 $ 1 , ,318 $ 252 56 $ $ 106 $1,930 $1,455 $ 264 $ 62 $ 149 $2,308 $1,781 $ 289 $ 58 $ 180 (Continued) © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated October ESIS Volume II 0004914 Olin Corporation Table 1 (Continued) Olin Corporation and Subsidiaries Worldwide Revenue (Millions of Dollars) Interest Expense Interest & Other Income Income before Taxes Income Tax Provision Net Income $ $ $ $ $ 1988 1997 12M 32 41 115 40 75 $ $ $ $ $ Source: 32 10 127 49 78 $ $ $ $ $ 43 14 151 53 98 Olin C Corporation Annual Accounts 1988 Dataquest October 1989 Table 2 Olin Corporation and Subsidiaries Worldwide Sales by Business Segment (Millions of Dollars) Segment 1986 1987 1988 Chemical Sales Defense & Ammunition Sales Metals SL Materials Sales $1,127 361 244 $1,227 394 309 $1,366 469 473 $1,732 $1,930 $2,308 Total Source: ESIS Volume II 0004914 Olin Corporation Annual Accounts 1988 Dataquest October 1989 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated October Qlin Corporation Olin Corporation noted in the 1988 Annual Accounts that its chemical business achieved record sales and profits. It benefited from strong demand for most products, including chloralkali, urethanes, pool chemicals, and electronics chemicals. Net income for chemicals in 1988 was $75 million, compared with $59 million in 1987. This business sector shows an increase of 27 percent. Chemical sales, shown in Table 2, also contain electronics materials sales. Over the 1986 to 1988 period, sales increased 45 percent. This strong growth is attributed to Olin's gradual buildup of its unique strengths in metallurgy and chemistry, creating an electronic materials and services thrust area. Note that in 1987, sales outside the United States amounted to 7.25 percent. In 1988, this proportion rose to 10.0 percent, indicating that the Company's global approach strategy is working. RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT Fundamental research and development (R&D) is carried out in the United States. In 1988, Olin Corporation spent $58 million on R&D. The Company has a long-term commitment to R&D investment. In 1988, new product development and exploration of new technologies accounted for approximately 60 percent of R&D spending. The balance was dedicated to optimizing existing technologies, including yield improvements, waste minimization, and manufacturing cost reduction efforts. In the area of electronic materials, the company is responding to the challenge of smaller circuit geometries by developing advanced ultrapure imaging and process chemicals, including a new line of photoresists for application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs), a high-growth market. The PWB unit's investment in R&D also is paying off. It is now commercializing its innovative Blackhole technology, a proprietary carbon-based process for making the through-holes in printed wireboards conductive. An important area of research that is being addressed by Olin Corporation researchers is the development and commercialization of two devices—a copper alloy package system and a plastic pin grid array—that can dissipate heat and offer other cost-saving benefits. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated October ESIS Volume II 0004914 Qlin Corporation PRODUCTS Olin Hunt Specialty Products offers a wide range of products for the microelectronics industry that include the following: • Positive Photoresist Systems Waycoat HPR 204/206 resists—For striation-free coatings, improved adhesion, and shorter exposures in all projection and contact aligners Waycoat MPR photomasks resist—Specifically for manufacture of chrome 0 Waycoat MIF developer—Metal-ion free • Negative Photoresist Systems Waycoat HNR 80/120 resists—A high-resolution system that also reduces mask sticking in contact exposure Waycoat Negative HR 100/200 resists—For imaging on highly reflective metallized and oxidized surfaces Waycoat IC Type 3 resists—State-of-the-art oxygen sensitivity resists with reduced Waycoat SC resists—A family of photoresists that produce film thicknesses greater than 2 microns Waycoat negative resist developer—Specifically designed for use with resists exposed in the Perkin-Elmer Micralign Waycoat COP resist—A resist for electron-beam applications • Temperature controllers—A range of Apache models • Electronics grade chemicals Trimethylphosphite Tetraethyl(ortho)silicate Trimethyl borate Triethyl borate 1,1,1-Trichlorethane ESIS Volume II 0004914 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated October Qlin Corporation Chloroform—Plasmaform - Carbon tetrachloride—Plasmatet Phosphorus oxychloride and tribromide Boron tribromide Boron trichloride—Plasmabor All of these products (except chloroform and carbon tetrachloride, which are supplied only in stainless steel ampules) are available in Apache quartz bubble ampules. (Plasmaform, Plasmatet, and ^Plasmabor are registered trademarks of Olin Corporation.) TECHNICAL SERVICE—EUROPE Currently, Olin Corporation's technical service is headquartered in St. Niklaas, Belgium. It has a fully equipped microlithographic laboratory housing the latest state-of-the-art equipment. As a result of progressive additions over the past few years, this facility now represents an investment of more than $5.5 million. The St. Niklaas site occupies an area of approximately 14,000 square meters and comprises the Technical Center, a modern plant for various electronic chemical products, and large warehousing facilities. Olin Hunt Specialty Products currently employs some 200 persons in Europe, of whom 75 are in sales and customer service, 60 in manufacturing, and 65 in supporting services such as general administration and distribution. The business is divided into the Printed Circuit Board and Microelectronics divisions. The latter division is headed by a director who has technical services and product managers reporting to him. In addition, sales managers for each European country or region also report to the divisional director. Each sales manager supervises several process engineers. The Microelectronics Division, which is staffed by highly qualified experts conversant in the major European languages, is designed to offer customers the following services: • Performance demonstrations of photoresist and related products • Design of new photoresist processing methods • Evaluation of new types of process equipment • Training of special seminar and workshop participants The laboratory is very well equipped with capabilities covering all principal steps in semiconductor fabrication. 6 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated October ESIS Volume II 0004914 Qlin Corporation FUTURE PROSPECTS Qlin Corporation has set as its objective for the early 1990s a goal to perform consistently at a level that exceeds a 20 percent return on equity. At present, the company is achieving approximately 15 percent return on equity. The Company believes that such performance goals can be attained only by consistently meeting the needs of the customers. Quality, productivity, and innovation are what customers are seeking, and Qlin Corporation is setting out to meet these expectations 100 percent of the time. In the area of electronic materials, the Company sees itself remaining at the forefront, particularly in photolithographic chemicals, because of the emphasis it places on R&D in this field and because of the Company's adherence to strict product-quality control. The Company also places increasing emphasis on producing chemical systems with minimal environmental effects. Although the Company has set high goals for itself, it views the future with confidence. It intends to continue working at the leading edge of technology in order to produce new and improved products to meet the increasingly complex needs of customers in the microelectronics industry. ESIS Volume II 0004914 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated October The Perkin-Elmer Corporation BACKGROUND AND OVERVIEW The Perkin-Elmer Corporation was founded in 1937 by Richard S. Perkin, an investment banker, and Charles W. Elmer, a retired publisher and court reporter. Both shared an avid interest in astronomy and a conviction that a source for the design and production of ultraprecise optics should be established in the United States; at that time, the field was dominated by a few European companies. Incorporation followed in 1939. In the intervening 52 years, Perkin-Elmer has developed into a diversified high-technology company, with a worldwide presence in more than 100 countries. In 1988, the Company reported a substantially improved financial performance over the previous year with sales of $1,165.5 million, showing a 5 percent increase, and a net income of $71.8 million compared with a loss of $18.2 million in 1987. About 55 percent of the Company's sales are derived from markets outside the United States. Perkin-Elmer has manufacturing plants in the United States, the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, the United Kingdom, and West Germany. The Company segments its business into the following five groups: • Instrument Group—Accounts for about 42 percent of sales and covers analytical instruments for use in private industry, educational and research institutions, and governmental entities for fundamental research. • Semiconductor Equipment Group—Accounts for about 17 percent of sales and includes equipment for photolithography, maskmaking, and etching and sputtering steps in semiconductor manufacture. • Materials and Surface Technology Group—Accounts for about 15 percent of sales and covers combustion, electric arc, and plasma thermal spray equipment and supplies. • Bodenseewerk Geraetetechnik (BGT)—A subsidiary company in West Germany that manufactures guidance and control systems for NATO's air-to-air missile defense systems. This company accounts for 14 percent of sales. • Government Systems Group—Accounts for 12 percent of the Company's sales. This business segment covers the production of tactical systems; the Company has recently been awarded an order for the AN/AVR-2 laser warning receiver, signifying the Company's entry into the tactical electro-optical sensor production business, the fastest growing segment of the tactical market. In January 1988, Perkin-Elmer announced the acquisition of Nelson Analytical, Inc., a California-based company with expertise in data handling and systems integration. ESIS Volume II 0003968 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June The Perkin-Elmer Corporation Late in the fourth quarter Directors had approved tendering stock pursuant to an agreement agreement, Perkin-Elmer sold its of 1988, Perkin-Elmer announced that its Board of 9.4 million shares of Concurrent Computer Corporation with Massachusetts Computer Corporation. Under the shares in Concurrent at $20 per share. Operations The headquarters of Perkin-Elmer is in Norwalk, Connecticut. The Company does business in more than 100 countries, and its customers are served by a network of approximately 200 Perkin-Elmer sales and service offices and an extensive number of franchised dealerships. For efficient, easy access to international markets, the Company operates 15 major manufacturing facilities in the United States, West Germany, the United Kingdom, and Puerto Rico. Through joint ventures and other arrangements, the Company plans to extend its production base to Japan and other nations. In 1988, Perkin-Elmer employed 10,941 persons worldwide, 6,378 of whom were employed in the United States. Financial Table 1 summarizes the Company's financial data by business group for the fiscal years ended July 31, 1986, through July 31, 1988. The figures in Table 1 reveal that net income increased by 5 percent in 1988 to $1,166 million. This was mainly due to the strength of the analytical instrument group, which grew by 16.2 percent as a result of the Company's continued marketing advances in both domestic and foreign markets. In its annual report, Perkin-Elmer noted that 1988 semiconductor equipment revenue was slightly less than in 1987, as demand for the Company's Micrastep product slowed in anticipation of its offering of an advanced optical lithography machine with improved technical performance and better throughput. Table 2 summarizes worldwide operating income (before taxes) by business group for the fiscal years 1986 through 1988. It shows that income before taxes recovered sharply in 1988 to $104 million from $3 million in the previous year. All the business groups enjoyed improved income except BGT, where income declined not only as a result of lower revenue, but also as a result of increased research and development expenses. Income from the Semiconductor Equipment Group was modest, as a result of lower demand for Micrastep and higher operating expense but compared favorably with the $78 million loss reported for 1987, which included special charges for restructuring and additional research and development expenses. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June ESIS Volume II 0003968 The Perkin-Elmer Corporation Table 1 Perkin-Elmer Corporation Worldwide Net Revenue by Business Group (Millions of Dollars) Business Group 1987 1986 $ Instrument Semiconductor Equipment Materials & Surface Technology Bodenseewerk Geraetetechnik Government Systems Subtotal Intergroup Transfers Total 363 250 150 127 184 $ 416 203 168 165 162 1988 $ 484 200 177 163 145 $1,074 (4) $1,114 (4) $1,169 $1,070 $1,110 $1,166 (3) Table 2 Perkin-Elmer Corporation Worldwide Operating Income by Business Group (Millions of Dollars) Business Group 1986 1987 1988 Instruments Semiconductor Equipment Materials & Surface Technology Bodenseewerk Geraetetechnik Government Systems $ 34 19 22 24 25 $41 (78) 27 40 7 $ 57 3 26 32 13 124 37 131 Subtotal Less Intergroup, Interest and Corporate Expenses Income before Taxes (22) $102 Source;: ESIS Volume II 0003968 (34) $ 3 (27) $104 Perkin-Elmer Annual Hepoi•t 1988 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June The Perkin-Elmer Corporation In the Company's first-quarter report for the period that ended October 31, 1988, it was noted that income, revenue, and orders all increased, continuing the favorable results of fiscal 1988. Total net revenue for the quarter was $273.5 million against $256.9 million for the comparable period in 1987. It was noted that there was growth in all business areas, with particular strength being shown in European avionics, materials and surface technology, and semiconductor equipment. Analytical instruments are showing a strong advance in all geographic areas and in a broad range of markets. In particular, the Company cites the new Model 1600 Fourier Transform Infrared Spectrometer as being a world leader in this analytical technique. Research and Development Perkin-Elmer is actively engaged in basic and applied research and development (R&D) and engineering programs designed to develop new products. In fiscal 1988, Perkin-Elmer spent $99 million on R&D (i.e., 8.5 percent of net sales revenue). Areas of investigation include artificial neural systems for advanced analytical instruments and diamond coatings for optical and military sensors. Joint research programs on the processing, deposition, and characterization of high-temperature superconducting materials are under way with the State University of New York at Stony Brook, the University of Connecticut, and several other major research universities and national laboratories. Perkin-Elmer's technology effort applies the latest research findings to advanced products and processes. Working closely with marketing and engineering personnel, scientists are exploring advanced applications of emerging technologies for new instruments and systems in analytical chemistry, bioanalytics, and microlithography. PRODUCTS The Company markets high-technology products in analytical instrumentation for chemical analysis, semiconductor processing equipment, materials and surface technology systems, avionics, and electro-optical systems for defense and space astronomy. In the field of semiconductor equipment, Perkin-Elmer is the only company able to offer a complete line of integrated wafer fabrication equipment specifically designed to increase VLSI productivity. This equipment has features such as 6-inch wafer processing, high throughput, and pick-and-place wafer handling to minimize contamination. Perkin-Elmer's main products are described in the following paragraphs. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June ESIS Volume II 0003968 The Perkin-Elmer Corporation Micrascan 1 System This is the Company's latest half-micron resolution, high-throughput lithography system. It possesses a powerful 4x reduction, a step-and-scan-based lithography tool that outperforms excimer steppers in all critical performance areas including resolution, throughput, image field size, overlay, and particulates. This system has been made possible by the use of new design concepts including a catadioptric lens; high speed, servo-locked magnetically driven stages; and highly flexible, robust through-the-lens alignment system. AEBLE 150 The AEBLE 150 is a direct-write electron beam lithography system that processes as many as 30 4-inch wafers per hour; it is also capable of processing 5- and 6-inch wafers. It writes 0.5-micron features with an overlay accuracy of 0.1 micron and a critical dimension control of 0.05 micron. Both optical and positive e-beam resists can be used. The AEBLE 150 is very accurate and can be used in mix-and-match lithography with existing optical tools and advanced X-ray systems. MEBES 111 The MEBES system represents the latest state-of-the-art technology for the production of high-quality masks and reticles for VLSI devices. Micralign Series This is a projection mask alignment system and consists of three models: .»' Micralign Model 300/500, providing machine overlay accuracies to 0.5um, machine stabilities to 0.25um, and resolution capabilities from 0.9um to 1.26um • Micralign 600 HT Series System, a new generation of clean environment projection mask aligners with a guaranteed specification for low particulates • Micralign 600 Delta Series, offering semiconductor manufacturers a lower-cost machine to meet current needs while providing a migration path to a higher-performance machine in the future Micrastep I and U These are step and repeat alignment systems. Both come with an impressive set of features, including air gauge focusing and leveling at each exposure field, dark field/bright field site-by-site alignment, digital alignment signal processing, and automatic calibration of alignment and focusing systems, as well as overall system magnification. ESIS Volume II 0003968 © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June 5 The Perkin-Elmer Corporation OMS-l This overlay measurement system is a key tool for automatically measuring overlay accuracies. It optimizes lithography tool performance through the quick and precise measurement of overlay on production wafers. 1600 Series FT-IR Spectrophotometer This is a single-beam scanning Michelson interferometer. desiccated optics with a Ge-coated KBr beamsplitter. It uses sealed and The 250 QA/QC System This system covers a family of modular liquid chromatography instrumentation. It incorporates a fully upgraded binary pump/diode array detection system that claims to be the most cost-effective gradient diode array system on the market. Metco Diamond Jet Metco and Perkin-Elmer have developed, with the Metco Diamond Jet System, a completely new coating system for use in producing high-quality coatings, especially where there is need for superior metal, carbide, and specialty coatings. The system uses a new concept in thermal spraying that incorporates a high-velocity, oxygen-fuel (HVOF) system for producing these high-quality coatings. FUTURE PROSPECTS The Perkin-Elmer Corporation has a diverse range of high-technology products that serve broad markets. With its very substantial technological strength and marketing position, the Company views the long-term growth opportunities for its products with confidence. In particular, the Company believes that the international marketplace offers excellent prospects for growth. In the forefront, the Pacific Rim countries (ranging from Japan, to the People's Republic of China, to Australia) are viewed as being fertile areas for future development. © 1989 Dataquest Incorporated June ESIS Volume II 0003968 Plasma Technology, Ltd. OVERVIEW Founded in 1981, Plasma Technology is now one of Europe's principal manufacturers of plasma etching and deposition equipment. The Company was privately owned until 1986, when it was acquired by The Oxford Instruments Group, a British company engaged in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of advanced instrumentation for scientific research, semiconductor processing, patient monitoring, industrial analysis, and diagnostic imaging. Following its success in Europe, where it installed more than 200 plasma systems by 1986, the Company undertook an ambitious expansion program aimed at the U.S. and Japanese domestic markets. This strategy's success is evident in that within two years, the Company delivered 200 systems in the United States, bringing the worldwide total to well more than 700 systems. To celebrate this achievement. Plasma Technology opened new facilities including manufacturing, demonstration, and sales and service activities in Concord, Massachusetts. In 1988, the Company had sales of approximately $14 million. This amount represents about 10 percent of the parent company's sales and is an increase of more than 25 percent over 1987. Substantial growth occurred in the United States and throughout Europe, with particularly heavy demand for the Company's new production-orientated advanced multirole plasma (AMR) system. In anticipation of Europe in 1992, Plasma Technology has established new subsidiaries and offices in three strategic areas—one near Frankfurt, West Germany; the second in Paris, France, where facilities are shared with Oxford Instruments; and the third in the Netherlands. These activities, which previously were undertaken by distributors, enable Plasma Technology to establish a local presence and to offer customers firsthand process technology and service. In Japan, the Company marked the start of 1989 with the opening of a new laboratory in Tokyo. This facility operates in cooperation witii Marubim Corporation and offers process support and equipment demonstration to users throughout Japan. OPERATIONS Plasma Technology headquarters are located in Yatton, near Bristol, England. This site includes a new conference suite and accommodations for customer process and maintenance training. Adjacent to the headquarters is a modem manufacturing facility and a new laboratory, which opened in 1989. It replaces the previous laboratory, which had been in operation under semiclean conditions for almost three years. The new service and test facilities will enable the new laboratory to meet customer requirements into the 1990s. The complex contains two fully automatic production systems installed in a better than Class 100 clean room, with full inspection and wet-processing facilities in a supporting Class 1,000 area. During the past few years. Plasma Technology has strengthened its international marketing with the implementation of sales, service, and applications support centers in the following locations: • • Netherlands—Oxford Instruments BV, Gorinchem France—^Plasma Technology SARL, Paris ESIS Volume n 0005967 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated February 1 Plasma Technology, Ltd. • West Germany—Plasma Technology GmbH, Wiesbaden • United States—^Plasma Technology Inc, Cambridge, MA and Sunnyvale, CA In Japan, the Company distributes its products through Marubun Corporation. To establish new markets in both Turkey and Singapore, Plasma Technology has entered into sales and marketing agreements with Tekser to cover Turkey and Hisco (Malaysia) Pty. to cover Singapore. FINANCE The individual results of the Company are consolidated into Oxford Instruments' figures. However, the Company stated that sales in 1988 totaled slightly more than $14 milUon. Table 1 gives a summary of the financial results of The Oxford Instruments Group Pic for the fiscal years that ended on March 31, 1987 through 1989. In the Annual Report and Accounts 1989, the Company notes that sales turnover improved by 11.4 percent, and pretax profits were well maintained despite the effects of the strong pound. A very high proportion—89 percent—of 1988 and 1989 sales turnover within The Oxford Instruments Group was generated outside the United Kingdom, as shown in Table 2. Table 2 also shows that the United States is the single-largest market for the Company's products. Table 1 The Oxford Instruments Group Pic Worldwide Revenue (Millions of Dollars) Turnover Operating Profit Profit before Tax Exchange Rate (Pounds per U.S.$1) 1987 1988 1989 167 32 33 0.6 158 18 20 0.56 176 22 20 0.57 Somce: Anmul Report and Accounts 1989 The Oxford lostameots Oioup Pic DataquMt Febtuaiy 1990 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated Febiuaiy ESIS Volume n 0005967 Plasma Technology, Ltd. Table 2 The Oxford Instruments Group Pic Sales Turnover by Geographic Area (Millions of Dollars) United States West Germmiy United Kingdom Switzerland Other Western Europe Japan Others Total 1989 Total Sales 1988 Sales 1988 % Total Sales 1989 Sales 72 21 12 7 18 14 14 46% 13 8 4 11 9 9 83 21 19 9 19 11 14 47% 12 11 5 11 6 8 158 100% 176 100% • % Sooice: Amnul Report and Accoimts 1989 The Oxfisd hauaaeals Group Pic Dataqiiest Febniaiy 1990 RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT The parent company has a strong commitment to research and development (R&D) and increased gross expenditure in this area from $17 million in 1988 (10.8 percent of sales) to $23 million (13.0 percent of sales) in 1989. Plasma Technology works closely with governmentsponsored research projects, both national and international, and with universities across Europe. The work that the Company is carrying out with fom- other companies at the Rutherford Appleton Laboratories near Oxford in England illustrates its cooperative efforts. This research into submicron e-beam technology for silicon devices is funded by the Department of Trade and Industry as part of its National Electronics Research Initiative scheme. This project has ambitious objectives, such as the development of very fine line e-beam technology for mask manufacture and device fabrication. In particular, research is aimed at developing a complete e-beam and dry etch process for advanced maskmaking for the 1990s. Chrome masks with 0.3-micron minimum feature size and with CD control of better than ±0.05 micron will be required. Plasma Technology will be contributing to the project by refining existing chrome mask dry etching processes and developing novel techniques for etching from fine-line e-beam direct write masks. COMPANY PRODUCTS Plasma Technology markets a number of Plasmalab systems that cover reactive ion etch CRIE), photoresist strip (PRS), and plasma deposition. ESIS Volume E 0005967 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated February Plasma Technology, Ltd. The Plasmalab series includes the following: • AMR—AMR is an advanced multirole plasma system with the flexibility to be configured for a host of applications. Downstream microwave, electron cyclotron resonance (ECR), propogation ion etch (PIE), and conventional RF options and combinations make the AMR. a unique and highly flexible vehicle for advanced device processes. This system is suitable for either pure research or production. The modular concept allows either manual loading for R&D applications or cassette-to-cassette-autoload where extreme cleanliness is paramount. • ECR—^The 2000R is a new electron cyclotron resonance etch (ECR) system. The 3000R is the latest low-temperature deposition technology system. Both systems use the ECR principle. In the 2000R, electrical damage to the device that may occur using conventional RF plasma systems is removed using a high-density, low-energy directional ion stream. This mertiod is capable of achieving extremely high etch rates at low-ion energies. With the 3000R, ECR can achieve very high deposition rates at very low temperatures and pressure, ensuring excellent film quality. Alphaline 300 This product is the result of a joint development with Edwards High Vacuum (a division of BOC) and is Europe's first modular, multichamber amoiphous silicon production system. It is an in-line vacuum coating system for producing silicon by plasma-enhanced chemical vapor deposition (CVD) on glass substrate. The Alphaline 300 system is capable of meeting the demand for the high-speed deposition of amorphous silicon on large' substrates up to 300x300nim in size. SE 80 The SE 80 is a high-capacity system for photoresist stripping and general, isotropic fluorinebased etching. This barrel etch/strip system is used in finishing solar cells. Nitrogen Trifluoride In addition to Plasma Technology's range of equipment and systems is a new gas, which is called nitrogen trifluoride (NF), offered as part of its Expressgas service. Nitrogen trifluoride is finding increasing use as an alternative to carbon tetrachloride for etching silicon-type materials. It has the advantage of producing only gaseous products when it is decomposed; no polymers are formed. In addition, as NF generates large amounts of atomic fluorine, it allows higher silicon etch rates than are obtainable with fluorocarbon gases. OUTLOOK Plasma Technology has experienced remarkable growth since it was founded eight years ago. As part of The Oxford Instruments Group with its large resources, the Company is expected to go from strength to strength, as well as maintaining its leading position in the field of plasma technology. t 4 ©1990 Dataquest Ihcoiporated Febraary ESIS Volume n 0005967 Plasma Technok^, Ltd. During the past eight years, the Company has built up a steadily increasing user base, with more than 700 systems installed worldwide—200 of which are in the United States. From this base, the Company is well positioned to develop further the opportunities presented in the U.S. market In addition, the Japanese market is seen as capable of further development during the next few years. Plasma Technology continues to view the area of plasma-etching techniques as one that offers above-average growth opportunities. To maintain its leading position, the Company plans to continue its strong involvement in processes and applications by further collaborative R«S:D programs with major users and universities. An example of this involvement is the work that currently is being carried out at the Rutherford Laboratory using the compact synchrotron for X-ray lithography. The following areas have been identified for future development: Deposition and etching of rei&actory metals and silicides Etching processes for gallium arsenide integrated circuits Plasma etching of optically and electron beam-generated chrome mask plates Enhanced plasma techniques for next-generation RIE systems Optical mask repair techniques The Company recognizes that a key feature in maintaining its progress in what is now a very competitive environment is its continued commitment to R&D. Therefore, despite the continued pressure on the parent company's overall financial performance, expenditure on R&D is not being curtailed. Oxford Instruments' philosophy is that long-term success in a world of increasing competition in high technology requires a willingness to invest for the fudire, coupled with a determination to succeed commercially in an increasingly harsh marketplace. Today's innovativeness therefore is a measure of the Company's potential for commercial success in the future. Dataquest believes that because of the Company's excellent reputation and its realistic approach to the likely turn of events in its marketplace, it is well placed to expand its share of the growing worldwide market for plasma systems. ESIS Volume n 0005967 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated Fehruaiy Philip A. Hunt Cliemical Corporation BACKGROUND AND OVERVIEW The Philip A. Hunt Chemical Corporation (Hunt Chemical) was founded on November 30, 1909, in arooklyn. New York, U.S.A., as a supplier of chemicals for photography and the graphic arts. During the intervening 76 years, the Company has made major contributions not only to the development of these industries but also to the electronics industry. Concurrent with these achievements. Hunt Chemical has expanded its operation worldwide. Today it is one of the foremost international producers of high-quality imaging chemicals, with operations spanning four major marketing areas: • Microelectronics • Printed circuits • Electrostatic Copiers • Photo/Graphics for photofinishing and printing In July 1984, Hunt Chemical became a wholly owned subsidiary of the Olin Corporation (Olin) of Stamford, Connecticut, U.S.A., at a purchase price of approximately US$150 million. By so doing, the well-established and trusted name of Hunt Chemical enhanced Olin's own reputation as a supplier of high-quality materials, particularly high-performance metal alloys, to the electronics industry. This also emphasized Olin's ongoing commitment to serve the electronics industry. In late 1984, Matrix Integrated Systems (Matrix), which specializes in single-wafer plasma stripping technology, also became a wholly owned subsidiary of Olin. Thus Matrix, which reports through Hunt Chemical, represents Olin's entry into the semiconductor equipment business and complements Hunt Chemical's leading position as a supplier of photoresist products. The most recent developments by Olin to expand its role as a supplier of electronic materials and services are in the manufacture of semiconductor-grade sulphuric acid at a plant in Shreveport, Louisiana, employing the latest technology. This plant was scheduled to begin production in mid-1985. Other recent developments were the purchase of Hi-Pure Chemicals, Inc., from Allied Corporation and the purchase of Apache Chemicals, a supplier of high-purity dopants and chemical delivery systems to the semiconductor and telecommunications industries. ESIS Volume III ©1985 Dataquest Incorporated Nov. 25 ed. Philip A. Hunt Chemical Corporation with the above acquisitions, Olin Corporation has obtained a significant presence in the three major process technologies used in semiconductor manufacture: Etchants (Hi-Pure), Dopants (Apache), and Photoresists (Hunt Chemical). Operations The corporate headquarters West Paterson, New Jersey, U.S.A. of Hunt Chemical are located at In 1984, the Company employed worldwide more than 150 qualified chemists, physicists, and engineers in research and development {R&D) and 1,200 employees in manufacturing, marketing, and distribution. The Company markets some 600 chemicals to 20,000 customers through an international operation that includes a complex of manufacturing, warehousing, and distribution centers with 17 plants in the U.S.A. and Europe. European Operations In Europe, the importance of having a local presence was recognized as early as 1967 when, with the increasing number of customers in the growing EEC markets. Hunt Chemical took occupancy of an office and plant in the Sint-Niklaas Europark Industrial Centre in Belgium. In 1969, NV Hunt Chemical commenced manufacture of electronic and graphic arts etchants to be followed by filming agents in 1971 and alkaline etchants in 1972. Since 1972, the Belgium site has been expanded and become the center of Hunt Chemical's European operation, with other companies being established throughout Europe to provide local sales, customer service, and warehousing. Hunt Chemical now employs some 175 persons in Europe. The functional structure of the Company is described in the following paragraphs. Belgium NV Hunt Chemical, Sint-Niklaas, is the European headquarters. It houses the Microelectronics and Printed Circuit Board Divisions, the European Technical Service Centre, and product marketing. In addition, there are manufacturing and warehousing facilities. United Kingdom Hunt Chemicals Ltd., Coventry, England, houses the regional sales office for the United Kingdom (excluding Scotland), customer Service, and warehousing. 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Nov. 25 ed. ESIS Volume III Philip A. Hunt Chemical Corporation Hunt Chemicals Ltd. (Scotland), East Kilbride, is a new regional sales office providing customer service to the growing electronics industry in Scotland; additionally, it possesses refrigerated warehousing. France Hunt Chemicals, Aubervilliers, houses the area sales office, customer service, and warehousing. West Germany Hunt Chemicals GmbH, Bischofsheim, provides customer service, warehousing, and local product marketing. Italy Hunt Chemicals SRL, Milan, houses the local product sales office, customer service, and warehousing. Revenues Table 1 shows a decline in operating profit for Hunt Chemical's foreign operations from 1982 to 1983,' primarily due to the strengthening of the U.S. dollar against European currencies. This resulted in European operations having higher costs for U.S.-purchased materials, which could not be recovered in sales prices. Table 1 Philip A. Hunt Chemical Corporation and Subsidiaries WORLOWIOE REVENUES (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1981 1982 1983 Net Sales $111.9 $114.8 $119.9 Operating Profit (Worldwide) Operating Profit (Europe) $ $ $ $ $ 10.6 $ 3.7 Source: ESIS Volume III 6.5 2.3 9.2 4.9 Hunt Chemical Annual Accounts 1983 DATAQUEST November 1985 © 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Nov. 25 ed. Philip A. Hunt Chemical Corporation At the local level, the effect on sales revenue of the appreciation of the U.S. dollar over the years from 1981 through 1984 is illustrated in Table 2. Table 2 NV Hunt Chemical ESTIMATED SALES ItEVENOES (Millions of Belgian Francs and U.S. Oollars) 1981 1982 1983 1984 Net Sales BF890 BF1,039 BF1,314 BF1,800 Net Sales $23.9 $22.7 $25.7 $31.2 Exchange Rate (BF to $1) 37.13 45.69 51.13 57.78 Source: DATAQUEST November 1985 The figures in Table 2 reveal that while sales in local currency have been increasing at a rate in excess of 26 percent per annum since 1982, the growth rate is almost halved when calculated in U.S. dollars. The high level of activity experienced in the electronics industry in 1984 is reflected in the sales figures. DATAQUEST's estimates show an increase of 3 7 percent in Belgian francs and still a very healthy 21 percent increase when translated into U.S. dollars, as compared to 1983. Major growth in sales has been experienced in the United Kingdom. In 1983/84, the United Kingdom accounted for approximately 35 percent of sales, with West Germany, France, and Italy each at 17 percent and the Rest of Europe at 14 percent. © 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Nov. 25 ed. ESIS Volume III Philip A. Hunt Chemical Corporation Intercompany Agreements Hunt Chemical has a number of product and technology arrangements with other companies. The more important agreements include; • A working agreement with Philips in Holland and Siemens in West Germany • A joint venture with Fuji of Japan Electronics Technology Co. Ltd. for marketing of Waycoat photoresists • An interest in Mead Technologies, a world leader in E-beam resists, for the exclusive worldwide marketing by Hunt Chemical of Mead products • An interest in Advanced Plasma Systems, which manufactures equipment to process and desmear (clean) multilayer printed circuit boards by means of a plasma environment, whereby Hunt Chemical has exclusive worldwide marketing rights in forming Fuji-Hunt the manufacture and Research and Development Fundamental research and development (R&D) is carried out in the United States, and Hunt's commitment to maintain its position in the forefront of imaging and related chemicals used in photolithography is demonstrated by the funds allocated to R&D. In 1982, these funds totaled $5.4 million; they were increased to $5.7 million in 1983. As geometries of integrated circuits shrink and optimization of photoresist resolution becomes increasingly important. Hunt Chemical is directing a major part of its R&D effort into researching improved positive photoresists and into plasma stripping techniques. New photoresist products include: • Waycoat Xanthochrome positive photoresist, which has been specially designed to reduce the combined effects of topography and back-reflected light from the substrate • Waycoat Aristoline positive photoresist, which provides critical dimension control and more consistency, with a typical photospeed some 40 percent faster than alternative products • E-beam resists of Mead Technologies/Hunt, producing negative and . positive working resists for exposure by electron beam, together with their associated developers and rinses ESIS Volume III © 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Mov. 25 ed. Philip A. Hunt Chemical Corporation In plasma stripping. Matrix has recently brought to the market its new Matrix Stripper. This equipment is the latest in photoresist removal technology and addresses itself to the problems associated with resists that have become hardened and polymerized by ion implantation, UV, and plasma etching and hard bake processes. The equipment is helpful also where the capability of wet etch and previously used plasma systems have now been exceeded. PRODDCTS AND MARKETS SERVED Hunt Chemical's products for the microelectronics industry include the following: • Positive Photoresist Systems: Waycoat HPR 204/206 Resists—For striation-free coatings, improved adhesion, and shorter exposures in all projection and contact aligners Waycoat MPR Resist—Specifically for manufacture of chrome photomasks Waycoat MIF Developer—^Metal ion free • Negative Photoresist Systems: Waycoat HNR 80/120 Resists—A new, high-resolution system that also reduces mask sticking in contact exposure Waycoat Negative HR 10 0/200 Resists—For imaging on highly reflective metallized and oxidized surfaces Waycoat IC Type 3 Resists—State-of-the-art reduced oxygen sensitivity resists with Waycoat SC Resists—A family of photoresists producing film thicknesses greater than two microns Waycoat Negative Resist Developer—Specifically designed for use with resist exposed in the Perkin-Elmer Micralign Waycoat CX)P Resist—A resist for electron beam applications © 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Nov. 25 ed. ESIS Volume III Philip A. Hunt Chemical Corporation Technical Service—Europe Apart from R&D associated with new product development and new technology for the microelectronics industry. Hunt Chemical continues to give the very highest priority to technical service. In Europe, this is exemplified at the Technical Service Centre located at Sint-Niklaas (Belgium). Here there is a fully equipped Microlithographic laboratory housing the latest state-of-the-art equipment and which, as a result of progressive additions, now represents an investment of some $4.5 million. The site at Sint-Niklaas occupies an area of 14,000m2 and comprises the Technical Service Centre and a modern plant for electronic etchants, liquid and dry toners, graphic arts chemicals, and photofinishing systems. NV Hunt Chemical and its European affiliates employ 175 persons, of whom 50 are in sales and customer service, 50 are in manufacturing, and 75 are in supporting services such as general administration and distribution. There are two product divisions: • Microelectronics Division • Printed Circuit Board Division Microelectronics Division The Microelectronics Division is headed by a director who oversees the director of technical service and the product manager. Also reporting to the division director are sales managers for each European country (or region). Each sales manager supervises a number of process engineers. The Microelectronics Laboratory, which is staffed by highly qualified experts conversant in most European languages, is designed to offer customers the following services: • Performance demonstrations of photoresist and related products • Design of new photoresist processing methods • Evaluation of new types of process equipment • Training of special seminar and workshop participants ESIS Volume III © 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Nov. 25 ed. Philip A. Hunt Chemical Corporation The following list describes Hunt Chemical's major test equipment, including principal capabilities: • Coating In-Line Wafer Processing System (Veeco) with separate tracks for positive and negative resists; automateddispense coating; 100mm wafer processing, computer controlled Manual Photoresist Spinner lOOlS (Convac) with continuous spin range—0 : 10,000 rpm; lOOmm wafer processing; spin coating of PMMA, polymide, and other products with nonstandard solvents • Exposure Proximity Mask Aligner PLA-521F (Canon) for lOOmm wafer protessing; contact and proximity printing; standard and deep UV sources; optical filters available Projections Mask Aligner Micralign 230 (Perkin-Elmer); projection printing with manual alignment; mirror projections system; 10mm wafer processing Mask Sets—Hunt resolution masks: 10- to 1-micron feature size; focus wedge mask, opto-line mask, production mask sets; mask versions on quartz plates » Development In-Line Wafer Processing System (Veeco); separate tracks for positive and negative resists; spray development of negative resists; spray, flood-puddle, or spray-puddle development of positive resists; computer controlled; 100mm wafers - Manual—Immersion development; cascade vane DI water rinse temperature controlled; Baking Bottom Bake V-300 (Veeco); modules integrated within the wafer processing system; separate for negative and positive resists; uniform heating; in-line 10 0mm processing; nitrogen purged ® 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Nov. 25 ed. ESIS Volume III Philip A. Hunt Chemical Corporation Hot Plate—Integrated part of PSS-200 DUVC machine; temperature controlled ± lOc up to 350°C; 100mm wafer processing; cassette-to-cassette operation Convection LOT 5050 E (Heraeus) with temperature control from ambient to 250°C—Nitrogen purge; high thermal mass WU 340 (Heraeus) with temperature control from ambient to SOQOC Measurement Critical Dimensions Automatic Telecomparator System MF-68 All (Hitachi)— CD measuring TV system with microcomputer-TV display monitor, including intensity profile; precise measure., ment down to one micron Leitz Latimet (Leitz)—CRT display; reproducible CD measurements; reliable resolution down to two microns Thickness Nanospec. AFT (Manometries)—Transparent film thickness measurement; nondestructive; microcomputer data handling Dektak II (Sloan)—Surface profile scan; thickness and profile evaluation; CRT display Inspection - Visual Olympus BHMJL 34 (Olympus)—Magnification up to 500x; photocamera; differential interference contrast attachment SEM lC-130 (ISI)—High-quality SEM photographs with routine use at magnification up to 50K and a DC Sputter Coater with up to 100mm wafers; low accelerating voltage ESIS Volume III © 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Nov. 25 ed. Philip A. Hunt Chemical Corporation Etching Wet Tank etching of Al. poly, nitride, Si02, PSG, etc.; temperature-controlled water bath Dry RIE/PE 80 (plasma technology)—Manual loading single wafer (100mm, 125mm, 150mm); 14 gas sources of Stripping/Cleaning Wet Tank, Cascade Vane (TSC) Photomask Cleaner 603 . Rinser/Drier Neptune 111 (FSI) Dry RIE/PE 80 (plasma technology)—Oxygen-based resist stripping, manual loading, etc. plasma Stabilization DUVC PSS-200 (Veeco)—Deep UV curing to withstand ion implantation; RIE and hardbake at up to 250°C (100mm wafer); UV source: 200- to 300- nanometer range PRIST RIE/PE 80 (plasma technology)—Photoresist image stabilization technique (PRIST) using F-based plasma for improved product performance OOTLOOK Hunt Chemical looks forward to an exciting future, operating as it does at the leading edge of technology and producing new and better generations of products for the increasingly complex needs of the microelectronics industry. 10 ® 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Nov. 25 ed. ESIS Volume III Philip A. Hunt Chemical Corporation The Company sees itself remaining photolithographic chemicals because of its: at the forefront • Continuing program of research and development • Mherence to the strictest product-quality standards • Customer support in The fastest-growing segment of the market over the next few years will be positive photoresists. Electron beam technology may well prove to be the next important area of development. In anticipation of this, Hunt Chemical is working on new photoresists to meet the need. ESIS Volume III © 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Nov. 25 ed. 11 Pliilip A. Hunt Cliemical Corporation (Page i n t e n t i o n a l l y l e f t blank) 12 © 1985 Dataquest I n c o r p o r a t e d Nov. 25 e d . ESIS Volume I I I Teradyne, Inc. OVERVIEW Founded in 1960 to produce electronic test equipment designed for industrial use, Teradyne today is a major supplier of automatic test systems to the electronics industry. These systems are used to test integrated circuits, circuit boards, and various other electronic devices and assemblies. The Company also sells electronic design automation (EDA) products used in the design and testing of electronic devices. The Telecommunications Division produces automatic test systems and related products used by telephone operating companies. The Company also manufactures backplane connection systems, principally for the nulitary/aerospace, computer, and telecommunications industries. Teradyne sells its products primarily through direct worldwide sales organizations, and the Company supports its products through an extensive service and applications network, with technical centers throughout the United States, Europe, and the Far East. For fiscal 1988, the Company reported net sales of $462 million and an income of $95,000. In 1987, the comparable figures were net sales of $378 million and a loss before taxes of $33 milUon. In 1988, the Company's EDA business expanded as a result of the 1987 acquisitions of AIDA Corporation and CASE Technology. Also in 1988, Zehntel was completely integrated into Teradyne, a process that led to a fourth-quarter restructuring charge of approximately $16 million. OPERATIONS The Company's headquarters are located in Boston, Massachusetts, in the United States. As of December 31, 1988, the Company employed approximately 4,700 persons worldwide, with the United States accounting for about 10 percent. Teradyne maintains a direct presence in 13 countries, principally the United States, Western Europe, and the Far East. United States In the United States, plants are concentrated in the following four states: • Massachusetts is the home of the Company's Manufacturing Systems and Industrial/ Consumer Divisions as well as a large portion of its EDA Group. • California is home of the Semiconductor Test Division, which produces VLSI logic and memory test ^stems, and of the Zehntel Division, and EDA West. • Illinois is home of the Telecommunications Division. • New Hampshire is home of Teradyne Connection systems. In addition, large sales and service offices are located in important centers such, as the San Francisco Bay Area (California), Route 128 (Massachusetts), and Dallas and Austin, Texas. # ESIS Volume n 0005968 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated March Teradyne, Inc. Europe Europe has been an important market for Teradyne for more than two decades, and the Company's activity there has intensified further in recent years. This intensification is largely because of the Telecommunications Division, which oversees a fast-growing customer base from its headquarters and engineering center in Bracknell near London. Europe has 13 offices and approximately 300 employees. Offices are located in Paris, Antwerp, Munich, and Milan as well as in London. Far East The focal point of Far East activities is Teradyne K.K., which is located in the Naka Meguro district of Tokyo. In addition, the Company has three other offices in Japan in Osaka, Kokubu, and Shokoku. A sales office is located in Seoul, South Korea, and at the southern end of the Pacific Rim is Teradyne's Singapore office, which serves Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, the Philippines, and Australia. In all, 200 employees service Far East sales. The Singapore office also houses more than $2.5 million worth of spare parts that are ready for immediate use and provides technical support to customers in China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. FINANCIAL A summary of Teradyne's most recent financial information for the fiscal years that ended December 31, 1986 through 1988 is shown in Table 1. Table 1 Teradyne, Inc. Worldwide Consolidated Statement of Income (Millions of Dollars) Net Sales Expenses Cost of Sales Engineering and Development Selling and Administration Restructuring and Merger Costs Income (Loss) from Operations Other Income (Expense) Income (Loss) before Taxes 1986 1987 1988 351 378 462 200 60 105 2 (16) 1 (15) 222 62 115 11 (32) (1) (33) 264 62 116 16 4 (4) 0* « Souice: Teradyne, Inc. Annual Accounts 1988 Dataquest March 1990 'Actual Figuie—$95,000. ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated March ESIS Volume H 0005968 Teradyne, Inc, The Company notes in its Annual Report that great strides were made in 1988; market share gains were made in key product lines, the three companies acquired in 1987 were integrated into the organization, and major sales gains were achieved in Japan and South Korea. Sales in 1988 showed an increase of $84 million over 1987, and the Company was able to bring $33 million, or 39 percent, to its pretax profit line. After taxes, there was a favorable bottom-line swing of almost $18 million. Although these comparisons were made against the rather poor 1987 figures, the Company believes that they do show significant progress. Also, in recent years, Teradyne has encountered two adverse industry trends. The first was the 1985 through 1987 recession in the electronics industry, particularly in the semiconductor sector, and the second was the shift in semiconductor market share from the United States to the Far East, where Japanese test equipment companies enjoy a natural advantage. These factors have left the U.S. ATE industry with excess capacity. The excess capacity has resulted in intense competition, aggressive pricing, and razor-thin margins. Against this backdrop, the Company decided to increase market share, even at some sacrifice in near-term profits. Market share gains came not only in ATE but in backplanes and telecommunications test systems. In particular, the competitive tide turned in the analog and mixed-signal area. Overall 1988 net sales of $462 million, when split by business segments, showed $391 million (84.6 percent) attributable to Electronic Systems and Software and $71 million (15.4 percent) to Backplane Connection Systems. These figures are similar to the 1987 ratios. Table 2 shows worldwide sales by geographic area for the years 1986 through 1988. The table shows that domestic sales in the United States have declined from 61.8 percent in 1986 to 54.3 percent in 1988. During this same period, sales to Europe increased modestly, from 20.7 percent to 35.5 percent. In contrast to the growth in Europe, sales expansion in Asia has been quite dramatic, with sales doubling from $45 million in 1986 to $90 million in 1988. The sales expansion in Asia underlines the growing importance of the Asian (Far East) area and proves that the Company's early recognition of the opportunities in this area are paying off. Table 2 also shows that export sales accounted for nearly one-half of the Company's total sales in 1988. Table 2 Teradyne, Inc. Worldwide Sales by Geographic Area (Millions of Dollars) 1986 1987 1988 United States Europe Asia Rest of World 217 73 45 16 230 84 54 10 Total 351 378 251 109 90 12 462 Somce: Teradyne, BK. Amual Accounts 1988 Dataqiiest March 1990 ESIS Volume n 0OOS968 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated March Teradyne, Inc. RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT The highly technical nature of the Company's products requires a large and continuing research and development (R&D) effort; for example, 1988 expenditure of $62 million represented 13.4 percent of sales. This expenditure on new product programs underlines the Company's commitment to R&D and its belief that long-term success depends on its ability to respond to the technological needs of its customers, which may require years of continued investment before additional profit occurs. PRODUCTS Electronic systems and software produced by the Company include the following: • Test systems for a wide variety of semiconductors, including digital and analog ICs and ASICs • Test systems for circuit boards and other subassemblies • Test systems for telephone Unes and networks • Laser trimming systems used in the production of semiconductor memories and hybrid circuits • Computer-aided engineering software used in the design of electronic components and assemblies The Company also manufactures backplane connection systems for the military, aerospace, telecommmiications, and computer industries. These applications translate into the following principal products and services offered by the Company: • • • • • • 4 900 VLSI Test Systems—Four basic systems are offered: the high-end J953, with 256-pin, 100-MHz capability; the 1,992-pin J967; the J983 with high-speed production testing capabilities for the latest, high-performance, high-volume devices such as 16-bit microcontrollers and high-integration ASICs; and the J941, which provides efficient, low-cost, reliable testing for 16-bit microprocessors and microperipherals. Memory test and laser trim systems—Memory test systems include the 50-MHz J937, and laser trim systems include the monolithic trim system M218 to repair redundant memories and the W429 passive trim system to adjust film resistors and hybrid circuits. A500/520 Analog VLSI Supertester—^This system offers single-insertion testing of complex mixed-signal devices. It uses "tester-per-pin" architecture and is capable of delivering low-distortion analog waveforms. L200 board test line systems—^This board tester was the first to use VLSI device tester architecture and advanced technology to deliver very high fault covering on complex PCBs. The L200 range, now in its third generation, includes the L210vxi, L210vx, L293, and L297 test systems. These systems offer a broad range of board test solutions, from a 1,000-pin in-circuit tester to a 1,000-pin functional system with full 40-MHz clock and data rates. The L200 line—^This line is enhanced by a factory management software package called Boardwatch* and by LASAR software, which helps users deal with the often difficult task of generating functional test programs. 1800 Series of board testers—^These testers are used with personal computers and offer excellent fault coverage, high throughput, and configurations with up to 2,048 pins. ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated March ESIS Volume n 0OOS968 Teradyne, Inc. • 8000 test system—^This test system was recently introduced by Zehntel. It offers a full range of combination test capabiUties: analog/digital in-circuit test, analog functional test, stored-pattem digital functional test, and "cluster" testing over 2,048 points, at a 10-MHz data rate. The 8000 features a nonmultiplexed architecture and is compatible with the earlier 800-series testers. • Computer-aided engineering (CAE) products—^These products include the AIDA software package, which enables engineers to simulate and verify complex systems that are created in accordance with design rules, and CASE systems, which specialize in CAE tools used in the design and layout of printed circuit boards and application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs). The CAE toolkit includes simulators of various kinds, accelerators (to speed up simulation runs), schematic entry and physical layout programs and a wide assortment of database programs, interfaces, graphics, and other accessories. These products now form part of the Company's Electronic Design Automation (EDA) business area. Telecommunications test equipment—^These systems include the 4TEL* line tester and the XLT* system. New products include the TESTNET*2000 Megabit Maintenance System (MMS*), which is a remote-controlled tester for 11 circuits, and the Craft Dispatch System (CDS), which enables telephone companies to automate their service dispatch procedures. • • Backplane Connection System—^This system covers the HD-Plus* line of high-density connectors. A recent addition is the HD-Plus2* line. The HD-Plus2* provides 60 signal contacts per linear inch, or three times the density of card-edge connectors. FUTURE PROSPECTS The Company believes that the rationaUzation of the ATE industry finally is occurring at a time when it is positioned to offer its customers assurance that, as a result of implementation of Teradyne's long-term strategy, it will be able to serve them in the upcoming years. After rationalization of the Company's recent acquisitions in the EDA business, Teradyne looks to them to become the technical and market leaders in simulation tools used to design and test electronic components and subassemblies. The Company sees its Telecommunications Division and Connection Systems Division playing increasingly important roles in the years ahead. The Telecommunications Division is shaping an entire new indusdy based on the premise that the world's telephone systems have accepted the concept of automated testing. In the area of connectors, the Company has decided that a systems approach to connection problems would be sensible in the area of very large scale integration, liiis approach now is bearing fruit where the Company has gained important footholds in the European and Far East markets. Teradyne beheves that globalization of the electronics industry will bring with it a globalization of attitudes, and Teradyne intends to be in the forefront of this development. To this end, Teradyne believes that the Far East will unquestionably play an ever-increasing role in the Company's future; indeed, it is the home base of many of Teradyne's largest customers. The Company sees the Far East as a market that richly rewards competence, integrity, and perseverance. •Boardwatch, High Density Plus, HD-Plus, MMS, TESTNET, XLT, 4TEL aU are trademarks of Teradyne, Inc. ESIS Volume n 0005968 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated March VG Instruments Pic. BACKGROUND AND OVERVIEW VG histruments was founded in 1962 by two partners, Mr. EastweU and Mr. Treasure, to manufacture flanges and pumps. Since its inception, the Company has grown and increased in market share to place among the top 20 in the world league of approximately 300 scientific apparams manufacturers. The Company's expertise encompasses instruments that generally, but not exclusively, incorporate clean or ultrahigh vacuum and state-of-the-art electron and/or ion optics. The techniques offered by the Company range from ultrahigh-vacuum (UHV) components and systems; siuface analysis; organic, isotope, and gas analysis spectrometry; electron microscopy; molecular-beam epitaxy; and digital communications to laboratory management systems. The Company serves a diverse market that includes production and research applications in pharmaceuticals, chemical engineering, bioengineering, semiconductor technology, and material sciences. The VG Instruments Group has successfully expanded during the last few years by creating new companies and by dividing growing companies. Each company is autonomous and deploys its own resources to develop and exploit new instrumentation techniques. Today, The VG Instruments Group consists of 16 instruments companies in the United Kingdom and 10 overseas marketing companies. Group sales for fiscal 1988 amounted to $239 milUon, and profit before tax was $34 million. For the half year ended June 30, 1989, sales were $112.0 miUion compared with $100.0 milUon for the same period in 1988, while pretax profit amounted to $11.6 million against $10.9 million for the previous year. In May 1988, the Company acquired all of the issued share capital of Kevex Corporation, an American manufacturer of X-ray instruments located in California, for $65.5 milhon. In its 1988 Annual Report and Accounts, the Company disclosed that its ultimate holding company is B.A.T. Industries Pic, which is located in Great Britain and owns 69.4 percent of the issued ordinary stock. Currently, B.A.T. Industries is the subject of a bid, which raises questions as to the future ownership of VG Instruments. OPERATIONS Group headquarters are located in Crawley, West Sussex, England. In the United Kingdom, the Company has a number of manufacturing and sales subsidiaries. Five marketing companies are located in Europe, and five more are located in Massachusetts, United States; Quebec, Canada; Hong Kong; China; and South Korea. As of December 31, 1988, the Company employed approximately 2,370 persons worldwide, 446 of which were employed by Kevex in the United States. ESIS Volume n 0005943 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated March VG Instruments Pic. FINANCIAL Table 1 presents a summary of the financial results for the fiscal years ended December 31, 1986 through 1988, with the unaudited interim results for the half year ended June 30, 1988 and 1989. Table 1 shows that although sales turnover has increased steadily during the past two years and is well above the average for the U.K. scientific instruments sector, profits have largely stagnated. This situation is due to the costs arising from the purchase of Kevex. The Company expects it to take two or three years for the full benefits of the piurchase to increase profits. Furthermore, the rapid escalation of interest rates in the United Kingdom, together with some performance problems, affected the pretax profits. Table 2 gives a breakdown of the Company's sales by principal geographic markets served. Table 2 also shows that the Company is highly export oriented and that 82 to 83 percent of sales have been to export markets during the past two years. In fact, the Queen's Award for Export Achievement was recently presented to VG Analytical, Ltd., a subsidiary company. The figures also show the growing sales in both the United States and Japan for the Company's products. Table 1 VG Instruments Pic. Worldwide Revenue (Millions of Dollars) Sales Trading Profit Profit before Taxation Profit after Taxation Exchange Rate (£ Sterling per U.S.$1) 1986 1987 1988 1988* 1989* 127 28 30 19 172 37 37 25 239 36 34 21 100 11 11 7 112 13 12 7 0.68 0.60 0.56 0.56 0.61 Souice: VG bstniments Pic. Amuial Accounts 198S Interim Accounts 1989 Dataquest March 1990 *Six moodu ended June 30 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated March ESIS Volume H 0005943 VG Instruments Pic. Table 2 VG Instruments Pic. Sales by Geographic Area (Percentage) Geographic Area United Kingdom Europe United States Canada Japan Rest of Asia Australasia Rest of World Total 1987 1988 17 33 30 2 11 5 1 1 16 30 33 2 13 4 1 1 00 100 Somce;: VG lostnnnnits Pic. Annual Accounts 198S Dataquest Maich 1990 PRODUCT REVIEW This subsection gives a brief summary of the activities of the major operating subsidiaries of the Company in terms of the systems and instruments offered. These are grouped as follows: • Organic mass spectrometry • Inorganic mass spectrometry • Surface science • Vacuum technology • Information technology • Microanalysis and X-ray fluorescence Organic Mass Spectrometry Stringent environmental monitoring, genetic engineering, and the formulation of new drugs are common in today's world. Within these areas, organic and biomedical mass spectrometry have emerged as powerful analytical tools. The techniques are highly sensitive, thus enabling minute quantities to be detected and recognized even within complicated mixtures. Subsidiaries in this field are as follows: • VG Analytical produces high-performance magnetic sector mass spectrometers, the most sensitive and powerful organic instruments available. They feature high resolution for separating complex ions with almost identical large molecular masses. The ZAB 4-F is the world's most powerful organic mass spectrometer. The Company also makes the TS-250 system using advanced magnet and microprocessor technology. ESIS Volume II 000S943 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated March 3 VG Instruments Pic. • VG Masslab specializes in computer-controlled quadruple-mass spectrometers. Rapid scanning of the field provides very fast identification of the components within a mixture, making quadruples ideal for high-throughput and automatic analysis of more routine samples. Inorganic Mass Spectrometry Understanding the elemental and isotopic concentrations within solids, liquids, and gases is a routine requirement for a wide range of research and production applications. Subsidiaries in this field are as follows: VG Elemental developed the Plasma Quad™. This versatile tool enables rapid determination of all elemental and isotopic concentrations in a solution to below part-per-billion levels. VG Microtrace pioneered a glow discharge mass spectrometer with the abiUty to analyze major, minor, and trace components in a sample, with parts-per-trillion detection levels. VG Gas Analysis Systems produces compact, sophisticated magnetic sector and quadruple mass spectrometers. VG Isogas specializes in mass spectrometers for measuring the ratio of stable isotopes in simple gases. VG Quadruples is a world leader in the design and supply of quadruple mass spectrometers. VG Isotopes makes mass spectrometers using thermal ionization techniques. These spectrometers are ideal for precise isotopic measurements of elements such as lead, uranium, and strontium. Surface Science Increasingly, today's materials analysis problems can be solved by understanding the chemical and physical interactions that occur on a surface or at the interface between boundaries. Subsidiaries in this field are as follows: • • • • VG Scientific manufactures a range of surface analysis instruments that can provide spatial and chemical information using a variety of techniques. VG lonex manufactures instruments and components for secondary ion mass spectrometry. VG Microscopes produces scanning electron microscopes with high spatial resolution. Applications include the study of grain boundaries and diffusion in metids, ceramics, and semiconductors. VG Microtech produces a complete range of "bolt-on" surface analysis components that aUow users to biuld and add new techniques to their own surface analysis faciUties. ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated March ESIS Volume n 0005943 VG Instruments Pic. Vacuum Technology The demand for semiconductor devices for advanced applications has focused intensive research into the very methods and materials from which semiconductor devices are made. Devices now are being fabricated by molecular beam epitaxy (MBE), where semiconductor layers are grown, atom by atom, onto a wafer substrate using carefully controlled temperatures in a UHV environment. Subsidiaries in this field are as follows: • • • VG Semicon leads the world in the manufacture of MBE systems used to produce these new semiconductor materials. VG Special Systems concentrates on the growing applications of UHV technology to industrial processing plants that require continuous operation, reliabihty, and user friendUness. Examples are space simulation systems and the production of optical components for use in night-vision devices. Vacuum Generators has pioneered the technology needed to achieve UHV conditions and offers a vast range of components for building UHV systems. Information Technology Computer technology applied to the need for rapid and efficient information exchange is changing the modem laboratory almost beyond recognition. Paperwork has been replaced by a distributed computer system running a Laboratory Information Management System (LIMS). Subsidiaries in this field are as follows: • • • VG Laboratory Systems produces LIMSs for both products and research environments. VG Electronics produces teletext equipment and supporting systems. Recent innovations include radio data systems (RDSs) for FM radio broadcasting that allow additional data to be transmitted along with existing programs. VG Data Systems produces hardware and software products for chromatography data collection. Microanalysis and X-Ray Fluorescence For many applications in materials analysis, digital X-ray mapping is widely accepted as one of the most efficient methods for determining the spatial chstribution of elements in a sample. Subsidiaries in this field are as follows: • • Kevex Instmments produces the Quantum light element detector, enabling simultaneous light and heavy element analysis. The Company also offers Fast X-ray Mapping, which increases X-ray map acquisition speed by one or two orders of magnitude with no reduction in digital-image quality. Kevex X-Ray produces standard and customized X-ray tubes with high-voltage power suppUes. The Company has focused development on high-technology products such as a totally portable X-ray source for high-resolution radiographic inspection of cracks in small components. ESIS Volume n 0005943 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated March VG Instruments Pic. OUTLOOK Over the years, VG Instruments has proved its ability to convert new ideas into commercial products. It recognizes that its main resource is allowing people to be innovative. The Kevex acquisition in the United States is expected to yield long-term benefits to VG Instruments. With the restructuring now complete, this area is expected to make substantial contributions to the Company's overall profitability in the coming years. Because the Company's customer base operates in diverse markets, its products can be expected to be in constant and increasing demand. Dataquest believes that the Company is therefore well placed to maintain its position as a leading supplier of scientific equipment during the years ahead. ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated March ESIS Voliune n 0005943 Wacker-Chemitronic GmbH BACKGROUND AND OVERVIEW Wacker-Chemitronic GmbH is a wholly owned subsidiary of Wacker-Chemie and has been active in semiconductor materials since 1953 when the Company commenced research into the manufacture of hyperpure silicon. Since then, it has developed into one of the world's leading suppliers of semiconductor wafer substrate materials with sales in 1988 of $270 million. The parent company, Wacker-Chemi GmbH (Wacker), manufactures and markets a wide variety of plastics, silicones, organic chemicals and, through Wacker-Chemitronic, semiconductor materials. Today, silicon chemistry makes up more than one-half of Wacker-Chemie's total sales, which were reported at $1,282 milhon for 1988. Wacker-Chemie was established in 1914 by Dr. Alexander Wacker, a nineteenth-century entrepreneur who recognized the economic significance of calcium carbide. In 1892, calcium carbide was successfully manufactured for the first time, using an electrochemical process. In 1916, the Burghausen plant, built to Dr. Wacker's original plans, became operational. From these beginnings the company quickly expanded and developed a number of new technologies and product Unes that embraced polyvinyl chloride (PVC), chlorinated solvents, vinyl acetate derivatives, silicones, silanes, and fumed silica. In 1953, fumed silica led to research in hyperpure silicon and production of monocrystalline sihcon. Important milestones in Wacker's semiconductor history are as follows: 1960—First sales of hyperpure silicon were made in the United States. • 1965—Wacker Chemicals Corporation, New York, U.S.A., was established. 1968—Wacker-Chemitronic GmbH, Burghausen, West Germany, was established as a wholly owned subsidiary of Wacker Chemie GmbH. 1977—^Heliotronic GmbH established for carrying out advanced studies in solar-grade silicon. 1978—^Wacker Siltronic Corporation, Portland, Oregon, U.S.A., was established for the manufacture of silicon wafers. 1983—Wacker Chemicals East Asia Ltd., Tokyo, Japan, was established. 1984—Capacity of polycrystalline hyperpure silicon reached 2,000 tons per aimum. 1987—^Wacker Chemicals East Asia established the Yokohama Technical Center in Hakusan-Cho, Yokohama, Japan. 1988—^The faciMties for the manufacture of hyperpure silicon underwent major expansion. A new plant was opened in Wasserburg. 1989—^The parent company, Wacker-Chemie, started construction of new headquarters in Munich-Neuperlach and celebrated its 75th anniversary in October. ESIS Volume H 0006573 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated April Wacker-Chemitronic GmbH Operations Headquarters of Wacker-Chemie GmbH are located in Munich, West Germany. Shareholders are the Hoechst AG and the Familiengesellschaft Wacker, which have equal share. Today, the Wacker-Chemie Group employs approximately 14,000 persons worldwide in 100 countries on five continents. Burghausen alone employs almost 10,000 persons. The Group produces approximately 2,600 chemical products, which are manufactured in plants located at Burghausen, Kempten, Merkenich near Cologne, and Stetten in Wurttemberg, all in West Germany. It also has production facilities in the United States, Mexico, Brazil, Japan, and the Netherlands. Wacker's activities in the area of semiconductor products and related technologies are administered by the following four operating companies: • Wacker-Chemitronic GmbH, West Germany—Since the Company's establishment in 1968, Wacker-Chemitronic has grown into one of the world's leading suppUers of silicon wafers. In 1988, the Company acquired facilities in Wasserburg am Inn that provided clean rooms and corresponding auxiliary equipment. By doing this, Wacker-Chemitronic was able to consolidate its epitaxy activities—coating silicon wafers, which requires clean room conditions—in high-performance facilities. This consohdation also enabled additional space to become available at Burghausen, where 200mm diameter polished wafers are produced. • Wacker Siltronic Corporation, United States—^This company is situated in Portland, Oregon. It is 100 percent owned by Wacker-Chemie and is an affiliate of Wacker-Chemitronic. The company handles Wacker-Chemie's semiconductor business in the United States and Canada and manufactures siUcon single crystals by Czochralski crucible pulling, and produces silicon as cut, lapped, etched, polished, and epitaxial wafers in its Portland plant. • • Wacker Chemicals East Asia Ltd.—This company is 75 percent owned by Wacker and is a joint venture between Wacker-Chemie and Hoechst Japan Limited. It supplies hyperpure silicon to the East Asian semiconductor industry and silicone products to the electronic, electrical equipment, transportation, and construction industries. In 1987, the Chemitronic Division of this company established a technical service laboratory to meet its customers' specific needs more efficiently. This center is located in Yokohama. Heliotronic GmbH, West Germany—^This company is located in Burghausen. It is a wholly owned subsidiary of Wacker-Chemitronic GmbH and is engaged in research and development (R&D) to produce a low-cost silicon material for the mass production of photo-voltaic solar cells and its translation to a manufacturing process. TTiis long-term research program is supported by West German Federal Ministry for Research and Technology. Financial A summary of the most recent financial information for the Wacker Group is shown in Table 1. It covers the fiscal years that ended December 31, 1987 and 1988. ©1990 Dataquest Incoiporated April ESIS Volume n 0006573 Wacker-Chemitronic GmbH Table 1 Wacker-Chemie GmbH Statement of Income (Millions of Dollars) Sales Income Change in Inventories Total Operating Performance Less Cost of Materials Gross Resuh from Operations Other Income Total Gross Income Less Wages and Other Deductions Operating Result Profit before Income Tax Net Profit 1987 1988 $1,143 20 $1,163 501 662 98 760 670 90 64 25 $1,282 12 $1,294 564 730 110 840 735 105 90 34 Souioe: WackBr-Qwmie GmbH Annual Report & Accounts 1988 OaUquest Afdl 1990 The Company had a record year in 1988, with sales increasing approximately 11 percent over 1987. Sales of Wacker-Chemitronic were reported to have improved by 12 percent in 1988 over 1987, to DM 475 million ($270 million). Wacker-Chemie GmbH therefore accounted for approximately 20 percent of Group turnover, Table 2 shows sales revenue for Wacker-Chemie expressed as percentages by geographical region. Table 2 reveals that 83 percent of the Group's revenue is derived within Western Europe. ESIS Volume II 0006573 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated April Wacker-Chemitronic GmbH Table 2 Wacker-Chemie GmbH Sales by Geographic Region for 1988 (Percentage) Geographic Region West Germany Other EC Other West Europe East Europe North America/Latin America/Africa Asia/Australia/Oceania 50% 23 10 4 7 6 100% Total Source: Wacker-Oieniie OmbH Amnial Report & Accounts 1988 Ditaquest April 1990 Research and Development Spending on R&D and application engineering amounted to $120 milUon in 1988, or approximately 9 percent of sales. As in previous years, the main emphasis in research was on silicon chemistry. Semiconductor research at Wacker-Chemitronic focused on improving the quality of hyperpure siUcon wafers. The miniaturization of circuit elements calls for top-quality wafers, and new techniques for improving surface flatness significantly are being developed. Research also is being conducted into monocrystals made of gallium gadolinium garnet and doped with chrome neodymium, which have been proved in solid-state laser technology. Research priorities at Heliotronic were redefined in 1988. The Company focuses on increased efficiency of solar cells, reducing production costs, and ribbon casting of solar silicon. Sufficient quantities of suitable hyperpure silicon as basic material are available from the production of silicon for electronics applications. Other areas of research include the development of engineered ceramics for use primarily in engine technology. Work also continues in organic intermediates for pharmaceutical and agrochemical applications. Basic research for the future is concentrated in the field of biotechnology. Production processes for certain polysaccharides are being investigated. The suitability of liquid crystal silicon compounds for displays and information storage is being examined, with a view to their possible application in information technology. ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated April ESIS Volume n 0006573 Wacker-Chemitronic GmbH Products m Wacker-Chemie's products cover the following fields: Plastics—Includes PVC and copolymers, PVA and hot melts, vinyl chloride and vinyl acetate resins, dispersions, pressure-sensitive adhesives, and vinyl acetate monomer Plasticizers—^Phthalates and sebacates Silanes—Chlorosilanes, siloxanes, silazanes, and functional silanes Silicones—^Rubbers, fluids, pastes, greases, release/antifoam agents Highly dispersed silica—^Fumed, precipitated, and dispersions Solvents—Includes methyl and ethyl acetate and butyl glycolate Organic intermediates—Covers a wide variety of chemicals Pesticides Semiconductor products—^These Wacker-Chemitronic products serve the semiconductor industry. They include the following: Hyperpure silicon Silicon monocrystals produced by float zoning and by Czochralski crucible pulling Polished, epitaxial, and diffused silicon wafers High-resistivity float-zone crystals and wafers for detector applications Solar-grade silicon SILSO, multicrystalline square slices 100 100mm, monocrystalline sUces, round or cut to nearly square shape III-V semiconductor compounds Gallium arsenide, monocrystal ingots and wafers, polished or cut and etched. Chemicals Chlorosilanes Hyperpure hydrogen chloride Laser crystals Gadolinium—Gallium-garnet doped with chromium/neodymium New products 200mm polished wafers—Controlled oxygen and precipitation, with superior geometry 200mm epitaxial wafers, specifically designed for CMOS application ISOmm diameter float-zone (FZ) material Backdiffused wafers Superflat wafers for submicron technology, tightly controlled bulk properties, double-side poUshed, outstanding geometry: TTV 2-micron for up to 200mm ESIS Volume H 0006573 ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated April Wacker-Chemitronic GmbH OUTLOOK Wacker-Chemitronic anticipates that products dependent on silicon chemistry will continue to be major growth areas. In the area of semiconductor materials, Wacker-Chemitronic views the future for its products optimistically. Consequently, a new plant is being commissioned to meet the increasing demand for epitaxial wafers, and as microelectronic structures diminish in size the Company sees an increasing demand for the larger ISOnmi and 200mm wafers. The Company also foresees an increasing demand for III-V semiconductors. The confidence with which Wacker-Chemitronic views the future is exemplified by the time and expense the Company is expending on improving employee skills and qualifications. High-quality training programs now are in operation at various locations. As an investment for the future, Wacker-Chemie believes that funds devoted to advanced training are as important as those spent on initial training. Furthermore the establishment of the imified European market in 1992 is hkely to increase competition. To meet this situation the Company is creating a pool of highly qualified employees. In 1988, approximately DM 6.2 million ($3.5 million) was spent on in-house training, with particular attention given to the development of potential managers. The Company anticipates that increasing sums will be expended on advanced training in the future. ©1990 Dataquest Incorporated April ESIS Volume n 0006573 |i^ Invtttment 6 Investment IMTRODUCTION This service section deals with European aspects of investments in the electronics industry, with emphasis on the semiconductor industry. The section is divided into four main parts: 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 Capital Investment Research and Development Investment Venture Capital Government and Private Investment The four parts really overlap each other, and should be read together. This is particularly so in the case of 6.2, because the major research and development programs are detailed in section 6.4, Government and Private Investment. ESIS Volume II 1987 Dataquest Incorporated March 6-1 1.1 R&D Investment R&D EXPENDITURE BY MERCHANT EUROPEAN COMPANIES Dataquest surveys the European merchant semiconductor manufacturers on an annual basis to track their R&D spending plans. Table 1 supplies a summary of the history of worldwide R&D spending in US dollars by European-owned companies for 1989 and 1990. Table 2 expresses European companies' R&D expenditures as a percentage of their worldwide sales. It also includes an R&D spending forecast for 1991. Table 3 shows R&D expenditure by European-owned merchant companies in European Currency Units (ECUs). Table 1 Estimated European Companies Woldwide R&D Expenditure (Millions of US Dollars) Company ABB-HAFO ABB-IXYS Austria Mikro Systeme Ericsson Components European Silicon Structures Eurosil Fagor Electrdnica GEC Plessey Semiconductors* Matra-MHS MEDL Mietec Philips Semikron International SGS-Thomson Microelectronics Siemens STC Components TAG Semiconductors Telefunken TMS Total Percent Change 1989 ($M) 1990 ($M) 4 5 7 6 8 3 2 25 9 6 7 395 5 210 315 1 2 28 7 5 7 8 7 9 5 2 36 21 0 13 425 8 240 335 2 2 26 7 1,045 1,158 10.7% * 1989 expenditure is for Plessey SemicaaductDis only. AOR s Annual growth rate Somce: Data^wst (March 1991) ESIS Volume n 0008322 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited March AGR 1990/1989 26.0% 39.2% 9.6% 12.0% 12.5% 56.0% 20.0% 44.0% 133.3% -100.0% 84.0% 7.6% 51.2% 14.3% 6.3% 92.0% 0.0% -5.7% -3.6% 1.1 R&D Investment Table 2 Estimated European Companies Woldwide R&D Expenditure As a Percentage of Worldwide Semiconductor Revenue Company 1989 1990 1991 ABB-HAFO ABB-IXYS Austria Mikro Systeme Ericsson Components European Silicon Structures Eurosil Fagor Electr6nica GEC Plessey Semiconductors Matra-MHS MEDL Mietec Philips Semikron International SGS-Thomson Microelectronics Siemens STC Components TAG Semiconductors Telefunken TMS 11% 10% 13% 11% 44% 10% 7% 10% 11% 10% 13% 23% 5% 16% 26% 5% 9% 9% 16% 12% 12% 13% 12% 33% 12% 8% 9% 21% NA 14% 22% 7% 16% 27% 8% 8% 8% 15% 13% 13% 14% 10% 14% 11% 8% 13% 20% NA 14% 13% 7% 18% 26% 8% 9% 10% 13% Total Merchant 19% 19% NA = Not Applicable Source: Dataquest (December 1990) ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited March ESIS Volume n 0008322 1.0 Capital Investment CAPITAL SPENDING BY MERCHANT EUROPEAN COMPANIES Dataquest surveys the major European merchant semiconductor manufacturers on an annual basis to track their capital spending plans. Table 1 gives a summary of the history of worldwide capital spending in US dollars by European-owned companies for 1989 and 1990. Table 2 expresses European companies' capital expenditure as a percentage of their worldwide sales. It includes a capital spending forecast for 1991. Table 3 shows capital spending by European-owned merchant companies in European Currency Units (ECUs). Table 1 Estimated European Companies Woldwide Capital Expenditure (Millions of US Dollars) • Company 1989 ($M) 1990 ($M) AGR 1990/1989 ABB-HAFO ABB-IXYS Austria Mikro Systeme Ericsson Components European SiUcon Structures Eurosil Fagor Electrdnica GEC Plessey Semiconductors* Matra-MHS MEDL Mietec Philips Semikron International SGS-Thomson Microelectronics Siemens STC Components TAG Semiconductors Telefunken TMS 5 7 10 7 3 4 2 26 12 8 8 292 8 240 193 2 2 39 20 5 7 11 8 6 5 3 34 13 0 22 290 11 278 175 3 3 46 14 0.8% -0.6% 12.1% 20.0% 100.0% 17.0% 50.0% 30.8% 8.3% -100.0% 176.0% -0.8% 35.0% 15.8% -9.3% 32.0% 50.0% 18.5% -30.0% Total 888 934 Percent Change 5.2% * 1989 ffiqxudinire is for Plessey Semicaoducton only. AGR = Anmul giowtti rate Source: Dataquest (Match 1991) ESIS Volume H 0008321 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited March • 1.0 Capital Investment Table 2 Estimated European Companies Woldwide Capital Expenditure As a Percentage of Worldwide Semiconductor Revenue Company 1989 1990 1991 ABB-HAFO ABB-IXYS Austria Mikro Systeme Ericsson Components European Silicon Structures Eurosil Fagor Electr6nica GEC Plessey Semiconductors Matra-MHS MEDL Mietec Philips Semikron International SGS-Thomson Microelectronics Siemens STC Components TAG Semiconductors Telefunken TMS Total Merchant 14% 14% 18% 13% 17% 13% 7% 11% 14% 13% 15% 17% 8% 18% 16% 11% 9% 13% 44% 12% 12% 19% 15% 22% 12% 10% 9% 13% NA 24% 15% 10% 19% 14% 11% 12% 14% 31% 14% 14% 16% 15% 15% 14% 11% 9% 13% NA 25% 14% 10% 18% 13% 10% 12% 16% 25% 16% 15% # NA = Not AppUcaUe Souice: DottKiaest (March 1991) ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited March ESIS Volume H 0008321 6.1 Capital Investment In 1986, European companies decreased their worldwide related capital spending by 21 percent, to $978 million. semiconductor- Tables 1 and 2 show the history and forecast, respectively, of the European companies' worldwide merchant capital expenditures. Table 1 ESTIMATED EUROPEAN COMPANIES' WORLDWIDE CAPITAL EXPENDITURES 1982 THROUGH 1986 (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Worldwide Semiconductor Revenue $1,946 $2,229 $3,183 $2,850 $3,425 Worldwide Semiconductor Capital Expense $ $ $ $ $ 315 Worldwide Capital Expense as a Percent of Semiconductor Revenue 0 350 11.1% 630 80.0% 600 (4.8%) Soure: 670 11,7% Dataquest March 1987 Table 2 ESTIMATED EUROPEAN COMPANIES' WORLDWIDE CAPITAL EXPENDITURES 1987 THROUGH 1991 (Millions of U.S. Dollars) 1987 Worldwide Semiconductor Revenue Worldwide Semiconductor Capital Expense Worldwide Capital Expense as a Percent of Semiconductor Revenue 1988 1989 1990 1991 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $787 $1,062 $1,136 $1,363 $1,636 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A = Not available Source: ESIS Volume II © 1987 Dataquest Incorporated March Dataquest March 1987 6.1-1 6.1.1 Proposed Plant Investments Some reasons for semiconductor plant investment in Europe, are as follows: • To avoid EEC tariffs of 17 percent (finished units) and 9 percent (semifinished units) that apply to products imported from non-EEC countries • To provide local support coordination is required • To gain access to certain programs where there are stipulations on products used (e.g., products must be manufactured locally) • To cut costs through better yields, shorter cycle times, elimination of trade barriers, closer customer support, greater product security (built locally with local resources) in cases where close customer Table 6.1.1 lists press announcements to extend or build new plants from 1985 onward. The data have been entered as they were announced, and the latest developments, if any, are listed under the "Comments" section. ESIS Volume II © 1987 Dataquest Incorporated March 6.1.1-1 Table 6.1.1-1 EUSOPEAN MERCHANT SEMICONDUCTOR PLANT INVESTMENTS I Company Year Announced Amount Location «M) Product/ Technoloqy Comments European Companies Eurasem 1986 Netherlands $13 Ass. & Pack Eurosil 1985 Eching. W.G. N/A 6-inch 2.5micron CMOS ® U3 00 -J 35K sq. ft., class 1000 60 employees in first year Start up in 1987 o 0) rt 0) 1986 Neuchatel, Switzerland N/A CMOS 6' wafers, 2-Bicron double ae caE>3billty. Large inveataent upgrade plant. Capacity - 1, wafers per week. Full produc 19B8. Source of money - pare conpany (Soclete Suisse de Klcroelectronique et d'Horlogerie) Micronas 1985 Espoo, Finland $15 CMOS 1* watetsi Start up in 1986 Philips 1985 Eindhoven, Netherlands CMOS Part of the "Mega project" D- 1985 Hamburg, W.G. N/A N/A Plant expansion in 1987 cu 1985 Caen, France N/A N/A Plant expansion in 19S7. $3M spent In 1985 on restructuring. 1986 Hazel Grove, Cheshire, U.K. $20 N/A Revamp of existing power sentconductor plant. It wil take 4 years to complete. M produce "POWERHOS" products. 1985 Caswell, U.K. $13 GaAs Plant development area of ZOK sq. ft. under constructi 1985 U.K. k U.S. (Los Angeles) $500 Hegacell semicustom Plans to build 2 plants in 1985-90. ' 1985 Walthan Grange, U.K. N/A CMOS 1.25-micron double-level meta capacity > 1,000 wafers/week iQ p: (D CO rt a n o •1 O ^^ (U rf (D fi o if Plessey a Ui M CO < O Racal Microelectronics (Contin # Table 6.1.1-1 (Continued)' m 01 H EUROPEAN MERCHANT SEMICONDUCTOR PLANT INVESTMENTS en < o Company Amount Year Announced Location mi Product/ Technology Comments European Companies (Continued) 1985 Agrate, Italy N/A CMOS VLSI CuHtoA circuits 1985 Swindon. U.K. N/A CMOS Custom circuits) start up in 1987/88 1985 West Berlin, H.G. $70 N/A Hfc. of components for optical fiber technology 1985 Regensburg, H.G. $300 HOS, submicron Start up In 193£ 1985 Munich, w.G. M/A !i (D 1985 West Berlin, W.G. $24 N/A Electronic control systems CA ft 1985 U.S. N/A N/A 3 possible sites in the U.S. ar being considered. Sopran i Eltek 1985 Nantes, Yvelines, France Thomson 1985 St. Egreve, France N/A l«>S VLSI Start up in 1986 1985 Hoirons, France N/A HOS VLSI Start up in 1986 1985 Far East or U.S. N/A 6" 1-micr fab. 1985 Aix en-Province France $50 Standard product 3-micron SGS Siemens \o CD »J o (U ft Submicron pilot facility with production at Regerisburg P) >Q a o o •1 >o Plant to test, cut, inspect, an stock semiconductorsf 37 emplo ees) sales forecast at FFr 20M o •1 01 ft (D Oi O •i n if European Silicon Structures (ES2) » I LJ Plant Hill be in operation in 19S7, Design centers to be opened in 19S6/7 in Palls, Munich, London, Kilan, Stockholm,'Edinburgh. A second plant nay be built in a few years time in the O.K, or West Germany. No, of employees - 300 by end of 1986 1,000 by 1990. [Continue Table 6.1.1-1 (Continued) EUROPEAN MERCHANT SEMICONDUCTOR PLANT INVESTMENTS I ll^ Company Amount ($M) year Announced Product/ Technology U.S. Companies AMD 1985 Greystones, Ireland $241 CMOS, telecom) memory 6S0 jobs; Greenfield site; area " 2 x 22K sq. ft. wafer fab areasI start-up date is 19STi nay consider adding ass and test later. 19ae plant ha been indefinitely postponed. AMI 1985 Graz, Austria $20 MOS Plant expansion 1985 U.K. $134 N/A Hay set up semiconductor plant deetgn center definitely in pipeline Cor custom circuits ATT Hlcroelectronica de Espana 1985 Madrid, Spain $200 CMOS HPU i memory Start up in 1987; Cull capacit 3,000 wafers per week; 700 employees; agreement with CTN to build a semiconductor plan Pull capacity in 1991 26 million units a year. 80* ATiT owned 201 Telefonica owned Burr Brown 1985 Scotland, U.K. N/A Bipolar Unconfirmed; start up in 1987 Cypress 1985 England, U.K. N/A MOS LSI No firm plan Exel 1985 Eire N/A MOS Memory Unconfirmed Fairchild 1985 Wasserburg, W.G. $150 MOS New fab area next to existing Assy, and test plant. Furthe expansion is planned. 1985 U.K. N/A N/A New design center in U.K.; location not known. Montrouge France, facility will be clos down and relocated. to 00 >J a (U fi9) iP (D U ft tS o o n fd o ^1 (I) ft (D olu 1 o £3* a Vi M < O M i (D (Continu n Table 6.1.1-1 (Continued) Ui EUROPEAN MERCHANT SEMICONDUCTOR PLANT INVESTMENTS m M < o Company M M Year Announced Location Amount ($M) Product/ Technology Comments U.S. Companies (Continued) Hewlett-Packard 1985 South Queensferry, Scotland $12 PCB facility Holt 1985 Scotland, U.K. N/A Custom LSI 1985 Northern Germany N/A N/A IMP 1985 Livingston, U.K. N/A CMOS Std. cell Intel 1985 Feldkirchen, W.G. N/A 2-micron CMOS Unconfirmed ITT 1985 Freiburg, W.G. N/A MOS LSI Unconfirmed extension Lattice 1985 England, U.K. N/A N/A Unconfirmed Linear Technology 1985 Scotland, U.K. N/A N/A Possible linear facility LSI Logic 1985 Braunschweig, W.G. $40 2-micron MOS 70,000 sq. ft. facility 1985 Irving, Scotland N/A N/A No details known Unconfirmed \o 09 »0 a CU rt S ^ (D CO rr M a o o •o o •1 0) rt (D & 0> •i n tJ* I Ol Micro-Image Technology 1985 Micron Technology 1985 Hay set up aaoewbily plant In Europe: N/A N/A No details known Motorola 1985 Bast Kilbride $60 K05 G* fab out at mothballs as of sumneE 1986. More money to b invested. 1985 Toulouse, France N/A N/A Silicon wafer recovery fMOt^l \i employees initially) (^y^ 200,000 wafers/yeai $1 Unconfinaed expansion in 198 (Cont Table 6.1.1-1 (Continued) EUROPEAN MERCHANT SEMICONDUCTOR PLANT INVESTMENTS I Amount Product/ Technology Year Announced Location 1985 Furstenfeldbruck, W.G. N/A Memory M f r . o f 1- and 4-Mblt D R A H s ; s up in 1 9 8 7 . N o firm p l a n currently. 1985 Nice, France N/A N/A Extension 1985 Freising, W.G. N/A N/A Upgrade 1985 Bordeaux, France M£r. N/A M a y b e in 1 9 8 8 . I n i t i a l l y R F d e v i c e s . P o t e n t i a l for V L S I . Fujitsu 1985 Landshut, W.G. N/A MOS Not finalized Hitachi 1985 Limerick, Ireland N/A MOS Not finalized Mitsubishi 1985 Site unknown N/A Mfr. Planning stage only. 1985 Not yet known N/A fab Assy/Test G r a z s i t e r e j e c t e d by l o c a l c o d u e to e n v i r o n m e n t a l c o n s i d e r tions. New site being sought Whole program subsequently pu hold. Company (M) U.S. Companies (Continued) National Semiconductoi VO 00 Texas Instruments O p) rt (u e TRW (D CA rr » n o Japanese Companies ^d o fi 0) rr (D a S (U o Notes: a H f r . > M a n u f a c t u r e , A s s y . - A s s e m b l y , T e s t = T e s t , N / A = Not A v a i l a b l e Sou r c e : M M CO < o M # Da taq March 6.2 R&D Investment INTRODUCTION Long-term structural change, i.e., economic growth, or decline, depends to a great extent upon technological innovation. Europe has a history of leading the world with ideas, which are then better exploited elsewhere. Europe has a large resource of talented designers and CAD tools, but they lack proximity to advanced-technology wafer production. Faced with the possibility of an increasing technology gap in Europe, the EEC has implemented several research programs in information technology (see Section 6.4, "Government and Private Investment"). It is known that Europe has strengths in basic scientific research; however, there are weaknesses in the chain from pure research to commercial exploitation. The EEC has listed a number of points that must be implemented in order to achieve a leading role in new industrial technologies: • The education system must be adapted. managerial skills plus the encouragement change must be emphasized. • The tax system and capital market institutions must provide a financial environment that is favorable to innovation and investment involving risk. • Technical standards (norms, testing procedures, certification) need to be set at a level that is valid for Europe, so as to give full access to world market norms. • The relevant agencies in EEC countries need to collaborate with a view to opening up national markets and assuring consistency in the specification of their future equipment requirements. • Open trade in fast-growing goods and services that employ new technology should be encouraged. • The competition policy at the EEC level needs to be directed in a manner that favors the collaborative research and development efforts of European enterprises, and subsequently increases efficiency. ESIS Volume II New technical and of adaptability to © 1987 Dataquest Incorporated March 6.2-1 6.2 R&D Investment EUROPEAN GOVERNMENTS' ROLE European governments are playing an important role in the recovery of their information industries. They have begun to take aggressive action, helping locally based companies not only to recapture large parts of their home markets, but also to export technology across Europe and outside Europe. European governments are also funding information-technology-related research and development (R&D). This is to enhance the competitive position of their national information industries. The United Kingdom has only minimal planning at the national level (see Section 6.4, "Government and Private Investment" about the Alvey program), and government support is decentralized and loosely coordinated. In Germany, the program is characterized by well-coordinated, close cooperation between the public and private sectors. The German government is moving away from direct grants for projects, and toward indirect incentives such as tax advantages to encourage research and development. France has a centrally planned program, directed and controlled by the French ministry of research and industry. (See Volume II, Section 6.4, for further details.) JOINT VENTURES Joint ventures are another way of developing technologies. Examples include: Bull, Siemens, and ICL created a joint research center in Munich; Olivetti and AT&T in office automation; Philips and AT&T in telephone exchange switches; Ericsson and Honeywell in PBXs; and Siemens and Philips in the joint development of advanced memory products. Some companies are also entering into agreements with U.S. and Japanese companies to penetrate markets outside Europe, or to acquire technological advantages over competitors. HEED FOR UNIFICATION The fragmentation of Europe's markets is largely responsible for the poor performance of its manufacturers in fast-growing and fast-changing industry sectors such as computers. The United States has the advantage in that it has one domestic market as opposed to many national ones, enabling it to grow quickly. Even the biggest of Europe's electronics companies tend to grow more slowly because they rely on their home markets for the major portion of their sales. There are a few exceptions, such as Philips and Olivetti. 6.2-2 © 1987 Dataguest Incorporated March ESIS Volume II 6.2 R&D Investment At a recent conference on Multinationals and High Technology held in London, the need for a unified European market was emphasized by most companies. Statements made there included the following: • Unless Europe develops a unified domestic market, multinational companies might be driven to find better conditions outside Europe. • The European market has been divided at every turn by differences in language, business practices, distribution channels, and government regulations. • European companies oriented. • Europe's diversity of skills, language, and culture is a major strength that can be capitalized upon to give Europe an advantage over its competitors. • European companies must play the enemy's own game and not sit complacently on the fence. have to become more dynamic and profit Although made in 1985, the above points are still valid today. Finally, however, several fundamental points remain to be overcome: • European companies must take more risks. • No one is thinking on the scale that is needed--in BILLIONS (not millions) of dollars. • Europe now knows what actions are necessary, but has not yet moved to take them. • There is a lot of grass-root activity, but little at the highest levels. • Europe needs to be single-minded and to concentrate on the development of components and technologies that will maximize opportunities. ESIS Volume II © 1987 Dataquest Incorporated March 6.2-3 6.2 R&D Investment RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT IN THE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRY Research and development (R&D) costs in the semiconductor industry are becoming increasingly prohibitive. In Europe, the cost factor plus the increasing desire of European companies to overcome the go-it-alone policy that was the motto some time ago, are just two reasons that encourage companies to pool their R&D resources. Perhaps the most widely publicized joint agreement is the semiconductor Megaproject made between Siemens and Philips. Under this agreement, the companies aim to produce 4-Mbit RAMs by 1989 at a cost of more than US$300 million. In Table 1, we have compiled the worldwide semiconductor-related R&D expenditures of European companies in the period from 1980 through 1986. Table 6.2-1 ESTIMATED WORLDWIDE SEMICONDUCTOR-RELATED R&D EXPENDITURES BY EUROPEAN COMPANIES (Millions of Dollars) Year Worldwide Sales R&D Expenditure Percent of Worldwide Sales 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 $2,145 $1,903 $1,929 $2,215 $3,183 $2,850 $3,446 $120 $110 $110 $155 $225 $260 $315 5.6% 5.8% 5.7% 7.0% 7.0% 9.1% 9.1% Source: Dataquest March 1987 The limited amount that European companies spend on R&D can also be seen in value terms. For comparison purposes, in 1986, European companies' R&D expenditure totaled US$315 million, whereas U.S. companies spent US$1,008 million and Japanese companies spent US$1,746 million. 6.2-4 © 1987 Dataquest Incorporated March ESIS Volume II 6.3 Venture Capital OVERVIEW Ever since 1986, there has been a significant increase in venture capital activity in Europe. Although not all European countries are at the same level of development, most have active programs currently under way. Some countries have recorded slow venture capital fund growth, mainly due to unsympathetic government treatment, while others have shown signs of excessive activity with too many venture capitalists chasing too few deals. However, the sharp decline in the stock market in October 1987 (Black Monday), has helped to correct this excess. Therefore, Black Monday did not adversely affect the venture capital industry. Its worst effect so far has been to postpone stock market flotations. Although the unlisted security market has become less attractive to both entrepreneurs and venture capitalists as an exit route for investment, and the other (less profitable) route of corporate buy-out has also narrowed since big corporations have less money to spend, things are not all bad. Raising new venture capital could be even easier. Until Black Monday, the high returns from venture capital projects (40 percent a year) looked unspectacular against listed share prices (45 percent a year). Since the crash, valuations of unquoted companies have fallen in line with those of listed ones, reaching what most venture capitalists say are more realistic levels. Although there is (temporarily) less money around, venture capital-backed firms now have a better chance of getting their equity. The principal sources of capital for the venture capital industry differ from country to country. In Belgium, Italy, and Spain, government-sponsored institutions and banks have taken a leading role in providing equity capital. In the Netherlands, the government provides venture capital through its majority stake in the MIP Equity Fund and through the National Investment Bank. In France, the state provides funds until the privatization of banks. In the United Kingdom, public sector venture capital is evident at the regional level, for example, the Scottish and Welsh Development Agencies. In the private sector, sources can be pension funds (prevalent in the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, and the United States), or banks and industrial corporations (prevalent in West Germany, where pension funds are not structured as independent investment entities). Banks provide venture capital in nearly all European countries. Most of the leading banks in France have venture capital subsidiaries as well as investments in independent venture capital funds. In Spain, some of the largest private sector venture capital organizations are bank-owned or affiliated. SINGLE COMMON MARKET Why a Common Market? The European Economic Community (EEC) has set 1992 as the deadline when tax and trade barriers will be abolished. A single European common market was created for several reasons. Perhaps the most important reason is the awareness that the United ESIS Volume II © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated March 6.3-1 6.3 Venture Capital States and Japan are challenging Europe, particularly in high technology. For years, Europe has been active in economic and technological development, which makes it even more difficult to adjust to this new situation. One of the ingredients necessary for success in Europe is availability of capital. Japan may be an example to emulate. The Japanese government is aware that ample, low-cost industrial capital is vital to the nation's international competitiveness. One of its goals is to assure this capital to industry and to this end, it encourages consumer savings and channels these savings to industry. Other government policies decrease the banks' risks so that they can safely lend industry large amounts of capital at low rates. Japanese laws encourage banks to be closely involved in the management of their prime clients; this involvement allows the bank to act if a company gets into trouble. The Japanese government also directly controls interest rates. It can keep them low by tightly regulating the financial system and keeping this system close to its international market situation. Recently, Europeans have become increasingly aware of the need for a single common market in Europe. Isolation policies and go-it-alone tendencies have become a thing of the past. Politics may claim isolationism is a form of patriotism and belief in oneself, but the economic reality has proven that this policy is wrong. Such was the case in France. When the socialist government came to power in 1981, President Mitterand announced that henceforth France would go it alone. In 1983, the experiment having failed. President Mitterand admitted that without international cooperation, France could not progress—in industry, in research and development, or in many other important aspects. He recognized the fact that European countries must work together to achieve a single and united Europe, particularly in the area of high technology, if Europe is to remain as a comparable power to the United States and Japan. This sentiment is echoed by the major European countries, and steps have been taken and continue to be taken in this direction. The EEC is also working toward this goal. It is making headway in encouraging collaboration in precompetitive research and in adoption of Europe-wide technical standards. It believes that a unified European market is crucial to stimulating innovation, entrepreneurial activities, venture capital, and creation of small and medium-size businesses. WHAT IS HAPPENING IN EUROPE? In Europe, the venture capital pool (funds already invested or available for investment) rose by 39 percent in 1986 to approximately ECU 10 billion, according to the European Venture Capital Association (EVCA) yearbook. Italy showed the fastest growth (103 percent) in 1986 over 1985, although its venture capital industry is small. The United Kingdom still dominates the European venture capital market with approximately 120 firms and a total venture capital pool of ECU 5.7 billion. France follows in second place with 90 firms and a venture capital pool of ECU 1.3 billion; the Netherlands is third with 90 firms and a venture capital pool of ECU 0.9 billion. 6.3-2 © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated March ESIS Volume II 6.3 Venture Capital In the last year or two, some large corporations have formed their own venture capital areas of business. It has also been a time of internationalization or networking in Europe by the venture capital industry. The results are as follows: • Venture capital firms working independently • Venture capital firms working jointly with the European Commission of the EEC • The European Commission working independently • Industry working independently Independent Networking Independent networking by venture capital firms can mean working as partners with other venture capital firms in different countries, or with branches of the same firm in different countries. The aim is to give the "client" company access to the advice and contacts of venture capitalists in potential export markets; it is not primarily to raise equity finance in more than one country, since national venture capital pools should be able to fund most deals. Anything that can be done to open up other European markets, particularly in high-technology areas, is considered. With the 1992 deadline of a single European common market fast approaching, the venture capital industry is working toward removing its constraints on business. Joint Venture Capital/European Commission Projects The venture capital industry is working with the European Commission to put together cross-border deals. In 1985, the EVCA and the European Commission launched the Venture Consort Scheme, a joint venture designed to help new companies expand in Europe and particularly to encourage cooperation across national boundaries. The scheme gives grants to companies backed by international venture capital syndicates. The grants are intended to offset the problems investors have with language and the difficulty of getting around the various legal and financial systems in Europe. The ECU 3.3 million originally earmarked for the scheme sparked off a total equity investment of ECU 38.3 million. Because of such an enthusiastic response, the average grant came to only 10 percent of any one project, not the 30 percent originally planned. Venture Consort backed 18 projects in its first phase in 1986. In 1987, only ECU 400,000 was allotted by the European Commission, with a further ECU 1.5 million being provided by the community's Task Force for Small and Medium Enterprises. The EVCA has since begun lobbying members of the European Parliament to increase the Venture Consort funding to ECU 4 million in 1988. The first phase was successful because funding was timely. Once the EVCA members had vetted and chosen projects for backing, the European Commission had just three weeks to give its opinion. If it failed to do so, the project was simply considered approved. ESIS Volume II © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated March 6.3-3 6.3 Venture Capital Another area of the EVCA and European Commission cooperation is to back Eureka projects. Eureka now has more than 100 projects in progress, but the large companies get the majority of funding. Venture capitalists believe that the small companies they back deserve a chance to participate. The EVCA wants to encourage this approach by providing venture funds for Eureka projects. In return, it hopes its members' clients will have the advantage of working with big companies throughout Europe. To date. Eureka projects and their financing needs have been circulated to EVCA members. By examining these projects, the EVCA can sort out where it can help to fund companies resulting from Eureka projects. It can also help small companies on its books to take part in the projects. The European Commission Working Independently The European Commission is funding its own projects. Its main project, Eurotech, aims to provide larger sums of money than the Venture Consort Scheme for a much earlier stage of a new company's development. It mainly finances projects coming out of European R&D programs such as ESPRIT. Initially, the European Commission said it would provide ECU 200 million for Eurotech, with the rest coming from banks. This plan has upset the venture capital industry, which would also like to be involved. Industry Working Independently European companies themselves are working more and more closely with one another. In 1983, a 20-company strong Round Table of Industrialists was formed to help strengthen and develop Europe's industrial and technological base by creating lessfragmented markets. The 20 Round Table members are: ASEA, BSN, Ciba Geigy, Eternit, Fiat, Lafarge Coppee, National Coal Board, Nestle, Olivetti, Philips, Pilkington Brothers, Pirelli, Plessey, Renault, Robert Bosch, Saint Gobain, Siemens, Thyssen, Unilever, and Volvo. The chairman is Mr. Gyllenhammar of Volvo, and the vice chairmen are Mr. Agnelli of Fiat and Mr. Dekker of Philips. The Round Table has also provided financial backing for Euroventures BV, a trans-European venture capital operation. Seventeen members are involved including ASEA, BSN, Fiat, Lafarge Coppee, Olivetti, Philips, Pirelli, Robert Bosch, Saint Gobain, and Volvo. Euroventures BV started operating in 1985 and invests through several independently managed satellite funds in European countries. There is a central fund of £36 million. It is hoped that the satellite funds will eventually raise the total financing available to £93 million. The Round Table's other main proposal is to set up a postgraduate European institute of technology. Such an institution, specializing in electronics, physics, and mathematics, would improve the technical education of the best engineers and help them to consider the best interests of Europe rather than of individual countries. The institution would draw on the resources of European industry, universities, and 6.3-4 © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated March ESIS Volume II 6.3 Venture Capital governments. Research would be applied rather than theoretical and would concentrate on semiconductors and informatics. The institute would be financed by a fund of at least $5 million a year, set up by participating companies. TRADE ASSOCIATIONS As of July 1987, nine European countries had national trade associations in place—Belgium, France, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom. West Germany has a venture capital "club" that brings together entrepreneurs and potential investors of capital, but no trade association as such. The objectives of these associations are similar: • To promote and stimulate the growth of venture capital in their countries • To provide an effective mechanism for lobbying government on issues of concern to the venture capitalist • To introduce and operate a code of practice covering professionals in the industry In 1983, the EVCA was established to promote venture capital and ensure a smooth flow of information on developments in the sector. The association also develops international markets for the young companies its members are helping to form. The EVCA now has about 100 members, each of which paid ECU 2,200 to join. This bought them the chance to attend international meetings and exchange information. Furthermore, it gave them a joint voice with which to lobby the European Commission for a more uniform legal and financial environment throughout the EEC. Membership also lends credibility to the members—a company has to be reputable to join. The EVCA is broadening its scope. It is no longer necessary to be an EEC country to join; other European countries are being considered. At the same time, it is forming tentative links with the United States through meetings with the U.S. National Venture Capital Association. In the long term, it could open up the U.S. market for Europe's young companies. SEED CAPITAL Seed capital (the financing of embryonic new ventures, i.e., the preventure capital stage) is just beginning to attract interest in Europe. The venture capital industry can back a small company once it is on the road, but usually avoids funding it until it reaches that stage. It is at the previous stage that seed capital is used. ESIS Volume II © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated March 6.3-5 6.3 Venture Capital Because it is such a risky venture, there are few seed capital firms, and these firms usually subsidize their seed funding with other activities. Some of the larger venture capital firms subcontract the "seed" part of their activities to such small firms. The reason for not doing it themselves is that seed capitalists have to work very closely over a period of time with an entrepreneur to get his idea off the ground and it is not viable for a larger venture capital firm to add a seed capital specialist to its staff to do the job. Why bother at all? By investing at an earlier stage than anyone else, the seed fund can come in more cheaply and obtain a higher return (30 to 50 percent) if the venture prospers. COUNTRY OVERVIEWS The venture capital industries in France, the Netherlands, West Germany, and the United Kingdom are briefly described in the following sections. France Currently, venture capital is prevalent in French industrial policy. In 1981, when the socialist government first came to power, the main emphasis of industrial policy was on nationalization of the large industrial groups. However, since then, there has been a shift toward helping the small and medium-size business sector. The government is now firmly committed to encouraging the development of new small and medium-size industries, particularly in high-technology areas. In 1983, the French government announced a series of measures to help promote the concept of venture capital and accelerate the creation of small businesses. These measures included fiscal incentives for new businesses, streamlining and shortening of considerable red tape, new soft loans for potential entrepreneurs, and encouragement of cooperation between academic institutions and the business world. These measures have largely been put into practice, so they are no longer an issue. What is an issue is the lack of liquidity, since most companies offer only the 10 percent minimum to the public. If companies offered 25 to 30 percent, prices would be more representative of true values and would fluctuate less widely. About half the venture capital pool is provided by banks and insurance companies; the other half is provided by industrial and commercial concerns. In the past couple of years, the French venture capital industry has continued to develop, encouraged by the government which sees it as a way to create new businesses and jobs. However, some investors feel that the government is not going far enough, and that it should back not only companies with proven track records, but also the more risky start-ups. 6.3-6 © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated March ESIS Volume II 6.3 Venture Capital The Netherlands In the past few years, the venture capital industry in the Netherlands has grown considerably. Although initially there were few institutionally backed venture capital funds, this has now changed. The government put forward a series of initiatives, and subsequently, a large amount of institutional capital was injected into the venture capital market. In 1982, the venture capital industry was given a boost with the formation of a secondary stock market. The present Dutch government is seeking to stimulate industrial growth through less intervention in industry. It aims to reduce the regulatory burden for companies, to introduce fiscal measures to encourage entrepreneurs, and to increase its use of private enterprise for government contracts. Two important steps have been taken by the government to encourage venture capital. The first was to set up a guarantee scheme for private venture capital companies. It provides for a public authority guarantee for losses incurred on individual investments made by recognized private venture capital firms. The second step was to set up an MIP equity fund in 1982. The government holds a majority stake in this fund; however, the fund is independently managed by a group of experienced senior industrialists and has strictly commercial objectives. The goal is to invest relatively large amounts of capital in either new or established innovative businesses that are likely to have a significant impact on the Dutch economy. The MIP equity fund complements the private venture capital firms. In 1984, there were approximately 30 private venture capital companies in the Netherlands. The bulk of all investment activity by Dutch-based groups within the country at the smaller end of the scale is channeled through these 30 companies. The government has decreased its financing role in the industry from 72 percent of all venture capital in 1982, to 44 percent in 1985 while the private sector has increased its role. The Dutch venture capital industry has matured into a serious industry that plays a significant role in financing young, growing companies. West Germany Venture capital activities have been growing in West Germany, but still account for a relatively small part of Germany's business. However, venture capital is becoming an acceptable form of financing and now is better understood by the German business community. Currently, there are approximately 30 venture capital firms in West Germany with an estimated DM 1 billion of invested funds available. Although much capital is available and there are many ventures available for that capital, there is a dearth of experience and management skills. This means that most ventures do not come to fruition. ESIS Volume II © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated March 6.3-7 6.3 Venture Capital Traditionally, venture capital is not part of the German approach to business. Approximately 75 percent of German companies are family-owned, and the idea of going public with a stock market listing, or financing a business mainly with bank loans, is not part of the German personality. However, this is changing. It is now recognized that there is a need for capital rather than credit for both small and medium-size businesses. More people are risking leaving a secure job to strike out on their own. Big companies, too, are becoming more tolerant of spin-offs; for example, Siemens and Nixdorf are engaged in venture capital activities. The main West German venture capital firms include: • Techno-Venture Management (TVM) • International Venture Capital Partners (IVCP) • Deutsche Gesellschaft fuer Wagniskapital (WFG) • Citicorp Venture Capital • Euroventures Deutschland (part of Euroventures BV) The United Kingdom The number of venture capital organizations has been increasing steadily in the United Kingdom. There are two basic categories of U.K. venture capital companies: • Independent firms, which receive venture capital funds from a number of different sources (These firms have grown rapidly over the last few years.) • Captive firms, which are subsidiaries or sometimes simply divisions of larger financial institutions The ratio is currently around half and half. As the U.K. venture capital industry matures, it is becoming segmented—separate funds are being set up for different investor groups. U.K. merchant banks are becoming more and more involved in the venture capital business. Major corporations are showing interest in venture capital organizations, and it is the institutionally backed funds that will ultimately determine the course of the industry's future development. The U.K. government's Business Expansion Scheme (BES) encourages individuals to invest risk capital in the ordinary shares of qualifying companies. This effort has stimulated the growth of large professional fvmds, many based in London. The scheme offers a way to stimulate the flow of smaller amounts of investment capital into growing small firms. Regional venture capital funds have grown in the last year. More London-based fund managers are getting out to meet the people behind regional funds, and the regional funds themselves are being taken more seriously. 6.3-8 © 1988 Dataquest Incorporated March ESIS Volume II 6.4 Government and Private Investment INTRODUCTION Investment in the electronics industry can be broadly divided into government and private investment. We define government investment in the strictest sense, that is, funding provided directly by a government through its relevant departments. The definition does not include government involvement through its nationalized industries. Private investment, on the other hand, is funding by anyone who is not representing national or regional governments or the European Economic Community (EEC). This category includes venture capitalists, corporate and individual investors, and private trusts. Over the past decade, European governments and the EEC have placed increasing emphasis on an indigenous European electronics industry. The following service section lists major electronics investment programs, by region. RECENT ELECTRONICS INVESTMENT PROGRAMS Europe (Total) EEC and Industry The project was started in 1982. The EEC was to invest $40 million, together with a similar amount put up by companies chosen for support. The purpose was to encourage development of Key equipment for VLSI design, test, and production. The project was not successfully taken up because the industry was not capable at the time and the project's objectives were too fixed. The project funds were transferred to ESPRIT. ESPRIT In February 1984, the EEC announced plans for link-ups across its internal borders between academics and industrialists, as part of the ESPRIT program. Approximately 270 different universities, companies, and research institutes have pledged to work together on information technology projects. There is a planned investment of approximately ECU1.5 billion by 1990. The EEC is meeting 50 percent of the cost, while participating companies will meet the remaining 50 percent. ESIS Volume II ® 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Sept. 20 ed. 6.4-1 6.4 Government and Private Investment In January 1985, the European Commission announced the projects and the successful tenders for the first full year of ESPRIT's 10-year program. Table 1 shows the division of these projects. ESPRIT will concentrate on producing early results, rather than on long-term research projects, as a result of requests by participating companies. Table 1 ESPRIT: HOW THE PROJECTS ARE DIVIDED (National Involvement) Sector Advanced microelectronics Software technology Advanced information processing Office systems Computer integrated manufacturing Total Number U.K. France W. Germany Italy 28 14 20 23 18 9 13 14 18 9 12 15 17 10 11 16 6 7 12 15 19 13_ 10 13. _2 104 67 64 67 49 Source: DATAQUEST September 1985 Groupe Tallois This is like a small "club of Rome." It was formed because of the need for Europe to do something in Information Technology. Action Committee for Europe Its aim is to create a genuine common market without frontiers, to stimulate European industry and growth, to develop the European Monetary System, and to open up the telecommunications and transport sectors. Members include Mr. Helmut Schmidt, Mr. Agnelli, Mr. Van den Hoven, Mr. Simon May, and two leaders of the French trade unions. 6.4-2 © 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Sept. 20 ed. ESIS Volume II 6.4 Government and Private Investment RACE In March 1985, the EEC published a proposal to undertake an initiative in the telecommunications sector. The project will be called Research in Advanced Communications in Europe (RACE). There will be three main phases: • RACE Definition Phase (1985). This will define what the Integrated Broadcast Communications (IBC) network should become over the next decade, thus creating a commonly accepted objective. The cost is estimated at ECU44.2 million paid for 50/50 by the Commission and industry. • RACE (Main) Phase I (1986 through 1991). This period will cover development of the technology base for IBC, conduct the precompetitive development required, provide for services and equipment, field trials and support CEPT and CCITT standards work. • RACE Phase II (beyond 1991 through 1996) . This will be a period of evolutionary development of the technology base established in Phase I for enhanced IBC equipment and services beyond 1995. BRITE This is an EEC initiative in flexible manufacturing to ascertain the condition of, and prospects for, the machine tool industry in Europe. Kangaroo Group This group was set up by Mr. Basil de Ferranti, and it was named thus because the Kangaroo is good at leaping over and kicking down barriers. It is a club of European parliamentarians formed to promote a truly common market in Europe. FAST program Twenty-one Council of Europe member countries have given support to a European research network to make better use of science and technology resources, and to create greater mobility between countries for scientists. Three-Year Program In April 1984, a three-year program was announced to develop more robust and efficient numerical models to simulate the detailed physical behavior of semiconductor devices. Industrialists and academics from the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, and the Republic of Ireland are involved. ESIS Volume II © 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Sept. 20 ed. 6.4-3 6.4 Government and Private Investment Independent European Progranane Group In June 1985, the Independent European Programme Group, composed of defense ministers from 13 European nations, agreed to launch a cooperative research program in five specific areas of advanced technology with military applications: microelectronics, high-strength lightweight materials, compound materials, image processing, and conventional warhead design. Projects will be funded jointly on a case-by-case basis. Belgium In 1982, the Flemish government launched a program to fund approximately half the cost of building a full semiconductor facility for the Bell Telephone Manufacturing Company. The Netherlands 1. In 1981, the Dutch government launched an ongoing program of FLIO million per year, to set up three microelectronics centers, each concentrating on different aspects and areas. The centers are located in Delft, Enschede, and Eindhoven. The goal of the centers is to recover investment costs through contract work. The centers also house a forum for business contacts, an information center, and exhibition space. 2. The Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs launched two ongoing programs to encourage Dutch companies to design microelectronic technology projects through subsidies and an advisory scheme for participating companies by external consultants. France 1. Following the Integrated Circuits Plan (1978 through 1981) and the Components Plan (1982 through 1986), the French government currently has a "Filiere Electronique" Plan. Emphasis is on global rebuilding of the entire electronics industry. For microelectronic investment, the government had forecast a budget of FFr12.5 billion for 1983 (of which only FFr9.7 billion was actually spent) and of FFr15 billion for 1984 (of which FFrll billion was spent) . 6.4-4 © 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Sept. 20-ed. ESIS Volume II 6.4 Government and Private Investment Of the above budgets, some FFr2.4 billion in 1983 and FFr3 billion in 1984 were spent on company subsidies. In 1985, the government hopes to reach the planned expenditure level of FFr12 billion for the first time. •Kie PAFE program deals with Computer-Aided 1-micron technology. Design (CAD) for VLSI In February 1985, the French government announced that it will inject FFr2.75 billion into three nationalized companies—Thomson, Bull, and CGCT—in the form of capital grants. Thomson will receive FFrl.3 billion to build up its electronic components business and to improve competitiveness of its consumer products division. Bull will receive FFrl billion, and CGCT will get FFr4 50 million. At the beginning of 1985, in response to President Reagan's Strategic Defense Initiative, France's President Mitterand announced a proposal for Europe to go ahead on its own with a European Research Coordination Agency under a program entitled Eureka. The program aims to attain the capacity to build technological hardware involving a research effort that draws on the technological base already achieved. Ministers of 17 European countries met in Paris on July 17, 1985, to start the program. They created an advisory group to set up procedures that would be acceptable to at least the major countries wanting to take part. The advisory group will also attempt to better define Eureka. A six-nation steering group will do most of the work. Italy In 1982, the Italian government announced a five-year program. One-fifth of the amount to be spent is for small and medium-size companies. The remainder includes financing a new VLSI center at a cost of Lirel70 billion. The Italian PTT's National Plan for Telecommunications Service, which included charges made by Italtel, was set up for companies in the State Telecommunications Sector. ESIS Volume II © 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Sept. 20 ed. 6.4-5 6.4 Government and Private Investment Scandinavia 1. In 1982, the Finnish government funded a FIM34 million program for a semiconductor project at the Helsinki Institute of Technology. The project is to develop a CMOS process technology suitable for production in 1985 and is supervised by a special council from Micronas, Lohja Electronics, and Vaisala, to guarantee production adaptability. 2. Sweden has an ongoing grant system to technical universities. The Swedish State Industrial Board (SIND) is the primary funding body for applications and research grants to both the technical universities and the private sector. United Kingdom and Ireland 1. The Microelectronics implication Project (MAP) was set up by the U.K. government in 1978, at a cost of £85 million, to raise awareness of the microchip. The project was extended to 1985. 2. The CAD/CAM, CAT/MAT program (1981 through 1985) consisted of capital grants for computer equipment. 3. The British Technology Group set up Inmos between 1979 and 1983. 4. In June 1982, the Department of Industry allocated £60 million to encourage engineering companies to automate production lines with electronic techniques. 5. In January 1983, the Science and Engineering Research Council allocated £2.5 million to Edinburgh University for VLSI research and development. 6. The Department of Industry has an ongoing Microelectronics Industry Support Programme (MISP) to provide financial aid for companies with new products. 7. The Flexible Manufacturing Systems Scheme is an ongoing project run by the Department of Industry to aid companies whose products would benefit from installing flexible manufacturing systems. 8. The Department of Industry launched a £40 million Fiber Optics and Optoelectronics Scheme to support the fiber optics and optoelectronics industries through grants of up to a third of eligible costs. 6.4-6 © 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Sept. 20 ed. ESIS Volume II 6.4 Government and Private Investment 9. in 1983, the Scottish incentive package for area is just starting electronics industry, Development Agency (SDA) launched a £10 million companies setting up business in Scotland. The to get an influx of supporting companies to the thereby creating an effective infrastructure. 10. In 1983, the Alvey program was launched to run for five years. It is intended to keep the United Kingdom in the race to build the fifth-generation of intelligent computers. Currently, the program is half-way through its time span and 85 percent through its £200 million budget. One hundred two joint projects involving 60 companies, 40 universities, and 15 polytechnics have been approved. West Germany 1. The Research Ministry in Bonn allocated DM 450 million to help small companies use microelectronics in their products, in the period 1981 through 1984. 2. From 1982 through 1985 the West German government spent DM 100 million per year through VDI-Technologiezentrum of Berlin to develop new microelectronic products, up to production stage. 3. In 1983, the Research Ministry in Bonn announced a package measures to assist the formation of technology-based businesses. 4. In January 1985, the Bundestag, West Germany's parliament, approved a DM 3.8 billion research package to help key sectors of the electronics industry catch up with the competition. of Rest of Europe 1. In 1982, in Spain, the Instituto Nacional de Industrie (INI) announced an ongoing investment program to increase R&D effort in INI's electronics group by setting up an R&D center in Madrid. 2. The Spanish PTT—Compania Telefonica Nacional de EspaTia (CTNE)—has defined its four-year plan (1985 through 1988), which envisions investments of approximately Pta965 billion. The objective is the modernization of the telecommunications network. 3. In 1983, the Spanish government announced the Plan Electronico y Informatico Nacional (PEIN). There are four basic objectives: • To increase demand for and consumption of electronics products • To attain larger domestic production levels of electronics products, thus gaining greater domestic market shares ESIS Volume II ® 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Sept. 20 ed. 6.4-7 6.4 Government and Private Investment • To achieve very high levels of exports • To diminish technological dependence of indigenous firms The amounts invested are expected to be at Pta62.9 billion. Part of this amount is destined for the IC plant to be built by CTNE and AT&T, as well as for IBM EspalTa to produce medium-range computers. 4. In April 1985, the electronics and informatics industries in Spain were declared to be of "preferential interest" by a Royal Decree. This enables companies in this category to apply for certain benefits, provided they do so by December 31, 1985. 6.4-8 © 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Sept. 20 ed. ESIS Volume II 6.4 Government and Private Investment INTRODUCTION Investment in the electronics industry can be broadly divided into government and private investment. We define government investment in the strictest sense, that is, funding provided directly by a government through its relevant departments. Private investment, on the other hand, is funding by anyone who is not representing national or regional governments or the European Economic Community (EEC). This category includes venture capitalists, corporate and individual investors, and private trusts. Over the past decade, European governments and the EEC have placed increasing emphasis on an indigenous European electronics industry. The following service section lists major electronics investment programs, by region. Recently it has become apparent that nobody is currently reporting in detail what kind of and how much investment each government is providing for the electronics industry. The EEC has published a set of guidelines on how far and in what way governments will be permitted to subsidize civil R&D programs. However, even these guidelines are not in detailed form. In essence, the guidelines suggest that governments should not finance more than 50 percent of government R&D projects. However, in practice there is no way of knowing if the 50 percent limit is exceeded. RECENT ELECTRONICS INVESTMENT PROGRAMS Europe (Total) ESPRIT In February 1984, the EEC announced plans for linkups across its internal borders between academics and industrialists, as part of the ESPRIT program. Approximately 270 different universities, companies, and research institutes have pledged to work together on information technology projects. There is a planned investment of approximately ECU1.5 billion by 1990. The EEC is meeting 50 percent of the cost, while participating companies will meet the remaining 50 percent. As a result of requests by participating companies, ESPRIT will concentrate on projects that produce early results, rather than on long-term research projects. m ESIS Volume II © 1987 Dataquest Incorporated January 6.4 Government and Private Investment Plans for ESPRIT II are currently nearing completion. ESPRIT II will keep to the same system as the previous phase with the possible inclusion of EFTA nations. They will have no say, however, in the ESPRIT decision-making process, and they are not funded for their efforts. Details will be announced in late 1986. The program will start in 1987. Eureka The European Research Coordination Agency (Eureka) program aims to attain the capacity to build technological hardware involving a research effort that draws on the technological base already achieved. In July 1986, 60 more projects (mainly in computers, semiconductors, and telecommunications) were approved to a total value of $2.1 billion. The total value of projects involving U.K. firms is currently at $1.1 billion. The U.K. government announced it would pay $15 million towards the Eureka program, through the Support for Innovation scheme, which apparently compares favorably with inputs from other governments. However, the U.K. government recently announced it would not put in any new money for Eureka. The U.K. government has reservations about whether Eureka will open up Europe to be a truly homogeneous internal market. Mrs. Thatcher thinks it is more an aspiration than a reality. The result is uncertainty as to what the participating governments will contribute. To keep each government's contribution as much in line with other governments as possible, a decision was made for participating , governments to talk to each other before allocating funds. Iceland is the latest country to join the Eureka program, making a total of 19 participating countries. Countries most involved are: • France with 40 out of 62 projects—government 40 percent of total cost of $554 million. pays up to • United Kingdom with 29 out of 62 projects—government pays up to 50 percent of research cost and 25 percent of development costs. Since no figures are published on individual levels of support, there is no way of knowing how much has been given in any particular case. • West Germany with 19 out of 62 projects—government funding is at DM 485 million over 10 years. Total cost is DM 1.6 billion of which the share falling to West German companies is DM 625 million. •L 1987 Dataquest Incorporated January ESIS Volume II 6.4 Government and Private Investment Group Tallois This is like a small "club of Rome." It was formed because of the need for Europe to do something in Information Technology. Action Coimnittee for Europe Its aim is to create a genuine common market without frontiers, to stimulate European industry and growth, to develop the European Monetary System, and to open up the telecommunications and transport sectors. Members include Mr. Schmidt, Mr. Agnelli, Mr. van den Hoven, Mr. May, and two leaders of the French trade unions. RACE In March 1985, the EEC published a proposal to undertake an initiative in the telecommunications sector. The project will be called Research in Advanced Communications in Europe (RACE). There will be three main phases: • RACE Definition Phase (1985). This defined what the Integrated Broadcast Communications (IBC) network should become over the next decade, thus creating a commonly accepted objective. The cost was approximately ECU40 million paid for 50/50 by the Commission and industry. • RACE (Main) Phase I (1986 through 1991). This period will cover development of the technology base for IBC, conduct the precompetitive development required, provide for services and equipment, field trials and support CEPT and CCITT standards work. • RACE Phase II (beyond 1991 through 1996). This will be a period of evolutionary development of the technology base established in Phase I for enhanced IBC equipment. In March 1986 the EEC approved $19 million in funding 31 component level R&D projects for the initial phase, involving 109 companies. Future RACE grants are expected to total around $500 million (no long-term funding has been formally established). U.S. companies are participating in this program provided that they have R&D facilities in Europe. In December 1986, the European Parliament will debate whether to fund the project proper—the RACE Main—with ECU800 million. Detailed plans have recently been proposed by the European Commission. If approved, the RACE Main is due to start on January 1, 1987, when companies will be invited to tender for specific projects, as yet undetailed. At the same time a more general framework for EEC-funded R&D will be decided upon (see below). ESIS Volume II © 1987 Dataquest Incorporated January 6.4 Government and Private Investment EEC-funded R&D The EEC put forward a ECU7.7 billion program for R&D in the next five years, up from ECU3.7 billion in the past four years. West Germany, the United Kingdom and France vetoed the proposal. The three countries agree that Europe has to meet the technology challenge from Japan and the United States, but are reluctant to channel much national R&D spending to EEC programs. The countries argue that the EEC should complement national R&D work, not replace it; more money in Brussels means each government has less say in how this money is used; each country believes its own industrial base is still broad enough to cover most areas of R&D without EEC programs. The crux of the matter is national interest—the bigger the country the better off it is keeping its research national; a smaller country is better off joining a community program. BRITE This is an EEC initiative in flexible manufacturing to ascertain the condition of, and prospects for, the machine tool industry in Europe. Kangaroo Group This group was set up by Mr. Basil de Ferranti, and it was so-named because the kangaroo is good at leaping over and kicking down barriers. It is a club of European parliamentarians formed to promote a truly common market in Europe. FAST program Twenty-one Council of Europe member countries have given support to a European research network to make better use of science and technology resources, and to create greater mobility between countries for scientists. Three-Year Program In April 1984, ai three-year program was announced to develop more robust and efficient numerical models to simulate the detailed physical behavior of semiconductor devices. Industrialists and academics from the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, and the Republic of Ireland are involved. Independent European Progranmie Group In June 1985, the Independent European Programme Group, composed of defense ministers from 13 European nations, agreed to launch a cooperative research program in five specific areas of advanced technology with military applications: microelectronics, high-strength lightweight materials, compound materials, image processing, and conventional warhead design. Projects will be funded jointly on a case-by-case basis. © 1987 Dataquest Incorporated January ESIS Volume II 6.4 Government and Private Investment STAR Special Telecommunications Actions of Regional Development, is a program with an initial budget of ECU7 million to be used to introduce the latest telecommunications techniques to "disadvantaged areas"—Irish Republic and Ulster, Corsica, the Mezzogiorno part of Italy, and some of Greece. There is a proposal to later help parts of Portugal and Spain, and overseas departments of France. Philips> Siemens, Thomson Philips, Siemens, Thomson, may establish a joint research program to develop semiconductor technologies for the 1990s. The aim is to set up a joint research institute, at a cost of $720 million, to come from both company and government sources. Belgium In 1982, the Flanders regional investment bank (GIMV) launched a program to fund approximately half the cost of building a full semiconductor facility, jointly with the Bell Telephone Manufacturing Company. The company, Mietec, was formed in 1983 and is dedicated to ASICs. The Netherlands In 1981, the Dutch government launched an ongoing program of FLIO million per year, to set up three microelectronics centers, each concentrating on different aspects of the technology and areas of the marketplace. The centers are located in Delft, Enschede, and Eindhoven. The goal of the centers is to recover investment costs through contract work. The centers also house a forum for business contacts, an information center, and exhibition space. The Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs launched two ongoing programs to encourage Dutch companies to design microelectronic technology projects through subsidies and an advisory scheme for participating companies by external consultants. Franrf* Following the Integrated Circuits Plan (1978 through 1981) and the Components Plan (1982 through 1986), the French government currently has a "Filiere Electronique" Plan. Emphasis is on global rebuilding of the entire electronics industry. ESIS Voliime II © 1987 Dataquest Incorporated January 6.4 Government and Private Investment For microelectronic investment, the government had forecast a budget of FFr12.5 billion for 1983 (of which only FFr9.7 billion was actually spent) and of FFr15 billion for 1984 (of which FFrll billion was spent). Of the above budgets, some FFr2.4 billion in 1983 and FFr3 billion in 1984 were spent on company subsidies. The amounts spent by companies themselves on R&D (as distinct from government subsidies) were FFrl.2 billion in 1983 and FFrl.35 billion in 1984. In 1985, the government hopes to reach the planned expenditure level of FFr12 billion for the first time, of which FFr2.5 billion is earmarked for the electronics sector. The PAFE program deals with Computer-Aided Design 1-micron technology. (CAD) for VLSI At the beginning of 1985, in response to President Reagan's Strategic Defense Initiative, France's President Mitterand announced a proposal for Europe to go ahead on its own with a program entitled Eureka. Italy The Italian PTT's National Plan for Telecommunications Service, which included charges made by Italtel, was set up for companies in the State Telecommunications Sector. Scandinavia In 1982, the Finnish government funded a FIM34 million program for a semiconductor project at the Helsinki Institute of Technology. The project is to develop a CMOS process technology suitable for production in 1985 and is supervised by a special council from Micronas, Lohja Electronics, and Vaisala, to guarantee production adaptability. Sweden has an ongoing grant system to technical universities. The Swedish State Industrial Board (SIND) is the primary funding body for applications and research grants to both the technical universities and the private sector. United Kinqd""' awH Tr^lanfl The Department of Industry has an ongoing Microelectronics Industry Support Programme (MISP) to provide financial aid for companies with new products. 1987 Dataquest Incorporated January ESIS Volume II 6.4 Government and Private Investment The Flexible Manufacturing Systems Scheme is an ongoing project run by the Department of Industry to aid companies whose products would benefit from installing flexible manufacturing systems. The Department of Industry launched a £40 million Fiber Optics and Optoelectronics Scheme to support the fiber optics and optoelectronics industries through grants of up to a third of eligible costs. The scheme is called JOERS (Joint Optoelectronics Research Scheme). JOERS II—second phase of above. Submissions for funding are currently being received. Total funding is estimated to be $16.8 million. In 1983, the Alvey program was launched. The program will run for five years at a cost of £350 million. It is intended to keep the United Kingdom in the race to build the fifth generation of intelligent computers. When the Alvey VLSI initiative was announced it was strongly criticized for being unambitious and poorly funded. An independent review in 1985 concluded that its time scales for producing the key 1 micron bulk CMOS process were two to three years behind the world leaders. The review did, however, report that the 1 micron bipolar process target date was on a par with the best of the U.S. and Japanese producers. Projects are currently running 3 to 18 months late. The program needs two or three times more than the £107 million already committed to complete the VLSI work in progress. Total additional investment to exploit all Alvey projects requires $795 million—$345 million for production; and library building, and $450 million for production development. A total of 110 companies are currently engaged in the Alvey program. GEC is involved in the largest number of projects, 59; followed by ICL, 49; British Telecom, 37; and Plessey, 35. Almost every U.K. university is involved in about 85 percent of projects. The U.K. government contributed £200 million to current Alvey funding. West Germany From 1982 through 1985 the West German government spent DM 100 million per year through VDI-Technologiezentrxun of Berlin to develop new microelectronic products. In 1983, the Research Ministry in Bonn announced a package of measures to assist the formation of technology-based businesses. ESIS Volume II © 1987 Dataquest Incorporated January 6.4 Government and Private Investment In January 1985, the Bundestag, West Germany's parliament, approved a DM 3.8 million research package to help key sectors of the electronics industry catch up with the competition. Rest of Europe In 1982, in Spain, the Instituto Nacional de Industria (INI) announced an ongoing investment program to increase R&D effort in INI' s electronics group by setting up an R&D center in Madrid. The Spanish PTT—Compania Telefonica Nacional de Espana (CTNE)—has defined its four-year plan (1985 through 1988), which envisions investments of approximately Pta965 billion. The objective is to modernize the telecommunications network. In 1983, the Spanish government announced the Plan Electronico y Informatico Nacional (PEIN). The plan was approved in 1984, to run for three years. There are four basic objectives: • To increase demand for and consumption of electronics products • To attain larger domestic production levels of electronics products, thus gaining greater domestic market shares • To achieve very high levels of exports • To diminish technological dependence of indigenous firms The amounts invested are expected to total Pta62.9 billion. Part of this amount is destined for the IC plant to be built by CTNE and AT&T, as well as for IBM Espana to produce mediiim-range computers. The plan is showing results in that high-tech investment is coming to Spain—AT&T is building a semiconductor plant in Madrid in conjunction with Telefonica. Siemens is investing PtalO billion in a three-year program, including a design center geared to export hard and software products to Europe. Pacific Telesis will build an R&D center in conjunction with Telefonica. Hewlett-Packard is to build a new plant to manufacture graphic plotters. In April 1985, the electronics and informatics industries in Spain were declared to be of "preferential interest" by a royal decree. This allowed companies in this category to apply for certain benefits, provided they did so by December 31, 1985. © 1987 Dataquest Incorporated January ESIS Volume II I 7.0 Packaging INTRODUCTION This section discusses semiconductor packaging trends in Europe. material contained in this section covers: • Overview • Major package technologies • Packaging trends • Surface-mounted devices (SMDs) The Overview A basic market force is driving the trends in component packaging. That force is cost, which, in turn, is directly related to materials. DATAQUEST believes that semiconductor material reductions will be achieved through: • Improved IC chip functional density (smaller geometries) • Improved performance through denser geometries • Improved automation (for improved yield) Other material reductions will be achieved through: • Fewer and smaller printed circuit boards (PCBs) • Less external hardware • Smaller cabinets • Smaller, more efficient power elements (VLSI and CMOS) Wafer Package Technologies The integrated circuit industry's rapid move toward VLSI complexity and the market's demand for more function in less space have prompted several new packaging alternatives. These major package options are: • Small-outline (SO) plastic packages, which are primarily limited to 28 pins or less. • Chip carrier and quad packages grouped in the range of 28 to 84 pins ESIS volume 11 © 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Oct. 23 ed. 7.0-1 7.0 Packaging • Pin grid array (PGA) packages for primarily 64 pins or more • Dual in-line packages (DIPs) PACKAGING TRENDS DATAQUEST expects the following packaging trends: " • Plastic DIPS will continue to be the dominant package throughout the forecast period. • The plastic chip carrier/quad package will sustain a high growth rate, with the LCCC version becoming the dominant package. • SO packages will have a high initial growth rate due to their acceptance in very large automotive, telecommunications, and consumer programs. • Both plastic chip carrier and SO package growth will be through displacement of the plastic DIP. • Ceramic chip carriers will have modest growth at the expense of the flatpack, CERDIP, and Ceramic DIP. • The pin grid array (PGA) package is an important package in the over 64-pin VLSI segment. Although it will have a high growth rate, absolute volumes are not expected to be large. • Chip carrier, SO, and PGA packages represent the fastest growth areas. SORFACE-MOUNTED DEVICES (SMDs) Even though leaded components still predominate in units, the future clearly lies with SMDs. There are four major market forces at work: • Economy • Miniaturization • Quality • Complexity 7.0-2 e 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Oct. 23 ed. ESIS Volume II 7.0 Packaging The benefits of SMDs can be summarized as follows: • Higher levels of automation possible • Denser component packaging • Improved performance (especially high frequency) • Improved quality (primarily as a result of automation) • Smallest system size • Lower system cost DATAQUEST believes that SMDs will be significant in providing the ultimate in cost-effective solutions, especially in the consumer, government and military, and telecommunications end-user markets. ESIS Volume II C 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Oct». 23 ed. 7.0-3 7.1 Packaging Market Estimates IMTRODUCTIOM The DATAQUEST European Semiconductor Industry packaging trends by the following package types: Service analyzes Plastic DIP CERDIP Ceramic DIP FlatpacK Ceramic chip carrier Plastic chip carrier and quad SO PGA Header Other Tables 7.1-1 and 7.1-2 give DATAQUEST's estimates of European shipment by package type. Table 7.1-1 covers all package types; Table 7.1-2 summarizes that portion that is surface mounted. A full list of the tables and figures is presented below: Table 7.1-1—Estimated European shipments by package type Table 7.1-2—Estimated European SMD shipments by package type Figure 7.1-1—Estimated functional board density Figure 7.1-2—Projected cost reduction trends Figure 7.1-3—Surface-mount vs. through-hole packages ESIS Volume II ® 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Nov. 18 ed. 7.1-1 7.1 Packaging Market Estimates Table 7.1-1 ESTIMATED EUROPEAN SHIPMENTS BY PACKAGE TYPE (Millions of lAiits) Package Plastic DIP CERDIP Ceramic DIP Flatpak Ceramic Chip Carrier Plastic Chip Carrier and Quad SO PGA Header Other •total 1983 1984 1985 1986 3,601 4,300 5,551 6,546 392 23 6 12 433 25 6 28 520 29 6 51 580 32 5 91 10 14 2 23 125 31 37 5 25 177 80 78 10 29 259 • 162 4,208 5,067 6,613 1987 1988 7,237 608 • 8,552 32 5 145 669 35 5 281 134 19 32 344 271 212 26 31 403 654 520 50 33 563 7,945 8,970 11,362 Table 7.1-2 ESTIMATED EUROPEAN SMD SHIPMENTS BY PACKAGE TYPE (Percent) Package Plastic DIP CERDIP Ceramic DIP Flatpak Ceramic Chip Carrier Plastic Chip Carrier and Quad SO PGA Header Other Itotal 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 85.6% 9.3 0.6 0.2 0.3 84.9% 8.6 0.5 0.1 0.6 83.9% 7.9 0.4 0.1 0.8 82.4% 7.3 0.4 0.1 1.1 80.7% 6.8 0.4 0.1 1.6 75.3% 5.9 0.3 0 2.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.5 3.0 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.5 3.5 1.2 1.2 0.2 0.4 3.9 2.0 1.7 0.2 0.4 4.3 3.0 2.4 0.3 0.4 4.5 5.8 4.6 0.4 0.3 5.0 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Percentages may not add to 100.0% due to rounding. Source: 7.1-2 e 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Nov. 18 ed. DATAQUEST October 1985 ESIS Volume II 7.1 Packaging Market Estimates DATAQUEST estimates that by the end of this decade, approximately 50 percent of all PCBs produced in Europe will use SMDs (surface-mounted devices) predominantly. The main inhibiting factor will be the high cost of entry associated with the necessity to tool up for automation. Figure 7.1-1 illustrates the trend toward increasing board functional density. We believe that this trend away from the present level of around 7 percent to the projected 42 percent level in 1993 is due to: • The movement from conventional DIPs to SMDs • Package pitch reductions from 0.1-inch lead spacing • Increased chip functional density Figure 7.1-2 illustrates the potential opportunities for system cost reduction through the use of SMD packaging techniques. System cost is a function of size and materials. The lowest system costs can therefore be achieved via: • The densest chip technology (VLSI) • Minimum chip encapsulation (SMD) • The lowest-cost substrates • Automation Ultimately, we believe that cost reductions will be achieved by direct chip-on-board techniques. Already commonplace in the low-end, consumer-oriented products, DATAQUEST expects chip-on-board techniques to mature sufficiently with the necessary quality and reliability to be used in other application areas. Figure 7.1-3 illustrates the trend toward SMDs as a percentage of total IC packages. The trend shows this going from 3 percent in 1984 to almost 15 percent by 1988. DATAQUEST expects, however, that this growth may be even faster due to a number of factors: • SMDs that are more suitable high-speed, high-performance systems • Device dissipation becoming less of a problem as CMOS technology is used more extensively • Increasing availability insertion equipment ESIS Volume II of improved plastics and © 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Nov. 18 ed. handling/ 7.1-3 7.1 Packaging Market Estimates Figure 7 . 1 - 1 ESTIMATED FONCTIONAL BOARD DENSITY Percent On-Board Functional Density Preferred Package—Pin Count Small Outline (SO)—28 Chip Carrier—28-84 Pin/Pad Grid Array (PGA)—84 60^ 5040- Trend from DIP Caused by • Higher Functional Density • Potential Pitch Reductions 3020- Move to TAB via SO then LCC then PLCC as Assembly Techniques Evolve 100 —I— -I —r- i«a3 1993 1968 Figure 7.1-2 PROJECTED COST REDDCTION TRENDS • Cost Proportional to Size • Cost Proportional to Material Percent System Cost 100 Lowest System Cost through Densest Chip Technology in Minimal Encapsulation Using Low-Cost Substrates Chip Carrier Snull Outline Surface Mounted Board* tan Doubie-Clao Surtac* trfourtied 1963 Chip on Board 1907 Source: 7.1-4 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Nov, 18 ed. DATAQUEST October 1985 ESIS Volume II 7.1 Packaging Market Estimates Figure 7 . 1 - 3 SURFACE-MOONT VS. THBOUGH-BOLE PACKAGES ( P e r c e n t o f SMO D e v i c e s ) PERCENT 15 10 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 Source: DAIAQUEST October 1985 ESIS Volume II e 1985 Oataquest Incorporated Nov. 18 ed. 7.1-5 7.1 Packaging Market Estimates (Page intentionally left blanH) 7.1-6 © 1985 Dataquest Incorporated Nov. 18 ed. ESIS Volume II Dataquest tLuropean ASIC Market Consumption Forecast 1987-1995 and Market Share Rankings t European ASIC Market Consumption Forecast 1987-1995 and Market Share Rankings \ A European Semiconductor Industry Service Report Published by Dataquest Europe Limited Dataquest cannot and does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the data used in the comfulation of this report and shall not be liable for any loss or damage sustained by users of this review. Printed in the United Kingdom. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in retrieval systems, or transmitted, in any form or by any means—mechanical, electronic, photocopying, duplicating, microfilming, videotape, or otherwise—without the prior written permission of the publisher. ® 1991 Dataquest Europe Limited Jaimary 1991 00082S9 i Table of Contents Page 1. Introduction and Definitions 1 2. European ASIC Consumption Forecast 1987-1995 3 3. European Gate Array Consumption Forecast 1987-1995 11 4. European Programmable Logic Devices Consumption Forecast 1987-1995 17 5. European Cell-Based IC Consumption Forecast 1987-1995 25 6. European Custom IC Consumption Forecast 1987-1995 33 chapter 1 Introduction and Definitions Introduction Application revenues and percentage splits for the product This booklet gives Dataquest's history and forecast for the European ASIC market. The ASIC market is divided into the following product categories: gate array; programmable logic device (PLD); cell-based integrated circuit (CBIC); and custom. The definition of these categories is given below. Figure 1.1 shows the relationship between the product categories. Diagrams illustrating relevant trends The product chapters are divided into sections as follows: • An introduction containing a summary, trends and Dataquest conclusions about the market • Forecast and history tables for the product • The top ten suppliers, where applicable, by technology • Regional revenues and percentage splits for the product Definitions The term application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC) can refer to a multitude of product types. However, when Dataquest first coined the term it had a definite meaning, and the product types tracked and forecast conformed to that specific meaning. When comparing company or market data with history, or forecasting potential market share, it is of vital importance that definitions are consistent. For this reason, Dataquest uses the original definition, which is restated as follows: • ASIC. A single-user IC that is manufactured using vendor-supplied tools and/or libraries. • Gate Array. An ASIC device that is customized using the final layers of interconnect. Included Figure 1.1 ASIC Family Tree Source: Dataquest Qanuary 1991) European ASIC Market Consumption Forecast Chapter 1 in this category are generic or base wafers that include embedded functions such as static random access memory. • PLD. A logic device that can be customized by the user after assembly. • Cell-Based Integrated Circuits. An ASIC device that is customized using a full set of masks and which uses automatic placement of cells and automatic routing. • Custom. An ASIC device that is customized using a full set of masks and which requires manual placement and routing of the cells. • Mixed Signal. An ASIC device with both digital and analog signal input or output (excluding line driver outputs and single comparator and Schmitt trigger inputs). We understand that mixed signal ASICs fall into two categories: simple mixed signal ASICs that use pre-characterized cells that can be tested using a digital tester; and more complex, highperformance mixed signal devices that require analog test. This definition is intended to cover both types of mixed signal ASIC. It is important to note that ASIC refers to singleuser ICs, and not mulitple-user standard products which are targeted at specific applications such as PC chip sets. These multiuser products are more aptly named application-specific standard products (ASSPs). ASSP-type products are currendy included in the microperipheral category of both Dataquest and the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) organization. Data Tables The tables and figures give Dataquest's ASIC forecast data according to the indexes in each section. In the tables, columns may not add to totals due to rounding. 0008259 ©1991 Datoquest Europe limited Januarys-Reproduction Prohibited ESIS Chapter 2 European ASIC Consumption 1987^1995 Summary The European ASIC market will continue to grow faster than the European semiconductor market as a whole, over the next five years. By 1995 Dataquest estimates the European ASIC market to be worth $2,803 million. This represents a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.8 percent over the five years from 1990 to 1995. The CAGR for the European semiconductor market over the same period is 14.4 percent. In 1989 the European ASIC market grew by 20 percent compared to a European semiconductor market growth of 14.9 percent. However, in 1990 we expea growth to slow to about 14 percent, followed by 9 percent in 1991. At the end of 1990 there are clear signs of a slowdown in the world economy, and this is expected to worsen as we enter 1991. Inevitably this will impact the European semiconductor market, including ASICs. Dataquest expects the market to begin to recover in the second half of 1991, and climb towards a peak growth rate in 1993. Gate arrays currendy have the largest share of the European ASIC market, representing 34 percent in 1989. This share is expected to remain constant out to 1995, but by then cell-based ICs (CBICs) will have the largest share of the ASIC market, at 37 percent. This is because of the increasing use of mixed signal CBICs, driven by the growth in the telecommunications segment of the semiconductor market. The CAGR for gate arrays for the period 1990 to 1995 is 15.8 percent, compared to a CAGR of 19.0 percent for CBICs. This will give a revenue of $960 million for gate array, and $1,051 million for CBICs. The ASIC product with the highest CAGR for the period 1990 to 1995 is the programmable logic device (PLD), with a CAGR of 30.2 percent. PLD revenue in 1995 is expected to be $560 million, representing 20 percent of the ASIC market. The high growth for PLD is from a low base of $127 million in 1989, and is due to the expected Forecast large growth in usage of CMOS field programmable gate arrays (FPGAs) in telecoms and industrial applications. The use of full-custom ASIC is expected to decline over the next five years. By 1995 the market is estimated to be worth $232 million, declining at a CAGR of ^.d percent. In 1995 full-custom is expected to represent only 8 percent of the European ASIC market, declining from 22 percent in 1990. Trends The cost per gate of ASICs is expected to decline over the next five years, but the increased complexity of the devices should compensate for this, resulting in a higher average unit price overall. The nonrecurring engineering (NRE) charge for designs is also expected to increase in line with the increase in complexity. In particular, the greater use of analog cells will drive a significant increase in NRE cost for CBICs. The limited number of manufacturers which are capable of supplying mixed signal devices means that in the short term there will be litde price competition for mixed signal products. The longer term is less rosy, though, as design tools ease the design of mixed signal devices, and more manufacturers enter the mixed signal arena. The lifetime of equipment is reducing, as manufacturers fight for market share by introducing new products at a faster rate. As a result, the number of units for any one product will fall, but the number of new designs should rise. This trend is not apparent at the moment, but should become more so in the next few years. The result of this shorter product life means that the design time, and time to market for a product, will be reduced. This will drive equipment manufacturers towards gate arrays for digital applications, as the manufacturing time for gate array is faster than for CBIC. CBIC will therefore be used for designs which carmot be fitted onto a gate array. Typically these are where special cells are required, or 3 European. ASIC Market Consumption Forecrast where large areas of RAM are needed, or where higher-performance analog cells are required. The main trend apparent in ASIC applications is the migration through the various implementations of ASIC, as each of these implementations offers additional capabilities as part of the product development. There is a shift through the ASIC implementations from custom to CBIC, from CBIC to gate array, and from gate array to FPGA. The increased use of FPGAs will attract new ASIC users, who would not have used ASICs before. FPGAs will also take market share from the existing gate array market. The applications w^here gate arrays will lose share to programmable gate arrays are where the volumes are low, and the NRE represents a large part of the total cost of the ASIC; or where the gate count is low enough to merit the use of the FPGAs. The complexity of FPGAs is gradually increasing, so they will be able to be used for more and more of the applications which were previously only within the capabilities of standard gate array. Gate arrays will become the preferred choice over CBICs for most digital applications. This will be due to the lower cost of prototyping and manufacturing gate arrays, and the abUity to manufacture gate arrays faster. Where time to market and cost are of key consideration, gate arrays will be the first choice. The gate densities of gate arrays are approaching those of CBICs, so the increased cell densities previously achieved for CBICs will not give sufficient advantage to outweigh the increased prototype time or NRE cost. Cell-based ICs will be used for making devices which cannot be made cost-effectively with gate arrays. Typically, these will be devices which include large areas of RAM, or where specialized cells are required. These cells are most likely to be analog cells, and this will be the biggest growth area for CBICs. The strength of the telecoms market in Europe will give a strong pull to mixed signal ASICs, and cell-based design currently is the most suitable implementation for mixed signal ASICs. Chapter 2 The use of custom is in decline, as cell-based design gives layout densities which are sufficient for most applications. The fast design time offered by CBIC design tools easily compensates for the slighdy larger area of the devices. The increasing use of design standards such as VHDL ensure that only cell-based design is used for many projects. These design standards are expensive to implement for custom design, and are not usually costeffective. Custom design will still be used in some areas, such as some consumer or very highvolume designs, but generally the use of custom ASIC design is in decline. Conclusions To achieve success in ASIC a vendor must concentrate in areas of high growth and high profitability. These areas are currently mixed signal CBIC, high gate count gate array, and field programmable gate arrays. However, these areas are likely to become saturated with suppliers and products, forcing prices and profits down. Staying ahead will need continued investment in new products and processes, but this will ultimately result in a situation similar to that of DRAMs, where the development of the next generation of products includes the building of a billion dollar fabrication plant. The real key to success will be the closer coupling of ASIC suppliers and users, to develop the key products that the customer wants, and can use. In the short term the reduction of design and manufiacture time for end equipment will be a requirement by the ASIC user, and so the success of FPGAs should be assured, as these have the shortest manufacture time. Overall, the reduction in design time can only be achieved through the development of better design tools. While there is some cannibalization of gate array designs by FPGAs, and CBIC designs by gate arrays, the replacement of full-custom designs by CBIC methodology has been virtually total. 0008259 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Linuted January^-^teixoduction Prohibited ESIS Chapter 2 European ASIC Consumption Forecast 1987-1995 Index of Tables and F^ures—Chapter 2 Total ASIC Revenue History and Forecast Table 2.1 Figure 2.1 Share of ASIC Market by Product Figure 2.2 ASIC Product Growth Figure 2.3 Share of ASIC Market by Technology Table 2.2 Top 10 European Bipolar ASIC Suppliers Table 2.3 Top 10 European MOS ASIC Suppliers Table 2.4 Top 10 European Total ASIC Suppliers Table 2.5 Total ASIC Consumption Forecast by Application Figure 2.4 Total ASIC Consumption by Application Table 2.6 Total ASIC Consumption Forecast by Region Table 2.1 Total ASIC Revenue History and Forecast (MllUons of Dollars) 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1,465 1,198 1,779 2,193 2,541 2,803 CAGR 1990-95 15.8% 1,473 1,833 16.8% 202 203 204 2,123 202 2,345 198 24 225 40 66 103 156 216 260 -2.5% 45.4% 358 407 461 488 15.8% 308 361 748 828 18.1% 95 0 100 96 95 393 88 743 636 960 257 599 498 867 165 88 84 -3.1% 3 5 7 13 23 83 36 81 1 51 59.1% 82 118 127 150 264 369 560 30.2% 195 297 72 455 382 490 44.8% 73 70 -0.7% 19.0% Category 1987 1988 Total ASIC 792 982 MOS 583 Bi{X)lar BiCMOS 209 0 Gate Array MOS Bipolar BiCMOS PLD 1989 1,182 1990 1,344 739 232 918 1,079 240 11 260 MOS 15 27 48 77 191 126 Bip>olar 67 91 79 73 66 69 151 220 324 440 538 671 210 294 401 481 590 829 712 973 814 1,051 151 867 16.7% Bipolar 0 0 8 10 11 14 11.8% 0 10 31 47 70 103 13 146 14 BiCMOS 9 21 170 40.5% 299 252 286 324 293 240 248 245 252 246 232 -4.6% 198 190 188 179 160 -7.8% 49 4 38 35 20 34 33 34 33 -7.6% 39 57.7% CBIC MOS Custom MOS 47 245 41 268 Bipolar BiCMOS 0 0 0 56 12 30 Soufce: Dataquest (January 1991) ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited January—Reproduction Prohibited 0008259 European ASIC Market Consumption Forecast Chapter 2 F^:ure 2.1 Share o f ASIC Market by Product Percent Share 1988 1989 - Gate Array 1990 —t— PLD 1991 1992 1993 -•^" Cell-Based 1994 1995 - H - Custom Source: Dataquest Qanuaiy 1991) Figure 2.2 ASIC Product Growth Percent Growth 50% -20% 1988 1989 —"— Gate Array 1990 1991 PLD 1992 * 1993 Cell-Based 1994 1995 Custom Source: Dataquest Qanuaiy 1991) 0008259 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited January^^teproduction Prohibited ESIS Chapter 2 European ASIC Consumption Forecast 1987-1995 F^ure 2.3 Share of ASIC Market by Technology Percent Share 100% 80% - 60% - 40% - 20% 1994 BiCMOS Bipolar * 1995 CMOS Source: Dataquest Qanuafy 1991) ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited January—Reproduction Prohibited 0008259 Chapter 2 European ASIC Market Consumption Forecast i Table 2.2 Table 2.4 Top 10 Bipolar ASIC Suppliers (MllUons of Dollars) Top 10 Total ASIC Suppliers (MilUons of Dollars) Company Plessey Revenue Rankii^ 1987 1988 1989 54 5 43 1989 1 Revenue Company Plessey Advanced Micro Devices 43 56 49 2 Siemens Siemens 51 28 37 ITT Intermettal 8 28 10 29 14 3 4 Texas Instruments Philips 1987 1988 82 26 Ranking 19891989 1 101 90 56 92 2 102 95 54 91 79 3 4 59 58 69 52 5 6 7 Texas Instruments 22 LSI Logic 44 Advanced Micro Devices National Semiconductor 18 15 16 11 5 6 Telefunken 10 10 7 7 Toshiba 45 16 44 52 7 5 4 6 8 Mietec 32 42 50 8 11 5 SGS-Thomson 25 35 50 0 0 5 9 10 National Semiconduaor 35 51 47 9 10 Motorola Fujitsu NEC Source: Dataquest Qatoarf 1991) Source: Dataquest 0»>uaiy 1991) Table 2.3 Top 10 MOS ASIC Suppliers (MllUons of Dollars) Revenue Company 1987 102 95 91 1989 1 59 28 69 2 42 55 50 3 4 14 26 50 Toshiba 16 41 50 5 6 SGS-Thomson 23 21 n r Intermettal LSI Logic 44 Siemens Mietec 39 32 Texas Instruments Plessey Austria Mikro Systeme VLSI Technology Source: E>ataquest Qanuaiy 1991) 29 17 i Rankii^ 1988 1989 35 48 7 39 36 47 8 44 25 37 9 10 i 0008259 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Liinited January—Sei»tiduction Prohibited ESIS European ASIC Consumption Forecast 1987-1995 Cliapter 2 Table 2.5 Total ASIC Consumption Forecast by Application Minions of Dollars 1987 1988 401 1991 432 1992 521 1993 643 1994 316 1989 368 1990 Communication 259 210 255 312 370 406 129 171 200 230 252 499 308 613 392 707 Industrial Application Data Processing 743 1995 835 774 76 95 114 129 162 198 230 495 261 50 63 79 102 138 171 195 113 35 130 158 165 167 187 208 236 243 1987 1988 1989 1990 1993 1994 33% 32% 26% 28% 28% 29% 28% 29% 27% 16% 29% 28% 1995 30% Communication 31% 26% 30% 1991 30% 1992 Data Processing 28% 28% 17% 17% 17% 17% 17% 18% 18% 18% 8% 8% 8% 9% 9% 3% 14% 7% 13% 5% 11% 7% 13% 5% 12% 9% 6% 9% 4% 9% 6% 9% 4% 11% 9% 9% 9% Military Transportation Consumer 59 22 455 Percent of Revenue Application Industrial Military Transportation Consumer Soiirce: Dataquest Qanuaiy 1991) Figure 2.4 Total ASIC Consumption by Application Data Processing Data Processing 30% 31% Communications 28% Communications 26% Consumer 9% Consumer 13% Transportation Military 4% 8% Industrial 17% 1989 Transportation 7% Industrial 18% Military 9% 1995 Source: Dataquest Qanuaiy 1991) ©1991 Dataquest Europe Liniited January—Reproduction Prohibited 0008259 Chapter 2 European ASIC Market Consumption Forecast 10 i Table 2.6 Total ASIC Consumption Forecast by Region MiUlons of Dollars 1987 32 1988 38 France 169 203 Italy 103 143 76 Region Benelux Scandinavia 1994 1990 1991 1992 55 63 93 271 305 73 322 1993 114 373 440 129 496 157 177 194 302 334 94 98 225 121 276 88 150 177 200 1989 1995 142 525 UK and Eire 63 152 380 480 340 265 388 301 245 179 308 227 West Germany 420 513 628 567 741 643 804 Rest of Europe 27 36 45 52 58 75 104 130 155 1987 1988 1989 1993 1994 1995 Region Percent of Revenue 1992 1990 1991 5% 5% 5% 21% 22% 23% 4% 4% 5% France 21% 21% 23% Italy 13% 8% 15% 8% 13% 7% 13% 7% 13% 7% Benelux Scandinavia 5% 5% 5% 20% 20% 13% 7% 13% 7% 12% 19% 12% 7% 7% UK and Eire 19% 18% 19% 20% 21% 21% 22% 22% 23% West Germany 31% 29% 4% 29% 4% 29% 4% 29% 3% 29% 4% 29% Rest of Eurojje 31% 4% 5% 5% 29% 6% Source: Dauquest (Jsanary 1991) i i 0008259 ©1991 Dataquest Europje Limited January—^Reproduction Prohibited ESIS Chapter 3 European Forecast Gate Array 1987-1995 Summary The European gate array market grew by 14 percent in 1989, reaching $407 million. This was a modest growth by comparison with previous years, where annual growth rates were high, characteristic of a market in its infancy. We see this more stable growth continuing into 1990, with the market increasing by 13 percent over 1989. A close inspection of gate arrays reveals that a maturing of CMOS gate array, which represented 76 percent of total gate array in 1989, lies behind this slower growth. As the semiconductor market continues to slow in 1991, total gate array will show a modest 6 percent growth over 1990. Typical of a maturing market we expect that, while gate array will continue to grow above the semiconductor market average, its growth will track the market average more closely than in the past. Consumption a particular application. The ability to integrate a large number of gates onto a single chip means the number of chips required to implement complex systems is reduced. The higher gate density now available in gate arrays is resulting in a lower cost in cents per gate for these arrays. This lower unit cost is therefore giving the user a choice between gate arrays and CBICs in many pure digital applications, as the gate densities for gate array are now approaching diose achieved by CBIC designs. Gate arrays are becoming the preferred choice for many digitalonly ASICs because they offer faster prototyping and lower nonrecurring engineering charges. The dominant technology for gate array at the moment is CMOS, but the development and application of BiCMOS technology for gate arrays offers higher performance and drive capability when compared to standard CMOS. Over the five-year period from 1990 to 1995 Dataquest estimates the European gate array market will grow at a CAGR of 15.8 percent. In 1990 gate array will be the largest portion of the European ASIC market, at 34 percent. By 1992 CBICs will have become the largest product category, overtaking gate array. This is due to the rapid growth of mixed analog/digital CBICs. However, in pure digital ASICs gate arrays will continue to be the major product category for the next five years. However, the manufacturing technology which these BiCMOS arrays need is expensive, and the cost in terms of cents per gate is currently five to ten times that of existing CMOS designs. This means that the replacement of CMOS arrays by BiCMOS arrays will be low in the short term. The improvement in speed offered by BiCMOS, however, means that the arrays are approaching the speed achieved by ECL arrays, and the cost is still lower than ECL. In addition, the BiCMOS arrays use significantly less power than the ECL arrays. As a result, BiCMOS growth will be achieved in the short term at the expense of ECL. Trends CMOS gate arrays are also under threat from the recently introduced field programmable gate arrays (FPGAs). The gate density of these FPGAs is reaching 8,000 gates, and will continue to rise as new architectures and processes improve the density and size of the devices. This means FPGAs will be more cost-effective than standard gate arrays for lower-volume, lower gate count applications. The average gate count per design for gate arrays is increasing, and the unit cost of the arrays, in terms of cents per gate, is decreasing. The result of this is an increase in unit price, because the gate count is growing faster than the reduction in cents per gate. The maximum number of gates available on a single array is also increasing, and the consequence of this increase in gate density is a reduction in the number of designs required for 11 12 European ASIC Market Consumption Forecast: Conclusions Gate arrays will lose their dominant position in the ASIC market to CBIC within the next two years. The growth in demand for mixed signal ASICs is very strong, and CBICs are the only ASIC implementation which is able to meet the performance requirements of the mixed signal applications. This, when added to the growth in digital CBICs, will topple gate array ft-om its number one position. Gate arrays are also under attack from FPGA for low-volume, low gate count applications. However, CMOS gate arrays are increasing their maximum achievable gate count by utilizing the increase in gate density to integrate more gates onto a single chip. The price paid for this, though, is a higher cost for the arrays themselves, in a market where the price expectation for these arrays is very low. Chapter 3 The gate array market is low margin business, due to the number of gate array suppliers available. The cost of development of the new products with the bigger profit margins is high, so only the larger manufacturers can afford to compete in the long term. The need to find added value can only be met with specialist development and applications of cells in the array, or the development of unique gate array products. The risk of the development of these cells or products will be that their use may be low, as ASIC users try to standardize on more established arrays, or are unsure of their application. i Index of Tables and Figures—Chapter 3 Table 3.1 Gate Array Revenue History and Forecast Figure 3.1 Share of Gate Array Market by Technology Table 3.2 Top 10 Bipolar Gate Array Suppliers Table 3.3 Top 10 MOS Gate Array Suppliers Table 3.4 Top 10 Gate Array Suppliers Table 3.5 Gate Array Consumption Forecast by .^plication Figure 3.2 Gate Array Consumption by Application Table 3.6 Gate Array Consumption Forecast by Region i i 0008259 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited January—BeproductUon Prohibited ESIS Chapter 3 European Gate Array Consumption Forecast 1987—1995 13 Table 3.1 Gate Array Revenue History and Forecast (Millions of Dollars) Category 1988 Total ASIC 1987 792 MOS 583 Bipolar BiCMOS 209 0 739 232 Gate Array MOS 982 CAGR 1990-95 15.8% 2,193 1994 2,541 2,803 1,833 204 2,123 202 2,345 198 103 156 216 260 -2.5% 45.4% 599 498 743 636 867 960 15.8% 748 828 18.1% 88 84 83 36 81 -3.1% 51 59.1% 1989 1,182 1990 1991 1992 1993 1,344 1,779 918 1,079 1,465 1,198 1,473 240 225 40 202 203 (£ 461 488 361 1995 16.8% 11 24 260 358 165 257 407 308 95 0 100 96 95 393 88 1 3 5 7 13 23 MOS+BiCMOS 165 258 311 366 400 511 257 1 305 6 360 393 6 7 499 12 754 879 844 19.2% 165 0 659 638 784 Digital 21 30 35 42.3% 95 100 96 95 88 88 84 -3.1% 100 92 84 80 78 -2.6% 0 4 89 6 82 83 80 81 95 0 6 4 4 3 3 -12.9% 1994 1995 Bipolar BiCMOS Linear Bipolar Digital Linear Scrutce: Daiaquesi (Januaiy 1991) 18.6% Figure 3.1 Share of Gate Array Market by Technology Percent Share 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0%* 1987 1988 1989 CMOS 1990 1991 1992 * 1993 BiCMOS Source: Dataquest Qanuary 1991) ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited January—Rejjroduction Pnsliibited 0008259 Chapter 3 European ASIC Market Consumpttoa Forecast 14 i Table 3.2 Table 3.4 Top 10 Bipolar Gate Array Suppliers (Millions of Dollars) Top 10 Gate Array Suppliers (Millions of Dollars) Company Revenue Ranking 1989 1 Siemens 1987 1988 1989 34 4 35 22 26 39 Motorola 5 4 6 National Semiconductor 6 6 11 7 4 NEC 0 0 5 Philips 2 5 STC Components 0 Raytheon 0 Applied Micro Circuits 2 Plessey Fujitsu Company Plessey Revenue Ranking 1987 1988 1989 21 70 60 1989 1 2 LSI Logic 40 52 58 2 3 4 Toshiba 16 41 50 SGS-Thomson 17 30 3 4 5 6 National Semiconductor 13 20 32 28 8 18 24 5 6 7 Siemens 42 28 24 7 7 5 4 8 Fujitsu 21 16 8 7 1 3 2 9 10 5 9 7 19 14 5 Source: Dataquest (Januaiy 1991) NEC Texas Instruments Hitachi 5 12 9 10 Source: Dataquest O^""^^ 1991) Table 3.3 Top 10 MOS Gate Array Suppliers (MiUions of Dollars) Company LSI Logic Revenue Ranking 1987 1988 1989 52 40 58 1989 1 Toshiba 16 41 50 2 Plessey 17 26 SGS-Thomson 11 17 35 28 3 4 National Semiconduaor 14 8 25 18 10 12 NEC Fujitsu Texas Instruments Matra-MHS Hitachi Source: Dataquest Qanvaty 1991) 22 5 19 14 6 7 8 3 9 8 14 12 5 7 11 9 10 5 i i 0008259 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited January—Reproduction Prohibited ESIS chapter 3 European Gate Array Consumption Forecast 1987-1995 15 Table 3.5 Gate Array Consumption Forecast by Application Millions o f Dollars 1993 306 224 1994 125 149 41 158 16 18 47 53 1993 37% 1994 1995 38% 31% 20% 31% 31% 19% 19% 31% 18% 5% 2% 5% 2% 5% 2% 5% 2% 5% 2% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 1992 252 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 137 60 175 85 183 114 199 132 209 142 Industrial 41 65 65 77 80 Military- 10 15 22 3 17 6 20 2 7 8 27 10 10 15 22 26 28 31 1987 1988 37% 37% 1990 34% 1991 35% 1992 Data Processing 1989 34% Communication 26% 26% Industrial 25% 25% 31% 21% 31% 21% 31% 20% Transportation 5% 1% 5% 1% 5% 2% 5% 2% Consumer 6% 6% 7% 7% Application Data Processing Communication Transportation Consumer 177 102 35 13 40 1995 391 294 350 265 46 Percent of Revenue Application Military 36% 37% Source: Dataquest Qanuary 1991) F^^re 3.2 Gate Array Consumption b y Application Data Processing 34% Data Processing 30% Consumer 7% Transportation Consumer 6% Transportation MliitarP" 5% Communications 31% Industrial 21% 1989 MIBtary^"* 5% Communications 31% Industrfal 18% 1995 Source: Dataquest Qanuaiy 1991) ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited January—jteproduction Prohibited 0008259 Chapter 3 European ASIC Market Consumption Forecast 16 i Table 3.6 Gate Array Consumption Forecast by Region Millions of Dollars 1987 10 1988 France 34 Italy 43 49 64 Region Benelux Scandinavia UK and Eire 31 61 13 39 77 1989 20 1990 67 75 61 63 25 1991 26 1992 1993 40 1994 46 1995 50 112 124 130 81 103 114 127 70 78 94 33 94 79 68 44 47 48 54 89 111 142 177 214 246 138 250 268 17 169 26 208 34 40 45 West Germany 77 107 113 103 130 Rest of Europe 5 8 13 17 Region 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Benelux 3% 16% 3% 16% 5% 5% 5% 18% 5% 5% 5% 17% 16% Scandinavia 23% 6% 23% 6% 15% 8% UK and Eire 21% 15% 7% 24% 15% 14% 5% 14% 24% West Germany 27% Rest of Eurofje 5% Percent of Revenue France Italy 19% 18% 19% 16% 21% 7% 21% 7% 22% 28% 28% 26% 27% 3% 3% 4% 5% 16% 7% 23% 27% 4% 8% 14% 9% 26% 27% 25% 28% 27% 5% 5% 5% Source: Dataquest 0*n"*'y 1991) i i 0008259 ©1991 Dataquest Europe limited January—Reproduction Prohibited ESIS Chapter 4 European Programmable Logic Devices Consumption Forecast 1987—1995 Summary The European programmable logic device (PLD) market grew by 8 percent in 1989 to $127 million. The growth of this market is controlled by the size of the bipolar segment, which is suffering severe price erosion. Bipolar PLDs represent 62 percent of the total PLD market for 1989 and this sector of the PLD market declined by 13 percent in 1989, compared with a growth of 78 percent for CMOS PLD over the same period. Bipolar PLDs are forecast to decline at a CAGR of only 0.7 percent over the period 1990 to 1995, to a total of $70 million. This compares with a CAGR for CMOS PLD of 44.8 percent over the same period, to a value of $490 million. The total PLD market will grow by a CAGR of 30.2 percent to $560 million by 1995. CMOS PLD shipments are forecast to overtake bipolar PLD shipments by 1991. Trends The section of the PLD market with the highest growth rate is the field programmable gate array (FPGA), with a CAGR over the period 1990 to 1995 of 61.7 percent. By 1995 these devices will represent 57 percent of the total PLD market. These devices have the capability of integrating up to 8,000 gates at present, which means they are able to implement a large number of designs that were previously only possible with a gate array. As a result, field programmable gate arrays are "stealing" designs from gate arrays, as well as creating a market of their own. Their strength lies in the ability to prototype devices instantly, without undergoing the delay in manufacture that is needed for conventional gate arrays. In addition, the saving of the nonrecurring engineering charge means FPGAs are very cost-effective for low volumes. The trend for shorter production runs and shorter time to market for equipment will ensure the success of these devices. There is severe price erosion in bipolar PLDs, as competition forces the price down. This is seen in the reduction of bipolar PLD revenue, in spite of an increase in the number of units shipped during 1989. The main battle for share is in the slower 15ns to 25ns parts, and this is where unit prices are at their lowest. Bipolar PLDs continue in their eternal quest for speed, and the use of ECL cores—and in some cases complete ECL devices—^has pushed the propogation delays down as low as 2.5ns. These very high-speed devices fit into narrow niche applications, and command premium prices where they are needed. Bipolar PLDs may have to fight off competition from high-speed gallium arsenide (GaAs) PLDs, though, in their key markets—high-performance supercomputers. These GaAs devices are now becoming more readily available as the manufacturing issues come under more control, and GaAs devices are able to match the performance offered by high-speed bipolar devices. CMOS standard PLDs are also reducing the propagation delays, and are able to meet the speed requirements of most bipolar PLD applications. CMOS devices are currently able to meet 10ns delays, with some devices offering delays as short as 7.5ns. The mainstream bipolar PLD is therefore under attact by these CMOS devices, which offer lower power, resulting in cooler operation for equipment. Conclusions The major area of growth in PLD is with FPGAs—an area which is already experiencing massive growth, although fi-om a low base. Success here depends initially on the ability to establish an installed based of proprietary design tools, tying in customer to a single vendor's product. The short term will see FPGA vendors fitting to achieve a large penetration of these design tools, prior to shipping volume product. 17 IS European ASIC Market Consumption Forecast Chapter 4 i The customer is not ignorant of this strategy, though, having seen it applied with both cellbased ASICs and gate arrays. Some multivendor FPGA programmers are emerging, and customers are likely to latch on to this to ensure safety of supply. Standards are needed to ensure portability of designs between the various implementations of FPGA, and there are already signs of some interchangeability of designs. Success for the FPGA supplier will, then, depend on costeffectiveness and customer support. Bipolar PLD will still find niche applications, but the longer-term future will belong to CMOS in all but specialist applications. Index of Tables and Figures—Chapter 4 Table 4.1 PLD Revenue History and Forecast Figure 4.1 PLD Market Share by Technology Figure 4.2 PLD Market Trends Table 4.2 Top 4 Bipolar PLD Suppliers Table 4.3 Top 9 MOS PLD Suppliers Table 4.4 Top 10 Total PLD Suppliers Table 4.5 PLD Consumption Forecast by Application Figure 4.3 PLD Consumption by Application Table 4.6 PLD Consumption Forecast by Region i i 0008259 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited Januaiy—Keproduction Prohibited, ESIS Chapter 4 European Programmable Logic Devices Consumption Forecast 1987—1995 19 Table 4.1 PLD Revenue History and Forecast (Millions of Dollars) Category 2,345 198 103 156 216 260 -2.5% 45.4% 264 455 382 560 30.2% 195 369 297 490 44.8% 69 72 73 70 -0.7% 148 190 240 14.6% 79 118 215 142 73 62 69 64 169 70 28.6% 72 62 -2.7% 5 (£ 6 65 4 8 8 33.2% 64 116 179 240 321 61.7% 225 40 202 (£ 150 77 191 126 79 73 (£ 112 114 121 35 48 127 62 73 (A 1 71 2 13 29 583 918 1,079 Bipolar 209 0 739 232 240 11 24 82 118 MOS 15 27 127 48 BipKjlar 67 91 78 PLA 2,123 202 1,473 MOS PLD 203 1,833 204 1,779 1990 1,344 BiCMOS 2,193 1993 1989 1,182 Total ASIC 1995 2,803 1992 1988 982 MOS (CMOS) 11 21 Bipolar 67 91 TTL 67 ECL 0 91 0 79 78 CAGR 1990-95 15.8% 1994 2,541 1991 1,465 1,198 1987 792 16.8% -0.7% Field Prog. MOS (CMOS) 4 Source: Dataquest Oanuaiy 1991) ESIS 6 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Umited January—Jteproduction Prohibited 0008259 Chapter 4 European ASIC Market Consumption Forecast 20 i Figure 4.1 PLD Market Share by Technology Percent Share 100% eo% 60% 40% - 20%;^ 1990 1991 CMOS 1992 1993 1994 1995 Bipolar Source: Dataquest (January 1991) i Figure 4.2 PLD Market Trends Percent Share Percent Growth 100% 140% 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PLA Share —H- FPGAShare PLA Growth ^ 1 FPGA Growth 1994 1995 Source: Dataquest Qanxarf 1991) i 0008259 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited January—Reproduction Prohibited ESIS Chapter 4 21 European Programmable Logic Devices Consumption Forecast 1987-1995 Table 4.2 Table 4.4 Top 4 Bipolar PID Suppliers (MiUions of Dollars) Top 10 Total FU> Suppliers (Millions of Dollars) Revenue Company Advanced Micro Devices Texas Instruments 1987 1988 1989 43 56 49 5 18 Philips 8 10 National Semiconductor 9 7 1989 1 1987 1988 1989 52 58 45 1989 1 18 18 2 7 12 8 3 4 Xilinx 9 4 8 5 2 5 4 8 Cypress 7 6 Intel 4 7 7 Philips 3 8 10 6 8 Lattice Semiconductor 0 0 3 0 4 Actel 9 10 6 3 Altera 4 National Semiconductor Revenue Ranking 1987 1988 1989 1989 Altera 4 7 12 1 Xilinx 4 2 2 5 4 8 Cypress 7 Intel 3 0 2 4 7 4 3 4 0 1 Actel 0 0 3 3 2 SGS-Thomson 0 1 1 3 2 Rankii^ 5 4 5 Top 9 MOS PLD Suppliers (Millions of Dollars) Advanced Micro Devices National Semiconductor Advanced Micro Devices Texas Instruments Table 4.3 Lattice Semiconductor Company 2 18 Source: Dataquest Qanuaiy 1991) Company Revenue Ranking 2 Source: Dataquest Qanuary 1991) 5 6 7 8 9 Source: Dataquest Qanuary 1991) ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited January—Reproduction Prohibited 0008259 Chapter 4 European ASIC Market Consumption Forecast 22 Table 4.5 PLD Consumption Forecast by Application Millions of Dollars Application 162 45 63 77 82 95 101 3 11 15 9 14 22 1991 34% 1992 1993 1994 32% 31% 31% 1995 30% 25% 20% 28% 28% 29% 29% 18% 18% 17% 17% 17% 1% 4% 17% 2% 18% 2% 18% 2% 4% 3% 4% 54 17 33 65 48 74 34 35 38 2 19 1 23 2 31 2 4 3 4 8 17 Industrial 23 Military 15 1 31 18 2 132 47 103 66 53 29 12 47 Communication Consumer 141 1995 168 1992 1989 Transportation 1994 1991 1988 Data Prcx:essing 1993 114 1990 1987 84 7 11 Percent of Revenue Application 1987 35% 1988 40% 1989 42% 1990 Data Processing Communication 15% 14% 13% 22% Industrial 28% 26% 27% 23% Military 18% 1% 15% 2% 15% 1% 15% 1% 16% •MUt.- 3% 2% 3% 4% Transportation Consumer Source: Dataquest Qanuafy 1991) DW 36% 1% i F^ure 4.3 PLD Consumption by Application Data Processing 42% Data Processing 30% Communications 29% Communications 13% Qpni ,..jsumer2% Trai ransportotion 1 % Consumer 4% Transportation 2% Military 15% Military 18% Industrial 17% Industrial 27% 1989 1995 Source: E>ataquest (January 1991) i 0008259 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited January—Reproduction Prohibited ESIS Chapter 4 European Programmable Logic Devices Consumption Forecast 1987—1995 23 Table 4.6 PLD Consumption Forecast by Region Millions of Dollars Region 1987 Benelux 3 11 France Italy 1988 4 1989 4 14 15 7 14 15 11 1991 6 1992 1993 11 1994 8 14 1995 17 36 50 64 78 17 25 21 28 56 16 22 39 30 46 14 36 42 1990 5 20 8 12 UK and Eire 23 30 33 38 48 (A 92 114 140 West Germany 25 6 37 39 48 61 84 118 146 8 9 10 14 20 30 36 179 48 Region 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Benelux 4% 3% 12% 3% 12% 3% 3% 3% 14% 3% 14% 12% 13% 11% 3% 14% 12% 13% 12% 3% 14% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 8% Scandinavia Rest of Europe Percent of Revenue France Italy 13% 8% Scandinavia 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% UK and Eire 28% 25% 9% 26% West Germany 30% 31% 31% 25% 32% 25% 32% 25% 32% 25% 32% 25% 32% 25% 32% Rest of Europe 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% Source: Dataquest O^nuary 1991) ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited January—Reproduction Prohibited 0008259 Chapter 5 European Forecast Cell-Based IC 1987-1995 Suminaiy The European cell-based IC (CBIC) market grew by 47 percent in 1989, to $324 million. This was achieved through high growth in both digital CBICs and mixed signal CBICs. Growth for CBIC will fall to 36 percent for 1990, and continue its decline in growth into 1991, with a revenue increase of 22 percent. Cell-based ICs are forecast to dominate the ASIC market by 1995, with a CAGR of 19.0 percent over the period 1990 to 1995. The CBIC market is forecast to be $1,051 million by 1995. CBICs will overtake gate array as the dominant ASIC technology, mainly through the high growth of mixed signal CBICs in the telecoms and automotive markets. Trends The use of CBICs in digital applications will decline from 70 percent of total CBIC revenue in 1989, to 56 percent of all CBIC revenue by 1995. The growth of mixed signal CBIC will be built on telecoms and automotive applications. The European telecoms market is very strong, and the ASIC needs of this market are best met by mixed signal ASIC. The mixed signal capabilities of gate array are not adequate to meet the demands of the telecoms market, so CBIC is the dominant factor here. The CBIC market will also "steal" designs from custom applications. The increase in the capabilities of CBIC design tools means the benefits offered by custom design become marginal when compared to the cost of these benefits. CBIC designs will have the capability to customize certain cells in a design, giving greater flexibility to the CBIC designs. Several CBIC suppliers are already offering this cell customization service to selected customers. The c:ost of prototyping CBICs has always been higaer than for protot5T>ing gate arrays, as all the Consumption layers used in manufacture need to be defined for a cell-based design. This prototyping cost has normally been a reasonably small percentage of the total cost of prototyping and production for a cell-based design, as the volume orders for CBICs have been high. The newer manufacturing processes such as BiCMOS, however, require many more masks than the older CMOS processes, and this increases significantly the prototyping cost for CBICs. In addition, the volumes needed for the production runs for devices are reducing, meaning a higher prototyping cost will need to be amortized over a lo^rer production run. Therefore, much higher cost will be associated with a cell-based design. The increase in cost for CBICs means that all of the layers used in manufacture will need to be utilized effectively. This can be achieved through the use of complex or high-performance library cells. The future of CBICs lies with the development of these cells. This development will meet very specialized requirements, which can only be defined and met by close cooperation between the CBIC supplier and the customer. Conclusions The greatest strength of CBICs is the flexibility offered by the utilization of all the layers used in manufacture. But, this is also CBICs greatest weakness, as the cost of using all these layers for manufacture will rise with the increased complexity of the manufacturing processes used. The success for CBIC lies with using this flexibility to its greatest advantage, which is best achieved by offering product functionality that carmot be met by using a gate array. This will be high-density functionality such as memory, or specialized cells such as large microprocessor cores; or with the inclusion of high-performance analog cells. There are currendy few CBIC suppliers which can offer high-performance mixed signal capability, but the development of adequate mixed signal design tools within the next five years will mean 25 Chapter 5 European ASIC market Consumption Forecast 26 Other CBIC suppliers will be able to chase this profitable sector of the market. In the meantime, closer cooperation between the CBIC supplier and the customer to define and develop the specialist cells needed by specific applications will ensure success in the short term. Index of Figures and Tables—Chapter 5 Table 5.1 CBIC Revenue History and Forecast Figure 5.1 Share of CBIC Market by Technology Figure 5.2 CBIC Market Trends Table 5.2 Top 10 Digital MOS CBIC Suppliers Table 5.3 Top 10 Mixed Signal CBIC Suppliers Table 5.4 Top 10 Total MOS CBIC Suppliers Table 5.5 CBIC Consumption Forecast by Application Figure 5.3 Digital CBIC Consumption by Application Figure 5.4 Mixed Signal CBIC Consumption by Application Table 5.6 CBIC Consumption Forecast by Region Table 5.1 CBIC Revenue History and Forecast (Millions of Dollars) Category 1987 1988 Total ASIC 792 982 1989 1,182 1990 1,344 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1,779 2,193 2,541 2,803 CAGR 1990-95 15.8% 1,473 1,833 204 2,123 202 2,345 16.8% 203 198 103 156 216 260 -2.5% 45.4% 671 590 829 712 973 814 1,051 867 13 146 14 11.8% 170 40.5% 585 576 13.5% 13.2% 43.1% MOS 583 1,079 1,465 1,198 Bipolar 209 739 232 918 240 225 202 0 11 24 40 151 220 324 440 538 151 0 210 294 401 481 0 10 11 14 10 9 21 8 0 31 47 70 103 110 155 226 344 407 484 110 155 0 226 311 310 341 478 0 0 1 403 1 551 544 2 2 5 3 6 422 466 270 BiCMOS CBIC MOS Bipolar BiCMOS Digital MOS Bip>olar 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 Mixed Signal 41 65 98 129 194 264 MOS 41 55 0 68 91 140 187 345 234 9 21 8 9 10 12 11 291 11 30 45 67 99 141 164 BiCMOS Bipolar 0 0 BiCMOS Source: Dataquest Qanuaiy 1991) 0008259 <£ 10 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited January—Reproduction Prohibited 19.0% 16.7% 29.3% 26.2% (>.(Wo 40.5% ESIS 27 European Cell-Based IC Consumption Forecast 1987-1995 Chapter 5 F^ure 5.1 Share of CBIC Market by Technology Percent Share 120% 100% 1987 1988 1989 1990 CMOS 1991 1992 Bipolar * 1993 1994 1995 BiCMOS InntmMf HfiM Source: Dataquest (January 1991) Figure 5-2 CBIC Market Trends Percent Share Percent Growth 80% 60% 40% 20% 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 - ^ Digital CBIC Share Mixed Signal Share ^M Digital CBIC Growth Mixed Signal Growth 1995 Source: Dataquest (January 1991) ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Eiuope Limited January—Reproduction Prohibited 0008259 Chapter 5 European ASIC market Consumption Forecast 28 Table 5.2 Table 5.4 Top 10 Digital MOS CBIC Suppliers (Millions of Dollars) Top 10 Total MOS CBIC Suppliers (MlUlons of DoUars) Company VLSI Technology Austria Mikro Systeme Revenue Banking 1987 1988 1989 22 15 29 24 16 13 1989 1 1987 1988 1989 34 27 29 1989 1 2 Texas Instruments 5 12 30 2 VLSI Technology 15 22 29 Austria Mikro Systeme 15 27 17 5 6 MEDL SGS-Thomson 5 2 19 12 3 4 15 10 7 8 European Silicon Structures 6 3 12 19 17 9 10 15 2 15 7 17 11 7 11 5 12 European Silicon Structures 6 12 17 MEDL 5 11 17 15 2 15 3 6 SGS-Thomson AT&T Ranldi^ 3 4 24 Texas Instruments Siemens Company Mietec Revenue Harris Semiconduaor 4 9 8 10 Honeywell/Atmel 0 0 10 Siemens IMP Europe LSI Logic 4 19 5 6 7 8 9 10 Source: Dataquest O^nuary 1991) Source: Dataquest January 1991) Table 5.3 Top 10 Mixed Signal CBIC Suppliers (Millions of Dollars) Company Mietec IMP Europe Revenue Ranking 1987 1988 1989 22 20 27 1989 1 2 7 11 2 10 10 10 7 8 3 4 National Semiconduaor 3 2 5 6 Texas Instruments 0 0 6 5 6 Philips 0 SGS-Thomson 0 5 0 5 4 7 8 Sierra Semiconduaor 0 6 4 Austria Mikro Systeme 2 3 3 9 10 Telefunken Plessey Semiconductor i Source: Dataquest Qanuary 1990 i 0008259 ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited January—^Reproduction Prohibited ESIS European Cell-Based IC Consumption Forecast 1987-1995 Chapter 5 29 Table 5.5 CBIC Consumption Forecast by Application Application Data Processing Communication Industrial Military Transportation Consumer 1987 27 63 1988 31 81 1989 61 100 Millions of Dollars 1992 1991 1990 83 132 107 133 157 102 189 127 1993 1994 173 225 203 254 165 194 209 97 127 105 147 1995 230 264 42 62 83 42 80 26 57 40 64 5 8 29 15 22 54 74 91 100 33 44 54 68 76 99 96 1987 1988 1989 1990 1994 1995 22% 29 20 Percent of D ^ t a l Revenue Application 1991 20% 1992 20% 1993 21% 29% 28% 27% 26% 19% 12% 20% 20% 25% 20% 11% 10% 10% 13% 10% 14% 1993 10% 1994 1995 10% 10% 33% 14% Data Processing 18% 14% 19% Communication 42% 37% 31% 19% 30% Industrial 19% 19% 19% 19% Military 13% 13% 13% Transportation 3% 11% 12% 5% 9% 10% 10% Consumer 7% 10% 13% 8% 19% 12% 10% 10% 9% 10% 21% 9% Percent of Mixed Signal Revenue Application 1990 11% 1991 10% 1992 13% 1989 12% 37% 31% 36% 38% 38% 35% 14% 34% 14% 9% 14% 8% 14% 18% 20% 1987 14% 1988 Data Processing Communication 42% 10% Industrial 19% 19% 19% 16% Military 13% 13% 7% 11% 13% 8% 12% 15% 11% 10% 13% 10% 14% 17% 15% 13% 14% Transportation 3% Consumer 9% 14% 8% 15% 20% Source: Dataquest Qanuary 1991) ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited January—Reproduction Prohibited 0008259 Chapter 5 European ASIC market Consumptioii Forecast 30 Figure 5.3 Digital CBIC Consumption by Application Communications 25% Data Processing 19% Communications 31% Consumer 10% Industrial 19% Military 13% Data Processing 22% Consumer 9% Industrial 20% Transportation 8% Transportation 14% Military 10% 1995 1989 Source: Dataquest Qanuaiy 1991) F^;ure 5.4 Mixed Signal CBIC Consimiptlon by Application Communications 31% Communications 33% Data Processing 12% Industrial 14% Industrial 19% Consumer 17% Military 13% Transportation 8% 1989 Data Processing 10% Consumer 20% Military 8% Transportation 15% 1995 Source: E>ataquest Qanuaiy 1991) 0008259 ©1991 Dataquest Eurof>e Limited January—Repnxluciion Prohibited ESIS 31 European Cell-Based IC Consumptioa Forecast 1987-1995 Chapter 5 Table 5-6 CBIC Consumption Forecast by Region Millions of Dollars—Total MOS CBIC Begioa Bendux 1987 4 1988 1989 14 1990 1991 28 1992 1993 1994 1995 40 51 57 174 207 112 239 121 63 252 33 166 44 48 195 215 271 46 287 1993 2% 1994 2% 1995 2% 25% 16% 25% 24% 15% 15% 98 19 128 52 70 149 82 4 10 27 46 13 72 16 20 97 127 91 122 147 13 16 20 187 22 France 41 7 60 Italy 27 38 Scandinavia UK and Eire 3 14 West Germany 54 Rest of Europe 7 79 11 94 Percent ' of I>^tal Revenue 1992 1990 1989 1991 2% 2% 2% 2% 227 33 130 56 Region 1987 1988 Benelux 1% 1% France 28% 28% 32% 30% 28% 26% Italy 18% 2% 18% 2% 17% 17% 17% 16% 4% 5% 5% 16% 3% 18% 4% 19% 20% 20% 20% "West Germany 9% 36% 3% 14% 3% 9% 36% 28% 28% 28% 6% 4% 4% 4% 29% 4% 30% 6% 29% 4% 30% Rest of Europe 3% 4% Region 1987 1988 8% 9% 1993 12% 1994 Benelux 11% 1995 11% 25% 18% 25% 16% 25% 10% 24% 24% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 9% 4% 10% 19% 20% 20% 21% 36% 15% 28% 17% West Germany 9% 36% 3% 18% 9% 4% 27% 26% 26% 24% 2% 2% 4% 3% 3% 2% 25% 4% 25% Rest of Europe 7% 7% Scandinavia UK and Eire Percent of Mixed S^nal Revenue France Italy Scandinavia UK and Eire 1989 10% 1990 26% 27% 14% 13% 10% 1991 11% 1992 27% 12% 26% 12% 11% Source Dataquest (Januaiy 1991) ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe limited Januaiy—Reproduction Prohibited 0008259 Chapter 6 European Forecast Custom IC 1987-1995 Suniniary The European custom IC market grew by 13 percent in 1989 to $324 million. This is considerably less than the growth for the ASIC market as a whole, which grew by 20 percent in 1989. Neither is the future for the custom IC market so rosy, as it is forecast to decline by 4.6 percent per year over the period 1990 to 1995. The years 1990 and 1991 show the largest decline, with falls of 10 percent and 15 percent respectively. Trends The use of custom design is in decline, as more cost-effective methods are used by designers. The main advantages of custom are a smaller die size, and the ability to achieve higher performance by optimizing either the cells in a design or the design layout. The improvements in speed or layout area are becoming minimal, as new design tools give layout densities comparable with custom layout and are able to perform the layout in a fraction of the time. The performance improvement achieved by custom design is also being eroded. Again, CBIC design tools are able to optimize layout so that critical paths are as short as possible, giving performance that is difficult to improve upon by customizing the design. Consumption CMOS will be the preferred choice for most of the custom designs, as CMOS offers the best compromise of speed and peformance. BiCMOS is emerging as the newer technology, but the cost of BiCMOS manufacture is high when compared to CMOS. BiCMOS offers a speed advantage over CMOS without the high cost and requirement for power needed by bipolar designs. In addition to this, BiCMOS is particularly suitable for mixed signal applications. BiCMOS will therefore be used where mixed signal is required, or where high speed or high current drive is needed. By 1995, BiCMOS will represent 10 percent of all custom applications, and this is the only segment of custom ASIC which shows a positive CAGR. Conclusions The time-to-market requirements for many products will dictate the design style used by ASIC customers. The price paid for using custom design is a long design time, and a need for experienced custom designers. There are few applications where the length of time to develop a product allows for custom design. For some products the product life is long enough to allow CBICs to give the initial product within the time scales required, and then replace the CBIC with a custom device as part of the cost reduction of the product, but this is the exception rather than the rule. The flexibility given through custom design can also be met with CBIC design methods. It is unusual to have a design composed of cells which all need customizing. Cell-based design methods allow customization of some of the cells in a design, giving the required performance or area improvement. Cell-based design will therefore meet many applications which previously required custom design. 33 34 European ASIC Market Cansumption Forecast Chapter 6 Indeac of Tables a n d Figures—Chapter 6 Table 6.1 Custom ASIC Revenue History and Forecast Figure 6.1 Share of Custom ASIC Market by Technology Table 6.2 Top 6 Bipolar Custom ASIC Suppliers Table 6.3 Top 10 MOS Custom ASIC Suppliers Table 6.4 Top 10 Custom ASIC Suppliers Table 6.5 Custom ASIC Consumption Forecast by Application Figure 6.2 Custom ASIC Consumption by Application Table 6.6 Custom ASIC Consumption Forecast by Region { 0008259 ©1991 Dataquest Europe limited Januarys-Reproduction Prohibited ESIS Chapter 6 European Custom IC Consumption Forecast 1987—1995 I 35 Table 6.1 Custom ASIC Revenue History and Forecast (Millions of Dollars) Category Total ASIC MOS Bipolar 1987 792 1988 982 1989 1,182 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1,344 1,779 2,193 2,541 2,803 583 918 1,079 1,473 202 203 198 0 11 24 225 40 2,123 202 16.8% 240 1,833 204 2,345 209 739 232 1,465 1.198 CAGR 1990-95 15.8% (A 103 156 216 260 -2.5% 45.4% 299 252 286 324 245 190 252 246 232 -A£Va 245 41 293 240 248 268 188 179 160 -i.m> 35 20 34 33 34 33 -7.6% 0 49 4 38 0 39 57.7% BiCMOS Custom MOS BifKalar BiCMOS 47 0 56 198 12 30 Source: Dataquest (Janua/y 1^1) F^ure 6.1 Share o f Custom ASIC Maket b y Technology Percent Share 100% \ 80% 60% 40% 20% • ,.. 0 % * 1987 * * 1988 1989 CMOS - * • -*• - 1990 1991 Bipolar • - * - I •-*- -^. _i_ 1992 1993 1994 1995 * • • BiCMOS Source: Dataquest Qmvavi 1991) \ ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe Uinited January—Reproduction Prohibited 0008259 36 Table 6.2 Table 6.4 Top 6 Bipolar Ciistom ASIC Suppliers (Millions of Dollars) Top 10 Custom ASIC Suppliers (Millions of Dollars) Revenue Banking 1987 1988 1989 1989 Company Plessey 1 Siemens 12 9 2 15 15 11 2 Siemens 3 4 Telefunken 5 6 Plessey 3 10 10 Mitsubishi 0 0 7 2 Toshiba 0 3 2 Source: Dataquest Qanuary 1991) 1987 102 Top 10 MOS Custom ASIC Siippliers (MlUlons of Dollars) Revenue 1987 102 Rankii^ 1988 1989 95 91 13 1989 1 2 25 51 22 23 2 25 21 15 19 7 15 17 5 6 13 12 16 7 Austria Mikro Systeme 5 10 8 Thomson Military Semi. 0 0 13 12 Philifw 5 5 8 Asea Brown Boveri Texas Instruments Mietec Table 6.3 Intermettal Company ITT Intermettal Telefunken Company Revenue 1 10 Texas Instruments m Chapter 6 European ASIC Market Consumption Forecast 33 20 3 4 9 10 Source: Dataquest Qataaiy 1991) Ranking 1988 1989 1989 1 Siemens 21 95 11 91 36 Asea Brown Boveri 23 25 21 Mietec Telefunken 5 10 13 16 3 4 5 10 15 12 15 Austria Mikro Systeme 6 TMS 0 0 13 12 7 Philips 5 8 8 Sprague 5 0 3 8 Eurosil 7 7 7 9 10 2 Source: Dauquest (January 1991) 0008259 ©1991 Dataquest Europe limited January—Reproduction Prohibited ESIS chapter 6 European Custom IC Consumption Forecast 1987-1995 37 Table 6.5 Custom ASIC Consumption Forecast by Application Millions of Dollars Application Data Processing Communication 1988 1987 66 Industrial 75 36 63 72 34 1989 71 1990 64 1991 52 1992 81 73 60 35 32 59 32 52 1993 50 1994 60 57 34 49 1995 46 53 32 Military 15 14 39 16 15 12 10 35 10 10 9 Transportation 15 14 16 15 15 18 20 Consumer 93 89 100 91 15 77 79 78 76 19 72 Appllcatton Data Processing 1987 22% 1988 1990 1991 21% 1992 21% 1993 20% 1994 22% 1989 22% 20% 1995 20% Communication 25% 12% 25% 12% 25% 12% 25% 12% 24% 24% 24% 13% 14% 23% 14% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 5% 5% 5% 13% 4% 23% 14% 31% 31% 31% 31% Percent o f Revenue Industrial Military Transportation Consumer Source; Oauquest Qamaiy 1991) 22% 31% 6% 7% 8% 8% 32% 31% 31% 31% Figure 6.2 Custom ASIC Consumption b y Application Communications 23% Data Processing 22% Communications 25% Data Processing 20% Industrial 14% Industrial 12% Military Consumer 31% Trans(K>nation 5% 1989 Military 4% Transportation 8% Consumer 31% 1995 Source: Dataquest Qanuary 1991) ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Eurof>e Limited Januaiy^-Reproduction Prohibited 0008259 Chapter 6 European ASIC Market Consumption Forecast 38 Table 6.6 Custom ASIC Consumption Forecast by Region Millions of Dollars 1987 1988 15 84 14 1989 16 80 91 Italy 27 26 29 Scandinavia 21 20 UK and Eire 54 23 58 West Germany 90 Region Benelux France Rest of Europe 9 51 86 97 9 10 1991 12 1992 26 69 22 69 22 21 17 17 44 1990 15 82 12 1993 1994 13 71 12 1995 12 69 22 65 21 17 44 42 23 18 16 53 88 45 74 74 45 76 74 70 9 7 7 8 7 7 Percent of Revenue R^on 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 28% 5% 28% 5% 28% 5% 28% 5% 28% 5% 28% 5% 28% 5% 28% 5% 28% 9% 7% 9% 7% 9% 7% 9% 7% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% UK and Eire 18% 18% 18% 18% 18% 18% 18% 18% 18% West Germany 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% Benelux Fiance Italy Scandinavia Rest of Europe Source: Dataquest Qanuary 1991) 0008259 1987 5% ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited January—Keproduction Prohibited ESIS DataQuest n n ^)t[iiii|<artvol M u i liK:llunlt,~[lr:icl&lM-clC(iipomlH>n Daiat/uesl Reseanh and Sales £ Paiaquest Incorporaied 1290 Riddtr Paik D r i v ; Siin Jiise. 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No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in retrieval systems, or transmitted, in any form or by any means—mechanical, electronic, {diotocopying, duplicating, microfilming, videotaf>e, or otherwise—without the prior written permission of the publisher. ® 1991 Dataquest Europe Limited Jamiaiy 1991 0008263 Table of Contents Page 1. Introduction and Definitions 1 2. Estimated European ASIC Revenue 1987-1995 5 3. Estimated European Gate Array Revenue 1987-1995 17 4. Estimated European PUD Revenue 1987-1995 25 5. Estimated European CBIC Revenue 1987-1995 31 6. Estimated European Custom Revenue 1987-1995 39 iii Chapter 1 Introduction and Definitions Introduction This booklet presents Dataquest's historical market share tables and rankings for the European application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC) market. The historical data for the period 1987 to 1989 is presented in chapters according to the ASIC produa groupings as shown in Figure 1.1. Product Segmentation Figure 1,1 shows how the ASIC family tree breaks out into the four categories: gate array; programmable iogic devices (PLD); cell-based integrated circuits (CBIC); and full-custom integrated circuits. The market share tables are subdivided into bipolar and MOS technology, with separate market share and ranking tables for the two technologies. The only exception to this B for bipolar CBIC, where the size of the bipolar CBIC market in 1989 ($9 million) precludes the detailing of the bipolar CBIC suppliers. Definitions The term application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC) can refer to a multitude of product types. However, when Dataquest first coined the term it had a definite meaning, and the product types tracked and forecast conformed to that specific meaning. When comparing company or market data with history, or forecasting potential market share, it is of vital importance that definitions are consistent. For this reason, Dataquest uses the original definition, which is restated as follows: • ASIC. A single-user IC that is manufactured using vendor-supplied tools and/or libraries. Figure 1.1 ASIC Family Tree Source: Dataquest 0anuary 1991) European ASIC Market Share Estimates 1987-1989 • Gate Array. An ASIC device that is customized using the final layers of interconnect. Included in this category are generic or base wafers that include embedded functions such as static random access memory. • PLD. A logic device that can be customized by the user after assembly. • Cell-Based Integrated Circuits. An ASIC device that is customized using a full set of masks and which uses automatic placement of cells and automatic routing. • Custom. An ASIC device that is customized using a full set of masks and which requires manual placement and routing of the cells. • Mixed Signal. An ASIC device with both digital and analog signal input or output (excluding line driver outputs and single comparator and Schmitt trigger inputs). We understand that mixed signal ASICs fall into two categories: simple mixed signal ASICs that use pre-characterized cells that can be tested using a digital tester; and more complex, highperformance mixed signal devices that require analog test. This definition is intended to cover both types of mixed signal ASIC. It is important to note that ASIC refers to singleuser ICs, and not mulitple-user standard products which are targeted at specific applications such as PC chip sets. These multiuser products are more aptly named application-specific standard products (ASSPs). ASSP-type products are currently included in the microperipheral category of both Dataquest and the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) organization. Revenue Classification ASICs may be fabricated, assembled and sold in several different locations, and because of this Dataquest uses the country of origin as the basis for classifying suppliers. The home office where the balance sheet is consolidated is therefore considered the country of origin for multinational companies. For example, a company such as Texas Instruments selling in Europe is considered a North American company, whereas a company such as Philips selling in North America is considered a European company. 0008263 Chapter 1 Estimates for each company comprise the following four sources of revenue (w^here applicable): • Intracompany revenue • Sales of EDA software • Nonrecurring engineering (NRE) charges • Device production ASIC Shipments Model Many suppliers make ASICs for internal consumption as well as for merchant customers, so Dataquest uses the ASIC shipments model as shown in Figure 1.2 to accurately reflect the manufacture and sale of ASICs in the marketplace. Figure 1.2 shows four types of ASIC supplier. • Supplier 1 is a straightforward ASIC manufacturer which manufactures ASICs and sells them on the open market. Dataquest's ASIC revenue estimates include all of the ASIC sales for supplier 1. • Supplier 2 subcontracts part of the manufacture of the ASIC to another foundry, and then finishes the ASICs with its own facility. Dataquest's ASIC revenue estimates include the ASIC revenue for supplier 2, but the foundry revenue for supplier 2's subcontractor is not included, as this is measured in supplier 2's revenue. • Supplier 3 is a manufacturing company with an internal ASIC manufacturing capability. Supplier 3 has chosen to sell some of the ASIC manufacturing capability on the merchant market. Dataquest's ASIC revenue estimates include all of the ASIC sales achieved by supplier 3, because the internal ASIC sales are potentially available to outside suppliers, but these sales are in fact filled by internal supply. An example of this would be Philips, which manufactures its own ASICs and sells them both internally and externally, and which also purchases ASICs fi-om external suppliers. • Supplier 4 has an internal ASIC capability, and has chosen not to sell the ASIC capability onto the open market. Dataquest's ASIC revenue estimates include none of the captive ASIC sales, as this internal market is not normally available to outside suppliers. An example of this would be IBM, or Digital Equipment Corporation, which manufacture their own ASICs, and do not sell these ASICs into the merchant market. ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited January—Reproduction Prohibited ESIS Chapter 1 Introduction and Definitions Figure 1.2 ASIC Shipments Model r\ Supplier 1 Supplier Finishes Product Completed Fabrication by Supplier Supplier 2 / ( iji"*! I- Dataquest Total ASIC Revenue Estimate I Subcontract Customer Merchant Sales Supplier 3 Supplier 4 XT Captive "Sales" Captive "Sales" Only Source: Dataquest Qanuary 1991) ESIS ©1991 Dataquest Europe Limited January—^Reproduction Prohibited 0008263 Chapter 2 Estimated 1987-1989 European ASIC Revenue Index of Tables and Figures—Chapter 2 Table 2.1 Estimated European Total ASIC Revenue Table 2.2 Estimated Eurojjean Bipolar ASIC Revenue Table 2.3 Estimated Europ>ean MOS ASIC Revenue Figure 2.1 European ASIC Revenue by Produa 1987 and 1989 Table 2.4 Estimated European 1989 Total ASIC Market Share Rankings Table 2.5 Estimated European 1989 Bipolar ASIC Market Share Rankings Table 2.6 Estimated European 1989 MOS ASIC Market Share Rankings Figure 2.2 Top 10 Suppliers 1989, Estimated European Total ASIC Revenue Figure 2.3 Top 10 Suppliers 1989, Estimated European Bipolar ASIC Revenue Figure 2.4 Top 10 Suppliers 1989, Estimated European MOS ASIC Revenue Note; Some Tigures may not add to totals due to rounding. Chapter 2 European ASIC Market Share Estimates 1987-1989 Table 2.1 Table 2.1 (Continued) Estimated E u r o p e a n Total ASIC Revenue (Millions of Dollars) Estimated E u r o p e a n Total ASIC Revenue (Millions of Dollars) 1987 Total Shipments European Companies Austria Mikro Systeme 1989 $1,182 1987 $792 1988 $982 $377 $438 $546 29 36 44 Xilinx Others 1988 1989 i 8 Texas Instruments Q 22 54 VLSI Technology 17 25 79 37 4 5 8 33 9 7 $59 21 $102 $132 16 5 0 7 23 12 0 2 10 22 31 Sprague 23 16 25 21 6 7 6 12 17 Japanese Companies 9 28 12 13 0 Fujitsu 14 Mietec 32 15 42 17 21 Mitsubishi MEDL 3 8 50 Oki 1 2 3 Philips 21 34 38 Seiko Epson 0 Plessey 26 82 101 Toshiba 16 9 44 9 52 25 90 35 56 50 Others 6 2 0 8 13 $0 $0 Telefunken 30 0 0 $1 1 IMS 0 24 35 0 21 $355 $442 0 0 $503 2 45 4 58 52 7 12 Applied Micro Circuits 2 1 2 AT&T 6 Cypress 2 9 4 12 19 10 Asea Brown Boveri Ericsson ES2* Eurosil Ferranti Matra-MHS SGS-Thomson S